GBPUSD | Perspective for the new week | Follow-upThe Pound Sterling (GBP) extends its correction against the US Dollar following the release of weaker-than-expected UK Retail Sales data for June, showing a monthly contraction of 1.2% against the expected 0.4% decline and the previous month's growth of 2.9%.
🔍 Key Highlights:
📉 Retail Sales Data: A significant indicator of consumer spending, the sharp decline suggests households are struggling with higher interest rates from the Bank of England (BoE).
💼 Economic Conditions: The rise in claimant count claims may indicate worsening economic conditions, favoring inflation doves on the BoE's Monetary Policy Committee.
💸 Inflation and Interest Rates: Annual inflation in the UK remained stable in June compared to May. However, the BoE points to persistently high service inflation at 5.7% and strong wage growth as barriers to cutting interest rates.
📉 BoE Rate Cuts: The probability of a rate cut by the BoE next month has declined, despite positive sentiment towards the new British government.
📊 Technical Analysis:
In this video, I illustrate the technical aspects to watch out for to navigate the current market dynamics effectively. I also discuss key levels and potential scenarios for the GBPUSD in the coming days.
GBPUSD Technical Analysis:
Will the pound maintain buying pressure above $1.29000? Watch this video for key trades this week. Join the discussion for updates on GBP/USD trading. Stay tuned for more content. Happy trading!
#GBPUSD #Forex #Trading #TechnicalAnalysis #UKEconomy #BankofEngland #Inflation #MarketAnalysis #TradingStrategies
Disclaimer Notice:
Trading in the foreign exchange market and other instruments carries high risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content provided here is for educational purposes only. Evaluate your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Gbpusdforecast
GBPUSD I Price in correction and headed for support buy zoneWelcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** GBPUSD Analysis - Listen to video!
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Strong drop possible on GBPUSDAfter a strong rejection from monthly resistance GBPUSD has changed it's local uptrend to downtrend. The price has grabbed liquidity multiple times and started to drop to order block.
as currently the price is breaking below the support, on a retest a short trade is high probable.
GBP/USD Shorts are becoming more dominant? GU sell opportunities are looking increasingly favorable as the dollar continues to rise. We now have some high-quality supply zones, specifically the 19-hour and 4-hour zones. If the price breaks the nearby low and structure again, the 2-hour supply zone I’ve identified will become more valid.
Since the price is not near any of my high-time-frame points of interest (POIs), if it keeps falling, I expect the imbalances to be filled and the demand zones to be mitigated. Ideally, we will see a reaction from the 3-hour or 17-hour demand zones.
Confluences for GU Sells:
The dollar is bullish, indicating GU should trend downward.
Valid supply zones are forming, presenting potential bearish trade setups.
There are numerous imbalances and liquidity below that can be targeted.
The price has changed character and broken structure to the downside on the higher time frame.
P.S. I will closely monitor the price action throughout the week and adapt accordingly. It appears that a sell position is becoming more likely due to the Wyckoff distribution observed on the high time frame.
GBPUSD Weekly Analysis and OutlookGBPUSD Weekly Analysis and Outlook
Next week, the GBPUSD pair is poised to challenge a key resistance level, showing potential for a significant bullish move. Traders should prepare for the possibility of the pair creating a new high as it attempts to break above this critical level.
Current Market Overview:
The GBPUSD has been building momentum for the next upward movement leg, with increasing buying pressure observed near the resistance zone. The pair's recent price action indicates a continuation of a bullish sentiment, supported by favorable market conditions. As it approaches this crucial resistance, traders are closely monitoring for signs of a breakout.
Expectations and Potential Scenarios:
As the GBPUSD approaches the key resistance level, several scenarios could unfold, which traders should prepare for:
Primary Expectation:
Bullish Breakout: If the GBPUSD successfully breaks above the resistance level, it is likely to trigger a strong upward movement, potentially creating a new high. This breakout could lead to higher price levels, offering traders opportunities to capitalize on the bullish trend. In this scenario, the pair might target subsequent resistance levels, reinforcing the positive outlook.
Alternative Scenario:
Resistance Rejection: However, if the GBPUSD encounters strong resistance and fails to break through, a temporary pullback might occur. This would allow traders to reassess and look for entry points at lower levels before the upward trend potentially resumes. Monitoring the price action closely at this resistance zone will be crucial to anticipate this scenario.
Conclusion:
In summary, the GBPUSD pair is at a pivotal point, with the potential for a significant breakout and the creation of a new high. Traders should watch for a decisive move above the resistance level, which could signal continued gains and a shift to a bullish trend. Keeping an eye on both bullish breakout and corrective pullback scenarios will be essential for effective trading strategies. Stay updated with market developments and adjust your positions accordingly.
By Piptera Digital Solutions,
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GBPUSD | Perspective for the new week | Follow-upIn this video, we examine the recent performance of the GBP/USD, which closed Friday at a fresh five-week low, marking its third consecutive week of decline. The Bank of England's (BoE) recent interest rate decision did little to bolster confidence in the British pound. Meanwhile, a late-week surge in the US Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) dampened risk appetite, giving the US Dollar a lift heading into the weekend.
On Thursday, the pound and UK bond yields fell after the BoE left interest rates unchanged at 5.25%. Some policymakers noted that their decision not to cut rates was "finely balanced". Additionally, British inflation data revealed a drop to 2% in May, hitting the BoE's target for the first time since 2021. However, concerns remain over underlying price pressures, particularly in the services sector.
With positive US economic data reducing the likelihood of an early rate cut from the Federal Reserve (Fed), market sentiment shifted towards the safe-haven Greenback on Friday.
Looking ahead, UK economic data remains sparse heading into next week, leaving Sterling traders focused on next Friday’s Gross Domestic Product (GDP) release. In the US, economic data releases are also limited to mid-tier reports early next week, with the US GDP update scheduled for next Thursday.
GBPUSD Technical Analysis:
Will the pound maintain selling pressure below $1.26750? Watch this video for key trades this week. Join the discussion for updates on GBP/USD trading. Stay tuned for more content. Happy trading!
Disclaimer Notice:
Trading in the foreign exchange market and other instruments carries high risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content provided here is for educational purposes only. Evaluate your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
GBPUSD: The British Pound is on a short-term recovery trend.GBPUSD: The British Pound is on a short-time period restoration trend. In the context of USD adjusting downward. The situation in today`s consultation ought to see GBPUSD short-time period resistance across the 1.2730 region. It is anticipated that GU will preserve to growth and there may be reactions round this resistance region and decline. In the quick time period, you could purchase with GU and wait to promote above this resistance zone
GBPUSD I Potential to continue lower Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** GBPUSD Analysis - Listen to video!
We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met.
Please support this idea with a LIKE and COMMENT if you find it useful and Click "Follow" on our profile if you'd like these trade ideas delivered straight to your email in the future.
Thanks for your continued support!Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
GBP/USD Shorts from 1.27000 back down (Pro Trend)My analysis for GU is bearish, and I am currently waiting for a pullback into a daily supply zone to look for shorting opportunities. Once the price taps into my point of interest (POI), I will look for a lower time frame (LTF) Wyckoff schematic to take the price down.
With the dollar looking bullish, this analysis aligns well. Additionally, this is a pro-trend trade, as recent price action has shown lower lows and lower highs. If the price creates a new break of structure (BOS), we may see a new supply zone, which I will be monitoring closely.
Confluences for GU sells are as follow:
- Price broke structure to the downside on the higher time frame
- Daily supply level left unmitigated thats now become our POI.
- Lots of liquidity left to the downside as well as an imbalance
- DXY is also correlating and supporting this idea as the dollar is looking bullish right now.
- Lots of bearish pressure which means the correction is pending back up.
P.S. If the price continues to drop and enters the 6-hour demand zone, I will look for buying opportunities back up to a nearby supply zone. It's important to stay adaptable based on what the market presents.
GBPUSD | Perspective for the new week | Follow-upThe GBP/USD continues to decline, hitting a one-month low below $1.2700. Factors contributing to the British Pound's weakness include declining inflation expectations, potential policy shifts by the Reform Party, and broader economic uncertainties.
Amidst indications of a possible rate cut by the Bank of England this summer, both inflation and the labor market are showing signs of ongoing softening.
In April, inflation dropped below expectations while the latest jobs report revealed concerns as more individuals claimed unemployment benefits in May. With the UK economy stagnant in April and inflation, particularly services inflation, posing challenges, the BoE is closely monitoring the situation.
UK inflation is projected to decrease further, with upcoming data anticipated to show a decline in core CPI y/y to 3.5% and headline CPI y/y to 2.0%. The BoE aims to reach its target inflation rate of 2% soon.
GBPUSD Technical Analysis:
Will the pound maintain selling pressure below $1.27000? Watch this video for key trades this week. Join the discussion for updates on GBP/USD trading. Stay tuned for more content. Happy trading!
Disclaimer Notice:
Trading in the foreign exchange market and other instruments carries high risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content provided here is for educational purposes only. Evaluate your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
GU bearish reaction from 1.27600 or 1.27800My bias for GU this week is to look for sell opportunities. I expect the price to react from the current demand zone I identified last week, which should trigger a pullback towards the supply zone.
Once the price reaches either the 10-hour or 12-hour supply zone, I will look for a Wyckoff distribution on the lower time frame and a clear shift in trend, indicating the price is ready to resume its downward trend.
Confluences for GU Sells are as follows:
- Lots of liquidity below that needs to get taken as well as imbalances that need to get filled.
- DXY is also looking bullish which aligns with this idea as well.
- Price has left a clean level of supply that has been unmitigated.
- Price is currently in a downtrend so this is a pro-trend idea.
- Higher time frame and candle stick anatomy also show bearish
P.S. If the price continues to decline, I will wait for it to enter a deeper demand zone before buying back up, assuming the new week starts off bearish. However, my overall strategy for this week is to focus on sell opportunities.
GBPUSD | Perspective for the new week | Follow-upThis video dissects the recent market trends and economic data that have been impacting the Pound Sterling and the US Dollar.
Last Friday, data revealed a positive turn in UK house prices for May, following a couple of months of decline. However, all eyes were on the report on US inflation, which significantly influenced price movements. The Pound Sterling (GBP) demonstrated signs of recovery, particularly after the monthly United States core Personal Consumption Expenditure Price Index (PCE) data for April fell short of expectations. With underlying inflation growing at a slower rate than anticipated.
Additionally, the downwardly revised GDP estimates have weighed on the US Dollar and increased the speculation on the likelihood of the Fed reducing interest rates in September, with estimates surpassing the 50% mark.
Shifting focus to the United Kingdom, the survey of economic outlook conducted by Lloyds Bank highlighted easing price pressures and strong expectations surrounding the Bank of England (BoE) potentially initiating interest rate reductions earlier than anticipated hereby bolstering business optimism.
In this video, we navigated the current market dynamic to unravel the potential direction of price action in the coming week as market participants digest the implications of the economic data from both economies
GBPUSD Technical Analysis:
Will the pound hold above $1.27000? Watch this video for key trades this week. We analyze trends and levels for market insights. Join the discussion for updates on GBP/USD trading. Stay tuned for more content. Happy trading!
Disclaimer Notice:
Trading in the foreign exchange market and other instruments carries high risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content provided here is for educational purposes only. Evaluate your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
GBPUSD is flat as the market is waiting for important newsGBPUSD: The British Pound yesterday also largely accumulated sideways as the market was waiting for important news. However, technically, it can be seen that the upward trend is still being maintained. Therefore, you can consider the option of continuing to buy up GBPUSD today. It is expected that there is a possibility of a breakout to the higher target area around 1.2900 if NONFARM today is unfavorable for USD.
GBP/USD Longs from 1.2700 or 1.26700My bias for GU this week is for it to continue its bullish trend, expecting a retracement to an area of demand. I've marked two potential zones of interest: the 3-hour demand and the 10-hour demand just below it. Once the price reaches these levels, I expect it to accumulate and present a clean buying opportunity on the lower time frames.
If the price doesn't form a correction and continues upward, I'll look to take sells from a supply zone near 1.27900 or slightly higher.
Confluences for GU Buys are as follows:
- Demand zone has caused a break of structure to the upside.
- Lots of liquidity to the upside as well as that wick that needs to get filled.
- Price is already been bullish so this is a pro trend trade.
P.S. As of now I will be waiting to see which direction Price would like to go in and prepare myself from there. Have a great trading week guys!
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GBPUSD Trading Plan -31/May/2024Hello Traders,
Hope you all are doing good!!
I expect GU to go Down after finishing the correction.
Look for your SELL setups.
Please follow me and like if you agree or this idea helps you out in your trading plan .
Disclaimer: This is just an idea. Please do your own analysis before opening a position. Always use SL & proper risk management.
Market can evolve anytime, hence, always do your analysis and learn trade management before following any idea.
GBPUSD | Perspective for the new week | Follow-upDive into the GBP/USD market dynamics with us as we dissect its recent movements and chart a course for the week ahead.
After a brief dip to a weekly low sparked by disappointing UK Retail Sales data, GBP/USD bounced back and steadied above the 1.2700 mark. The USD's struggle to attract demand amid positive risk sentiment has provided support, allowing the pair to maintain its position.
The UK's Office for National Statistics (ONS) reported a 2.3% monthly decline in Retail Sales for April, worse than the anticipated 0.4% contraction, hindering Pound Sterling's upward momentum.
Conversely, across the Atlantic, US Durable Goods Orders surpassed expectations, though a downward revision to the previous month's figures tempered the impact, bolstering demand for the British Pound.
With limited high-impact economic releases expected from the UK in the near term, this video delves into our strategies for navigating the evolving market landscape in the week ahead. Join us as we analyze potential trading opportunities and chart our course forward
GBPUSD Technical Analysis:
Will the pound hold above $1.27000? Watch this video for key trades this week. We analyze trends and levels for market insights. Join the discussion for updates on GBP/USD trading. Stay tuned for more content. Happy trading!
Disclaimer Notice:
Trading in the foreign exchange market and other instruments carries high risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content provided here is for educational purposes only. Evaluate your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
GBPUSD Trading Plan - 30/May/2024Hello Traders,
Hope you all are doing good!!
I expect GU to go Up from the FS (For3xScalper) Box.
If it starts to give correction here, then we can go further down to 1.27 level.
Look for your BUY setups.
Please follow me and like if you agree or this idea helps you out in your trading plan.
Disclaimer: This is just an idea. Please do your own analysis before opening a position. Always use SL & proper risk management.
Market can evolve anytime, hence, always do your analysis and learn trade management before following any idea.
GBPUSD: The British Pound has also corrected in the short term.GBPUSD: The British Pound has additionally corrected withinside the quick term. Currently, this forex pair is keeping across the aid degree on the 1.2690 area. However, with the modern-day fashion and downward pressure, it's miles probable that GBPUSD will penetrate this aid quarter to a deeper fee variety across the 1.2640 area. You can recollect keeping the sell-down watch with GU today
GBP/USD Long to Shorts from 1.27000This week, my plan for GBPUSD (GU) is to buy up towards the 10-hour supply zone. I will wait for a retracement to occur, allowing for a Wyckoff accumulation to form within the demand zone before taking buys, possibly targeting the relative equal highs I have marked.
If the price doesn’t retrace deeply and moves straight towards the supply zone, I will look for a Wyckoff distribution to initiate sells. This supply zone is more promising as it's a refined version of the 21-hour zone I marked last week.
Confluences for GU Buys are as follows:
- Price has left a clean 8hr demand zone that has swept liquidity.
- Price has been bullish and this idea is a pro-trend idea.
- There is lots of liquidity to target in the form of equal high and Asian high.
- There is still an unmitigated supply that needs to get mitigated as well.
P.S. If the price doesn't respect the demand zone, it could drop lower due to the imbalance below. In that case, I would look for a deeper demand zone to buy from or wait for the price to change character (CHOCH) to the downside.