Bearish drop for the Cable?The price is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level top our take profit.
Entry: 1.2371
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.2489
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance that is slightly below the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 1.2239
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
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GBPUSD
GBP/USD Descending Channel Dominates Bearish OutlookChart Analysis:
The GBP/USD pair continues to slide within a well-established descending channel, with bearish momentum intensifying as it tests key support levels.
1️⃣ Descending Channel:
The pair remains firmly within the red-shaded descending channel, reinforcing the dominant downtrend.
Price is approaching the lower boundary of the channel, a critical area to watch for potential rebounds or further breakdowns.
2️⃣ Key Support Levels:
Immediate support lies at 1.2290, currently being tested.
Further downside could target the next key support at 1.2037 if bearish pressure persists.
3️⃣ Moving Averages:
50-day SMA (blue): Trending downward at 1.2664, reflecting short-term bearish sentiment.
200-day SMA (red): Sloping lower at 1.2804, confirming a broader bearish trend.
4️⃣ Momentum Indicators:
RSI: At 32.8, nearing oversold conditions but still aligned with the downtrend.
MACD: Bearish momentum remains strong, with the MACD line deeply negative and extending lower.
What to Watch:
A break below 1.2290 could pave the way for a decline toward 1.2037.
Any corrective rallies within the channel may face resistance at the midline or upper boundary.
Oversold RSI levels could signal a temporary pullback, but momentum remains bearish.
GBP/USD remains under intense selling pressure as it trends lower within the descending channel. Traders should monitor key levels for potential breakout or continuation signals.
-MW
GBPUSD is in the Selling Direction after breaking SupportHello Traders
In This Chart GBPUSD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today GBPUSD analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (GBPUSD market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on GBPUSD Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
XAU/USD : And Another Bullish Move Ahead! (READ THE CAPTION)Gold prices have followed an interesting trajectory over the past 24 hours, aligning perfectly with our earlier expectations. After a strong rally, gold hit the critical target of $2656, reaching as high as $2664 before entering the marked supply zone. As anticipated, the supply zone acted as a resistance, triggering a sharp decline to $2642. This movement provided an excellent trading opportunity for those who closely monitored the levels outlined in our previous analysis.
Current Market Context
At the moment, gold is trading around $2650, navigating within a crucial range. The price action suggests that gold is testing the resilience of buyers and sellers. If it stabilizes above $2644, we could see further bullish momentum, with the potential to hit the following targets:
• $2655 – A minor resistance level, which could set the tone for stronger upward momentum.
• $2661 – The next key level, signaling continued bullish strength.
• $2666 – A level of psychological resistance, marking a significant test for buyers.
• $2673 – The ultimate target for this leg of the rally, contingent on sustained demand and favorable conditions.
Fundamental Factors Driving Gold Prices
Gold's current trajectory has been influenced by a mix of technical setups and fundamental drivers:
• U.S. Economic Data: Robust job market data released earlier this week highlights the resilience of the U.S. economy. Job openings rose to 8.09 million in November, reflecting strong economic activity. However, this has bolstered the U.S. dollar and treasury yields, creating headwinds for gold as a non-yielding asset.
• Federal Reserve Policy Outlook: Expectations for further rate cuts by the Federal Reserve have diminished, as recent comments from Fed officials suggest a cautious approach to monetary easing. Fed Governor Lisa Cook emphasized that the Fed may slow down rate cuts due to persistent inflation.
• Central Bank Gold Demand: On the bullish side, the People’s Bank of China (PBOC) increased its gold reserves for the second consecutive month, a move that reflects sustained demand for the metal from the world’s largest consumer. Central bank purchases, particularly in the context of geopolitical uncertainties, have continued to support gold prices globally.
Technical Insights
From a technical standpoint:
• Support Levels: If gold fails to hold above $2644, we could see a deeper retracement toward $2633 and possibly $2625. These levels represent the nearest support zones where buyers may re-enter the market.
• Resistance Levels: On the upside, the supply zone between $2664 and $2673 will be a critical area to watch. A break and sustained close above $2673 could signal the start of a new bullish trend.
• Market Sentiment: Despite recent volatility, sentiment remains cautiously optimistic, with traders closely watching global economic data and U.S. Federal Reserve updates for further direction.
Looking Ahead
Key events later this week, including U.S. jobs data and the ADP employment report, will likely have a significant impact on gold's short-term direction. Traders should also keep an eye on movements in the U.S. dollar index (DXY) and treasury yields, as these remain inversely correlated with gold prices.
Action Plan: For now, the focus remains on how gold reacts around $2644. If the metal stabilizes above this level, traders can look for opportunities to target $2655, $2661, and beyond. Conversely, a breakdown below $2644 could lead to short-term selling pressure, offering opportunities for a potential retracement trade.
Stay tuned for further updates and detailed analysis! Let’s capitalize on these market moves!
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
Sterling sliding, Fed worried about TrumpThe British pound is on a nasty slide and has lost 1.8% since Monday. In the European session, GBP/USD is currently trading at 1.2294, down 0.53%. Earlier, the pound fell as low as 1.2237 (1%), it lowest level since Nov. 2023.
The latest setback for the pound was Thursday's British Retail Consortium (BRC) Shop Price index, which came in at -1% in December, lower than the November reading of -0.4% and the market estimate of -0.6%. This was the lowest level since July 2021. This points to weaker consumer spending, a key engine of the economy.
The BRC has projected that food inflation will continue to accelerate, which will add to the squeeze that weary consumers are feeling from inflation and high interest rates. The UK government introduced a "tax and spend" budget last October but retailers have argued that this recipe will lead to retail job cuts and higher prices.
The Federal Reserve minutes of the December meeting, released on Wednesday, indicated that policy makers were concerned about the upside risk to inflation, particularly due to incoming President-elect Trump's potential trade and immigration policies. Trump has promised to slap punishing tariffs on US trade partners, including China. Trump has also called for mass deportations of illegal immigrants.
The minutes did not mention Trump by name but there was no doubt that Fed members had Trump in mind. Members noted their concern that inflation could rise due to "the likely effects of potential changes in trade and immigration policy".
Members also indicated that the Fed was "at or near the point" of slowing the pace of easing. After starting the easing cycle with a jumbo rate cut of 50 basis points, the Fed has delivered back-to-back cuts of 25 basis points. At the December meeting, the Fed lowered its rate forecast for 2025 to two cuts, down from four in the September forecast.
After the December meeting, the currency markets reacted sharply to the revised forecast and the US dollar shot up against the majors. The Fed again sounded hawkish in the minutes but this time the US dollar showed little movement against the majors, with the exception of GBP/USD.
GBP/USD is testing support at 1.2292. Below, there is support at 1.2220
1.2393 and 1.2465 are the next resistance lines
GBPUSD Six months viewHere i am sharing a six months view about GBPUSD. The actual trend is clearly bearish, and i expect a continuation to the downside for the next few weeks/months. The first area where i will look for a long entry is around 1.18250, where i see a good zone to buy aiming for 1.30. The risk reward ratio for this trade is pretty good. If the stoploss will be reached, i think we will see more moves to the downside, reaching a possible area to buy again at 1.09500
Recency Bias: Your Brain’s Worst Trade Idea Ever!Let’s face it: your brain is out to sabotage your trading, and recency bias is its weapon of choice. This sneaky psychological gremlin convinces you that your last few trades—good or bad—are all that matter. But spoiler alert: they’re not.
🎲 What is Recency Bias?
Recency bias is your brain’s tendency to overvalue recent events and ignore the bigger picture. Three wins in a row? You’re invincible, right? WRONG. Three losses? Time to ditch your strategy? ALSO WRONG. The market doesn’t care about your streak—it plays the long game, and so should you.
💀 How It Destroys You
1️⃣ Winning Streak Confidence: After a few wins, you start upping your risk like you’re Warren Buffet. Then BAM—one loss wipes you out.
2️⃣ Losing Streak Paralysis: A few losses, and suddenly you’re too scared to pull the trigger, even on solid setups.
3️⃣ Revenge Trading: The currency pair that burned you? Oh, you’ll “get it back,” right? Nope. You’ll just lose more.
🛡️ How to Beat It
1️⃣ Reset Daily: Clear your head before every session. Meditate, walk, scream into a pillow—whatever works.
2️⃣ Stick to Your Plan: Your strategy works because it’s tested, not because your emotions say so.
3️⃣ Journal Everything: Spot your patterns before they wreck you.
4️⃣ Manage Risk: Winning or losing streaks shouldn’t change your position size. Period.
5️⃣ Check Your Ego: The market isn’t out to get you. It doesn’t even know you exist.
🧠 Final Words
Recency bias is a sneaky little troll, but with self-awareness and discipline, you can shut it down. Remember: your last trade doesn’t define you—your consistency does.
Now stop letting your brain gaslight you and go trade like the pro you were meant to be. 🚀
DXY.GBPUSD.GOlD.Day 4 2025.No major news with today being a bank holiday in the US which affects the DXY ( Dollar Index).I do not expect sharp moves heading into the NY session with majority of the big players waiting for tomorrow's financial readings so as to understand better the current economic health in the states.Today looks like a continuation of yesterday's trend with the dollar performing fairly good.
We are currently testing fresh lows in this pair which has been in a downtrend since turn of November.Looking to test the previous low which was broken @ 1.23200.Price currently at 1.22700 at time of writing.
After a stellar year for Gold with the precious metal gaining more than 5000 pips it's time for a fresh year.We have been ranging in the 2600-2700 region for the past one month and if prices are to react soon then we need to breakout of the orderblock above.Waiting for NFP data tomorrow to breakout and get fresh moves for the coming week.Price @ 2665 at time of writing...break above 2670 takes us to 2686.
DXY.GBPUSD.GOlD.Day 4 2025.No major news with today being a bank holiday in the US which affects the DXY ( Dollar Index).I do not expect sharp moves heading into the NY session with majority of the big players waiting for tomorrow's financial readings so as to understand better the current economic health in the states.Today looks like a continuation of yesterday's trend with the dollar performing fairly good.
We are currently testing fresh lows in this pair which has been in a downtrend since turn of November.Looking to test the previous low which was broken @ 1.23200.Price currently at 1.22700 at time of writing.
After a stellar year for Gold with the precious metal gaining more than 5000 pips it's time for a fresh year.We have been ranging in the 2600-2700 region for the past one month and if prices are to react soon then we need to breakout of the orderblock above.Waiting for NFP data tomorrow to breakout and get fresh moves for the coming week.Price @ 2665 at time of writing...break above 2670 takes us to 2686.
Technical Analysis and Trade Setup for GBPNZDThe forex pair GBPNZD is currently trading at a price of 2.2000, with a target price set at 2.3000, indicating a potential gain of 500+ pips. This suggests a bullish outlook for the pair, as it is expected to appreciate in value. The analysis highlights that the pair is showing a good bounce from a key support level, which often signals a reversal or continuation of an upward trend. However, the trader is exercising caution by waiting for confirmation before entering the trade. This confirmation could involve technical indicators, price action patterns, or fundamental factors aligning with the upward movement. Such an approach helps minimize risk and improve the probability of success. The trade setup relies on the strength of the support level and market sentiment favoring the pound over the kiwi. Proper risk management and adherence to a trading plan are essential when executing this strategy.
GBPUSD Is Very Bearish! Short!
Here is our detailed technical review for GBPUSD.
Time Frame: 5h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The price is testing a key resistance 1.244.
Taking into consideration the current market trend & overbought RSI, chances will be high to see a bearish movement to the downside at least to 1.237 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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GBPUSDHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on GBPUSD?
In the GBPUSD chart, it is observed that after breaking the support zone, the price is currently in a correction phase and pulling back towards the broken zone.
Considering the price structure and the descending trendline, it is expected that after reaching the identified resistance area, the price will resume its downward movement and target lower levels.
Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
GBPUSDHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on GBPUSD?
This currency pair has broken its long-term ascending trendline and is currently trading below a key resistance zone.
It is expected that after a pullback to the broken level, the price will drop at least to the identified target level.
Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
Fundamental Market Analysis for January 9, 2024 GBPUSDNo meaningful economic data from the UK, which is a recurring theme for the first full trading week of 2025. Cable traders will continue to be affected by flows in and out of the US Dollar in the broad market as traders prepare for a hectic end to the week. On Thursday, traders can expect a slew of speeches from Federal Reserve (Fed) policymakers as well as the Challenger jobs cut for December, which will be the final blow to preliminary Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data before Friday's big labor data release.
On Wednesday, ADP's Employment Change report pointed to a slower pace of hiring than expected in December, with a total of 122k jobs created compared to the expected 140k and November's 146k. In addition, ADP's payroll data showed the slowest growth since mid-2021.
On the same day, minutes from the Federal Reserve's most recent meeting showed that policymakers may be more concerned about President Donald Trump's proposed tariffs than previously thought. Over the past few weeks, Fed officials have downplayed the possible impact of immigration and trade policies on their decisions, but the latest policy meeting featured four discussions of significant changes to U.S. policy that could have a profound impact on central banks. In addition, Fed members agreed that it is time to slow the pace of rate cuts, emphasizing that policy uncertainty plays a critical role in lowering their expectations for fewer rate cuts in 2025 than the market had previously anticipated.
Trading recommendation: Trade predominantly with Sell orders from the current price level.
Fundamental Market Analysis for January 09, 2025 GBPUSDNo meaningful economic data from the UK, which is a recurring theme for the first full trading week of 2025. Cable traders will continue to be affected by flows in and out of the US Dollar in the broad market as traders prepare for a hectic end to the week. On Thursday, traders can expect a slew of speeches from Federal Reserve (Fed) policymakers as well as the Challenger jobs cut for December, which will be the final blow to preliminary Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data before Friday's big labor data release.
On Wednesday, ADP's Employment Change report pointed to a slower pace of hiring than expected in December, with a total of 122k jobs created compared to the expected 140k and November's 146k. In addition, ADP's payroll data showed the slowest growth since mid-2021.
On the same day, minutes from the Federal Reserve's most recent meeting showed that policymakers may be more concerned about President Donald Trump's proposed tariffs than previously thought. Over the past few weeks, Fed officials have downplayed the possible impact of immigration and trade policies on their decisions, but the latest policy meeting featured four discussions of significant changes to U.S. policy that could have a profound impact on central banks. In addition, Fed members agreed that it is time to slow the pace of rate cuts, emphasizing that policy uncertainty plays a critical role in lowering their expectations for fewer rate cuts in 2025 than the market had previously anticipated.
Trading recommendation: Trade predominantly with Sell orders from the current price level.
GBPUSD M15 | Bullish Bounce off?Based on the M15 chart analysis, we can see that the price has just bounced off our buy entry at 1.2356, which is an overlap support.
Our take profit will be at 1.2415, which is a pullback resistance that is close to a 38.2% Fibo retracement.
The stop loss will be placed at 1.2356, below a swing low support level.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
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Levels discussed on livestream 8th Jan 20258th January 2025
DXY: Consolidating just below 50% (108.70), stronger ADP, DXY break higher, to 109.20
NZDUSD: Sell 0.5620 SL 20 TP 30
AUDUSD: Look for reaction at 0.62 strong round number support
GBPUSD: Sell 1.2450 SL 25 TP 80
EURUSD: Sell 1.0320 SL 30 TP 60
USDJPY: Watching that 158 resistance level
EURJPY: Sell 162.95 SL 30 TP 60
GBPJPY: Sell 196.50 SL 30 TP 70
USDCHF: Buy 0.9120 SL 20 TP 50
USDCAD: Buy 1.4385 SL 20 TP 50
XAUUSD: Consolidating below 2655, potential break out to upside, to 2672
GBPUSD Buy to SellLooking to have GBPUSD head up to the ash zone before a sell...
Simply look for a confirmation or way to join the buy based on your style and strategy, then get a confirmation for sells at that zone above price currently.
Do ensure to follow your strategy if it tells you otherwise!