GBP/USD - For FOMC & Fed Interest RateThe GBP/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Channel Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours.
Possible Long Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Resistance – 1.3567
2nd Resistance – 1.3682
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GBPUSD
GBPUSD H4 I Bullish RiseBased on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is trading near our buy entry at1.3373 -1.13396, which is a pullback support that aligns with the 50% Fib retracement.
Our take profit will be at 1.3466, which is an overlap resistance
The stop loss will be placed at 1.3320 which is a pullback support below the 61.8% Fib retracement.
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Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
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CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
GBPUSD I Technical & Fundamental Forecast Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** GB{USD Analysis - Listen to video!
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Pound recovers as UK CPI edges lowerThe British pound has stabilized on Wednesday. In the European session, GBP/USD is trading at 1.3551, up 0.28% on the day. The US dollar showed broad strength on Tuesday and GBP/USD declined 1.05% and fell to a three-week low.
UK inflation for May edged lower to 3.4% y/y, down from 3.5% in April and matching the market estimate. The driver behind the deceleration was lower airline prices and petrol prices. Services inflation, which has been persistently high, eased to 4.7% from 5.4%. Monthly, CPI gained 0.2%, much lower than the 1.2% gain in April and matching the market estimate.
Core CPI, which excludes food and energy, fell to 3.5% in May, down from 3.8% a month earlier and below the market estimate of 3.6%. Monthly, the core rate rose 0.2%, sharply lower than the 1.4% spike in April and in line with the market estimate. This marked the lowest monthly increase in four months.
The Bank of England will be pleased that core CPI moved lower but the inflation numbers are still too high for its liking. Headline CPI had been below 3% for a year but has jumped well above 3% in the past two months.
BoE policymakers won't have much time to digest today's inflation report as the central bank makes its rate announcement on Thursday. The markets are widely expecting the BoE to maintain the cash rate at 4.25%,
Investors will be keeping a close eye on the meeting, looking for hints of a rate cut later in the year. The UK economy contracted in April and with wages falling and unemployment rising, there is pressure for the BoE to lower rates, but that is risky with inflation well above the BoE's 2% inflation target.
US retail sales slumped in May, falling 0.9% m/m. This was well below the revised -0.1% reading in April and worse than the market estimate of -0.7%. Annually, retail sales fell to 3.3%, down sharply from a revised 5.0%.
Consumers are wary about the economy and anxiety over Trump's tariffs has weighed on consumer spending. If additional key US data heads lower, this will increase pressure on the Federal Reserve to lower interest rates.
GBP/US is putting pressure on resistance at 1.3480. Above, there is resistance at 1.3545
1.3364 and 1.3299 are providing support
GBIRYY - U.K Inflation (May/2025)ECONOMICS:GBIRYY
May/2025
source: Office for National Statistics
-The annual inflation rate in the UK edged down to 3.4% in May 2025 from 3.5% in April, matching expectations.
The largest downward contribution came from transport prices (0.7% vs 3.3%), reflecting falls in air fares (-5%) largely due to the timing of Easter and the associated school holidays, as well as falling motor fuel prices.
Additionally, the correction of an error in the Vehicle Excise Duty series contributed to the drop; the error affected April’s data, but the series has been corrected from May.
Further downward pressure came from cost for housing and household services (6.9% vs 7%), mostly owner occupiers' housing costs (6.7% vs 6.9%).
Services inflation also slowed to 4.7% from 5.4%. On the other hand, the largest, upward contributions came from food and non-alcoholic beverages (4.4% vs 3.4%), namely chocolate, confectionery and ice cream, and furniture and household goods (0.8%, the most since December 2023).
Compared to the previous month, the CPI rose 0.2%.
GBPUSD - One More Leg for Bears to Take Over!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈GBPUSD has been overall bullish trading within the rising broadening wedge pattern marked in red.
However, it is currently approaching the upper bound of the wedge acting as an over-bought zone.
And the $1.365 - $1.375 is a strong resistance zone.
🏹 Thus, the highlighted red circle is a strong area to look for sell setups as it is the intersection of resistance and upper red trendline acting as a non-horizontal resistance.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #GBPUSD approaches the red circle zone, I will be looking for bearish reversal setups (like a double top pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
GBP/USD - SMT with EUR/USD, SHORTExcited to share my first idea with you guys !
To start with, my name is Soulayman and have started my trading journey in October 2024. It was very hard at first, but after hard work and dedication we all know we can make it happen. I basically studied ICT concepts, and was able to integrate those into a system that I have built myself ( this is what every trader should do in my opinion, it will make you understand better ).
And that is why I am here today on Trading View, sharing my first ever idea with you guys !
I'll make it very simple , no extravagant analysis or super complicated trendlines all over the place ... =D
This is what I see :
1 - GBP/USD potentially forming a SMT with EUR/USD after sweeping London High located inside a fair value gap (which makes this play stronger)
2- After the sweep occurs, I will be waiting on a 5 MINUTE break of structure (since 1 min break outs are manipulation most of the times so i prefer to stay safe). If this is followed by a fair value gap, it reinforces our idea showing the market has intent to push price lower.
3 - Now , let's talk about the HIGH TIME FRAME structure (4H) clearly shows the price wants to sell and that it is targeting Sellside liquidity Equal Lows. We could than anticipate a reversal from there.
We currently have price pulling back towards the HTF FVG, failed to close above the most recent high and having bearish reaction.
Since everything aligns with our BIAS, we will let it play out and wait on the sweep !
I will be posting updates during the day =D
Stay tuned ! Talk to you guys soon !
Analysis of GBPUSD 1-Hour Chart Signaling Bullish TrendAnalysis of GBP/USD 1-Hour Chart Signaling Bullish Trend 📈
I. Support Levels & Chart Patterns
Support Confirmation
After testing the 1.34135 support zone, price rebounded sharply with consecutive bullish candles 🚀, forming a potential "double bottom" pattern (or wave low). This successful defense of support reinforces the foundation for upward movement 🏗️.
Resistance Breakout Potential
Price is currently advancing from the 1.34600 short-term support. The key resistance lies at 1.35160. A decisive breakout above this level would validate the bullish projection indicated by the upward arrows on the chart 🎯
⚡️⚡️⚡️ GBPUSD ⚡️⚡️⚡️
🚀 Buy@ 1.33500 - 1.34000
🚀 TP 1.35000 - 1.35500
Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 🌟 👇
GBPUSD Set To Grow! BUY!
My dear friends,
My technical analysis for GBPUSD is below:
The market is trading on 1.3462 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation.
Target - 1.3528
Recommended Stop Loss - 1.3421
About Used Indicators:
A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
EURUSD,GBPUSD and USDJPY Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
GBP/USD Hits June LowGBP/USD Hits June Low
As the GBP/USD chart shows, the pair dropped sharply last night, falling below the 1.34170 level. This move marked the lowest point for the pound against the dollar since the beginning of June.
One of the main drivers behind this decline is the strengthening of the US dollar, which is attracting market participants amid heightened geopolitical tensions and a potential escalation of military conflict between Iran and Israel, involving US armed forces. According to the latest reports, Donald Trump has warned Tehran that US patience is wearing thin.
Today, however, the pound has seen a slight rebound, supported by the release of the UK Consumer Price Index (CPI). While the data confirmed that inflation is easing, the pace of decline is slower than expected. This may reduce the likelihood of interest rate cuts by the Bank of England – which in turn has boosted the pound’s value.
What could happen next?
Technical Analysis of the GBP/USD Chart
Since the end of May, price fluctuations have formed an ascending channel (shown in blue), with bulls making several attempts to break the resistance level at 1.3600 – so far, without much success.
The sharp decline from point A to B suggests that the bears have seized the initiative, with the pair rebounding from the lower boundary of the blue channel.
GBP/USD traders may:
→ interpret the bounce from the lower blue boundary as an upward correction following a sharp fall;
→ use Fibonacci retracement levels to estimate potential upside. In such cases, particular attention is typically given to the 0.5–0.618 zone (highlighted in orange). Here, it aligns with the 1.3526 level, which acted as support on 12–13 June, but may now serve as resistance after being breached.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Sterling Flat Before BoE and Fed Policy DecisionsGBP/USD trades near 1.3435 on Wednesday, steadying after a 1.2% drop Tuesday amid rising geopolitical tensions and safe-haven dollar demand.
The pound stays under pressure ahead of today’s UK inflation report and tomorrow’s BoE decision, where rates are expected to remain at 4.25%. Any inflation surprise could shift market expectations.
Ongoing Middle East conflict continues to support the dollar, while traders also await the Fed’s policy announcement later today, which could influence GBP/USD further.
Resistance is at 1.3600, with support around 1.3425.
DeGRAM | GBPUSD moving in the rising wedge📊 Technical Analysis
● A five-week rectangle at the channel top has broken south after a bearish engulfing, turning 1.3550 into fresh supply; the break also pierces the inner purple resistance line that capped every rally since April.
● Momentum now points to the channel mid-band/May swing low at 1.3516; loss of that neckline activates the measured move toward the lower rail and horizontal support at 1.3415.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Pre-BoE election-period caution and firmer post-FOMC USD yields have widened the short-term gilt–UST spread, draining bid tone from sterling.
✨ Summary
Sell 1.3530-1.3560; break below 1.3516 targets 1.3415. Bear view invalidated on an H4 close above 1.3592.
-------------------
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GBPUSD may form a false break of supportGBPUSD has wasted the entire daily move (ATR) and is forming a false break of the mirror level support and trading range support. The price fell on the background of the dollar growth (which is trading on the background of the global downtrend)
Now, while the price is consolidating below the mirror level, sellers (physical persons) open deals. But, based on the situation and spent ATR when the price returns inside the range there will be a liquidation stage, which can provoke the price growth
The price fixing above 1.34437 may be the beginning of a pullback (trend growth).
Scenario: if the decline does not continue, and the price is able to consolidate above 1.3448, in this case we can expect a correction to 1.35, 1.353.
GBPUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W25 D18 Y25GBPUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W25 D18 Y25
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today!
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅Weekly order block
✅15' order block
✅Intraday 15' break of structure
✅Tokyo ranges to be filled
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
What to Watch For Next!💡 GBPUSD Bearish Trade Outlook – Detailed Analysis
The GBPUSD pair has recently shown a clear Market Structure Shift (MSS) to the downside — a strong sign that bearish momentum may be taking control. Alongside this shift, we’ve also seen the formation of a Bearish Fair Value Gap (FVG) on the 4-hour timeframe, which adds further confluence to the potential for continued downside.
📍 What This Means:
The break in structure combined with the FVG suggests that institutional activity may be driving price lower, possibly targeting areas of untapped liquidity beneath previous lows. These are often high-probability setups when traded with confirmation.
🔎 What to Watch For Next:
At this point, it's best to wait patiently for the price to retrace into the 4H FVG zone. Once price taps this area, we should closely monitor lower timeframes (such as 15M or 5M) for bearish confirmation entries — like a bearish engulfing pattern, change in character (ChoCH), or internal MSS.
📉 Potential Trade Idea:
If confirmation occurs, we can look to enter a sell position, targeting downside liquidity levels, such as previous swing lows or equal lows — where the market often hunts liquidity.
⚠️ Risk Reminder:
As always, avoid entering blindly. Let the market give you a clear sign. Use proper risk management, and stick to your strategy.
📚 DYOR – Do Your Own Research!
The market doesn’t guarantee outcomes. Your own analysis, patience, and discipline are your best tools.
Bullish reversal off overlap support?The Cable (GBP/USD) has bounced off the pivot and could rise to the 50% Fibonacci resistance.
Pivot: 1.3412
1st Support: 1.3320
1st Resistance: 1.3517
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Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
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The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
GBPUSD H4 I Bearish Reversal Based on the H4 chart, the price is rising toward our sell entry level at 1.3519 - 1.3533, a pullback resistance that aligns closely with the 50% Fib retracement.
Our take profit is set at 1.3427, a swing low support.
The stop loss is set at 1.3631, a swing high resistance.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
GBP/USD - H1-Triangle Breakout (17.06.2025)The GBP/USD Pair on the H1 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Triangle Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours.
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 1.3485
2nd Support – 1.3444
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🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post !
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Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING
Thank you.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Bullish bounce off overlap support?GBP/USD is falling towards the support level which is an overlap support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.3443
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level.
Stop loss: 1.3359
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that is slightly below the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 1.3530
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
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#GBPUSD: Smaller Time-Frame Tells A Different Story! GBPUSD has exhibited strong bullish sentiment in shorter timeframes. However, an analysis of shorter timeframes reveals a different picture. The current price trend is upward, and it is anticipated to continue. Nevertheless, we anticipate a price correction around 1.3470, followed by a continuation of the bullish move. We strongly recommend conducting your own analysis before making any investment decisions.
Best of luck in your trading endeavours, and please remember to prioritise safety.
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