Gbpusd_forecast
#GBPUSD 1DAYGBPUSD (1D Timeframe) Analysis
Market Structure:
The price has broken above the downtrend resistance, indicating a potential shift from bearish to bullish momentum. This breakout suggests that buyers are gaining control, but further confirmation is needed before entering a position.
Forecast:
A buy opportunity may arise after a retest of the broken resistance level, which could now act as support.
Key Levels to Watch:
- Entry Zone: Wait for a retest of the breakout level and confirmation of support before considering a buy position.
- Risk Management:
- Stop Loss: Placed below the retest level or recent swing low to manage risk.
- Take Profit: Target higher resistance levels or key areas for potential upside movement.
Market Sentiment:
The breakout above the downtrend resistance is a sign of potential bullish movement, but patience is needed to ensure the price holds above the retested level before entering a trade.
GbpUsd could continue its reboundAfter breaking above the falling trendline from the end of January, GBP/USD has entered a consolidation phase between 1.23 and 1.25.
Recently, the pair tested the support zone once more and began to rebound.
In my opinion, the upward movement will continue, and we could see a test of the next resistance above 1.26.
In conclusion, I am looking to buy dips below 1.24, with invalidation occurring on a daily close below 1.23.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
GBP.USD Longs from 1.25600 back upI expect GBP/USD to continue its bullish momentum and push higher. Following the previous break of structure, I am looking for price to mitigate the 2-hour demand zone to maintain this upward trend. If price does not react from this level, I have also identified a 3-hour demand zone as a secondary point of interest.
If price reacts bullishly from either of these zones, my next selling opportunity will be at the refined 1-hour supply zone around 1.26600. Once price reaches this level, I will look for signs of distribution to confirm a potential short setup.
Confluences for GU Buys:
- For price to continue higher, it must mitigate a strong demand zone to gain momentum.
- Liquidity remains above, providing a natural target for price.
- The higher time frame trend is still bullish.
- Clean 2-hour, 3-hour, and 11-hour demand zones are in close proximity.
- DXY has been bearish, which aligns with this bullish GU outlook.
P.S. If price drops instead, I have an extreme discounted zone marked at the 11-hour demand zone at the bottom as a potential long entry.
GBPUSD AnalysisGBPUSD Analysis
The GBP/USD pair has been in a predominantly bearish trend since September of last year, although there have been occasional corrective rallies. Despite these minor pullbacks, the overall direction of the pair has remained downward over the period.
However, I believe that the bearish trend may have concluded. The pair has recently broken through a key structural resistance level, and the candle has closed decisively above this barrier, which is a strong indication of a potential shift in momentum. This breakout suggests a bullish setup could be forming, signaling a possible reversal in the pair's trajectory.
It is important to note that this is my personal analysis and should not be interpreted as financial advice or a trading signal. If you would like to explore my reasoning further, feel free to engage in the comments section, and I would welcome your thoughts on whether the pair is now poised for a bullish move or if the bearish trend may persist.
As always, thorough research and careful risk management are essential before making any trading decisions. Let me know what your perspective is—bullish or bearish—for this pair moving forward.
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📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT, Sentimental Outlook:
GBP/USD "The Cable" Forex Market market is currently experiencing a bullish trend,., driven by several key factors.
🔰 Fundamental Analysis
The current price of GBP/USD is 1.25110, with a slight increase from the previous day's open price of 1.23935. This upward movement could be attributed to the UK's economic indicators, such as GDP growth rate, inflation rate, and employment data.
🔰 Macroeconomic Analysis
From a macroeconomic perspective, the UK's economy has been experiencing a slowdown due to Brexit uncertainties and global economic downturn. However, the Bank of England's monetary policy decisions, such as interest rate changes, have been influencing the GBP/USD exchange rate.
🔰 COT Report
Net Long Positions: Institutional traders have increased their net long positions in GBP/USD to 60%
COT Ratio: The COT ratio has risen to 2.5, indicating a bullish trend
Non-Commercial Traders: Non-commercial traders, such as hedge funds and individual traders, have increased their long positions to 65%
🔰 Technical Analysis
Trend Line: The pair is holding comfortably above the ascending trend line
Moving Averages: The 200-period and 100-period Simple Moving Averages (SMA) are indicating a bullish bias
Relative Strength Index (RSI): The RSI indicator on the 4-hour chart stays above 50, indicating a bullish trend
🔰 Market Sentiment
Bullish Sentiment: 63% of client accounts are long on this market, indicating a bullish sentiment
Bearish Sentiment: 37% of client accounts are short on this market, indicating a bearish sentiment.
🔰 Positioning Data Analysis
Institutional Traders: Institutional traders are positioning themselves for a bullish trend, with some predicting a move to 1.28000.
Corporate Traders: Corporate traders are also monitoring the pair's performance, considering factors like interest rates and global economic trends
🔰 Overall Outlook
Bullish Trend: The GBP/USD pair is expected to continue its bullish trend, with potential upside to 1.28000.
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GBPUSD oversold bouncebacks capped by 1.2500 levelThe GBPUSD currency pair price action sentiment appears bearish, supported by the longer-term prevailing downtrend.
The key trading level is at 1.2500, which is the 25th February swing high. An oversold rally from the current levels and a bearish rejection from the 1.2500 level could target the downside support at 1.2250 followed by 1.2170 and 1.2100 levels over the longer timeframe.
Alternatively, a confirmed breakout above the 1.2500 resistance and a daily close above that level could trigger further rallies higher and a retest of the 1.2550 resistance level followed by 1.2600 and 1.2700.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
GBPUSD A Clear Sell To Buy Set UPFirst I want to thank you all for the love you have showed. Much appreciated.
Second, I sound groggy in this video..... just exhausted but hey, I have to do this for you guys.
Anyway, this is a follow up on the last video that I did (attached here) where I mentioned that since we have already gotten a bullish break of internal structure (signaling an internal trend change) we should expect a pullback.
At the time i was recording this, price is approaching a demand zone where we should expect to see a bullish reaction to take us back to where we are looking to get involved with the sells.
If you are comfortable buying from the zone, you should (I will just wait for the reaction off that demand zone into my supply zone to sell).
Caution to the people looking to sell.
If price makes a deeper pullback, (blasting through the demand zone), cancel your sell orders and start looking for buy opportunities.
If the decisional demand zone get's blasted, let's wait for the extreme to hold.
Market Analysis: Bullish Harmonic Bat Pattern on GBP/USDOverview of the Setup :
This chart highlights a **Bullish Harmonic Bat Pattern** on the GBP/USD pair, with the potential for a reversal to the upside after completing the pattern near the critical support zone.
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** Key Observations:
1. Harmonic Pattern :
- The **Bullish Bat Pattern** completes at point X (around 1.22628), which aligns with the 0.886 Fibonacci retracement level of the XA leg. This level represents a strong confluence of support and potential reversal.
- The reaction at this zone suggests that buyers may be stepping in.
2. Price Action :
- The recent downtrend has reached exhaustion at point X, with the price consolidating and showing signs of a potential reversal.
- The price has formed a **lower wick**, indicating rejection of lower levels and possible bullish momentum building.
3. Fibonacci and Take-Profit Targets :
- **Take-Profit Levels (TP):**
- **T1:** 1.23541 (50% retracement of the XA leg).
- **T2:** 1.24187 (0.618 retracement of the XA leg).
- The harmonic structure suggests these levels as the most probable targets for a bullish reversal.
4. Indicators :
- **Stochastic Oscillator:** In the oversold territory, signaling the likelihood of upward price movement as selling pressure weakens.
- **RSI:** Approaching oversold levels, further supporting the bullish reversal hypothesis.
5. Key Levels :
- **Support Zone:** Point X near 1.2260 is the critical level for the pattern’s validity.
- **Resistance Zones:** MHQP at 1.2500 is a longer-term resistance, while intermediate resistance levels are 1.2350 and 1.2418.
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Outlook and Strategy :
- **Bullish Bias:** The completion of the Bullish Bat Pattern and confluence of support suggest an opportunity for long positions targeting the Fibonacci take-profit levels (T1 and T2).
- **Entry Zone:** Enter long positions near 1.2260 if price action shows sustained bullish rejection.
- **Stop-Loss:** Place stops below 1.2220 to account for false breakouts.
- **Targets:**
- **T1:** 1.2350
- **T2:** 1.2418
Risk Factors :
- A sustained break below 1.2260 would invalidate the pattern and could lead to continued bearish momentum toward 1.2200.
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This analysis highlights a bullish opportunity driven by the completion of the harmonic pattern, with clearly defined entry, exit, and risk parameters.
GBP/USD Symmetrical Triangle Setup: Bullish Breakout?Here's an analysis based on the chart:
Key Observations :
1. **Bullish Triangle Pattern:**
- A symmetrical triangle or wedge is forming, suggesting potential consolidation before a breakout.
- The upward trendline indicates possible bullish momentum as price approaches a breakout point.
2. **Price Levels:**
- Resistance: 1.24860 (shown as the 1.13 Fibonacci extension level).
- Support: Around 1.24100, where price is currently hovering near the trendline.
3. **RSI (Relative Strength Index):**
- The RSI is above 50, which leans toward bullish momentum.
- Divergence may be forming as price action creates higher lows while RSI doesn't show the same strength.
4. **Candlestick Patterns:**
- Multiple rejections around support suggest buying pressure near the trendline.
Trading Implications:
1. **Bullish Breakout Setup:**
- If price breaks above 1.24860, it could signify a continuation to higher levels, potentially targeting a Fibonacci extension level beyond 1.25.
2. **Reversal or Bearish Setup:**
- If price fails to hold the ascending trendline, expect a move downward, potentially testing 1.23900 or lower.
Time to turn around? GBPUSD"That's GBP, the price go up if it's USD" = Central Cee, 21 Savage
Looks like these two rappers may be onto something here, reaching the 1.618 resistance, we may see the dollar rise against the pound again causing GBP to continue falling.
GBPUSD has currently pierced it's way out of the trend channel, let's see how this plays out.
GBPUSD - My Style!This is quite interesting for you to understand!!
Look at the green doodle, it shows where it would move
Red line shows till which time it would fall, expecting a short up move after the fall because theres a steep orderblock where people like to move things up,
The prior orange round half circle marked are 200SMA high lines.
Orange box is also where you can plan buys to wait like a shark to eat a puffer fish!!
GBPUSDHello Traders! What are your thoughts on GBPUSD?
My GBPUSD Technical Analysis Breakdown
Current Market Context
The British Pound versus US Dollar (GBPUSD) has shown resilience by bouncing from the critical $1.2300 support level. This price action suggests buyers are defending this level, though we remain within a larger bearish channel.
Technical Setup
- Strong support established at $1.2300
- Key resistance level: $1.2440 (bearish channel resistance)
- Current price action: Upward momentum from support
- Market structure: Inside bearish channel
Trade Scenarios
1. Bullish Scenario
- Entry Trigger: Clear break and close above $1.2440
- Profit Target: $1.2610
- Stop Loss: Below $1.2300
- Risk/Reward ratio: Approximately 1:2
2. Bearish Scenario
- Entry Trigger: Break below $1.2300
- Profit Target: $1.2210
- Stop Loss: Above $1.2340
- Risk/Reward ratio: Approximately 1:2.2
Today's Trading Plan
- Trading Range: $1.2300 - $1.2475
- Recommendation: Wait for clear breakout confirmation
- Risk Management: Keep position sizes moderate given current market uncertainty
- Key Action Points: Watch for strong price action and volume at key levels before entering
Remember: Enter trades only when your chosen scenario shows clear confirmation signals. This reduces the risk of getting caught in false breakouts.
GBPUSD Approaches Major Zone: Monitoring Dollar for Next MoveAt the moment, we are observing the GBPUSD pair with no clear bias, simply monitoring the price action as it approaches a key zone. From a monthly perspective, we can see that the price has been in a bullish trend for several consecutive months. However, it is now reaching an important level where a potential pullback could occur.
The plan is to start monitoring the 4-hour and daily charts, looking for a clear signal that confirms the price's intention to retrace from this area. We are not rushing to take a directional stance until the market provides a more decisive signal.
One key factor to watch is the current behavior of the dollar . It is sitting at a strong support zone, which could be affected by upcoming economic data. If this support breaks, we could see strength in GBPUSD , driven by the dollar's weakness.
It is crucial to keep an eye on the signals coming from the dollar and the forthcoming economic data, as these could trigger significant volatility and help define the next move in GBPUSD. Given the current state of the dollar, the likelihood of a correction or move in GBPUSD is high, but we need confirmation through price action.
GBPUSD Buy area at 1.23248 with strong confirmationsWait for the breakout and put the trade with proper analysis and risk mangements
GBPUSD Buy area at 1.23248 with strong confirmations
Stop Loos: 1.22963
Take Profit Level: 1.2376
Level 2nd; 1.24932
The Setup follow the 1st risk on account and use trail stop loss.