#GBPUSD: Two Prominent Buying Points! Will Dxy Bounce Back? Due to strong economic data supporting GBP, its price has been bullish throughout the week, especially since DXY plunged. Given ongoing trade tensions, we may see another higher high. This is risky, so please analyse it yourself.
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GBP This Week: Dollar - Fueled Rise & OutlookThis week, the British pound performed steadily in the foreign exchange market. The GBP/USD rose moderately, starting at 1.29800 on Monday and closing at 1.30540 on Friday, up 0.67% for the week and about 0.9% in total.
The slump of the US dollar index gave the GBP/USD room to rise. With the weakening of the US dollar globally and shaken investor confidence in dollar assets, the market's expectations for the UK economy remained relatively stable.
Despite rising global market volatility due to tariff talks, the pound, a non - safe - haven currency, wasn't significantly impacted, showing stable market confidence.
The pound's rise this week was mainly due to the weak dollar. In the short term, GBP/USD is expected to fluctuate between 1.30000 and 1.31000, with low volatility and stable trading expectations.
If the US dollar continues to decline in the future, the GBP/USD may further test the resistance level of 1.31500. Once this key resistance level is broken through, the GBP/USD is expected to start a new round of upward movement. The supporting factors behind this will mainly come from the continuous decline in the market's confidence in the US dollar and the further optimism about the prospects of the UK's economic recovery.
However, if the US dollar rebounds in the future, the GBP/USD may also face certain downward adjustment pressure. Nevertheless, given the relative stability of the UK economy, the extent of the downward adjustment is likely to be limited.
GBPUSD
buy@1.30000-1.30500
tp:1.31000-1.31500
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GBPUSD: Likely to maintain its upward momentum next weekTrump announced a 90-day suspension of the new tariff plan for most of his trading partners, which has, to some extent, reduced the systemic risks in the market and warmed up the risk appetite. The British pound, due to its nature as a risk currency, has become a beneficiary in the improvement of the global sentiment. At the same time, global stock markets plunged this week due to the uncertainty of trade policies, but the GBPUSD rose against the trend, indicating that the market has a strong bullish sentiment towards the British pound. This sentiment is likely to continue next week.
GBPUSD broke through some key resistance levels this week, such as the 1.3000 mark, opening up room for further upward movement. In the short term, although the RSI has reached a highly overbought level, if the bullish sentiment in the market is strong enough, the GBPUSD still has the potential to continue rising, breaking through the recent high of 1.3145. The next resistance levels might be at 1.3200 and even higher.
GBPUSD trading strategy
buy @:1.30400-1.30480
sl 1.29950
tp 1.30750-1.30810
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GBPUSD:Trading Strategy for Next WeekDriven by the combined factors of the resurgence of risk appetite and the weakness of the US dollar, the GBP/USD has been steadily rising. Additionally, as the US dollar is set to remain under pressure, the British pound is likely to maintain its upward trajectory. In terms of trading strategy, it is advisable to initiate long positions upon a pullback.
Trading Strategy:
buy@1.29500-1.30000
TP:1.31000-1.31500
The signals last week resulted in continuous profits, and accurate signals were shared daily.
GBPUSD potential buy zone in inverted head & shoulder!GDP in GBPUSD had spike in actual value with the forecast has boost in this pair. Prior to data release this instrument had a break of structure has given strong liquidity grab as it has broken from long term trend line. As the market structure remain intact we may see the price to bounce back to the daily resistance line. 15m timeframe already has formed an inverted head & shoulder which signaling potential breakout. Any liquidity grab may give us potential entry in this lower timeframe.
Fri 11th Apr 2025 Daily Forex Charts: 8x New Trade SetupsGood morning fellow traders. On my Daily Forex charts using the High Probability & Divergence trading methods from my books, I have identified 8x new trade setups this morning. As usual, you can read my notes on the charts for my thoughts on these setups. The trades being a AUD/JPY Buy, XAU/USD Buy, AUD/USD Buy, XAG/USD Buy, NZD/USD Buy, NZD/CAD Buy, GBP/AUD Sell & GBP/USD Buy. I also discuss some trade management. Enjoy the day all. Cheers. Jim
Analysis of the Trend of the GBPUSDThe GBPUSD is currently showing a gradually rising trend. An important support level is 1.28850, which is the lower boundary of the current range. Once it is broken below, it may suggest a reversal of the trend to a bearish one. Before that, we should still mainly choose to go long and use short selling as a supplement.
GBPUSD trading strategy
buy @:1.29200-1.29300
sl 1.28850
tp 1.29750-1.29850
If you approve of my analysis, you can give it a thumbs-up as support. If you have different opinions, you can leave your thoughts in the comments.Thank you!
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GBPUSD update 4/9/2025 at 2:29pm Summary of Key Indicators for GBP/USD
Trend & Direction:
Directional Strength:
ADI is high (61.07) with PLUS_DI (26.11) far exceeding MINUS_DI (6.65) and a DX of 59.41—confirming a robust short-term bullish trend.
HT_TRENDMODE:
At 1.0, indicating an active trend.
Moving Averages & Price Forecast:
Core Levels:
EMA (1.31065), DEMA (1.31396), TEMA (1.31417), and TSF (1.31339) cluster between 1.310–1.314, suggesting the price is consolidating.
Resistance:
KAMA (1.31672) lies above the current range, hinting at a broader bearish bias.
Momentum & Oscillators:
RSI ~61: Indicates a moderately bullish stance.
MACD (0.0057) & CMO (21.96): Support upward momentum.
Stochastic (~59) & StochRSI (34): Signal energy without extreme overbought conditions.
CCI (195.50): Warns the market could be nearing overbought territory.
Price Range & Statistical Measures:
Central Price Range:
Prices mostly span from ~1.277 to 1.315.
Support & Resistance:
Short-term averages (EMA, DEMA, HT_TRENDLINE) near 1.277–1.282 suggest support, while longer-term filters (KAMA, TEMA) at 1.314–1.317 denote resistance.
Volatility:
ATR is very low in the short term (0.00037–0.0029) but climbs to ~0.0605 on longer timeframes—indicating time-dependent volatility.
Additional Forecast Tools & Volume:
Price regression tools (Linear Regression, TSF, TRIMA, T3, TEMA) consistently position prices within the 1.277–1.315 zone.
OBV and balance indicators reflect a near-balanced market on short terms, with some higher timeframe accumulation.
Price Action Overview:
GBP/USD is trading in a tight consolidation around the lower end of its recent range—approximately 1.275–1.278. Recent candles indicate modest upward momentum with repeated tests of support, suggesting buyers are starting to step in near this level. However, the price remains near a key inflection point, and with pending high-impact news, a decisive breakout (or reversal) could occur once the market digests the upcoming data.
Current Setup & Trading Consideration:
The current price at 1.27584 is at the lower end of a crucial consolidation zone (1.275–1.278), favoring a potential bounce.
Waiting for confirmation on the daily chart (or a clear intraday reversal if you’re aggressive) can help reduce risk, particularly with upcoming news events.
As a daily chart trader, i'm less focused on shorter-term noise and more on the reversal or breakout confirmed by the daily candle. For me, It’s often best to let the daily close help confirm whether this near‐support level holds.
My take on GBPUSD as of 11:23am 4/9/2025Market Insights from Indicators
Trend and Movement
Directional Indicators:
PLUS_DI (25.39) significantly outweighs MINUS_DI (5.54), indicating strong bullish momentum.
Directional Movement Index (DX: 64.15) confirms significant trend strength.
Aroon Oscillator (71.43) shows a healthy trend with potential upward movement.
Moving Averages:
EMA (1.3126), KAMA (1.31498), and TEMA (1.31703) remain above the current price, reinforcing a longer-term bearish bias.
However, shorter-term indicators like PLUS_DI and ROC suggest consolidation or temporary bullish moves.
Momentum and Oscillators:
RSI (68.12) reflects a mildly overbought condition, signaling possible resistance to bullish moves.
MACD (0.0052) and CMO (36.24) support short-term bullish momentum.
Williams %R (-29.19) and CCI (87.28) indicate price nearing resistance levels.
Volatility and Price Action
ATR (0.00356) suggests low volatility, allowing tighter stop-loss and target levels.
Price action is currently testing the support zone at 1.2780–1.2790 and resistance near 1.2830–1.2850.
Trend Analysis
Short-term momentum shows rising highs and closes, with support from bullish indicators like DX (~64).
Long-term bearish bias persists due to EMA, DEMA, and TEMA above the current price.
Key Levels:
Support: 1.2780–1.2790 (previous hourly lows).
Resistance: 1.2830–1.2850 (aligned with recent highs and trend indicators).
Directional Indicators and Oscillators:
Bullish dominance with PLUS_DI (29.18) outweighing MINUS_DI (12.42).
Momentum (MOM ~0.00877) supports short-term bullish opportunities.
Stochastic (45.48) and Stochastic RSI (26.07) indicate moderate upward momentum, but not extreme levels yet.
Volatility and Risk Indicators
True Range (TRANGE ~0.00354) indicates limited hourly price variability.
Moving averages like TEMA (1.31703), T3 (1.31303), and WMA (1.31403) reinforce long-term bearish resistance above 1.3140.
TSF (1.31757) points to strong resistance near 1.3170.
Key Events to Watch
April 9, 2025 (Today):
USD FOMC Minutes (High Impact): A hawkish tone could strengthen the USD, pushing GBP/USD lower, while a dovish approach may support GBP/USD gains.
April 10, 2025 (Tomorrow):
USD Inflation Data: Lower CPI or core inflation figures may weaken the USD and favor GBP/USD bullish moves.
Jobless Claims: Rising claims could signal labor market weakness, further pressuring the USD.
April 11, 2025 (Friday):
GBP GDP & Trade Balance: Positive data could strengthen the GBP, aligning with bullish chart patterns.
USD PPI & Consumer Sentiment: Higher producer prices or sentiment could support USD recovery.
Trading Considerations
FOMC Impact: Hawkish minutes may trigger bearish GBP/USD moves, while a dovish tone supports a bullish outlook.
Key Levels: Watch 1.2780–1.2790 (support) and 1.2830–1.2850 (resistance) for trading decisions.
Volatility Management: ATR (~0.00356) suggests tight stop-losses during high-impact news.
My Take
Given the bullish technical setup but acknowledging the risk from upcoming high-impact news, I lean toward caution. At this point of my trading career i'm not comfortable with aggressive trading. A well-defined long trade near 1.279–1.280 could be rewarding—but i'm prepared for rapid moves on news releases.
Aggressive Option: Enter long around support now with tight stops and target 1.283–1.285, but be very nimble in managing your position amid the news.
Conservative Option: Wait for the market to digest the FOMC minutes and inflation data, then look for a confirmed breakout or reversal that aligns with the bullish technical signals.
I think ill wait for the news... it's in about 2 hours. see ya then!
GBPUSD Watch – Bearish Momentum Building Below Supply ZoneGBPUSD pair has broken sharply below the long-standing accumulation range between 1.2857 – 1.3012, signaling a shift in market sentiment. The recent bearish engulfing structure has pushed price into a corrective pullback phase, with sellers likely to re-enter on rallies.
Key Technical Levels:
Current Price: 1.2795
Resistance (Supply Zone): 1.2857 – 1.2863
First Support Target: 1.2688 – 1.2690
Mid-Level Target: 1.2568 – 1.2570
Final Bearish Target: 1.2383 – 1.2390 (demand zone & key support)
Trade Scenario:
📉 Bearish Bias:
Price is expected to retrace into the supply zone (1.2857–1.2863) and then reject.
If resistance holds and structure remains intact, expect continuation toward:
TP1: 1.2689
TP2: 1.2568
TP3: 1.2385
🔁 Invalidation Zone:
A sustained break and close above 1.2863 would invalidate the bearish setup and could trigger a move toward 1.3012.
Technical Confluence:
✅ Previous consolidation turned into a strong resistance zone
✅ Bearish breakout from range
✅ Clean lower highs and lower lows structure
✅ Volume drop on the pullback (likely a corrective move)
Will GBPUSD reverse in 2025?Dear Traders,
Hope you are enjoying the holidays, we are getting ready for the new year and in meantime we have identified a key level emerging on GU that will possible shape the price next couple of months. Looking at the detailed of how price behaved in these last two months. We can expect USD exhaustion. Good luck.
GBPUSD: 700+ Pips Swing Buy! Get ready for big moveDear Traders,
GBPUSD our first few ideas are up and running in profit of 700+ pips, we are expecting bullish move to continue dominating the market. Now we think price is likely to remain bullish for next few weeks, while wee may also notice some correction in the market.
Want to support us?
-Please like and comment our ideas which will encourage us to post more educative posts like this. ;)
Thank you
GBP/USD Long up towards a short 1.28400 up to 1.30000GBP/USD (GU) Analysis – This Week
This week, GBP/USD presents multiple opportunities depending on how price reacts at key levels. Recently, price has been moving bearish due to the impact of Trump’s tariffs, but this doesn’t change the fact that the overall market structure remains bullish, with strong upside momentum over the past few weeks.
If price breaks this major structural level, we could see bearish pressure dominate in the coming weeks. However, this could also be a deep retracement before another bullish continuation.
Right now, I’m watching a clean 4-hour demand zone positioned below liquidity. If price moves lower first, I’ll also be keeping an eye on the 3-hour supply zone as a potential area for shorts.
Confluences for GU Buys:
- GU has been bullish over the past few weeks despite recent short-term bearishness.
- The U.S. dollar has dropped significantly, which is generally bullish for GBP/USD.
- There is liquidity resting above, along with imbalances that need to be filled.
- A clean 4-hour demand zone sits below liquidity, with an additional 5-hour demand zone further below.
Note: If price reacts to the current demand zone and moves higher, I will wait for a deeper supply zone, such as the one marked in Scenario D at 1.30800. However, I’ll remain patient and watch where price starts to slow down, accumulate, or distribute before making a decision.
GBPUSD Short Term Buy IdeaM15 - Strong bullish momentum
No opposite signs
Expecting retraces and further continuation higher until the two Fibonacci support zones hold.
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Thu 3rd Apr 2025 GBP/USD Daily Forex Chart Buy SetupGood morning fellow traders. On my Daily Forex charts using the High Probability & Divergence trading methods from my books, I have identified a new trade setup this morning. As usual, you can read my notes on the chart for my thoughts on this setup. The trade being a GBP/USD Buy. Enjoy the day all. Cheers. Jim