Cable H4 | Falling to overlap supportThe Cable (GBP/USD) is falling towards an overlap support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 1.2371 which is an overlap support that aligns with a 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 1.2282 which is a level that sits under a pullback support and the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 1.2501 which is a swing-high resistance.
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GBPUSD
Falling towards overlap support?GBP/USD is falling towards the support level which is an overlap support that is slightly below the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.2370
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that is slightly below the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.2298
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that line sup with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 1.2501
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance.
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XAU/USD : Bull or Bear (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the 4-hour gold chart, we see that, as expected, the price continued its upward movement following yesterday's analysis, hitting the $2752 and $2764 targets, delivering a 200-pip return. After reaching $2764, gold corrected from $2766 down to $2757, and it is currently trading around $2759. If the price stabilizes below this level, we could see further corrections.
⚠ Important Note: Today, we have the FOMC meeting and the U.S. interest rate decision, which could lead to high market volatility. I strongly recommend avoiding trading during these critical hours!
THE MAIN ANALYSIS :
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Gbpusd signal GBP/USD holds lower ground below 1.2450 in the early European session on Thursday. Renewed US Dollar buying and a cautious market environment drags the pair lower. Traders refrain from placing big bets on the major ahead of the US Q4 advance GDP data release.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator on the 4-hour chart holds slightly above 50 but moves sideways, suggesting that the bullish bias remains intact, while lacking momentum.
Gbpusd signal
GBPJPY Awaiting Breakout for Potential DropGBPJPY is currently trading at 192.150, with a target price set at 186.000. The trade setup anticipates a potential gain of over 600 pips if the price reaches the target. A symmetrical triangle pattern has formed, indicating market consolidation and indecision. Traders are closely watching for a breakout, which will determine the next major price move. If the breakout happens to the downside, strong bearish momentum is expected. The target of 186.000 is likely based on technical projections from the pattern's measured move. Confirmation of the breakout is crucial before entering the trade to avoid false signals. Risk management, including a stop-loss, is essential to protect against unexpected reversals. Economic events and central bank policies could influence GBPJPY’s movement. Monitoring volume and price action near breakout levels will help assess the trade’s strength.
CHFJPY Symmetrical Triangle Pattern AnalysisCHFJPY is currently trading at 170.100, with a target price set at 165.000. The trade setup suggests a potential gain of over 500 pips if the price reaches the target. A symmetrical triangle pattern has been identified on the chart, a common technical pattern indicating consolidation before a breakout. In this case, the breakout has already occurred to the downside, signaling a bearish trend. Traders often expect strong momentum after a confirmed breakout, reinforcing the probability of price decline. The target of 165.000 is likely based on measured move calculations from the triangle pattern. Risk management strategies, such as stop-loss placement, are crucial to mitigate potential reversals. Fundamental factors like central bank policies or economic events could influence the trade’s outcome. If selling pressure continues, the price may reach the target faster than anticipated. Monitoring key support and resistance levels will help assess trade validity.
GBP/USD Wedge Breakout (30.1.2025)The GBP/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Wedge Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours.
Possible Long Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Resistance – 1.2519
2nd Resistance – 1.2571
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Pound Near $1.24, Awaiting BoE DecisionThe British pound hovered around $1.24, just below a three-week high, as traders assessed central bank decisions and the UK economic outlook. The Fed held rates steady with a cautious tone on cuts, while the ECB is expected to lower rates by 25bps, following similar moves by the BoC and Riksbank.
In the UK, the BoE is likely to cut rates by 25bps in February, though stronger data may slow the pace. Meanwhile, Finance Minister Rachel Reeves outlined growth plans, including a third Heathrow runway, while debt sustainability remains a concern.
Key resistance is at 1.2460, with further levels at 1.2500 and 1.2600. Support stands at 1.2400, followed by 1.2350 and 1.2265.
Fundamental Market Analysis for January 30, 2025 GBPUSDThe GBP/USD pair is trading slightly higher around 1.24450 in the early hours of European trading on Thursday. The moderate decline in the US dollar is providing some support to the major pair. Investors will be keeping a close eye on the preliminary US gross domestic product (GDP) data for the fourth quarter (Q4), due for release later today.
GBP/USD spun in a tight circle on Wednesday, briefly dipping into the 1.24000 area after the Federal Reserve (Fed) left interest rates unchanged. Interest rate futures markets generally predicted no movement on interest rates as the Fed sees little reason to rush into further rate cuts. The second half of the trading week will see the release of key U.S. data to see if the Fed did the right thing.
On Wednesday, the Federal Reserve (Fed) left rates unchanged as futures markets had predicted, with Fed Chairman Jerome Powell reiterating that the Fed takes a data-dependent approach when adjusting rates. Fed Chairman Powell noted that the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) is closely watching what policies US President Donald Trump will pursue, but denied that the newly elected US President has been in direct contact with the Fed.
Fed Chairman Powell said that the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) is closely monitoring what policies US President Donald Trump will pursue, but denied that the newly elected US president has had direct contact with the Fed. As an independent federal agency, the White House has little influence over policy recommendations made by the Federal Reserve.
Fed Chairman Powell also noted that while inflation is still trending toward the medium target level, the current economic landscape, as well as some concerns about the sweeping trade policies pursued by US President Trump, mean that the Fed is in no hurry to adjust the restrictive nature of rates. Betting markets have lowered their bets on a Fed rate cut in 2025. According to CME's FedWatch tool, rate futures markets are pricing in no change in the federal funds rate until June at the earliest.
Trading recommendation: Watch the level of 1.24500, when fixing above it consider Buy positions, when rebounding consider Sell positions.
GBPUSD Breakout And Potential RetraceHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring GBPUSD for a buying opportunity around 1.23600 zone, GBPUSD was trading in a downtrend and successfully managed to break it out. Currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the retrace area at 1.23600 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
Recession concerns have provoked the BoE’s will to cut rates
Concerns about a UK recession are intensifying, making a BoE rate cut next month likely. The recent December retail sales data from the ONS reveals a decrease of 0.3% compared to the previous month, a stark contrast to the market's expectation of a 0.4% increase. This clearly indicates that consumer apprehension regarding the economic downturn is escalating rapidly. The market firmly anticipates that the BoE will reduce interest rates by an additional 25bp during the monetary policy meeting on February 6. Furthermore, many analysts assert that, given the current state of the UK economy, the BoE is poised to execute four interest rate cuts this year.
After breaking out of the ascending channel, GBPUSD trades sideways around 1.2450. However, the price holds above EMA21, indicating a potential for an extension of bullish momentum. If GBPUSD reenters the channel, the price could gain upward momentum toward the 1.2500 threshold. Conversely, if GBPUSD fails to hold above EMA21, the price could fall further to the support at 1.2350, where EMA78 coincides.
GBPUSD What Next? SELL!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for GBPUSD below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 1.2426
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear sell, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 1.2314
Safe Stop Loss - 1.2491
About Used Indicators:
The pivot point itself is simply the average of the high, low and closing prices from the previous trading day.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
GBPUSD Demand Zone + Rounding OffFollowing on from the last idea I published, it looks GU is bullish and breaking the trendline. Here you would have to wait for a close above the trendline before entering. If it doesn't close above the trendline, it's not a valid entry.
However, this is a slightly riskier trade so keep that in mind.
AUD/JPY Bearish Pennant Breakout and 500+ Pips TargetAUD/JPY represents the Australian Dollar against the Japanese Yen in the forex market. The current price is 96.800, with a target price of 86.000, indicating a strong bearish outlook. The expected price drop suggests a potential gain of 500+ pips if the trade moves as predicted. The analysis is based on the bearish pennant pattern, a continuation pattern signaling potential further downside. The price is currently consolidating within the pennant, awaiting a breakout. A bearish breakout would confirm strong selling pressure, leading to a sharp decline. Traders anticipate a drop toward the 86.000 level once the breakout occurs. This setup aligns with technical analysis, where pennants often lead to significant price movements. If the breakout is confirmed, momentum could accelerate the decline. Risk management is crucial, as false breakouts can occur.
GBP/USD Resistance Rejection and Bearish OutlookGBP/USD is a forex pair representing the British Pound against the US Dollar. The current price is 1.24150, and the target price is 1.21000, indicating an expected decline. This suggests a bearish outlook, with a potential gain of 300+ pips if the price moves as anticipated. The analysis is based on support and resistance levels, key technical indicators in forex trading. The price is currently facing strong resistance, leading to a rejection at this level. A rejection from resistance often signals selling pressure, pushing prices downward. Traders expect the price to drop toward the next support level at 1.21000. The setup aligns with technical analysis, where resistance acts as a ceiling for price movements. If the resistance holds, further bearish momentum could drive the price lower. Risk management is essential, as price movements can be unpredictable.
GBPUSD top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
GBP/USD Drops from Three-Week High Amid Tariff and Rate SpeculatThe British Pound fell to $1.244 from a three-week high after Trump’s tariff threats on semiconductors, pharmaceuticals, and steel fueled dollar strength. Markets focused on central bank policies, with the Fed expected to hold rates and the ECB likely to cut by 25bps. In the UK, the BoE is still expected to cut rates in February despite strong PMI data.
The first resistance level for the pair will be 1.2460. In the event of this level's breach, the next levels to watch would be 1.2500 and 1.2600. On the downside 1.2420 will be the first support level. 1.2350 and 1.2265 are the next levels to monitor if the first support level is breached.
EUR/JPY - Key Decision Zone!this Wave B completing, or are we in the early stages of Wave C?
📊 Price is testing a critical area—will sellers take control, or is another leg up still in play?
🚀 Key Questions:
1️⃣ Is this Wave AB or BC?
2️⃣ Will we see a major sell-off, or is it a buying opportunity?
3️⃣ What’s the ideal entry & confirmation?
📌 Levels to Watch:
🔻 Bearish Scenario: If price rejects, we could see a deeper correction toward the demand zone 📉
🔼 Bullish Scenario: If buyers hold, we might see a breakout before reversal 📈
👀 Drop your analysis in the comments! Are you buying or selling? 🔥
Let me know if you want any tweaks! 🚀
GU 1H Sell Idea 1/25/25Since price is rejecting a monthly consolidation zone from 12/1/23, I would like a retest on the bottom of my 8H level to continue bearish at least up to the Daily Consolidation Zone that was created on 1/10/25.
Lower Lows and Highs have already started to form on the 1-5m, while the 15m is currently consolidating at market closure on 1/24/25. Also, the W. D, 4H, & 1H have all rejected the Monthly Consolidation Zone as of 1/24/25 market closure.
If the higher time frames line up, the sells will be valid.
GBP/USD Rolling Over at Resistance - Where Next?Chart Analysis:
GBP/USD is approaching the critical 1.2500 resistance level, a threshold that could determine the next directional move for the pair.
1️⃣ Resistance at 1.2500:
The horizontal level at 1.2500 has acted as a significant barrier, capping recent upward momentum.
A decisive break above this level would pave the way for further gains, potentially targeting the 1.2600 area or beyond.
2️⃣ Moving Averages:
50-day SMA (blue): Positioned at 1.2525, aligning closely with the resistance zone and reinforcing its importance.
200-day SMA (red): At 1.2791, remains above current price levels, indicating that the longer-term trend still favors the bears.
3️⃣ Momentum Indicators:
RSI: At 51.49, showing neutral momentum but with room for further upside before reaching overbought territory.
MACD: Remains below zero but is trending higher, suggesting improving bullish momentum.
What to Watch:
A sustained breakout above 1.2500 and the 50-day SMA could signal the start of a bullish reversal.
Failure to clear this zone may result in a pullback, with immediate support at 1.2400 and further downside toward 1.2300.
GBP/USD remains at a pivotal juncture, with the 1.2500 level acting as a key hurdle that bulls must overcome to establish a broader recovery.
-MW