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GBPUSD Analysis – Classic Spike, But Bearish Bias HoldsTwo days ago, TRADENATION:GBPUSD did what it often does – spiked above the previous high with no solid fundamental reason, likely just to hunt stops. This return into the resistance zone might look bullish on the surface, but the bigger picture remains unchanged. Has the market really resumed its up move, or was this just a trap? Despite the upward push, the overall outlook stays bearish. A drop towards the 1.3000 zone is still highly probable – but we need confirmation. Why the bearish scenario remains valid: • The spike occurred without strong fundamental backing. • Price hasn't broken the strong 1.35 resistance. • Key support for a breakdown lies at 1.3330–1.3350 – a clear break here is the signal for downside continuation. Trading Plan: Wait for a break below 1.3330–1.3350, and then look for short setups on lower timeframes. Invalidation comes only if the pair pushes and sustains above 1.3500, in which case the bearish thesis is off the table. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
Short
by Mihai_Iacob
2
GBPUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W18 D30 Y25GBPUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W18 D30 Y25 Professional Risk Managers👋 Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈 Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure. Let’s see what price action is telling us today! 💡Here are some trade confluences📝 ✅Weekly order block rejection ✅Daily order block rejection ✅Daily high rejection ✅Daily imbalance fill targets 🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies. 📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities. 💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail. 🏆It has always been that simple. ❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top. 🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
Short
by JCFRGNT
GBPUSD(20250429)Today's AnalysisMarket news: The U.S. Treasury Department raised its second quarter debt forecast to $514 billion. U.S. Treasury Secretary: The "X Day" for the debt ceiling issue will be announced soon. Technical analysis: Today's buying and selling boundaries: 1.3387 Support and resistance levels: 1.3549 1.3488 1.3449 1.3325 1.3286 1.3225 Trading strategy: If the price breaks through 1.3449, consider buying, the first target price is 1.3488 If the price breaks through 1.3387, consider selling, the first target price is 1.3325
Short
by Toml1314
GBPUSD: Eyeing a Bullish Structure Shift - A Wyckoffian ApproachGBPUSD 🚦 Technical Analysis & Trade Plan 📊 Current Market Structure The GBPUSD 4-hour chart is currently consolidating just below a set of equal highs, indicating a potential liquidity pool above. Price action has shown a series of higher lows, suggesting underlying bullish pressure. The market is in a range, with buyers and sellers in equilibrium, but the clustering of highs signals a likely stop-hunt or breakout scenario. 🧠 Wyckoff Perspective From a Wyckoff standpoint, the market appears to be in the late stages of accumulation. The equal highs represent a classic “creek” or resistance, where smart money may engineer a breakout to trigger stops and induce breakout traders. A successful breakout, followed by a retrace to retest the broken highs (now support), and a subsequent bullish structure break, would confirm the presence of strong demand and the start of a mark-up phase. 🌍 Fundamental Backdrop Fundamentally, GBP has been supported by resilient UK economic data and a slightly hawkish tone from the Bank of England, while the USD faces headwinds from softer inflation prints and dovish Fed rhetoric. However, geopolitical risks and global risk sentiment remain key drivers, so any sudden shifts could impact the pair. 📰 Current Sentiment Market sentiment is cautiously optimistic for GBPUSD. CFTC positioning shows a reduction in net GBP shorts, and recent price action reflects a willingness to buy dips. However, the presence of equal highs suggests that many traders are watching for a breakout, increasing the likelihood of a stop-run before a genuine move higher. 🏦 Trade Idea Entry: Buy on a confirmed break above the current equal highs (around 1.3340), wait for a retrace to retest the broken highs, and enter long on a bullish structure break (e.g., a higher low and bullish engulfing candle). Stop Loss: Place stops below the retracement low (e.g., below 1.3300). Take Profit: Target the next significant resistance zone (e.g., 1.3400–1.3450), scaling out as price approaches these levels. Risk Management: Risk no more than 1–2% of your trading capital on this setup. ⚠️ Disclaimer Trading forex involves significant risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The analysis and trade idea provided are for educational purposes only and do not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making trading decisions.
Long
by fxtraderanthony
GBPUSD trade setup.This chart shows a GBP/USD (British Pound / U.S. Dollar) trading setup on the 1-hour timeframe, with a bearish outlook. 📊 Chart Analysis Trend: Recently bearish after a previous uptrend. Entry Zone: Area between approximately 1.33233 and 1.33317. Setup Type: Sell/Short Trade Setup 🔍 Key Zones Entry Zone (Supply/Resistance Area): Marked as "entry zone". This is the expected area where price might retrace to before dropping again. Target Zone: Arrow points down towards 1.32377, suggesting this is the Take Profit (TP) level. Stop Loss (SL): Slightly above the entry zone, near 1.33476, indicating risk management in case price continues upward. 🧠 Trade Idea Summary Type: Short/Sell Entry: Wait for price to re-enter the marked "entry zone" (~1.33233 - 1.33317). Stop Loss: Above 1.33476. Take Profit: Around 1.32377. Risk/Reward Ratio: Favorable, as the potential profit zone (green area) is larger than the risk (red area).
Short
by m_zeeshan3644
GBPUSD(20250428)Today's AnalysisMarket news: The Fed's subsequent policy path considers two scenarios: First, there is no substantial progress in the negotiations between the United States and its trading partners. After 90 days, the US tariffs are still high. Weakened economic demand may prompt the Fed to cut interest rates starting in July, and the annual rate cut may reach 100 basis points; second, the negotiations are fruitful, tariffs are reduced, and the demand shock is small, but inflationary pressure continues. The Fed may postpone easing and only cut interest rates slightly in December. For the market, although the easing comes early in the first scenario, the "recession-style" rate cut may suppress risky assets. Technical analysis: Today's buying and selling boundaries: 1.3309 Support and resistance levels: 1.3379 1.3353 1.3336 1.3282 1.3265 1.3239 Trading strategy: If the price breaks through 1.3309, consider buying, the first target price is 1.3336 If the price breaks through 1.3282, consider selling, the first target price is 1.3265
Long
by Toml1314
#GBPUSD: Major Swing Sell Coming On GU, What's your views? OANDA:GBPUSD , as discussed in our previous analysis, where we predicted price would reach our target area and then reject it. The price has almost reached this area, and we are now waiting for it to fully complete the move so that we can take a swing sell on the GBP. Currently, the British pound is stronger and bullish due to the UK’s strong economic growth. However, this is not the case for the US dollar. The dollar is struggling to keep up with other currencies and is currently the worst-performing currency of the month of April. While focusing on GBPUSD as a pair, it has been extremely bullish since the start of April. However, we are now at a point where there are no strong reasons for the pair to remain bullish and continue its uptrend. There are fundamental signs that will eventually reverse the bearish trend. Our advice to all is to wait for the price to do its thing. Once it reaches our target area, it may show strong bearish dominance. However, this is not a guarantee that it will behave as we expect. There are two targets that you can focus on once you trade is activated. Good luck and trade safely! Thank you for your unwavering support! 😊 If you’d like to contribute, here are a few ways you can help us: - Like our ideas - Comment on our ideas - Share our ideas Team Setupsfx_ ❤️🚀
Short
by Setupsfx_
19
GBPUSD Rejected at Key Resistance – Bearish Outlook StaysLast week, in my GBPUSD analysis, I highlighted that the pair had reached a major resistance area – a level that has acted as both support and resistance over the past few years. I mentioned that a correction from this zone was very likely. The market reacted perfectly: GBPUSD dropped from that resistance, and after the initial move, it entered into a consolidation phase. The key question now: Is the correction finished or will the downside continue? My outlook remains the same – I still expect further downside towards the 1.3000 level. Here’s why I stay bearish: - Strong historical resistance rejected the price. - No real bullish momentum above 1.34 zone. - Consolidation after the drop looks more like a pause, not a reversal. Trading Plan: I will look to sell rallies, staying bearish as long as the 1.3400 area (recent high) is not broken. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
Short
by Mihai_Iacob
3
GBPUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W18 D28 Y25GBPUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W18 D28 Y25 Professional Risk Managers👋 Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈 Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure. Let’s see what price action is telling us today! 💡Here are some trade confluences📝 ✅Weekly order block rejection ✅Daily order block rejection ✅Weekly imbalance to fill short ✅15’ order block 🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies. 📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities. 💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail. 🏆It has always been that simple. ❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top. 🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
Short
by JCFRGNT
GBPUSD(20250425)Today's AnalysisMarket news: Federal Reserve-①Hamack: If economic data is clear, the Fed may cut interest rates in June ②Waller: It will take until July to get a clearer understanding of how tariffs affect the economy. If tariffs lead to higher unemployment, interest rate cuts may be initiated. ③The Atlanta Fed GDPNow model predicts that the US GDP growth rate in the first quarter will be -2.5%. ④Kashkari: The frequent announcements from Washington have brought challenges to policymakers and everyone. Technical analysis: Today's buying and selling boundaries: 1.3311 Support and resistance levels: 1.3411 1.3374 1.3350 1.3274 1.3248 1.3211 Trading strategy: If the price breaks through 1.3350, consider buying, the first target price is 1.3374 If the price breaks through 1.3311, consider selling, the first target price is 1.3274
Short
by Toml1314
GBPUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W17 D25 Y25GBPUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W17 D25 Y25 Professional Risk Managers👋 Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈 Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure. Let’s see what price action is telling us today! 💡Here are some trade confluences📝 ✅Weekly order block rejection ✅Daily order block rejection ✅15’ order block ✅Tokyo ranges to be filled 🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies. 📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities. 💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail. 🏆It has always been that simple. ❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top. 🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
Short
by JCFRGNT
GBPUSD Trade SetupA buy position has been placed on the GBP/USD pair at 1.30369, targeting an ambitious level of 1.39096. This setup reflects a bullish sentiment, anticipating a strong recovery in the British Pound against the US Dollar. Recent macroeconomic indicators suggest improving conditions in the UK economy, which could support further upward movement. Technical analysis shows that the pair is holding above key support levels, indicating sustained buying interest. If momentum continues, the price may gradually ascend toward the 1.39096 target in the coming weeks. A potential breakout above intermediate resistance zones could further confirm the bullish trend. Market sentiment also favors the Pound, especially amid speculation about a more cautious approach by the Federal Reserve. Volatility remains a factor, so proper risk management and stop-loss placement are essential. Traders should closely monitor upcoming data releases, such as GDP figures and central bank announcements. Overall, this trade setup offers a promising risk-to-reward ratio, backed by both technical strength and a supportive macroeconomic backdrop.
Long
by XAUUSD-Trade-ideas
2
GBP/USD is Bullish: This Breakout Triggers the UptrendFenzoFx—GBP/USD fell from $1.3435, testing the 50-period simple moving average near $1.3276. The Stochastic Oscillator is nearing the 20 level, suggesting the US dollar is overbought in the short term. Support lies at $1.3202. The outlook remains bullish while above this level, though a close above $1.3295 is needed to confirm upward momentum. A retest of $1.3435 could follow. Bearish Scenario: A drop below $1.3202 would invalidate the bullish view, potentially extending the decline to $1.3144 or even $1.3030 under sustained selling pressure.
Long
by FenzoFxBroker
GBPUSD(20250424)Today's AnalysisMarket News: The United States hit a 16-month low in April. The total number of new home sales in the United States in March was an annualized to a new high since September 2024. Technical analysis: Today's buying and selling boundaries: 1.3274 Support and resistance levels: 1.3379 1.3340 1.3314 1.3234 1.3209 1.3170 Trading strategy: If the price breaks through 1.3274, consider buying, the first target price is 1.3314 If the price breaks through 1.3234, consider selling, the first target price is 1.3209
Long
by Toml1314
GBPUSD – Rejected at Multi-Month Resistance Amid Weak UK DataGBPUSD has clearly rejected the 1.3413–1.3443 resistance zone—a key area that previously acted as strong supply in September 2024. The pair has formed a bearish rejection candle and is now showing signs of downward momentum. Key Levels: Resistance: 1.3413 – 1.3443 (major rejection zone) TP1: 1.3176 (minor structure) TP2: 1.3014 (key demand zone) TP3: 1.2890 (deeper support target) Bearish Confluences: Price rejected from major resistance Bearish candle formation Previous similar reaction from the same level Momentum indicators favor downside 📰 Fundamental Analysis: 🔻 UK Data Weakens Further: According to the latest S&P Global Flash UK PMI (Apr 23): Composite Output Index: 48.2 (vs 51.5 in March) – 29-month low Services PMI: 48.9 – 27-month low Manufacturing PMI: 44.0 – 20-month low This shows UK private sector activity contracting, led by a steep fall in new export orders, the worst since May 2020. 🔺 Inflation Still High: Despite falling activity, input and output prices surged, driven by National Insurance hikes and wage growth. This makes it harder for the BoE to justify a cut, despite recession signs. 📌 Conclusion: The bearish rejection at 1.3413 resistance, combined with deteriorating UK fundamentals, suggests a strong downside setup for GBPUSD. A break below 1.3176 would confirm the bearish move, targeting 1.3014 and potentially 1.2890.
Short
by ultreosforex
5
GBPUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W17 D23 Y25GBPUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W17 D23 Y25 Professional Risk Managers👋 Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈 Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure. Let’s see what price action is telling us today! 💡Trade confluences📝 ✅Weekly Order block rejection ✅15’ order block created ✅15’ wick rejections via order block ✅Intraday bearish breaks of structure ✅Tokyo ranges to be filled ✅1’ break of structure ✅1’ bearish engulfing candle fill ✅Sell limit order on the 1’ candle fill 🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies. 📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities. 💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail. 🏆It has always been that simple. ❤️Good luck with your trading journey, shall see you at the very top. 🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
by JCFRGNT
Massive Rally, Massive Resistance – Time to Sell GBPUSD?The last two weeks felt like a rollercoaster for GBPUSD. It all started with a gap down on Monday, April 7, but that weakness didn’t last. The pair filled the gap and then rallied hard – over 700 pips! 🤔 Key Question – Is the move sustainable, or are we topping out? Now the pair is approaching a massive resistance zone, one that dates back to 2019. While the bullish sentiment and USD weakness could push it toward 1.3500, this isn’t a breakout I’d blindly chase. 📉 Why I'm expecting a reversal: Price is entering a long-term resistance area – a major barrier. 700 pips of upside happened fast – a pullback is likely. USD weakness might fade, creating downward pressure. 1.3450–1.3500 is my key sell zone. 📊 My Trading Plan: I’ll be watching for clear signs of weakness near 1.3450 – such as rejection candles or slowing momentum. If the market confirms, I’m looking for a 500 pip move down, with 1.3000 as the first major target. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
Short
by Mihai_Iacob