GBP/USD Risky Short Setup From Good Res Area To Get 200 Pips !This Is An Educational + Analytic Content That Will Teach Why And How To Enter A Trade
Make Sure You Watch The Price Action Closely In Each Analysis As This Is A Very Important Part Of Our Method
Disclaimer : This Analysis Can Change At Anytime Without Notice And It Is Only For The Purpose Of Assisting Traders To Make Independent Investments Decisions.
Gbpusdsell
Short Sell @ 1.29, Long Term Buy @1.25 - Target 1.40?Looking at the weekly chart, Cable has been forming a triangle/wedge pattern, which could also be viewed as a bullish flag after the rise from 1.035 to 1.31500. So, what’s next?
In the bigger picture, I’m bullish on this pair, but there will also be short-term selling opportunities. I expect the price to move up towards March's high at 1.29, slightly above the wedge trendline. This area should act as resistance, where I will look to sell short term.
I’ll execute this sell idea by using my TRFX indicator to look for sell signals as the price moves above 1.285 towards the high. My stop loss will be above 1.30, and the target will be down towards the bottom of the range at 1.25.
If this first part plays out and we see the move back down towards 1.25, which is the wedge bottom trend line, this will be a great area to get in for long-term buys. The target will be a break and close of the weekly wedge, first aiming for last year's high at 1.315. This will be another good short-term selling area, anticipating a move down to test the wedge breakout area. This could be a spot for buyers to test the 2021 highs above 1.40.
I’ve charted what I believe is the likely path for this pair over the coming months and year ahead. Let me know what you think in the comments.
GBP/USD Shorts from 1.27500 back downMy bias this week is to look for nearby sell opportunities as we approach a strong supply zone on the 21-hour chart. I will wait for a Wyckoff distribution to unfold, likely on Monday or Tuesday, to take sells back down to the next demand zone.
Since the equal highs have been swept, I expect the price to slow down and provide a clear entry model for shorts. Despite the current bullish trend, I plan to take these sells down to the next demand zone, where I will look for long positions to continue the trend.
Confluences for GU Sells are as follows:
- 21hr supply zone has caused a break of structure to the downside and has an imbalance
- The overall trend on the higher time frame is bearish and the dollar is also overall bullish.
- Price has swept equal high liquidity enough to now break back down.
- Bullish pressure is getting exhausted after the bullish rallies we saw last week.
P.S. Since the price hasn't yet tapped into the supply zone, I'm also watching for an Asian high sweep, which will further confirm my sell bias. Additionally, we're approaching the psychological level of 1.27500, so it will be interesting to see how the price reacts.
Have a great trading week!
GBPUSDDear Traders,
As DXY remain extremely bullish since a week now, price have dropped heavily, in fact more than any other dxy pairs; and there is strong reason behind for it, GBP was dropping due to only economic sides not favouring it. Now, DXY and GBP have started making few corrections in their respective trends. What we are looking at here is a strong possibility of selling big. Therefore, we can identify that area.
GBP/USD Gave Yesterday +50 Pips 0 Drawdown , New Entry Valid !This Is An Educational + Analytic Content That Will Teach Why And How To Enter A Trade
Make Sure You Watch The Price Action Closely In Each Analysis As This Is A Very Important Part Of Our Method
Disclaimer : This Analysis Can Change At Anytime Without Notice And It Is Only For The Purpose Of Assisting Traders To Make Independent Investments Decisions.
GBP/USD Show H&S Pattern , Short Setup Valid To Get 150 Pips !This Is An Educational + Analytic Content That Will Teach Why And How To Enter A Trade
Make Sure You Watch The Price Action Closely In Each Analysis As This Is A Very Important Part Of Our Method
Disclaimer : This Analysis Can Change At Anytime Without Notice And It Is Only For The Purpose Of Assisting Traders To Make Independent Investments Decisions.
GBP/USD outlook: Pre-BOE decision time The British Pound has seen a partial retreat against the USD ahead of the Bank of England's interest rate announcement.
It's widely anticipated that rates will remain steady at 5.25%. Consequently, attention is likely to be directed towards the voting split among the nine-member Monetary Policy Committee and the accompanying commentary, as these factors could influence market sentiment. How this split lands could affect the present futures markets predictions that the first UK rate cut will come in September.
If the forecast is pushed back, we could see the 1.2500 psychological level provide support potential for the GBP/USD. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) has recently declined below the 50 level, highlighting a lack of bullish momentum, so we might like to see this pick up also.
Moreover, the GBP/USD has dipped below the 200-day moving average. This could be the first level of resistance to take note of that could impede any upward trend. After this, levels of resistance the GBP/USD pair could face include the 50-day moving average (DMA) close to 1.2600.
GBP/USD Sells down towards a long opportunityThis pair is currently in a bearish trend, but I anticipate a potential reversal near a major demand zone around 1.23000. While we wait for price to reach this level, I'll be monitoring for a minor retracement back to the recently formed 4-hour supply zone.
Once the retracement occurs, I'll be looking for selling opportunities in line with the prevailing trend until price reaches the 3hr demand level. Upon reaching this level, I'll anticipate a liquidity sweep of the Asian low and a possible Wyckoff accumulation phase, expecting price to then rise.
Confluences for GU Sells are as follows:
- Price has been very bearish recently and confirms this via continuous break of structures.
- Good 4hr supply that has recently been created which also caused a BOS.
- Theres an imbalance below that needs to get filled as well as lots of liquidity to be taken.
- The overall trend of the market on the higher time frame is bearish as well.
- DXY also looking bullish as well and it's aligning very well with GU's Zones.
P.S. This demand zone is particularly strong because it aligns with a strengthening dollar entering a robust supply zone. This could lead to a significant drop in the dollar and consequently a rise in GU. However, given the overall bearish trend of GU, selling positions remain valid.
Have a good trading week!
GBPUSD: Bearish Momentum Persists, Targeting Daily Sell StopsCurrently, GBPUSD demonstrates a persistent inclination towards the sell side, targeting the Daily sell stops . Having interacted with an m15 order block, a liquidity void has been filled. Now, a potential retest of the order block is underway, with price currently trading within a rejection block. This setup may serve as confirmation for further selling activity.
Alternatively, if this scenario fails to materialize, selling against the m15 Buy Stops becomes a viable strategy, awaiting confirmation for entry.
Kind Regards,
The_Architect
GBP USD chartGBP/USD declined toward 1.2450 in the American session and erased a large portion of its daily recovery gains. The USD continues to outperform its rivals following the better-than-forecast data and doesn't allow the pair to preserve its recovery momentum.
Bears have pushed the pair back to the bottom of the monthly descending channel, at 1.2440, which is being tested at the moment. Last Friday’s low is right below there, at 1.2430. A clear break of that support area clears the path towards 1.2370. Further down there is no support until 1.2220.
On the upside 1.2505 level should be cleared to advance towards 1.2565, where an unmitigated order block may provide a fresh boost for bears
GBP USD confirm signal
GBPUSD - Short Trade Forecast 💡Hello Traders!
The current market structure on the daily timeframe indicates a bearish trend, suggesting a potential for short positions. I anticipate the price will extend its retracement upwards to address the existing imbalance.
My strategy involves waiting for the price to reach and then rejecting the bearish order block, particularly around the institutional midpoint of 1.26500.
gbpusd long signalGBP/USD is the forex ticker that shows the value of the British Pound against the US Dollar. It tells traders how many US Dollars are needed to buy a British Pound. The Pound-Dollar is one of the oldest and most widely traded currency pairs in the world. Follow the live GBP/USD rate with the chart and keep up to date with Pound-Dollar news and analysis. Plan your trades with the GBP/USD forecast and key pivot points data and support and resistance levels.
GBP/USD extends losses and trades at fresh multi-month lows below 1.2450 even after the January month UK GDP was revised higher to 0.3%. The negative shift seen in risk mood fuels another leg higher in the USD and drags the pair lower.
GBP/USD stays in the lower half of the descending regression channel and the Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator on the 4-hour chart holds slightly above 30, suggesting that the pair has some more room on the downside before turning technical oversold.
1.2500 (static level, psychological level) aligns as first support before 1.2450 (lower limit of the descending channel) and 1.2420 (static level from November). On the upside, first resistance is located at 1.2550 (mid-point of the descending channel) before 1.2590 (200-day Simple Moving Average).
The GBP didn't short itself. If one would have checked the recent flightlogs of the GBP performance he might have been astounded what he would discover:
GBP emerges from the first trading week of the year as the strongest currency and the signs look great for a further rally of the pound:
🟢GBP Positive:🟢
- 🟢 The PMIs in the UK have recently surprised on the upside and so there is light at the end of the tunnel, in contrast to the European counterpart, which has only surprised with more and more negative PMIs
- 🟢 Although wage pressure is falling, it remains high by international standards
- 🟢 There are signs of a recovery in both retail sales and GDP for 2024
- 📊🇬🇧 Inflation will fall quickly and reach 2% mark as early as Q2 2024🟢
- 🟢 That said given the better economic performance it is doubtful whether the BOE will actually cut interest rates as early as its sister from the ECB
-> 🟢 I think May would be a realistic scenario for a 1st rate cut by the BOE ✅️
But as every story that sounds to good to be true, the longterm outlook brings some serious concerns for the so far marvellous UK dream story:
🔴GBP Negative:🔴
- 🔴GDP was recently significantly weaker (-0.3) than expected (0.0)
- 🔴Industrial production also surprised negatively in relation to expectations at 0.4
- 🔴However, the significantly weaker labour data recently, in which bonus payments in particular surprised to the downside and raised one question in particular, weighs even more heavily and will bring much more rate cuts forward than the BOE and the market are expecting right now.
Conclusion:
The outlook for the pound is starting to brighten, but overall the negative factors are likely to outweigh against the USD in the longterm and so I see a promising opportunity to short the GBPUSD (after another rally) from way above.
The 1.32 - 1.33 zone would be ideal.
(For everyone who made it this far I have an extra for you:
A small quiz in the comments ;)
If someone wants to buy the GBP now, a long trade in GBPCHF is a good idea, which I explain in my following trade idea here:
Gbpusd shortGBP/USD is the forex ticker that shows the value of the British Pound against the US Dollar. It tells traders how many US Dollars are needed to buy a British Pound. The Pound-Dollar is one of the oldest and most widely traded currency pairs in the world. Follow the live GBP/USD rate with the chart and keep up to date with Pound-Dollar news and analysis. Plan your trades with the GBP/USD forecast and key pivot points data and support and resistance levels.
GBP/USD edged lower in the early American session but managed to hold above 1.2650. The negative shift seen in risk mood, as reflected by falling US stocks, makes it difficult for the pair to stretch higher.
The USD risk is skewed to the upside, as recent US data has endorsed a “no landing” scenario, that would be confirmed in case of another upside surprise on inflation. Recent hints on wage growth and industrial prices are pointing to resilient inflation.
The technical picture shows the Pound under an increasing momentum, although the failure to confirm above the 1.6680-1.6700 area leaves the broader bearish trend intact. On the downside, supports are 1.6575 and 1.6535.
GBPUSD Trade Idea - Important Points To ConsiderIn the video, we analyse a potential trading opportunity for the GBPUSD. We delve into the prevailing trend, examine price movements, evaluate market structure, and pinpoint a potential entry point based on favourable conditions (if they arise), as outlined in the video. Additionally, I discuss my risk management strategy. Traders who lack a robust risk management plan expose themselves to significant risk and often encounter negative trading outcomes. It is crucial to incorporate sound risk management principles into your trading strategy. As always, please be aware that this information is strictly for educational purposes and should not be construed as financial advice.
GBPUSDGBP/USD is the forex ticker that shows the value of the British Pound against the US Dollar. It tells traders how many US Dollars are needed to buy a British Pound. The Pound-Dollar is one of the oldest and most widely traded currency pairs in the world. Follow the live GBP/USD rate with the chart and keep up to date with Pound-Dollar news and analysis. Plan your trades with the GBP/USD forecast and key pivot points data and support and resistance levels.
GBP/USD clings to marginal daily gains above 1.2550 in the second half of the day on Tuesday as the US Dollar fails to build on Monday's upside. Earlier in the day, the upward revision to the UK Manufacturing PMI supported Pound Sterling.
The 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) aligns as stiff resistance at 1.2590. In case GBP/USD fails to clear that level, technical sellers could remain interested. On the downside, static support seems to have formed at 1.2540 before 1.2520 (beginning point of the latest uptrend) and 1.2500 (psychological level).