Gbpusd_forecast
GBPUSD Fundamental AnalysisThe Pound Sterling trades sideways near 1.2750 against the USD as investors await the US inflation data for November.
The impact of US inflation should be limited on Fed interest rate prospects unless there is a dramatic deviation from expectations.
Investors expect the BoE to leave interest rates steady at 4.75% on December 19.
Inflation Rate MoM
forecast: 0.3%
previous:0.2%
Core Inflation Rate MoM
forecast: 0.3%
previous: 0.3%
The Pound Sterling strives to reclaim the key resistance of 1.2800 against the US Dollar. The GBP/USD pair holds the 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) around 1.2720.
The 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) oscillates in the 40.00-60.00 range, suggesting a sideways trend.
Depending on how the inflation information is received, it could see the FX:GBPUSD claim 1.2800 or head down to 1.2500
GBP/USD Trade Setup: Potential Reversal The price is approaching the lower boundary of an ascending channel, with the RSI signaling an oversold condition, suggesting a potential reversal or bounce higher. Wait for confirmation before entering a long position on GBP/USD.
Target levels:
TP1: 1.2780
TP2: 1.3000
GBP/USD Positioned for Gains Amid DXY BearishnessTechnical Analysis
Monthly Chart:
On the monthly chart, GBP/USD appears overextended to the downside, showing signs of exhaustion in its bearish momentum. This overextension suggests that a reversal or correction is likely, aligning with broader dollar weakness.
Weekly Chart:
The weekly chart also indicates a slowdown in bearish pressure, with candles forming near key support zones. Buyers seem to be stepping in, reinforcing the potential for a trend shift.
Daily Chart:
The daily timeframe shows a strong bullish reversal pattern, signaling a potential trend change to the upside. This reversal is supported by the weakening DXY, which aligns with GBP/USD's upward momentum. The combination of a technical reversal and a fundamentally weaker dollar positions GBP/USD for further gains in the short to medium term.
Fundamental Analysis
Impact of the U.S. Dollar:
The bearish outlook for the DXY directly supports GBP/USD’s potential for upside:
Liquidity Grab in DXY: The recent liquidity grab above 107.348 on the DXY suggests a move lower for the dollar, which would bolster GBP/USD strength.
Federal Reserve Outlook:
Concerns over further rate cuts due to inflation risks are keeping the dollar volatile.
Seasonal labor market strength in November and December may delay immediate rate cuts, but any signs of weakening unemployment or inflation stabilization could lead to long-term dollar weakness.
Upcoming Catalysts:
Key U.S. data releases such as Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) and unemployment rates could create significant volatility. If unemployment increases and inflation stabilizes, GBP/USD could see stronger upward moves.
GBP Fundamentals:
UK Economic Resilience: Any positive data from the UK economy, such as improved GDP growth or strong employment figures, could further fuel GBP/USD's upward trend.
Rate Differentials: If the Bank of England maintains or raises interest rates while the Federal Reserve signals potential cuts, GBP/USD could gain additional support.
Summary and Outlook
Technical and Fundamental Alignment:
GBP/USD is well-positioned for a bullish move, supported by:
A technical reversal pattern on the daily chart, signaling strong upward momentum.
A bearish outlook for the DXY, indicating broader dollar weakness.
Key upcoming U.S. data releases that may provide further catalysts for a GBP/USD rally.
Price Expectations:
Short-Term: GBP/USD could continue its bullish push, breaking above immediate resistance levels.
Medium-to-Long-Term: With continued DXY weakness and supportive UK fundamentals, GBP/USD may sustain its upward trajectory toward major resistance zones.
GBP/USD’s technical and fundamental alignment makes this pair a strong candidate for further upside potential in the coming weeks. Traders should watch for confirmation from U.S. economic data to reinforce this analysis.
GBP/USD Longs from 1.2700 for another potential rally.This week, I expect GBP/USD to continue its bullish trend. I’ve identified 5-hour and 4-hour demand zones as key areas where I anticipate a retracement. In these zones, I’ll be watching for potential Wyckoff accumulation, signaling the continuation of the uptrend. Once price reaches these demand zones, I’ll wait for further confirmations before entering any trades.
If the price continues rising without retracing, I’ll consider potential sells around the newly created 2-hour supply zone, though its validity isn’t strong. My decision will depend on how well the lower timeframe execution model develops in that area.
Confluences for GBP/USD Buys:
- Bullish Momentum: The pair has been in an uptrend for the past two weeks.
- Liquidity Above: There’s still a significant amount of upside liquidity to be taken.
- Weekly Supply Zone Mitigation: Price has reacted and moved away from a major weekly supply zone.
- Demand Zone: A clean demand area below suggests a likely retracement point for price.
Note: As we approach mid-December, I expect market volume to decrease due to the upcoming holidays, which could lead to slower price movements. This is worth considering when planning entries and exits.
GBPUSD | "Cable" Weekly Forex Forecast: Bearish! Sell The -FVG!GBPUSD is weak, and has currently retraced into a Daily Imbalance, overlapped by a Weekly Imbalance. It is from this point of Internal Range Liquidity that I expect price to seek the next External Range Liquidity, down at the low, @1.2487. This will be the draw on liquidity for the upcoming week, imo.
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Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
Weekly Forex Forecast: GBPUSD Is Indicating Strength! GBPUSD had a strong close to last week. This led to a bullish BOS on the Daily TF, in the Weekly -FVG. I expect there to be a short term reaction to the imbalance, and then a resumption of the bullish momentum at the bullish FVG on the Daily TF.
Check the comments section below for updates regarding this analysis throughout the week.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
Is GBPUSD Setting Up for a Buy Opportunity?👀 👉 GBPUSD has shown impressive momentum, rebounding strongly from a key support level. The big question is—what’s next? I’m keeping a close eye on the price action, watching for a potential buy setup if the price continues to push higher from this level. Patience is essential, as waiting for confirmation can be the key to consistent results. 📢 *Disclaimer: This content is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.
GBPUSD 1HR CHART OUTLOOK GBP/USD 1HR Chart Outlook: The pair shows bullish momentum, with prices climbing above key support at . Immediate resistance is near , with a potential breakout targeting higher levels. Buyers may look for confirmation above for continuation, while maintaining caution against reversals."
Feel free to provide exact levels for a more tailored outlook!
Scenario GBPCAD continuation update levelsAccording to the previous prediction, I correctly calculated the short position and today it is just a continuation of this previous analysis with an adjustment of the level and a small description of the whole situation. With my eyes, we see resistance here at the price level of 1.78590. If the market does not break through, a peak has formed here, which ends with a triangle. For me, if there are no news that would reverse the trend, this position is short from my point of view. There may be an even smaller pull back, as I drew, we have the untested fibo level of 0.618, which is full of liquidity.
Scenario on GBPUSDWe have created a higher low on the market, which will ultimately mean for me that I will wait to see how the situation develops regarding the marked point. If the price breaks below, it still won't matter because the support is set below which the price would have to fall to start considering a short position. From this perspective, I rather like to return to the creation of a double bottom or some other formation for establishing an SFP because around the price of 1.274 - 1.2867 we don't have selected liquidity and from this price the resistance at the price of 1.3 is very close. This is just my view of the entire situation around this market.
GBPUSD DOWN The Pound Sterling clings to earlier gains yet trades off the weekly highs, which reached around 1.2749 during the European session. At the time of writing, the GBP/USD trades at 1.2684, virtually unchanged.GBP/USD Price Forecast: Technical outlook
Although the GBP/USD is set for weekly gains of over 1.2%, price action suggests Cable didn’t find acceptance above 1.2700, which could exacerbate a pullback toward the 1.2600 figure. In that outcome, the pair’s next support would be the November 27 daily low of 1.2564, followed by the November 26 low of 1.2506. On further weakness, the November 22 pivot low of 1.2486 is on the cards.
Conversely, if GBP/USD finishes the week above 1.2700, this could pave the way for testing the 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) at 1.2818. However, buyers must clear the current week’s peak of 1.2749.
Oscillators such as the Relative Strength Index (RSI) hint that buyers are gathering momentum, even though the RSI remains below its neutral line.
GBPUSD: Three Major Targets+DXY Dropping hard! CAPITALCOM:GBPUSD
GU has been dropping ever since we have got the election results. Due to DXY extreme bullish presence in the market. It was safe not to enter any buy positions or even selling was bit tricky in these kind of price action. However, things have changed so far, we can see DXY reversal and we are getting back to normal market conditions. Please Like and comment.
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GBPUSD Analysis!!!Dear Traders,
I'm observing a descending channel on GU, and expecting price to approach a key resistance zone around 1.3110 - 1.3170, marked in red. I'll be looking for bearish signs with clear confirmation, in this area to consider potential short entries. Should GBPUSD respect this resistance, it may retrace downwards, targeting support levels around 1.2900 and potentially reaching the 1.2820 zone if bearish momentum persists.
However, if buyers break through the resistance, I expect further bullish movement towards the upper yellow zones. Monitoring closely for confirmations before taking any position. 🚨
Any question comment me bellow!
GBP/USD Longs from 1.28000 as a retracement. This counter-trend idea comes from the fact that price is currently reacting at an old supply zone. However, if this supply fails, I wouldn’t be surprised to see price move up and take out the trendline liquidity above. Ideally, I’d prefer to wait for price to come down to the demand zones to mitigate before aiming for a move up to capture the liquidity pool.
I’ll be watching for signs of Wyckoff accumulation within my points of interest, particularly at the 55-minute or 18-hour demand zones, depending on how price behaves.
Confluences for GBP/USD Buys:
- Significant trendline liquidity to the upside that could be targeted.
- Demand zone has led to a break of structure on the upside.
- Price has been heavily bearish and may be due for a pullback.
- Several untouched Asian session highs above.
P.S. With upcoming news, including NFP and election events, I’ll likely stay on the sidelines unless a very clear setup emerges, and even then, I’ll keep risk minimal.
GbpUsd- Preparing for reversalAs I mentioned last week, I’m closely monitoring the GBP/USD pair for a potential upside reversal.
This expectation is based on the recent overlapping decline, which is contained within a channel, as well as the proximity to a significant support level.
In recent days, the pair hit a local low of 1.2912 before reversing toward 1.3000 and beginning a consolidation phase.
I believe it’s only a matter of time before GBP/USD clears the 1.3000 mark, potentially accelerating toward a target around 1.3150.