GU: Remains under pressure around the 1.28 mark ahead of FOMCThe GBPUSD pair is facing downward pressure and struggling to make gains during the Asian trading session on Tuesday. Currently, the major pair is trading around the 1.2840 level, showing a 0.1% increase for the day. Market sentiment is cautious as we approach the Federal Open Market Committee's (FOMC) meeting scheduled for Wednesday.
In July, US business activity experienced a slowdown, reaching a five-month low. The S&P Global Composite PMI dropped from 53.2 to 52. The US S&P Global Manufacturing PMI rose from 46.3 to 49, surpassing market expectations. However, the Services PMI decreased from 54.4 to 52.4, falling short of the anticipated 54. Additionally, the Composite PMI index fell to 52 from 53.2 in June.
Gbpusdforecast
7 Dimension Analysis For GBPUSD😇7 Dimension Analysis
Analysis Time Frame: Daily
1: Price Structure:
The current price structure is bullish, with an initial behavior of a Bullish Order Block (BoS). The move is considered corrective, and the inducement has already taken place and is now considered valid and high. There have been 2 pullbacks, and the extreme order block remains unmitigated. The daily time frame shows a confluence area of demand.
2: Patterns:
🟢TREND LINES:
Trend lines are acting as support.
🟢CHART PATTERNS:
A CIP (Change in Polarity) pattern is observed, with this supply area acting as CIP.
A V-shape swing during the corrective move indicates a rapid impulsive recovery once the low is validated.
🟢CANDLE PATTERNS:
Shrinking candles, with the 3rd candle losing size compared to the previous ones.
A doji classic pattern, with the last candle closing as a doji.
A record session count of 6 consecutive bearish candles, but the low is not yet confirmed.
3: Volume:
Average volume observed.
4: Momentum RSI:
🟢The RSI is in a bullish zone.
🟢Currently in a bullish range shift.
5: Volatility Bollinger Bands:
🟢Middle band support and resistance levels are holding.
6: Strength ADX:
Bulls are slightly stronger than bears, with a kiss and cross pattern at the moment.
7: Sentiment ROC:
The rate of change is neutral, at 50/50.
✔️ Entry Time Frame: H1
✅ Entry TF Structure: Bearish
☑️ Entry Move: Impulsive
✔ Support Resistance Base: H1 Order Block rejection.
➕ FIB: Activated
↕️ Trend Line Breakout: Confirmed.
☑️ Final Comments: Sell for a corrective move.
💡 Decision: Sell
🚀 Entry: 1.2853
✋ Stop Loss: 1.2875
🎯 Take Profit: 1.2705
😊 Risk to Reward Ratio: 1:7
🕛 Expected Duration: 2 days
Summary: The price structure is bullish, but currently in a corrective move. The trend lines are acting as support, and a CIP pattern is observed. Bulls are slightly stronger than bears, and the RSI is in a bullish zone. Selling is suggested for a corrective move, with an entry at 1.2853, stop loss at 1.2875, and take profit at 1.2705, providing a risk to reward ratio of 1:7.
GBPUSD Analysis 23July2023at this time, if you look at some of the existing parameters, the price is in the SnD area and approaching the bullish trendline area. we better wait to see what will happen next week. 2 scenarios exist where the bulls are back in control or the bears are continuing the trend. better to wait for some confirmation that could happen.
GBPUSD: Bounces off over one-week low!In the Asian session on Friday, the GBP/USD pair is making a slight upward movement, distancing itself from the previous day's low of around 1.2840-1.2835. However, there isn't much momentum in spot prices and the market is currently trading near 1.2880, with a modest increase of just over 0.10% for the day.
GBPUSD Critical Pointthe pair is in a rising wedge and can make a good decision about the side to move
as we could see in past the price was showing some divergence with MACD (linked) and being in a rising wedge could be a good sign to short it
but from the other side we can see that it has broken the resistance and it is currently retesting it from the above so if it stands as a support we can be longing it too.
better to have an eye on DXY as well (Linked)
we believe it is better to wait and see which side it is finalizing and then surf it to the defined TP.
GBPUSD: CPI today with profit?After a volatile day of trading on Monday, GBP/USD is struggling to break free from the 1.3100 level on Tuesday as investors are cautious about making big moves before important economic data is released.
Although GBP/USD experienced minor losses on Monday, the improved risk sentiment in the US session helped to minimize the losses. In the morning, the UK's FTSE 100 Index rose by 0.3%, while US stock indexes remained relatively stable, which enabled GBP/USD to maintain its position.
GBPUSD Analysis 19July2023Currently the price corrected from its bullish trend after touching fibo 1.618. if we pull the fibo retracement and we look for the SnD area which is adjacent to the fibo notation, we can find that there is a possibility that the price will go to the 0.382 fibo area which is also the same area as the SnD.
Crunch Time: Will Sellers Break the Barrier? GBPUSD in Focus Traders are heavily bullish on the British pound, with net long positions exceeding a whopping $4.7 billion as of July 11, the highest level since mid-2014. Traders are ramping up their expectations for the Bank of England to implement additional interest rate hikes while increasingly under the impression that U.S. rates are on the verge of reaching their peak. Notably, the US Federal Reserve has entered a "blackout period" ahead of their July 26 meeting. As a result, this sentiment could put downward pressure on the U.S. dollar.
Meanwhile, the UK's inflation figures are a major risk event to watch for this week. Although there is an expectation for a drop in the inflation rate (from 8.7% to 8.2%), it is anticipated to remain four times higher than the Bank of England's official target. UK inflation data is due at 2 am (NY time) on Wednesday.
On the chart, the GBPUSD continues to explore lower levels following a test of a high target near 1.31465 on the daily chart last Friday. The market saw a modest corrective downward move last Friday, and again the first trading day of this week. This allowed the 20-day moving average to catch up with the price action. The big question now is whether sellers can push prices below the psychologically important level of 1.3000 ahead of the release of UK inflation data. The presence of buying pressure adds uncertainty to the situation.
GBPUSD - daily outlookIn my analysis of GBPUSD, I have identified a bullish outlook with a potential target at 1.29078 & 1.29785
GBPUSD has been exhibiting a series of higher highs and higher lows, indicating upward momentum. The recent price action suggests a bullish bias, with the pair gaining strength against the US dollar.
Remember to set appropriate stop-loss orders and manage your risk effectively. The forex market can be volatile, and it's crucial to adapt your strategy if market conditions change.
GBPUSD Analysis 10July2021GBPUSD is still in accordance with the last analysis. the trend looks bullish. now the price has reached fibo expansion 1. the length of wave 5 is the same as wave 3. if the price today can form a new HH, then there is a high probability that the price will form a bullish continuation again.
GBPUSD Top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
GBPUSD Top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
FOMC Minutes in the Charts: EUR/USD & GBP/USDDuring their June meeting, minutes released on Wednesday indicated that almost all Federal Reserve officials expect further tightening in the future. Despite the majority's belief in upcoming rate hikes, policymakers chose not to increase rates due to concerns about over-tightening. They acknowledged the delayed impact of previous policies and other factors, which led them to skip the June meeting after implementing ten consecutive rate increases.
Out of the 18 participants, all but two anticipated at least one rate hike to be appropriate within this year, while twelve members expected two or more hikes.
The prevailing consensus that the US central bank will raise borrowing costs by 25 basis points at the end of the July policy meeting has lent some strength to the US Dollar and exerted downward pressure on the GBP/USD and EUR/USD. The DXY (US Dollar Index) surged above 103.30, reaching its highest level of the week.
EUR/USD further declined to the 1.0850 region. The outlook for the Euro has turned negative as the EUR/USD pair dropped below the 20-day simple moving average (SMA).
If the GBP/USD pair falls below 1.2700 and confirms that level as resistance, the next potential bearish targets could be 1.2680, 1.2658, 1.2647 according to fib retracement levels and previously pivot points.
GBPUSD Weekly Outlook: New perspective for the week | Follow-upThis video provides a comprehensive analysis of the bullish and bearish sentiment in GBPUSD, focusing on price action-based technical analysis of support and resistance levels within the 4-hour timeframe.
In the previous week, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell emphasizes the necessity for further rate hikes, and adding to the market volatility, the Bank of England surprises with a larger-than-expected rate hike, causing a stir in investor sentiment. This bullish attempt is evident on the charts around the $1.27000 zone, reflecting a momentary boost following the Bank of England's 50 basis point increases to a nearly one-year high.
Traditionally, higher interest rates lend support to currencies, but the Pound Sterling faces the risk of a potential recession in the U.K., prompting investors to seek refuge in safe-haven assets like the U.S. dollar. U.K. retail sales data, released recently, reveals a 2.1% annual decline in May, further indicating an economic slowdown.
On the U.S. economic front, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell concludes his two-day testimony before Congress, reiterating the potential for at least two more interest rate hikes this year to combat rising inflation.
Looking ahead, the trajectory of the Pound Sterling will be influenced by upcoming announcements of Gross Domestic Product data from both economies this week. In light of these latest economic developments, questions arise: If the larger-than-expected rate hike from the Bank of England fails to generate positive price movement for the Pound, how will the United Kingdom navigate its persistent inflationary pressures?
This video illustrates a comprehensive analysis of the bullish and bearish sentiment in GBPUSD, focusing on a technical examination of support and resistance levels within the 4-hour timeframe. We uncover how these critical levels can unlock potential trading opportunities for the upcoming week. Notably, I highlighted a key level at the $1.27000 zone, coinciding with the ascending trendline identified in the 4H timeframe. The market's response to this zone at the beginning of the week will wield considerable influence over the direction of price action in the days to come.
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