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GBPUSD

Fundamental Market Analysis for October 21, 2024 GBPUSDThe GBP/USD pair has been unable to capitalise on the modest recovery gains recorded over the past two days and has been fluctuating in a narrow range around 1.30500-1.30450 during Monday's Asian session. Spot prices remain close to the one-month low reached last Thursday and are likely to extend the recent pullback from the 1.34350 area, the highest level since March 2022. The unexpected decline in the UK Consumer Price Index (CPI) to its lowest level since April 2021 and below the Bank of England's (BoE) 2% target has increased the likelihood of an interest rate cut of 25 basis points (bps) at the 7 November meeting. Furthermore, market expectations are that the Bank of England may cut interest rates again in December, which could continue to exert pressure on the British pound. This, along with the bullish sentiment surrounding the US dollar, indicates a negative outlook for the GBP/USD pair. The market is increasingly confident that the Federal Reserve (the Fed) will continue to moderate rate cuts next year, which is keeping US Treasury yields high and acting as a tailwind for the dollar. Furthermore, geopolitical risks are providing additional support for the US dollar. In the absence of any market-important economic releases from the UK or the US, the aforementioned fundamental backdrop indicates that the path of least resistance for the GBP/USD pair is downwards. Therefore, any intraday upward movement should be viewed as a potential selling opportunity. However, those with a bearish outlook may wait for a consolidation below the 1.30000 psychological mark before placing new bets and positioning for a decline towards the 100-day simple moving average (SMA) support, which currently sits at around 1.29600. Trading recommendation: Trading predominantly Buy y orders from the current price level.
Long
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
Could the Cable rise from here?The price has reacted off the resistance level which is a pullback resistance and could potentially rise from this level to our take profit. Entry: 1.3033 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level. Stop loss: 1.2981 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level. Take profit: 1.3146 Why we like it: There is an overlap resistance level that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Long
by VantageMarkets
Could the Cable rise from here?The price is reacting off the pivot and could rise to the 61.8% Fibonacci resistance which acts as a pullback resistance. Pivot: 1.3034 1st Support: 1.2977 1st Resistance: 1.3103 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Long
by ICmarkets
SasanSeifi| Key Levels to Watch in the Daily Timeframe!Hey there, ✌ FX:GBPUSD In the daily timeframe, as evident from the chart, after a bullish move, the price has struggled to break above the 1.34 level and, following a period of consolidation, has faced a downward trend. Currently, the price is trading around 1.30. The overall trend suggests a bearish outlook, and it’s expected that if the price breaks below the 1.30 level and confirms this breakdown, we could see it heading towards the target of 1.29500. After this move, the price may enter a range-bound or minor consolidation phase before dropping further to the 1.28500 area and the demand zone around 1.28. Alternatively, another scenario is possible where if the 1.30 level holds, and we observe confirmations in lower timeframes, the price could rise towards the FVG zone between 1.30200 to 1.32700 and potentially up to 1.33. In this scenario, after a slight rally and pullback, the price might return to the 1.30 and 1.29500 levels. It’s crucial to closely monitor the price’s reaction to these levels for better insight into future movements. This analysis is based on personal opinion and is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. If you found this helpful, please like and comment – I’d love to hear your thoughts! Happy trading! ✌😊
by SasanSeifi
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Education
by ProjectSyndicate
15
GBPUSD My Opinion! SELL! My dear friends, GBPUSD looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details: The market is trading on 1.3047 pivot level. Bias - Bearish Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear short signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bearish trend of the market. Goal - 1.3023 About Used Indicators: Pivot points are a great way to identify areas of support and resistance, but they work best when combined with other kinds of technical analysis ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Short
by AnabelSignals
6
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Education
by ProjectSyndicate
8
GBPUSD On The Rise! BUY! My dear subscribers, GBPUSD looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details: The market is trading on 1.3015 pivot level. Bias - Bullish Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation. Target - 1.3052 About Used Indicators: The average true range (ATR) plays an important role in 'Supertrend' as the indicator uses ATR to calculate its value. The ATR indicator signals the degree of price volatility. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Long
by AnabelSignals
1
GBPUSD Will Go Up From Support! Buy! Here is our detailed technical review for GBPUSD. Time Frame: 2h Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The price is testing a key support 1.298. Current market trend & oversold RSI makes me think that buyers will push the price. I will anticipate a bullish movement at least to 1.302 level. P.S Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Long
by SignalProvider
1
XAU/USD : IMPORTANT Pre Market Analysis (READ THE CAPTION)Currently, the price of gold is hovering around **$2656.99**. Recently, gold has seen a slight increase, driven by several factors such as inflation concerns, recent CPI and PPI reports, and geopolitical tensions. Key Influencing Factors: 1. Persistent Inflation: Recent CPI and PPI reports show that inflation remains slightly above expectations, keeping gold in demand as a safe-haven asset. 2. Interest Rates: Expectations around interest rate cuts have stabilized, which increases gold's appeal as a non-yielding asset. 3. Geopolitical Tensions: Ongoing global political instability, particularly in regions like the Middle East, is adding upward pressure to gold prices. Technical Analysis: • Resistance Level: If gold prices break above $2685, there could be further bullish momentum. • Support Level: On the downside, key support zones include $2636-$2642, $2628-$2630, and $2620, which should be closely monitored if the price declines, as strong demand in these areas could lead to a reversal. Outlook: Given the economic and geopolitical landscape, gold remains in a bullish trend. Traders should keep an eye on economic reports and geopolitical developments as any increase in uncertainty could further boost gold's price. This sets the stage for today’s market session, with potential for continued upward movement. Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me ! Best Regards , Arman Shaban
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by ArmanShabanTrading
67
Market Analysis: GBP/USD Takes HitMarket Analysis: GBP/USD Takes Hit GBP/USD started a fresh decline below the 1.3200 zone. Important Takeaways for GBP/USD Analysis Today - The British Pound started a major decline from the 1.3400 resistance zone. - There was a break above a key bearish trend line forming with resistance at 1.3000 on the hourly chart of GBP/USD at FXOpen. GBP/USD Technical Analysis On the hourly chart of GBP/USD at FXOpen, the pair struggled to continue higher above the 1.3400 resistance zone. The British Pound started a downside correction and traded below the 1.3200 support zone against the US Dollar. The pair even traded below 1.3040 and the 50-hour simple moving average. Finally, the bulls appeared near the 1.2975 level. A low was formed at 1.2973 and the pair is now consolidating losses. There was a minor recovery wave above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 1.3102 swing high to the 1.2973 low. Besides, there was a break above a key bearish trend line forming with resistance at 1.3000. Immediate resistance on the upside is 1.3040 or the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 1.3102 swing high to the 1.2973 low. The first major resistance is near the 1.3075 zone. The main hurdle sits at 1.3100. A close above the 1.3100 resistance might spark a steady upward move. The next major resistance is near the 1.3180 zone. Any more gains could lead the pair toward the 1.3220 resistance in the near term. Initial support on the GBP/USD chart sits at 1.3000. The next major support sits at 1.2975, below which there is a risk of another sharp decline. In the stated case, the pair could drop toward 1.2900. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
GBP/USD: The weight of evidence approachThere are always reasons not to take a trade. You have to take a 'weight of evidence' approach - and you'll still often be wrong ;) The idea: Trade GBP/USD short on a daily close below critical support. Looking for 2:1 RR Reasons for: Trend is lower (falling fractals / price below the 50 DMA) Momentum is to the downside (MACD below zero) If the break holds, then long term trend has turned to a downtrend, adding more force to the short term downtrend. Reasons against: Already had a big move lower Longer term trend has been up - this maybe an exaggerated pullback. The nice thing about trading, you don't have to stay wrong. If this breakdown trade fails - it tells us the market has strength. So then we can wait to trade a break above resistance or a fractal
Short
by jasperlawler
Pullback resistance ahead for the Cable?The price is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance and could reverse from this level to our take profit. Entry: 1.3033 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level. Stop loss: 1.3080 Why we like it: There is an overlap resistance level that lines up with th23.6% Fibonacci retracement. Take profit: 1.2940 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level that is slightly below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Short
by VantageMarkets
GBPUSD - Look for Continuation Long (SWING) 1:5!GBPUSD is displaying a gradual bullish momentum following a strong upward trend on the HTF. After breaking the HTF key resistance level, it corrected to the nearest Demand Zone. On the LTF, GBPUSD appears to be accumulating before resuming an upward trend toward the Supply Zone, where a reversal market structure may form, supported by the DVX. Disclaimer: This is simply my personal technical analysis, and you're free to consider it as a reference or disregard it. No obligation! Emphasizing the importance of proper risk management—it can make a significant difference. Wishing you a successful and happy trading experience!
Long
by S-Fx_