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Gbpusdforecast

GBP/USD Bears Eye $1.267 as Downtrend Gains MomentumFxNews —GBP/USD entered a bearish trend after failing to hold above the 100-period simple moving average, dropping sharply from $1.304. Currently, bears are testing the October 31 low of $1.284 as support. Technical indicators confirm bearish momentum, with the Awesome Oscillator showing red bars and the Stochastic and RSI at 36 and 35, suggesting more downside potential as the pair isn’t oversold. The immediate resistance is $1.284. If bears close GBP/USD below this level, the next target could be $1.267. However, a move above the October 30 high of $1.3045 would invalidate the bearish outlook. Support: 1.284 / 1.267 Resistance: 1.2907 / 1.3045
Short
by FxNews-me
GBPUSD I Swing long opportunity with upcoming fundamentalsWelcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments! ** GBPUSD Analysis - Listen to video! We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met. Please support this idea with a LIKE and COMMENT if you find it useful and Click "Follow" on our profile if you'd like these trade ideas delivered straight to your email in the future. Thanks for your continued support!Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
Long
by BKTradingAcademy
Will the Pound Show a Slight Bullish Bias Today? (15/10/2024)The GBPUSD pair is expected to display a slight bullish bias today, 15/10/2024, based on the latest fundamental factors and market conditions. Traders and investors are closely watching the movements in the British pound against the U.S. dollar, as the market sentiment shifts amid key macroeconomic events. Here’s a breakdown of the key drivers supporting this outlook: 1. UK Economic Data: CPI Expectations The UK inflation report, which is set to be released later this week, is on the radar for traders. Early forecasts indicate that inflation may remain slightly elevated, reinforcing expectations that the Bank of England (BoE) will maintain its hawkish stance on interest rates. This anticipation tends to lend strength to the pound, as higher interest rates make a currency more attractive to investors seeking better yields. In recent months, the BoE has been steadfast in its approach to combating inflation, a stance that has provided support for the British pound, making GBPUSD sensitive to any inflation-related news. With inflation still a concern, a bullish bias for the pound can be justified, particularly in the lead-up to the CPI report. 2. US Dollar Softness: Lower Treasury Yields On the U.S. side, the U.S. dollar (USD) has seen some softness due to declining Treasury yields and mixed signals from the Federal Reserve regarding the future of interest rates. Last week’s economic data pointed to potential cooling in the U.S. labor market and lower inflationary pressures, which have reduced the market's expectations for further rate hikes in 2024. With the Federal Reserve signaling that it may be nearing the end of its aggressive rate hike cycle, the U.S. dollar’s recent rally has stalled, giving room for pairs like GBPUSD to gain traction. This contributes to the bullish bias in the pair for today. 3. UK Political Stability and Brexit Sentiment Another factor supporting the pound’s slight bullish stance is the current phase of relative political stability in the UK. After the volatile post-Brexit years, the UK government is focused on stabilizing the economy. Any developments or positive sentiment surrounding trade agreements with the EU or other major trading partners could further boost the pound's strength. Brexit-related concerns have been less dominant recently, which has helped reduce the uncertainty that previously weighed on the pound. If this political calm continues, the GBPUSD pair could benefit from increased investor confidence in the pound. 4. Technical Analysis: Support at 1.2150 From a technical analysis perspective, the GBPUSD has found solid support around the 1.2150 level, which has held strong in recent trading sessions. As long as this support remains intact, the pair has the potential to make upward moves. Additionally, momentum indicators such as the RSI are showing signs of recovery from oversold conditions, hinting at a potential short-term bullish reversal. If the pair manages to break above the 1.2200 resistance level, we could see further gains towards the next key resistance level of 1.2300. 5. Global Market Sentiment In the broader market context, risk sentiment is playing a significant role in driving currency movements. If global markets continue to show risk-on sentiment, with equity markets rising and risk assets in favor, the British pound could see additional support against the U.S. dollar. Given the factors of strong inflation expectations in the UK, a softer U.S. dollar, and a technical setup that supports higher prices, the GBPUSD may be positioned for slight bullish movement today. Conclusion In conclusion, today’s GBPUSD outlook points towards a slightly bullish bias . While the U.S. dollar continues to show signs of weakness amid lower Treasury yields and potential pauses in the Federal Reserve’s rate hikes, the British pound is drawing strength from expected higher inflation in the UK, the BoE’s hawkish stance, and a generally stable political environment. Traders should watch the upcoming inflation data and key resistance levels to confirm this bullish trend. Keywords for SEO: GBPUSD forecast, GBPUSD analysis, GBPUSD today, British Pound outlook, GBPUSD bullish, UK inflation report, Federal Reserve, GBPUSD technical analysis, Bank of England, Treasury yields, Brexit sentiment, Forex trading, GBPUSD trend 15/10/2024, GBPUSD prediction, Forex market news, currency trading
Long
by PERFECT_MFG
GBPUSD Analysis: Slightly Bullish Bias on October 11, 2024The GBPUSD pair is expected to exhibit a slightly bullish bias on October 11, 2024, due to a mix of both fundamental drivers and current market conditions. Traders and investors should closely monitor these factors as they play a crucial role in determining the pair's direction today. Key Fundamental Drivers: 1. UK Economic Data: - The recent release of stronger-than-expected UK GDP data has supported the British Pound. Economic growth in the UK beat market expectations, suggesting resilience in the economy amid ongoing global uncertainties. This data has led to increased demand for the GBP, pushing it slightly higher against the USD. 2. BoE Interest Rate Outlook: - The Bank of England (BoE) has maintained a relatively hawkish stance, with some policymakers hinting at potential rate hikes if inflationary pressures persist. With inflation still above the 2% target, the possibility of future tightening by the BoE is supporting the pound, making it attractive to investors betting on further rate hikes. 3. US Dollar Weakness: - The US Dollar has shown signs of weakening amid expectations that the Federal Reserve may pause its aggressive rate hikes. Market participants have started to factor in a more dovish stance from the Fed, reducing the dollar’s appeal and providing room for GBPUSD to edge higher. 4. Geopolitical Factors: - Recent geopolitical tensions, particularly in the Middle East, have led to a risk-off sentiment in global markets, driving flows into safe-haven assets. However, as markets stabilize, some of the initial flight to the USD has subsided, allowing the GBP to regain some ground. Current Market Sentiment: - Technical Indicators suggest that GBPUSD is trading near a key support level around 1.2150, which could act as a springboard for further upside movement. With the pair holding above this critical support zone, bullish traders may seize the opportunity to push prices higher. - RSI on the 4-hour chart is hovering near 50, indicating a potential neutral-to-bullish momentum shift. Should momentum build, the pair could target the 1.2250 resistance level in the short term. - Market positioning indicates that traders are moderately long on the pound, anticipating further recovery. This sentiment aligns with the overall slightly bullish outlook for the day. Conclusion: In conclusion, the GBPUSD pair is expected to maintain a slightly bullish bias today, driven by the combination of stronger UK economic data, a hawkish Bank of England, and a softening US Dollar. While geopolitical risks and market volatility may cause short-term fluctuations, the overall outlook for the day leans towards the upside. Traders should look for opportunities to capitalize on potential bullish momentum, especially if GBPUSD breaks above key resistance levels. Keywords for SEO Optimization: - GBPUSD analysis - GBPUSD forecast - GBPUSD outlook - British Pound to USD - UK GDP impact on GBPUSD - Bank of England rate hike - Fed interest rate policy - GBPUSD technical analysis - Forex market analysis - Forex trading tips - Currency pair trading strategy This GBPUSD analysis provides key insights into today’s trading opportunities, highlighting fundamental factors and market conditions driving the pair. Stay tuned for more updates on forex trading strategies and analysis.
Long
by PERFECT_MFG
Bullish Bias with Key Drivers on GBPUSD market for 10/10/2024.Today, October 10, 2024, we anticipate a slight bullish bias for the GBPUSD pair, driven by several fundamental factors and market conditions. Traders looking to capitalize on today's moves in the GBP/USD pair should pay attention to these key economic drivers: Key Drivers Supporting GBPUSD Bullish Bias: 1. UK Economic Data: Strong GDP and Employment Figures Recently released data from the UK indicates that its economy continues to recover strongly. The GDP growth rate has exceeded market expectations, suggesting that the British economy is expanding at a faster pace than anticipated. Additionally, the UK's employment figures have shown resilience, with unemployment remaining low and wage growth supporting consumer spending. Keywords: UK GDP growth, UK employment, British economy recovery, GBP bullish, UK wage growth 2. Hawkish Bank of England Stance The Bank of England (BoE) has maintained a hawkish stance in recent months, signaling potential interest rate hikes to combat rising inflation. The BoE’s monetary policy outlook is a key driver for the British Pound's strength, as higher interest rates tend to support the currency. With UK inflation still above target, traders are expecting the central bank to continue tightening its policy, adding support to the GBP. Keywords: Bank of England, BoE hawkish, UK interest rate hikes, GBPUSD support, UK inflation, British Pound outlook 3. US Dollar Weakness Amid Dovish Fed Tone On the other side of the equation, the US Dollar has shown signs of weakness due to the Federal Reserve's more dovish tone recently. The Federal Reserve has hinted at a potential pause in interest rate hikes as inflation in the US shows signs of cooling down. A dovish Fed typically weighs on the USD, providing further upside potential for the GBPUSD pair. Keywords: USD weakness, Federal Reserve dovish, Fed interest rates, US Dollar vs Pound, USD softening 4. Brexit Resolution and Trade Balance Improvements In addition to economic data, the UK's post-Brexit trade balance has seen gradual improvements, and the resolution of trade agreements has eased investor concerns. As trade relations stabilize, this adds another layer of support to the British Pound. Markets are slowly pricing in this long-term structural improvement in the UK's trade outlook. Keywords: Brexit resolution, UK trade balance, GBPUSD strength, post-Brexit trade relations Market Sentiment & Technical Outlook Technically, GBPUSD has found strong support around the 1.2150 level, which could act as a launching point for further gains. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is also showing signs of a potential upward reversal from oversold levels, aligning with the fundamental drivers for the day. Traders may watch for breakouts above the 1.2200 resistance level to confirm bullish momentum. Keywords: GBPUSD technical analysis, GBPUSD support and resistance, RSI oversold, GBPUSD trend reversal, technical outlook GBPUSD Conclusion Given the robust UK economic data, the hawkish stance of the Bank of England, coupled with US Dollar weakness, and an improving post-Brexit trade scenario, the outlook for the GBPUSD pair remains slightly bullish today. While geopolitical risks or unforeseen developments could impact the currency pair, the current market conditions favor upside potential for GBPUSD. Traders should keep a close eye on upcoming US inflation data, as this could introduce volatility, but for now, the GBPUSD seems poised for moderate gains. Keywords: GBPUSD forecast, GBPUSD outlook, GBPUSD bullish bias, GBPUSD analysis, GBPUSD trading strategy, GBPUSD live price, GBP/USD forex trading, currency pair analysis, forex today —— This analysis provides insight into why GBPUSD may exhibit a bullish bias today, supported by both fundamental and technical factors. For more in-depth analysis, check out our latest updates and live market commentary on TradingView. Keywords: GBPUSD live update, forex market analysis, daily forex analysis, currency trading, GBPUSD live analysis TradingView
Long
by PERFECT_MFG
Slightly Bullish Bias Expected on GBPUSD today 09/10/2024.GBPUSD Analysis for 09/10/2024: Slightly Bullish Bias Expected In today's analysis of GBPUSD, the currency pair is showing signs of a potential slightly bullish bias based on the latest fundamental factors and current market conditions. As of 09/10/2024, several key drivers are influencing the market, pointing toward a moderate upside for the British Pound (GBP) against the US Dollar (USD). Here's a breakdown of the fundamental and technical factors that could contribute to this outlook. Fundamental Factors Supporting Bullish Bias 1. Improved UK Economic Data Recent data from the UK, particularly in sectors such as manufacturing and services, have shown resilience despite broader global economic challenges. The UK Services PMI reported a higher-than-expected reading, signaling growth in the sector, which is a positive indicator for GBP. Additionally, consumer confidence in the UK has remained relatively stable, offering further support to the Pound. 2. Bank of England (BoE) Policy Outlook The Bank of England's latest statements suggest that while inflation remains a concern, the central bank may adopt a more cautious approach to tightening. This is in contrast to the more aggressive stance of the Federal Reserve, which is already priced into the market. A less hawkish BoE stance could provide upward pressure on GBPUSD, especially if traders believe the BoE may slow down rate hikes earlier than anticipated. 3. US Dollar Weakness On the other side of the pair, the US Dollar has shown signs of weakness amid lower-than-expected Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) data released last Friday. This has led to speculation that the Federal Reserve might pause its interest rate hikes, dampening demand for the USD. The weakening US Dollar adds to the bullish bias for GBPUSD. Technical Outlook for GBPUSD on 09/10/2024 - Support and Resistance Levels GBPUSD is currently trading near key support at 1.2150, with the next major resistance level around 1.2250. If the pair breaks above this resistance, it could signal further upside potential, reinforcing the slightly bullish outlook for the day. - Moving Averages On the technical side, the 50-day Moving Average (MA) is gradually turning upwards, indicating positive momentum for the pair. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is also hovering near the neutral 50 level, suggesting that there is room for further gains before the pair becomes overbought. Geopolitical Factors and Market Sentiment - Global Risk Sentiment Market sentiment has leaned slightly towards risk-on, with investors showing a renewed appetite for riskier assets such as equities. This shift has seen traders pull back from the safe-haven USD, benefiting risk-sensitive currencies like GBP. As long as global geopolitical tensions remain stable and there are no major risk-off events, the Pound could continue to benefit. Conclusion In conclusion, based on the current economic landscape, GBPUSD is showing signs of a slight bullish bias on 09/10/2024. Key drivers such as positive UK economic data, a potentially cautious BoE, and a weakening US Dollar are aligning to support an upside move in the pair. However, traders should remain cautious and watch for any unexpected shifts in global market sentiment or central bank policies that could impact this outlook. For those looking to trade GBPUSD today, it may be worth considering potential entry points around the 1.2150 support level, targeting the 1.2250 resistance, with appropriate risk management strategies in place. --- Keywords for SEO: GBPUSD analysis, GBPUSD forecast, slightly bullish bias, UK economic data, Bank of England policy, US Dollar weakness, GBPUSD technical analysis, support and resistance levels, forex trading, GBPUSD 09/10/2024, forex forecast, British Pound to US Dollar, forex market outlook, GBPUSD trend, forex trading strategies.
Long
by PERFECT_MFG
GBPUSD Analysis: Slightly Bullish Bias on 08/10/2024.In today's analysis of the GBPUSD pair, we anticipate a slightly bullish bias driven by a combination of fundamental and technical factors. As we move through the trading session on 08/10/2024, traders are closely monitoring key economic releases and geopolitical developments that are expected to influence market sentiment. Let’s explore the primary drivers behind this expected bullish movement. Key Fundamental Drivers 1. Hawkish Sentiment from the Bank of England (BoE) The recent comments from the Bank of England (BoE) officials have been hawkish, signaling that further rate hikes could be on the horizon to combat inflation. With UK inflation remaining above target levels, the BoE's focus on tightening monetary policy to bring it down is a key factor supporting the British Pound (GBP). The market is pricing in the possibility of at least one more rate hike in the near future, which adds upward pressure on GBPUSD. 2. US Dollar Weakness Amid Softening Data The US Dollar (USD) has been showing signs of weakness as recent economic data from the US indicates a slowdown in key sectors, particularly the labor market and consumer spending. The Non-Farm Payrolls report released last week missed expectations, leading to speculation that the Federal Reserve may pause rate hikes sooner than anticipated. This dovish sentiment surrounding the Fed provides a tailwind for GBPUSD, as a weaker USD makes the pair more attractive for buyers. 3. Political Stability in the UK Political stability in the UK, especially in comparison to the uncertainties in the US, has helped maintain investor confidence in the British Pound. The UK government’s recent fiscal policy announcements have been well-received by markets, with investors expecting that these measures will support economic growth, adding strength to GBP in the short term. 4. UK Economic Data Today’s release of the UK’s GDP data will be crucial in setting the tone for GBPUSD. Positive GDP growth figures are expected to fuel further optimism around the British economy, reinforcing the bullish momentum for the Pound. Additionally, the services sector PMI data coming in stronger than forecasted last week suggests that the UK economy is performing better than many of its European counterparts. Technical Outlook From a technical perspective, GBPUSD is trading above its 50-day moving average, which is a bullish signal. The pair is also hovering near a key support level of 1.2150, and as long as this level holds, we could see further upside potential. RSI indicators also suggest that the pair is not yet overbought, leaving room for additional gains throughout the trading day. Key Levels to Watch: - Support Level: 1.2150 - Resistance Level: 1.2275 A break above the 1.2275 resistance level could signal further upward momentum, pushing GBPUSD towards 1.2300 in the near term. Conclusion: Slightly Bullish Bias for GBPUSD In conclusion, based on today’s fundamental factors and market conditions, we anticipate a slightly bullish bias for GBPUSD. With hawkish sentiment from the BoE, weakening USD, and positive economic data from the UK, traders can expect the pair to inch higher as the day progresses. Keeping an eye on key levels and economic releases will be crucial for capturing potential trading opportunities. Keywords: GBPUSD, GBPUSD analysis, GBPUSD trading, GBPUSD forecast, Bank of England, GBPUSD bullish, UK inflation, US Dollar weakness, forex trading, GBPUSD technical analysis, GBPUSD support levels, GBPUSD resistance levels, GBPUSD 08/10/2024, GBPUSD outlook, forex trading ideas, forex strategy, forex market analysis, forex trader
Long
by PERFECT_MFG
GBPUSD DONT TRY TO CAUGHT DROPPING KNIFE !!HELLO TRADERS I am looking at GBPUSD since weeks of a bullish trend it had now created a double top and rejecting from this drawn resistance zone as we can see the Recent NFP out and unemployment is dropping in US and increasing in UK we can see DXY is holding a strong support after this data September is full of Volatility so make a proper search before entering any trade Traders have look on fib retracement we have a great opportunity with a lower risk and higher rewards Stay tuned for more updates. we love Ur support to the idea it helps many of us ....
Short
by APEX_TRADING_ACADMEY
GBP/USD long possibilities from 1.31000 back upMy analysis for GBP/USD (GU) looks promising for both buy and sell opportunities. With the recent shift in market character to the downside and a break of structure, we may see the price entering a downtrend. However, there are key zones lined up that could support either scenario. Currently, the price is approaching a significant demand level at a psychological point, which may influence the market direction. I'm planning to watch for a slowdown and accumulation in my zone around mid-week, aiming to buy from the 18-hour demand zone. Once the price enters this zone, I'll monitor the lower time frame for a character change to the upside for a precise entry. Confluences for GU buy opportunities include: - The higher time frame has been bullish, with a break of structure to the upside. - A clear 18-hour demand zone has been established, which also caused a break of structure to the upside. - There's substantial liquidity to the upside, including untouched Asian session highs. - This aligns with the higher time frame trend, making it a pro-trend trade setup. P.S. If the price retraces upwards, there is a 5-hour supply zone that previously broke structure to the downside, which could provide a good opportunity to continue the short-term bearish trend.
Long
by Hassan_fx
GBPUSD moving higher towards 1.3000 level**Monthly Chart** Last month closed as a bearish candle after making a new low, just to move back into a consolidation range that was formed at the beginning of this year. This month's candle (which is still active) opened within the range and started moving higher. We will see a clear direction after the close of the monthly candle by the end of this week. However, the short-term bias is still bullish after testing the historical low of 1985 in September 2022. **Weekly Chart** last week candle closed higher as a continuation of the bullish move from the previous week. From the weekly chart, the price is heading towards testing the weekly MC around 1.3000 and then 1.3200 level. **Daily Chart** GBPUSD needs a short retracement (corrective move) before resuming the bullish trend. More cleared pictures can be seen in lower time frames.
Long
by PropSignals
1
GBPUSD: A Swing Buy Opportunity! DXY will be plummeted soon.FX:GBPUSD GBPUSD is far over from swing selling yet, our previous idea closed on breakeven, we now expect price to grow and grow big in soon time. However, we do not expect price to rise in days but in weeks or months we can see price to growing to newest higher high of the year. We ask all of you to maintain utmost risk management. **If you like our work then please like, comment the idea and follow us which will encourage us to bring you more content** Team SetupsFX_
Long
by Setupsfx_
16
GBPUSD: Price almost reached our buying! Time To Swing BuyFX:GBPUSD Price almost fell to our area of entry and will soon be rebounding, the main reason price dropped is strong USD data leading price to drop heavily. We expecting price to rebound strongly towards our take profit. First target can be set at 200+ pips from current price region and long target is 600+ pips. **If you like our work then please like and comment, and follow for more and it will also encourage us to bring you more content** Team Setupsfx_
Long
by Setupsfx_
6
#GBPUSD: 500+ PIPS Buying Opportunity! FX:GBPUSD GBPUSD, price has been bullish since last two weeks since DXY is dropping. We had expected price to drop and reject at our demand zone, however, as usd started weakening our plan did not work out as we planned. Wait, for price to fall to our area of entry and then enter with the price rejection at the demand zone. **Like, comment and follow us if you like our ideas, this will support us to bring you more ideas like this** Team SetupsFX_
Long
by Setupsfx_
6
GBPUSD I Potentially headed towards support 1.2620Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments! ** GBPUSD Analysis - Listen to video! We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met. Please support this idea with a LIKE and COMMENT if you find it useful and Click "Follow" on our profile if you'd like these trade ideas delivered straight to your email in the future. Thanks for your continued support!Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
Long
by BKTradingAcademy
2
GBPUSD | Perspective for the new week | Follow-upThe Pound Sterling (GBP) extends its correction against the US Dollar following the release of weaker-than-expected UK Retail Sales data for June, showing a monthly contraction of 1.2% against the expected 0.4% decline and the previous month's growth of 2.9%. 🔍 Key Highlights: 📉 Retail Sales Data: A significant indicator of consumer spending, the sharp decline suggests households are struggling with higher interest rates from the Bank of England (BoE). 💼 Economic Conditions: The rise in claimant count claims may indicate worsening economic conditions, favoring inflation doves on the BoE's Monetary Policy Committee. 💸 Inflation and Interest Rates: Annual inflation in the UK remained stable in June compared to May. However, the BoE points to persistently high service inflation at 5.7% and strong wage growth as barriers to cutting interest rates. 📉 BoE Rate Cuts: The probability of a rate cut by the BoE next month has declined, despite positive sentiment towards the new British government. 📊 Technical Analysis: In this video, I illustrate the technical aspects to watch out for to navigate the current market dynamics effectively. I also discuss key levels and potential scenarios for the GBPUSD in the coming days. GBPUSD Technical Analysis: Will the pound maintain buying pressure above $1.29000? Watch this video for key trades this week. Join the discussion for updates on GBP/USD trading. Stay tuned for more content. Happy trading! #GBPUSD #Forex #Trading #TechnicalAnalysis #UKEconomy #BankofEngland #Inflation #MarketAnalysis #TradingStrategies Disclaimer Notice: Trading in the foreign exchange market and other instruments carries high risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content provided here is for educational purposes only. Evaluate your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
by darcsherry
1