GBPUSD | Perspective for the new week | Follow-upMarket participants are eagerly awaiting fresh guidance on Bank of England (BoE) interest rates as uncertainty lingers over the timing of potential rate cuts. Speculation suggests the central bank might consider reducing interest rates in the early part of the second half of the year, with the likelihood of a rate cut in the June policy meeting currently below 50% and a dovish decision for August appearing increasingly probable.
BoE Governor Andrew Bailey anticipates price pressures to ease towards the 2% target in spring before resuming an upward trajectory. This could pave the way for the BoE to contemplate a significant unwinding of its historically tight monetary policy stance. Recent UK data indicates an improving economic outlook, suggesting that the technical recession experienced in the latter half of last year may have come to an end. Despite these positive developments, the Pound's performance remains subdued relative to expectations given the better UK data and strong risk appetite.
On the other hand, the US Dollar has stabilized following a recovery amidst tightening labor market conditions. Initial jobless claims for the week ending February 16 came in lower than anticipated at 201K, compared to expectations of 218,000 and the previous reading of 213,000. Additionally, Federal Reserve (Fed) policymakers emphasize the need for further evidence to support the expectation of inflation declining towards the 2% target.
GBPUSD Technical Analysis:
Will the pound continue its trajectory and sustain its momentum above the $1.27200 zone? The stakes are high, and we're on the edge of our seats!
The spotlight is on high-impact economic events from the US docket for clues. Brace yourselves as the anticipation and the actual events may trigger sharp price movements that could present incredible trading opportunities.
In this video, we've analyzed the Daily and 4-hour timeframes, exploring bullish and bearish sentiments to uncover the most promising trades for the week ahead. We've delved into key levels, trendlines, and support/resistance points, unveiling essential insights into the current market structure.
We are keeping a close eye on the potential range between $1.26150 and $1.28200 where a breakdown or breakdown could incite the next BIG move. It's a decisive structure where both sellers and buyers will be vying for control, and how the market reacts here will set the course for GBPUSD in the upcoming days.
Stay connected and join the conversation in the comment section to stay updated on the latest developments. Thank you for tuning in, and get ready for more enlightening insights into GBPUSD in our upcoming content. Buckle up for a thrilling journey ahead! Happy trading!
Disclaimer Notice:
Please be aware that margin trading in the foreign exchange market, including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks, and other instruments, carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content of this speculative material, including all data, is provided by me for educational purposes only and to assist in making independent investment decisions. All information presented here is for reference purposes only, and I do not assume any responsibility for its accuracy.
It is important that you carefully evaluate your investment experience, financial situation, investment objectives, and risk tolerance level. Before making any investment, it is advisable to consult with your independent financial advisor to assess the suitability of your circumstances.
Please note that I cannot guarantee the accuracy of the information provided, and I am not liable for any loss or damage that may directly or indirectly result from the content or the receipt of any instructions or notifications associated with it.
Remember that past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Keep this in mind while considering any investment opportunities.
Gbpusdforecast
GBPUSD Looking Descending Triangle🚨 GBP/USD Update OANDA:GBPUSD
🗓️ Date: 25 February, 2024
⏰ Timeframe: Daily
💡 Given in the chart –
♦️ Blue color -(Descending Triangle ) = D1
♦️ Red color -Resistance Level = 1.2714
♦️ Green color -Support Level = 1.2528
The currency pair did not see any good movement in the last week i.e. February 18-24. This is mainly due to the lack of publication of any fundamental news in the last week. The movement of the currency pair for the whole week was only about 70 pips.
Analyzing the chart on the Daily time frame, we have identified the presence of an essential Descending Triangle Chart Pattern. The range of this chart pattern is between 1.2528 and 2713.
Although this chart pattern indicates a bearish movement, the price needs to break the support level part of the pattern to confirm it. That is, a price position below 1.2528 is mandatory.
✅ As long as the price stays within this range, you can accept Sell entries in the resistance part of the range and Buy entries in the support part according to the bounce trading strategy.
Remember that the UK is in an overall economic recession. The economy of a country is directly reflected in the currency of that country. The advice would therefore be to be cautious in accepting entries in any GBP currency pair.
🚫 The currency pair does not currently have any positions to accept entries in Buy positions. If the price can stay above the resistance level of the range i.e. 1.2713, then you can only think of a Buy position. Until then Sell entry is the most profitable.
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GBPUSD I Continue to short below 2683 resistanceWelcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** GBPUSD Analysis - Listen to video!
We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met.
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GBPUSD SELL FROM ZONE!!HELLO TRADERS!
GBPUSD is trading in down trend and fail to break the trendline if it rejects from this resistance zone which is trying to break from last week but failed then it can drop directly from this level and can test Horzontail Support zone so let's see how markets move it's just a trade idea share ur thoughts with us & Stay Tuned for more updates.
GBPUSD Imminent Shorts down towards 1.24000This week, GU presents an intriguing setup as it appears to have made a decisive move. With the pair breaking structure to the downside and the dollar strengthening, it has reinforced a bearish trend in my view, prompting me to consider shorting opportunities. My focus is currently on the 4-hour supply zone, anticipating a Wyckoff distribution to unfold.
At present, I don't see any clear buying opportunities, while selling positions align with the prevailing trend. Therefore, I'll await the Monday open to observe how price action around the Asian high unfolds, with the intention of initiating sells. The aim is to target the 1-hour demand zone and capitalise on the trendline liquidity below.
Confluences for GU Sells are as follows:
- Price left a clean 4hr supply zone with a refined version in which we can expect a bearish reaction to take place.
- Price has been moving bearish regarding the recent break of structure to the downside.
- DXY is also been moving bullish so it backs the GU downtrend.
- Lots of liquidity to the downside like trendline liquidity and Asian lows.
- The overall trend of this market like the monthly still shows its a bearish trend.
P.S. As it's a bank holiday for the dollar on Monday, I'll proceed cautiously and anticipate limited market activity. However, if my trading edge aligns with all my confirming factors, I'll execute my trades promptly and decisively.
HAPPY TRADING!
GBPUSD Technical Analysis and Trade IdeaGBPUSD demonstrates increasing bearish pressure across monthly, weekly and daily timeframes. The breakdown of market structure on each timeframe supports a bearish bias, which we explore in the accompanying video. While a recent retracement hints at a potential short entry, upcoming high-impact data releases for both GBP and USD warrant caution.
Strategic Approach:
- Patience: It's prudent to observe how the market responds to significant news events before committing to a trade.
- Reassessment: Once volatility subsides, re-evaluate the technical landscape for potential short setups in line with the prevailing bearish trend.
Important Disclaimer: This analysis serves educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Independent research and thorough risk management are essential before executing any trades.
GBPUSD - Expect retracement ✅Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on GBPUSD.
Technical analysis: Here we have the same scenario as on EURUSD, we are bearish, but for now I expect price to continue the retracement to fill the imbalance. My target is bearish order block around 1.27500.
Fundamental news: Tomorrow we will see results of monthly and yearly CPI on USD. On Wednesday we'll see results of yearly CPI on GBP and on Thursday we'll have Retail Sales on USD.
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Preparing for markets to overreact to US inflation? Preparing for markets to overreact to US inflation?
The week has started slowly in FX, largely attributed to the closure of most Asian markets for New Year holidays. But this quiet period is likely coming to an end, driven by the impending release of U.S. inflation data on Tuesday, followed by UK inflation data the following day.
Projections are for a decline in the annual US headline CPI to 2.9% in January from the previous month's 3.4%, with the core gauge expected to show a more moderate decrease to 3.7% from 3.9%.
A potential downside surprise in US CPI figures could send UD dollar pairs lower, on heighted expectations for a March rate cut. On the 4hr chart, the GBPUSD is sitting at the 50-day moving average. A significant move to the upside could see the 200-day moving average come into view, with this level coinciding with the upper ATR band.
Although, a question I have is whether it is really likely to move the dial toward a Fed March rate cut? Either way, this might not stop the market from getting its hopes up for the sake of feeling something, like a couple that picks fights just to feel anything other than boredom.
GBPUSD I Potential bearish continuation Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** GBPUSD Analysis - Listen to video!
We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met.
Please support this idea with a LIKE and COMMENT if you find it useful and Click "Follow" on our profile if you'd like these trade ideas delivered straight to your email in the future.
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GBP/USD Shorts from 1.27400 pro trend idea.My previous scenario (A) for GU unfolded precisely as expected, with the bullish reaction aligning perfectly with the marked demand zone. This week, I anticipate further upward movement towards my supply zone (A) near 1.2400. My reasoning is that price will likely seek to address the significant imbalance in that area before initiating a downward move.
Although not the closest point of interest, I also consider scenario (B), wherein price mitigates my 17-hour demand zone. This could trigger a temporary bullish reaction, potentially driving price to reach the marked supply level (A).
Confluences for GU Sells are as follows:
- Price has broken structure to the downside.
- Major imbalance left below the supply level which needs to be filled.
- Market trend is overall bearish on the higher time frame.
- Aligns with the dollar (DXY) as that's moving bullish currently.
- A clear 20-hour supply zone where I anticipate a Wyckoff distribution to take place.
- Lots of liquidity to the downside in the form of equal lows and Asia lows.
P.S. This idea is in line with the prevailing bearish trend, as price has broken structure to the downside, confirming its direction. Additionally, it aligns with the strengthening dollar (DXY), which I perceive to be on a bullish trajectory.
Have a great week ahead guys and happy trading!
GBP/USD Alert: Next Week's Inflation Forecast GBP/USD Alert: Next Week's Inflation Forecast
The week is relatively quiet, so we are looking ahead to next week’s major events. With UK and US inflation released one day apart, perhaps the GBP/USD is the pair to watch.
On February 14, U.S. inflation rate data is set to be released. Despite the diminishing market expectations for a Fed rate cut in March, if U.S. inflation falls below 3.0% this month, there might be renewed hopes for some rate relief. With expectations still hovering around 20% for a March rate hike, market participants may grasp onto any positive news to maintain the possibility of such a move. The question arises: what is the threshold for rate-cut enthusiasts? Perhaps 2.8% or below?
Moving on to February 15, UK inflation rate data will be released.
Some policy makers are already calling for rate cuts from the Bank of England (Board member Swati Dhingra voted for a 25-basis point cut during the last meeting). Will a significant decrease in UK inflation this month guarantee this course of action sooner than previously thought? Dhingra makes a sound argument for loosening monetary policy at this point pointing to weak consumption and the low likelihood that inflation resurges. But will anyone else on the BoE board join her on her dovish stance?
GBPUSD Trade Idea#GBPUSD downtrend pauses with a pullback. Potential short opportunity if price rejects at resistance during this pullback. Higher timeframes remain bearish with a recent 1D market structure break. We're eyeing a short entry around 61.8%-78.6% Fibonacci zone. Remember, trading is risky. This is just my opinion, not financial advice.
GBPUSD M30 / OB Taken, Looking for a Long Entry Confirmation 📈Hello Traders!
This is my idea related to GBPUSD M30. I like the reaction from the OB, and I expect another bearish move before going bullish. I expect also that BOSS will be taken and after that, I will look for a long entry.
Traders, if you liked my idea or if you have a different vision related to this trade, write in the comments. I will be glad to see your perspective.
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GBP/USD Longs from 1.25400 back up to 1.27400This week, I'm watching GU closely for a potential uptrend starting from the 11-hour demand zone below. If price reacts as expected, it could fill the gaps left after Friday's NFP. Another possibility is an upward move from the current 3-hour demand area towards a newly identified 10-hour supply zone.
While navigating this situation, I exercise caution, especially concerning the 10hr supply zone, despite the presence of relative equal highs. Prior to considering any sell positions, I ensure that additional confirming factors align with my analysis. Nonetheless, my bias leans towards seeking buy opportunities, considering the temporary bullish sentiment prevailing in the market.
Confluences for GU Buys are as follows:
- Price is near a clean 11-hour demand zone that has broken structure to the upside.
- Liquidity above zone so when it gets swept we can expect price to re-accumulate within our zone to then buy back up.
- GU has been temporarily bullish as well so it's a pro-trend idea.
- There's lots of liquidity to the upside that needs to be addressed as well as some imbalances.
- Dollar (DXY) is still looking bearish as well which means more upside is still left for GU.
P.S. Examining the higher time frames, we're currently in a consolidation phase with significant liquidity above and below our nearest Points of Interest (POIs). However, for now, I'll stay flexible and adhere to my trading strategy. If price enters any of the zones I've identified, I'll execute my plan accordingly.
HOPE YOU TRADERS END THIS WEEK IN BLUES!
GBPUSD Imminent Longs or wait for 1.26600 for bullish reactionThis week's analysis suggests a bullish reaction in line with the current uptrend, making it a favorable pro-trend opportunity. Currently, price resides in a 2-hour demand zone, and I'll be closely monitoring for a Wyckoff accumulation pattern. Should my confirmation on the lower time frame align, I'll consider buying, although this zone isn't the most optimal.
Ideally, I'd prefer this zone to fail, allowing for a potential move to mitigate the 2-hour demand zone below or the 3-hour demand zone that swept the bottom boundary of the consolidation. While this zone presents a promising setup, I'll exercise caution and await additional confirmation before considering an entry.
Confluences for GBPUSD Buys are as follows:
- Price has been temporarily bullish and this idea goes along with the current trend.
- Pullback is ongoing so I can anticipate a potential Wyckoff accumulation to unfold.
- Lots of liquidity above that needs to be swept as well as a strong supply as well.
- Price has swept the bottom part of the consolidation causing price to break structure to the upside.
- A few clean demand zones that need mitigating like the current 2 hour or the ones just below.
P.S. Despite the current bullish sentiment, I find the supply zone around 1.28000 on the 10-hour chart intriguing for potential sell opportunities. Therefore, my plan is to aim for buying opportunities leading up to that zone.
HAVE A GREAT TRADING WEEK EVERYONE!
GBPUSD M15 / Short Trade Opportunity ✅Hello Traders!
This is my perspective for GBPUSD M15. I see a new BOSS, and FVG is fully closed. I expect a bearish move until the price of 1.26620.
Traders, if you liked my idea or if you have a different vision related to this trade, write in the comments. I will be glad to see your perspective.
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GBPUSD SELL FROM RESISTENCE ZONE !!!HELLO TRADERS
GBPUSD is showing us rejection here on 4H TF as it had created a double top so we are expecting a drop till design levels after retesting and rejection this zone again our Risk Reward Ratio is fantastic on this trade let's see what markets bring to us it's just a trade idea on base of technical analysis share Ur thoughts with us on this pair in comment session it will help us all.
GBPUSD Shorts from 1.27400 down towards 1.26200This week's analysis for GBPUSD is promising. I'm currently anticipating a slight upward movement to reach the nearby Asian high and mitigate the supply zone at a deeper level. Alternatively, if this doesn't happen, I'm prepared for a potential reaction from the 4-hour supply zone above. This particular supply level has triggered a change of character (CHOCH) to the downside and aligns with the 0.78 Fibonacci range.
Since the price is in proximity, I'll be patiently waiting for a redistribution within the zone. Subsequently, my plan involves executing sell orders to guide the price down, targeting the trendline and addressing the 3-hour demand zone situated beneath it.
Confluences for GBPUSD sells are as follows:
- Overall trend of the market is bearish on the higher time frame
- Price has caused a new CHOCH to the downside.
- New supply zone has emerged that caused this move which aligns with 0.78 fib range.
- Trendline liquidity below to target as well as a 3hr demand zone that needs mitigating.
- Bullish momentum is slowly dying down and I can see price reversing soon.
P.S. While this is my current perspective, I acknowledge the possibility of a temporary bullish scenario due to substantial liquidity to the upside. Therefore, I wouldn't be surprised if the price surpasses my identified supply level and reaches the extreme one ontop at the 10hr
LET'S HAVE A GREAT WEEK AHEAD TRADERS AND LET'S CATCH THESE PIPS!