Gbpusdshort
GBPUSD, a high probability idea to sell from trendlinesIdea No : 20
16 out of last 19 ideas were successful and 3 still running, let's talk about 20th
this idea is on our radar for the past few days now and we were waiting for the touch of either one of the red resistive trendlines and it did the touch after NFP last week
therefore this is a high probability idea and we expect selling pressure soon and it looks prety much inevitable now
by the way, our last idea on this pair was spot on, check the related idea
let's see...
GBPUSD : Sell and Long opportunities for upcoming week !!!Hello traders, hope you doing great.
for upcoming week, we'll have two option based on specified levels.
The first one is waiting for blue zone and take long, and the second one is waiting for red zone and wait for confirmation of sell.
so we have to wait and see what will happen.
and finally tell me what do you think? leave your comment below .
If this post was helpful to you, please like and share with your friends.
Thanks.
GBP FACES CHALLENGES IN THE 3RD QUARTERGBP FACES CHALLENGES IN THE 3RD QUARTER
Pressure is mounting at the GBP withinside the 1/3 area as hobby price cuts are sooner or later considered, whilst the United Kingdom trendy election reasons a bout of volatility and weak point withinside the GBP, with the Conservative Party in power. recorded the bottom consequences in decades. The Labor Party gained a landslide victory withinside the July four election. With the brand new government`s spending plans nevertheless unclear, buyers might also additionally live farfar from GBP and GBP-denominated assets, till while the monetary state of affairs is extra stable.
UK INFLATION: TARGET ACHIEVED, BUT DIFFICULTIES STILL REMAIN
The UK reached a key monetary milestone in May while inflation information hit the BoE's goal. For the primary time in almost 3 years, UK headline inflation fell to 2%, in step with the BoE's long-time period goal and staining a outstanding turning factor withinside the nation's combat in opposition to growing rate pressures .
Core inflation - which includes meals and energy - additionally fell from 3.9% to 3.5%, whilst offerings inflation fell from 5.9% to 5.7%, proper on target however nevertheless worryingly excessive for the BoE.
GBP/USD Sell to Buy idea from 1.28400 down to 1.27600While GU buys are more favourable overall, as day traders, we will focus on nearby opportunities. This week, sells look promising at the 2-hour supply zone, where I expect a bearish reaction. This is a small move intended to trigger a retracement back down towards the 18-hour demand zone.
Once the 18-hour demand zone is mitigated, I will look to take buys. If price falls through this demand zone, the more ideal zones are the 9-hour or 8-hour demand. Overall, I am bullish as price is breaking structure to the upside, but a retracement is expected.
Confluences for GU Sells to Buys:
Price is very near a good 2-hour supply zone at the top of a structural point.
Imbalances below to target, as well as liquidity that needs to be taken.
Price has been very bullish and needs some correction.
Price is currently in a bullish trend, so sells to buys are favourable.
DXY is looking quite bearish as of now.
P.S. If price continues going up and breaks the 2-hour supply and structure once again, I will focus heavily on long opportunities.
GBPUSD | Perspective for the new week | Follow-upIn this video, we examine the recent performance of the GBP/USD, which closed Friday at a fresh five-week low, marking its third consecutive week of decline. The Bank of England's (BoE) recent interest rate decision did little to bolster confidence in the British pound. Meanwhile, a late-week surge in the US Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) dampened risk appetite, giving the US Dollar a lift heading into the weekend.
On Thursday, the pound and UK bond yields fell after the BoE left interest rates unchanged at 5.25%. Some policymakers noted that their decision not to cut rates was "finely balanced". Additionally, British inflation data revealed a drop to 2% in May, hitting the BoE's target for the first time since 2021. However, concerns remain over underlying price pressures, particularly in the services sector.
With positive US economic data reducing the likelihood of an early rate cut from the Federal Reserve (Fed), market sentiment shifted towards the safe-haven Greenback on Friday.
Looking ahead, UK economic data remains sparse heading into next week, leaving Sterling traders focused on next Friday’s Gross Domestic Product (GDP) release. In the US, economic data releases are also limited to mid-tier reports early next week, with the US GDP update scheduled for next Thursday.
GBPUSD Technical Analysis:
Will the pound maintain selling pressure below $1.26750? Watch this video for key trades this week. Join the discussion for updates on GBP/USD trading. Stay tuned for more content. Happy trading!
Disclaimer Notice:
Trading in the foreign exchange market and other instruments carries high risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content provided here is for educational purposes only. Evaluate your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
GBPUSD | Big Short coming
We're anticipating a big short coming in GBPUSD.
I added 2 possible main swing trades. Each one have a backup entry in case the main one failed to move in our direction.
#1st Main trade will be as below:
- Entry Price: 1.28159
- Take Profit: 1.27296
- Stop Loss: 1.28260
- R2R: 1:8.5
#Backup for 1st Main Trade in case it hit SL:
- Entry Price: 1.28260
- Take Profit: 1.27296
- Stop Loss: 1.28360
- R2R: 1:9.6
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#2nd Main trade will be as below:
- Entry Price: 1.28525
- Take Profit: 1.27293
- Stop Loss: 1.28675
- R2R: 1:8.2
#Backup for 2nd Main Trade in case it hit SL:
- Entry Price: 1.28675
- Take Profit: 1.27296
- Stop Loss: 1.28896
- R2R: 1:6.3
Sell GBP/USD Rising Wedge BreakoutThe GBP/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined Wedge pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Hours.
Key Points:
Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price of 1.2755, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 1.2680
2nd Support – 1.2637
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above 1.2785. This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back upwards.
Thank you.
GBP/USD Advances Towards 1.2800 Amid Weak US Economic DataOn Thursday, the GBP/USD pair advanced towards the 1.2800 mark. Renewed selling pressure on the US Dollar (USD) propelled GBP/USD higher as markets reacted to disappointing macroeconomic data releases.
The ADP's monthly report indicated that payrolls in the private sector increased by 150,000 in June, falling short of the market expectation of 160,000. Additionally, the Department of Labor reported 238,000 first-time applications for unemployment benefits for the week ending June 29, up from 233,000 in the previous week.
Moreover, the ISM Services PMI fell to 48.8 in June from 53.8 in May, signaling a contraction in the service sector's business activity. The survey details revealed that the Employment Index and the Prices Paid Index declined to 46.1 and 56.3, respectively.
From a technical perspective, we anticipate a potential reversal in the supply area where we have set a pending order. Our seasonality analysis also suggests that GBP/USD typically begins a bearish trend during this period of the year, lasting until October. Therefore, we are looking for a bearish setup.
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Technical Analysis for GBP/USD on 8-Hour Time FrameFUNDAMENTAL REASONS
The UK economy is experiencing sluggish growth, with recent GDP data indicating minimal expansion due to Brexit-related uncertainties and global economic headwinds.
UK inflation is at 3.1%, above the Bank of England's (BoE) target of 2%, putting pressure on consumer spending.
The unemployment rate is 4.0%, with stable employment but slow wage growth failing to keep up with inflation.
The US economy remains robust, with Q1 GDP growth at 2.5%, supported by strong consumer spending and business investment.
US inflation is at 3.8%, above the Federal Reserve’s 2% target, prompting aggressive monetary tightening.
The unemployment rate is low at 3.6%, indicating a tight labor market and strong job creation.
Interest Rates: The BoE has raised interest rates to 4.5% to combat high inflation. Further hikes may be on the horizon if inflation persists.
Monetary Policy: The BoE has ended QE but continues reinvesting in maturing assets.
Interest Rates: The Fed has increased rates to 5.25% to address inflation, with more hikes possible based on economic data.
Monetary Tightening: The Fed is reducing its balance sheet through quantitative tightening (QT), affecting liquidity.
Brexit: Ongoing Brexit adjustments and trade negotiations continue to create economic uncertainties for the UK.
US-China Relations: Tensions between the US and China influence global trade and economic stability, impacting both the UK and US.
Russia-Ukraine Conflict: The conflict has led to higher energy prices, disproportionately affecting the UK’s economy due to its energy import dependency.
Technical Analysis
Current Price Action
Current Price: 1.2700 (as of the latest 4-hour close)
Previous Close: 1.2720
Range: 1.2680 - 1.2730
Trend Analysis
Short-Term Trend: Downtrend
Medium-Term Trend: Sideways/Range-bound
Long-Term Trend: Uptrend (based on daily time frame analysis)
Moving Averages
20-Period EMA: 1.2710 (price slightly below, indicating short-term weakness)
50-Period SMA: 1.2735 (price below, confirming short-term downtrend)
200-Period SMA: 1.2600 (price above, indicating long-term strength)
Support and Resistance Levels
Immediate Support: 1.2680 (recent swing low)
Key Support: 1.2600 (200-period SMA and psychological level)
Immediate Resistance: 1.2730 (recent swing high and 50-period SMA)
Key Resistance: 1.2800 (psychological level and previous resistance zone)
Technical Indicators
Relative Strength Index (RSI): 45 (neutral, but close to oversold territory)
MACD: Bearish crossover, histogram below zero (indicating bearish momentum)
Stochastic Oscillator: Near oversold zone, potential for bullish reversal if it crosses upwards
Volume Analysis
Volume Trend: Decreasing volume on recent declines, suggesting weakening selling pressure
Volume Spikes: No significant volume spikes, indicating lack of strong conviction in either direction
Fibonacci Retracement Levels
Recent High: 1.2810
Recent Low: 1.2600
Key Levels:
23.6% Retracement: 1.2665
38.2% Retracement: 1.2695
50% Retracement: 1.2705 (current price near this level)
61.8% Retracement: 1.2720
Conclusion
Bearish Bias: Given the price below key moving averages, bearish MACD, and potential head and shoulders pattern.
Support and Resistance Play: Watch for a break below 1.2680 for a potential move towards 1.2600. Alternatively, a break above 1.2730 could signal a retest of 1.2800.
Risk Management: Use stop-loss orders below 1.2680 if long and above 1.2730 if short to manage risk.
GBPUSD 1h time frameThis analysis is a combination of price action rtm and harmonic and fibo patterns... In my opinion, the dollar index has a price chat that can increase the index and cause the pound to fall...
Price can drop to 1.2579 on the fibo retracement ( 0.50 fibo )
After that, it can move up to the area of 1.2649 and drop and do 100 pips from there.
stop loss need for any position
good luck
GBPUSD, Ready for sell IF ....Hello traders, hope you doing great.
for upcoming days, I think we'll probably see a downtrend in GBPUSD to specified Level IF the price stabilizes below 1.2734 . so we have to wait and see what will happen.
and finally tell me what do you think? UP or DOWN? leave your comment below .
if this post was helpful to you, please like and share with your friends.
Thanks.
GBPUSD analysis week 28GBP/USD drops to new multi-week lows below 1.2650
GBP/USD remains under bearish pressure and trades at its lowest since mid-May below 1.2650. Stronger-than-expected Manufacturing and Services PMI data from the US helped the USD maintain its position and sent the pair lower.
The Bank of England (BoE) announced on Thursday that it is not changing its monetary policy settings. “The June decision is reasonably balanced as higher-than-expected services inflation reflects factors that will not push up medium-term inflation,” the BoE said. The BoE's upbeat tone on the inflation outlook has seen the Pound weaken against its major rivals.
GBP/USD fell below the lower bound of the ascending regression channel and the Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator on the 4-day chart fell below 40, reflecting a bearish bias in the short-term outlook.
After breaking the important support level of 1,266, the GBPUSD pair may retreat to the 1,259 area before encountering recovery support. The main support level of the pair is at the 1,252 area. If GBP/USD drops below 1.259 and starts to use it as resistance, an extended slide towards 1.252 could be seen
Support: 1,259-1,252
Resistance: 1,266-1,272
Trading signals
SELL GBPUSD zone 1.272-1.274 SL 1.276
BUY GBPUSD zone 1.252-1.250 SL 1.248
Sell GBP/USD Channel BreakoutThe GBP/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined Channel pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Hours.
Key Points:
Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price of 1.2675, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 1.2635
2nd Support – 1.2610
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above 1.2703. This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back upwards.
Thank you.
GBPUSD: The British Pound has had a sharp declineGBPUSD: The British Pound had a strong slide yesterday, penetrating the support area around the 1.2630 threshold, showing the prospect of a deeper decline for this pair. In today's session, under pressure from the USD, it is expected that GU will fall below a deeper threshold around the support area of 1.2520. It is recommended to sell with GU around the current price range
GBP/USD Technical AnalysisGBP/USD Technical Analysis
Timeframe: 15-Minute Chart
Chart Overview:
The GBP/USD pair on the 15-minute timeframe demonstrates recent price action and incorporates several technical elements that suggest potential future movements.
Key Elements:
1. Descending Channel:
- The chart shows a descending channel, with the price moving within a well-defined range, respecting the upper trendline as resistance and the lower trendline as support.
- This pattern suggests a bearish trend with lower highs and lower lows.
2. Support and Resistance Levels:
- Resistance Levels: Immediate resistance levels are noted at 1.27209 and 1.27248, with another significant level at 1.26957.
- Support Levels: Key support levels include 1.26891, 1.26670, and further below at 1.26404. These levels have provided significant support in the past and could act as potential bounce points if the price declines.
3. Breakout Potential:
- The price appears to be consolidating just above the lower trendline of the descending channel. This consolidation phase could indicate potential for a breakout.
- If the price breaks above the immediate resistance level at 1.26957 with strong volume, it may signal a bullish reversal.
### Conclusion:
The GBP/USD pair is currently in a critical phase, moving within a descending channel. The price action around key support and resistance levels will be crucial in determining the next move. Volume analysis supports potential for a breakout, suggesting close monitoring for opportunities. Always manage your risk with appropriate stop losses and position sizing.
GBPUSD
The GBP/USD pair is showing a bearish trend on the 4-hour timeframe following a breakout from an ascending channel. The price has completed a 61% retracement, indicating it is in the 4th wave of the Elliott Wave pattern. Currently, the price is expected to move into the 5th wave, continuing the bearish momentum.