price action has been steadily climbing, indicating that bulls!GBP/USD Technical Analysi s – Bullish Momentum Building
The GBP/USD pair is currently showing signs of bullish strength, having recently rebounded from a 1-hour Bullish Fair Value Gap (FVG), which has acted as a strong support zone. This technical reaction suggests increased buying interest and provides a short-term bullish bias in the market.
Following the rejection from the FVG, price action has been steadily climbing, indicating that bulls are gaining control. Market structure on the 1-hour timeframe remains intact with higher highs and higher lows, further supporting the bullish narrative. Additionally, volume analysis and momentum indicators are beginning to align with the current upward move, suggesting that there may be room for continuation.
However, to confirm sustained bullish momentum, it is essential to monitor key resistance levels ahead. The next immediate resistance lies near , which has historically acted as a decision point for the market. A clean breakout and close above this level on increased volume would serve as strong confirmation for a further upside move, potentially targeting .
Conversely, traders should remain cautious of any signs of weakness or bearish divergence forming near resistance areas. Should the pair fail to break higher and instead reverse, a revisit of the bullish FVG could occur, potentially offering another entry opportunity for buyers.
In summary, the GBP/USD pair is displaying bullish intent in the short term, but confirmation from higher timeframes and key levels will be critical before committing to a directional bias. Maintain a balanced outlook and adapt to the evolving price action.
GBPUSD
British Pound resumes rally as retail sales jumpThe British pound has posted gains on Friday. In the European session, GBP/USD is trading at 1.3484, up 0.49% on the day. The pound has gained 1.5% this week and is trading at levels not seen since Feb. 2022.
The markets were expecting a banner reading from April retail sales but the actual numbers crushed the forecast. Annual retail sales surged 5%, up from a downwardly revised 1.9% and above the market estimate of 4.5%. This marked the fastest pace of growth since Feb. 2022.
Monthly, retail sales climbed 1.2%, up from a downwardly revised 0.3% in March and blowing past the market estimate of 0.2%. The surge was driven by sharp gains in food store sales and department stores, as favorable weather brought out consumers.
The UK economy has been struggling and strong consumer spending has been a bright spot. Monthly retail sales have now increased for four straight months, which last occurred in 2020.
The UK consumer spending more and is showing more optimism. The GfK consumer confidence index for May improved to -20 from -23 and beat the market estimate of -22. The improvement is likely a result of the de-escalation in global trade tensions as well as the Bank of England rate cut in early May.
The impressive retail sales report, together with higher-than-expected inflation in April will raise expectations for the BoE to hold rates at its next meeting on June 18.
There are no key US releases today but we'll hear from three FOMC members. There has been plenty of Fedspeak this week, with a message that the US tariffs will take a toll on the US economy, even with the temporary deal with China, and that the Fed favors a wait-and-see stance before further rate cuts.
GBP/USD has broken above several resistance lines and is putting pressure in resistance at 1.3493.
There is support at 1.3393 and 1.3367
GBPUSD: The Next Historic Resistances 🇬🇧🇺🇸
GBPUSD keeps rising.
Here are the next historic resistance that the price
may head towards.
Resistance 1: 1.359 - 1.365 area
Resistance 2: 1.375 - 1.383 area
Resistance 3: 1.390 - 1.400 area
Resistance 4: 1.419 - 1.425 area
Resistance 1 is most likely going to be the next goal for the bulls for now.
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GBPUSD Will Go Up! Buy!
Please, check our technical outlook for GBPUSD.
Time Frame: 4h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The price is testing a key support 1.341.
Current market trend & oversold RSI makes me think that buyers will push the price. I will anticipate a bullish movement at least to 1.350 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
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GBP/USD Firms as UK Data Performs WellGBP/USD edged up by 0.25% in Friday’s Asian session, nearing 1.3450, after upbeat UK retail sales and consumer confidence data lifted sentiment. The GfK index rose to -20 in May, beating forecasts, while April retail sales surprised to the upside.
However, PMI data showed divergence as manufacturing fell to 45.1 (vs. 46.0 expected), while services ticked up to 50.2 from 49.0.
The pound also benefited from a weaker U.S. dollar as Treasury yields retreated from 19-month highs. Trump’s budget bill, which includes tax breaks on tips and U.S.-made car loans, passed narrowly and is projected to add $3.8 billion to the deficit.
Resistance is at 1.3470, followed by 1.3550 and 1.3700. Key support lies at 1.3250, then 1.3150 and 1.3000.
IS THE BULLISH CHANNEL NEARING EXHAUSTION OR JUST GEARING UP?GBPUSD OUTLOOK – IS THE BULLISH CHANNEL NEARING EXHAUSTION OR JUST GEARING UP?
📊 Macro Overview:
The USD continues to soften slightly as markets begin pricing in a potential rate cut by the Fed later in Q3. Meanwhile, the British Pound (GBP) is holding firm, supported by stronger-than-expected UK macroeconomic data—particularly retail sales and inflation figures.
However, UK fiscal concerns remain a headwind, and GBPUSD is highly sensitive to upcoming U.S. data—especially Core PCE and employment figures this week.
📉 Technical Analysis:
On the 1H chart, GBPUSD is moving within a broad ascending channel and is now approaching the upper resistance trendline at 1.3555 – a key zone that could trigger short-term profit-taking.
EMAs 13 and 34 are still in bullish alignment, supporting ongoing momentum.
Despite the bullish setup, current candle structure suggests a potential pullback to the 1.3448 support zone before a continuation higher—if buyers regain control.
🔑 Key Price Levels:
Resistance Zones:
🔸 1.3555 – Channel top resistance
🔸 1.3586 – Extended resistance zone
Support Zones:
🔹 1.3448 – Technical and Fibo confluence
🔹 1.3398 – Major structure support in case of breakdown
🛠️ Trade Scenarios:
✅ Scenario 1: BUY on retracement
Entry: 1.3448 (watch for bullish confirmation on H1)
Stop Loss: 1.3394
Take Profit: 1.3500 → 1.3555 → 1.3585
✅ Scenario 2: SELL scalp from resistance
Entry: 1.3555
Stop Loss: 1.3588
Take Profit: 1.3500 → 1.3460
🧠 Final Thoughts:
GBPUSD remains bullish in structure but is testing key resistance levels. A clean pullback to the 1.3448 region may provide a strong buying opportunity if confirmed by price action. If this level breaks, bearish divergence could kick in and push the pair back to deeper support zones. Stay alert for high-impact economic releases and trade with solid risk management!
GBP/USD - Triangle Breakout (23.05.2025)The GBP/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Triangle Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours.
Possible Long Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Resistance – 1.3502
2nd Resistance – 1.3534
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GBPUSD – False Breakout Alert at Channel TopOn the D1 timeframe, GBPUSD continues to maintain a clear bullish structure within an ascending price channel, with steadily rising highs and lows.
Currently, price is approaching the resistance zone near 1.35919 — which is the upper boundary of the channel and also a zone that previously saw strong reactions. As illustrated in the chart, a likely scenario is a false breakout above this zone, followed by a pullback towards the support area at 1.33270–1.32500 to retest the EMA34 region.
If this support holds, price could bounce back in line with the upward channel structure, opening the door to the next target zone.
GBPUSD INTRADAY bullish breakoutThe GBP/USD pair continues to exhibit a bullish longer-term trend, underpinned by a series of higher highs and higher lows. However, recent price action shows consolidation within a sideways trading range, suggesting a pause or potential accumulation before the next directional move.
The key technical level to monitor is 1.3400, which aligns with a prior consolidation zone and serves as a critical support area. A corrective pullback towards this level could present a buying opportunity, particularly if price action forms a bullish reversal pattern around this zone. A successful rebound from 1.3400 would likely target resistance levels at 1.3470, followed by 1.3500 and 1.3550 on a longer-term basis.
Conversely, a daily close below 1.3400 would invalidate the current bullish bias and suggest a shift in sentiment. This scenario opens the door for further downside towards the next support at 1.3370, with extended losses potentially reaching 1.3340.
Conclusion:
While the broader trend remains bullish, GBP/USD is currently range-bound. Traders should watch for a reaction around the 1.3400 level. A bounce would reinforce bullish momentum towards 1.3470 and beyond, whereas a confirmed break below this level would signal further weakness and a possible trend shift in the near term.
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GU-Fri-23/05/25 TDA-Bullish closures, Breakout buy is on!Analysis done directly on the chart
Follow for more, possible live updates!
Plan, wait, execute.
It's easy to write, but difficult to do.
It requires surely experience, just put in
the work, track your progress and don't
give up.
Not financial advice, DYOR.
Market Flow Strategy
Mister Y
Bullish bounce off pullback support?The Cable (GBP/USD) has bounced off the pivot and could rise to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 1.3395
1st Support: 1.3317
1st Resistance: 1.3565
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GBPUSD at Major Resistance: Will it Drop To 1.33350?FX:GBPUSD is approaching a key resistance level that previously acted as a strong barrier, triggering some significant bearish momentum. This area could be a potential point of interest for those looking for short-selling opportunities. Given its historical importance, how price reacts here could set the tone for the next move.
If bearish signals appear, such as rejection wicks, bearish candlestick patterns, or signs of weakening bullish pressure, I anticipate a move toward the 1.33350 level, which is a reasonable target in this setup. However, a clear breakout above this resistance could challenge the bearish outlook and suggest further upside. This is a key area where price action is likely to provide clearer clues about the next direction.
Just my perspective on support and resistance zones, not financial advice. Always confirm your setup and trade with proper risk management.
Bearish drop?GBP/USD has rejected off the resistance level which is a pullback resistance and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.3442
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Stop loss: 1.3505
Why we like it:
There is a resistance level at the 138.2% Fibonacci extension.
Take profit: 1.3318
Why we like it:
There is a support level that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
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GBPUSD: MACD Cross confirms more upsideGBPUSD is bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 59.696, MACD = 0.006, ADX = 36.278) as it's been inside a Channel Up since the start of the year (January 13th 2025 low). At the moment the 1D MA50 is holding and provides the short term support. The 1D MACD just formed a Bullish Cross, validating the new bullish wave. We are bullish, aiming for another +3.63% HH rise (TP = 1.3600).
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British PMIs accelerate, retail sales nextIt has been a good week for the British pound, which has gained 1% against the dollar and climbed to levels not seen since Feb. 2022. The pound has rallied for three straight days but is almost unchanged on Thursday, trading at 1.3425 in the North American session.
The UK economy has been struggling but don't blame consumers for not spending. Retail sales for April will be released on Friday and the markets are expecting a massive gain of 4.5% y/y. This follows a 2.6% gain in March which was a three-month high. Monthly, retail sales is expected to ease to 0.2% from 0.4%.
UK PMIs showed improvement in May after downward revisions in April. Services PMI rose to 52.3, up from a revised 50.8 in March and above the market estimate of 50.8. The Manufacturing PMI also improved to 52.3, up from a revised 50.2 and above the market estimate of 49.9. This indicates slight growth in business activity and manufacturing.
UK inflation for April was higher than expected, disappointing the Bank of England which wants to deliver additional rate cuts in order to boost the flagging economy. The BoE lowered rates in April by a quarter-point to 4.25% but a June cut is very unlikely after the hot inflation report.
GBP/USD is testing resistance at 1.3429. Above, there is resistance at 1.3429
1.3410 and 1.3394 are the next support levels
GBPUSD Short-Term Top Forming Target 1.3360GBPUSD has bounced slightly, but the structure remains heavy and indecisive. However, EURUSD and Gold 4H charts are starting to break down clearly.
EURUSD is dragging lower step by step.
Gold broke a key support zone.
Both are signaling that USD strength is returning — and GBPUSD is likely to follow.
🔍 Technical View
Price rejected from the 1.3465–1.3470 zone (FOMC CPI high)
Lower highs building on the 1H and 4H timeframes
Trading below the 50% retracement of the recent CPI rally
🧠 Key Observation
“A sharp drop on EURUSD from current price will confirm a top is in place on GBPUSD.”
If EURUSD breaks 1.1270 decisively, expect GBPUSD to follow with increased momentum.
🔽 Trade Bias
Bearish below 1.3435
Targets:
1.3360 (first fib cluster + liquidity pocket)
1.3330 (full wave completion)
Invalidation: Clear close above 1.3470
⚠️ Watch for:
U.S. PMI revisions or FOMC speakers to fuel USD move
GBP Retail Sales data tomorrow — potential catalyst
breaking above its previous swing high.GBP/USD Technical – Break of Structure, Liquidity Sweep, and Potential Downside Movement
The GBP/USD currency pair recently demonstrated significant bullish strength by breaking above its previous swing high, which resulted in a clear Break of Structure (BOS). This move indicated a continuation of the upward trend as the market pushed higher. However, the latest price action suggests a shift in sentiment that traders should be aware of.
Despite the earlier bullish momentum, the market has now swept the previous daily swing high—meaning it briefly moved above that level only to close back below it. This kind of price behavior often signals a potential liquidity grab rather than a sustained breakout. Such a move is frequently followed by a reversal or corrective move to the downside, as it indicates that institutional participants may have been targeting stop-losses or resting liquidity before driving the price in the opposite direction.
Given this, there is a growing possibility that the market may retrace further downward. A likely target could be the previously marked swing low, where additional liquidity may be resting. Moreover, beneath this level lies a Bullish Price Rebalance (BPR) zone, which could serve as an area of interest for a potential bullish reaction if the market taps into it.
At this stage, it's crucial to monitor price action closely and wait for further confirmations before taking any directional bias. Watching how the market behaves near the previous swing low and the underlying BPR zone can offer valuable insight into the next probable move.
As always, conduct your own thorough research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions. This is not financial advice and is intended solely for educational and analytical purposes.
Sterling Extends Rally Amid U.S. Fiscal ConcernsGBP/USD extended its gains for a fourth consecutive session, trading near 1.3430 during Thursday’s Asian session. The pair’s upward movement is largely supported by continued weakness in the U.S. Dollar, following Moody’s downgrade of the U.S. credit rating from Aaa to Aa1, in line with earlier downgrades by Fitch in 2023 and S&P in 2011.
Moody’s cited projections that U.S. federal debt could surge to 134% of GDP by 2035, up from 98% in 2023, with the budget deficit potentially widening to nearly 9% of GDP. Key concerns include rising interest payments, growing social expenditures, and weakening tax revenues.
The first critical support for GBP/USD is seen at 1.3450 and the first resistance is located at 1.3250.
USDJPY BULLISH OR BEARISH DETAILED ANALYSISUSDJPY is trading around the 143.00 level, and we’re now closely eyeing a potential breakdown. After a prolonged uptrend driven by policy divergence between the Fed and the BoJ, the pair appears to be losing bullish momentum. Structurally, the pair has formed a lower high, and sellers are starting to step in near resistance. A clean break below the 142.00–141.50 zone could open the path toward my downside target at 135.00.
On the fundamental side, recent data suggests a shift in sentiment. The US dollar is under pressure as markets increasingly price in a Fed pause or even rate cuts by the end of the year, following soft retail sales and labor market figures. Meanwhile, the Japanese yen is gaining ground amid rising speculation that the Bank of Japan could adjust its ultra-loose policy sooner than expected. The BoJ’s recent bond purchase tapering and Governor Ueda's hints at tightening are starting to shift market flows back toward the yen.
Technically, USDJPY is at a critical juncture. The pair is testing a key trendline support that has held for months, but price action is showing signs of exhaustion. Volume is thinning on the rallies, and bearish divergence is visible on multiple indicators, including RSI and MACD. If the pair breaks below the current structure, we could see accelerated downside action toward the 135.00 target, which aligns with previous consolidation zones and fib retracement levels.
This setup offers a strong short opportunity with clear invalidation and solid risk-to-reward potential. The macro narrative is shifting in favor of the yen, and technicals are lining up with this view. I’ll be watching the coming sessions for confirmation of breakdown and potential entries. This could be the start of a broader correction after a strong bullish cycle.
GU-Thu-22/05/25 TDA-Strong resistance DR 1.34325!Analysis done directly on the chart
Follow for more, possible live update!
The daily resistance 1.34325 has been tested as
a strong resistance, price could possibly start to
fail and create a possibility for reversal setups.
On the other hand, with more bullish structure and
bullish closures we'll likely to continue higher towards
1.35000 and more.
Not financial advice, DYOR.
Market Flow Strategy
Mister Y
EURUSD BULLISH OR BEARISH DETAILED ANALYSISEURUSD has followed our expectations beautifully, bouncing strongly off a key support zone near 1.1270. This zone was previously a tough resistance which the pair broke through, and it’s now acting as a strong demand area. The latest bullish engulfing candle from this region signals solid buying pressure, confirming that bulls are stepping in to protect this structure. I’m now targeting a move toward the 1.17 level, which aligns with the previous high and the next major resistance on the chart.
From a macro perspective, the euro is showing resilience amid recent ECB policy comments, where officials have adopted a cautious but steady tone. Inflation remains persistent enough to delay aggressive rate cuts, keeping EUR demand intact. Meanwhile, the dollar is seeing renewed selling interest as market expectations shift toward a Fed pause, especially after softer US economic indicators including retail sales and jobless claims. This divergence is likely to support further upside in EURUSD.
Technically, this is a classic textbook retest of broken resistance turned support, backed by momentum indicators such as RSI now bouncing from mid-range and MACD showing signs of a potential bullish crossover. Volume has spiked at the support zone, confirming institutional participation. As long as EURUSD holds above 1.1270, I remain bullish and see this move extending toward 1.17 over the coming sessions.
This setup presents a strong risk-to-reward opportunity with momentum aligning with structure. The breakout and retest scenario is fully intact, and fundamentals are now favoring a continuation to the upside. Traders and swing holders should keep this on their radar as EURUSD looks ready to climb further.
ARE SHORTS STILL ON? YES. GBPUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W21 D22 Y25GBPUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W21 D22 Y25
ARE SHORTS STILL ON? YES. GBPUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W21 D22 Y25
BEST PRICE TO SHORT GBPUSD...BUT BE CAREFUL, AWAIT BREAKS OF STRUCTURE TO CONFIRM BEARISH INTENT
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today!
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅Weekly order block rejection
✅Daily order block rejection
✅Intraday 15' order blocks
✅Tokyo ranges to be filled
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X