GBPUSD Longs from 1.25400 back up!GBPUSD once again is in a very good place right now and opportunities are looking very good. even though I have marked out two scenarios I will focus on the buy opportunity that could potentially play out. For this i'm expecting price to descend to take out the equal lows and fill in the imbalance. From there I will be expecting a wyckoff accumulation to present itself within my 11hr demand zone.
Once price changes character and leaves a clean entry point I will be looking to buy back up to the supply zone which sits above the equal highs and imbalance. From there I will be anticipating a good bearish reaction from as price would have swept lots of liquidity.
Confluences for GBPUSD Longs are as follows:
- Bullish pressure weakens, evident in a CHOCH and confirmed by a BOS
- A 11hr demand zone below triggered a break of structure to the upside.
- The market trend is bullish, aligning with this idea.
- Imbalance above the demand signals favourable reaction at my POI.
- Abundant liquidity above, including trend lines and untouched Asian highs.
- Price needs to dip to a significant demand level for an upward rally to persist.
- Triple Equal lows above my zone, once liquidity is swept we can expect a nice reaction.
P.S. I do see a close 4hr demand but the reason why I didn't highlight that one in this post is because I expect it to fail. The relative triple equal lows below it makes this POI not a good one so I will rather wait for the most extreme lying at the more discounted area.
Gbpusdsetup
GBPUSD Trading Plan - 05/Jan/2024Hello Traders,
Hope you all are doing good!!
I expect GBPUSD to go Up after finishing the correction.
NOTE: There is potential that it can take last low but the bias will be still up.
Look for your BUY setups.
Please follow me and like if you agree or this idea helps you out in your trading plan.
Disclaimer: This is just an idea. Please do your own analysis before opening a position. Always use SL & proper risk management.
Market can evolve anytime, hence, always do your analysis and learn trade management before following any idea.
GBPUSD: Morgan Stanley changes US dollar forecast to neutral amiMorgan Stanley updated its outlook for the U.S. dollar, switching to a neutral stance, sharply departing from its previous forecast for an 8% rise in the dollar spot index in the fourth quarter. Two this year. This adjustment was made in response to the Fed's recent dovish stance and the resulting decline in US Treasury yields.
The bank's dollar spot index fell just 0.2%, prompting a reassessment of its currency strategy. Given the changing economic situation, Morgan Stanley strategists are now advising clients to avoid short positions in the Eurodollar. Instead, it recommends shorting the euro against the yen to protect against currency fluctuations that may occur in the current market environment. This guide highlights strategic turning points in foreign exchange trading, in line with the latest economic indicators and central bank policy directions.
GBPUSD: The USD stabilized awaiting the minutes of the Fed's DecThe dollar hovered near a two-week high in early European trading on Wednesday ahead of the release of the Federal Reserve's December meeting minutes.
At 4:10 p.m. ET, the U.S. dollar index, which tracks the greenback against a basket of six other currencies, was trading 0.1% higher at 101.959, after gaining just under 1% on Tuesday. This was a personal high. performance of the day. From March 2023.
The dollar has rebounded to start the year, helped by rising U.S. Treasury yields, with the benchmark 10-year Treasury yield hitting its highest level in more than two weeks in early trading.
Risk aversion pushed the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite Index to their first trade of 2024 as investors worried that the minutes of the Federal Reserve's December meeting, scheduled to be released next Wednesday, might not be as dovish as previously expected. We finished in the red. "The market is abandoning some dovish bets, questioning inflated stock valuations, and ultimately turning to defensive bets in the foreign exchange market," ING analysts said.
GBPUSD Longs from 1.26500 Up towards 1.28000This GBPUSD scenario catches my attention due to the intriguing structure that price has formed. Presently, my strategy involves waiting for a slight dip in price to reach the Asian low and touch my 10hr demand zone. Following this, I anticipate a Wyckoff accumulation process, providing an opportunity for a buy position targeting the 10hr supply zone located within the psychological level of 1.28000.
In the event that price decides to rise first, my inclination would be toward short-term sells initiated from the same 10hr supply zone, with the aim of guiding it down toward the demand. Additionally, my interest is piqued by the backup zones, where substantial liquidity is visible near my Points of Interest (POIs), offering reliable areas for potential trading opportunities.
Confluences for GBPUSD Buys are as follows:
- Unmitigated 10hr Demand zone has been left which caused a major BOS to the upside.
- Temporary trend is also bullish as price has broken structure once again.
- DXY is still looking bearish meaning that GBPUSD is expected to rise.
- Asian low on top of demand is a good sign as price will sweep liquidity before entering.
- In order for price to continue in its bullish course, it must ideally react off a demand level.
P.S. As the current market conditions remain in equilibrium, my approach is to wait for price to reach either a discounted or premium level. Given the ongoing short retracement and the presence of liquidity below, I anticipate the demand to be mitigated first at the discounted price. However, I acknowledge the possibility of price reaching my 10hr supply, in which case, I would opt for selling positions to capture a downward movement.
HAPPY NEW YEARS TO ALL OF YOU AND HOPE THIS YEAR BRING EVERYONE PROFITABILITY AND CONSISTENCY. LETS CATCH THESE PIPS!
GBPUSD: US dollar depreciates as expectations for interest rate The U.S. dollar is on track to decline annually, weakening from two consecutive years of strong gains as expectations grow for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates next year. The dollar index against six major currencies hit a five-month low of 100.81, reflecting Wednesday's 0.5% decline and expectations for a 2.6% decline for the year.
In contrast to the Fed's unexpectedly dovish stance at its December meeting, other major central banks, including the European Central Bank, remained committed to keeping interest rates high for a longer period of time. However, markets believe the ECB is considering cutting interest rates by up to 165 basis points next year. Sterling hit $1.2813, its highest since Aug. 10, and is on course for its first annual rise of 6% since 2017. The Bank of England faces a difficult environment. Challenges posed by rising inflation in the UK. The ability of the Fed to cut interest rates as aggressively as the Fed and the ECB may be limited. This has widened the yield differential with U.S. and European bonds, making British assets more attractive and supporting the pound.
GBPUSD has a very high chance of creating a new bottomGBPUSD: The British pound also shows the most likely signs of bottoming near 1.2650 in the near term, taking into account the weaker US dollar, and rising above the previous high of 1.2800. In this scenario, you can consider the option of waiting and buying GU near 1.2650.
💵 SELL GBPUSD NOW 1.26873💵
✔️TP1 1.2665
✔️TP2 1.2635
❌SL 1.274
#GBPUSD: Expecting strong drop on GU Dear Traders,
GBPUSD can drop significant after BoE released the inflation data this morning GBP weakness is inevitable in coming days. While DXY is still recovering from last week FED news on interest rate though DXY has not yet shown a strong bullish sign this week and yet. It would be wise to see some bullish price momentum on DXY to confirm the long term bias on GBPUSD. However, a accurate entry on GU at current price with a great risk management is worth it.
We advise to take extra precautions as we are at end of the December.
Good Luck! Happy Trading
GBPUSD: The dollar finds its footing as Fed officials downplay hThe dollar index and dollar index futures both traded flat during the Asian session on Tuesday, but marked strong recoveries from four-month lows over the past two sessions.
A series of Fed officials said that although the bank will cut interest rates in 2024, expectations of an imminent shift are unfounded.
Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee said the bank has not committed to cutting interest rates anytime soon and joined some other officials in pushing back expectations of a sudden drop in interest rates.
However, market valuations are suggesting a nearly 63% chance of a rate cut by March 2024.
Goldman Sachs (NYSE:GS) analysts also said Tuesday that the central bank will cut interest rates five times by 2024, with the majority of the cuts coming in the first half of the year.
💡 GBPUSD: Continuing strong growth momentumING stated that the focus in the UK would be on the November CPI data released on Wednesday. Service inflation is anticipated to be 6.6%, suggesting a limited progression in inflation. This development is expected to prompt the market to reduce some of its speculations about a potential UK interest rate cut. Although services inflation in the UK is projected to decelerate to approximately 4% next summer, providing leeway for the Bank of England to initiate interest rate cuts, there remains an opportunity for the Pound to benefit from certain policy repricing in the short term.
Observing the H4 chart, GBP/USD appears to retreat from the overbought territory, with the MACD double line and histogram bar diminishing upward near the zero axis. The ongoing decline from the peak of 1.2795 is likely to lead to a corrective downturn in the short term; however, it is anticipated that the price will find support in the 1.2600 region.
You can set BUY LIMIT, stop loss is necessary.
GBPUSD is still in a strong uptrendGBPUSD: The British pound also had a very good rally after yesterday's monetary policy announcement. GU broke through the previous resistance zone and created a positive uptrend. The number of buyers is overwhelming. The scenario for today's session is for GU to buy at 1.2700 and Citi to continue rising with hopes of buying at 1.2820.
GBPUSD BULLISH CONTINUATIONHello Traders, previous week the market broke market structure to the upside on the release of the Interest rate news followed by fed talk however the current market situations is bullish so i i see an opportunity to trade with the trend so that the Area for a reversal, it a 4H timeframe so make sure to get you're confirmation on the lower timeframe and Follow you're trading plan
GBPUSD waves on H4 TF Long idea Trading GBPUSD waves on H4 TF on Fib levels
completed the first wave and retraced to
more than 50% of Fib level which is the wave 2
by using Trend Fib levels it can move to 61.80%
of trend fib and complete the 3rd wave and
it can retrace to 38.20% for wave 4
and complete the 5th wave of 100% trend fib level
zone of 1.28593 to 1.29221
Buy zone 1.26469 to 1.26123
SL 1.24900
Tp1 1.27408
Tp2 1.28100
Tp3 1.28585 & 1.29221
GBPUSDDear Traders,
We are expecting a heavy sell off on GBPUSD as it is approaching a premium selling zone, price have previously have took out many key levels due to extreme bullishness. Once price touch the first amber line it will be activated. Enter accordingly if price do changes by the time it reaches our area then we will update you guys on this.
Do like and comment your view!!
GBPUSDDear Traders,
GBPUSD expecting USD domination for sometimes until the price falls within our range where it is likely to fill the liquidity void that it had left. That area is where big buys may occur taking the price to yearly HH. This trade is swing trade so wait for the price to do its things. Expecting this setup to be activated in the beginning of the new year 2024.
If you like our work than please consider liking and commenting the idea that will encourage us.
GBPUSD - H4GBPUSD
H4 - The price has formed a 3-wave structure, with the breakout of 1 wave (breakout of the trend line), you can consider buying with minimal risk on the idea. Maximum targets at 1.27329
You can also observe the formation of a triangle to continue the movement downward along the 3-wave structure on D1. When the triangle line is broken, we can expect continued movement along the trend.
What can you expect?
Long - You can consider entering from the level of ~1.25959 with further movement to the target 1.27329. Cancellation of the idea so as not to take increased risk on the idea levels beyond the end of the 2nd wave - 1.25959
Short - You can consider entering from the level of ~1.25377 with further movement to the target 1.23565. Cancel the idea so as not to take increased risk on the idea, trend line levels - 1.25915
Long
Target 1.26239 - 1.26467 - 1.26814 - 1.27329
Short
Target 1.24994 - 1.24471 - 1.24140 - 1.23565
GBP/USD: Riding the Uptrend WaveGBP/USD is currently riding high on the 4-hour candlestick chart, showcasing a consistent uptrend that commenced in early November. The pair reached its pinnacle on November 29th at 1.27330 and then underwent a correction, finding support at the level of 1.25021. Currently situated within the support region of its ascending channel, GBP/USD has recently broken out above the minor downtrend. This breakout signals a potential continuation of its upward trajectory.
Technical Assessment:
Examining the 4-hour chart reveals a robust uptrend in GBP/USD since the early days of November. The correction following the peak on November 29th led the pair to the support level of 1.25021. The current scenario places GBP/USD within the support area of its ascending channel, with a recent breakout above the minor downtrend. This breakout suggests a resumption of the bullish momentum.
Price Prediction:
Considering the present market conditions, it is anticipated that GBP/USD will experience a rapid ascent, potentially reaching the level of 1.27779. This projection is based on the ongoing upward movement and the recent breakout from the downward mini-trend.
Optimal Entry Strategy:
For traders seeking the best entry point, a prudent approach involves waiting for a confirmed uptrend, followed by a retest of Support and Resistance (SNR) levels. This strategy adds an extra layer of confirmation before initiating a buy position, aligning with a disciplined and risk-conscious trading approach.