GBPUSD Analysis 17Aug2023There is a high possibility that the price will be bearish. This can be seen in the price response when responding positively to the trendline area, where the trendline is an opposition that is strong enough. Below is seen a liquidity area. Usually, the liquidity area will be responded to positively, and the price drops deeper than that area.
Gbpusdidea
BluetonaFX - GBPUSD Range OpportunityHi Traders!
We have a range opportunity here on the GBPUSD 3H chart.
The market is currently trading in a 73-pip range. The support of the range is at 1.26660, and the resistance is at 1.27390.
The market has been in this range since the upside price rejection candle, which we have highlighted on the chart, leading to the downside impulsive move, and now the market is in a consolidation phase.
We are currently under the 20 EMA, which does have a bearish bias; however, we are still above the support level at 1.26660. We need a break and a close below 1.26660 to continue on the downside. If we get this, we have a target at 1.26220, which is near August 2023's low at 1.26205.
If support at 1.26660 holds, the chart will become a potential double bottom pattern, and we will look for buying opportunities to target 1.27336, which is near the top of the range at 1.27390.
Please do not forget to like, comment, and follow, as your support greatly helps.
Thank you for your support.
BluetonaFX
EURUSD and GBPUSD Top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
BluetonaFX - Potential Head & Shoulders OpportunityHi Traders!
There is a potential Head & Shoulders opportunity here on the GBPUSD 1D chart.
The market looks to be approaching the neckline, and we are now looking for a break and a close below the neckline with momentum to target lower levels.
If we get a break and close of the neckline, we have the first profit target level at 1.26800, and if you want to hold on for a larger risk-reward trade, our second target level is at 1.25000.
The confirmation signal for entry will be to either wait for a momentum break and close to the neckline or to wait for a break below with a retest of the neckline. We must get this for the potential opportunity to be fulfilled.
On the other side of the trade, if we fail to break and close below the neckline, we will most likely go back to the upside to retest 1.30000.
We will keep a close eye on this and will update you if we get any further action on this setup.
Please make sure you give us a like, follow, and comment.
Thank you for your support.
BluetonaFX
GBPUSD analysis 2Aug2023GBPUSD went according to the past analysis. At present the price seems to have penetrated the SND area and also approaching the trendline. There are 2 scenarios that are likely to occur.
Prices can be directly bearish or the price of bullish correction again and approaching HH before finally going back down. Adjust your transaction to the analysis that you might have mastered.
GBPUSD Analysis 23July2023at this time, if you look at some of the existing parameters, the price is in the SnD area and approaching the bullish trendline area. we better wait to see what will happen next week. 2 scenarios exist where the bulls are back in control or the bears are continuing the trend. better to wait for some confirmation that could happen.
BluetonaFX - GBPUSD Potential 1.30000 Retest OpportunityHi Traders!
There is potential for a retest of the psychological 1.30000 level on the GBPUSD.
We can see here on the 1D chart that the market has been extremely bullish since the long-term resistance break of the 1.28486 level. We have had a price rejection at the 1.31424 level, and the market has now broken below the 1.31000 handle, which provides opportunities for possible shorts back to 1.30000.
If we get a pullback to 1.30000 and the level does not hold, there is another target at 1.28486; this is the level that the market broke out from, leading to the push towards 1.31424.
Keep stops tight here; if the market continues to the upside instead and 1.31424 breaks, the market is likely to continue towards 1.32000, and we will look for buying opportunities instead.
Please do not forget to like, comment, and follow, as your support helps us greatly.
Thank you for your support.
BluetonaFX
GBPUSD Critical Pointthe pair is in a rising wedge and can make a good decision about the side to move
as we could see in past the price was showing some divergence with MACD (linked) and being in a rising wedge could be a good sign to short it
but from the other side we can see that it has broken the resistance and it is currently retesting it from the above so if it stands as a support we can be longing it too.
better to have an eye on DXY as well (Linked)
we believe it is better to wait and see which side it is finalizing and then surf it to the defined TP.
GBPUSD: CPI today with profit?After a volatile day of trading on Monday, GBP/USD is struggling to break free from the 1.3100 level on Tuesday as investors are cautious about making big moves before important economic data is released.
Although GBP/USD experienced minor losses on Monday, the improved risk sentiment in the US session helped to minimize the losses. In the morning, the UK's FTSE 100 Index rose by 0.3%, while US stock indexes remained relatively stable, which enabled GBP/USD to maintain its position.
GBPUSD Analysis 19July2023Currently the price corrected from its bullish trend after touching fibo 1.618. if we pull the fibo retracement and we look for the SnD area which is adjacent to the fibo notation, we can find that there is a possibility that the price will go to the 0.382 fibo area which is also the same area as the SnD.
GBP/USD Breakouts as UK Battles Inflation and Economic ChallengeRecent reports have indicated that the United Kingdom is facing its highest inflation levels in years, with various factors contributing to this uptrend. While this may raise concerns for some, as astute traders, we know that volatility often presents opportunities for substantial gains. The GBP/USD pair has become an enticing market to explore, reflecting the ongoing struggle between inflationary pressures and economic data.
You might be wondering, "Why should I consider adding GBP/USD market orders to my trading strategy?" Well, dear traders, the answer lies within the potential for significant profits derived from this exciting market. By closely monitoring the UK's economic landscape and keeping a keen eye on inflationary trends, we can seize the moment and capitalize on the fluctuations of the GBP/USD pair.
So, let's dive into the call to action! I encourage you to take advantage of this moment and consider adding GBP/USD market orders to your trading repertoire. By doing so, you position yourself to potentially reap the rewards of the UK's highest inflation levels and the impact of poor economic data on the pound. As we navigate these challenging times, let us remember that adversity often breeds success for those willing to take calculated risks.
To maximize your potential gains and minimize risks, I recommend conducting thorough research, staying updated with the latest news, and utilizing technical analysis tools to identify breakout points and establish appropriate stop-loss levels. Remember, knowledge is power, and a well-informed trader is successful!
GBPUSD Sell Idea. Detailed Technical Analysis.Technical Overview
The GBP/USD pair is showing a bullish trend as I draw in the chart, but it could face a bearish backlash at the 1st resistance at 1.31400, a level that has resisted multiple swings in the past. If that happens, the price could fall to the 1st support at 1.30000. This level is a pullback support, meaning it could attract some buyers. Further down, the 2nd support at 1.2847 is another pullback support, indicating more possible buying interest. On the other hand, if the price rises, it could meet selling pressure at the 2nd resistance at 1.32800, a level that overlaps with previous resistances, which could trigger a price reversal.
Fundamental point of View
The US inflation rate was expected to drop from 4% to 3%, but no one thought it would happen so soon. Everyone was betting on a more gradual decline, maybe to 3.1%. This dampened the appetite for the US dollar. But the reality was even more surprising, as inflation fell to 3.0%. This convinced everyone that the Federal Reserve would only raise the interest rate one more time. Some even speculated that the Fed might pause its policy tightening. It’s possible that by the end of the year, the interest rate in the US will start to go down. And the dollar immediately lost value, even though it was already quite cheap. So, it’s time to think about a bounce or a minor correction. But there needs to be a good reason for that. Officially, this role was assigned to the UK industrial production report. UK’s industrial production kept shrinking as it dropped 2.3% in May. This was slightly better than the predicted 2.4%. But now investors are more worried about the interest rate gap. So, further shrinkage in industrial production only slowed down the dollar’s weakness a little bit. But this could lead to a corrective movement, maybe with some delay. So, a rebound seems more likely. But before that, the market will stay calm for a while.
The UK unemployment data did not bother the traders this week. Neither did the GDP and industrial production data yesterday. The US inflation report is surely more relevant, but the pair has been on the rise for three days, ignoring everything else. The GDP shrank by 0.1% in May, less than the expected -0.2-0.3%. The industrial production slipped by 0.6%, despite more hopeful forecasts. So, both reports were disappointing, but the pound kept climbing since the morning. Such a climb can only end when the bullish traders are happy and start taking profits.
The bulls are gaining momentum, but this could backfire on them. The faster the move, the sooner it will end and the harder the retracement. The highs and lows are still rising. According to my point of view a strong reversal signal is expected soon and a break below the last trend line will favor the US dollar.
Conclusion
My advice to traders is to trade GBPUSD only at the key levels and wait for the trend lines to break. Also keep an eye on the fundamentals as I expect GBP to drop in September. Another strategy to go short is to wait for the 50EMA and 200SMA crossover.
GBPUSD Sell Key Levels Updated. A Detailed Technical Analysis. Technical Overview
The GBP/USD pair is showing a bullish trend as I draw in the chart, but it could face a bearish backlash at the 1st resistance at 1.31400, a level that has resisted multiple swings in the past. If that happens, the price could fall to the 1st support at 1.30000. This level is a pullback support, meaning it could attract some buyers. Further down, the 2nd support at 1.2847 is another pullback support, indicating more possible buying interest. On the other hand, if the price rises, it could meet selling pressure at the 2nd resistance at 1.32800, a level that overlaps with previous resistances, which could trigger a price reversal.
Fundamental point of View
The US inflation rate was expected to drop from 4% to 3%, but no one thought it would happen so soon. Everyone was betting on a more gradual decline, maybe to 3.1%. This dampened the appetite for the US dollar. But the reality was even more surprising, as inflation fell to 3.0%. This convinced everyone that the Federal Reserve would only raise the interest rate one more time. Some even speculated that the Fed might pause its policy tightening. It’s possible that by the end of the year, the interest rate in the US will start to go down. And the dollar immediately lost value, even though it was already quite cheap. So, it’s time to think about a bounce or a minor correction. But there needs to be a good reason for that. Officially, this role was assigned to the UK industrial production report. UK’s industrial production kept shrinking as it dropped 2.3% in May. This was slightly better than the predicted 2.4%. But now investors are more worried about the interest rate gap. So, further shrinkage in industrial production only slowed down the dollar’s weakness a little bit. But this could lead to a corrective movement, maybe with some delay. So, a rebound seems more likely. But before that, the market will stay calm for a while.
The UK unemployment data did not bother the traders this week. Neither did the GDP and industrial production data yesterday. The US inflation report is surely more relevant, but the pair has been on the rise for three days, ignoring everything else. The GDP shrank by 0.1% in May, less than the expected -0.2-0.3%. The industrial production slipped by 0.6%, despite more hopeful forecasts. So, both reports were disappointing, but the pound kept climbing since the morning. Such a climb can only end when the bullish traders are happy and start taking profits.
The bulls are gaining momentum, but this could backfire on them. The faster the move, the sooner it will end and the harder the retracement. The highs and lows are still rising. According to my point of view a strong reversal signal is expected soon and a break below the last trend line will favor the US dollar.
Conclusion
My advice to traders is to trade GBPUSD only at the key levels and wait for the trend lines to break. Also keep an eye on the fundamentals as I expect GBP to drop in September. Another strategy to go short is to wait for the 50EMA and 200SMA crossover.