GBPUSD: The British Pound is on a short-term recovery trend.GBPUSD: The British Pound is on a short-time period restoration trend. In the context of USD adjusting downward. The situation in today`s consultation ought to see GBPUSD short-time period resistance across the 1.2730 region. It is anticipated that GU will preserve to growth and there may be reactions round this resistance region and decline. In the quick time period, you could purchase with GU and wait to promote above this resistance zone
Gbpusd_forecast
GBP/USD Bullish Momentum Following Demand Area ReactionFollowing our previous forecast, GBP/USD has gained volume on the bullish side, showing a strong reaction in the demand area we highlighted on Friday. Early Monday, the USD remains under modest bearish pressure amid an improving risk mood, which helps GBP/USD hold its ground and maintain its upward trajectory.
US Economic Data and Market Sentiment
The US economic docket for today includes the release of the Chicago Fed National Activity Index and the Dallas Fed Manufacturing Business Index. While these data points are important, they are unlikely to trigger a significant market reaction. Investors are expected to remain focused on broader risk perception and market sentiment, which currently favor a bullish outlook for GBP/USD.
Technical Analysis and Market Outlook
From a technical perspective, we have identified a strong support/demand area where GBP/USD has recently rebounded. This area, around the 1.26800 level, has provided a solid foundation for the pair's bullish momentum. The price reaction in this zone indicates that buyers are stepping in, reinforcing the potential for further gains.
Additionally, the improving risk sentiment in the market has contributed to the USD's modest bearish pressure, providing additional support for the GBP/USD pair. As investors move towards riskier assets, the demand for safe-haven currencies like the USD tends to decrease, further bolstering the GBP's strength.
Anticipated Price Movement
Considering the current market conditions and technical signals, we anticipate an increase in GBP/USD's price. The pair is expected to continue its upward movement as long as it remains above the key support/demand area. This bullish outlook is further supported by the overall market sentiment and the lack of high-impact economic data that could alter the USD's trajectory in the short term.
Conclusion
In summary, GBP/USD is showing strong bullish momentum following a significant reaction in the demand area. With the USD under modest bearish pressure and an improving risk mood, the pair is well-positioned to continue its upward trend. Investors should keep an eye on broader market sentiment and technical signals to capitalize on this potential movement. As always, it's important to stay updated with any changes in market conditions that could impact this outlook.
GBPUSD SWING IDEA OVER 200 PIPSOn the daily chart, GBPUSD appears to be moving sideways at first glance. However, a closer look reveals a distinct pattern in the price action. There's a key level around 1.28200 that the price has consistently respected for some time. If you delve deeper, you'll notice that the price approached this level within a contracting channel, broke through it, and is now forming a bearish continuation pattern. This is a crucial development to watch closely. Stay alert for potential moves!
Based on the provided chart for the GBP/USD 4-hour timeframe, heBased on the provided chart for the GBP/USD 4-hour timeframe, here’s the technical analysis:
### Observations:
1. **Current Trend**:
- The pair is currently in a downtrend, with a series of lower highs and lower lows.
2. **Order Block (OB)**:
- An order block is identified around the 1.2700 level. This zone often acts as a significant area of resistance due to institutional orders.
3. **Liquidity Zone**:
- The liquidity zone is marked below the current price, suggesting a potential target for the bearish movement.
4. **Retracement**:
- The price has the potential to retrace to the identified order block around 1.2700 before continuing its downward movement towards the liquidity zone.
### Analysis:
- **Retracement to Order Block**:
- It’s likely that the price might retrace to the order block around the 1.2700 level. This zone could act as resistance, where sellers may step in, increasing selling pressure.
- **Bearish Continuation to Liquidity Zone**:
- Following the retracement to the order block, the price is expected to continue its bearish trend. The liquidity zone below represents an area where stop-loss orders may be clustered, making it an attractive target for bearish momentum.
### Potential Trade Plan:
1. **Entry**:
- Consider entering a short position if the price retraces to the order block around 1.2700 and shows signs of rejection (e.g., bearish candlestick patterns or increased selling volume).
2. **Stop Loss**:
- Place a stop-loss order above the order block, possibly around 1.2730 to 1.2750, to account for potential false breakouts.
3. **Target**:
- Aim for the liquidity zone as the primary target, which is below the 1.2500 level.
### Risk Management:
- Ensure proper risk management by not risking more than 1-2% of your trading capital on this setup.
- Monitor the trade closely for any signs of reversal or unexpected market movements.
### Conclusion:
The chart indicates a probable bearish scenario where a retracement to the order block may provide a good entry point for a short position. The ultimate target would be the liquidity zone below the current price. Always confirm with additional technical indicators and keep abreast of any fundamental news that might impact the GBP/USD pair.
GU bearish reaction from 1.27600 or 1.27800My bias for GU this week is to look for sell opportunities. I expect the price to react from the current demand zone I identified last week, which should trigger a pullback towards the supply zone.
Once the price reaches either the 10-hour or 12-hour supply zone, I will look for a Wyckoff distribution on the lower time frame and a clear shift in trend, indicating the price is ready to resume its downward trend.
Confluences for GU Sells are as follows:
- Lots of liquidity below that needs to get taken as well as imbalances that need to get filled.
- DXY is also looking bullish which aligns with this idea as well.
- Price has left a clean level of supply that has been unmitigated.
- Price is currently in a downtrend so this is a pro-trend idea.
- Higher time frame and candle stick anatomy also show bearish
P.S. If the price continues to decline, I will wait for it to enter a deeper demand zone before buying back up, assuming the new week starts off bearish. However, my overall strategy for this week is to focus on sell opportunities.
GBPUSD trading signals on June 13The British Pound (GBP) fell below the key support level of 1.2800 against the US Dollar (USD) during Thursday's trading session in London. The GBP/USD pair corrected sharply after rising to near a three-month high of 1.2860, inspired by a cooler-than-expected United States (US) Consumer Price Index (CPI) report. in May.
Cable posted decent gains as the US Dollar rebounded after the latest interest rate forecast from Federal Reserve (Fed) policymakers during the June monetary policy meeting suggests that there will be just one rate cut this year, compared with three predicted in March. The Fed signaled fewer interest rate cuts as strong labor market conditions and price pressures remained higher in the first quarter of the year. The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the value of the Greenback against six major currencies, recovered further to 104.80
After the Fed kept interest rates unchanged in the range of 5.25%-5.50% as expected, officials admitted that disinflation progress toward the 2% target was slower than they predicted. The Fed also revised its forecast for the Core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index, the Fed's preferred measure of inflation, to 2.8% in 2024, up from the 2.6% estimate by the Fed. March .
The recovery can extend to the strong support zone of 1,275, we can establish a BUY signal. This price range is supported by the trendline EMA 34 and EMA 89 in an uptrend. This is also the old DOW breakout area, so the price will react in this area.
Wishing you a successful trading day
GBPUSD: The British Pound tends to increaseGBPUSD: The British Pound has also tended to increase right from the support zone around 1.2700, so in the short term it is expected that GBPUSD will still maintain above this price range. The uptrend is still guaranteed. Ace can consider buying briefly with GU today, the short-term goal is to retest the resistance area around 1.2770.
GBPUSD is flat as the market is waiting for important newsGBPUSD: The British Pound yesterday also largely accumulated sideways as the market was waiting for important news. However, technically, it can be seen that the upward trend is still being maintained. Therefore, you can consider the option of continuing to buy up GBPUSD today. It is expected that there is a possibility of a breakout to the higher target area around 1.2900 if NONFARM today is unfavorable for USD.
GBPUSD: The British Pound has also increasedGBPUSD: The British Pound has also had a positive increase in the context of the USD weakening strongly. So GBPUSD broke above the 1.28 resistance and is currently at 1.2813. Scenario in today's session GBPUSD will continue to maintain its uptrend to the higher resistance area around 1.0880. You can consider buying GBPUSD in the short term. Recommended to buy around 1.2800
GBPUSD Bullish on a broader view1.5 years ago FX:GBPUSD Took a hit and dropped to its All time low at around 1.03 then it turned back around after that hit and since then it has been on a bullish run. On 6M 12M and 1M frames I can say that the bullish trend for the pair is still intact with targets at
TP1 - 1.28800
TP2- 1.31100
TP3 - 1.36800
On the downside the exchange rate will stop at
SL1- 1.23198
SL2- 1.21021
SL3 -1.18000
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Do your own analysis and use hardstop order
GBPUSD: The British Pound has also corrected in the short term.GBPUSD: The British Pound has additionally corrected withinside the quick term. Currently, this forex pair is keeping across the aid degree on the 1.2690 area. However, with the modern-day fashion and downward pressure, it's miles probable that GBPUSD will penetrate this aid quarter to a deeper fee variety across the 1.2640 area. You can recollect keeping the sell-down watch with GU today
GBP (GBPUSD, 6B1!) Weekly Forex Forecast.... BULLISH!Bias is Bullish, overall.
Price has formed several +FVGs on the way to the DOL.
Potentially, a pullback to one can propel price higher to the draw on liquidity at 1.2810.
I do not think price pullback further than this +FVG at 1.2745. This is also the location of the
Volume Imbalance seen on the Daily TF.
GBP/USDLast week, the Pound Sterling (GBP) and the US Dollar (USD) exchanged minor gains, with the GBPUSD pair surpassing 1.2750 for the first time in two months.
Notwithstanding its robust commencement to the week, the Pound Sterling encountered challenges in the face of a resurging US Dollar, ultimately accumulating moderate gains and perpetuating the preceding week's ascent.
The central theme of this week was the diminishing anticipation of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve (Fed) and the Bank of England (BoE). This was partially mitigated by renewed demand for the US Dollar, which tempered optimism surrounding the British Pound.
As expectations of a June rate cut by the BoE were dampened by the delayed decline in UK inflation, GBPUSD reached a two-month high of 1.2762. In contrast, cautious remarks from Fed officials and ardent sentiments expressed in the minutes of the May Fed meeting countered expectations of aggressive rate cuts, reviving demand for the US Dollar and instigating a decline in the GBPUSD pair.
In April, the ONS reported a monthly decline in retail sales of 2.3%, compared to expectations of -0.4% and March's -0.2%. Notwithstanding this, the Pound Sterling managed to maintain its value above 1.2700, as the USD was unable to sustain its strength heading into the weekend due to improving risk sentiment.
In the daily chart of GBP/USD, the recent price showed a buying pressure above the dynamic 20-day EMA line. Moreover, the rising RSI line above the 50.00 level with a confluence of bullish pressure from the 100 day SMA could extend the gain towards the 1.2828 resistance level.
However, a failure to break this line with a daily close below the 20 DMA could initiate a downside correction.