Gbpusdshort
💡 GBPUSD: Analysis May 22GBPUSD has its third consecutive day of increase, but is showing a slowdown as the price creates a Spinning Top candlestick pattern around the old peak. GBPUSD D1 needs a breakout from this peak if it wants to establish an uptrend again at D1.
After surpassing the old peak to reestablish an uptrend in H1, GBPUSD moved into a sideways phase in the trading range. Because the main trend is uptrend, GBPUSD H1 today continues the scenario of waiting to buy from the supports below.
Trend H1: GBPUSD increases.
Today's trading idea: Buy GBPUSD.
Sell GBPUSD CPI DataThe GBP/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential shorting opportunity due to a recent breakout from a wedge pattern.
Possible Short Trade :
Entry: Consider entering a short position (selling GBP/USD) below the broken support trendline of the wedge after confirmation. Ideally, this would be around 1.2720 or lower if the price continues to decline.
Target Levels:
1.2678: This target is achieved by measuring the height of the wedge (from its apex to the breakout point) and projecting it downwards from the breakout point.
1.2650: This is a further extension of the downside target, based on the height of the recent price movement before the breakout.
Stop-Loss: Once the entry point is confirmed, place a stop-loss order above the broken support line of the wedge, ideally with some buffer around 1.2730. This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back upwards.
Thank you.
GBP/USD Bearish Reversal OpportunityThe GBP/USD currency pair is currently forming a Bearish Harmonic Pattern (XABCD), with Point D identified as the Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ). The confluence of several technical factors at Point D suggests a high probability of a trend reversal from bullish to bearish.
Technical Confluences:
1. Harmonic Pattern Completion
Point D of the Bearish Harmonic Pattern has been identified, indicating a potential reversal area. Harmonic patterns are reliable indicators of market reversals, and the formation of the XABCD pattern is a key signal.
2. Key Resistance Area
The PRZ aligns with a significant resistance area. Historically, this level has acted as a strong barrier to upward price movements, further reinforcing the likelihood of a bearish reversal.
3. 4-Hour Trend Line
A critical 4-hour trend line intersects at the PRZ. This trend line has consistently provided resistance in recent trading sessions, adding another layer of confirmation to our bearish outlook.
4. Bearish RSI Divergence (1-Hour)
On the 1-hour chart, a bearish RSI divergence is observed. While the price has been making higher highs, the RSI indicator has been making lower highs, signaling weakening bullish momentum and potential reversal.
Trade Setup:
Entry Point: 1.2695
Stop Loss: 1.2720
Take Profit Levels
TP-1: 1.2670
TP-2: 1.2645
TP-3: 1.2620
Conclusion:
Given the confluence of the Bearish Harmonic Pattern completion, key resistance area, 4-hour trend line, and bearish RSI divergence, we anticipate a bearish reversal from Point D. Traders are advised to enter short positions at 1.2695, with a stop loss at 1.2720. The take-profit levels are strategically placed at 1.2670, 1.2645, and 1.2620 to optimize risk-reward ratios.
This analysis provides a well-rounded perspective on the current EUR/USD technical setup, highlighting key factors that support a bearish bias.
GBPUSD Sell Alert: Major Bearish Shift Ahead - Act Now!Currently, GBPUSD is signaling a potential reversal, indicating a shift towards bearish institutional order flow. We may see the price target sell-side objectives such as the H1 sell stops, with further movement towards the Daily Fair Value Gap (FVG) throughout the week.
For confirmation, I monitored the manipulation of the Asian session high during the London session. According to the Power of 3 strategy, London often sets the day's high when bearish momentum is expected, leading to a price distribution towards the downside.
In terms of take profits, you can distribute them as you see fit. I will be aiming for a 1:4 risk-to-reward ratio, but if your entry was a bit late, you might consider targeting the Daily Fair Value Gap (FVG).
To understand why I'm anticipating bearish momentum on GBPUSD, please watch this video for a comprehensive breakdown of this week's trading outlook.
Kind Regards,
The_Architect
GBP Faces Downdraft on Potential Double BoE Rate CutThe Pound is under pressure due to the Bank of England's (BoE) dovish policy stance. While a rate cut by August is expected, speculation swirls about consecutive reductions at upcoming meetings.
Double Cut Threat: Analysts warn back-to-back cuts could send GBP tumbling:
GBP/USD: Potential fall to 1.23
GBP/EUR: Potential drop to 1.15
Factors Supporting Double Cut:
UK inflation consistently undershooting BoE targets.
Dovish comments from BoE officials like Huw Pill and Megan Greene.
Incoming MPC member Clare Lombardelli potentially tipping the scales dovish.
Uncertainties and Counterarguments:
Resilient services sector inflation might delay rate cuts.
Strong inflation data on Wednesday could lead to holding rates in June.
Data Dependence and Volatility:
Upcoming data, especially Wednesday's inflation report, will dictate the timing and pace of rate cuts.
Weakening services inflation data: Increases chance of June cut followed by August cut, potentially weakening GBP.
Strong services inflation data: Might delay cuts until August, offering temporary GBP support.
Trade Idea: Short GBP/USD
Entry: 1.2375
Target Profits (T.P.): 1.2300, 1.2224, 1.2139, etc.
Stop Loss (S.L.): 1.3989
Implications for Investors and Businesses:
Monitor upcoming data and BoE pronouncements. These factors will significantly impact GBP's direction and necessitate adjustments in financial planning and international trade activities.
GBPUSD Sell PositionI'm still in sell position from yesterday.
The price grab liquidity from weekly candle, yesterday grab previous daily high and we have impulse from 09 May without any correction.
I think is time to see some deep correction with 1st TP at 1H zone around 1.26500
Longterm TP around 1.26000
What do you think?
GBPUSD I Technical analysis & forecast Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** GBPUSD Analysis - Listen to video!
We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met.
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GBPUSD - Potential long ✅Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on GBPUSD.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bullish market structure from 4H timeframe perspective, so I look for long position. My point of interest is if price makes a retracement and then rejects from trendline + liquidity zone.
Fundamental analysis: This week on Wednesday (GMT+3) we will see results of yearly CPI on GBP, news with high impact on currency.
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GBPUSD Analysis (20th May 2024)
GBPUSD Analysis
On the 1 hour Timeframe, price has tapped into the 1 hour FVG and rejected very strongly and created a 15 minute Change of Charcter to the upside.
Currently Price has retested the 15 minute bullish OB at the 1.26865 - 1.26924 level.
There are 2 scenarios i am looking at.
1) IF price breaks through the Bullish OB with a body candle close below. If this happens i will be looking for price to do a break and retest to continue selling.
2) Price rejectes of the OB and creates a 15 minute CHOCH at the 1.27094. If we see that i want to see a retest of that key level or a retest of a bullish FVG or OB to continue longs.
GBPUSD Trading Insights: Capitalizing on Bearish Opportunities!Dear Traders,
On Friday, the GBPUSD experienced significant volatility, leading to a notable upward movement. This action resulted in the formation of a Low Resistance Liquidity Zone, indicating minimal resistance for price movement through this area. Additionally, the price left relatively equal lows, suggesting the presence of H4 Sell Stops. We anticipate the price to target this area, which aligns with the Daily Fair Value Gap (FVG), drawing liquidity in that direction.
Currently, we are considering two scenarios for potential confirmation entries towards our objectives:
H1 Bearish Order Block : We are at an H1 bearish order block, and a price sell-off from this point is possible if we receive the appropriate confirmation signals.
H1 Buy Stops : Alternatively, the price may trigger the H1 Buy Stops. In this scenario, we expect smart money to take positions against these buy stops, creating selling opportunities. Confirmation entries will be considered if this occurs.
Please stay tuned for our upcoming weekly video outlook on GBPUSD, where we will provide further insights and detailed analysis.
Best regards,
Kind Regards,
The_Architect
GBP/USD Shorts from 1.27500 back downMy bias this week is to look for nearby sell opportunities as we approach a strong supply zone on the 21-hour chart. I will wait for a Wyckoff distribution to unfold, likely on Monday or Tuesday, to take sells back down to the next demand zone.
Since the equal highs have been swept, I expect the price to slow down and provide a clear entry model for shorts. Despite the current bullish trend, I plan to take these sells down to the next demand zone, where I will look for long positions to continue the trend.
Confluences for GU Sells are as follows:
- 21hr supply zone has caused a break of structure to the downside and has an imbalance
- The overall trend on the higher time frame is bearish and the dollar is also overall bullish.
- Price has swept equal high liquidity enough to now break back down.
- Bullish pressure is getting exhausted after the bullish rallies we saw last week.
P.S. Since the price hasn't yet tapped into the supply zone, I'm also watching for an Asian high sweep, which will further confirm my sell bias. Additionally, we're approaching the psychological level of 1.27500, so it will be interesting to see how the price reacts.
Have a great trading week!
GBPUSD is oversold. Now is the time to buy
Everyone must have seen yesterday’s analysis. Both GBPUSD and EURUSD are in line with my expected decline range of 500-1000. The US dollar also reached a high of 105.5. Oil is back at buying prices. Gold has also come to a profitable price.
At present, I simply observed the market. There is currently no better opportunity to earn the difference in gold or oil prices. On the other hand, there are some good deals in Forex. The U.S. dollar index remains near 105.5, which puts strong pressure on the U.S. dollar's upward trend. So when the US dollar pulls back, GNPUSD can add some buy orders. About 600 pips profit
Friends who like to trade foreign exchange can trade in moderation. 600 points is equivalent to a 6 dollar fluctuation in gold. (Some people may not know the fluctuation ratio of foreign exchange. Here I will briefly popularize it)
In the past, you always failed when trading alone.
But everything will change after you follow me.
Because we will be the ultimate winner!
GBPUSD | Perspective for the new week | Follow-upJoin us as we delve into the latest developments shaping the GBPUSD landscape. The Pound Sterling rebounded in the second half of the week driven by robust Q1 GDP figures from the UK's Office for National Statistics, indicating a resilient economy. With a growth rate of 0.6%, surpassing expectations, the UK appears to be steering clear of recessionary woes.
This buoyant economic growth paves the way for a 'soft landing,' according to Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey, instilling confidence in inflation returning to target levels. However, amidst this optimism, there's a divergence of opinions within the BoE's Monetary Policy Committee, with talks of a potential rate cut looming.
Meanwhile, across the pond, the US Dollar faces headwinds as jobless claims soar, reigniting concerns about the strength of the labor market. Against this backdrop, all eyes are now on upcoming data releases, including UK labor market statistics and US Consumer Price Index data, as investors brace for potential market shifts.
GBPUSD Technical Analysis:
Will the pound maintain its momentum below the critical $1.25400 zone?
In this video, we've examined the 4-hour timeframes, dissecting bullish and bearish sentiments to unearth the most promising trades for the week ahead. Our analysis dives deep into key levels, trendlines, and support/resistance points, providing invaluable insights into the prevailing market structure.
Our focus remains fixed on the pivotal level at $1.25400 and descending trendline, where the direction of price action could herald the onset of significant market shifts. How the market responds here will chart the course for GBP/USD in the days to come.
Stay engaged and join the discourse in the comment section to stay abreast of the latest developments. Thank you for tuning in, and brace yourselves for further insights into GBP/USD in our upcoming content. Get ready for an exhilarating journey ahead! Happy trading!
Disclaimer Notice:
Please be aware that margin trading in the foreign exchange market, including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks, and other instruments, carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content of this speculative material, including all data, is provided by me for educational purposes only and to assist in making independent investment decisions. All information presented here is for reference purposes only, and I do not assume any responsibility for its accuracy.
It is important that you carefully evaluate your investment experience, financial situation, investment objectives, and risk tolerance level. Before making any investment, it is advisable to consult with your independent financial advisor to assess the suitability of your circumstances.
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Remember that past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Keep this in mind while considering any investment opportunities.
Unlocking Opportunity: GBPUSD NY Session Sell Setup Unveiled!At present, GBP/USD is showing bearish momentum on the M15 timeframe. We anticipate that the price will target and fill the Daily Fair Value Gap (FVG), where sell stops are likely positioned. This is due to the smart money potentially using a retail pattern, such as the support zone, to engineer liquidity, which we expect the price to manipulate.
There are currently two key regions where price resistance may occur as it moves towards our sell-side objective: the bearish FVG and the bearish order block on the M15 timeframe. I am awaiting a confirmation entry signal that will indicate a push towards the downside.
For an in-depth understanding of my analysis on GBP/USD, please watch this video:
Happy Trading,
The_Architect
GBP/USD Retreats: Understanding the Factors at PlayGBP/USD underwent a technical correction, retracing to approximately 61.8% from the previous swing high before concluding Thursday's session in negative territory. The pair has continued its downward trend early into Friday.
Comments made by Federal Reserve (Fed) officials on Thursday contributed to a rebound in US Treasury bond yields and bolstered the US Dollar (USD). Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic acknowledged progress in inflation for April but emphasized that the Fed had not yet initiated policy easing. Similarly, Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester remarked on the adequacy of current monetary policy, indicating a need to review additional data. Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin echoed these sentiments, stating on CNBC that recent Consumer Price Index (CPI) data did not align with the Fed's objectives for inflation.
Meanwhile, the US Department of Labor reported 222,000 weekly Initial Jobless Claims for the week ending May 11, down from 232,000 the previous week.
From a technical standpoint, there is potential for a bearish correction in the GBP/USD price, targeting the lower end of the chart to address inefficiencies stemming from the preceding bullish rally. This area has been highlighted in the Footprint chart for reference.
Footprint chart
DXY & GBPUSD: Addressing Inefficiencies 📉 | Friday OutlookGreetings Traders!
Join me in today's video as we delve into an in-depth analysis of GBPUSD and DXY, exploring key expectations for today's trading session and summarizing this week's trends. This analysis is crucial as it sets the tone for next week's trading as well. We've reached a critical juncture on both the DXY and GBPUSD charts, making it essential to understand what lies ahead.
What do you think will be the major market mover going into next week?
Stay tuned for valuable insights, and don't hesitate to leave any questions or comments in the section below.
Happy Trading,
The_Architect
Fundamental Analysis of the US Dollar
The trend of the US dollar is as I predicted. This can be seen directly from the trend chart of the Asian market. The U.S. dollar index is currently showing an oversold rebound trend. The key thing to pay attention to is the pressure level above, which is around 105.3-105.5 to see if it can stand firm.
In trading, EURUSD and GBPUSD can be sold at a higher price first. Wait for the market to fall.
In the past, you always failed when trading alone.
But everything will change after you follow me.
Because we will be the ultimate winner!