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Gbpusdforecast

GBPUSD: The dollar's grip on FX will weaken in 2024, poll showsThe US dollar's influence on the foreign exchange market is likely to weaken in 2024, especially in the second half of the year, according to a study by Currency Strategists. The survey, which included the views of 71 analysts, found that expected U.S. Federal Reserve interest rate cuts next year could lead to a weaker dollar against G-10 currencies. other. The dollar, which has been a mainstay in foreign exchange markets since mid-2021, showed signs of weakness last week following dovish comments from some US Federal Reserve officials. This change in tone caused the dollar index to fall 3.0% in November, its biggest monthly decline in a year. The strength of the US economy is the main reason for the dollar's strength, with last quarter's annualized growth of 5.2%, the highest level since the final quarter of 2021. But analysts expect the dollar's weakening trend to continue next year, with most of the decline occurring by the end of 2024. Lee Hardman, senior currency strategist at MUFG, commented on the outlook: Challenges in global economic growth outside the United States are reasons to be cautious in predicting an immediate decline in the dollar. The dollar is expected to maintain some resilience in the first half of 2024, but strategists cannot agree on the factors that will determine its performance. Among the analysts, 20 cited interest rate differentials as potential factors, 17 cited economic indicators, seven cited demand for safe assets, and three cited other reasons.
Short
by Chart_MasterPro
GBPUSD Technical Analysis And Trade IdeaLately, the GBPUSD has shown a bullish trend, driven by the strength of the GBP and the relative weakness of the USD. In this video, we delve into a potential trading opportunity by examining scenarios across the 1D and 4H timeframes. We'll provide valuable insights into price action, market structure, trend assessment, and essential technical anaysis factors. However, it's crucial to emphasize that the information shared here is purely for educational purposes, and should not be misconstrued as financial advice.
Long
by fxtraderanthony
GBPUSD may continue to drop!The price has recently breached the crucial daily support level of 1.26229, signaling a break in the bullish structure. Following this breakdown, there was a subsequent pullback in the price action, with a retest occurring around the resistance area of interest. This retracement was marked by a bearish engulfing candlestick, serving as a confirmation for my entry into the market. It's essential to emphasize that today is a fundamental day, introducing an additional layer of complexity to the market dynamics. In light of this, a cautious approach is warranted, and low-risk strategies are advised to mitigate potential losses. This is particularly important to safeguard against adverse price movements that may be influenced by today's fundamental factors, ensuring prudent risk management amid the bearish bias in play.
Short
by ForexWizard01
GBPUSD: GBP/USD exchange rate hits 12-week high thanks to BritisOptimism prevailed in UK financial markets, with the pound/US dollar exchange rate hitting a 12-week high on improving consumer confidence and a solid business outlook. Promising despite continuing recessionary pressures. On Thursday, the pound rose to 1.2615 against the US dollar. This reflects a sell-off in government bonds that led to positive sentiment on the latest S&P Global/CIPS data and a rise in bond yields. So far, GBP/USD has remained strong, trading at 1.2606 due to a decline in manufacturing PMI amid mixed economic indicators from the US such as strong services and composite PMI. Although inflation in the UK is showing signs of subsidence, it remains well above the Bank of England's target interest rate of 4.6%. Markets also digested the Prime Minister's autumn statement, which offered a sober view on growth and inflation, with some cautious optimism. Furthermore, Hugh Pill, the BoE's chief economist, reiterated the bank's determination to fight inflation in a difficult economic environment. Looking ahead, traders are looking forward to further guidance from BoE Governor Andrew Bailey next week, with key US economic reports such as Consumer Confidence and the ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Business Index expected to improve in GBP/USD. may affect future volatility.
Long
by Chart_MasterPro
GBPUSD Longs from 1.26400 up to 1.27500GBPUSD is showing a clearer picture compared to earlier, which piques my interest in engaging in pro-trend trades to sustain the upward bullish momentum. Currently, the price is in proximity to a favourable demand zone on the 3-hour chart, and I expect a bullish reaction to occur, aiming to surpass the equal lows above. My target lies close to my identified supply level, where I anticipate the price to decelerate after sweeping through liquidity, leading to an accumulation phase and engagement with the supply zone. Subsequently, I'll be on the lookout for sell opportunities to capture a potential bearish reaction back down. Confluences for GBPUSD buys are as follows: - Current trend is temporarily bullish with continuous break of structures to the upside. - Lots of liquidity lying above in the form of equal highs and untouched Asia highs. - Supply Zone 3hr has swept liquidity and caused a short impulsive move up. - Price is slowing down and starting to create Wyckoff Accumulation on lower timeframe. P.S. In an ideal scenario, since this is a pro-trend trade, we could aim for higher targets. However, given the overarching bearish trend on the higher time frame, it's crucial to be adaptable and secure profits at sensible levels. Additionally, the supply zone is strategically positioned, leading me to anticipate a more substantial bearish reaction.
Long
by Hassan_fx
1
GBPUSD I Pullback and more potential growthWelcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments! ** GBPUSD Analysis - Listen to video! We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met. Please support this idea with a LIKE and COMMENT if you find it useful and Click "Follow" on our profile if you'd like these trade ideas delivered straight to your email in the future. Thanks for your continued support!
Short
by BKTradingAcademy
BluetonaFX - GBPUSD Pullback To Previous Resistance BreakHi Traders! GBPUSD looks to be on a pullback after breaking and closing above the previous resistance, and there are opportunities for short entries to take advantage of the potential pullback to target levels near the previous resistance break. Price Action 📊 After the initial break and close above the previous resistance at 1.24286, the market rallied to find new resistance near the swing high resistance level near 1.27466. If the market holds here, the pattern will become a double-top pattern, which is bearish, so this will also support our view. Our plan here is to sell rallies and look for exits near the previous resistance break at 1.24286 and the 20 EMA. Fundamental Analysis 📰 Later today, we have BoE Governor Bailey speaking; therefore, we must be wary of his speech, as what he says may be potentially volatile for GBP pairs. Support 📉 1.26068: PREVIOUS DAY'S LOW 1.24286: PREVIOUS RESISTANCE BREAK Resistance 📈 1.27466: SWING HIGH RESISTANCE Risk ⚠️ No more than 2% of your capital. Reward 💰 At least 4% of your capital. Please make sure to click on the like/boost button 🚀 as your support greatly helps. Trade safely and responsibly. BluetonaFX
Short
by BluetonaFX
2
GBPUSD Imminent sells towards 1.225500GBPUSD Is still bullish due to the continuous break of structures to the upside however, It has tapped into a nice supply which I expect to cause a correction back down to a demand level at 1.225500. This is an opportunity I will be looking to take soon as market opens therefore, I will be waiting for a CHOCH to validate my Wyckoff distrubution and I will be waiting for a sweep of the asian high before I consider imminent sell positions. As price is currently In a clean 15hr supply that has caused a BOS to the downside, I would be expecting price to have some sort of reaction, hence why I am anticipating a pull back so we can end up continuing our bullish bias upwards. My confluences for GBPUSD shorts are as follows: - Price tapped into 15hr supply zone that broke structure to the downside. - Overall trend of the market on the higher time Frame like (monthly) is still bearish. - Price distributing currently pending a CHOCH to validate our sell position bias. - Price requires a pullback of some sort due to the recent impulsive moves to the upside. - For price to continue in its bullish trend it will need to form a correction and tap in demand. - Price has swept lots of liquidity to the upside, enough to move the markets back down. P.S. Even though price has entered a supply, this is just a short term trade idea in order to sell down towards a demand. This is where we will be looking to buy the market back up again in order to catch a pro trend trade. Hope you guys found this post insightful, HAPPY TRADING!
Short
by Hassan_fx
1
GBPUSD → Reverse to the Downside This Week!? Or Blast Upward?GBPUSD is flirting with the resistance zone, leaving the bulls wondering if another fall in this trading range is upon us this week. But is the dollar strong enough to take the British Pound into the ground? How do we trade this? The price is currently in a trading range between 1.20000 and 1.28000 and we're getting close to the resistance zone where the Weekly 200EMA resides. If you're not already in a trade, it's worth waiting to see what happens at the resistance zone. A bear signal bar closing on or near its low below the resistance line is a good indicator that the price will fail to rise above again and would be a reasonable short. Stop loss above the resistance zone top and take profit just above the Support Zone around 1.21000. If the price finds its way above the resistance lines and closes a bull candle on or near its high, it would be reasonable to long with a protective stop just below the resistance zone. Target prices as high as 1.33000 and 1.40000. Key Takeaways 1. Trading Range after Bull Run, Bias to Long. 2. Near the Resistance Zone, Look for a Reversal Signal. 3. If Shorting, Watch the 200EMA for Support. 4. The Dollar Index may fall more, wait for the bottom. 5. RSI near 70.00, Bias to Short. You are solely responsible for your trades, trade at your own risk! If you found this analysis helpful, click the Boost button and let us know what you think in the comment section below!
Short
by TraderEngineering
GBPUSDFX:GBPUSD has been making some interesting higher lows over the last few weeks. It has broken the 1.23962 resistance area and currently doing a retest of the same zone. Are we going to see a further push or price will drop and push further down? That remains to be seen, however my bias in this is Bullish. On H4, a good rejection of the zone just might trigger the momentum need for the uptrend to continue with targets at the next resistance level 1.26325. If price on the other hand breaks down to the short side, we just might see it come back to the 1.22265 area Disclaimer: All trade ideas are given for educational purposes and should not be treated as an investment advice, hence do your due diligence. Past results does not guarantee future results
Long
by Mbjoey
GBPUSD | Perspective for the new week | Follow-upThe GBPUSD continues its descent, reaching the 1.2200 zone. Despite the UK's Q3 GDP surpassing expectations with a 0.6% annual expansion, the pair remains unresponsive as investors hold off for next week's crucial data releases to determine a clearer direction. On an annual basis, the UK's GDP growth of 0.6% exceeded forecasts of 0.5%. However, the nation treads cautiously on the edge of a stagflationary scenario in 2023. Despite efforts by the Bank of England, inflation persists at elevated levels, prompting over 500 basis points of tightening. On the other side of the Atlantic, hawkish remarks from the Fed chair have propelled US Treasury bond yields, providing support to the Greenback. Looking ahead, market participants are gearing up for next week's UK economic calendar, featuring key indicators such as jobs data, inflation, and retail sales, crucial for market cues. In the US, alongside additional Fed speakers, attention will be on consumer and producer inflation, unemployment claims, and retail sales. GBPUSD Technical Analysis: Will the pound find a reversal set-up in the near future as the price tests the $1.22000 zone? The stakes are high, and we're on the edge of our seats! The spotlight is on high-impact economic events from both the US dockets for clues. Brace yourselves as the anticipation and the actual events may trigger sharp price movements that could present incredible trading opportunities. In this video, we've analyzed the Daily and 4-hour timeframes, exploring bullish and bearish sentiments to uncover the most promising trades for the week ahead. We've delved into key levels, trendlines, and support/resistance points, unveiling essential insights into the current market structure. We are keeping a close eye on the potential range between $1.22000 and $1.21450 where a consolidation could happen before the next BIG move. It's a decisive structure where both sellers and buyers will be vying t0 control, and how the market reacts here will set the course for GBPUSD in the upcoming days. Stay connected and join the conversation in the comment section to stay updated on the latest developments. Thank you for tuning in, and get ready for more enlightening insights into GBPUSD in our upcoming content. Buckle up for a thrilling journey ahead! Happy trading! Disclaimer: Trading on margin in the foreign exchange market (including commodities, CFDs, stocks, etc.) carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is provided by me for educational and informational purposes only to assist in making independent investment decisions. All information presented here is for reference purposes only, and I do not accept any responsibility for its accuracy. It is important that you carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objectives, and risk tolerance level, and seek advice from an independent financial advisor to assess the suitability of your situation before making any investment. I do not guarantee the accuracy of the information provided and shall not be held liable for any loss or damage that may arise directly or indirectly from the content or the receipt of any instructions or notifications related to it. Please note that past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results
by darcsherry
1
GBPUSD I Approaching strong weekly reversal zone and 4 hr supplyWelcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments! ** GBPUSD Analysis - Listen to video! We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met. Please support this idea with a LIKE and COMMENT if you find it useful and Click "Follow" on our profile if you'd like these trade ideas delivered straight to your email in the future. Thanks for your continued support!
Short
by BKTradingAcademy
6
GBPUSD Possible buy zone!The primary structure of GBPUSD indicates a bearish trend, accompanied by a secondary structure reflecting a corrective rebound. - To capitalize on favorable selling points, it is suggested to exercise patience and wait for the price to revisit the vicinity of 1.23643 before considering short-selling opportunities. - In the case of seeking buying opportunities, a prudent approach involves waiting for the price to reach the support level situated at 1.22394.
Long
by ForexWizard01