GBP/USD - British Pound US Dollar Strong Bullish after FOMC The U.S. dollar edged higher in early trade Wednesday, boosted by sticky inflation ahead of the latest Fed meeting, while sterling is hit by weak growth numbers.
In Europe, GBP/USD fell 0.3% to 1.2523 after data showed that Britain's economy shrank in October, with gross domestic product falling 0.3% from September, the first month-on-month drop since July.
The Office for National Statistics stated that exceptionally wet weather might have impacted the data, but this release raises the prospect of a recession and lifts the pressure on the Bank of England to cut interest rates next year even with inflation still above target.
Now, at 17:22 Dec. 13Th 2023 i HAVE STRONG BULLISH SIGNAL
I hae explaiend on the chart, where I have sold and bought GBP,where I have taen profit, reduced or added aggressively my positions
Trend Bullish
Technical Summary
Type
5 Min
15 Min
Hourly
Daily
Monthly
Moving Averages
Buy
Buy
Strong Buy
Strong Buy
Neutral
Technical Indicators
Sell
Strong Buy
Strong Buy
Buy
Strong Buy
Summary
Neutral
Strong Buy
Strong Buy
Strong Buy
Buy
Prev. Close
1.2618
Bid
1.2615
Day's Range
1.2614-1.2623
Open
1.2616
Ask
1.2624
52 wk Range
1.1803-1.3146
1-Year Change
2.35%
Gbpusdlong
GBPUSD on it's way to 1.29?Hello traders and the entire Tradingview Community! Last week, I had
advised you to buy GBPUSD@1.2620 level. If you followed my idea, you
have made over 130 pips profit.
Currently, GBP/USD is still holding above the key level around the dynamic
support on the 4H chart . If price continues to hold above 1.2670, we can expect
GBP/USD to go to 1.2750, 1.28 and even 1.29.
I would be willing to buy GBPUSD again if price dips to the 1.2650 level
GBPUSD: Bullish Momentum as the Market Anticipate Fed Rate CutsInflation & Interest Rate
According to the Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) metric, inflation declined from 2.9% in October to 2.6% in November. Forecasts suggest a projected 2.4% inflation rate in 2024, attributed to a more stringent monetary policy and decreased international commodity prices. Notably, 17 out of 19 Federal Reserve officials anticipate a lower policy rate by the end of 2024, with the median projection indicating a three-quarters of a percentage point decrease from the current range. The prospect of reduced interest rates tends to discourage foreign investment, thereby decreasing the currency's relative value. Consequently, we anticipate a weakening dollar and a bullish outlook for FX:GBPUSD .
Technical Analysis
On January 5, 2023, GBPUSD experienced a rebound precisely at the EMA200 Line and the bullish trendline. Along the bullish trendline, a swing low was formed, accompanied by a bullish Marubozu candlestick. Notably, the price broke out of the descending broadening wedge, signaling a potential continuation of the prevailing trend. Furthermore, the MACD indicator exhibited a golden cross, indicative of robust bullish momentum and suggesting a trajectory toward the designated target area.
It is essential to note that the analysis will no longer hold validity once the target/support area is reached.
Disclaimer:
"Please note that this analysis is solely for educational purposes and should not be considered a recommendation to take a long or short position on GBPUSD."
Please support the channel by engaging with the content, using the rocket button, and sharing your opinions in the comments below!
GBPUSD | Bullish outlookGBPUSD is in a big uptrend and has only now seen some big bearish moves at the start of the year.
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GBPUSD hasn't really made a new low and is still holding the 1.26100 level pretty hard.
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If we see big bullish moves in the upcoming week. I will be looking for a break of the resistance level and then a retest of the resistance zone and new highs being made.
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When this happens I will be looking for long positions.
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Let me know what you think!
GBPUSD Next Buy opportunity 1.2500 - 1.2530GBPUSD Next Buy opportunity 1.2500 - 1.2530
GBPUSD BUY LIMIT 1.25211
TAKE PROFIT 01 : 1.26074
TAKE PROFIT 02 : 1.27029
TAKE PROFIT 03 : 1.27995
STOP LOSS 1.24409
When markets open, place your limit order with proper money management. When 1st target hit make sure to move your stop to breakeven.
Key level
4H Support price - 1.25012
4H Pressure price - 1.28277
GBPUSD H2 / STRATEGY RESPECTED, LONG TRADE ACTIVE ✅Hello Traders!
As you can see, GBPUSD reacted from FVG, and now I expect an increase until the price of 1.28100.
Traders, if you liked my idea or if you have a different vision related to this trade, write in the comments. I will be glad to see your perspective.
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100 Pips profit hit on GBPUSD buy, is 1.29 next?Hello traders and the Tradingview community, our GBPUSD buy from yesterday
at 1.2620 hit over 100 pips profit today.
Although price has pulled back a little, it is likely that the uptrend may continue.
The circular region highlighted in my chart is the key, as long as price continues
to stay above this level, there's a chance that GBP/USD may reach 1.29.
My preferred strategy is to buy the dips in GBP/USD, I will update this idea when
I have a new entry available for GBPUSD.
GBPUSD Trading Plan - 05/Jan/2024Hello Traders,
Hope you all are doing good!!
I expect GBPUSD to go Up after finishing the correction.
NOTE: There is potential that it can take last low but the bias will be still up.
Look for your BUY setups.
Please follow me and like if you agree or this idea helps you out in your trading plan.
Disclaimer: This is just an idea. Please do your own analysis before opening a position. Always use SL & proper risk management.
Market can evolve anytime, hence, always do your analysis and learn trade management before following any idea.
GBPUSD: Morgan Stanley changes US dollar forecast to neutral amiMorgan Stanley updated its outlook for the U.S. dollar, switching to a neutral stance, sharply departing from its previous forecast for an 8% rise in the dollar spot index in the fourth quarter. Two this year. This adjustment was made in response to the Fed's recent dovish stance and the resulting decline in US Treasury yields.
The bank's dollar spot index fell just 0.2%, prompting a reassessment of its currency strategy. Given the changing economic situation, Morgan Stanley strategists are now advising clients to avoid short positions in the Eurodollar. Instead, it recommends shorting the euro against the yen to protect against currency fluctuations that may occur in the current market environment. This guide highlights strategic turning points in foreign exchange trading, in line with the latest economic indicators and central bank policy directions.
YEMI_FX1 | LONG OPPORTUNITY ON GBPUSDOn the higher time frame, the overall structure is Bullish, narrowing down to lower time frame, we can see our price was trading in an ascending channel and moved out down to it basement. To a support level that was respected. Currently price has moved impulsive and it's in a correction phase in form of a tight flag pattern (an opportunity for a long trade). Looking to go long on OANDA:GBPUSD
💡 GBPUSD: Forecast January 2GBPUSD did not fluctuate much in the past session, the price is still having difficulty creating a higher peak to confirm the continuation of the rising price channel, the double top reversal pattern is also starting to form, it will be Confirmed when the support level 1.26 is broken, then you need to abandon the strategy of buying up according to the current price uptrend.
💡 GBPUSD: Forecast January 3GBPUSD continued to fall sharply in the past session, it broke the lower border of the rising price channel and approached the important support zone of 1.26. This is considered the last stop for the buyers because if it is broken, the double top reversal pattern will be confirmed and the bullish structure will also be broken, then it is likely that the price will extend its downward momentum to 1.24. If you still have a buying position, you should consider exiting early or placing SL below this 1.26 level.
GBP/USD tends to increase when it meets supportThe GBPUSD has been forming an upward structure with higher highs after breaking above a key downtrend line in early November. Although the GBPUSD's uptrend came to a temporary halt at the four-month high level of 1.2826, the completion of the golden cross between the 50- and 200-day SMAs is expected to provide upside momentum.
However, during the European session on Tuesday, the GBPUSD fell sharply during the day as the USD rose sharply and formed a death cross downward structure in the 4H timeframe, potentially creating more uncertainty for the GBPUSD in the near term.
Now, we believe that as long as Wave 4 of the "upward impulse waves" structure has not been broken, the end of the "upward impulse waves" is still worth looking forward to.
Given that the short-term oscillators are continuing to provide cautiously positive signals, the bulls may try to eliminate the latest weakness and overcome the December resistance at the 1.2794 level. A break above this resistance could open the door to a four-month peak at 1.2826. If it fails to stay here, the GBPUSD could move towards the June high of 1.2847 until it reaches the 1.2900 level.
On the other hand, if the GBPUSD reverses lower, several previous support levels at 1.2642 and 1.2612 could now become the initial line of defense. A break below that bottom could see the price fall to recent support at 1.2611, or even lower, with upward Wave 4 1.2500 likely to provide a correction.
Overall, risks remain cautiously tilted to the upside in the near term, even though the GBPUSD rally appears to be losing its momentum. To change this situation, the price cannot go below a series of key supports or the uptrend will be reversed. It is recommended to buy the dips.
GBPUSD is trending upSupported by positive market sentiment, GBPUSD rose above 1.2800 on Thursday and settled at the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level at 1.2740 (from July 14 high of 1.3142). to an October 4 low of 1.2037). The rising 20-day exponential moving average (EMA) is placed at 1.2670, projecting continued upside support for the British pound.
The relative strength index (RSI) has risen above 60. The sustained work on these technologies will trigger strengthening, the target gem completing the "upward impulse waves" at 1.3000.
On the downside, activity below minor support at 1.2698 could cause trading sentiment to return to neutral. However, if free support at 1.2499 is maintained to prevent a downturn, further recovery phases remain beneficial.
From a broader perspective, the action starting from the midpoint at 1.3141 is seen as a corrective pattern from the upside at 1.0351. Move up from 1.2036 is considered the second in progress (of this pattern). The upside is expected to be limited at 1.3141 to form the third component. At the same time, support functioning beyond 1.2499 would indicate the start of the third part of the uptrend. In terms of trading, buying at low prices is the recommended strategy.
GBPUSD → Falling From Resistance! Should We Long or Short??GBPUSD touched the Resistance Zone and fell into the 30EMA ribbon, putting a slight pause on the fall. Will the price fall further or are we about to make contact with the Resistance Zone again?
How do we trade this? 🤔
I do not believe a short is reasonable here because we don't have enough bear strength on the chart. Wait for another rejection at Resistance or wait for the price to fall and find support to enter a long. There are two potential long entries, at the Support Zone around 1.21150 and above the current Resistance Zone around 1.29. Both zones need to establish support and show confirmation to justify a long entry. This includes a bull signal bar closing on or near its high followed by a strong bull candle closing on or near its high.
Until then, it's best to wait on the sidelines for a better opportunity!
💡 Trade Ideas 💡
Long Entry: 1.21150
🟥 Stop Loss: 1.18650
✅ Take Profit: 1.26150
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:2
Long Entry: 1.29000
🟥 Stop Loss: 1.26450
✅ Take Profit: 1.34100
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:2
🔑 Key Takeaways 🔑
1. Trading Range after Bull Run, Bias to Long.
2. Macro Trend is Bearish, Use Caution at Weekly 200EMA.
3. If in Short Position, hold until Support Zone.
4. If not in a Position, Wait until Support to Long.
5. RSI near 53.00 under Moving Average, Bias to Short.
⚠️ Risk Warning! ⚠️
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. You are solely responsible for your trades. Trade at your own risk!
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