Market Analysis: GBP/USD Falls Into The RedMarket Analysis: GBP/USD Falls Into The Red
GBP/USD failed to climb above 1.2500 and trimmed all gains.
Important Takeaways for GBP/USD Analysis Today
- The British Pound is showing bearish signs below 1.2400.
- There is a short-term declining channel forming with resistance near 1.2280 on the hourly chart of GBP/USD at FXOpen.
GBP/USD Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of GBP/USD at FXOpen, the pair started a fresh decline from the 1.2470 zone. As mentioned in the previous analysis, the British Pound struggled to extend gains and declined below the 1.2360 support level against the US Dollar.
There was a clear move below the 1.2320 level. The pair even settled below the 1.2300 level and the 50-hour simple moving average. The pair tested the 1.2250 support zone.
A low was formed at 1.2249 and the pair is now consolidating losses. On the upside, the GBP/USD chart indicates that the pair is facing resistance near 1.2280 and a short-term declining channel. The next major resistance is near the 1.2320.
A close above the 1.2320 resistance zone could open the doors for a move toward the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 1.2471 swing high to the 1.2249 low at 1.2360.
Any more gains might send it toward the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 1.2471 swing high to the 1.2249 low at 1.2385. If not, the pair could resume its decline below 1.2250. On the downside, there is a key support forming near 1.2220.
If there is a downside break below the 1.2220 support, the pair could accelerate lower. The next major support is near the 1.2150 zone, below which the pair could test 1.2050. Any more losses could lead the pair toward the 1.2000 support.
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GBPUSD
GBPUSDHey Traders, what you think of this trade?
Price had 61.8% retracement.
Will it Break the High and go bullish or Low and bearish. Think in probabilities.
My analysis on GBPUSD Buy with a micro lot for Long till 1.3000, Strict Risk 1:3.
Notes for Success:
Timeframes Matter: Align entry/exit with higher-timeframe trends.
Adapt: Adjust targets if volatility spikes (e.g., news events).
Disclaimer: Always include “Not financial advice. Trade at your own risk.”
Comment your analysis below. Thank you
GBPUSD H4 | Bullish Bounce Off Based on the H4 chart analysis, the price is approaching our buy entry level at 1.2235, which is a significant overlap support that aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement. This level presents a potential reversal point for the current downtrend.
Our take profit is set at 1.2372, near a strong pullback resistance level.
The stop loss is placed at 1.2104, swing low support level.
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Can Bulls Flip GU "On Its Head" @ 38.2% Level?Last week we saw FX:GBPUSD attempt to Break Above the 1.25 Resistance Zone that its been struggling with since November 2024 and was sent back down underneath following the Fed's decision to Hold Interest Rates.
We can see that Price so far seems to be following a Head & Shoulders layout where Price now is declining down to the Low that formed the "Left Shoulder" @ ( 1.23745 - 1.23518 )
What makes this Price Range so favorable is that if you take the Fib Retracement Tool from the Low of the "Head" @ 1.20991 to the 2nd Touch of the "Neckline" @ 1.25232, the 38.2 % Retracement Level lands right at the potential Support level of the "Left Shoulder"
-If Price finds Support at this level, we can suspect the Low to form the "Right Shoulder" then for Price to work back up to the "Neckline" for a Break and Close for Confirmation of Pattern to then look for more Buying Opportunities!
*Price Breaking and Closing the Neckline, signaling Confirmation of Pattern, will deliver a 90% Success Rate to the expected Bullish outcome.
*Watch for Increase in Volume after Price is Successfully Supported by Low of Left Shoulder and RSI to maintain Above 50!
Fundamentally,
GBP:
Final Manufacturing PMI - Monday
Final Services PMI - Wednesday
Construction PMI/Bank Rate - Thursday
USD:
ISM Manufacturing PMI - Monday
JOLTS - Tuesday
ADP Non-Farm Employment/ISM Services PMI - Wednesday
Unemployment Claims - Thursday
AVG Hourly Earnings/ADP Non-Farm Employment/Unemployment Rate - Friday
USD: The King is back!! Strong falls in all currency pairs!!!We start the month of February with a new DOLLAR STRENGTH! The reasons? Technically, the USD is clearly bullish, and if we add to that Trump's tariff war!, "White and in a bottle", USD, GOLD and JPY will be the winners in the face of the volatility that the markets will experience in the coming days.
If we analyze the GBPUSD PAIR in H4 time frame, we observe that technically it is bearish (Bear) since October 3, 2024.
On January 13 of this year it touched its annual low in the 1.21045 area, and from there it began to regain strength, reaching a 61.8% FIbonacci retracement, to the 1.125300 area. From there it began to fall again.
Today ALL CURRENCIES against the USD have opened with STRONG FALLS (except for the YEN (JPY)) and therefore, GBPUSD is falling sharply at this time.
--> Where is it now?
The situation is clear! We can now take advantage of any rise in the price of the GBPUSD to enter SHORT.
--> Only in GBPUSD?
No. Any currency PAIR against the USD (EXCEPT USDJPY) will lose strength, that is, we will ALWAYS go in favor of the USD!! For example:
--> Long in: USDCHF, USDCAD
--> Short in: EURUSD, GBPUSD, AUDUSD, NZDUSD
Greetings and ALWAYS WAIT FOR A REVERSE to enter IN FAVOR OF THE USD!!
Good business!!
Bearish drop?The Cable (GBP/USD) has reacted of the pivot which is an overlap resistance and could drop to the 1st support?
Pivot: 1.2493
1st Support: 1.2162
1st Resistance: 1.2770
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GBP/USD - H1 Chart - Triangle Breakout (31.01.2025)The GBP/USD Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Triangle Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours.
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 1.2342
2nd Support – 1.2295
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USDCHF Support Bounce and Bullish OutlookUSD/CHF is currently trading at 0.91100, showing a strong support level. The expected target price is 0.94000, indicating a potential upside of 300+ pips. The price is bouncing well from a key support level, suggesting a bullish reversal. The support and resistance pattern is playing a crucial role in this setup. Traders anticipate that buyers will push the price higher toward the target. A sustained move above resistance may confirm further bullish momentum. Risk management is essential to handle potential reversals. Market conditions and news events should be monitored. A breakout above resistance can strengthen the bullish trend. Patience and discipline are key to executing this trade successfully.
Weekly FOREX Forecast Feb 3 - 7th.This is an outlook for the week of Feb 3 - 7th.
In this video, we will analyze the following FX markets:
USD Index
EURUSD
GBPUSD
AUDUSD
NZDUSD
CAD, USDCAD
CHF, USDCHF
JPY, USDJPY
The USD Index is reacting to the Monthly and Weekly Supply Zone. The week before last was an aggressive bearish candle, followed by last week retracement. Although the week ended with a bullish close, it inside Supply. We could see price resume the bearish reaction to the HTF Supply this week. This could mean the majors may see bullish weeks against the USD.
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GBPUSD Is Going Up! Buy!
Please, check our technical outlook for GBPUSD.
Time Frame: 2h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 1.239.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 1.242 level soon.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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GBPUSD Trading IdeaBased on Simple Technical Analysis ( Trendline + Support & Resistance )
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Please be advised that I am not telling anyone how to spend or invest their money. Take all of my analysis as my own opinion, as entertainment, and at your own risk. I assume no responsibility or liability for any errors or omissions in the content of this page, and they are for educational purposes only. Any action you take on the information in this analysis is strictly at your own risk. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Past results are not indicative of future returns. Good luck :-)
**Gold (XAUUSD) Bullish Breakout Setup – Targeting $2,818** **Gold (XAUUSD) 1H Chart Analysis:**
- **Current Price:** Around **$2,800.29**
- **Key Resistance:** **$2,818.05** (Potential target zone)
- **Spot Zone:** Previous resistance turned support around **$2,790**
- **Recent Price Action:**
- Gold broke above a key resistance level (now acting as support).
- Price faced a **minor rejection** but is consolidating, potentially forming a bullish continuation pattern.
- **Forecast:**
- If price holds above **$2,790**, consolidation could lead to a breakout toward **$2,818**.
- A strong breakout above **$2,818** could signal further upside momentum.
- A rejection from this level might result in a pullback to **$2,790** support.
Overall, bullish sentiment remains strong unless price drops below **$2,790**.
GBPUSD Bearish Continuation – Targeting 1.22100OANDA:GBPUSD is trading within a descending channel, indicating the continuation of the bearish trend. The price recently rejected the upper boundary of the channel, which aligns with a key resistance zone. This confirmed rejection suggests the potential for further downside, with the next target around the 1.22100 level.
The bearish scenario assumes that the price respects the descending channel and maintains its downward momentum. A clear move below minor support zones along the way could further confirm this bearish continuation. However, a break above the channel would invalidate this setup and indicate potential bullish pressure.
Let me know your thoughts or if you have an alternative perspective!
GBPUSD - Will the pound return to the bullish trajectory?!The GBPUSD pair is located between the EMA200 and EMA50 on the 4-hour timeframe and is moving in its ascending channel. In case of a downward correction, the pair can be bought within the specified demand zone.
British Prime Minister Keir Starmer stated that the government has clearly received the message regarding deregulation. He emphasized that simplifying regulations and removing certain restrictions could have a positive impact on economic activities and businesses. Starmer also highlighted the transformative potential of artificial intelligence in the economy. He added that the UK’s economic outlook is improving and that the government’s top priority is “growth, growth, and growth.” Additionally, he pointed to the significant trade partnership between the UK and the United States, stressing that this economic collaboration could play a key role in the country’s future growth.
Meanwhile, analysts at TD Securities believe that the Federal Reserve will refrain from cutting interest rates in the first half of this year. This decision is attributed to the persistence of core inflation and the resilience of the U.S. economy in the first quarter, which keeps policymakers cautious. Furthermore, the potential economic impact of new tariffs under a Trump administration in the second quarter reinforces this outlook.
Although the Federal Reserve officially bases its decisions on economic data, TD Securities argues that political influences are becoming increasingly significant in shaping monetary policy. According to TD, Trump’s role in U.S. monetary policy is growing. As a result, the institution maintains a bullish outlook on the U.S. dollar and sees any rate cuts as buying opportunities, particularly against the euro, Canadian dollar, and British pound.
At the same time, analysts at Goldman Sachs believe that the Federal Reserve will wait for further progress in reducing inflation before proceeding with additional rate cuts. However, they still expect the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) to implement two 0.25% rate cuts later this year, in June and December, with an additional cut projected for 2026.
Additionally, economists at Citi anticipate that the Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge—the 12-month PCE inflation rate—will decline in the coming months as the effects of the sharp price increases from early 2024 begin to fade. They also note that both the six-month and three-month core PCE inflation rates are on a downward trajectory and are expected to fall below 2.5%.
GBPUSD took support from 4h bullish channel – Targeting $1.265Market Context
Instrument: GBPUSD
Timeframe: 4h
Key Trend: Reversal from short 4h downtrend
Catalyst: support from 4h bullish channel + Elliott wave 4 completion.
Technical Analysis
Patterns/Levels: Price broke above the $1.2400 strong support of a 4h bullish channel.
Indicators: MACD bullish crossover; RSI above 50.
Entry Analysis
Entry Zone: 1.24250.
1.2645 (4h key resistance, Caution if fail to break).
Confirmation: support above $1.2400 on the 4h chart.
Exit Analysis
TP1: $1.2575 (prior swing high).
TP2: $1.265 (Wave 5 target).
Risk Management
Stop Loss: $1.2393 (below Support 1.2400).
Risk-Reward: 1:4.
Conclusion
“The support from 4h bullish channel signals a trend reversal.
Targeting $1.2650 with a tight SL ensures favourable risk/reward.”
Notes for Success:
Timeframes Matter: Align entry/exit with higher-timeframe trends.
Adapt: Adjust targets if volatility spikes (e.g., news events).
Disclaimer: Always include “Not financial advice. Trade at your own risk.”