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Gbpusdanalysis

GBPUSD – retesting the 200dma from below .. the week of 09 DecAfter being in bullish territory (above the 200dma) for over 6 months, this pair has broken below and on Fri, it retested (bounced off) the moving average. That is my reason #1 for a bearish bias. #2 – The area around 1.2750 is a significant s/r & price has met with resistance here. #3 – The bullish move we saw over the last 2 weeks was a retracement of the down move that began on 06 Nov. #4 – This retracement of 50% coincides with the 1.2750 s/r level. #5 – The weekly and daily chart are in complete alignment with this analysis. #6 – The H4 chart shows how price has been moving in an equidistant channel during the retracement phase. Like most retracements, this move has been weak and shallow. I believe that price will break out of this channel to the downside and the bearish move will soon continue. If this happens, price will also move below the 20sma. This will complete the picture I want to see for bearish price action. I will place my stop above today’s daily pin bar and will initially target the 1.2340 region. My expectation is that this has the potential to be a prolonged bearish trend. This is not a trade recommendation, merely my own analysis. If you decide to trade this, you should be aware that trading carries a high level of risk, so only trade with money you can afford to lose. Please use sound money and risk management, trading without a stop or moving the stop away from price is a recipe for disaster. If you like my idea, please give a “boost” and follow me to get even more. It’s not whether you are right or wrong, but how much money you make when you are right and how much you lose when you are wrong – George Soros
Short
by Trading_Vista
2
GBP/USD Positioned for Gains Amid DXY BearishnessTechnical Analysis Monthly Chart: On the monthly chart, GBP/USD appears overextended to the downside, showing signs of exhaustion in its bearish momentum. This overextension suggests that a reversal or correction is likely, aligning with broader dollar weakness. Weekly Chart: The weekly chart also indicates a slowdown in bearish pressure, with candles forming near key support zones. Buyers seem to be stepping in, reinforcing the potential for a trend shift. Daily Chart: The daily timeframe shows a strong bullish reversal pattern, signaling a potential trend change to the upside. This reversal is supported by the weakening DXY, which aligns with GBP/USD's upward momentum. The combination of a technical reversal and a fundamentally weaker dollar positions GBP/USD for further gains in the short to medium term. Fundamental Analysis Impact of the U.S. Dollar: The bearish outlook for the DXY directly supports GBP/USD’s potential for upside: Liquidity Grab in DXY: The recent liquidity grab above 107.348 on the DXY suggests a move lower for the dollar, which would bolster GBP/USD strength. Federal Reserve Outlook: Concerns over further rate cuts due to inflation risks are keeping the dollar volatile. Seasonal labor market strength in November and December may delay immediate rate cuts, but any signs of weakening unemployment or inflation stabilization could lead to long-term dollar weakness. Upcoming Catalysts: Key U.S. data releases such as Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) and unemployment rates could create significant volatility. If unemployment increases and inflation stabilizes, GBP/USD could see stronger upward moves. GBP Fundamentals: UK Economic Resilience: Any positive data from the UK economy, such as improved GDP growth or strong employment figures, could further fuel GBP/USD's upward trend. Rate Differentials: If the Bank of England maintains or raises interest rates while the Federal Reserve signals potential cuts, GBP/USD could gain additional support. Summary and Outlook Technical and Fundamental Alignment: GBP/USD is well-positioned for a bullish move, supported by: A technical reversal pattern on the daily chart, signaling strong upward momentum. A bearish outlook for the DXY, indicating broader dollar weakness. Key upcoming U.S. data releases that may provide further catalysts for a GBP/USD rally. Price Expectations: Short-Term: GBP/USD could continue its bullish push, breaking above immediate resistance levels. Medium-to-Long-Term: With continued DXY weakness and supportive UK fundamentals, GBP/USD may sustain its upward trajectory toward major resistance zones. GBP/USD’s technical and fundamental alignment makes this pair a strong candidate for further upside potential in the coming weeks. Traders should watch for confirmation from U.S. economic data to reinforce this analysis.
Long
by Wiiso
GBP/USD Longs from 1.2700 for another potential rally.This week, I expect GBP/USD to continue its bullish trend. I’ve identified 5-hour and 4-hour demand zones as key areas where I anticipate a retracement. In these zones, I’ll be watching for potential Wyckoff accumulation, signaling the continuation of the uptrend. Once price reaches these demand zones, I’ll wait for further confirmations before entering any trades. If the price continues rising without retracing, I’ll consider potential sells around the newly created 2-hour supply zone, though its validity isn’t strong. My decision will depend on how well the lower timeframe execution model develops in that area. Confluences for GBP/USD Buys: - Bullish Momentum: The pair has been in an uptrend for the past two weeks. - Liquidity Above: There’s still a significant amount of upside liquidity to be taken. - Weekly Supply Zone Mitigation: Price has reacted and moved away from a major weekly supply zone. - Demand Zone: A clean demand area below suggests a likely retracement point for price. Note: As we approach mid-December, I expect market volume to decrease due to the upcoming holidays, which could lead to slower price movements. This is worth considering when planning entries and exits.
Long
by Hassan_fx
1
GBPUSD SELL The US Dollar (USD) fell following the release of the United States (US) Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report, pushing GBP/USD to a fresh one-month high of 1.2810. According to the US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), the country added 227,000 new job positions in November, beating the 200,000 expectedAdditionally, the Unemployment Rate ticked up to 4.2% in November from 4.1%, meeting expectations. The Labor Force Participation Rate edged lower to 62.5%, while the annual wage inflation, as measured by the change in the Average Hourly Earnings, held steady at 4%, coming in above the market forecast of 3.9%.The US Dollar, however, trimmed losses and gained momentum after the release of the preliminary estimate of the December US Consumer Sentiment Index, which jumped to 74 from the previous 71.8 while beating the expected 73The British Pound turned negative against the USD on a daily basis, with the pair hovering around 1.2700. The 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) attracted sellers, currently standing at around 1.2820. The 20-day SMA, on the other hand, maintains its bearish slope below the current level at 1.2690, the immediate support en route to the 1.2650 price zone
by KingForex078
GBPUSD | "Cable" Weekly Forex Forecast: Bearish! Sell The -FVG!GBPUSD is weak, and has currently retraced into a Daily Imbalance, overlapped by a Weekly Imbalance. It is from this point of Internal Range Liquidity that I expect price to seek the next External Range Liquidity, down at the low, @1.2487. This will be the draw on liquidity for the upcoming week, imo. Enjoy! May profits be upon you. Leave any questions or comments in the comment section. I appreciate any feedback from my viewers! Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis. Thank you so much! Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
CME:6B1!Short
by RT_Money
Weekly Forex Forecast: GBPUSD Is Indicating Strength! GBPUSD had a strong close to last week. This led to a bullish BOS on the Daily TF, in the Weekly -FVG. I expect there to be a short term reaction to the imbalance, and then a resumption of the bullish momentum at the bullish FVG on the Daily TF. Check the comments section below for updates regarding this analysis throughout the week. Enjoy! May profits be upon you. Leave any questions or comments in the comment section. I appreciate any feedback from my viewers! Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis. Thank you so much! Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
CME:6B1!Long
by RT_Money
Is GBPUSD Setting Up for a Buy Opportunity?👀 👉 GBPUSD has shown impressive momentum, rebounding strongly from a key support level. The big question is—what’s next? I’m keeping a close eye on the price action, watching for a potential buy setup if the price continues to push higher from this level. Patience is essential, as waiting for confirmation can be the key to consistent results. 📢 *Disclaimer: This content is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.
Long
by fxtraderanthony
Gbpusd setup GBP/USD trades with a positive bias for the third straight day and rises further above the 1.2700 mark in the European session on Thursday. The pair takes advantage of the sustained US Dollar weakness and mild risk appetite heading into the US data releases later in the day The Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator on the 4-hour chart holds slightly above 50 and GBP/USD managed to hold above the 100-period Simple Moving Average (SMA) after testing this level several times since Tuesday, highlighting sellers' hesitancy. Looking north, resistances could be spotted at 1.2700 (Fibonacci 38.2% retracement of the latest downtrend), 1.2750 (Fibonacci 50% retracement) and 1.2810-1.2800 (Fibonacci 61.8% retracement, 200-period SMA). On the downside, immediate support is located at 1.2650 (100-period SMA) before 1.2630-1.2620 (50-period SMA, Fibonacci 23.6% retracement) and 1.2600 (round level, static level)
Short
by KingForex078
GBP/USD: The Bearish Setup You Can’t Ignore Ladies and gents, let’s talk about the British Pound vs. the almighty Dollar—the drama never ends. 🎭 Right now, the charts are shouting louder than a reality TV fight: “Short me!” If you’re not seeing it, don’t worry—I’ll spell it out for you, sarcasm included. 😏 From Wedge to Woe: What the Chart Screams 1️⃣ The Big Downtrend 📉 Look at that drop—GBP/USD has been falling faster than your New Year’s resolutions. 🥲 A strong downtrend brought us to a cute little descending wedge, a classic pattern that screams, “I might bounce… but only to crush your hopes later.” 2️⃣ The "Fake Recovery" 🪤 Post-breakout, we saw a weak rally—let’s call it what it is: a dead cat bounce 🐱. Bulls are trying, but it’s like slapping duct tape on a sinking ship. The price is now flirting with resistance around 1.2775. Spoiler: It doesn’t look good for the bulls. 3️⃣ The Trap is Set 🪤 There’s a clear bearish trade setup here. A red zone for the stop-loss (thank you, risk management gods 🙌) and a juicy green target zone for profits. If you’re thinking of longing this setup, please—just don’t. Save yourself the heartbreak. How This Plays Out: Two Scenarios 🎢 🔥 Bearish Dominance This is the most likely play. Price respects resistance, drops out of the consolidating triangle, and continues its nosedive to 1.2500—or lower if the bears are feeling extra spicy. 🐻💣 🎩 Bullish Fantasy (Unlikely) The only hope for bulls? A breakout above 1.2775. But even then, it needs real momentum, not the half-hearted attempts we’re seeing now. So unless you’re the kind of person who bets on lottery tickets for a living, stick with the short. 🎟️ George’s Take: Don’t Be a Chart Clown 🤡 Look, trading isn’t about being right—it’s about making money. If you’re seeing anything bullish here, you’re either blind or overly optimistic. This setup is bearish AF, and the risk/reward ratio is screaming SHORT. Pro Tips for the Brave (or Smart): Entry: Around resistance at 1.2775. Stop-Loss: Tight above the red zone—don’t go broke proving a point. Target: Scale out near 1.2500, or ride it lower if the bears take over completely. Final Word: Trade Smart, Not Emotional 💼 Want to keep buying hope and dreams? Go ahead, but don’t blame the chart when it dumps on you. For the rest of you who actually care about strategy, setups like these are where profits are born. 🤑 Join the Road to a Million Club 🌟 if you’re done playing guessing games and want to trade like a pro. We don’t mess around—just clean setups, hard truths, and real results. 🚀 #TradeSmart #GBPUSD #BearishSetup 🐻💸
Short
by RoadToAMillionClub
Intraday Strong Buy Alert GBPUSD Long. Alert by me,& alpahatrendBy KivancOzbilgic When I'm quickly scouring charts I try to have 2 indicators already beaming, 1. TV Chart Patterns 2. Alpha-trend by By KivancOzbilgic. I think the indicator works well on its own with some ema's or similar. So Alpha alerts with a 4HR Buy. I knew the volume might be a bit slow because I think people have had a gutful of this GBPUSD trading up and down & getting people long or short & then trapping them as price moves away from holders. Anyway, the buy-setup is on the 1hr or 4hr or even 2 or 3 hr. But because price on the bigger intraday charts is sitting much lower the trade is not advisable because basically with very lite volume and momentum your long trade could get moved to a downward spiral and shorted by people already short and adding to their postition, what about a revenge trader who rushed and got done in the previous trade going Long GBPUSD and got shorted lower. What about big-money from bankers executing block orders to buy-side. Do you think that might interfere with a Short trade? Here is a chart of GBPUSD. Look at the accumulation so far on the Alpha-trend moving average. Could it be a fakeout and ready to fall-over from Alpha-trend into bears trend. By KivancOzbilgic
Long
by Easy_Explosive_Trading
Scenario on GBPUSDWe have created a higher low on the market, which will ultimately mean for me that I will wait to see how the situation develops regarding the marked point. If the price breaks below, it still won't matter because the support is set below which the price would have to fall to start considering a short position. From this perspective, I rather like to return to the creation of a double bottom or some other formation for establishing an SFP because around the price of 1.274 - 1.2867 we don't have selected liquidity and from this price the resistance at the price of 1.3 is very close. This is just my view of the entire situation around this market.
by Sony97
GBPUSD is in the Buying Direction after Testing SupportHello Traders In This Chart GBPUSD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET today GBPUSD analysis 👆 🟢This Chart includes_ (GBPUSD market update) 🟢What is The Next Opportunity on GBPUSD Market 🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
Long
by ForexMasters2000