GBP/USD Bears Eye $1.267 as Downtrend Gains MomentumFxNews —GBP/USD entered a bearish trend after failing to hold above the 100-period simple moving average, dropping sharply from $1.304. Currently, bears are testing the October 31 low of $1.284 as support.
Technical indicators confirm bearish momentum, with the Awesome Oscillator showing red bars and the Stochastic and RSI at 36 and 35, suggesting more downside potential as the pair isn’t oversold.
The immediate resistance is $1.284. If bears close GBP/USD below this level, the next target could be $1.267. However, a move above the October 30 high of $1.3045 would invalidate the bearish outlook.
Support: 1.284 / 1.267
Resistance: 1.2907 / 1.3045
Gbpusdsignals
#GBPUSD 4HOn the GBP/USD 1-hour chart, the price has bounced off a key support level, indicating a potential bullish reversal. The support bounce suggests that buyers are stepping in at this level, preventing further decline and possibly initiating an upward move.
Forecast: Buy
A buy opportunity is expected as the price rebounds from support. Traders may consider entering a long position with the anticipation that the price will move higher, targeting nearby resistance levels. It’s important to monitor price action for confirmation that the support is holding, as a breakdown below the level could invalidate the buy setup.
GBPUSD Will it hold the 1D MA50??The GBPUSD pair has been trading exactly on its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) for the past two days and so far it held. Today though it appears to be making its first legitimate attempt to break it and if the 1D candle closes below it, we will have a confirmed bearish break-out.
This is similar to the August 03 2023 bearish break-out, which was the ultimate medium-term sell confirmation after a long Bullish Megaphone that dictated the trend. As you can see the two fractals are identical, initially declining by around -5% and then rising towards the 2.0 Fibonacci extension through their Megaphones.
The 2023 sell signal reached the 0.786 Fib after the break-out and that will be our Target again (1.2550) if the 1D candle confirms that closing below the 1D MA50.
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GBPUSD | Perspective for the new week | Follow-upThe GBP/USD hit its highest level against the US dollar in over two and a half years, and traders are closely watching for what's next. In this video, we break down the fundamental and technical factors driving the pair’s performance. With the Bank of England expected to move more slowly than the Federal Reserve on rate cuts, the pound is gaining an edge, though momentum has stalled at the $1.34350 resistance zone. Meanwhile, US inflation data shows signs of slowing, but this hasn't solidified expectations for a big rate cut from the Fed in November.
In this video, I walk you through the key technical structure that could guide trading decisions for the week ahead.
GBPUSD Technical Analysis:
Will buyers maintain momentum above $1.33700 next week? Watch this video for key trades this week. Join the discussion for updates on GBP/USD trading. Stay tuned for more content. Happy trading!
Disclaimer Notice:
Trading in the foreign exchange market and other instruments carries a high risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content provided here is for educational purposes only. Evaluate your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
GbpUsd breaks important confluence supportIn my analysis last week, I mentioned that for GBP/USD to maintain its upward momentum, bulls would need to push the price above the key resistance level at 1.3420. However, they were unable to clear that level, and the pair has since experienced a decline.
Interestingly, as I was writing this update, a significant break occurred below a confluence of support levels, which has now turned the outlook bearish. As things stand, the market sentiment appears to favor further downside for GBP/USD.
As long as the 1.33 level holds, the likelihood of more losses remains high, with 1.30 potentially becoming a target for the bears. Given this bearish setup, my current strategy is to sell into rallies, anticipating further downward movement in the pair.
In summary, the failure to break through resistance and the subsequent breach of key support levels suggest that GBP/USD is poised for further declines unless the market shows signs of recovery above the 1.33 level.
GBPUSD: Very Bearish News?! 🇬🇧🇺🇸
The release of US Initial Jobless Claims made GBPUSD drop rapidly.
The price formed a double top pattern and formed an imbalance
bearish candle, violating its neckline.
The pair may drop lower now.
Goals: 1.3218 / 1.3180
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
Bearish Reversal in GBP/USD After NFP Data: Key Levels to WatchIn my August 8 analysis, I highlighted the Morning Star pattern, which retested the previous resistance of the broken triangle, signaling a potential reversal to the upside with a target above 1.31 for the next leg up.
As anticipated, the price did reverse, and not only was the target reached, but it was also surpassed.
However, after breaking above the horizontal resistance level, which marked a yearly high for GBP/USD, the pair reversed.
Despite bulls' efforts to regain control, the NFP data provided clarity with a strong bearish engulfing pattern on the daily chart.
At the time of writing, the price is sitting right on the former resistance level, which now serves as support.
A break below this level could lead to further downside movement toward the psychological 1.30 level, and potentially even the 1.2850 technical support zone.
I believe this scenario will play out for "cable," and I'm looking to sell into rallies.
However, this outlook would be invalidated if a new high is achieved.
GBPUSD SELL TF H4 TP = 1.2885On the H4 chart the trend started on Aug. 28 (linear regression channel).
There is a high probability of profit taking. Possible take profit level is 1.2885
Using a trailing stop is also a good idea!
Please leave your feedback, your opinion. I am very interested in it. Thank you!
Good luck!
Regards, WeBelievelnTrading
GBPUSD Strongest sell signal since MarchThe GBPUSD pair gave us an excellent sell entry exactly 1 month ago (July 23, see chart below) and easily hit our 1.2790 Target:
Yesterday it reached the top of its 10-month Channel Up and technically that is the new Higher High and the strongest sell signal since March 08. That Higher High rejection initiated a Bearish Leg that bottomed just below the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level from the previous Low.
As a result, we expect a new medium-term correction (Bearish Leg) to extend to 1.26000 (just below the new 0.618 Fib).
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GBPUSD | Perspective for the new week | Follow-upThe British Pound gains significant traction as the UK Office for National Statistics reports a rebound in Retail Sales for July, with monthly and annual figures rising by 0.5% and 1.4% respectively. This momentum comes ahead of the Bank of England’s (BoE) crucial September monetary policy meeting, where decisions could hinge on the sharp decline in service sector inflation and a surprising drop in the Unemployment Rate, signalling an expanding economy.
On the US front, jobless claims continue to fall for the second consecutive week, challenging the earlier Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data that suggested a weaker labor market. Market speculation for large rate cuts has eased, yet expectations for a dovish Federal Reserve decision in September remain strong, with policymakers signalling comfort with upcoming interest-rate cuts.
With these recent developments, the GBPUSD remains in a volatile state. The rebound in UK retail sales and the positive signals from the US labor market suggests that there is potential for further gains for the British pound. However, the BoE's policy decision and the Fed's stance on interest rates will be key factors to watch in the coming weeks.
How will buyers and sellers position themselves in the coming week?
GBPUSD Technical Analysis:
Will buyers break above $1.29500 next week? Watch this video for key trades this week. Join the discussion for updates on GBP/USD trading. Stay tuned for more content. Happy trading!
Disclaimer Notice:
Trading in the foreign exchange market and other instruments carries high risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content provided here is for educational purposes only. Evaluate your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
GBPUSD Sell signal targeting the 1D MA200The GBPUSD pair almost hit the top of its 10-month Channel Up and immediatelly got rejected. The subsequent pull-back is so far restrained within the (dotted) Channel Up that uses the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) as its Support.
The previous such Channel Up, essentially the first Bullish Leg of the (blue) Channel Up, topped at +6.00% (which is where the current rally sits as well) and a 6 week pull-back saw it test the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) on the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level.
As a result, the R/R favors heavily going short at the moment. Our Target is 1.2790 (exactly on the 0.382 Fib).
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GBPUSD SWING IDEA OVER 200 PIPSOn the daily chart, GBPUSD appears to be moving sideways at first glance. However, a closer look reveals a distinct pattern in the price action. There's a key level around 1.28200 that the price has consistently respected for some time. If you delve deeper, you'll notice that the price approached this level within a contracting channel, broke through it, and is now forming a bearish continuation pattern. This is a crucial development to watch closely. Stay alert for potential moves!
GBPUSD | Perspective for the new week | Follow-upThe U.S. dollar made a strong comeback on Friday as the latest economic data revealed a much higher job creation rate than anticipated. The U.S. economy added 272,000 jobs last month, significantly surpassing expectations. This robust job growth suggests that the Federal Reserve might delay starting its easing cycle this year. Additionally, the average hourly earnings increased by 0.4%, up from a 0.2% rate in April, further strengthening the case for a strong dollar.
Following this positive jobs report, the likelihood of a rate cut in September dropped to around 50.8%, compared to nearly 70% the previous Thursday.
On the other side of the pond, the focus shifts to the United Kingdom, where the Pound Sterling will be influenced by upcoming Employment data, set to be released on Tuesday. The UK has seen a decline in the number of employed people for three consecutive periods. Any further indication of layoffs could weaken the Pound Sterling, increasing speculation that the Bank of England (BoE) might implement early rate cuts.
Investors are also keenly watching the UK Average Earnings data, a critical measure of wage growth. The UK's persistent wage growth has been a key driver of high service inflation, posing a challenge to bringing price pressures back towards the 2% target.
In this video, we analyze the dynamics between buyers and sellers as they interpret recent economic data and prepare for the upcoming reports this week.
GBPUSD Technical Analysis:
Will the pound maintain selling pressure below $1.27500? Watch this video for key trades this week. Join the discussion for updates on GBP/USD trading. Stay tuned for more content. Happy trading!
Disclaimer Notice:
Trading in the foreign exchange market and other instruments carries high risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content provided here is for educational purposes only. Evaluate your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
GBPUSD analysis after positive Nonfarm data📌GBP/USD drops below 1.2720 after encouragement from Nonfarm data. GBP/USD continues its downtrend and trades deep below the key support zone of 1,275. The US dollar outperformed its rivals following impressive labor market data in May, forcing the pair into sharp declines.
📌Next week's markets are in focus on Tuesday with the Change in Claimants, and the UK Average 3-Month/Year Earnings Index. Besides important US economic reports such as CPI, FOMC, PPI and UoM Consumer Preliminary Market Sentiment.
📌GBPUSD's minor intraband trading level is formed by two border zones 1.268 and 1.277. The 1,280 resistance zone still plays a key role in the long-term uptrend of GBPUSD. There may be a slight reaction around 1,280 before GBPUSD breaks out to the important resistance area of 1,288. In the opposite direction, when the currency pair breaks the trendline and continues the downtrend, the support zone at 1,265, the critical zone of the daily frame EMA, will support the currency pair to go up.
Resistance: 1.277-1.280-1.288
Support: 1.268-1.265
BUY GBPUSD 1.266-1.264 SL 1.262
SELL GBPUSD 1,288-1,290 SL 1,292
✍️Note: Break out 1,265 reverses to downtrend, Break out retests resistance 1,280
GBPUSD | Perspective for the new week | Follow-upDive into the GBP/USD market dynamics with us as we dissect its recent movements and chart a course for the week ahead.
After a brief dip to a weekly low sparked by disappointing UK Retail Sales data, GBP/USD bounced back and steadied above the 1.2700 mark. The USD's struggle to attract demand amid positive risk sentiment has provided support, allowing the pair to maintain its position.
The UK's Office for National Statistics (ONS) reported a 2.3% monthly decline in Retail Sales for April, worse than the anticipated 0.4% contraction, hindering Pound Sterling's upward momentum.
Conversely, across the Atlantic, US Durable Goods Orders surpassed expectations, though a downward revision to the previous month's figures tempered the impact, bolstering demand for the British Pound.
With limited high-impact economic releases expected from the UK in the near term, this video delves into our strategies for navigating the evolving market landscape in the week ahead. Join us as we analyze potential trading opportunities and chart our course forward
GBPUSD Technical Analysis:
Will the pound hold above $1.27000? Watch this video for key trades this week. We analyze trends and levels for market insights. Join the discussion for updates on GBP/USD trading. Stay tuned for more content. Happy trading!
Disclaimer Notice:
Trading in the foreign exchange market and other instruments carries high risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content provided here is for educational purposes only. Evaluate your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
GBPUSD | Perspective for the new week | Follow-upIn this video, we delve into the recent movements of the Pound Sterling against the US Dollar as the GBP/USD pair hits a temporary pause near the key resistance level of 1.2700. Investors are closely watching the upcoming release of the United Kingdom's Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for April, which is expected to provide crucial insights into the interest rate outlook.
With the Bank of England (BoE) potentially considering rate adjustments in the near future, the market sentiment has turned slightly cautious. BoE Governor Andrew Bailey's remarks following the March CPI data release hint at a potential decline in inflation figures, impacting the Pound Sterling's trajectory.
On the other side of the Atlantic, Federal Reserve (Fed) policymakers have been pushing back on market expectations for rate cuts, despite the decline in US inflation data. The Fed's stance on maintaining higher interest rates for a longer period has led to a rebound in the US Dollar.
Moreover, concerns over the strength of the US labor market have deepened following higher-than-expected Initial Jobless Claims data, adding another layer of complexity to the market dynamics.
GBPUSD Technical Analysis:
Will the pound hold below $1.27000? Watch this video for key trades this week. We analyze trends and levels for market insights. Join the discussion for updates on GBP/USD trading. Stay tuned for more content. Happy trading!
Disclaimer Notice:
Trading in the foreign exchange market and other instruments carries high risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content provided here is for educational purposes only. Evaluate your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results.