US Dollar Breakdown – Don’t Fight the FloodSince the start of the year, after forming a small double top around the 110 zone, the US Dollar Index (DXY) has followed only one direction: down.
So far, we’re seeing a decline that’s approaching 15%, with the index breaking multiple major support levels along the way. And judging by the current structure, there’s little reason to believe this trend will reverse any time soon.
________________________________________
🔍 Short-Term View – Flag Break, More Losses Ahead
Zooming in, we can observe that the last rally was purely corrective — a typical bear flag formation. That flag is now broken to the downside, which confirms renewed bearish pressure and suggests that further losses are likely even in the short term.
________________________________________
🎯 What’s Next?
The next major support zone sits around 95, a level that should act as a magnet if the current trend continues.
As long as price stays under 100 ZONE, the outlook remains bearish and the strategy should align with that bias.
________________________________________
✅ Strategy Going Forward
The safe and logical approach now is to buy dips on major USD pairs:
EURUSD, GBPUSD, AUDUSD, and NZDUSD
________________________________________
📌 Final Thought
The structure is clear, momentum favors the downside, and the market is offering clean setups across multiple USD pairs.
Don’t fight the trend — follow the flow. 🟢
GBPUSD
Bearish reversal off overlap resistance?The Cable (GBP/USD) is rising towards the pivot, which acts as an overlap resistance and could reverse to the 1st support.
Pivot: 1.3611
1st Support: 1.3469
1st Resistance: 1.3693
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
GBPUSD Q3 | D23 | W30 | Y25📊GBPUSD Q3 | D23 | W30 | Y25
Daily Forecast🔍📅
Here’s a short diagnosis of the current chart setup 🧠📈
Higher time frame order blocks have been identified — these are our patient points of interest 🎯🧭.
It’s crucial to wait for a confirmed break of structure 🧱✅ before forming a directional bias.
This keeps us disciplined and aligned with what price action is truly telling us.
📈 Risk Management Protocols
🔑 Core principles:
Max 1% risk per trade
Only execute at pre-identified levels
Use alerts, not emotion
Stick to your RR plan — minimum 1:2
🧠 You’re not paid for how many trades you take, you’re paid for how well you manage risk.
🧠 Weekly FRGNT Insight
"Trade what the market gives, not what your ego wants."
Stay mechanical. Stay focused. Let the probabilities work.
FRGNT
Bearish reversal off 50% Fibonacci resistance?GBP/USD is rising towards the resistance level which his a pullback resistance that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.3589
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.3673
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resstance.
Take profit: 1.3469
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
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Fundamental Market Analysis for July 23, 2025 GBPUSDSterling is struggling to hold above 1.35 as fundamentals tilt against it. US CPI has accelerated to 2.7 % y/y, reinforcing expectations that the Fed will delay its easing cycle, whereas in the UK subdued GDP growth and a cooling labour market have revived talk of a Bank of England rate cut as early as August.
Political noise adds to the pressure: London must balance the US’s hard‑line trade stance with the need to mend ties with the EU, heightening uncertainty for businesses. Meanwhile, capital is flowing toward higher‑yielding US Treasuries, sapping demand for UK assets.
The situation is compounded by Britain’s persistent current‑account deficit, which—amid a stronger dollar—requires ever‑higher risk premia to finance. All told, short positions in cable with a tight stop above 1.35750 look attractive in the short run.
Trade recommendation: SELL 1.35250, SL 1.35750, TP 1.34750
Every Like Is a Boost: This GBPUSD Analysis Is Just for You!Good morning, friends 🌞
Due to the recent shift in GBPUSD’s market structure, I plan to enter a buy position when price reaches the 1.34753 – 1.34623 range.
Target levels: 1.35721 and 1.35932 📈
Every like you send fuels my motivation to share fresh analyses. Thank you to everyone who’s supporting this journey ❤️
GBPUSD: Mid-Term Analysis💷
Everyone wants to catch the move, but the real edge comes from patience.
🛡️ The Situation:
GBPUSD has shown strength, but chasing here isn’t my game.
📍 The Plan:
According to orderflow, the next buying point is in the blue box I’ve marked.
That’s where I let the market come to me.
🔎 What I need to see there:
✅ Footprint absorption (clear buyers stepping in)
✅ CDV support or divergence
✅ Structure reclaim for clean confirmation
💡 Why it matters:
Anyone can hit buy, but buying at the right place with confirmation is how you stay in the game.
🎯 What’s next:
If price returns to the blue box and confirms, I will execute with clear risk.
If not, I’ll stay patient and let the market prove itself.
✅ Summary:
Let price come to your level, confirm, and then act decisively.
No chasing. No fear. Just clear, disciplined execution.
XAU/USD | Get Ready for Another Bullrun, $3500 is Coming!By analyzing the gold chart on the 4-hour timeframe, we can see that on Friday, the price finally closed at $3350. After the market opened today, we saw an initial correction down to $3339 (exactly as expected), followed by another strong bullish wave, pushing gold above $3400 just moments ago. If the price stabilizes below $3398 within the next 4 hours, I expect a potential rejection toward $3388 and $3377. However, if gold holds above $3400, the next target will be $3409. Key demand zones are $3365–$3375, and levels $3355, $3344, and $3336.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
GBPUSDHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on GBPUSD?
GBP/USD has broken support zone and its ascending trendline, indicating a shift in momentum.
The pair is currently in a pullback phase, retesting the broken support zone, which now acts as resistance.
Once the pullback is complete, we expect further downside toward the next identified support level.
As long as the price remains below the broken zone, the bearish outlook remains valid, and rallies may offer sell opportunities.
Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
GBPUSD - Looking To Sell Pullbacks In The Short TermH4 - Strong bearish move.
No opposite signs.
Currently it looks like a pullback is happening.
Expecting bearish continuation until the two Fibonacci resistance zones hold.
If you enjoy this idea, don’t forget to LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌, and COMMENT ✍! Drop your thoughts and charts below to keep the discussion going. Your support helps keep this content free and reach more people! 🚀
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EURUSD and GBPUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
Could the Cable bounce from here?The price is falling towards the pivot, which lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 1.3462
1st Support: 1.3402
1st Resistance: 1.3532
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
GBPUSD Short on PullbackGBPUSD has been trending down since the start of the July and we can look to get short on retests of the 1.3524-1.3539 area which has acted previously as support and hasn't been retested since we broke down
This area also ties in with the 38.2% retracement from the highs
Stops need to be above 1.3550
Targets can be initially to 1.3450-134.65 with potential to move back to 1.3368-1.3383 and maybe even lower
GBPUSD Short, 21 JulyShort-Term Bearish Bias Despite HTF OB
Even though we sit at a Daily Orderblock (Buy), LTF structure remains bearish, and price respects both D/4H EMA.
📉 Confluence:
Multiple Asia lows unfilled
Clear snap of recent lows
Gap on DXY still open
DXY lacks perfect structure but aligns with 4H EMA and gaps = possible short-term drop
On GU 15m Extreme OB in play
🎯 Entry: Waiting for 1m BOS to confirm sellers stepping in
🛡️ SL: Slight risk, can’t fully cover highs with a 10 pip stop
📌 TP: Focused on completing Asia lows with 1:3 RR target minimum
GBPUSD Will Go Down From Resistance! Short!
Here is our detailed technical review for GBPUSD.
Time Frame: 3h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 1.347.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 1.338 level soon.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
GBPUSD - Analysis with Order Blocks and Demand ZoneThe GBP/USD market currently shows an upward momentum with prices climbing from a Lower Time Frame (LTF) Demand Zone. Two significant Order Blocks are identified as potential areas for price reaction and entry points. The first Order Block near 1.34564 offers a risk-to-reward ratio of approximately 1.3, while the second, lower Order Block near 1.34350 provides a better risk-to-reward ratio of about 1.5.
Price action indicates a possible retracement to one of these Order Blocks before resuming the upward trend. The ultimate target levels for the bullish movement are marked around 1.35214 and 1.35297, which lie above a recent weak high.
This plan highlights a patient approach, suggesting waiting for price to reach these Order Blocks for optimal entry opportunities with clear risk management levels, aiming to capitalize on the continuation of the bullish trend from the strong LTF Demand Zone.
GBPUSD H1 I Bullish Reversal Based on the H1 chart analysis, the price is approaching our buy entry level at 1.3438, a pullback support that aligns with the 61.8% Fib retracement.
Our take profit is set at 1.3489, a pullback resistance.
The stop loss is placed at 1.3397, below the swing low support.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
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CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
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Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
GBPUSD Q3 | D22 | W30 | Y25📊GBPUSD Q3 | D22 | W30 | Y25
Daily Forecast Long 🔍📅
Here’s a short diagnosis of the current chart setup 🧠📈
Higher time frame order blocks have been identified — these are our patient points of interest 🎯🧭.
It’s crucial to wait for a confirmed break of structure 🧱✅ before forming a directional bias.
This keeps us disciplined and aligned with what price action is truly telling us.
📈 Risk Management Protocols
🔑 Core principles:
Max 1% risk per trade
Only execute at pre-identified levels
Use alerts, not emotion
Stick to your RR plan — minimum 1:2
🧠 You’re not paid for how many trades you take, you’re paid for how well you manage risk.
🧠 Weekly FRGNT Insight
"Trade what the market gives, not what your ego wants."
Stay mechanical. Stay focused. Let the probabilities work.
FRGNT
IB pattern after correction bellow the 50EMAThis market is in uptrend
it has been in a correction phase
it reached bellow the 50EMA and near the strong
daily support zone of 1.34000
then it formed a nice IB pattern
which is triggered after the breakout and close the
HH of the MB and above the 50EMA
so I opend at the end of day a buy order at the market
at 1.34909
SL 1.33500
TP 1.37500
so the RR=1:2
GBPUSD BUYGBP/USD trims some gains, back to the sub-1.3500 area
On Monday, GBP/USD recovered some of its recent losses and rose to multi-day highs over the 1.3500 yardstick, just to deflate a tad afterwards. The improving market sentiment makes it harder for the Greenback to find demand at the start of the week, allowing Cable to regain some lost balance.
GBP/USD pulled away from the 20-period Simple Moving Average (SMA) on the 4-hour chart after fluctuating at around that level earlier in the day and the Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator rose above 50, highlighting a loss of bearish momentum.
Looking north, the first resistance level could be spotted 1.3470 (Fibonacci 50% retracement, 50-period SMA) ahead of 1.3500 (static level, round level) and 1.3540 (Fibonacci 38.2% retracement). On the downside, support levels could be seen at 1.3400-1.3390 (round level, Fibonacci 61.8% retracement) and 1.3300 (Fibonacci 78.6% retracement).
SUPPORT 1.352
SUPPORT 1.355
SUPPORT 1.358
RESISTANCE 1.344
GBP_USD RESISTANCE AHEAD|SHORT|
✅GBP_USD has been growing recently
And the pair seems locally overbought
So as the pair is approaching
A horizontal resistance of 1.3520
Price decline is to be expected
SHORT🔥
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.