Eur/Usd sell setup update!!Good day traders, we back again we another beauty of a setup well Atleast I like to believe that😂.
Eur/Usd a set was posted here by me on TradingView before market opened on Monday and if you go look at that set up today’s move was seen before hand and now that price went higher, we can now expect to see price move lower for the rest of the week to our liquidity resting below(equal lows). On the 4 hour price just broke structure higher solidifying a low that we want to see get broken during today trading day.
As soon as price breaks structure lower on the LTF’s than we have a alert to enter our shorts, good luck and have a wonderful day✌️
My name is Teboho Matla but you don’t know me yet…
GBPUSD
GBPUSD(20250409)Today's AnalysisMarket news:
The U.S. Customs and Border Protection Agency reiterated that the specific tax rates for each country will be announced at 12:01 a.m. on April 9.
Technical analysis:
Today's buying and selling boundaries:
1.2764
Support and resistance levels:
1.2862
1.2825
1.2802
1.2726
1.2702
1.2666
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 1.2802, consider buying, the first target price is 1.2825
If the price breaks through 1.2764, consider selling, the first target price is 1.2726
GBPUSD I may have entered too early.. But im not backing out yet!
Observations from the Data
Trend Confirmation via Moving Averages: Several key moving averages and trend indicators (EMA at 1.30829, DEMA, HT Trendline at 1.31043, KAMA, Linear Regression) are positioned well above the current market level of 1.28234. This indicates that, on an hourly basis, the longer-term trend remains bearish.
Directional Indicators: The directional movement figures are very telling. With PLUS_DI at about 4.97 and MINUS_DI at around 31.38, sellers clearly dominate the market. A low DI(+) against a high DI(–) reinforces that the overall bias is to the downside.
Momentum & Oscillators:
The RSI is extremely low at ~15, indicating an oversold condition. In isolation, this might hint at a potential short-term bounce.
However, other momentum indicators, such as the Chande Momentum Oscillator (-70.09) and a slightly negative MACD (-0.00185), suggest that the underlying bearish momentum has been strong.
Oscillators like Williams %R (at -89.21) further underscore that the market is deep into oversold territory.
Volatility Metrics: An ATR of 0.0043 and relatively low standard deviation indicate modest volatility, meaning your stop-loss and target levels can be measured with reasonable precision.
Context and Rationale
Overall Trend: The majority of your trend-following indicators (e.g., EMA, DEMA, HT Trendline, KAMA) are positioned higher, confirming a prevailing bearish bias. Even though the RSI shows an extreme oversold reading (around 15), in a strong downtrend like this, oversold conditions can simply trigger a temporary bounce rather than a reversal. My sell entry at 1.27752 aligns with staying in the trend.
Directional Pressure: With the MINUS_DI (31.38) greatly outweighing the PLUS_DI (4.97), the directional movement clearly favors sellers. My entry at 1.27752 positions me within this selling pressure, assuming the bounce to fail and the downtrend to resume.
Entry Timing: Instead of waiting for a higher bounce ideal for a pullback short, my entry at 1.27752 suggests that I chose to capture a move early in the downswing or perhaps because price action broke a key support level. This could be advantageous if momentum continues as anticipated.
Why This Trade Setup Works
Alignment with Trend: Maintaining a sell position aligns with the overall bearish structure indicated by your moving averages and directional indicators.
Captchaing a Bounce Rejection: Even if a short-term bounce occurs from oversold conditions, your entry near 1.27752 could capture the early phase of a bearish continuation provided that the rally fails to sustain.
Confluence of Technical Signals: The combination of oversold conditions (which in a downtrend often predict a short-lived bounce) and the strong directional indication from MINUS_DI and related momentum oscillators creates a setup where a rejection of a minor recovery can lead to further downside moves.
GBPUSD H1 | Bullish Bounce OffBased on the H1 chart analysis, the price is falling toward our buy entry level at 1.2790, a pullback support.
Our take profit is set at 1.2924, an overlap resistance.
The stop loss is placed at 1.2707, a swing low support.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Bearish reversal off pullback resistance?The Cable (GBP/USD) is rising towards the pivot which lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse to the 1st support which has been identified as a pullback support.
Pivot: 1.2890
1st Support: 1.2693
1st Resistance: 1.3006
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Explosive Breakout Setting Up on GBP/USD – Here's the Roadmap🔥 GBP/USD Technical Analysis – 4H Timeframe | Market Poised for Breakout or Breakdown?
Key Support: 1.26888
Key Resistance: 1.28829
Market Structure: Consolidation with bullish undertones
Bias: Neutral-to-bullish (pending confirmation)
🧠 Market Overview:
The GBP/USD pair is currently consolidating within a well-defined horizontal channel on the 4-hour chart, oscillating between 1.26888 (major support) and 1.28829 (key resistance). This prolonged range-bound behavior reflects a market in balance, where buyers and sellers are cautiously awaiting a catalyst to drive the next impulsive move.
The price action suggests that this consolidation phase may be coming to an end soon. A breakout or breakdown from this tight range is likely to set the tone for the next major trend. Market participants should be alert to early breakout signals and volume surges as confirmation triggers.
📊 Price Structure and Key Observations:
The market has printed a series of higher lows within the consolidation range, indicating a subtle bullish pressure beneath the surface.
Price is hovering near the mid-range zone, consolidating after multiple failed breakout attempts at 1.28829.
A squeeze in volatility is evident from narrowing candlesticks and declining ATR, often preceding explosive directional moves.
🔍 Technical Indicators Breakdown:
✅ RSI (14):
Currently trading around the neutral zone at 50, showing no clear directional bias. However, higher lows on RSI suggest potential bullish divergence forming, which could be an early signal of upward momentum building up.
✅ MACD:
A recent bullish crossover below the zero line indicates potential for a shift in momentum. Histogram bars are starting to turn positive, supporting a near-term bullish scenario if price confirms with a breakout.
✅ Moving Averages:
Price is trading above the 50-period SMA, which has acted as dynamic support on several occasions.
The 200-period SMA remains below current price levels, indicating a medium-term bullish structure remains intact unless support is broken decisively.
🔮 Potential Scenarios:
✅ Bullish Breakout Scenario:
If price breaks and closes above 1.28829 on strong bullish volume, it would represent a major breakout from the current range. This could open the door for a new impulsive leg to the upside.
Upside Targets:
🎯 1.29650 – Short-term resistance level from previous highs
🎯 1.30300 – Psychological round number and previous supply zone
🎯 1.31000 – Extended target aligned with Fibonacci 1.618 projection
Confirmation Factors:
Break + retest of 1.28829 as new support
RSI holding above 60
MACD expanding positively
❌ Bearish Rejection / Breakdown Scenario:
Should the pair fail to break above 1.28829 and print a strong bearish rejection candle (e.g., Shooting Star, Bearish Engulfing), the pair could retest the lower support of 1.26888.
A clean break below 1.26888 with a decisive bearish close could signal a trend reversal, shifting sentiment toward the downside.
Downside Targets:
📉 1.26000 – Near-term psychological support
📉 1.25200 – Previous demand area and key fib level (61.8%)
📉 1.24400 – Long-term trendline support (if applicable)
⚙️ Trade Strategy & Risk Management:
Breakout Traders: Wait for a confirmed candle close outside the range (either above 1.28829 or below 1.26888) before entering. Avoid false breakouts by validating with volume and momentum indicators.
Range Traders: Continue fading the range boundaries (buy near 1.26888, sell near 1.28829) while the channel remains intact. Use tight stop-losses just beyond the range to mitigate whipsaw risks.
Swing Traders: A successful breakout presents excellent risk-reward setups for multi-day trades, especially if accompanied by high volatility and news catalysts (e.g., NFP, BoE/Fed announcements).
🧭 Conclusion:
The GBP/USD pair is coiling tightly within a critical decision zone between 1.26888 and 1.28829. The tightening price structure, supportive indicators, and market indecision suggest that a major breakout is imminent.
Whether bulls take control or bears force a breakdown will largely depend on macroeconomic catalysts and institutional order flow. Traders are advised to stay patient, let the market reveal its hand, and execute only on high-probability setups with clear confirmations.
This is not the time to chase the market—this is the time to prepare for the move.
💬 Let me know in the comments how you're positioning yourself on GBP/USD this week!
🔔 Follow for more real-time setups, macro breakdowns, and professional market insights.
📈 Stay sharp, stay technical.
Would you like me to generate a matching TradingView chart snapshot with drawn zones and notes to go with this analysis for posting?
GBP-USD Strong Breakout! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
GBP-USD made a bearish
Breakout of the key wide horizontal
Level of 1.2851 then made a
Pullback so we are bearish
Biased and a further bearish
Continuation is to be expected
Sell!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Nas100 continuation lower?Good evening traders, I am busy with my market recap and I saw this beautiful idea on nas100/US100 or whatever name your broker uses.
Indices have been pretty bearish from our understanding as we saw price crush, well my thought process when analysing chart is question based, question like did price move above our weekly opening price to give us our manipulation phase in the power of 3, and in this case or in the case of this analysis the answer is yes it moved higher following this week’s open. Today in the 1 hour TF we have a structure shift lower and before we can do anything we need to see price come higher to Atleast the FVG that is marked on the chart, I know ICT teaches deeper about FVG but for me it’s fine for price to completely cover it. Or if maybe the OTE(optimal trade entry) is the method you use to enter trades it’s still fine or even order blocks if maybe you can see any than it’s also completely fine.
Currently price is showing momentum lower and maybe it’ll close prices lower but if we close the daily candle above the midpoint of the weekly gap we can expect price go than trigger the limit.
GBPUSD Watch – Bearish Momentum Building Below Supply ZoneGBPUSD pair has broken sharply below the long-standing accumulation range between 1.2857 – 1.3012, signaling a shift in market sentiment. The recent bearish engulfing structure has pushed price into a corrective pullback phase, with sellers likely to re-enter on rallies.
Key Technical Levels:
Current Price: 1.2795
Resistance (Supply Zone): 1.2857 – 1.2863
First Support Target: 1.2688 – 1.2690
Mid-Level Target: 1.2568 – 1.2570
Final Bearish Target: 1.2383 – 1.2390 (demand zone & key support)
Trade Scenario:
📉 Bearish Bias:
Price is expected to retrace into the supply zone (1.2857–1.2863) and then reject.
If resistance holds and structure remains intact, expect continuation toward:
TP1: 1.2689
TP2: 1.2568
TP3: 1.2385
🔁 Invalidation Zone:
A sustained break and close above 1.2863 would invalidate the bearish setup and could trigger a move toward 1.3012.
Technical Confluence:
✅ Previous consolidation turned into a strong resistance zone
✅ Bearish breakout from range
✅ Clean lower highs and lower lows structure
✅ Volume drop on the pullback (likely a corrective move)
GBP/USD possible bear set up/sell offAscending wedge channel 70% of bear breakout. We have 3 HHs printed with a possible 4th. We are currently in a strong bear trend. So trading with the trend here. Biggest target is a daily target. If a certain support level breaks on the daily I will target the wedge channel fill from the daily.
Heading into pullback resistance?GBP/USD is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that is slightly below the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.2876
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that is slightly below the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.2967
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 1.2714
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Lets Talk about GBPUSD..Trade Setup: Short GBP/USD
Entry: Sell now!
Stop Loss: Place your stop just above the recent intraday swing high. A level around 1.2790 offers a buffer in case of whipsaw moves.
Take Profit: With the risk defined by the difference between 1.2790 and your entry near 1.2725 (approximately 0.0065, or 65 pips), aiming for a reward roughly twice that size can be attractive. Setting a target near 1.2580 gives you a risk/reward ratio around 1:2.2. This level is in the vicinity of prior support from the day’s price action.
Rationale
Technical Overbought Signals: The elevated RSI, Stochastic, CCI, and Ultimate Oscillator values suggest that buyers might be exhausted and a pullback is due. With oscillators teetering in the overbought zone, the market’s momentum appears at risk of reversing.
Directional Indicators: The fact that the minus DI is significantly higher than the plus DI indicates that downward pressure is gaining strength, even though the ADX (≈21.65) and ADXR (≈23.32) hint that the trend isn’t yet fully solidified. This sets the stage for a potential reversal from an overextended area.
Price Action & Key Levels: Today’s price action has been squeezed into a narrow range with support clustered around 1.272–1.273 (supported by DEMA and SAR levels). A confirmed break below this zone would likely trigger further selling into established support areas.
Fundamental Surprises: With the mix of U.S. and U.K. fundamentals on the horizon this week, be mindful of possible volatility. If, for example, UK data comes in stronger than expected, it might buoy the GBP despite the technical caution—at which point you might re-assess or even consider a counter-trend long if the pullback reverses.
AUDCAD…When is enough, enough?!Good day traders, we back with another beautiful idea on AUDCAD but here we not focusing on buying and selling but rather to test a study I’m currently busy with, well in a nutshell I’m studying inside day candle stick pattern, currently on the 4hour TF we have a big bearish candle followed by a lot of small bullish candle sticks but all that trading is happening inside that one big 4 hour candle.
How I like to interpret this pattern in my years of back testing this pattern(still am)😂 inside day candles can be used as both a continuation or a reversal pattern but but depending on the market structure!! What price is doing currently on the 1hr TF I like to explain it to my friends as a beautiful lady who only wants your money 😂😂 because price is making traders believe that the reversal has started but truth is price is still gonna move lower the the liquidity resting below before moving higher to reverse the big move we saw last week and beginning of this current week.
We can expect price to take to low of Monday than shift structure higher to confirm our bias that price will reverse. Remember we study price and time not technical analysis.
GBPUSD Is Very Bearish! Short!
Here is our detailed technical review for GBPUSD.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a significant resistance area 1.277.
Due to the fact that we see a positive bearish reaction from the underlined area, I strongly believe that sellers will manage to push the price all the way down to 1.256 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
This GBP/USD Move Will Catch Most Traders Off GuardGBP/USD has been in a strong uptrend over the past few weeks, with consistent bullish momentum. However, last week we saw the pair move into a period of range-bound consolidation—that is, until geopolitical headlines shook things up.
Following the news of Trump’s tariff announcements, the pair initially spiked aggressively to the upside, only to see a sharp 500-pip drop the next day. While this move might seem like a reversal at first glance, I believe it's a healthy pullback within a broader bullish trend.
Here’s why:
✅ The recent decline cleared out late buyers, creating a potential liquidity zone for institutions.
✅ Prior to the drop, the market took out sell-side liquidity from the range, then quickly reversed — a classic "grab and go" move.
✅ Structure remains intact to the upside, and I believe this pullback presents a high-probability buying opportunity.
📈 I’m expecting GBP/USD to retest and likely break last week’s high, with potential for another 500+ pip move to the upside in the coming sessions.
🛑 As always, manage risk carefully—nothing moves in a straight line, and fundamentals remain a factor.
If you found this insight helpful, give it a boost! 🔥
GBP Falls as Trade Tensions Fuel RecessionThe British pound fell to $1.28, its lowest since March 4, as Trump’s trade policies fueled recession fears. After China imposed 34% tariffs on U.S. goods, markets raised BoE rate cut bets. Traders now price in 88 bps of cuts by December, up from 43 bps in March, with a 90% chance of a 25bps cut in May.
If GBP/USD breaks above 1.2850, resistance levels are at 1.2900 and 1.2940. Support is at 1.2715, followed by 1.2650 and 1.2600.
GBP/USD 2 Best Scenarios For Me To Get 250 Pips ! Here is my opinion on GBP/USD , If we checked the dxy we will see that the price making a good waves at te moment so i`m looking to sell GBP/USD If the price go back a little and give me a good bearish Price Action to can enter a sell trade , highest place will be the best place for me cuz it will be safe and sl will be small , but if the price hit the second place and give me a good bearish price action i will enter a sell trade with smal lotsize and targeting 250 Pips .
This Is An Educational + Analytic Content That Will Teach Why And How To Enter A Trade
Make Sure You Watch The Price Action Closely In Each Analysis As This Is A Very Important Part Of Our Method
Disclaimer : This Analysis Can Change At Anytime Without Notice And It Is Only For The Purpose Of Assisting Traders To Make Independent Investments Decisions.
GOLD H2 Outlook: Correction in progress 2900 USD in sight🏆 Gold Market Update (April 8th, 2025)
📊 Technical Outlook Update
▪️5 wave impulse completed
▪️Correction as expected previously
▪️currently trading at 3 000 usd
▪️Profit taking in progress now
▪️Price Target BEARS 2850/2900 USD
▪️Strategy: SHORT SELL rips/rallies
▪️target is 2900 USD
📢 Gold Market Update – April 2025
📈 Gold hits all-time high above $3,100/oz
🚀 Surge driven by Trump’s new global tariffs and rising trade war fears
🌍 Investors seek safety amid geopolitical uncertainty
📉 Pullback follows rally
💸 Sharp drop due to profit-taking and risk sentiment rebound
🔁 Analysts remain bullish as Fed rate cuts and tensions linger
🏦 Central banks keep buying
🛡️ China & others increasing gold reserves to hedge inflation & currency risks
GBPUSD: Pullback From Support 🇬🇧🇺🇸
GBPUSD is likely to pull back from a key daily support.
I see a strong bullish pattern on an hourly time frame -
a double bottom formation.
Goal - 1.2825
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
GBPUSD(20250408)Today's AnalysisToday's buying and selling boundaries:
1.2787
Support and resistance levels:
1.3011
1.2927
1.2873
1.2701
1.2647
1.2564
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 1.2787, consider buying, the first target price is 1.2873
If the price breaks through 1.2701, consider selling, the first target price is 1.2647