GBPUSD Shorts from 1.25500 down towards 1.24000This bias for GBPUSD this week is not as clean in terms of price entering an ideal zone however, it's still a possibility that could happen so let's look at how we could sell GU. As we know this market has been in a small uptrend recently but, I am still overall bearish (looking at the HTFs) Therefore, I would be waiting for price to enter a near by supply so we can at least sell down towards a demand zone to continue the temporary bullish trend.
Currently, it is approaching a 9hr supply that has caused a small BOS to the downside and price will require some sort of pull back to continue going upwards, hence why this is a counter trend idea. We are also reaching a psychological level of 1.25500 which is another good sign to anticipate a reaction, as this would tell us if price would want to retrace or keep pushing higher.
Confluences for GBPUSD shorts are as follows:
- Price approaching 9hr supply zone that has caused a BOS to the downside.
- The zone also lies between a psychological key figure of 1.25500.
- Pending correction is likely to happen due to the impulse move that has been taken place.
- Lots of liquidity left below in the form of asian lows and there is huge imbalances as well.
- Overall market trend for GU is bearish according to the monthly/weekly time frame.
- Price has swept lots of liquidity already to the upside and momentum is dying down slowly.
P.S. As price still looks pretty bullish I won't be surprised if this zone doesn't hold however, there is also better supply zones above like the 15hr which looks more probable. For now we will wait for our Wyckoff distribution to play out & see if price gives us an entry model for sells.
Gbpusdshort
GBPUSD: The British Conservative Party eyes tax cuts in the budgThe Sunday Times reported:
Britain's Chancellor of the Exchequer Jeremy Hunt is considering cutting income tax and national insurance in a bid to improve his standing in the polls.
Jeremy Hunt told Sky News:
“We want to responsibly reduce our tax burden.”
"The only thing we won't do is not give any tax cuts that could cause inflation."
It could allow heirs to defer taxes and consider instead giving tax breaks to low- and middle-income earners.
GBPUSD - Look for a long position ✅Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on GBPUSD.
Technical analysis: After changed of character here we can see that price started to make higher lows and higher highs, so I am looking for longs. I wait price to make a retracement to fill that huge imbalance lower and then to reject from institutional big figure 1.23000.
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💡 GBPUSD: Bearish Butterfly wing pattern appears➡️ GBPUSD is maintaining its upward momentum, however in the H4 frame it is creating a butterfly pattern
The Bearish Butterfly pattern will start with a XA downtrend, then an AB uptrend, a BC downtrend, and finally a CD uptick again. With this move combined with the corresponding ratios and Fibonacci levels according to the above rules, the market expects a downward trend from point D. The Bearish Butterfly model has a shape similar to the letter W.
- Upcoming economic calendar: BOE Gov Bailey Speaks
GBPUSD on 20-11-23 : BEARISH BIASEDGBPUSD can go Bullish if,
H1/H4 closing happens above 1.2505, it can move bullish upto 1.2600 level.
or it can go Bearish if,
H1/H4 closing happens below 1.2450, it can move bearish upto 1.2350 level
#️⃣ Trend expectations from 8:00AM to 12:30PM USA Time EST.
#️⃣ Trade with 1-2% risk only.
GBPUSD Ascending Triangle Pattern Breakout. We expect further downside on this pair, signalled by the ascending triangle channel pattern breakout. We can also see the formation of a low high which signals a change in trend from bearish to bullish as well as a breakout of a key level which further supports our directional basis.
💡 GBPUSD: Predicted November 17➡️On Thursday, GBP/USD continues its downward trend, making efforts to build positive momentum while consolidating slightly below the 89 and 34 EMA. If the losses intensify, a critical support level is identified at 1.2320. It is crucial to uphold this significant support to rekindle optimism for a continuous upward trend. Failing to maintain the price above this support level may lead to a decline towards the 1.2200 threshold.
GBPUSD: The British Prime Minister plans to release billions of British Prime Minister Jeremy Hunt is expected to announce plans to release billions of GBP from welfare funds to boost economic growth next week:
Hunt is looking to boost UK economic growth by allowing funds to invest more heavily in the UK
Hunt claims that growth will be his top priority
However, the Treasury refused to comment on news of Prime Minister Hunt's plan.
GBPUSD LONG TERM Buying IDEAHello Traders
In This Chart GBPUSD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
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EURUSD and GBPUSD Top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
💡 GBPUSD: Nice scenario for downtrend➡️The latest data indicates a significant decline in the UK's annual Consumer Price Index (CPI) rate, dropping from 6.7% in September to 4.6% in October. This marks the lowest figure in two years, falling below the consensus estimates of 4.8%. The notable decrease in CPI reflects a downward trend in inflation, primarily attributed to the impact compared to the same period last year and a decrease in energy prices.
➡️This development suggests that there is potential for the central bank to initiate interest rate cuts by the end of 2024. However, the decision hinges on various factors, including the strength of the labor market and the overall economic conditions.
➡️In response to the released data indicating a more substantial than expected cooling of UK inflation in October, there is a possibility of a decline in GBP/USD. This further reinforces expectations that the Bank of England may implement interest rate cuts by the middle of the next year. Observations on the H4 chart reveal the GBP/USD price approaching the 48-hour moving average, and the MACD histogram bar contracting, indicating potential market adjustments.
GBPUSD: Dollar rises in European session; Pound depreciatedWeak US CPI weighs on dollar
The dollar took a big hit on Tuesday after data showed U.S. consumer prices were flat in October after rising 3.7% in September, while the dollar rose 3.2% year-on-year. , fell below expectations.
The stability of inflation is the most important factor in predicting the Fed's chances of maintaining its tightening stance, especially after inflation rose more than expected in August and September.
Indeed, Fed officials are keen to maintain tight monetary policy ahead of the latest data release. As a result, slowing inflation is weighing heavily on the dollar as traders assess the likelihood of rate hikes this year and focus on when the Fed will start cutting rates.
"We still think the decisive blow to the dollar will come from a decline in activity data, which could cause the market to calm down," ING analysts said. Further improvement is expected based on an assessment of the trend toward lower interest rates. “That’s why we’re interested in retail sales.”
U.S. retail sales data for October will be released later in the session, but analysts expect retail sales to decline 0.3% from the previous month, when retail sales rose 0.7%.
Pound depreciates as UK inflation rate declines
In Europe, GBP/USD fell 0.2% to 1.2475, below levels last seen in September, after UK inflation slowed more than expected in October, providing some relief. It went below. Support from the Bank of England.
UK CPI rose at an annual rate of 4.6% in October, down sharply from 6.7% in September and the smallest increase in the past two years. The Bank of England recently paused its rate hike cycle, raising the key interest rate to 5.25%, the highest level since the 2008 financial crisis, but officials have consistently said they will continue to cut interest rates despite the weak economy. has emphasized that it is still a long way off. heading towards a recession.
200 Pips Juicy sell set-up in GBP/USD. Who is with me?Hello, Tradingview community and fellow traders! Many traders were probably caught off guard
by yesterday's huge bullish impulse in GBP/USD. If I remember correctly, GBPUSD moved more than 200 pips during the New York session yesterday. The move was fueled by the CPI data release from the US.
Honestly, I was prepared for a move to 1.2420 but I didn't think it would reach 1.25. That being said, I expect a fall pretty soon. You know back during the 2016-2018 period, huge moves of 200 pips in GBPUSD and 300 pips in GBPJPY were pretty common almost every week due to Brexit-related news. However, this has become a rarity now.
So, it was a pleasant surprise yesterday I guess :D Well, based on my 15 years of experience, I can say with up to 90% certainty that GBPUSD would reach at least 1.23 before the end of the week, I hope ;)
I have already sold at 1.2470 and 1.25, no SL yet but TP is at 1.23
EURUSD I It will correct downward Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
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GBPUSD (Making strong gains)hello everyone ,The price needs to consolidate above this level and above 1.2430 for the bullish corrective trend scenario to remain effective for today, waiting for a positive incentive that will contribute to pushing the price to achieve our next target, which is at 1.2499.
Pivot Price: 1.2430
Resistance prices: 1.2499 & 1.2545 & 1.2599
Support prices: 1.2379 & 1.2319 & 1.2266
The general trend expected for today: bullish