Gbpusdforecast
GBPUSD Top-down analysisHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
GBPUSD: Bears are still too strong!TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
If GBP/USD climbs above 1.2380, which is the 20-period SMA and the upper limit of the descending channel, and utilizes it as support, it may face temporary resistance at 1.2400 and 1.2420 before aiming for 1.2450, which is the Fibonacci 23.6% retracement of the latest uptrend.
If it goes downwards, the first support is at 1.2330, the midpoint of the descending channel, followed by 1.2300 and 1.2240, which are the psychological level and Fibonacci 50% retracement respectively.
GBPUSD | Perspective for the new week | Follow-upFollowing a choppy previous week, the Pound Sterling appears to have found "support" along the 1.245000 benchmark and depending on how price action reacts to this level in the coming week will decide whether to buy or sell the Pound Sterling in the coming week(s). The GBPUSD rose 0.3% on Friday to 1.245, rebounding slightly after struggling in the face of overnight dollar strength, and with a handful of high-impact economic features from both economies involved in these pair, we have a week with voluminous trading activities. In this video, we looked at the charts from a technical standpoint for how to take advantage of any trading opportunities in the coming week.
Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
GBPUSD Top-down analysisHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
GBP/USD Alert: Unrealistic Forecast for UK Inflation? Tomorrow, the latest inflation rate for the UK will be released, which will be significant for traders dealing with GBP/USD due to the perhaps unrealistic forecast for a 2-percentage point drop.
It is expected that the inflation rate for April will have significantly dropped to 8.2%. Are markets overly optimist with this forecast? In March, the consumer price inflation rate in the United Kingdom eased to 10.1% on a year-on-year basis, slightly lower than the 10.4% recorded in February but higher than the market's expectation of 9.8%.
The British pound has remained strong, with a value around $1.2435, staying close to its 12-month high of $1.2679 reached on May 10th. Currently, money markets predict an 80% chance of the Bank of England raising interest rates by 25 basis points to 4.75% in June, and a 79% chance of a 5% Bank Rate by September. Recently, the BoE increased rates to 4.5%, the highest level since 2008.
On the other hand, some expect the US Federal Reserve to pause its current tightening cycle as policymakers carefully consider concerns about inflation's impact on economic growth. There have been positive developments regarding discussions about the US debt ceiling, according to US House Speaker Kevin McCarthy, who mentioned the possibility of a deal being reached tonight or tomorrow.
When examining the 4-hour chart, the pair tested an important 50-bar moving average (MA) and attracted buyers on Friday. This MA will continue to be a significant level leading up to the inflation rate data drop. If the GBP/USD pair maintains its upward bias, it will need to contend with the Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator, which recently dipped below the 50-midline. Should the 50-day MA be breached, the expected trading range for today could be between support at 1.2350 and resistance at 1.2400.
GBPUSD 18May2023According to the previous analysis, when the price drops more than the red line, there is a high probability of a reversal. I readjusted wave analysis notation. Corrections that occur can occur simply by looking at the current bullish DXY analysis conditions. I am looking for an area to sell with the upper limit of the invalid area, when the price suddenly rises and penetrates the invalid area then this analysis will be invalidated
GBPUSD Signal 16May2023after today GBPUSD experienced a period of consolidation in the Asian session, and in the European session the price moved down and then rose again more than the Asian session, there seems to be manipulation here, most likely the distribution period will occur in the NY session,
GBPUSD : Current Situation & Technical , Fundamental View#GBPUSD
- Currently the MARKET SENTIMENT for GBPUSD is slightly UP SIDE. All MARKETS including STOCKS and STOCKS may be UP due to MARKET RISK ON in the past days. It affects the POUND greatly. GBPUSD may be slightly UP this week. Anyway, XXXUSD PAIRS are being BUYed slightly higher because the FED is a bit dovish.
- The price can definitely move up to the SUPPORT LEVEL below the GBPUSD. The reason for that is because there is a slightly UP BIAS in the MARKET for USD. But GBPUSD can be BUY until 1.2900 LEVEL. Before that, you can SELL at 1.2425 LEVEL. So go to GBPUSD SELL ENTRIES.
Pound to break 1.27 amid BOE rate hike?On Monday, the dollar continued to show weakness against most of its major counterparts as traders awaited the Federal Reserve's acknowledgement of the end of its hiking cycle, while also hedging against the risk of a potential recession. Traders are also keeping an eye on the debt ceiling impasse in Capitol Hill, with the Treasury Secretary warning of possible inability to pay debts by June 1. On Wednesday, U.S. inflation data is expected to indicate whether the Fed needs to take further steps to control inflation.
The pound rose to a more than one-year peak against the dollar on Monday, trading as high as $1.2668, its highest level since April 2022, before slipping slightly below that to $1.2616. The pound is in focus this week ahead of an anticipated Bank of England rate increase on Thursday, expected by many to raise the base rate to 4.5% after voting 7-2 in March to increase it from 4% to 4.25%.
On the 4-hour chart, the price is above the 30-SMA for now, and the RSI is above 50 (although weakening). The price paused at the 1.2650 resistance level after a strong upward movement and is maybe reversing now, with resistance turned support (1.2075) the target to keep an eye on next to the downside. Negative developments with any of the concerns affecting the US or BOE’s rate hike will put 1.650 and 1.2700 in the crosshairs to the upside if the price begins to consolidate where it is now until Thursday.
GBPUSD | Perspective for the new week | Follow-upGBPUSD turns positive for the fourth straight week but this time around did a significant breakout of the 1.25000 level - climbing to a two-week high on Friday to set the tone for a bullish momentum ahead of the new month. However, bets for another 25 bps rate hike by the US Fed Reserve in the coming week could tilt an imbalance in the market influx. It is also important to note that the coming week is laced with a handful of high-impact macroeconomic event that could incite a choppy situation in this market.
Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.