Gbpusd_forecast
GBP/ USD EntriesLooking for a break out of the Rising wedge pattern, at this precise moment I am leaning towards shorts. However in order to get a valid Entry I would need to see a 4h close below the blue zone with a retest and a lower low close on the 30 min back to the bottom of structure / or trendline.
Alternatively for a long I would need to see the opposite with the 4h close being above structure and blue zone. Probably no entries until after tomorrows CPI.
GBPUSD Potentially bearishFX:GBPUSD broke out on the downside of the range market on H4. We are currently seeing a retest of the consolidation, a close below 1.25963 would be a good point to get into the market for a sell. A close above the 1.26606 would mean the bulls getting back into the market at which point I will rather stay out to see what the market will tell us. For the now, I'm favoring the bearish move and will wait for market to cross the 125963 mark.
GBPUSD Trade Idea#GBPUSD downtrend pauses with a pullback. Potential short opportunity if price rejects at resistance during this pullback. Higher timeframes remain bearish with a recent 1D market structure break. We're eyeing a short entry around 61.8%-78.6% Fibonacci zone. Remember, trading is risky. This is just my opinion, not financial advice.
GBPUSD CONFIRM BUY TODAY GBP/USD lost nearly 1% on Friday and registered losses for the week as the US Dollar (USD) rallied on the back of the impressive labor market data for January. The pair holds relatively steady slightly above 1.2600 early Monday but the near-term technical outlook highlights a lack of buyer interest.
Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) in the US increased by 353,000 in January. Additionally, the Bureau of Labor Statistics announced that it revised the November and December prints by a total of 126,000. In turn, the benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond yield surged above 104.00 and the USD Index, which tracks the USD's performance against a basket of six major currencies, rose more than 0.8% and touched its highest level since early December above 104.00.
GBPUSD: 1000 pips Swing Selling Idea, What do you think? FX:GBPUSD
Dollar influenced in the beginning of the year is extreme probably after the major holidays, market moved back to normal level of volume. DXY is bullish because of news coming ahead in this week and other reason was most of the usd pairs were overbought such as gbpusd and eurusd.
GBPUSD dropped heavily since yesterday and we expect price to continue dropping to level up the market equilibrium. Enter now with your suitable stop loss to get most out of this chart analysis.
Please like the idea if you agree with it.
GBPUSD | H4 | Trade Alert [Update]Initial position on GBPUSD taken out by a small margin as market headed up to touch our diagonal resistance which was created by our ascending channel which can be identified on our H1 & H4 timeframes within our overall larger structure which is currently in a consolidation(invalidating LTF QML formation). I’ll be entering a new sell position at 1.27518 with stops at 1.27924 (-41 pips) at final take profit at 1.25252 (+226 pips) giving us a 1 : 5.5 risk reward ratio. Should my orders not be triggered and price start trading above 1.28xxx I’ll be removing all pending orders while waiting for the market to give clear direction as we’re currently trading within a larger consolidation.
GBPUSD SELL opportunity 1.2610 TP 1.2334GBPUSD SELL opportunity 1.2610 TP 1.2334
GBPUSD BUY opportunity 1.2655 TP 1.2757
GBPUSD BUY opportunity 1.2535 TP 1.2635
Confirmation after the breakout support level.
If Broke through support will reach to next support level 1.2370. The Current Resistance level is 4H 1.2827 and support is 1.2501
GBPUSD:Do My Observations Align with Yours in the Trading Arena?Examining the GBPUSD price, it's evident that the market has been moving sideways since December of the previous year. During such periods, it's advisable to refrain from taking any action and patiently await a clear market direction. Executing trades aligned with the overall market trend is crucial, yet the current prices are not providing a distinct indication. 📉📈
In times of uncertainty, it is wise to follow the advice that my father has shared with me: when unsure of what to do, it's often best to do nothing at all. Notably, there seems to be liquidity at approximately 1.28000 and 1.25500, a pattern observed consistently. Market makers tend to extract liquidity from both ends, bringing prices to a balance point before a new trend emerges. ⚖️💹
Hence, it is crucial to exercise patience and discipline. In the realm of asset trading, exploring various pairs and assets can open up more opportunities for profitable trades. In the current market scenario, I am committed to practicing patience and allowing the price to reveal its direction before making any trading decisions. ⌛👀
GBP/USD:Unraveling the Impact of UK Wage Growth DataGBP/USD:Unraveling the Impact of UK Wage Growth Data
The Pound Sterling finds itself at a crossroads following the release of disappointing UK wage growth figures for the quarter ending November. Despite steady employment levels, the looming economic challenges cast a shadow on the currency's performance. A risk-off sentiment prevails, further intensified by concerns over UK inflation data, keeping the Pound Sterling under pressure.
Market Response:
During Tuesday's European morning session, the GBP/USD took a step back as the UK Office for National Statistics (ONS) unveiled a slowdown in Average Earnings data for the three months leading up to November. This unexpected deceleration adds to the complexity of an already challenging economic landscape.
Economic Challenges:
The UK economy faces the ominous prospect of a technical recession, with the ONS reporting a contraction in the third quarter of 2023. The Bank of England (BoE) shares a cautious outlook, expressing less confidence in any growth during the final quarter of 2023. Factors such as higher interest rates and an escalating cost-of-living crisis contribute to the prevailing economic uncertainty.
Technical Analysis:
Examining the GBP/USD from a technical standpoint, the price retraced to the Demand Zone around the 61.8% Fibonacci area. This area becomes particularly significant due to the confluence with the Supply zone and the presence of the dynamic trendline within the Bullish Channel. Additionally, the Stochastic indicator signaling an Oversold condition presents an intriguing opportunity for traders. This setting potentially offers a discounted buying opportunity, with an optimistic outlook for a price surge aligned with the ongoing Bullish trend.
Conclusion:
As economic challenges cast a shadow on the Pound Sterling's performance, traders and investors closely monitor the technical landscape for potential opportunities. The convergence of factors, including the economic headwinds, technical indicators, and the cautious stance of the BoE, shapes the narrative for the GBP/USD. How the Pound navigates these challenges will be pivotal in determining its trajectory in the coming sessions.
Our preference
Long positions above 1.25350 with targets at 1.2750 & 1.2850 in extension
GBPUSD LONG TERM BULLISH !! HELLO FRIENDS!
GBPUSD on daily TF showing us holding a strong support zone we are expecting a little retracement and then we can join the bull rally BOE is keeping interest rates higher which is showing a strength in currency after a big drop from BREXIT till now friends its just an trade idea shares Ur thoughts with us it helps trader community.
Stay Tuned for more updates!
GBP / USD LONG Very Messy price Action, and am long bias as I believe that gbp is the stringer currency. In order to take this I would like a rejection from bottom, ideally via a break and and pull back back into structure with a 4h close and a higher high close on a smaller time frame for a long back to the top of structure.
Alternatively if a pull back doesn't occur then i would look for a break and a 4h close above the blue zone with a retest and a Higher high close on the smaller time frame.
GBPUSD - Downside Caution Sees Dip EntryOverall bullish trend for Cable, which has presented a correction opportunity off the daily.
Moving lower implies an obtuse support to break, making it a tough call for further downside potential.
Longs of current 1.27200 allocates very poor risk to reward - this implies a better ratio off buying the impending dip toward 1.26700 .
GBPUSD Trade IdeaThe GBPUSD daily chart suggests a confirmed downside break of market structure. While a healthy retracement is ongoing, the 50-61.8% Fibonacci retracement zone offers a possible shorting opportunity if price action confirms on a lower timeframe (e.g., 15m / 5m). Targets lie at the current candle low and prior daily lows (refer to snapshot).
Please note: This is an informative analysis, not a trade recommendation. Conduct your own due diligence and risk management before taking any trading decisions.
GBPUSD: Dollar slides lower after CPI data; Sterling is supporteThe dollar steadied in early European trade on Friday as investors focused on mixed U.S. consumer inflation data and the potential impact of the FBI's interest rate cut. Future Federal Reserve System.
As of 4:25 p.m. ET (9:25 p.m. Japan time), the dollar index against a basket of six other currencies was trading steady at 102.022, down from Thursday's high of 102.76 (a five-month low). Although it has fallen from a certain point of 100.61, it is still above it.
U.S. consumer prices rose 0.3% in December, according to data released Thursday. The annual rate of increase was 3.4%, exceeding expectations of 0.2% and 3.2% increases, respectively. increase. However, the dollar received little support from this, as the "core" CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, fell again, suggesting underlying inflation remained subdued.
Federal Reserve officials have sought to downplay the possibility of early rate cuts, with Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester saying Thursday that the latest CPI numbers indicate it may be too early for the central bank to cut rates. Major interest rate cuts in March.
But most traders still expect the Fed to start cutting rates as early as March.
"A rate cut in March is still priced in by more than 60%, and we still see near-term vulnerability in risk assets from this move," ING analysts said in a note. The new decision is too restrictive. ”
All eyes are now on the US producer price index, which will be released in late trading, with the index expected to rise 0.1% in December, bringing the annual rate of increase to just 1.3%.
In Europe, the pound/dollar pair rose 0.1% to 1.2775 after data released on Friday showed the British economy grew slightly more than expected in November. The country's GDP rose 0.3% this month, beating expectations for a 0.2% increase.
GBPUSD Shorts from 1.28000 down towards demand This pair continues to grab my attention, particularly as it approaches my 10-hour supply zone. I anticipate a redistribution and subsequent sell-off targeting the equal lows. It's important to note that this is a counter-trend trade aimed at capturing a temporary downward movement to a more favourable demand.
Given the substantial liquidity at the newly identified 4-hourly demand zone, my strategy involves patiently waiting for the equal lows to be swept, filling the imbalance, and eventually triggering a reaction off the prominent 11-hour demand zone. However, I will assess price behaviour within the 4-hour zone, considering it as the closest opportunity for potential buys.
Confluences for GBPUSD Sells are as follows:
- Price has swept liquidity to the upside and now price is slowing down
- Bullish pressure is now getting exhausted as you can see from the candlesticks.
- Price has filled in an imbalance just below our 10-hour supply zone.
- There is lots of liquidity to the downside that needs to get taken like equal lows.
- Price is due for a pullback to enter a level of demand if price wants to keep pushing higher.
- Overall on the higher time frame the market is bearish and I do see the dollar rising just a little more.
P.S. As price steadily advances, this serves as additional confirmation that it is likely to react off the nearby supply zone. Consequently, I anticipate a Wyckoff distribution to unfold.
Have a great week ahead traders!
GBPUSD DOUBLE BUTTOM 15 MINS BUYGBPUSD has made a double buttom around pyschological level of 1.27500 show that market might continue moving up. Look at overall chart we can see that whole trend is up so that there is higher probability that price will go up. So it expected to buy at buttom of the the candle set stoploss below the buttom and target a profit at pyschological level of 1.28000