GBP/USD Continues to Navigate DownAnd it remains bearish, targeting $1.23.
Short-Term Price Action Sub $1.24
Despite efforts to shape support from the $1.24 region, recent hours witnessed price elbow beneath the psychological level. This followed a near-pip-perfect H1 AB=CD harmonic bearish formation taking form at $1.2467 (denoted by a 100% projection ratio), a base that was bolstered by a H1 trendline support-turned-resistance taken from the low $1.2392. Downside support can be seen nearby at $1.2356, with a break paving the way for follow-through selling towards $1.23.
GBP/USD is losing ground as traders react to inflation reports from UK. Inflation Rate declined from 10.1% in March to 8.7% in April, compared to analyst consensus of 8.2%. Core Inflation Rate increased from 6.2% to 6.8%, so the BoE will have to raise rates at the next meeting to fight inflation.
In case GBP/USD settles below the support at 1.2345, it will move towards the next support level at 1.2300. A successful test of this level will push GBP/USD towards the support at 1.2275.
R1:1.2370 – R2:1.2410 – R3:1.2440
S1:1.2345 – S2:1.2300 – S3:1.2275
View from Higher Timeframes Show Scope for Further Downside
The bigger picture continues to put forth a bearish bias. The weekly timeframe recently tested a major long-term trendline resistance drawn from the high of $1.4250, placing weekly support at $1.1851 in view as a potential long-term support target.
Aiding the weekly timeframe’s resistance, an additional layer of resistance made its way into the frame at $1.2638 on the daily chart in mid-May. This has positioned daily support at $1.2272 on the radar and pulled the Relative Strength Index (RSI) south of the 50.00 centreline towards indicator support at 37.78.
In the United Kingdom, the most important categories in the consumer price index are Transport (16 percent of the total weight) and Recreation and Culture (15 percent). Housing, Water, Electricity, Gas and Other Fuels accounts for 13 percent; Restaurants and Hotels for 12 percent and Food and Non-alcoholic Beverages for 10 percent. The index also includes: Miscellaneous Goods and Services (9 percent); Clothing and Footwear (7 percent); Furniture, Household Equipment and Maintenance (6 percent). Alcoholic Beverages and Tobacco; Health, Communication and Education account for remaining 11 percent of total weight.
The consumer price inflation in the UK fell to 8.7% year-on-year in April 2023, the lowest since March 2022, due to a sharp slowdown in electricity and gas prices. Still, the inflation rate exceeded market expectations of 8.2% and remained well above the Bank of England's target of 2.0%. Housing & utilities inflation dropped to 12.3% from 26.1% in March, with the cost for electricity, gas & other fuels increasing 24.3%, compared with 85.6% the month before. Prices have also advanced at a slower pace for restaurants & hotels (10.2% vs 11.3%) and furniture, household equipment & maintenance (7.5% vs 8.0%). Meanwhile, food & non-alcoholic beverages inflation remained close to March's record high (19.0% vs 19.1%), while cost accelerated for transport (1.5% vs 0.8%), recreation & culture (6.3% vs 4.6%) and miscellaneous goods & services (6.8% vs 6.7%). The core rate, which excludes food and energy, jumped to 6.8%, the highest since March 1992 and above well forecasts of 6.2%.
Given the scope to post additional underperformance, GBP/USD is likely to cross beneath H1 support from $1.2356 and target $1.23, followed by daily support mentioned above at $1.2272. A H1 close lower, therefore, could ignite breakout selling.
Gbpusdsetup
GBP/USD bulls eye a retest of 1.2800GBP/USD remains in a strong uptrend on the daily chart, although prices began retracing on June 16th. We're now looking for momentum to revert to its bullish trend.
Whilst prices failed to hold above May high, they're now back above them having formed a 3-day bullish reversal pattern (Morning Star). A small bearish inside day formed due to the 3-day weekend in the US, and prices remain beneath a retracement line. But bulls could seek evidence of a swing low around support zones such as 1.2664/67 (weekly pivot point/May high) or the 1.2575 (volume node and lower 1-week implied volatility band).
We're targeting the 1.800/50 area near cycle highs and the upper implied volatility band.
GBPUSD Top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
GBPUSD Long Term Trading IdeaHello Traders
In This Chart GBPUSD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today GBPUSD analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ GBPUSD market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on GBPUSD Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts.
GBPUSD Top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
FOMC Minutes in the Charts: EUR/USD & GBP/USDDuring their June meeting, minutes released on Wednesday indicated that almost all Federal Reserve officials expect further tightening in the future. Despite the majority's belief in upcoming rate hikes, policymakers chose not to increase rates due to concerns about over-tightening. They acknowledged the delayed impact of previous policies and other factors, which led them to skip the June meeting after implementing ten consecutive rate increases.
Out of the 18 participants, all but two anticipated at least one rate hike to be appropriate within this year, while twelve members expected two or more hikes.
The prevailing consensus that the US central bank will raise borrowing costs by 25 basis points at the end of the July policy meeting has lent some strength to the US Dollar and exerted downward pressure on the GBP/USD and EUR/USD. The DXY (US Dollar Index) surged above 103.30, reaching its highest level of the week.
EUR/USD further declined to the 1.0850 region. The outlook for the Euro has turned negative as the EUR/USD pair dropped below the 20-day simple moving average (SMA).
If the GBP/USD pair falls below 1.2700 and confirms that level as resistance, the next potential bearish targets could be 1.2680, 1.2658, 1.2647 according to fib retracement levels and previously pivot points.
GBPUSD - SHORT; SELL it right here!What better of a (short) entry than just as this starts working it's way through that massive Shark on the Weekly ?! ...
SHORT
Not to mention that up to this point the Pound is the manifestation of everything that could be (and has been) thrown at it (monetarily speaking), including the kitchen sink. E.g., There just isn't much left in the BoE's arsenal that could prop this up any farther vs. the USD, endowing this Short Entry with an excellent Risk/Reward ratio!
GBPUSD Long Term Trading IdeaHello Traders
In This Chart GBPUSD DAILY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today GBPUSD analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (GBPUSD market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on GBPUSD Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
GBPUSD Trade SETUP H4GBP/USD closed at the 1.2716 level. Based on my limited knowledge, the support area for GBP/USD is at 1.2700. If it breaks, the market may move towards the next support area at 1.2600. Similarly, the resistance area for GBP/USD is at the 1.2775 level. If it breaks, GBP/USD may reach 1.2850. Keep an eye on these levels. If a candle rejects the resistance area, you can sell and set the take profit at the support level. A stop loss of 35 pips is recommended. I hope your trades turn out to be profitable.
Disclaimer: The information provided is for educational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Trading involves risks, and decisions should be made based on personal judgment and analysis.
GBPUSD Buy Sell SetupGBPUSD is currently trading at 1.2730, and its support is at 1.2700. According To My Little Knowledge,If the H4 candle touches the support area and closes above it, you can consider buying for a target of 1.2775, which is its resistance area. However, if the support area is broken, you can sell on its retest and take profit around the 1.2600 support area.
Disclaimer: The information provided is for general informational purposes only and should not be considered as professional advice. Use at your own risk.
Resistance at 1.267: Key Level to Watch After BoE Rate Decision The UK continues to struggle with high inflation, as demonstrated once again this morning when headline inflation exceeded expectations at 8.7%, surpassing the projected 8.4%. Core inflation also outperformed, registering a 7.1% figure compared to the expected 6.8%. This divergence emphasizes the contrast between the UK and its counterparts in the US and Europe.
Tomorrow, the Bank of England is set to announce its interest rate decision, and there are expectations of further tightening from the central bank. Given the elevated level of inflation, the bank may have little choice but to maintain a hawkish stance.
Last week, the GBPUSD initially tested the support level at the previous resistance of 1.250. However, that brief decline was followed by four consecutive days of significant gains, ultimately reaching a new high for the year.
There was a temporary resistance encountered at a critical level of 1.267. Following tomorrow's rate decision, this level could potentially act as a support area, particularly considering the slight pullback observed in recent days and the elevated RSI (Relative Strength Index).
On the other side of the trade, we have Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's comments on the central bank's ongoing battle against inflation falling short of the market's more hawkish expectations.
During his testimony to lawmakers, Powell acknowledged that inflation remains significantly above the Fed's target and indicated that raising rates could still be a sensible course of action, albeit at a more moderate pace. Traders particularly took note of the term "moderate," which Powell used to qualify the potential rate increases. We still have one more day of testimony from Powell.
Is GBP/USD uptrend slowing down? + 414 Pips sell potentialDear traders, it seems like GBP/USD uptrend might finally be slowing down.
Post FOMC, price might have done a false break of the upper trend line .
So, if that's the case, we can expect GBP/USD to decline in the next few days .
Potential targets for the sellers are 1.27, 1.2580 and 1.2390 eventually.