Mid-Week FOREX Forecast: Will The USD Remain Weak?In this video, we will update Sunday's forecasts mid-week, and look for valid setup for the rest of the week ahead. The following FX markets will be analyzed:
In this video, we will analyze the following FX Majors markets:
USD Index
EUR
GBP
AUD
NZD
CAD
CHF
JPY
The expected short term bearishness in the USD came, but will it continue for the rest of the week? Wait patiently for the market to tip its hand, and trade accordingly. Have a plan in place if the protected low at 99.172 holds or folds.
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I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
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GBPUSD
CADCHF update!!Good day traders, I’m back with yet another update on CadChf and if I can remember well I mentioned the first time I posted this setup that this one is special because it offer us opportunities to learn and get to see if what ICT(Micheal.J) says about his concepts true or not, for me they work!!
The first setup I posted here and the second one will both be tagged in the description below just to support my ideology and how I came about this setup. On the first setup there was a large wick that i stated should be considered as a Gap and we saw price close above it to balance that gap. And you move one TF higher on your weekly there you’ll see that price has failed multiple times to balance that weekly VI, back on our daily TF we can see that price did not fully trade through that 1st.PFVG and we want to see it come back to fully trade through the gap.
Overall bias is BUYSIDE LIQUIDITY!!
GBPUSD: Will DXY Bounce Back? |GBPUSD Swing Sell|The GBPUSD pair is currently rallying towards a potential selling zone, where sellers could push the price down. However, the main concern is the current state of the DXY, which clearly indicates another sell-off and could lead to another lower low. Please remember to use risk management while trading forex pairs.
There are three take-profit targets that can be set according to your trading plan. This analysis doesn’t guarantee that the price will move as described.
Good luck and trade safely!
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GBPUSD I Technical and Fundamental Forecast Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** GBPUSD Analysis - Listen to video!
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Is GBP/USD's 1.3470 level a top or a new starting point?The GBP/USD pair retreated after hitting a three-year high of 1.3470, trading at 1.3405 during the European session, with daily gains narrowing to 0.1%. Although the hotter-than-expected UK April inflation data sparked concerns about a policy pivot by the Bank of England (BoE), the US dollar remained under pressure due to a sovereign rating downgrade, providing support for the British pound. The market is currently reassessing the divergence in policy paths between the UK and the US. With bullish and bearish factors intertwined, the pound may maintain a high-range consolidation in the short term. In the near term, the 1.33-1.35 range is likely to be the focal point of multi-party and short-party contention. Traders need to closely monitor the UK retail sales data and US PMI data to be released on Friday, as evidence of economic resilience from either side could break the current equilibrium.
In the market, there are no absolutes, and neither upward nor downward trends are set in stone. Therefore, the ability to judge the balance between market gains and losses is your key to success. Let money become our loyal servant.
Pound steady as UK inflation surgesThe British pound posted gains earlier but has failed to consolidate. In the European session, GBP/USD is trading at 1.3395, up 0.03% on the day. The pound has gained 1.1% this week and earlier today rose as high as 1.3468, its highest level since Feb. 2022.
UK inflation jumped to 3.5% y/y in April, up sharply from 2.6% in March and above the market estimate of 3.3%. This was the highest annual inflation rate since Jan. 2024 and was driven by higher prices for transport, housing and energy. Monthly, inflation soared to 1.2%, up from 0.3% and above the market estimate of 1.1%.
The news wasn't much better from core CPI, which rose to 3.8% from 3.4% and was higher than the market estimate of 3.6%. This was the highest reading since April 2024. Monthly, the core rate jumped to 1.4%, up from 0.5% and above the market estimate of 1.2%.
The rise in inflation can be partially attributed to the increase in the energy price cap and the Easter holidays, but is a disappointment for the government and for the Bank of England, as inflation had been trending lower.
The BoE will be concerned by the rise in core inflation, which will complicate plans to further reduce rates. The BoE trimmed the cash rate by a quarter-point earlier this month by 0.25%, but rates are still higher than other major central banks, with the exception of the Federal Reserve.
The Federal Reserve is taking a wait-and-see attitude before it lowers rates again, especially with the uncertainty swirling around US tariff policy. Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic said this week that even reduced tariffs would be "definitely economically significant" and said he favored one rate cut this year.
Encounter Resistance And Reverse Direction Educational Forex Trading Insight – EUR/USD Potential Bearish Scenario
This content is intended for educational purposes only and aims to help traders understand how a possible sell setup in the EUR/USD currency pair might be analyzed. It is not a signal or financial advice, but rather a breakdown of a potential market scenario based on technical observations.
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Currency Pair: EUR/USD
Market Outlook: Bearish (Short Position Scenario)
Suggested Sell Zone:
A possible area of interest for initiating a short position lies between 1.13430 and 1.13520, where the price may encounter resistance and reverse direction. This zone could offer a favorable risk-to-reward setup for experienced traders identifying signs of bearish confirmation.
Risk Management – Stop Loss:
A stop-loss order should be placed based on your personal trading strategy and risk tolerance. It is generally advisable to position it above the resistance area to account for potential volatility or fake breakouts.
Potential Price Targets:
First Target (TP1): 1.13159 – Near-term support level
Second Target (TP2): 1.12970 – Deeper retracement zone
Third Target (TP3): 1.12800 – Stronger historical support
Additional downside may develop if bearish momentum continues beyond these levels
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Important Notice:
This analysis is for informational and educational purposes only. Trading foreign exchange on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Always conduct your own research (DYOR) and consider consulting a licensed financial advisor before making any trading decisions. Proper risk management and discipline are essential for long-term success in the markets.
GBPUSD My Opinion! SELL!
My dear followers,
I analysed this chart on GBPUSD and concluded the following:
The market is trading on 1.3427 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target - 1.3356
Safe Stop Loss - 1.3467
About Used Indicators:
A super-trend indicator is plotted on either above or below the closing price to signal a buy or sell. The indicator changes color, based on whether or not you should be buying. If the super-trend indicator moves below the closing price, the indicator turns green, and it signals an entry point or points to buy.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
EURGBP BULLISH OR BEARISH DETAILED ANALYSISEURGBP is currently respecting a well-defined rising channel structure on the daily timeframe, and the pair has just delivered a strong bounce off the lower trendline support. This fresh reaction suggests renewed bullish momentum from the bulls stepping in at a key zone. The current price is hovering around 0.84–0.8450, and I’m targeting a move towards the 0.87 area, aligning perfectly with the upper boundary of the channel and a clean resistance level from previous market structure.
From a fundamental standpoint, euro sentiment is being supported by sticky inflation across the Eurozone. The ECB remains cautious with any premature easing, with policymakers signaling a data-dependent approach to rate cuts. Meanwhile, the UK economy is under pressure after the latest GDP figures confirmed weak growth, adding weight to the Bank of England’s dovish leanings. Traders are now increasingly pricing in rate cuts from the BOE in the coming quarter, creating a clear divergence in monetary policy outlooks — a bullish driver for EURGBP.
This technical setup is further reinforced by bullish candlestick formations on the daily chart, signaling a potential reversal from recent weakness. RSI is bouncing off mid-levels, and there's early crossover potential in MACD favoring upward momentum. Price has also reclaimed key support near 0.8400, now likely to act as a floor going forward. As long as price remains above this zone, the path of least resistance remains to the upside.
With this combination of a rising channel pattern, supportive euro fundamentals, and GBP macro weakness, EURGBP presents a high-probability long opportunity. I remain bullish on this pair with a clean 0.87 target in view. Momentum is building, and this setup fits perfectly into a swing trading model with trend continuation potential.
GBP/USD Forms a New Bearish WaveFenzoFx—GBP/USD tested the 1.3414 high for the third time since late April, currently forming a long wick bearish candlestick pattern in the daily chart.
From a technical perspective, a new bearish wave could be on the horizon if this level holds. In this scenario, the next bearish target could be the 1.3145 support.
Trade GBP/USD Swap Free at FenzoFx.
GU-Wed-21/05/25 TDA-GBP CPI higher than expected, Bullish!Analysis done directly on the chart
Follow for more, possible live trades update!
Risk management. You can take bad trades but
you can recover with good risk management.
The profitable strategy alone isn't enough to
succeed in this game.
Not financial advice, DYOR.
Market Flow Strategy
Mister Y
GBPUSD INTRADAY supported at 1.3400
The GBP/USD pair continues to exhibit a bullish longer-term trend, underpinned by a series of higher highs and higher lows. However, recent price action shows consolidation within a sideways trading range, suggesting a pause or potential accumulation before the next directional move.
The key technical level to monitor is 1.3400, which aligns with a prior consolidation zone and serves as a critical support area. A corrective pullback towards this level could present a buying opportunity, particularly if price action forms a bullish reversal pattern around this zone. A successful rebound from 1.3400 would likely target resistance levels at 1.3470, followed by 1.3500 and 1.3550 on a longer-term basis.
Conversely, a daily close below 1.3400 would invalidate the current bullish bias and suggest a shift in sentiment. This scenario opens the door for further downside towards the next support at 1.3370, with extended losses potentially reaching 1.3340.
Conclusion:
While the broader trend remains bullish, GBP/USD is currently range-bound. Traders should watch for a reaction around the 1.3400 level. A bounce would reinforce bullish momentum towards 1.3470 and beyond, whereas a confirmed break below this level would signal further weakness and a possible trend shift in the near term.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
GBP/USD Cable Heist:Join the Thief Trading Style to Raid Profit!GBP/USD Cable Heist Plan - Thief Trading Style 😎💸
Greetings, wealth chasers and market bandits! 👋💰
Welcome to the Thief Trading Style, blending sharp technicals with savvy fundamentals to raid the GBP/USD "Cable" Forex Market. 📊 Follow the strategy outlined in the chart, focusing on long entries targeting the high-stakes Red Zone. 🌋 Expect an overbought market, consolidation, or trend reversal where bears might set traps. 🐻 Nail the plan, grab your profits, and treat yourself—you’ve earned it! 🎯💵🎉
Entry 📈: The heist begins! 🚨 Wait for the MA breakout at 1.34700, then strike for bullish gains. 🐂 Set buy stop orders above the moving average or place buy limit orders within a 15/30-minute timeframe at the recent swing high/low. ⏰ Don’t miss the move—set a chart alert to catch the breakout! 🔔
Stop Loss 🛑: Listen up, crew! 🗣️ For buy stop orders, hold off on setting your stop loss until after the breakout. 🚀 Place it at the recent swing low on the 4H timeframe (1.33300) for swing/day trades. 📍 Adjust based on your risk, lot size, and number of orders. Play smart, or you’re dancing with danger! 🔥😈
Target 🎯: Aim for 1.37000 or bail early if the market shifts. 🏃♂️ Scalpers, stick to long-side trades. 👀 Got deep pockets? Jump in now. 💪 Otherwise, join the swing traders and execute the plan with a trailing stop loss to secure your loot. 🔒💰
Market Outlook: GBP/USD is riding a bullish wave, fueled by key fundamentals. 🐃 Dive into the COT Report, macro data, sentiment, intermarket analysis, and future trend targets via the linkss below for the full scoop. 🔗👉
Why This Trade?: The bullish setup on GBP/USD is backed by strong technical signals, with the MA breakout confirming upward momentum. 📈 Fundamentals, including favorable COT positioning and positive macro data, suggest sustained strength in the pound. 💪 Intermarket correlations and sentiment analysis further align with a bullish outlook, making this an ideal moment to strike the Cable for potential high rewards. 🌟 The Red Zone target at 1.37000 offers a prime risk-to-reward ratio for disciplined traders. 🤑
⚠️ Trading Alert: News & Position Management 📰:
News releases can shake up prices and volatility. 🌪️ To stay safe:
Skip new trades during news events. 🚫
Use trailing stops to lock in profits and protect open positions. 🔐
Boost the Heist! 🚀: Support our plan by hitting the Boost Button to supercharge our market raids. 💥 With the Thief Trading Style, we’re stacking profits daily. 📈 Join the crew, execute the plan, and let’s make money moves! 💪🤝😺
Stay sharp for the next heist plan. Until then, keep robbing the markets! 🤑🐱👤
BEST PRICE TO SHORT GU - GBPUSD SHORT FORECAST W21 D21 Y25
GBPUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W21 D21 Y25
BEST PRICE TO SHORT GBPUSD
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today!
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅Weekly order block rejection
✅Daily order block rejection
✅Intraday 15' order blocks
✅Tokyo ranges to be filled
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
GBPUSD Retests Bullish Order Block – Smart Money Loading Up!📈 GBPUSD SMC Bullish Setup – Institutional Re-Entry Into Power Zone
Traders, this is a prime example of how Smart Money manipulates liquidity, taps deep into premium OBs, and prepares for explosive continuation moves. Let’s break it down step-by-step…
🔍 Market Structure Insight:
We’ve seen a clear bullish BOS (Break of Structure) after a strong impulsive move that broke past previous highs.
Now price is retracing into the bullish Order Block, giving a golden opportunity for re-entry — but only if you know what to look for.
🔲 Key Confluences:
💎 Order Block:
Marked between 1.3332 – 1.3290, this purple zone aligns with:
Breaker candle after a liquidity sweep
Prior imbalance zone
Institutional volume spike
📐 Fib Retracement:
From the swing low to high:
61.8% → 70.5% golden zone nested inside the OB
79% just below — great stop loss placement
📉 Weak High Above:
Current price action shows the market stalling near a weak high at 1.3400 — ripe for targeting in the next expansion.
📌 Strong Low at 1.3245:
Protected unless structure breaks. This helps confirm bullish bias remains intact.
🧠 Smart Money Logic:
This isn't retail "support."
Smart Money took out early sellers, pushed price impulsively, then returned to mitigate orders inside the OB before continuing the expansion.
This retracement = institutional reloading zone.
That red candle into purple? That’s the bait. 🧨
🎯 Entry Plan:
✅ Wait for bullish confirmation inside OB (engulfing, MS shift, or liquidity wick)
✅ Ideal entry at 1.3332–1.3300
✅ Stop below 79% Fib (~1.3289)
✅ Target:
TP1: 0% Fib (~1.3400)
TP2: -27% Fib extension (~1.3445)
TP3: Moon mission? 😏
RRR ~ 1:3.5+ — solid trade for swing traders and intraday scalpers alike!
🧘♂️ Psychology & Patience Reminder:
Let price come to you.
This setup rewards discipline and confirmation — don’t FOMO early.
Watch for trap wicks and engineered fakeouts at the OB zone.
You’re not chasing price.
You’re sitting where Smart Money leaves footprints. 👣
⚠️ Risk Tip:
✅ Stick to your model
✅ 1–2% risk max
✅ Scale partials at key levels
✅ Don’t revenge trade if price reacts first without you — next setup is always coming
🔁 Summary:
This GBPUSD chart is a masterclass in Smart Money structure:
Bullish BOS
Return to Order Block
Fib confluence
Weak high liquidity target
Perfect RRR setup
🧠 Let’s play it like a pro. If OB holds — the market flies. If not, we step out, risk-managed, and wait.
📣 Comment “GBPUSD SNIPER” if you’re ready for the OB bounce.
📈 Tag your trading fam to keep them on the money wave!
The Week AheadWednesday May 21
Data: UK April CPI, RPI, March house price index, Japan April trade balance
Central banks: Fed's Hammack, Daly, Bostic, Barkin and Bowman speak, ECB's Lane and Guindos speak
Earnings: TJX, Medtronic, Snowflake, Target, Baidu, SSE, XPeng, Marks & Spencer
Auctions: US 20-yr Bonds
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
EurAud update.Good day traders, I’m back with yet another update on EurAud. In the description I will tag my previous setup on EurAud to show you where we are in price and I left the drawings as they were to help you understand price more.
On Monday price opened with that same bullish flow and pushed till the low of the volume imbalance as expected but as we can see that FVG was able to hold price above. From the original setup what price did yesterday was expected Thursday or Friday the latest, so since price did not go for that 1st.PFVG on Monday and Tuesday, we can now expect price to go for that level.
If we take a closer look at that leg higher from that FVG, we have a balanced price range that we can expect price not to respect.
Fundamental Market Analysis for May 21, 2025 GBPUSDThe GBP/USD pair rose slightly on Tuesday, rising to 1.34000 (but failed to overcome it). The price is ahead of key inflation and business outlook data: the UK Consumer Price Index (CPI) is due out on Wednesday and a double dose of UK and US Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) survey results on Thursday.
Trade news remains the key driver for global markets this week. Investors remain hopeful of a deal with the US that will encourage the Trump administration to pull the tariff gun away from the head of its own economy, but the constant drift into the unknown is starting to limit bullish sentiment. The Trump administration is rapidly approaching its self-imposed 90-day deadline to pass a package of “retaliatory tariffs.” While some potential trade deals have been announced, nothing concrete has emerged.
UK CPI inflation for April will be released early Wednesday. Mid-market forecasts expect the monthly CPI to rise to 1.1% m/m from the previous reading of 0.3%. Annual CPI is also expected to rise to 3.3% from 2.6%. UK core CPI inflation is also expected to rise, to 3.6% y/y from 3.4%.
A double batch of UK and US PMIs will be released on Thursday. Markets are expecting a broad-based increase in indexed forward-looking business activity survey results, while mixed data is expected in the US. The US manufacturing PMI for May is expected to decline to 50.1 from 50.2, while the services component is expected to remain unchanged at 50.8.
Trading recommendation: BUY 1.34200, SL 1.33900, TP 1.34900
GBP/USD Breaks Key Resistance Zone – Bullish OutlookGBP/USD has broken above a long-standing resistance zone on the weekly chart, signaling a potential shift in long-term trend. This breakout aligns with a strong rising trendline that has held firm for months, showing growing bullish momentum.
If price continues to hold above the breakout level, the market could be setting up for a sustained upward move. A successful retest of the breakout zone would further confirm bullish continuation. The structure looks healthy, and the momentum is clearly on the buyer’s side.
DYOR, NFA
Thanks for following along — stay tuned for more updates!
GBPUSDHello traders!
There’s currently an opportunity for a Sell trade on GBPUSD, and the position is now active.
🔍 Trade Details:
✔️ Timeframe: 15-Minute
✔️ Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 1:2
✔️ Trade Direction: Sell
✔️ Entry Price: 1.33695
✔️ Take Profit: 1.33531
✔️ Stop Loss: 1.33777
🔔 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. I’m simply sharing a trade I’m personally taking based on my own strategy. It is intended purely for educational purposes.
📌 Interested in a more systematic and data-driven approach to trading?
💡 Follow the page and turn on notifications to stay updated with future trade ideas and market breakdowns.
GBPUSD needs a catalyst. Could UK inflation be that?For now, FX_IDC:GBPUSD is struggling to overcome a key resistance barrier, at around 1.3440. Could the UK inflation numbers help move the pair?
Let's dig in...
MARKETSCOM:GBPUSD
Let us know what you think in the comments below.
Thank you.
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