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Gbpusdforecast

The GBP didn't short itself. If one would have checked the recent flightlogs of the GBP performance he might have been astounded what he would discover: GBP emerges from the first trading week of the year as the strongest currency and the signs look great for a further rally of the pound: 🟢GBP Positive:🟢 - 🟢 The PMIs in the UK have recently surprised on the upside and so there is light at the end of the tunnel, in contrast to the European counterpart, which has only surprised with more and more negative PMIs - 🟢 Although wage pressure is falling, it remains high by international standards - 🟢 There are signs of a recovery in both retail sales and GDP for 2024 - 📊🇬🇧 Inflation will fall quickly and reach 2% mark as early as Q2 2024🟢 - 🟢 That said given the better economic performance it is doubtful whether the BOE will actually cut interest rates as early as its sister from the ECB -> 🟢 I think May would be a realistic scenario for a 1st rate cut by the BOE ✅️ But as every story that sounds to good to be true, the longterm outlook brings some serious concerns for the so far marvellous UK dream story: 🔴GBP Negative:🔴 - 🔴GDP was recently significantly weaker (-0.3) than expected (0.0) - 🔴Industrial production also surprised negatively in relation to expectations at 0.4 - 🔴However, the significantly weaker labour data recently, in which bonus payments in particular surprised to the downside and raised one question in particular, weighs even more heavily and will bring much more rate cuts forward than the BOE and the market are expecting right now. Conclusion: The outlook for the pound is starting to brighten, but overall the negative factors are likely to outweigh against the USD in the longterm and so I see a promising opportunity to short the GBPUSD (after another rally) from way above. The 1.32 - 1.33 zone would be ideal. (For everyone who made it this far I have an extra for you: A small quiz in the comments ;) If someone wants to buy the GBP now, a long trade in GBPCHF is a good idea, which I explain in my following trade idea here:
Short
by PrimeTrading
5
GBPUSD Weekly Outlook: Analyzing Potential Trends and IdeasIn this video, I'll conduct a comprehensive analysis of GBPUSD , examining it from a High Timeframe (HTF) perspective down to our Low Timeframes (LTF) . This approach will provide insights into what to expect in trading for the upcoming week. Additionally, I'll delve into an analysis of the DXY to further enhance our understanding of market dynamics. Stay tuned for valuable insights and strategies. Kind Regards, The_Architect
by The_Archi-tect
GBPUSD Trade Idea - Important Points To ConsiderIn the video, we analyse a potential trading opportunity for the GBPUSD. We delve into the prevailing trend, examine price movements, evaluate market structure, and pinpoint a potential entry point based on favourable conditions (if they arise), as outlined in the video. Additionally, I discuss my risk management strategy. Traders who lack a robust risk management plan expose themselves to significant risk and often encounter negative trading outcomes. It is crucial to incorporate sound risk management principles into your trading strategy. As always, please be aware that this information is strictly for educational purposes and should not be construed as financial advice.
Short
by fxtraderanthony
GBP/USD short term longs to shorts 1.26000 back up to 1.27200I am currently holding a bearish view on GU, and I'm patiently waiting for a deeper pullback toward the primary supply zone. However, there's a nearby 1hr demand zone where we might witness a bullish reaction. If this zone fails, which is possible given the ample liquidity below, there's also a deeper demand zone just beneath it. We need to wait patiently to see how price behaves. If price continues to rise, reaching the Asian high and trend line, it would strengthen my bearish bias and provide additional confluence for potential sells. Conversely, if price declines further, I'll be on the lookout for Wyckoff accumulation to unfold in either of the demand zones. Confluences for GU short term buys are as follows: - Price left lots of liquidity to the upside as well as an asian high that needs to get taken - There is two 1hr demand zones that could initiate the expected pullback yet to come. - For my sell bias to come into play, price must rally up which hasn't happened yet. - Imbalances are left above that need to get filled. P.S. If price continues to decline, I'll wait for a new supply zone to form and then consider selling from that point. Ultimately, the majority of liquidity remains situated below, influencing this decision.
Long
by Hassan_fx
GBP/USD Shorts from 1.27200 back downMy bias for GU is downward, expecting a minor retracement before a continuation of the downtrend. Currently, I'm monitoring for price to rise and reach the newly identified supply levels, particularly focusing on the 20-hour supply zone for its high quality. Observing the reaction at the first 4-hour supply, I anticipate a possible minor reaction, though I foresee it ultimately failing due to the presence of an Asian high above. Once price reaches the 20-hour supply area, I'll be watching for signs of a Wyckoff distribution pattern to form, signaling a potential opportunity to sell back down. Confluences for GU Sells are as follows: - Price broke structure the downside and left a clean 20hr supply zone. - Imbalances that needs to b filled before tapping into the supply. - Lots of liquidity below in the form of asian lows. - Price is overall bearish on the higher time frame. - I can see the dollar to rising more to the upside. P.S. While I anticipate further price drops, it's improbable without addressing the imbalances and supply levels above before further downward movement occurs. Have a great trading week!
Short
by Hassan_fx
1
GBPUSD I Daily bias is now short as the bullish trend was brokenWelcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments! ** GBPUSD Analysis - Listen to video! We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met. Please support this idea with a LIKE and COMMENT if you find it useful and Click "Follow" on our profile if you'd like these trade ideas delivered straight to your email in the future. Thanks for your continued support!
Short
by BKTradingAcademy
2
Swing trade short for GBP/USDGBP/USD makes for a really interesting short setup. It saw a strong rally and eventual false break / mini blow off top above the December high, before a sharp reversal lower on Monday. It fell back beneath the December high, and a rising wedge (bearish reversal during a down move) stalled at the 50% retracement level, just beneath the December high. - The wedge projects a pattern around the 1.2723 low, making it a minimum price objective for bears. - Also note the 61.8% Fib projection sits right on the high-volume node ~1.2723, making it another potential target for bears.
Short
by CityIndex
Are you ready to ride this? More than 3,000 pips { 21/03/2024}Educational Analysis says GBPUSD may move in this range for some time according to my technical. Broker - FXCM This is not an entry signal. I have no concerns with your profit and loss from this analysis. Why this range? Because the market is in an uptrend on 4 hour zoom out time frame, the market tried to put fake Change of Character duping the traders for a while. But now we can go long from this zone marked out with risk to reward ratio tool. Let's see what this pair brings to the table in the future for us. Please check the Comment section on how it turned out for this trade. I HAVE NO CONCERNS WITH YOUR PROFIT OR LOSS, Happy Trading, Fx Dollars.
Long
by VishalBudhrani
6
GBP/USD Longs from 1.27000 back up towards 1.28000I anticipate price heading towards the demand area first. So, early in the week, there might be a potential buying opportunity around the 1.27000 region, where the 9-hour demand is located. However, I'll exercise caution due to the presence of an Asian low, ensuring I don't enter too early. Ideally, I'd prefer to see the Asian low swept and the 3-hour demand mitigated, which sits just below. As price approaches the buy zone, the validity of buys becomes more apparent. However, if we witness a strong bullish reaction, we might see the imbalance below the 7-hour supply zone filled. In such a scenario, I'll then be on the lookout for short positions, considering that price has displayed a clear shift to the downside. Confluences for GU Buys are as follows: - Recent trend was bullish this downward movement could be just a retracement. - Nice demand zones left that has caused a recent break of structure to the upside. - Lots of liquidity to the upside as well as an imbalance that needs to get filled in. - DXY also approaching a near buy supply so the idea makes sense if the dollar goes down. P.S. Despite the shift in price direction to the downside, I'll focus on what's near the current price. Currently, the 9-hour demand zone is nearby, so I'll be considering buying opportunities to move back up. Have a great trading week guys and watch out for FOMC Wednesday!
Long
by Hassan_fx
1
GBPUSD M30 / Short Trade Signal ✅💡Hello Traders! This is my idea related to GBPUSD M30. The price is currently in the supply area, and I expect it to go bearish from this zone. I will wait for a trade confirmation before executing this trade. When I see a small retracement from the OB, I expect another retracement before going bearish. I expect to take the BOSS at the price of 1.27450. Traders, if my proposal resonates with you or if you hold a divergent viewpoint regarding this trade, feel free to share your thoughts in the comments. I welcome the opportunity to hear your perspectives. ____________________________________ Follow, like, and comment to see my content: www.tradingview.com
Short
by GoodTradeST