Gbpusdanalysis
GbpUsd near a very important breakThe break of support on April 12 proved to be a false one. After establishing a higher low at the beginning of May, FX:GBPUSD is once again trading near resistance.
A break above this resistance would be significant, as the price has reversed from this level multiple times, and it also aligns with the falling trend line.
I will remain bullish as long as the price stays above 1.26, and I am looking for a rise above 1.3.
GBPUSDFor the operational paired GBP/USD recently received a buy signal after breaking above the 1. 2708 resistance level as it remains a vital signal of higher odds of a bull market persistence. This pair is pointing towards some more of the resistance level of nearly 1. 2780
The current intraday bias is up which has a support at 1. 2445 holds. However if the pair manages to move past the tops at 1.2708, it could strive to achieve higher rounds approximately 1. 2780.
That is why the overview on the whole remains above the average, yet some mixed signs are observed temporarily due to the UK indicators. For instance, specific factors such as although wage increases are continuing to look solid, further increases in the unemployment rate may make a dent deeper. The position regarding future interest rate cuts will also be important for the British pound forecast and the pair’s future direction.
Indeed, seeing that the overall trend remains bullish as long as the rate finds support at key junctures and remains above pivotal resistance levels, it should be stated that USDCHF has all the requirements in place to produce a sustained move to the upside. One relevant tip that traders should follow is that they should always pay attention to the data related to economic indicators and central bank announcements because these areas will have the strongest effect on market outlook and price action.
It could be noted that the angle of the MACD, which indicates the current trend, and recent prices suggest that the GBP/USD will continue to rise, though investors should monitor future directions and major changes in the economy that might alter the course of the pair.
GBP/USD Long to Shorts from 1.27000This week, my plan for GBPUSD (GU) is to buy up towards the 10-hour supply zone. I will wait for a retracement to occur, allowing for a Wyckoff accumulation to form within the demand zone before taking buys, possibly targeting the relative equal highs I have marked.
If the price doesn’t retrace deeply and moves straight towards the supply zone, I will look for a Wyckoff distribution to initiate sells. This supply zone is more promising as it's a refined version of the 21-hour zone I marked last week.
Confluences for GU Buys are as follows:
- Price has left a clean 8hr demand zone that has swept liquidity.
- Price has been bullish and this idea is a pro-trend idea.
- There is lots of liquidity to target in the form of equal high and Asian high.
- There is still an unmitigated supply that needs to get mitigated as well.
P.S. If the price doesn't respect the demand zone, it could drop lower due to the imbalance below. In that case, I would look for a deeper demand zone to buy from or wait for the price to change character (CHOCH) to the downside.
GBPUSD. Weekly trading levels 13 - 17.05.2024We continue the experiment with a wider range of zones. Let's see if we can guess the places to search for deals for the week ahead.
During the week you can trade from these price levels. Finding the entry point into a trade is up to you, depending on your trading style and the development of the situation.
If you expect any medium-term price movements, then most likely they will start from one of the zones.
Levels are valid for a week, the date is in the title. The next morning I adjust the levels based on the new data and publish a new post.
The history of level development can be seen in my previous posts. They cannot be edited or deleted. Everything is fair. :)
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Levels are drawn based on volumes and data from CME. Used as areas of interest for trade. When approaching a level, a “reaction” is expected, which can be traded for both a rebound and a breakout. The worst option is if we revolve around the level in a flat.
Do not reverse the market at every level; if there is a trend movement, consider it as an opportunity to enter into a continuation of the movement. Until the price has drawn a reversal pattern.
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GBPUSD | Perspective for the new week | Follow-upIn this video, we delve into the recent movements of the Pound Sterling against the US Dollar as the GBP/USD pair hits a temporary pause near the key resistance level of 1.2700. Investors are closely watching the upcoming release of the United Kingdom's Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for April, which is expected to provide crucial insights into the interest rate outlook.
With the Bank of England (BoE) potentially considering rate adjustments in the near future, the market sentiment has turned slightly cautious. BoE Governor Andrew Bailey's remarks following the March CPI data release hint at a potential decline in inflation figures, impacting the Pound Sterling's trajectory.
On the other side of the Atlantic, Federal Reserve (Fed) policymakers have been pushing back on market expectations for rate cuts, despite the decline in US inflation data. The Fed's stance on maintaining higher interest rates for a longer period has led to a rebound in the US Dollar.
Moreover, concerns over the strength of the US labor market have deepened following higher-than-expected Initial Jobless Claims data, adding another layer of complexity to the market dynamics.
GBPUSD Technical Analysis:
Will the pound hold below $1.27000? Watch this video for key trades this week. We analyze trends and levels for market insights. Join the discussion for updates on GBP/USD trading. Stay tuned for more content. Happy trading!
Disclaimer Notice:
Trading in the foreign exchange market and other instruments carries high risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content provided here is for educational purposes only. Evaluate your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
GBPUSD. Weekly trading levels 20 - 24.05.2024During the week you can trade from these price levels. Finding the entry point into a transaction and its support is up to you, depending on your trading style and the development of the situation. Zones show preferred price ranges WHERE to look for an entry point into a trade.
If you expect any medium-term price movements, then most likely they will start from one of the zones.
Levels are valid for a week, the date is in the title. Next week I will adjust the levels based on new data and publish a new post.
! Please note that brokers have a difference in quotes, take this into account when trading.
The history of level development can be seen in my previous posts. They cannot be edited or deleted. Everything is fair. :)
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I don’t play guess the direction (that’s why there are no directional arrows), but zones (levels) are used for trading. We wait for the zone to approach, watch the reaction, and enter the trade.
Levels are drawn based on volumes and data from the CME. They are used as areas of interest for trading. Traded as classic support/resistance levels. We see the reaction to the rebound, we trade the rebound. We see a breakout and continue to trade on a rollback to the level. The worst option is if we revolve around the zone in a flat.
Do not reverse the market at every level; if there is a trend movement, consider it as an opportunity to continue the movement. Until the price has drawn a reversal pattern.
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GBPUSD BEARISH TIMECable looks really good for a short trade. It's oversold, below main trendline, and i can see a manipulation short liquidation after a nice range. This could lead only to a drop. I expect a break below short term trendline this week, probably tomorrow, and a bounce once we will reach the support area at 1.245
💡 GBPUSD: Analysis May 20Last Friday up D1 bar for GBPUSD had a lower shadow and closed near the top, showing good buying pressure. Before that, bar D1 decreased but created a bullish pinbar, also showing buying pressure. The recent price behavior of GBPUSD D1 at this resistance suggests the possibility of a breakout from the most recent peak to establish an uptrend again.
GBPUSD H1 broke out of the H1 sideways price range and bounced up, setting a new high price peak to return to the short-term uptrend. Currently, the price is moving sideways above the old peak, which is a form of price compression and can easily lead to a price bounce upward. The main trend of GBPUSD H1 today is waiting to buy.
💡 Trend H1: GBPUSD increases.
Today's trading idea: Buy GBPUSD.
💡 GBPUSD: Analysis May 22GBPUSD has its third consecutive day of increase, but is showing a slowdown as the price creates a Spinning Top candlestick pattern around the old peak. GBPUSD D1 needs a breakout from this peak if it wants to establish an uptrend again at D1.
After surpassing the old peak to reestablish an uptrend in H1, GBPUSD moved into a sideways phase in the trading range. Because the main trend is uptrend, GBPUSD H1 today continues the scenario of waiting to buy from the supports below.
Trend H1: GBPUSD increases.
Today's trading idea: Buy GBPUSD.
GBP/USD Bearish Reversal OpportunityThe GBP/USD currency pair is currently forming a Bearish Harmonic Pattern (XABCD), with Point D identified as the Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ). The confluence of several technical factors at Point D suggests a high probability of a trend reversal from bullish to bearish.
Technical Confluences:
1. Harmonic Pattern Completion
Point D of the Bearish Harmonic Pattern has been identified, indicating a potential reversal area. Harmonic patterns are reliable indicators of market reversals, and the formation of the XABCD pattern is a key signal.
2. Key Resistance Area
The PRZ aligns with a significant resistance area. Historically, this level has acted as a strong barrier to upward price movements, further reinforcing the likelihood of a bearish reversal.
3. 4-Hour Trend Line
A critical 4-hour trend line intersects at the PRZ. This trend line has consistently provided resistance in recent trading sessions, adding another layer of confirmation to our bearish outlook.
4. Bearish RSI Divergence (1-Hour)
On the 1-hour chart, a bearish RSI divergence is observed. While the price has been making higher highs, the RSI indicator has been making lower highs, signaling weakening bullish momentum and potential reversal.
Trade Setup:
Entry Point: 1.2695
Stop Loss: 1.2720
Take Profit Levels
TP-1: 1.2670
TP-2: 1.2645
TP-3: 1.2620
Conclusion:
Given the confluence of the Bearish Harmonic Pattern completion, key resistance area, 4-hour trend line, and bearish RSI divergence, we anticipate a bearish reversal from Point D. Traders are advised to enter short positions at 1.2695, with a stop loss at 1.2720. The take-profit levels are strategically placed at 1.2670, 1.2645, and 1.2620 to optimize risk-reward ratios.
This analysis provides a well-rounded perspective on the current EUR/USD technical setup, highlighting key factors that support a bearish bias.
DeGRAM | GBPUSD pullback from the rising wedgeGBPUSD is in an ascending channel.
The chart has reached the upper boundary of the channel and is moving in an ascending wedge.
The price is trading near the resistance level.
We expect a correction.
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GBP Faces Downdraft on Potential Double BoE Rate CutThe Pound is under pressure due to the Bank of England's (BoE) dovish policy stance. While a rate cut by August is expected, speculation swirls about consecutive reductions at upcoming meetings.
Double Cut Threat: Analysts warn back-to-back cuts could send GBP tumbling:
GBP/USD: Potential fall to 1.23
GBP/EUR: Potential drop to 1.15
Factors Supporting Double Cut:
UK inflation consistently undershooting BoE targets.
Dovish comments from BoE officials like Huw Pill and Megan Greene.
Incoming MPC member Clare Lombardelli potentially tipping the scales dovish.
Uncertainties and Counterarguments:
Resilient services sector inflation might delay rate cuts.
Strong inflation data on Wednesday could lead to holding rates in June.
Data Dependence and Volatility:
Upcoming data, especially Wednesday's inflation report, will dictate the timing and pace of rate cuts.
Weakening services inflation data: Increases chance of June cut followed by August cut, potentially weakening GBP.
Strong services inflation data: Might delay cuts until August, offering temporary GBP support.
Trade Idea: Short GBP/USD
Entry: 1.2375
Target Profits (T.P.): 1.2300, 1.2224, 1.2139, etc.
Stop Loss (S.L.): 1.3989
Implications for Investors and Businesses:
Monitor upcoming data and BoE pronouncements. These factors will significantly impact GBP's direction and necessitate adjustments in financial planning and international trade activities.
GBPUSD Sell PositionI'm still in sell position from yesterday.
The price grab liquidity from weekly candle, yesterday grab previous daily high and we have impulse from 09 May without any correction.
I think is time to see some deep correction with 1st TP at 1H zone around 1.26500
Longterm TP around 1.26000
What do you think?
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GBPUSD I Technical analysis & forecast Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** GBPUSD Analysis - Listen to video!
We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met.
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GBPUSD - Potential long ✅Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on GBPUSD.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bullish market structure from 4H timeframe perspective, so I look for long position. My point of interest is if price makes a retracement and then rejects from trendline + liquidity zone.
Fundamental analysis: This week on Wednesday (GMT+3) we will see results of yearly CPI on GBP, news with high impact on currency.
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May 20, DXY & GBPUSD: Key Insights for the Week Ahead!Greetings, Traders!
Welcome to an exciting and insightful video where we dive deep into the DXY and GBPUSD pairs. This week, both pairs have hit crucial junctures, making it the perfect time to analyze and adjust our trading strategies.
We'll explore significant retracements and pinpoint key points of interest, providing you with a comprehensive outlook on potential price movements. What trading opportunities lie ahead? Let's uncover the strategies that could make this week profitable for you.
April 29, Long-term Video Analysis (DXY & GBPUSD):
March 15, SMT Divergence (Educational Lecture Explaining how to use it):
Tomorrow's my birthday, happy trading, Traders!
The_Architect