GBPUSD POTENTIAL SELLING IDEAHello, I am anticipating a potential bigger move to the downside in reaction to yesterday's big fall. I am in view of the pound gaining a little retesting potential to the previous levels around
1.27183 at 61.8 fib retracement of the July 23 2022 and Oct 23 2022 downtrend to collect some selling pressure upto about around 1.23077. PLease comment your views below
Gbpusdanalysis
💡 GBPUSD: Forecast January 2GBPUSD did not fluctuate much in the past session, the price is still having difficulty creating a higher peak to confirm the continuation of the rising price channel, the double top reversal pattern is also starting to form, it will be Confirmed when the support level 1.26 is broken, then you need to abandon the strategy of buying up according to the current price uptrend.
💡 GBPUSD: Forecast January 3GBPUSD continued to fall sharply in the past session, it broke the lower border of the rising price channel and approached the important support zone of 1.26. This is considered the last stop for the buyers because if it is broken, the double top reversal pattern will be confirmed and the bullish structure will also be broken, then it is likely that the price will extend its downward momentum to 1.24. If you still have a buying position, you should consider exiting early or placing SL below this 1.26 level.
DeGRAM | GBPUSD in consolidation zoneGBPUSD is basically in a consolidation zone. It's bouncing between the support and resistance levels.
Price action has previously rebounded from this 1.27500 level.
The market broke and closed below the psychological level at 1.28000, creating the false breakout.
We expect a retest of the lower boundery of the consolidation zone.
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GBPUSD → Falling From Resistance! Should We Long or Short??GBPUSD touched the Resistance Zone and fell into the 30EMA ribbon, putting a slight pause on the fall. Will the price fall further or are we about to make contact with the Resistance Zone again?
How do we trade this? 🤔
I do not believe a short is reasonable here because we don't have enough bear strength on the chart. Wait for another rejection at Resistance or wait for the price to fall and find support to enter a long. There are two potential long entries, at the Support Zone around 1.21150 and above the current Resistance Zone around 1.29. Both zones need to establish support and show confirmation to justify a long entry. This includes a bull signal bar closing on or near its high followed by a strong bull candle closing on or near its high.
Until then, it's best to wait on the sidelines for a better opportunity!
💡 Trade Ideas 💡
Long Entry: 1.21150
🟥 Stop Loss: 1.18650
✅ Take Profit: 1.26150
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:2
Long Entry: 1.29000
🟥 Stop Loss: 1.26450
✅ Take Profit: 1.34100
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:2
🔑 Key Takeaways 🔑
1. Trading Range after Bull Run, Bias to Long.
2. Macro Trend is Bearish, Use Caution at Weekly 200EMA.
3. If in Short Position, hold until Support Zone.
4. If not in a Position, Wait until Support to Long.
5. RSI near 53.00 under Moving Average, Bias to Short.
⚠️ Risk Warning! ⚠️
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. You are solely responsible for your trades. Trade at your own risk!
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GBPUSD Longs from 1.26500 Up towards 1.28000This GBPUSD scenario catches my attention due to the intriguing structure that price has formed. Presently, my strategy involves waiting for a slight dip in price to reach the Asian low and touch my 10hr demand zone. Following this, I anticipate a Wyckoff accumulation process, providing an opportunity for a buy position targeting the 10hr supply zone located within the psychological level of 1.28000.
In the event that price decides to rise first, my inclination would be toward short-term sells initiated from the same 10hr supply zone, with the aim of guiding it down toward the demand. Additionally, my interest is piqued by the backup zones, where substantial liquidity is visible near my Points of Interest (POIs), offering reliable areas for potential trading opportunities.
Confluences for GBPUSD Buys are as follows:
- Unmitigated 10hr Demand zone has been left which caused a major BOS to the upside.
- Temporary trend is also bullish as price has broken structure once again.
- DXY is still looking bearish meaning that GBPUSD is expected to rise.
- Asian low on top of demand is a good sign as price will sweep liquidity before entering.
- In order for price to continue in its bullish course, it must ideally react off a demand level.
P.S. As the current market conditions remain in equilibrium, my approach is to wait for price to reach either a discounted or premium level. Given the ongoing short retracement and the presence of liquidity below, I anticipate the demand to be mitigated first at the discounted price. However, I acknowledge the possibility of price reaching my 10hr supply, in which case, I would opt for selling positions to capture a downward movement.
HAPPY NEW YEARS TO ALL OF YOU AND HOPE THIS YEAR BRING EVERYONE PROFITABILITY AND CONSISTENCY. LETS CATCH THESE PIPS!
GBPUSD H4 / NEW PERSPECTIVE FOR SHORT&LONG ENTRY📉📈✅Hello Traders!
This is my idea for GBPUSD H4. At the moment, I see a well-constructed bullish channel and I expect a retracement from the channel resistance level where we have an OB, another resistance level, and an FVG. It represents a good opportunity for Short Trade execution on a smaller timeframe and Long Trade execution on a higher timeframe.
Traders, if you liked my idea or if you have a different vision related to this trade, write in the comments. I will be glad to see your perspective.
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GBP USD 1D AnalysisAs we approach the end of 2023, GBPUSD is currently testing a significant resistance level that has proven to be a formidable barrier in the preceding months. Looking ahead to 2024, my expectation is for the price to breach this resistance and sustain the upward momentum, targeting a level around 1.31328.
It's crucial to acknowledge the potential for a rejection at the resistance level, which could potentially lead to a reversal of the trend, especially if there is a break in the trendline and a structural shift occurs.
I invite you to share your insights and thoughts on this analysis. Feel free to drop your comments below.
GBPUSD: US dollar depreciates as expectations for interest rate The U.S. dollar is on track to decline annually, weakening from two consecutive years of strong gains as expectations grow for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates next year. The dollar index against six major currencies hit a five-month low of 100.81, reflecting Wednesday's 0.5% decline and expectations for a 2.6% decline for the year.
In contrast to the Fed's unexpectedly dovish stance at its December meeting, other major central banks, including the European Central Bank, remained committed to keeping interest rates high for a longer period of time. However, markets believe the ECB is considering cutting interest rates by up to 165 basis points next year. Sterling hit $1.2813, its highest since Aug. 10, and is on course for its first annual rise of 6% since 2017. The Bank of England faces a difficult environment. Challenges posed by rising inflation in the UK. The ability of the Fed to cut interest rates as aggressively as the Fed and the ECB may be limited. This has widened the yield differential with U.S. and European bonds, making British assets more attractive and supporting the pound.
GBPUSD I Are the bears ready to step in? Consider this first.Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** GBPUSD Analysis - Listen to video!
We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met.
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GBPUSD: Bullish Rebound Confirmed, Eyes Set on 1.28321In the intricate realm of global finance, the decisions and policies of major central banks wield considerable influence over currency markets. One such pivotal institution is the Federal Reserve, the central bank of the United States, whose recent policy trajectory has had a discernible impact on the GBPUSD currency pair. This essay delves into the nuanced dynamics that unfolded in response to the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and its consequential effect on the GBPUSD exchange rate.
The Federal Reserve's Dovish Turn:
Central to this narrative is the Federal Reserve's decision to temper the pace of interest rate hikes. The Fed opted for a dovish stance, signaling a cautious approach towards tightening monetary policy. Powell's inclination towards dovishness, characterized by a reluctance to aggressively raise benchmark interest rates, marked a departure from more hawkish postures seen in the last year.
Impact on GBPUSD:
Commencing on December 14th, an observable surge in the GBPUSD exchange rate ensued, catapulting from 1.25002 to 1.27937. This substantial uptick was emblematic of market participants reacting to the Federal Reserve's dovish signals, with investors seeking higher-yielding assets in response to the diminished allure of the U.S. dollar. The relative attractiveness of the British pound against its American counterpart found favor among traders, contributing to the pronounced rise in the exchange rate.
Support Levels and Resilience:
While the GBPUSD pair experienced a subsequent correction, touching the support level at 1.26124, its resilience was noteworthy. The bounce back from this support level underscored the underlying strength and confidence in the pound, even in the face of corrective movements. This resilience is indicative of a market sentiment that continues to favor the British currency.
Future Trajectory: A Glimpse at 1.28321:
As the GBPUSD pair rides the waves of market sentiment and central bank policies, forecasts point towards a potential further ascent. The likelihood of the exchange rate climbing to 1.28321 is grounded in the persisting dovish stance of the Federal Reserve, which, if sustained, could continue to dampen the appeal of the U.S. dollar in comparison to other currencies.
Rejection at Support: Unleashing Bullish Momentum
In the 2-hour timeframe, GBPUSD witnessed a crucial rejection at the 1.26903 support level, signaling a robust defense by bulls. This pivotal event serves as a potent indicator of underlying strength, hinting at a potential shift in market sentiment and affirming the narrative of a bullish continuation.
Technical Analysis: Bullish Rejection Pattern
Beyond numerical significance, the rejection at 1.26903 represents a convergence of market forces. Buying interest surpassed selling pressure, forming a bullish rejection candlestick pattern. Traders interpreting this pattern would likely see it as a confirmation of the market's intent to resume its upward trajectory.
Continuation of Uptrend: Fueled by Resilience
Confirmation of the rejection aligns with GBPUSD's resilience amid corrective movements. Buoyant market sentiment, driven by the Federal Reserve's dovish stance, acts as a catalyst for renewed upward momentum. Surpassing the previous high of 1.27937 becomes critical, paving the way for an ascent towards the envisioned target of 1.28321. Traders armed with confirmation from the rejection may target this milestone in the ongoing bullish trend.
Risk Management: Navigating Uncertainties
While the support rejection supports a bullish outlook, prudent risk management remains crucial. Unforeseen geopolitical or economic developments could introduce volatility, necessitating vigilance. Traders must be mindful of stop-loss levels and stay attuned to evolving market conditions.
Conclusion:
In the dynamic realm of currency markets, the rejection at the support level of 1.26903 serves as a pivotal chapter in the ongoing saga of GBPUSD. It not only validates the resilience of the pound but also provides a technical confirmation for those seeking to ride the anticipated wave of bullish momentum. As the pair gears up for a potential ascent towards 1.28321, traders and analysts alike will closely monitor the evolving landscape, mindful of the delicate balance between opportunity and risk in the ever-shifting currents of the foreign exchange market.