GBPUSD – Rejected at Multi-Month Resistance Amid Weak UK DataGBPUSD has clearly rejected the 1.3413–1.3443 resistance zone—a key area that previously acted as strong supply in September 2024. The pair has formed a bearish rejection candle and is now showing signs of downward momentum.
Key Levels:
Resistance: 1.3413 – 1.3443 (major rejection zone)
TP1: 1.3176 (minor structure)
TP2: 1.3014 (key demand zone)
TP3: 1.2890 (deeper support target)
Bearish Confluences:
Price rejected from major resistance
Bearish candle formation
Previous similar reaction from the same level
Momentum indicators favor downside
📰 Fundamental Analysis:
🔻 UK Data Weakens Further:
According to the latest S&P Global Flash UK PMI (Apr 23):
Composite Output Index: 48.2 (vs 51.5 in March) – 29-month low
Services PMI: 48.9 – 27-month low
Manufacturing PMI: 44.0 – 20-month low
This shows UK private sector activity contracting, led by a steep fall in new export orders, the worst since May 2020.
🔺 Inflation Still High:
Despite falling activity, input and output prices surged, driven by National Insurance hikes and wage growth. This makes it harder for the BoE to justify a cut, despite recession signs.
📌 Conclusion:
The bearish rejection at 1.3413 resistance, combined with deteriorating UK fundamentals, suggests a strong downside setup for GBPUSD. A break below 1.3176 would confirm the bearish move, targeting 1.3014 and potentially 1.2890.
Gbpusdlong
GBPUSD needs to fill an imbalance at the upsideGBPUSD has had it's short term retracement after a rally to the upside. It is now looking like a reversal back bullish at least to the last unfilled imbalance at the 1.3365 area. It may also break though it and continue to go up due to the dollar weakening.
GBP/USD Ready for Takeoff!Hi Traders ! Price action remains strong within the uptrend channel, supported by the 20 EMA, while the 200 EMA stays well below—confirming bullish momentum.
Target zone: 1.34234
RSI shows strength with more room to rise.
Stay sharp, traders! If the price continues to respect the channel, we might see a strong bullish push soon.
📌 Disclaimer:
This content is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own analysis and consult with a professional before making trading decisions.
GBPUSD LONG/SWING UPDATESHello folks, its been a long time no post.
Here is my Long/swing trades for Swing traders. This idea base on weekly and monthly.
Buyside liquidity over 1.42600 this is my highest Swing. wait for a retracements we might test this high or break. wait always below.
This is only my view. this is not a financial advice.
lets swing it.
Follow for more.
GBPUSD - bottom out pattern going on? What's next??#GBPUSD - perfect move as per our last couple of ideas regarding #GBPUSD
and now in current situation we have 1.3220 as immediate supporting and below that 1.3140
If market holds that supporting areas then we can expect further bounce towards 1.3500 and after that 1.3700 , 1.3900 n upto 1.4200
So stay sharp and don't be lazy here..
Good luck
Trade wisley
GBP/USD upcoming shorts from 1.33600 back down to demandMy focus this week for GU is around a key daily supply zone that price is currently approaching. As we near this level, I expect price to slow down and begin distributing, potentially leading to a deeper retracement. I anticipate the short setup to form around Tuesday, depending on how price reacts.
If price does retrace, I’ll be watching the 2-hour and 17-hour demand zones, where we could see a bullish reaction and a potential rally from those levels. Since GU has been overall bullish, this would be a counter-trend short, followed by a possible continuation to the upside.
Confluences for GBP/USD Shorts:
- Price is overbought, indicating a potential correction to clear liquidity and fill imbalances.
- Plenty of downside liquidity and imbalances that price could target.
- Approaching a strong daily supply zone, which could act as a key reversal point.
- Unmitigated demand zones below, which may need to be tapped before price continues higher.
P.S. If price doesn’t reach the daily supply zone, I’ll remain patient and look for a buy opportunity to ride price up toward that supply level.
Wishing everyone a great trading week ahead!
#GBPUSD: Two Prominent Buying Points! Will Dxy Bounce Back? Due to strong economic data supporting GBP, its price has been bullish throughout the week, especially since DXY plunged. Given ongoing trade tensions, we may see another higher high. This is risky, so please analyse it yourself.
Like and comment to support us in bringing more analysis.
Have a great weekend! ❤️
Team Setupsfx_
GBPUSD(20250418)Today's AnalysisMarket news:
The European Central Bank cut interest rates by 25 basis points as expected, the seventh rate cut in the past year, and this decision was unanimous.
Technical analysis:
Today's buying and selling boundaries:
1.3246
Support and resistance levels:
1.3316
1.3290
1.3273
1.3219
1.3202
1.3176
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 1.3273, consider buying, the first target price is 1.3290
If the price breaks through 1.3246, consider selling, the first target price is 1.3219
GBP/USD Fundamental Update (17.04.2025)The GBP/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours.
Possible Long Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Resistance – 1.3320
2nd Resistance – 1.3369
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GBPUSD, still going long. Analysis 4/16 10:06pm I entered long at 1.32274, and as of April 16, 2025, at 10:00 PM, GBP/USD is trading at 1.32150, meaning I’m currently down 12.4 pips.
Trade Analysis
GBP/USD broke below 1.3225, which was acting as a support level earlier.
Bearish momentum has increased, but the next key support at 1.3205 might offer buyers a chance to defend the price.
The pair failed to push above 1.3245 resistance, meaning sellers are still in control at this stage.
Technical Indicators
RSI is near 31.90, suggesting the pair is close to oversold conditions and might attempt a bounce.
Stochastic RSI at 15.29 confirms that downward pressure is slowing, but no clear reversal is seen yet.
MACD remains negative, reinforcing weak momentum unless buyers step in soon.
Upcoming Market Events
Tomorrow’s U.S. Jobless Claims & Housing Data at 8:30 AM could impact GBP/USD significantly.
If jobless claims rise and housing numbers disappoint, USD may weaken, helping my trade recover.
If jobless claims remain low and housing holds up, USD could strengthen, pushing GBP/USD lower.
Trade Decision: Hold or Close?
Reasons to Hold:
GBP/USD is near key support at 1.3205, which could trigger a bounce.
Indicators show oversold conditions, meaning buyers might step in soon.
A recovery above 1.3225 could bring price back toward 1.3245–1.3265.
Reasons to Close:
Breaking below 1.3205 could lead to further downside, possibly toward 1.3173.
Momentum still favors USD, which could keep GBP/USD pressured.
Failure to reclaim 1.3225 soon may signal continued weakness.
Final Thoughts
I’m closely watching 1.3205—if GBP/USD finds support there, I may hold the trade. If price keeps dropping, I’ll consider exiting to minimize losses. The next 10 hours will be critical with major U.S. economic data coming up, so I’ll adjust my strategy accordingly.
Riding the GBP/USD Bull: Can This Rally Hold? 4/16 1:16pmI entered long at 1.32274, and as of now, GBP/USD is trading at 1.32280, meaning I’m slightly in profit. Based on price action, the pair is consolidating, but the overall trend bias still suggests a bullish continuation.
Technical Outlook
Support Levels:
1.3225 – This level is very close to my entry and is acting as immediate support. If price holds above this zone, my trade remains valid.
1.3205 – This is a stronger support level where previous buying interest emerged. If GBP/USD dips here, I’ll watch for a potential bounce.
Resistance Levels:
1.3265 – This level has been tested today, and price has struggled to break above it, making it a key short-term barrier. If GBP/USD clears it, bullish momentum could accelerate.
1.3295 – A more significant resistance level where selling pressure has emerged previously. If price reaches this zone, I’ll consider adjusting my position accordingly.
Technical Indicators Confirming Price Action
Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the daily timeframe is hovering around 62, indicating bullish momentum but not extreme overbought conditions.
Moving Averages (like the 20-day EMA) continue to trend upward, supporting the bullish bias.
Stochastic RSI on the 1-hour chart has cooled off slightly, suggesting a potential consolidation phase before another push higher.
Fundamental Considerations
UK Inflation came in weaker than expected (2.6%), which could limit GBP upside.
US Retail Sales beat expectations across the board, signaling strong consumer demand and reinforcing USD strength.
Powell’s speech in a few minutes is a major event—if he is hawkish, USD could gain strength and put downward pressure on GBP/USD.
Trade Strategy
Holding the long position:
As long as GBP/USD holds above 1.3225, I’m comfortable keeping the trade open.
A breakout above 1.3265 could signal the next bullish wave toward 1.3295.
Final Thoughts
Right now, my trade is still in a reasonable position, but the next few hours will be critical, especially with Powell’s speech approaching. If GBP/USD holds 1.3225 and clears 1.3265, my long position could continue to perform well.
GBPUSD Analysis 10:40am 4/16Here’s my updated resistance zone analysis for GBP/USD, combining all the technical and fundamental data:
Resistance Levels & Why They Matter
1.3265 – Immediate Resistance
GBP/USD tested this level today, and it acted as a short-term barrier.
This level aligns with recent swing highs and pivot point calculations, making it a key area where sellers may step in.
1.3305 – Next Resistance Zone
If price breaks above 1.3265, the next resistance is around 1.3305, based on historical price action and pivot analysis.
This level has previously acted as a turning point, meaning traders may look to take profit or enter short positions here.
1.3430 – Stronger Resistance
This level was identified in recent market analysis as a former multi-month high.
If GBP/USD continues its bullish momentum, this could be a major resistance zone where price struggles to push higher.
1.3640 – Long-Term Resistance Target
If GBP/USD breaks above 1.3430, the next major resistance sits at 1.3640, which has historically been a strong reversal point.
This level represents a significant psychological barrier, where traders may reassess the trend direction.
How I Derived These Levels
Price Action Review: I analyzed recent swing highs and lows to identify key turning points.
Pivot Point Calculations: Using the formula (High + Low + Close)/3, I confirmed resistance zones that align with historical price behavior.
Market Analysis: External sources also highlighted 1.3430 and 1.3640 as critical resistance levels2.
Moving Averages & Trendlines: These levels coincide with key moving averages, reinforcing their importance.
Final Thoughts
With GBP/USD currently at 1.32464, I’m watching 1.3265 as the immediate resistance. If price breaks above that, 1.3305 is the next target, followed by 1.3430 and 1.3640 for longer-term moves. These levels are based on a combination of technical indicators, price action, and external market analysis.
PLEASE BE ADVISED THAT THINGS CAN CHANGE..! PLEASE FOLLOW MY ANALYSIS TO OBTAIN ANY UPDATED INFO REGARDING GBPUSD.
GBPUSD(20250416)Today's AnalysisToday's buying and selling boundaries:
1.3214
Support and resistance levels:
1.3301
1.3268
1.3247
1.3180
1.3159
1.3127
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 1.3247, consider buying, the first target price is 1.3268
If the price breaks through 1.3214, consider selling, the first target price is 1.3180
GBPUSD(20250414)Today's AnalysisMarket news:
Fed Collins: It is currently expected that the Fed will need to keep interest rates unchanged for a longer period of time. If necessary, the Fed is "absolutely" ready to help stabilize the market; Kashkari: No serious chaos has been seen yet, and the Fed should intervene cautiously only in truly urgent situations; Musallem: The Fed should be wary of continued inflation driven by tariffs.
Technical analysis:
Today's buying and selling boundaries:
1.3064
Support and resistance levels:
1.3245
1.3177
1.3133
1.2995
1.2951
1.2883
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 1.3133, consider buying, the first target price is 1.3177
If the price breaks through 1.3064, consider selling, the first target price is 1.2995
GBPUSD: Likely to maintain its upward momentum next weekTrump announced a 90-day suspension of the new tariff plan for most of his trading partners, which has, to some extent, reduced the systemic risks in the market and warmed up the risk appetite. The British pound, due to its nature as a risk currency, has become a beneficiary in the improvement of the global sentiment. At the same time, global stock markets plunged this week due to the uncertainty of trade policies, but the GBPUSD rose against the trend, indicating that the market has a strong bullish sentiment towards the British pound. This sentiment is likely to continue next week.
GBPUSD broke through some key resistance levels this week, such as the 1.3000 mark, opening up room for further upward movement. In the short term, although the RSI has reached a highly overbought level, if the bullish sentiment in the market is strong enough, the GBPUSD still has the potential to continue rising, breaking through the recent high of 1.3145. The next resistance levels might be at 1.3200 and even higher.
GBPUSD trading strategy
buy @:1.30400-1.30480
sl 1.29950
tp 1.30750-1.30810
If you approve of my analysis, you can give it a thumbs-up as support. If you have different opinions, you can leave your thoughts in the comments.Thank you!
GBPUSD potential buy zone in inverted head & shoulder!GDP in GBPUSD had spike in actual value with the forecast has boost in this pair. Prior to data release this instrument had a break of structure has given strong liquidity grab as it has broken from long term trend line. As the market structure remain intact we may see the price to bounce back to the daily resistance line. 15m timeframe already has formed an inverted head & shoulder which signaling potential breakout. Any liquidity grab may give us potential entry in this lower timeframe.
Fri 11th Apr 2025 Daily Forex Charts: 8x New Trade SetupsGood morning fellow traders. On my Daily Forex charts using the High Probability & Divergence trading methods from my books, I have identified 8x new trade setups this morning. As usual, you can read my notes on the charts for my thoughts on these setups. The trades being a AUD/JPY Buy, XAU/USD Buy, AUD/USD Buy, XAG/USD Buy, NZD/USD Buy, NZD/CAD Buy, GBP/AUD Sell & GBP/USD Buy. I also discuss some trade management. Enjoy the day all. Cheers. Jim