Gbpusd4hrs
#GBPUSD 4HGBP/USD (4H) Buy Opportunity:
The GBP/USD pair is in an uptrend on the 4-hour chart. If the price breaks through the first resistance zone, there’s potential for a continuation toward the second zone. The uptrend is supported by bullish price action, higher lows, and strong momentum indicators like RSI.
Trade Idea: Enter a buy position on a confirmed breakout of the 1st zone, with a stop loss below the breakout level and target set at the 2nd zone.
GBPUSD ( UNDER BULLISH PRESSURE ) ( 4H )GBPUSD
HELLO TRADERS
Tendency under bullish pressure after the price breakout resistance trendline
TURNING LEVEL : a blue line between resistance and support level around 1.276 , indicates if the price stabilizing above this level reach resistance level , if the breaking turning level reach a support level
RESISTANCE LEVEL : there is a green line around 1.281 and 1.285 , indicates selling have already increase this level , so if the price stabilizing turning level reach this target
SUPPORT LEVEL : there is a red line below turning level around 1.268 and 1.264 , indicates buying have already increase this level , so if the price breaking turning level reach this targets
PRICE MOVEMENT : maybe first the price will trying to dropping turning level around 1.276 , after rising to the resistance level around 1.281 , then stable above this level reach 1.285 ,
if the price breaking turning level reach a support level at 1.268 , then stabilizing below this level reach a 1.264
TARGET LEVEL :
RESISTANCE LEVEL : 1.281 , 1.285
SUPPORT LEVEL : 1.268 , 1.264
GBPUSD | Perspective for the new week | Follow-upDive into the GBP/USD market dynamics with us as we dissect its recent movements and chart a course for the week ahead.
After a brief dip to a weekly low sparked by disappointing UK Retail Sales data, GBP/USD bounced back and steadied above the 1.2700 mark. The USD's struggle to attract demand amid positive risk sentiment has provided support, allowing the pair to maintain its position.
The UK's Office for National Statistics (ONS) reported a 2.3% monthly decline in Retail Sales for April, worse than the anticipated 0.4% contraction, hindering Pound Sterling's upward momentum.
Conversely, across the Atlantic, US Durable Goods Orders surpassed expectations, though a downward revision to the previous month's figures tempered the impact, bolstering demand for the British Pound.
With limited high-impact economic releases expected from the UK in the near term, this video delves into our strategies for navigating the evolving market landscape in the week ahead. Join us as we analyze potential trading opportunities and chart our course forward
GBPUSD Technical Analysis:
Will the pound hold above $1.27000? Watch this video for key trades this week. We analyze trends and levels for market insights. Join the discussion for updates on GBP/USD trading. Stay tuned for more content. Happy trading!
Disclaimer Notice:
Trading in the foreign exchange market and other instruments carries high risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content provided here is for educational purposes only. Evaluate your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
GBP/USD Longs from 1.27000 back up towards 1.28000I anticipate price heading towards the demand area first. So, early in the week, there might be a potential buying opportunity around the 1.27000 region, where the 9-hour demand is located. However, I'll exercise caution due to the presence of an Asian low, ensuring I don't enter too early. Ideally, I'd prefer to see the Asian low swept and the 3-hour demand mitigated, which sits just below.
As price approaches the buy zone, the validity of buys becomes more apparent. However, if we witness a strong bullish reaction, we might see the imbalance below the 7-hour supply zone filled. In such a scenario, I'll then be on the lookout for short positions, considering that price has displayed a clear shift to the downside.
Confluences for GU Buys are as follows:
- Recent trend was bullish this downward movement could be just a retracement.
- Nice demand zones left that has caused a recent break of structure to the upside.
- Lots of liquidity to the upside as well as an imbalance that needs to get filled in.
- DXY also approaching a near buy supply so the idea makes sense if the dollar goes down.
P.S. Despite the shift in price direction to the downside, I'll focus on what's near the current price. Currently, the 9-hour demand zone is nearby, so I'll be considering buying opportunities to move back up.
Have a great trading week guys and watch out for FOMC Wednesday!
GBPUSD Imminent Longs or wait for 1.26600 for bullish reactionThis week's analysis suggests a bullish reaction in line with the current uptrend, making it a favorable pro-trend opportunity. Currently, price resides in a 2-hour demand zone, and I'll be closely monitoring for a Wyckoff accumulation pattern. Should my confirmation on the lower time frame align, I'll consider buying, although this zone isn't the most optimal.
Ideally, I'd prefer this zone to fail, allowing for a potential move to mitigate the 2-hour demand zone below or the 3-hour demand zone that swept the bottom boundary of the consolidation. While this zone presents a promising setup, I'll exercise caution and await additional confirmation before considering an entry.
Confluences for GBPUSD Buys are as follows:
- Price has been temporarily bullish and this idea goes along with the current trend.
- Pullback is ongoing so I can anticipate a potential Wyckoff accumulation to unfold.
- Lots of liquidity above that needs to be swept as well as a strong supply as well.
- Price has swept the bottom part of the consolidation causing price to break structure to the upside.
- A few clean demand zones that need mitigating like the current 2 hour or the ones just below.
P.S. Despite the current bullish sentiment, I find the supply zone around 1.28000 on the 10-hour chart intriguing for potential sell opportunities. Therefore, my plan is to aim for buying opportunities leading up to that zone.
HAVE A GREAT TRADING WEEK EVERYONE!
GBPUSD Shorts from 1.27400 down towards 1.26200This week's analysis for GBPUSD is promising. I'm currently anticipating a slight upward movement to reach the nearby Asian high and mitigate the supply zone at a deeper level. Alternatively, if this doesn't happen, I'm prepared for a potential reaction from the 4-hour supply zone above. This particular supply level has triggered a change of character (CHOCH) to the downside and aligns with the 0.78 Fibonacci range.
Since the price is in proximity, I'll be patiently waiting for a redistribution within the zone. Subsequently, my plan involves executing sell orders to guide the price down, targeting the trendline and addressing the 3-hour demand zone situated beneath it.
Confluences for GBPUSD sells are as follows:
- Overall trend of the market is bearish on the higher time frame
- Price has caused a new CHOCH to the downside.
- New supply zone has emerged that caused this move which aligns with 0.78 fib range.
- Trendline liquidity below to target as well as a 3hr demand zone that needs mitigating.
- Bullish momentum is slowly dying down and I can see price reversing soon.
P.S. While this is my current perspective, I acknowledge the possibility of a temporary bullish scenario due to substantial liquidity to the upside. Therefore, I wouldn't be surprised if the price surpasses my identified supply level and reaches the extreme one ontop at the 10hr
LET'S HAVE A GREAT WEEK AHEAD TRADERS AND LET'S CATCH THESE PIPS!
GBPUSD Shorts from 1.28000 down towards demand This pair continues to grab my attention, particularly as it approaches my 10-hour supply zone. I anticipate a redistribution and subsequent sell-off targeting the equal lows. It's important to note that this is a counter-trend trade aimed at capturing a temporary downward movement to a more favourable demand.
Given the substantial liquidity at the newly identified 4-hourly demand zone, my strategy involves patiently waiting for the equal lows to be swept, filling the imbalance, and eventually triggering a reaction off the prominent 11-hour demand zone. However, I will assess price behaviour within the 4-hour zone, considering it as the closest opportunity for potential buys.
Confluences for GBPUSD Sells are as follows:
- Price has swept liquidity to the upside and now price is slowing down
- Bullish pressure is now getting exhausted as you can see from the candlesticks.
- Price has filled in an imbalance just below our 10-hour supply zone.
- There is lots of liquidity to the downside that needs to get taken like equal lows.
- Price is due for a pullback to enter a level of demand if price wants to keep pushing higher.
- Overall on the higher time frame the market is bearish and I do see the dollar rising just a little more.
P.S. As price steadily advances, this serves as additional confirmation that it is likely to react off the nearby supply zone. Consequently, I anticipate a Wyckoff distribution to unfold.
Have a great week ahead traders!
GBPUSD Longs from 1.26500 or 1.25500This week's forecast for GBPUSD involves waiting for additional selling pressure to occur before considering buys around the two nearby demand zones I've identified (10-hour and 11-hour). Following the recent reaction from a 7-hour supply, as the price is currently descending, I am anticipating the exhaustion of selling pressure and the accumulation of price.
Upon confirmation of a Wyckoff accumulation, validated by a CHOCH within my demand zone, I will be prompted to initiate buy positions aligned with the prevailing bullish trend in GBPUSD. Additionally, there is notable liquidity to the upside, including engineered liquidity and untouched Asian highs.
Confluences for GBPUSD Buys are as follows:
- There are two demand zones (the 10hr and the 11hr) that price could react off.
- Lots of liquidity in the form of engineering liquidity and asian highs.
- This idea aligns with the temporary bullish trend that GU has generated.
- Selling pressure is slowly getting exhausted and is pending an accumulation.
- For price to continue going higher and create a new leg it must react off a near demand.
P.S. While acknowledging the temporary bullish trend in place, it's important to recognize the overall bearish trend for this pair. This implies that eventually, the price will reach a certain supply level, triggering a significant bearish movement. However, for the present moment, it's crucial to adapt and align with the current bullish trend.
GBP/USD Longs from 1.25000 up to 1.26200GU exhibits an overall bearish trend on the higher time frame (HTF) but has recently shown a bullish uptrend in the past weeks. Consequently, my strategy involves seeking buying opportunities leading up to the next marked supply zone, followed by potential selling positions as the price retraces. I anticipate a potential dip, possibly reaching 50% of the 16-hour demand or even entering the 10-hour zone below it. However, these zones are expected to prompt an impulsive upward movement that will extend into our 4-hour supply level.
Observing the current setup, there's notable liquidity situated above the present price, and it is likely that the price will sweep through this area before initiating a bearish reaction. Given the temporary bullish trend, it wouldn't be surprising if the price surpasses the 4-hour demand zone, considering the strong bullish momentum evident in the candlestick anatomy.
Confluences for GBPUSD buys are as follows:
- Price has tapped into 16hr demand zone and has caused an initial reaction upwards.
- Wyckoff accumulation has already been forming and just needs the Asian lows to be swept.
- POI has caused a break of structure to the upside and has also swept liquidity.
- Dollar is also looking bearish still so I'm still bullish for this pair at the moment.
- Liquidity lying above in the form of Asian lows and trendline liquidity.
P.S Ideally, I prefer the price to retest the 16-hour demand, eliminating the remaining Asian low within that zone and triggering the 0.78 Fibonacci range associated with the "Break Of Structure." This sequence would enhance the buying scenario by nullifying any potential reversal influences and positioning the price within a more refined and respected zone, as emphasized by the 16-hour demand.
GBPUSD short term Shorts to 1.22000GBPUSD has a similar bias to EU so im also currently looking for a sell setup to form to take price down towards an area of demand. This counter trend trade will allow us to catch a move before we end up buying alongside the bullish order flow at around the 1.22000 mark.
Scenario (A) - Price is currently reacting off our 6hr supply zone that we have marked out, this is were im expecting for price to fully complete a wyckoff distribution schematic and change character. As there has been an impulsive move to the upside it has left imbalances that im expecting to get filled. This will be a retracement as price has already expanded to the upside.
Scenario (B) - Is that price will continue to push higher and fail this zone to then mitigate the imbalance that is sitting just below the 9hr supply. From there, my next AOI will be at that level of supply to sell at a more premium price.
My confluences for GBPUSD shorts are as follows:
- Overall trend on the HTF (weekly/monthly) is bearish.
- Price tapped in to a 6hr supply zone and there is a daily supply just above.
- Momentum is slowing down expecting price to distribute and choch to the downside.
- Imbalances were left below due to NFP news so im expecting it to get filled via a pullback.
- For price to continue in its recent bullish trend im expecting price to come back to those demand levels below at 1.22000.
P.S. Either way the purporse behind these short term sells is to ride price back down towards areas of demand like the 6hr or the 1hr and then buy from there. This bias is also backed by the dollar index as you can see in that analysis post.
GBPUSDPrice have been in a bearish momentum for a while now. Although it is too early to say, price looks like it is forming a double bottom at this time and if that holds, we just might see a push up towards the 1.27500 area. But then again, it is too early to decide that as price could continue to push lower.
Before I make a trading decision, either bullish or bearish, here is what I would love to see:
I will go long IF AND ONLY IF Price breaks above the immediate resistance around the 1.25003 area and retests same zone.
I will short the market IF AND ONLY IF Price breaks below the immediate support around the 1.24507 and retests same zone
Until either one happens, we keep the fingers crossed and wait for the move.
Disclaimer:
All trade ideas are given for educational purposes and should not be treated as an investment advice, hence do your due diligence. Past results does not guarantee future results
GBPUSD Get ready for a new jump. Now we see that the GBPUSD is in narrow range between (1.22) and (1.235). adding to that the formation of a small rising wedge, and a small volatility in the market.
UK inflation is likely to fall in the near future according to the BoE Governor Bailey from yesterday, but it will still high too after that small fall.
the next move could be bullish reaching the next level of (1.262) if we braked the above resistance area between (1.235 and 1.24).
in case it will fall back, it could reach the area of (1.218) Again for the third time this month as a support line.
A Cautious Trend Continuation Idea Bullish Indications
• As per DOW’s theory Price action is registering Higher Highs and Higher Lows.
• Candle Stick pattern show Inverted Hammer is followed by Bullish Engulfing candle which indicates Bulls are in control.
• Support zone is at 1.23386 which can help price bounce up to continue bullish trend.
• Linear Regression Channel with standard deviation 2 is used as trend line Support and Resistance. It is evident Price has respected
median line and moved back up.
• Support Zone confluences with Fib Level 78.6% and price has respected it.
• Formation of Bullish Pennant , which indicates continuation of current trend.
• As per Seasonal Analysis, BXY remain Bullish until closing of 2nd week of January 2023 with an increment of
2.35% from December 2022. It is
safe to say it can sustain to close bullish for January Month.
• On the other hand, as per last 10 years seasonal BXY remain slightly bearish in January month.
• Macro Analysis on 1 Day Time-Frame trend is Bullish.
• Micro analysis on 15 Minutes Time-Frame Trend remains Bullish.
• Hidden Bullish Divergence spotted on RSI oscillator.
• Average Directional Index , which measures the trend direction strength and its value is at 31.96 which indicates trend is strong.
Bearish Indications
• Price action is approaching Resistance zone at 1.24103 which can bounce back.
• DXY index analysis shows it to be testing a major support area which can provide a cushion for a bounce back which can result in trend
reversal upon confirmation.
• AB=CD Harmonic Pattern indicates a reversal in trend is possible in area of 1.24526. But we can be only sure of reversal of trend if DOW’s
theory is valid for the trend.
• 10 years Seasonal analysis of DXY show it remain Bullish in January.
• BXY index analysis shows it to be approaching a major resistance zone which can bounce back the trend.
Analysis Takeaways:
As per facts available to us and projections we can assume that it is quite possible that trend will continue to be bullish with a short-term bounce back from resistance area and again will continue as biased. However, we can’t reject the possibility of trend reversal into a bearish trend as per market sentiments so we need to be cautious and safely take what we can until that happens.
Bias : Long
Plan (Long)
Entry Long: 1.23677 (Fib Lvl 88.6%)
TP: 1.24543 (Fib Lvl 100%)
TP2 : 1.25936 (Fib Lvl 1.27%)
Stop Loss: 123.066 (Fib level of 78.6%)
Risk/Reward: 1:3.94
Manage your Risk Accordingly and Remember Stop Loss is your friend.
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GBPUSD Long Term Predictions (4H Chart)Technical Analysis Summary
GBP/USD
TREND ANALYSIS
We have 1 Uptrend in green color (Long Term)
We have 1 Downtrend in red color (Long Term)
Be careful trends need to be modified when broken to the new peaks(Downtrend) and lows (Uptrend).
FUTURE PREDICTIONS
We have many resistance and support levels that I have mentioned above.
I use thickness as an indicator of strength of levels (ONLY FOR VISUALS).
White Levels are stop ;osses or levels that were respected from the past.
Good luck everyone, stay safe!
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