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Gbpusdshortsetup

The Pound’s Downward Spiral: Are Bears Calling the Shots?Ah, the British Pound versus the mighty US Dollar. A tale as old as time, or at least as old as the forex market. Lately, though, it seems like the Pound is auditioning for the next big bear market. Grab your tea (or coffee if you’ve gone full American), and let’s dive into why GBP/USD might be heading south faster than you can say " Brexit chaos. " 🏴‍☠️ 1. Fibonacci Says: 'Resistance is Futile!' 🧮✨ First off, let’s talk about Fibonacci retracement. If you’re not familiar, it’s like the "Instagram filter" for price action—bringing clarity to an otherwise messy picture. Right now, the GBP/USD is dancing precariously around the 50% retracement level at 1.24376. But here’s the kicker: the Pound has already given us the cold shoulder at 1.27573 (the golden 61.8% retracement). Think of it like an ex texting "I’ve changed" and then ghosting you again. Classic. 📵 Unless GBP/USD can reclaim these levels, it’s giving major "let’s break down" vibes. 🚨 2. Descending Triangle of Doom ⚠️🔺 Triangles in forex can mean two things: continuation or reversal. This one? A big ol’ descending triangle, aka the bearish powerhouse. Lower highs are stacking up like unfulfilled New Year’s resolutions, and price action is squished tighter than a London Tube during rush hour. 🐜 The triangle breakdown looks inevitable, and when it does, it might not just be a stumble—it’ll be a swan dive into bearish waters. 🏊‍♂️💦 Target? Let’s just say 1.18379 and 1.12692 are waving hello from below. 👋 3. RSI: 'Oversold? Hold My Tea!' ☕📊 The RSI indicator is hovering dangerously close to oversold territory (around 30), whispering, "Hey, maybe the bears need a breather?" But don’t let it fool you. This isn’t a reason to buy blindly—it’s like seeing dark clouds and hoping for a rainbow instead of a thunderstorm. 🌈⚡ Unless the RSI shows a clear divergence (spoiler: it doesn’t), the downtrend could easily keep rolling like a snowball turning into an avalanche. ❄️⛰️ 4. Support Levels: The Bear’s Playground 🐻🎢 Looking ahead, the key support zones are sitting pretty at: 1.18379 (38.2% Fib): A potential pit stop. 1.12692 (23.6% Fib): Bears are probably circling this like vultures. 🦅 If you’re bullish, it’s time to sit tight. And if you’re bearish, you’re probably popping champagne already. 🍾 What Could Go Right? (AKA, the Bullish Plot Twist) 🐂✨ Okay, let’s not totally rule out the bullish counterattack. If the Pound miraculously pushes back above 1.27573 (the golden retracement), the bears might pack up and head for hibernation. But that’s a big if—like "the UK rejoining the EU" levels of unlikely. 😅 Conclusion: Will the Pound Pound Lower? 🥊📉 The stars—or in this case, Fibonacci levels and triangle patterns—are aligning for a bearish continuation. GBP/USD is looking more like a short than a "diamond in the rough." Unless it stages an Oscar-worthy comeback above 1.27573, this currency pair is poised to fall faster than a bad political speech. 🎭🎤 Bearish Action Plan 🐻📌 Wait for the triangle to break down: Confirmation is key—no guessing games here. Target 1.18379 and 1.12692: These levels are your guiding stars. Stop losses above 1.27573: Let’s not fight the inevitable if the bulls wake up. So, are you ready to ride the bear? Or are you hoping for a bull to save the day? Let me know below—because as we all know, trading is 90% strategy and 10% memes. 😜📈
Short
by EdgeDotForex
GBPU/USD Shorts from 1.30200 continue trend!GU Analysis Breakdown: This week, my GU analysis centres on the idea that price will continue to follow its bearish trend. With a recent structure break to the downside, price has left behind a clean, unmitigated supply zone. I’ll be watching for a retest in this area as an opportunity to catch potential sell positions. If price revisits the 10-hour demand zone I’ve marked, I’ll also be open to a potential bullish reaction there. Should this demand fail, I’ll look for a deeper mitigation at the next demand level below. Confluences for GU Sells: - The DXY has been very bullish, signalling a continued downward bias for GU. - GU has maintained a bearish structure, aligning with this pro-trend idea. - An untouched supply zone offers a key area for potential sell entries. - Significant liquidity below, providing additional targets. - The 1-hour supply is positioned at the psychological level of 1.30000. P.S. There’s a strong pool of liquidity above my supply, so if price briefly moves higher to take the trendline liquidity, it wouldn’t be surprising. Stay diligent, and have a great trading week, everyone!
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by Hassan_fx
GBP/USD Shorts from 1.31600 down to 1.30000This week, my analysis for GBP/USD (GU) focuses on the continuation of the bearish trend. I’m waiting for price to retrace back to the 2-hour supply zone, where trendline liquidity is resting just below. This retracement will set up for a potential move downward. Once price reaches the 1.30000 level, I may consider a counter-trend buy at that point. However, with structure continuing to break to the downside, my primary focus will remain on sell opportunities. The strength of the dollar is another factor, further reinforcing this bearish outlook for GU. Confluences for GU Sells: - Structure Break: Price has broken to the downside, leaving behind a new supply zone. - Bearish Market Structure: Recent market movement has been bearish, supported by the rising dollar. - Liquidity: Significant liquidity exists to the downside, awaiting to be taken. - Strong Dollar: The bullish dollar aligns with and supports the idea of further GU declines. P.S. If price continues downward, I’ll wait for it to tap into the next demand zone. If price rises and breaks the supply zone, a reaction from the 17-hour supply zone may offer new sell opportunities.
Short
by Hassan_fx
GBP/USD imminent shorts back down or sell from 1.30000My analysis for GBP/USD (GU) this week is bearish due to the current mitigation of the daily supply zone. As price is within this zone, I will be looking for price to distribute and then enter short-term sells. Since price is already in the zone but hasn't yet touched the refined zones, I may wait for price to mitigate deeper. Around the 1.30000 mark, there's a refined supply on the 19-hour time frame. From there, it would be a more ideal place to sell. If price starts to sell off from this level, I will target the next demand zone, allowing me to buy back up again since the current trend is still bullish. Confluences for GBP/USD Sells are as follows: Price has been very bullish recently, and bullish pressure is getting exhausted. There is a strong supply zone on the higher time frame sitting at a psychological level. Price has left a lot of imbalances and liquidity below that needs to be addressed. This outlook aligns with the expectation of the DXY increasing slightly. P.S. If price doesn't sell off on Monday, I can expect price to consolidate a little and push a bit higher to mitigate the daily supply zone more deeply.
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by Hassan_fx
GBPUSD - Look for Continuation Short (SWING) 1:5!The price has clearly broken the HTF trendline and is making a significant correction towards the highest supply zone, taking orders before continuing the bearish trend. Expect slower market movement as most orders have been closed for profit-taking, and no major impact news remains except on the CAD pair, which may slightly affect the USD. Regardless of the situation, proper risk management is essential! Disclaimer: This is simply my personal technical analysis, and you're free to consider it as a reference or disregard it. No obligation! Emphasizing the importance of proper risk management—it can make a significant difference. Wishing you a successful and happy trading experience!
Short
by S-Fx_
4
GBP/USD Shorts from 1.29200 back downI am looking for sell opportunities in GBP/USD. Recently, the price dropped and broke structure to the downside, indicating a bearish trend. To capitalize on this move, I expect a retracement back to our marked points of interest (POIs). Once the price retraces to these POIs, I'll be watching for a Wyckoff distribution pattern on the lower time frame to initiate sell positions. There’s significant liquidity below, making this a pro-trend idea that aligns with my bullish dollar bias. Confluences for GU Sells: Trend Formation: Price is forming lower lows and lower highs. Supply Zone: A 5-hour supply zone caused the recent break of structure. Liquidity: Significant liquidity below in the form of trend lines and Asia lows. Dollar Strength: DXY (Dollar) is bullish on the higher time frame, supporting this pro-trend trade idea. P.S. If the price continues to drop without tapping into my supply zone, I will wait for it to reach the 17-hour demand zone and look for buy opportunities back up. However, I am more inclined toward sell positions.
Short
by Hassan_fx
1
GBP/USD Shorts are becoming more dominant? GU sell opportunities are looking increasingly favorable as the dollar continues to rise. We now have some high-quality supply zones, specifically the 19-hour and 4-hour zones. If the price breaks the nearby low and structure again, the 2-hour supply zone I’ve identified will become more valid. Since the price is not near any of my high-time-frame points of interest (POIs), if it keeps falling, I expect the imbalances to be filled and the demand zones to be mitigated. Ideally, we will see a reaction from the 3-hour or 17-hour demand zones. Confluences for GU Sells: The dollar is bullish, indicating GU should trend downward. Valid supply zones are forming, presenting potential bearish trade setups. There are numerous imbalances and liquidity below that can be targeted. The price has changed character and broken structure to the downside on the higher time frame. P.S. I will closely monitor the price action throughout the week and adapt accordingly. It appears that a sell position is becoming more likely due to the Wyckoff distribution observed on the high time frame.
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by Hassan_fx
GBPUSD Trading Plan -31/May/2024Hello Traders, Hope you all are doing good!! I expect GU to go Down after finishing the correction. Look for your SELL setups. Please follow me and like if you agree or this idea helps you out in your trading plan . Disclaimer: This is just an idea. Please do your own analysis before opening a position. Always use SL & proper risk management. Market can evolve anytime, hence, always do your analysis and learn trade management before following any idea.
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by For3xScalper
SHORT GBP/USD from 1.2747Yesterdays daily candle on GBP USDF was a pinbar and as todays candle is currently heavily BEARISH. all the signs are that GBP/USD BUYERS have fled. Earlier in the week we saw price head north through the WR1 pivot and today has seen price head south back down leaving the WR1 pivot behind. It needs to be remembered that although GBP/USD has been heading north since 10th May, the entire structure is BEARISH and it looks as if the BEARISH direction has resumed. Any BEARISH momentum should drive the price back to the Daily 200 EMA which comes in at 1.2568 and this looks a reasonable target if the price continues to decline. A break of this EMA opens the door to 1.2277 support and beneath that 1.2061. There's little support beneath 1.2061 but that target is weeks away and much can happen. All other indicators are BEARISH including (significantly) the DAily Andean Oscillator which has recently moved away from 0. We may see price head north is spells but these will present further opportunities to SHORT this pair. Note EUR/USD is similarly BEARISH as is AUD/USD and NZD/USD whilst USD/JPY and USD/CAD are BULLISH. MY expectation is that we shall see declines in GBP/USD until the raft of economic prints are released out of the USA. If Prelim GDP, Unemployment Claims and Pending Home SAles come out in red numbers the GBP could easily recover recent lost ground but if the prints are BULLISH then this pair could collapse.
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by forextraplaces
GBP/USD Sells down towards a long opportunityThis pair is currently in a bearish trend, but I anticipate a potential reversal near a major demand zone around 1.23000. While we wait for price to reach this level, I'll be monitoring for a minor retracement back to the recently formed 4-hour supply zone. Once the retracement occurs, I'll be looking for selling opportunities in line with the prevailing trend until price reaches the 3hr demand level. Upon reaching this level, I'll anticipate a liquidity sweep of the Asian low and a possible Wyckoff accumulation phase, expecting price to then rise. Confluences for GU Sells are as follows: - Price has been very bearish recently and confirms this via continuous break of structures. - Good 4hr supply that has recently been created which also caused a BOS. - Theres an imbalance below that needs to get filled as well as lots of liquidity to be taken. - The overall trend of the market on the higher time frame is bearish as well. - DXY also looking bullish as well and it's aligning very well with GU's Zones. P.S. This demand zone is particularly strong because it aligns with a strengthening dollar entering a robust supply zone. This could lead to a significant drop in the dollar and consequently a rise in GU. However, given the overall bearish trend of GU, selling positions remain valid. Have a good trading week!
Short
by Hassan_fx
GBPUSD Imminent Shorts down towards 1.24000This week, GU presents an intriguing setup as it appears to have made a decisive move. With the pair breaking structure to the downside and the dollar strengthening, it has reinforced a bearish trend in my view, prompting me to consider shorting opportunities. My focus is currently on the 4-hour supply zone, anticipating a Wyckoff distribution to unfold. At present, I don't see any clear buying opportunities, while selling positions align with the prevailing trend. Therefore, I'll await the Monday open to observe how price action around the Asian high unfolds, with the intention of initiating sells. The aim is to target the 1-hour demand zone and capitalise on the trendline liquidity below. Confluences for GU Sells are as follows: - Price left a clean 4hr supply zone with a refined version in which we can expect a bearish reaction to take place. - Price has been moving bearish regarding the recent break of structure to the downside. - DXY is also been moving bullish so it backs the GU downtrend. - Lots of liquidity to the downside like trendline liquidity and Asian lows. - The overall trend of this market like the monthly still shows its a bearish trend. P.S. As it's a bank holiday for the dollar on Monday, I'll proceed cautiously and anticipate limited market activity. However, if my trading edge aligns with all my confirming factors, I'll execute my trades promptly and decisively. HAPPY TRADING!
Short
by Hassan_fx
6
GBP/USD Shorts from 1.27400 pro trend idea.My previous scenario (A) for GU unfolded precisely as expected, with the bullish reaction aligning perfectly with the marked demand zone. This week, I anticipate further upward movement towards my supply zone (A) near 1.2400. My reasoning is that price will likely seek to address the significant imbalance in that area before initiating a downward move. Although not the closest point of interest, I also consider scenario (B), wherein price mitigates my 17-hour demand zone. This could trigger a temporary bullish reaction, potentially driving price to reach the marked supply level (A). Confluences for GU Sells are as follows: - Price has broken structure to the downside. - Major imbalance left below the supply level which needs to be filled. - Market trend is overall bearish on the higher time frame. - Aligns with the dollar (DXY) as that's moving bullish currently. - A clear 20-hour supply zone where I anticipate a Wyckoff distribution to take place. - Lots of liquidity to the downside in the form of equal lows and Asia lows. P.S. This idea is in line with the prevailing bearish trend, as price has broken structure to the downside, confirming its direction. Additionally, it aligns with the strengthening dollar (DXY), which I perceive to be on a bullish trajectory. Have a great week ahead guys and happy trading!
Short
by Hassan_fx
2
GBPUSD Shorts from 1.27400 down towards 1.26200This week's analysis for GBPUSD is promising. I'm currently anticipating a slight upward movement to reach the nearby Asian high and mitigate the supply zone at a deeper level. Alternatively, if this doesn't happen, I'm prepared for a potential reaction from the 4-hour supply zone above. This particular supply level has triggered a change of character (CHOCH) to the downside and aligns with the 0.78 Fibonacci range. Since the price is in proximity, I'll be patiently waiting for a redistribution within the zone. Subsequently, my plan involves executing sell orders to guide the price down, targeting the trendline and addressing the 3-hour demand zone situated beneath it. Confluences for GBPUSD sells are as follows: - Overall trend of the market is bearish on the higher time frame - Price has caused a new CHOCH to the downside. - New supply zone has emerged that caused this move which aligns with 0.78 fib range. - Trendline liquidity below to target as well as a 3hr demand zone that needs mitigating. - Bullish momentum is slowly dying down and I can see price reversing soon. P.S. While this is my current perspective, I acknowledge the possibility of a temporary bullish scenario due to substantial liquidity to the upside. Therefore, I wouldn't be surprised if the price surpasses my identified supply level and reaches the extreme one ontop at the 10hr LET'S HAVE A GREAT WEEK AHEAD TRADERS AND LET'S CATCH THESE PIPS!
Short
by Hassan_fx
1
GBPUSD SELL | Day Trading AnalysisHello Traders, here is the full analysis. Watch strong action at the current levels for SELL . GOOD LUCK! Great SELL opportunity GBPUSD I still did my best and this is the most likely count for me at the moment. Support the idea with like and follow my profile TO SEE MORE. Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 🤝 Patience is the If You Have Any Question, Feel Free To Ask 🤗 Just follow chart with idea and analysis and when you are ready come in THE GROVE | VIP GROUP, earn more and safe, wait for the signal at the right moment and make money with us💰
Short
by TheGrove
1
GBPUSD Shorts from 1.28000 down towards demand This pair continues to grab my attention, particularly as it approaches my 10-hour supply zone. I anticipate a redistribution and subsequent sell-off targeting the equal lows. It's important to note that this is a counter-trend trade aimed at capturing a temporary downward movement to a more favourable demand. Given the substantial liquidity at the newly identified 4-hourly demand zone, my strategy involves patiently waiting for the equal lows to be swept, filling the imbalance, and eventually triggering a reaction off the prominent 11-hour demand zone. However, I will assess price behaviour within the 4-hour zone, considering it as the closest opportunity for potential buys. Confluences for GBPUSD Sells are as follows: - Price has swept liquidity to the upside and now price is slowing down - Bullish pressure is now getting exhausted as you can see from the candlesticks. - Price has filled in an imbalance just below our 10-hour supply zone. - There is lots of liquidity to the downside that needs to get taken like equal lows. - Price is due for a pullback to enter a level of demand if price wants to keep pushing higher. - Overall on the higher time frame the market is bearish and I do see the dollar rising just a little more. P.S. As price steadily advances, this serves as additional confirmation that it is likely to react off the nearby supply zone. Consequently, I anticipate a Wyckoff distribution to unfold. Have a great week ahead traders!
Short
by Hassan_fx
GBPUSD Imminent sells towards 1.225500GBPUSD Is still bullish due to the continuous break of structures to the upside however, It has tapped into a nice supply which I expect to cause a correction back down to a demand level at 1.225500. This is an opportunity I will be looking to take soon as market opens therefore, I will be waiting for a CHOCH to validate my Wyckoff distrubution and I will be waiting for a sweep of the asian high before I consider imminent sell positions. As price is currently In a clean 15hr supply that has caused a BOS to the downside, I would be expecting price to have some sort of reaction, hence why I am anticipating a pull back so we can end up continuing our bullish bias upwards. My confluences for GBPUSD shorts are as follows: - Price tapped into 15hr supply zone that broke structure to the downside. - Overall trend of the market on the higher time Frame like (monthly) is still bearish. - Price distributing currently pending a CHOCH to validate our sell position bias. - Price requires a pullback of some sort due to the recent impulsive moves to the upside. - For price to continue in its bullish trend it will need to form a correction and tap in demand. - Price has swept lots of liquidity to the upside, enough to move the markets back down. P.S. Even though price has entered a supply, this is just a short term trade idea in order to sell down towards a demand. This is where we will be looking to buy the market back up again in order to catch a pro trend trade. Hope you guys found this post insightful, HAPPY TRADING!
Short
by Hassan_fx
1
GBPUSD → Reverse to the Downside This Week!? Or Blast Upward?GBPUSD is flirting with the resistance zone, leaving the bulls wondering if another fall in this trading range is upon us this week. But is the dollar strong enough to take the British Pound into the ground? How do we trade this? The price is currently in a trading range between 1.20000 and 1.28000 and we're getting close to the resistance zone where the Weekly 200EMA resides. If you're not already in a trade, it's worth waiting to see what happens at the resistance zone. A bear signal bar closing on or near its low below the resistance line is a good indicator that the price will fail to rise above again and would be a reasonable short. Stop loss above the resistance zone top and take profit just above the Support Zone around 1.21000. If the price finds its way above the resistance lines and closes a bull candle on or near its high, it would be reasonable to long with a protective stop just below the resistance zone. Target prices as high as 1.33000 and 1.40000. Key Takeaways 1. Trading Range after Bull Run, Bias to Long. 2. Near the Resistance Zone, Look for a Reversal Signal. 3. If Shorting, Watch the 200EMA for Support. 4. The Dollar Index may fall more, wait for the bottom. 5. RSI near 70.00, Bias to Short. You are solely responsible for your trades, trade at your own risk! If you found this analysis helpful, click the Boost button and let us know what you think in the comment section below!
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by TraderEngineering