Gbpusdsignal
GBPUSD Ascending Triangle Pattern Breakout. We expect further downside on this pair, signalled by the ascending triangle channel pattern breakout. We can also see the formation of a low high which signals a change in trend from bearish to bullish as well as a breakout of a key level which further supports our directional basis.
GBPUSD: The British Prime Minister plans to release billions of British Prime Minister Jeremy Hunt is expected to announce plans to release billions of GBP from welfare funds to boost economic growth next week:
Hunt is looking to boost UK economic growth by allowing funds to invest more heavily in the UK
Hunt claims that growth will be his top priority
However, the Treasury refused to comment on news of Prime Minister Hunt's plan.
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💡 GBPUSD: Nice scenario for downtrend➡️The latest data indicates a significant decline in the UK's annual Consumer Price Index (CPI) rate, dropping from 6.7% in September to 4.6% in October. This marks the lowest figure in two years, falling below the consensus estimates of 4.8%. The notable decrease in CPI reflects a downward trend in inflation, primarily attributed to the impact compared to the same period last year and a decrease in energy prices.
➡️This development suggests that there is potential for the central bank to initiate interest rate cuts by the end of 2024. However, the decision hinges on various factors, including the strength of the labor market and the overall economic conditions.
➡️In response to the released data indicating a more substantial than expected cooling of UK inflation in October, there is a possibility of a decline in GBP/USD. This further reinforces expectations that the Bank of England may implement interest rate cuts by the middle of the next year. Observations on the H4 chart reveal the GBP/USD price approaching the 48-hour moving average, and the MACD histogram bar contracting, indicating potential market adjustments.
GBPUSD: Dollar rises in European session; Pound depreciatedWeak US CPI weighs on dollar
The dollar took a big hit on Tuesday after data showed U.S. consumer prices were flat in October after rising 3.7% in September, while the dollar rose 3.2% year-on-year. , fell below expectations.
The stability of inflation is the most important factor in predicting the Fed's chances of maintaining its tightening stance, especially after inflation rose more than expected in August and September.
Indeed, Fed officials are keen to maintain tight monetary policy ahead of the latest data release. As a result, slowing inflation is weighing heavily on the dollar as traders assess the likelihood of rate hikes this year and focus on when the Fed will start cutting rates.
"We still think the decisive blow to the dollar will come from a decline in activity data, which could cause the market to calm down," ING analysts said. Further improvement is expected based on an assessment of the trend toward lower interest rates. “That’s why we’re interested in retail sales.”
U.S. retail sales data for October will be released later in the session, but analysts expect retail sales to decline 0.3% from the previous month, when retail sales rose 0.7%.
Pound depreciates as UK inflation rate declines
In Europe, GBP/USD fell 0.2% to 1.2475, below levels last seen in September, after UK inflation slowed more than expected in October, providing some relief. It went below. Support from the Bank of England.
UK CPI rose at an annual rate of 4.6% in October, down sharply from 6.7% in September and the smallest increase in the past two years. The Bank of England recently paused its rate hike cycle, raising the key interest rate to 5.25%, the highest level since the 2008 financial crisis, but officials have consistently said they will continue to cut interest rates despite the weak economy. has emphasized that it is still a long way off. heading towards a recession.
200 Pips Juicy sell set-up in GBP/USD. Who is with me?Hello, Tradingview community and fellow traders! Many traders were probably caught off guard
by yesterday's huge bullish impulse in GBP/USD. If I remember correctly, GBPUSD moved more than 200 pips during the New York session yesterday. The move was fueled by the CPI data release from the US.
Honestly, I was prepared for a move to 1.2420 but I didn't think it would reach 1.25. That being said, I expect a fall pretty soon. You know back during the 2016-2018 period, huge moves of 200 pips in GBPUSD and 300 pips in GBPJPY were pretty common almost every week due to Brexit-related news. However, this has become a rarity now.
So, it was a pleasant surprise yesterday I guess :D Well, based on my 15 years of experience, I can say with up to 90% certainty that GBPUSD would reach at least 1.23 before the end of the week, I hope ;)
I have already sold at 1.2470 and 1.25, no SL yet but TP is at 1.23
GBPUSD 4H : Support further rise GBPUSD
New forecast
The pound sterling pair against the dollar rose strongly to breach the 1.2447 level and reach the 1.2508 level directly, opening the way for further upward correction during the coming sessions, waiting for the price to be pushed to the 1.2534 level and stability above it that will reach 1.2574 and 1.2604.
Therefore, an upward trend will be expected in the immediate and short term, taking into account that breaking the 1.2447 level will stop the proposed rise and put pressure on the price to conduct a further downward correction to 1.2406 and then rise up.
The expect range trading for today it will be between the resistance line 1.2534 and support line 1.2406.
Additionally ,Today News will affect the market .
support line : 1.2447 , 1.2406
resistance line : 1.2508 , 1.2534
Thank you for considering my analysis and perspective and If this post was useful to you , don't forget to subscribe and like ❤️
The US dollar has risen sharply. Expect the British pound to falThe dollar remains well-valued after yesterday's US data further buoyed US yields and reinforced calls for a 25-point hike from the Federal Reserve in July. The economy grew at a revised 2% quarterly rate and initial claims fell sharply again, giving markets the impression that the Fed still has work to do.
Dollar strength was evident yesterday across all sectors. The main hot spot is still USD/JPY. It looks like the Bank of Japan is ready to intervene above the 145 level - just like they did last September. Back today. The May core PCE deflator is expected to remain steady at 0.3% to 0.4% from the previous month, consistent with the Fed's view that core inflation is not falling fast enough. This will keep the US dollar exchange rate stable.
EUR: Eurozone CPI may provide some support. Following the release of European inflation data in recent days, the euro zone core inflation rate in June is expected to have come in at 5.5% year-on-year, compared with 5.3% in May. This data could push the market to price a 25 basis point increase from the European Central Bank in July and September. Currently, the market is only pricing in a combined increase of 37 basis points in these two meetings . The ECB offers the euro some protection against a very aggressive Fed, even as the two-year EUR/USD spread widens further to 120 points in favor of the dollar.
💡 GBPUSD: The upward momentum is consolidatedFollowing the establishment of a bullish pattern near the 1.2200 support zone, GBPUSD is experiencing a resurgence in bullish momentum. Our current stance maintains buy positions based on earlier signals of a bullish reversal, including the double bottom pattern and the price breaking through the existing structure. It is advisable to retain these positions with the target set around 1.2400.
GBPUSD: 09/11/2023: Bullish scenarioThe market structure is bullish and we are searching for a buy opportunity.
Here we have a bullish order block that we expect price will have a bullish reaction in that zone.
Please pay attention to the details.
💡Wait for the update!
🗓09/11/2023
🔎 DYOR
💌It is my honor to share your comments with me💌
GBPUSD - Bullish price action ✅Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on GBPUSD.
Technical analysis: As I said in my previous analysis I expected to make a retracement to fill the imbalance, now I see a new expansion after price filled the imbalance and rejected from bullish order block + institutional big figure 1.22000.
Fundamental news: Tomorrow will be released monthly and yearly CPI in USA and on Wednesday will be released monthly PPI and Retail Sales. As well on Wednesday will be released yearly CPI on GBP. News with impact on USD and GBP, so pay attention to the results in order to validate the analysis.
Like, comment and subscribe to be in touch with my content!
GBPUSD I Approaching strong weekly reversal zone and 4 hr supplyWelcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
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GBPUSD 4H : Waiting for News GBPUSD
New forecast
The British pound pair rose against the dollar and approached testing the pivotal resistance 1.2321, waiting to stimulate the price to resume the expected downward trend for the coming period, which initially targets the 1.2270 level and extends to 1.2248.
Therefore the downtrend scenario will be remain valid and effective during coming period . so stability below 1.2321 is important for the expected decline to continue, as breaching it will push the price to conduct an additional upward correction. so stabilized above 1.2321 will force the price to rise up to 1.2365 and then dropping .
The expect range trading for today it will be between the resistance line 1.2321 and support line 1.2215.
Additionally ,Today News will affect the market .
support line : 1.2321 , 1.2365
resistance line : 1.2270 , 1.2215
Thank you for considering my analysis and perspective and If this post was useful to you , don't forget to subscribe and like ❤️
GBP/USD may rise again to 1.24 zone, but I am not buyingHello traders, in my previous GBP/USD analysis from last Monday, I mentioned
selling GBP/USD@1.2410. If you followed my idea, you have already
made over 220 pips profit. (previous idea attached below).
Currently, in the daily chart, we have a bullish doji candlestick on Friday.
So, there could be another rise in GBP/USD. However, I am not buying.
In fact, my plan is to sell the rallies again if GBP/USD reaches the 1.24
resistance zone.
GBPUSD Possible buy zone!The primary structure of GBPUSD indicates a bearish trend, accompanied by a secondary structure reflecting a corrective rebound.
- To capitalize on favorable selling points, it is suggested to exercise patience and wait for the price to revisit the vicinity of 1.23643 before considering short-selling opportunities.
- In the case of seeking buying opportunities, a prudent approach involves waiting for the price to reach the support level situated at 1.22394.
GBPUSD: Pound recovers ahead of important economic dataAs UK economic growth flattens rather than declines as predicted, the GBP is strengthened.
For additional hints, investors are awaiting data on jobs and inflation.
The third quarter saw a sharp reduction in investment by local businesses as a result of uncertain demand.
The economy of the nation is doing better than expected, which helps the GBP. Despite a pretty bleak economic prognosis, the GBP/USD exchange rate is making an effort to rebound as businesses' investments in production expansion have drastically decreased as a result of weak domestic and international demand.
BoE policymakers Katherine Mann and Huw Pill express concern about the long-term consequences of high interest rates in the fight against inflation, indicating that they will probably support an early rate decrease.
Data on the labour market in the UK will reveal investor positions. Furthermore, hiring trends and wage growth also
💡 GBPUSD: Reversal signs appearFollowing four consecutive bearish sessions, the downward trend has come to a halt around the 1.2200 region. A slight bullish indication, represented by a dragonfly doji pattern, has emerged. This, coupled with earlier notable reversal signals such as the double bottom pattern and the breach of the bearish structure, suggests a potential resurgence of upward momentum. It is advisable to maintain your existing long positions, with the target remaining in the vicinity of 1.2600.
USD exchange rate today November 13: Slightly decreased in the Investors currently believe there is a 91% likelihood the Fed will maintain current interest rates.
The USD Index closed at 105,660 on the global market at 6:32 a.m. Vietnam time on November 13, down 0.02%.
The US Federal Reserve (Fed) keeps its "hawkish" approach, there are no new developments in Middle East tensions, and the USD keeps becoming stronger.
Fed Chairman Jerome Powell's remarks at the International Monetary Fund (IMF) Conference on Thursday helped the market realize that the Fed is still committed to tightening monetary policy for an extended period of time.
Despite the fact that inflation has decreased from its 40-year peak last year, Mr. Powell cautioned that the Fed still has work to do. Additionally, he stated that the Fed is not "confident" that it has sufficiently controlled inflation to reverse the