GBP/USD - Downtrend Resumes below 1.2466The 15-minute timeframe is now a downtrend, we saw a completed wave structure yesterday. The pullback to that move is valid and we expect a follow-through. Having said that, the 1Hr timeframe is still not 100% Bearish, we need to see a break below 1.2466 before we can safely say the H1 is now bearish.
The alternative Scenario is this; If the price should fail to break below 1.2466, and it proceeds to break above the (c) high 1.2506, we will reverse the position and buy immediately.
Right now we are bearish and we sell or do nothing.
Gbpusdanalysis
GBPUSD: The market was quiet waiting for the Fed's statementsGBP/USD traded 0.3% lower to 1.2473, ahead of Thursday's meeting of the Bank of England.
The UK central bank is expected to leave interest rates unchanged this week, with speculation it could steer markets towards a cut as soon as next month - soon after the ECB is expected to cut drops on June 6.
💡 GBPUSD: Analysis May 7GBPUSD looks like this is a false break around the resistance area so there is a high possibility that the market will decline, but currently the market is not giving us any sell signals.
Now you can wait for the price to form a new trading signal before you can trade, or you can wait for the price to form a downtrend in a low time frame and then sell.
Currently, we just need to wait for more confirmation from the market to form a clear trend
💡 GBPUSD: Analysis May 8GBPUSD turned down in price, confirming the previous false breakout signal, so you can see that the short-term trend of this currency pair is decreasing so you can sell.
The nearest resistance area is the supply area and also the previous peak and bottom area around 1.2530. You can wait for the price to return to this area and then look for a signal to sell later. Currently, there is no price recovery but the downward momentum is still strong, so please wait patiently.
GBP/USD Show H&S Pattern , Short Setup Valid To Get 150 Pips !This Is An Educational + Analytic Content That Will Teach Why And How To Enter A Trade
Make Sure You Watch The Price Action Closely In Each Analysis As This Is A Very Important Part Of Our Method
Disclaimer : This Analysis Can Change At Anytime Without Notice And It Is Only For The Purpose Of Assisting Traders To Make Independent Investments Decisions.
DeGRAM | GBPUSD has fallen into the demand zoneGBPUSD is moving in an ascending channel between the trend lines.
The price has fallen into the demand zone.
After reaching the current levels, the chart bounced and reached the upper boundary of the channel, but formed a descending top.
We expect a pullback within the channel.
-------------------
Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support!
GBP/USD looks bearish, sell the ralliesHello friends, last Friday, GBPUSD broke the 1.26 level but failed to sustain above. The daily candle on Friday looks like bulls have lost control.
Bulls have also failed at the key 100-day EMA level which further solidifies the bearish bias in GBPUSD . I have already sold GBPUSD on Friday above the 1.2620 level.
At present, I will consider selling the rallies in GBPUSD is price reaches the 1.26 level once again.
GBP/USD outlook: Pre-BOE decision time The British Pound has seen a partial retreat against the USD ahead of the Bank of England's interest rate announcement.
It's widely anticipated that rates will remain steady at 5.25%. Consequently, attention is likely to be directed towards the voting split among the nine-member Monetary Policy Committee and the accompanying commentary, as these factors could influence market sentiment. How this split lands could affect the present futures markets predictions that the first UK rate cut will come in September.
If the forecast is pushed back, we could see the 1.2500 psychological level provide support potential for the GBP/USD. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) has recently declined below the 50 level, highlighting a lack of bullish momentum, so we might like to see this pick up also.
Moreover, the GBP/USD has dipped below the 200-day moving average. This could be the first level of resistance to take note of that could impede any upward trend. After this, levels of resistance the GBP/USD pair could face include the 50-day moving average (DMA) close to 1.2600.
GBPUSD Going as expectedI was expecting a retrace on GBPUSD and here you are. The limit order i shared some days ago worked perfectly and we easily made 90+ pips with one position only, and also the first entry is in profit. I am break even with both positions, and i am holding the trades till the support zone i drawed on the chart. There i will looks for a reversal pattern to enter long
💡 GBPUSD: BOE reduced interest rates at the May policy meetingMUFG predicts that the Bank of England (BoE) may signal its readiness to lower interest rates soon, potentially starting as soon as the upcoming meeting. Recent statements from MPC members and upcoming inflation forecasts support a shift towards a more dovish policy stance. Key points:
Policy rate expectations: BoE will likely maintain the current policy rate at 5.25% in its next meeting. However, recent dovish changes in the rhetoric of MPC members, especially from Deputy Governor Dave Ramsden, indicate a growing trend towards interest rate cuts.
Inflation and economic outlook: The BoE's quarterly inflation report is expected to reflect an updated economic outlook, suggesting the risk of inflation overshooting target is receding. This change could confirm a softer approach to monetary policy.
MPC voting pattern: Many MPC members may be influenced by Lieutenant Governor Ramsden's views and moderate in the upcoming vote. This change in voting dynamics could pave the way for interest rate cuts in the next meetings.
GBP/USD BUY TO SELL (up towards 1.26500)This week's analysis for GBPUSD presents promising opportunities based on anticipated price movements. Near current price levels, there's a nearby 4-hour demand zone that could potentially trigger a bullish reaction, although I'm cautious about its strength. However, my primary focus is on the daily supply zone.
If price fails to reach the daily supply, it might delve deeper to interact with a stronger demand area, possibly sparking another bullish rally. In such a scenario, I'll align my trades with the prevailing uptrend, considering the recent pattern of higher highs and higher lows. Once price reaches the daily supply zone, I'll be prepared to enter significant sell positions.
Confluences for buys are as follows:
- Price has recently been in an uptrend, forming higher highs and higher lows.
- Daily supply zone that needs to get mitigated eventually.
- Good demand zones left that price might pick up another bullish rally from.
- Liquidity to the upside as well as substantial imbalances that need mitigation.
- price has also recently broke structure to the upside once again to confirm the trend.
P.S. If price reaches the supply zone without eliciting a reaction from any of my demand points of interest (POIs), I'll patiently wait for a wyckoff distribution to develop on lower time frames before initiating my short positions.
Have a great trading week guys!
GBPUSD possible short for 1.235536K long removed by last 4 weeks & 20K shorts increased.
Net position 57k shorts increase by last 4 weeks.
longer term view by 10 weeks 48k long removed, 27k shorts increased.
Net position changed by last 10 weeks increased 75k shorts.
23% shorts increased by last 4 weeks while 29% shorts increased by last 10 weeks.
Net impact is bearish by Non-Commercials.
supply zone for short 1.2645-2700. stop loss: 1.2720, target: 1.2355
GbpUsd at an important junctureIn my posts over the past month and a half, I've maintained a bearish stance on $FX:GBPUSD. However, despite reaching a low of 1.23, the pair reversed course and climbed back to 1.25+, failing to meet my prediction of reaching the 1.2 zone.
Currently, GBPUSD is trading at 1.2540, marking a crucial point for this pair. While I typically don't present multiple scenarios for a trade, it's important to consider both possibilities at this juncture.
1. If the pair drops back below 1.2450, it would indicate a continuation of the downtrend and bring my initial target back into play.
2. Conversely, a rise above 1.26 could signal further gains, potentially pushing the pair towards 1.28.
GBPUSD: Dollar steadies after falling overnight, nonfarm payrollThe dollar index and dollar index futures were both steady in Asian trading after falling 0.6% in overnight trading.
Pressure on the USD comes from a strong yen, while Fed Chairman Jerome Powell reiterated that the bank will not raise interest rates further.
However, the outlook for the dollar remains upbeat thanks to the prospect of a Fed rate cut being pushed back to at least the fourth quarter.
The focus now turns to nonfarm payrolls data for April, released on Friday, for further signals on the economy and interest rates.
Coming up: BOE's rate decision week Coming up: BOE's rate decision week
Morgan Stanley has asserted that the Bank of England might still opt for an interest rate cut in the coming week, a stance that stands out amidst dwindling market confidence in such a move. Morgan Stanley’s opinion diverges notably from the consensus, which suggests an initial rate cut by the BOE in September.
Backing Morgan Stanley's perspective is the decline in U.K. inflation to 3.2% in March from the previous month's 3.4%, although it fell short of analysts' projections of 3.1%.
Jens Eisenschmidt, Morgan Stanley’s chief economist, is adamant that rate reductions are on the horizon for both the U.K. and the ECB, while the Fed might adopt a more cautious approach for now.
Meanwhile, the European Central Bank, which hinted at an impending rate adjustment last week, has cited escalating tensions in the Middle East as potential obstacles to these plans. Perhaps these same concerns weigh on the BOE?
Technically, buyers of GBP/USD struggled to maintain levels above the resistance at the 200-day moving average, approximately at 1.2550. This scenario could potentially lead to a test of the recent cycle low observed at 1.2299. Conversely, if buyers manage to reclaim the 1.2500 level, they may challenge the 50-day moving average at 1.2612, followed by the April high at 1.2708.
GBPUSD is Ready to Go Down(➡️RR=2.58)🏃♂️ GBPUSD is moving in the 🔴 Resistance zone($1.256-$1.250) 🔴and near the Yearly Pivot Point and 200_EMA(Daily) .
💡According to the theory of Elliott waves , GBPUSD seems to have completed five impulse waves . And now we have to wait for correction waves .
💡Also, we can see Regular Divergence(RD-) between two Consecutive Peaks .
🔔I expect GBPUSD to continue falling at least to the 🎯Target🎯 I have specified on the chart.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
GBPUSD
🔴Position: Short
✅Entry Point: 1.2555 USD (Limit Order)
⛔️Stop Loss: 1.2600 USD
💰Take Profit: 1.2439 USD👉Risk-To-Reward: 2.58
⚠️Please don't forget to follow capital management.
⚠️Please pay attention to the style of opening the position.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
GBPUSD
🔴Position: Short
✅Entry Point: 1.2504 USD (Stop Limit Order)
⛔️Stop Loss: 1.2552 USD
💰Take Profit: 1.2439 USD👉Risk-To-Reward: 1.35
⚠️Please don't forget to follow capital management.
⚠️Please pay attention to the style of opening the position.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
British Pound/ U.S.Dollar Analyze ( GBPUSD ), 1-hour time frame ⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
GBPUSD. Levels for intraday trading 1.05.2024During the day you can trade from these price levels. Finding the entry point into a trade is up to you, depending on your trading style and the development of the situation.
If you expect any medium-term price movements, then most likely they will start from one of the zones.Relevant to use as a location for installing TP.
Levels are valid throughout the day, the date is in the title. The next morning I adjust the levels based on current data and publish a new post.
The history of level development can be seen in my previous posts. They cannot be edited or deleted. Everything is fair. :)
---------------------------------------
Levels are drawn before the European session, based on volumes and data from the CME. They are used as zones of interest for intraday trading. When approaching a level, a “reaction” is expected, which can be traded for both a rebound and a breakout. The worst option is if we revolve around the level in a flat.
Do not reverse the market at every level. If there is a trend movement, consider it as an opportunity to continue the movement. Until the price has drawn a reversal pattern.
TV does not allow publishing timeframes smaller than M15.Reactions to levels and the search for entry points are more convenient to look at M5-M1.
Don’t forget to like Rocket and Subscribe!!!