GBP/USD - H1- Bearish Flag (07.07.2025)The GBP/USD Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Bearish Flag Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours.
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 1.3520
2nd Support – 1.3460
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Gbpusdshort
GBP/USD - Bearish Channel (07.07.2025)The GBP/USD Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Bearish Channel Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours.
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 1.3545
2nd Support – 1.3485
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GBP/USD Pulls Back After Rejection – Buyers Eye Lower LevelsHi everyone,
GBP/USD failed to break above the 1.37500 level and saw a rejection from that resistance, dropping further below the 1.36850 support. Since then, price has consolidated and ranged beneath this level.
Looking ahead, if price remains within this range, we anticipate a move lower to find buying interest between the 1.35300 and 1.34600 levels, which could set the stage for another push higher.
As previously noted, a decisive break above 1.37500 would renew our expectation for further upside, with the next key target around 1.38400. We'll be monitoring price action closely to see how it unfolds.
We’ll continue to provide updates on the projected path for GBP/USD as price approaches this target.
The longer-term outlook remains bullish, and we expect the rally to continue extending further from the 1.20991 January low towards 1.40000 and 1.417000.
We’ll be keeping you updated throughout the week with how we’re managing our active ideas. Thanks again for all the likes/boosts, comments and follows — we appreciate the support!
All the best for the week ahead. Trade safe.
BluetonaFX
Fundamental Market Analysis for July 7, 2025 GBPUSDEvents to pay atttenyion to today:
09:00 EET. GBP - Change in retail sales
GBPUSD:
The GBP/USD pair is starting the new week on a subdued note, fluctuating within a narrow range around the 1.3600 mark during the Asian session amid mixed fundamental signals.
The British pound (GBP) received some support last week after Prime Minister Keir Starmer said that Chancellor Rachel Reeves would remain in her post for the foreseeable future. However, the growing likelihood of a rate cut by the Bank of England (BoE) as early as August is having a negative impact on the GBP/USD pair. In fact, BoE Governor Andrew Bailey said that interest rates are moving downwards, while Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) member Alan Taylor called for faster rate cuts amid the risk of a hard landing for the British economy.
However, the decline in the GBP/USD pair is still being held back by the underlying bearish sentiment towards the US dollar (USD). Investors remain concerned that US President Donald Trump's sweeping bill to cut taxes and increase spending will lead to an explosion in the federal deficit and exacerbate the US's long-term debt problems. This, along with growing expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will resume its cycle of rate cuts in the near future, is keeping the US dollar close to its February 2021 low.
Investors will therefore be closely studying the FOMC meeting minutes, which will be published on Wednesday, for clues about the Fed's rate cut path, which will stimulate demand for the US dollar and give a significant boost to the GBP/USD pair.
Trading recommendation: SELL 1.3620, SL 1.3640, TP 1.3520
GBP/USD Potential Shorts from 1.37000This week, my analysis for GBP/USD focuses on the continuation of the bearish order flow. I currently have a clean 16-hour supply zone that remains unmitigated, where we may see a potential bearish reaction in alignment with the prevailing downtrend. If price breaks through this zone, I will shift focus to an extreme 2-hour supply zone higher up.
There are several imbalances and pools of liquidity resting below that serve as potential downside targets. Additionally, I’m noticing the formation of engineered liquidity beneath current price, which further supports the bearish outlook.
Confluences for GBP/USD Sells:
The U.S. Dollar has reacted from a strong demand zone, suggesting we could see continued bullish pressure on the dollar, which may weigh on GBP/USD.
GBP/USD has shown a clear change of character to the downside, confirming bearish market structure—this is a pro-trend trade setup.
We have both a clean 16-hour and an extreme 2-hour supply zone, offering high-probability entry points for potential shorts.
Multiple liquidity targets below, including Asia session lows and unfilled imbalances, align well with the bearish narrative.
P.S. My next potential long opportunity lies at the 6-hour demand zone near 1.34400. From there, I’ll be watching for price to slow down, accumulate orders, and potentially shift structure to the upside.
Wishing everyone a successful and profitable trading week!
GBP/USD Made A Double Top Pattern , Short After Breakout ? Here is my opinion on GBP/USD 4H Chart , we have a reversal pattern ( Double Top ) but until now we have not a closure below neckline ,so i`m waiting for 4H Closure below it to confirm the pattern and hen we can sell it , if we have not a closure below then this idea will not be valid .
GBPUSD's strong uptrend continuesGBPUSD is in a strong uptrend, Price has just broken the resistance zone of 1.37500.
All the bullish momentum is heading towards the resistance zone of 1.388.
If there is a close of the h4 candle below the resistance zone of 1.375, there will likely be a Pullback to 1.363 to find more buying momentum towards the target at the resistance zone of 1.388
📈 Key Levels
Support: 1.375-1.363
Resistance: 1.388
📊 Recommended Trade Setups
BUY GBPUSD 1.375-1.373 Stoploss 1.37000
BUY GBPUSD 1.363-1.361 Stoploss 1.35800
SELL GBPUSD 1.388-1.390 Stoploss 1.39300
$GU (GBPUSD) 1H AnalysisPrice swept internal liquidity before dropping into a clear 1H Fair Value Gap (FVG), which acted as a draw on liquidity. Following the mitigation, GBPUSD is now retracing toward a high-probability supply zone.
Expect potential rejection as price rebalances inefficiency and seeks sell-side liquidity.
Watch for bearish confirmation inside the supply zone — ideal for intraday shorts if the structure shifts.
Pullbacks = short opportunities.
GBPUSD July Playbook: Bearish Setup at Channel High GBPUSD just printed a CC SELL signal right at the top of its rising channel — setting the stage for a potential July pullback.
📌 Breakdown using Vinnie’s Trading Cheat Code System:
✅ RSI Overbought zone triggered
✅ CC Sell + Confirm Sell combo at channel resistance (~1.38)
✅ Price stretched far above the mean with no higher timeframe support nearby
✅ MACD histogram rolling over — momentum shift in play
🎯 Targets:
1.3500 (channel median / recent base)
1.3280 (deeper support / previous Confirm Buy area)
This looks like a textbook trap-the-buyers setup. Patience on the entry — I’ll be stalking rallies to sell into.
🧠 Tools Used:
Vinnie’s Confirm Alerts
CC Trend Indicator
RSI OB/OS Scanner
MACD HPS Screener
Following this closely — could be one of the cleanest short opportunities of the month.
GBPUSD: The Big Short Opportunity?(Breakout Confirmation Needed)🚨 GBP/USD BANK HEIST ALERT: The Bearish Robbery Plan (Swing/Day Trade) 🚨
🔥 Steal Pips Like a Pro – Thief Trading Strategy Inside! 🔥
🌟 GREETINGS, MARKET PIRATES! 🌟
🤑 To all the Money Makers, Risk Takers & Midnight Breakers!
Based on our 🔥Thief Trading Style🔥 (a deadly mix of technical + fundamental + intermarket analysis), we’re plotting a massive bearish heist on GBP/USD ("The Cable").
This is not financial advice—just a strategic robbery plan for those who dare to trade smart.
📉 THE HEIST STRATEGY (SHORT ENTRY FOCUS)
🎯 Target Zone: 1.32300 (or escape earlier if the market turns)
⚡ High-Risk, High-Reward Play: Oversold market, consolidation, trend reversal setup.
💣 Trap Level: Where bullish traders get wrecked.
🔑 ENTRY RULES:
"The Heist is ON!" – Wait for breakout confirmation at 1.33800 before striking.
Sell Stop Orders below breakout MA OR Sell Limit Orders (15-30 min timeframe).
Retest Entry? Ideal if price retraces to recent low/high before dropping.
📌 ALERT SETUP: Don’t miss the breakout—set a chart alert!
🛑 STOP LOSS (Risk Management):
Thief SL at 1.34800 (Swing/Day Trade basis – 3H period).
🚨 Pro Tip: "Yo, rebels! You can place SL wherever you want… but if you ignore this level, don’t cry later. Your risk, your rules."
🎯 PROFIT TARGET:
First Take-Profit: 1.32300 (or bail earlier if momentum fades).
Scalpers: Ride the short side only. Use trailing SL to lock profits.
📰 FUNDAMENTAL BACKUP (Why This Heist Works)
Before executing, check:
✅ COT Report (Are big players dumping GBP?)
✅ Macro News (UK vs. USD economic strength)
✅ Intermarket Analysis (DXY, Bonds, Equities correlation)
✅ Sentiment & Seasonality (Is the crowd too bullish?)
⚠️ WARNING: NEWS & VOLATILITY ALERTS
Avoid new trades during high-impact news (unless you love gambling).
Use trailing stops to protect profits if the market flips.
💥 BOOST THIS HEIST! 💥
🚀 Like & Share to strengthen our Thief Trading Squad!
💸 More heists = More profits. Stay tuned for the next robbery plan!
🤑 See you on the profitable side, bandits! 🏴☠️
🔴 DISCLAIMER: This is entertainment, not financial advice. Trade at your own risk.
#Forex #GBPUSD #TradingStrategy #ThiefTrading #BankHeist #SwingTrading #DayTrading
💬 COMMENT BELOW: Are you joining the heist or waiting for a better setup? 🚨👇
GBP/USD Short Idea Analysis : GBP/USD is approaching a critical resistance zone between 1.37850 and 1.38800 on the daily timeframe, presenting a potential short opportunity based on technical and fundamental factors.
Technical Analysis:
Price Action: The 1.37850–1.38800 zone aligns with prior highs and a strong resistance area, likely to trigger rejection or a bearish reversal pattern (e.g., double top or bearish engulfing).
Support/Target: Initial support at 1.3700, with a deeper target at 1.3600 if bearish momentum builds.
Indicators: RSI is approaching overbought territory (near 70), signaling potential exhaustion. MACD shows slowing bullish momentum, supporting a short bias.
Fibonacci: The 1.37850–1.38800 zone coincides with the 76.4%–88.6% Fibonacci retracement of the prior downmove, reinforcing resistance.
Fundamental Context:
UK economic data (e.g., weaker retail sales or PMI) suggests GBP vulnerability. Meanwhile, USD strength is bolstered by hawkish Fed expectations and resilient US economic indicators.
Risks: A breakout above 1.3900 could invalidate the setup. Monitor BoE rhetoric and US data releases for sudden shifts.
Conclusion: The 1.37850–1.38800 resistance zone offers a high-probability short setup for GBP/USD, supported by technical resistance and USD-favorable fundamentals. Use strict risk management due to potential volatility.
GBPUSD 1H | Bearish Divergence GBPUSD has reached a critical technical zone where multiple confluences are signaling a downside correction:
✅ Bearish Divergence spotted on RSI at the top, indicating momentum exhaustion.
✅ Price got rejected from a strong Daily Supply Zone, showing clear institutional selling pressure.
✅ On the LTF (Lower Timeframe), structure has shifted — new Lower Highs (LH) and Lower Lows (LL) are now printing, confirming a short-term bearish trend change.
✅ Price also broke the LTF trendline and is retesting, adding further bearish confluence.
📊 Bias:
Expecting a corrective move to the downside with targets around previous liquidity zones:
⚠️ Market is still sensitive to USD fundamentals this week, so watch key news events for volatility spikes.
🔔 Wait for proper confirmations and manage risk accordingly.
How I’m Planning My Next GBPUSD Trade Setup📉 GBPUSD Analysis Update
Currently keeping a close eye on GBPUSD 👀. On both the Daily and 4H charts, we’ve seen a strong bullish rally, driving price into a premium zone and tapping into key buy-side liquidity resting above previous highs 🔼💧.
The pair now appears overextended and is trading into a significant resistance level 🧱. Given this context, I’m anticipating a potential retracement. If we see a pullback followed by a clean bullish break in market structure, that’s when I’ll be looking to enter a long position 🎯📈.
⚠️ As always, this is not financial advice — just sharing my personal view of the markets.
Technical + Fundamental Alignment: GBPUSD Short in PlayGBPUSD ( FX:GBPUSD ) is moving near the Resistance zone($1.354-$1,350) and has managed to break the Support line .
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , it seems that GBPUSD has completed the Zigzag Correction(ABC/5-3-5) , we can expect the next five bearish waves .
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Fundamental Analysis
1-Weak UK Economic Data:
Recent reports including Retail Sales, Industrial Output, and PMIs have come in below expectations.
Labour market is softening, and wage growth is decelerating.
2-Dovish Expectations for BoE:
With inflation cooling down, the Bank of England is expected to hold or even cut rates soon, reducing support for the pound.
3-Stronger USD Outlook
Despite some weaker U.S. data, the Fed maintains a hawkish stance. U.S. retail sales and inflation still support the dollar overall.
4-UK Political Risk
Upcoming UK elections on July 4 are adding uncertainty and downside risk to GBP.
--------------------------------------------------------
I expect GBPUSD to attack at least the Support lines based on the above explanation.
Targets: 1.3
1)1.3353 USD =>Risk-To-Reward: 1.51
2)1.3315 USD =>Risk-To-Reward: 2.00
Note: Stop Loss(SL): 1.3549 USD
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
British Pound / U.S Dollar Analyze (GBPUSD), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
GBPUSD– Rejection at Resistance: Technical and Macro PullbackGBPUSD has climbed back into a strong multi-week resistance zone just beneath 1.3670. While the recent rally was sharp, it now confronts both structural resistance and weakening UK fundamentals. The British economy is losing steam—GDP contracted more than expected, manufacturing output is weak, and the latest CBI survey paints a grim industrial outlook. Meanwhile, Fed officials continue to push back on early rate cut expectations, lending resilience to the USD. Technically, this aligns with a potential top forming near 1.3630–1.3670, offering a compelling risk-reward for sellers.
🔻 Bias: Bearish
• Favoring short setups from resistance, backed by weak UK data and a sticky Fed narrative.
🔑 Key Fundamentals
🇬🇧 UK:
May GDP: –0.3% m/m (worse than forecast)
CBI Industrial Trends: Output volumes and orders well below long-run average
Inflation slowing, but BoE hesitant amid stagnant growth – classic stagflation
🇺🇸 US:
Fed officials (Barkin, Collins, Cook) emphasize caution
Core services inflation still elevated
Fed rate cuts now expected in September, not July
⚠️ Risks to the Bearish View
Hawkish surprise from the BoE (if they hike or signal tightening)
U.S. Core PCE comes in soft, pressuring the USD
Sustained global risk-on rally pulling GBP higher via equities
📅 Important Events to Watch
June 25–26: Fed Chair Powell testimony to Congress
June 28: U.S. Core PCE inflation report
UK CPI revisions, retail sales, and BoE commentary
U.S. jobs and consumer confidence (early July)
📉 Technical Setup – Short from Key Supply Zone
Chart Structure:
Major confluence resistance at 1.3625–1.3665 (blue zone)
Multiple rejection wicks + ascending wedge structure
Bearish divergence building on momentum (not shown)
🎯 Trade Setup:
Entry Zone:
🔹 Sell between 1.3625 and 1.3665, ideally after a bearish engulfing/pin bar or 4H rejection
Take Profits:
TP1: 1.3535 – local support
TP2: 1.3465 – fib and horizontal confluence
TP3: 1.3390 – wedge breakdown target
Stop Loss / Invalidation:
🔸 SL above 1.3685**
A 4H/1D candle close above invalidates the setup and opens the door to new highs.
Risk-Reward:
RR to TP1: ~1.8
RR to TP3: 3.5+
🧭 Summary:
GBPUSD is technically stretched and facing key resistance. With UK macro data deteriorating and Fed members holding the line, this rally looks increasingly vulnerable. As long as 1.3685 holds, sellers may dominate with clear downside targets over the next 1–2 weeks.
GBPUSD - Technical Outlook (Long + Short Term)In this article, I’ll share my current outlook on GBPUSD, highlighting both higher time frame (HTF) and intraday considerations.
Higher Time Frame Analysis
The overall trend remains bearish. Price is still trading within the previous structural leg, with the key level at 1.42500. Unless we see a decisive break above this level, my bias will remain bearish for this pair.
Recently, we’ve witnessed what looks like institutional manipulation to the upside, followed by a sharp bearish reaction from the weekly supply zone. This price action aligns with a classic Wyckoff distribution cycle, which often signals that the prevailing trend is likely to continue.
Intraday Advice
For short-term traders, it’s best to wait for lower time frame (LTF) pullbacks and signs of manipulation before considering short positions. If price continues to push lower, there should be opportunities to ride the trend down over the coming weeks, with multiple entry points along the way.
Trading Considerations
If this analysis plays out, there’s potential to maximize gains through both swing and intraday trades. However, patience and risk management are key. Losses are inevitable - what matters is managing risk and staying disciplined.
Key Points to Remember:
Wait for clear pullbacks before entering trades.
Stick to your risk management plan.
Stay patient and let the market come to you.
This is an exciting time to trade FX:GBPUSD , but always assess if the risk is worth the reward before entering any position.
Happy hunting predators...
Apex out!
GBP/USD Breakout Done , Best Place To Get 150 Pips Clear !Here is my opinion on GBP/USD On 2H T.F , We have a very good breakout now clear not as the old one and we have a very good bearish price action , so i think it will be a good entry if the price go back to retest my res with the news today and give us a good touch and go to downside , and also we might see a random move and fake wicks to take all stop losses before going down or even back to upside so be careful today and use a good risk , i`m waiting the price to back to retest the broken support and new res and then i will enter a sell trade with a very small lot size .
GBPUSD short re-entryGBPUSD – I Got Clipped. Now I’m Coming Back With Intent.
📅 Monday | June 23, 2025
Yes — I got stopped out. That’s execution, not failure.
Clean sweep of Asia’s high. Textbook.
Liquidity taken. Weak hands shaken. Now the real move can begin.
🔁 This 1H close is my greenlight for re-entry.
I don’t hesitate when the market gives me the same setup twice —
It’s still:
✅ Downtrend dominant
✅ Upthrust confirmed
✅ Sellers stepping back in
✅ Price under key rejection zone
If this bar closes bearish, I’m short again — this time with full intent.
📉 Target: 3r+ and beyond
🔥 London