GBPUSD
Fundamental Market Analysis for March 10, 2025 GBPUSDThe GBP/USD pair began the new week positively, trading at around 1.29400-1.29450 during the Asian session and matching the four-month high reached on Friday.The bearish sentiment surrounding the US Dollar (USD) supports the prospects of extending the momentum of last week's breakout above the significant 200-day simple moving average (SMA).
The US Dollar Index (DXY), a measure of the USD against a basket of currencies, is approaching its lowest point since early November, a development that followed Friday's weak monthly US jobs data.The headline non-farm payrolls (NFP) data revealed that the US economy added 151,000 jobs in February, falling short of the consensus estimates. In addition, the previous month's data was revised downward to 125k and the unemployment rate unexpectedly rose to 4.1% from 4.0% in January.This comes amid fears that US President Donald Trump's policies will hit US economic activity, and suggests that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will cut interest rates several more times this year. Current market predictions indicate approximately three 25bp rate cuts this year, a development that persists in exerting pressure on the pound and thereby supporting the GBP/USD pairing.The remarks made by Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell, in which he expressed that the US central bank has no intention of hastily reducing interest rates, did not provide any respite for those who advocate a strengthening of the dollar.
Conversely, the British pound is bolstered by the anticipation that the Bank of England (BoE) will adopt a more gradual rate reduction approach compared to other major central banks, including the Fed.This dynamic is further fueling demand for the GBP/USD pair, underscoring a positive outlook.Absent significant market-moving economic data from the UK or the US, the US dollar is expected to exert influence on spot prices, enabling traders to capitalize on short-term opportunities.
Trading recommendation: SELL 1.28900, SL 1.29500, TP 1.27800
GBPUSD BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY ACTIVE Disruptions on the Current Bullish Analysis:
1. Possible Bull Trap at Current Supply Zone:
Price is hovering around a supply zone (highlighted red dashed box). If buyers fail to push beyond this zone convincingly, a sharp rejection could follow.
This area could serve as a distribution zone, leading to a fake breakout and reversal.
2. Overbought Conditions (Momentum Exhaustion):
Given the sharp rally towards 1.29347, momentum indicators (e.g., RSI, Stochastic) are likely overbought. This suggests limited upside potential before a pullback.
A retracement to 1.28000-1.27500 (major horizontal demand) could be in play before moving higher.
3. Low Volume on Breakout Attempt:
If the recent breakout attempt above 1.29000 happened on declining volume, this weakens the bullish outlook and hints at lack of strong buyer commitment.
Volume confirmation is critical for sustaining breakouts; otherwise, sellers may take control soon.
4. Reversal Pattern Formation Possibility:
The sharp upward move could complete a potential double top formation near 1.30436 if price rejects around 1.29500–1.30000.
GBP-USD Will Keep Growing! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
GBP-USD is trading in an
Uptrend and the pair broke
The key horizontal level
Of 1.2855 which is now
A support and the breakout
Is confirmed so we are
Bullish biased and we
Will be expecting a
Further bullish continuation
Buy!
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CADJPY - Take Advantage of This Clean Correction!CADJPY Daily Timeframe
CADJPY has shown a clear impulse in July 2024. We are now in a massive correction, consisting of 3 major waves, ABC. It appears we have almost completed Wave B and now we are anticipating wave C.
We expect wave C to push up to the corrective highs where we have the 61.8 fib.
Here are some key things to watch:
- Wave Structure: Ensure that Wave B has completed its corrective pattern
- Wave C Confirmation: Look for a strong bullish impulse off the lows of Wave B.
- Volume & Momentum: A rise in volume and bullish divergence in RSI/MACD could confirm Wave C is underway.
Confirmation for Wave C:
Break of Structure (BOS) / Trendline Break
When identifying confirmation for Wave C, a Break of Structure (BOS) or a Trendline Break is one of the strongest signals that the corrective phase is ending.
Break of Structure (BOS) – Key Levels to Watch
Wave B typically forms lower highs and lower lows. A break above the last lower high signals a bullish shift.
Look for a decisive close above the previous swing high on the 4H or daily timeframe. A weak break (with wicks) may indicate hesitation.
A higher low after the break adds extra confirmation.
Trendline Break – Reversal Signal
If Wave B formed a descending trendline, watch for a clean breakout with strong bullish candles (not just wicks).
Retest of the trendline as support after the breakout strengthens the case for Wave C starting.
Trade Idea:
- Watch for Wave C to start using the techniques listed above
- Once entered, keep stops below wave B
- Targets: 107 (500pips), 112 (1000pips)
Goodluck and as always trade safe!
See below for our previous swing setups:
Swing Setup 1
Swing Setup 2
Swing Setup 3
GBPUSD Weekly FOREX Forecast: March 10 - 14th In this video, we will analyze EURUSD and EUR Futures. We'll determine the bias for the upcoming week, and look for the best potential setups.
The GBP has been a bit stronger than its counterparts, and has shown bullish intent in recent days. Friday's candle was very strong, and price is likely to see higher prices over the next week.
A correction to Friday's candle is likely, followed by longer term bullishness.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
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GBPUSD: Bullish Outlook For Next Week Explained 🇬🇧🇺🇸
GBPUSD broke and closed above a key daily horizontal
resistance this week.
The next strong historic structure is 1.3.
It will most likely be the next goal for the buyers the following week.
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GBPUSD Will Go Down! Sell!
Please, check our technical outlook for GBPUSD.
Time Frame: 12h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 1.291.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 1.271.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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GBP/USD BUYThis trade is closed now but it is me logging it for anyone and everyone.
This analysis is based on the provided image and should not be considered financial advice. Trading involves risks, and it is essential to conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
GBPUSD Bearish ContinuationGBPUSD price seems to exhibit signs of overall Bearish momentum as the price action may form a credible Lower High with multiple confluences through key Fibonacci and Resistance levels which presents us with a potential short opportunity.
Trade Plan :
Entry @ 1.2580
Stop Loss @ 1.2830
TP 0.9 - 1 @ 1.23550 - 1.2330
XAU/USD: Gold at a Critical Crossroad: Will $2930 Hold or Break?By analyzing the gold chart on the two-hour timeframe, we can see that the price followed the expected bearish movement yesterday, correcting from its recent high of $2928 down to $2900 before finding temporary support. Currently, gold is trading around $2916, showing signs of indecision as it consolidates within a key range.
🔍 Key Levels & Liquidity Considerations
A significant liquidity pool exists between $2928 and $2930, which could act as a magnet for price. If gold moves toward this range, we might witness liquidity collection before a potential strong rejection and deeper decline.
As long as gold remains below $2930, the bearish outlook remains intact, and further corrections toward $2900 and potentially lower levels could unfold. However, if buyers manage to push the price above $2930 and sustain a breakout with clear confirmation and bullish momentum, we could see gold targeting levels above $2950 in the coming sessions.
📌 Primary & Alternative Scenarios:
🔹 Primary Bearish Scenario: A move into the $2928-$2930 liquidity zone, followed by rejection and continuation of the correction.
🔹 Alternative Bullish Scenario: A clean breakout above $2930 with a strong close and confirmation, leading to further bullish expansion toward $2950+.
🎯 Final Outlook
At this stage, the bearish bias remains dominant, but traders should carefully monitor price action near key liquidity zones before executing positions. Watching how gold reacts around these critical levels will be crucial in determining the next major move.
Stay updated as we track the market closely! 🔥
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Gold Breakout Setup: Targeting 2939Gold is currently consolidating near a key resistance zone around 2922. The price structure shows a rounding bottom, indicating potential bullish momentum. A breakout and successful retest of the resistance could push the price toward the target at 2939. If the price holds above the equilibrium and maintains buying pressure, further upside is likely.
TARGET 2939
GBP/USD Chart AnalysisGBP/USD Chart Analysis
### **📊 Key Levels & Trading Plan**
🔹 **Current Price:** 1.28900
🔹 **Resistance Level:** 1.29050
🔹 **Support Level:** 1.28600
🔹 **Indicator Used:** EMA50 (Exponential Moving Average 50)
### **🔺 Bullish Scenario (Buy Trade)**
- If **price breaks above 1.29500**, it confirms bullish momentum.
- **Target:** 1.29800 (potential next resistance).
- **Stop Loss:** Below 1.28600 for risk control.
### **🔻 Bearish Scenario (Sell Trade)**
- If **price breaks below 1.28600**, it confirms a bearish move.
- **Target:** 1.27800 (potential next support).
- **Stop Loss:** Above 1.29100 for safety.
### **🛑 Risk Management**
✅ Always set a **stop loss** and follow **proper risk-reward strategy**.
✅ Keep an eye on **EMA50**—if price remains above EMA50, bullish momentum is strong.
✅ Watch for market volatility before taking positions.
DeGRAM | GBPUSD will correct before continuing to growGBPUSD is in an ascending channel between the trend lines.
The price is moving from the lower boundary of the channel, but has already reached the 62% retracement level.
Indicators point to an overbought chart.
We expect a local correction before the growth continues.
-------------------
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GBP/USD at 1.2880, Awaits NFP ReportGBP/USD holds modest gains around 1.2880 in Friday’s Asian session, recovering from the previous decline as investors await the US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report. Meanwhile, the US Dollar Index (DXY) extends its five-day decline, pressured by falling Treasury yields, with the 2-year at 3.94% and the 10-year at 4.24%. Markets increasingly expect the Federal Reserve to adopt a more aggressive rate-cutting stance due to economic growth concerns.
Analysts at MUFG Bank suggest the Fed may shift focus from inflation control to economic growth, especially amid tariff uncertainties. Consumer confidence has weakened, reflecting rising household concerns.
In the UK, expectations for BoE rate cuts in 2025 have dropped below 50 basis points. BoE’s Catherine Mann stated that gradual rate changes are ineffective in volatile markets, advocating for larger cuts to provide clearer policy signals.
If GBP/USD breaks above 1.2920, the next resistance levels are 1.2980 and 1.3050. On the downside, support stands at 1.2860, with further levels at 1.2760 and 1.2660 if selling pressure increases.
Bullish continuation?The Cable (GBP/USD) is falling towards the pivot which is a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 1.2801
1st Support: 1.2688
1st Resistance: 1.2990
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Bearish drop off pullback resistance?GBP/USD has reacted off the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 100% Fibonacci projection and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.2921
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 100% Fibonacci projection.
Stop loss: 1.2992
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Take profit: 1.2812
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that is slightly above the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
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GBPUSD LONG After liquidating an alltime low back in 2023 GBPUSD has been strongly bullish thought the whole years and before you is a bullish continuation analysis.
I'm expecting price to react from the unmitigated orderblocks for continuation. It's quite self explanatory with the path arrow. I'm expecting new highs this year
GBPUSD: Entered a volatility zone. Sell every spike is best.GBPUSD has turned overbought on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 71.324, MACD = 0.009, ADX = 38.352) as it just hit the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level of the September 2024 High. In the meantime, it has crossed over the 1D MA200. With the 1D RSI overbought, the last time this set of conditions emerged was on November 29th 2023. The pair then entered a 3 month period of high volatility and sideways trading before it declined to the 0.236 Fib. The long term trade is short, TP = 1.2500.
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