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Gbpusdsignals

Bearish Reversal in GBP/USD After NFP Data: Key Levels to WatchIn my August 8 analysis, I highlighted the Morning Star pattern, which retested the previous resistance of the broken triangle, signaling a potential reversal to the upside with a target above 1.31 for the next leg up. As anticipated, the price did reverse, and not only was the target reached, but it was also surpassed. However, after breaking above the horizontal resistance level, which marked a yearly high for GBP/USD, the pair reversed. Despite bulls' efforts to regain control, the NFP data provided clarity with a strong bearish engulfing pattern on the daily chart. At the time of writing, the price is sitting right on the former resistance level, which now serves as support. A break below this level could lead to further downside movement toward the psychological 1.30 level, and potentially even the 1.2850 technical support zone. I believe this scenario will play out for "cable," and I'm looking to sell into rallies. However, this outlook would be invalidated if a new high is achieved.
Short
by Mihai_Iacob
8
GBPUSD Strongest sell signal since MarchThe GBPUSD pair gave us an excellent sell entry exactly 1 month ago (July 23, see chart below) and easily hit our 1.2790 Target: Yesterday it reached the top of its 10-month Channel Up and technically that is the new Higher High and the strongest sell signal since March 08. That Higher High rejection initiated a Bearish Leg that bottomed just below the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level from the previous Low. As a result, we expect a new medium-term correction (Bearish Leg) to extend to 1.26000 (just below the new 0.618 Fib). ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Short
by TradingShot
2
GBPUSD | Perspective for the new week | Follow-upThe British Pound gains significant traction as the UK Office for National Statistics reports a rebound in Retail Sales for July, with monthly and annual figures rising by 0.5% and 1.4% respectively. This momentum comes ahead of the Bank of England’s (BoE) crucial September monetary policy meeting, where decisions could hinge on the sharp decline in service sector inflation and a surprising drop in the Unemployment Rate, signalling an expanding economy. On the US front, jobless claims continue to fall for the second consecutive week, challenging the earlier Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data that suggested a weaker labor market. Market speculation for large rate cuts has eased, yet expectations for a dovish Federal Reserve decision in September remain strong, with policymakers signalling comfort with upcoming interest-rate cuts. With these recent developments, the GBPUSD remains in a volatile state. The rebound in UK retail sales and the positive signals from the US labor market suggests that there is potential for further gains for the British pound. However, the BoE's policy decision and the Fed's stance on interest rates will be key factors to watch in the coming weeks. How will buyers and sellers position themselves in the coming week? GBPUSD Technical Analysis: Will buyers break above $1.29500 next week? Watch this video for key trades this week. Join the discussion for updates on GBP/USD trading. Stay tuned for more content. Happy trading! Disclaimer Notice: Trading in the foreign exchange market and other instruments carries high risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content provided here is for educational purposes only. Evaluate your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
by darcsherry
GBPUSD Sell signal targeting the 1D MA200The GBPUSD pair almost hit the top of its 10-month Channel Up and immediatelly got rejected. The subsequent pull-back is so far restrained within the (dotted) Channel Up that uses the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) as its Support. The previous such Channel Up, essentially the first Bullish Leg of the (blue) Channel Up, topped at +6.00% (which is where the current rally sits as well) and a 6 week pull-back saw it test the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) on the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level. As a result, the R/R favors heavily going short at the moment. Our Target is 1.2790 (exactly on the 0.382 Fib). ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Short
by TradingShot
3
GBPUSD SWING IDEA OVER 200 PIPSOn the daily chart, GBPUSD appears to be moving sideways at first glance. However, a closer look reveals a distinct pattern in the price action. There's a key level around 1.28200 that the price has consistently respected for some time. If you delve deeper, you'll notice that the price approached this level within a contracting channel, broke through it, and is now forming a bearish continuation pattern. This is a crucial development to watch closely. Stay alert for potential moves!
Short
by fasthandfx
1
GBPUSD | Perspective for the new week | Follow-upThe U.S. dollar made a strong comeback on Friday as the latest economic data revealed a much higher job creation rate than anticipated. The U.S. economy added 272,000 jobs last month, significantly surpassing expectations. This robust job growth suggests that the Federal Reserve might delay starting its easing cycle this year. Additionally, the average hourly earnings increased by 0.4%, up from a 0.2% rate in April, further strengthening the case for a strong dollar. Following this positive jobs report, the likelihood of a rate cut in September dropped to around 50.8%, compared to nearly 70% the previous Thursday. On the other side of the pond, the focus shifts to the United Kingdom, where the Pound Sterling will be influenced by upcoming Employment data, set to be released on Tuesday. The UK has seen a decline in the number of employed people for three consecutive periods. Any further indication of layoffs could weaken the Pound Sterling, increasing speculation that the Bank of England (BoE) might implement early rate cuts. Investors are also keenly watching the UK Average Earnings data, a critical measure of wage growth. The UK's persistent wage growth has been a key driver of high service inflation, posing a challenge to bringing price pressures back towards the 2% target. In this video, we analyze the dynamics between buyers and sellers as they interpret recent economic data and prepare for the upcoming reports this week. GBPUSD Technical Analysis: Will the pound maintain selling pressure below $1.27500? Watch this video for key trades this week. Join the discussion for updates on GBP/USD trading. Stay tuned for more content. Happy trading! Disclaimer Notice: Trading in the foreign exchange market and other instruments carries high risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content provided here is for educational purposes only. Evaluate your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
by darcsherry
1
GBPUSD analysis after positive Nonfarm data📌GBP/USD drops below 1.2720 after encouragement from Nonfarm data. GBP/USD continues its downtrend and trades deep below the key support zone of 1,275. The US dollar outperformed its rivals following impressive labor market data in May, forcing the pair into sharp declines. 📌Next week's markets are in focus on Tuesday with the Change in Claimants, and the UK Average 3-Month/Year Earnings Index. Besides important US economic reports such as CPI, FOMC, PPI and UoM Consumer Preliminary Market Sentiment. 📌GBPUSD's minor intraband trading level is formed by two border zones 1.268 and 1.277. The 1,280 resistance zone still plays a key role in the long-term uptrend of GBPUSD. There may be a slight reaction around 1,280 before GBPUSD breaks out to the important resistance area of ​​1,288. In the opposite direction, when the currency pair breaks the trendline and continues the downtrend, the support zone at 1,265, the critical zone of the daily frame EMA, will support the currency pair to go up. Resistance: 1.277-1.280-1.288 Support: 1.268-1.265 BUY GBPUSD 1.266-1.264 SL 1.262 SELL GBPUSD 1,288-1,290 SL 1,292 ✍️Note: Break out 1,265 reverses to downtrend, Break out retests resistance 1,280
by TVS-Trader
GBPUSD | Perspective for the new week | Follow-upDive into the GBP/USD market dynamics with us as we dissect its recent movements and chart a course for the week ahead. After a brief dip to a weekly low sparked by disappointing UK Retail Sales data, GBP/USD bounced back and steadied above the 1.2700 mark. The USD's struggle to attract demand amid positive risk sentiment has provided support, allowing the pair to maintain its position. The UK's Office for National Statistics (ONS) reported a 2.3% monthly decline in Retail Sales for April, worse than the anticipated 0.4% contraction, hindering Pound Sterling's upward momentum. Conversely, across the Atlantic, US Durable Goods Orders surpassed expectations, though a downward revision to the previous month's figures tempered the impact, bolstering demand for the British Pound. With limited high-impact economic releases expected from the UK in the near term, this video delves into our strategies for navigating the evolving market landscape in the week ahead. Join us as we analyze potential trading opportunities and chart our course forward GBPUSD Technical Analysis: Will the pound hold above $1.27000? Watch this video for key trades this week. We analyze trends and levels for market insights. Join the discussion for updates on GBP/USD trading. Stay tuned for more content. Happy trading! Disclaimer Notice: Trading in the foreign exchange market and other instruments carries high risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content provided here is for educational purposes only. Evaluate your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
by darcsherry
GBPUSD | Perspective for the new week | Follow-upIn this video, we delve into the recent movements of the Pound Sterling against the US Dollar as the GBP/USD pair hits a temporary pause near the key resistance level of 1.2700. Investors are closely watching the upcoming release of the United Kingdom's Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for April, which is expected to provide crucial insights into the interest rate outlook. With the Bank of England (BoE) potentially considering rate adjustments in the near future, the market sentiment has turned slightly cautious. BoE Governor Andrew Bailey's remarks following the March CPI data release hint at a potential decline in inflation figures, impacting the Pound Sterling's trajectory. On the other side of the Atlantic, Federal Reserve (Fed) policymakers have been pushing back on market expectations for rate cuts, despite the decline in US inflation data. The Fed's stance on maintaining higher interest rates for a longer period has led to a rebound in the US Dollar. Moreover, concerns over the strength of the US labor market have deepened following higher-than-expected Initial Jobless Claims data, adding another layer of complexity to the market dynamics. GBPUSD Technical Analysis: Will the pound hold below $1.27000? Watch this video for key trades this week. We analyze trends and levels for market insights. Join the discussion for updates on GBP/USD trading. Stay tuned for more content. Happy trading! Disclaimer Notice: Trading in the foreign exchange market and other instruments carries high risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content provided here is for educational purposes only. Evaluate your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
by darcsherry
1
GBPUSD Strong sell approaching but know when to take it.The GBPUSD pair is approaching the top (Lower Highs trend-line) of the long-term Triangle pattern, having also broken at the same time above the 0.618 Fibonacci. This is around the levels the pair started its previous topping process that led to the eventually Lower High of March 08 2024. We will take the sell when the 1D MACD forms a Bearish Cross and we will target the Triangle's bottom (Higher Lows trend-line) at 1.2400. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Short
by TradingShot
GbpUsd at an important junctureIn my posts over the past month and a half, I've maintained a bearish stance on $FX:GBPUSD. However, despite reaching a low of 1.23, the pair reversed course and climbed back to 1.25+, failing to meet my prediction of reaching the 1.2 zone. Currently, GBPUSD is trading at 1.2540, marking a crucial point for this pair. While I typically don't present multiple scenarios for a trade, it's important to consider both possibilities at this juncture. 1. If the pair drops back below 1.2450, it would indicate a continuation of the downtrend and bring my initial target back into play. 2. Conversely, a rise above 1.26 could signal further gains, potentially pushing the pair towards 1.28.
by Mihai_Iacob
1
GBPUSD | Perspective for the new week | Follow-upAmidst the uncertainty characterized by global events, last week witnessed the GBP/USD pair caught in the crosscurrents of rising geopolitical tensions and pivotal central bank pronouncements. Bank of England's Deputy Governor, Dave Ramsden, took centre stage with remarks on inflation risks, yet failed to provide the anticipated support for Sterling as it plunged to new depths. The UK's economic landscape presented a mixed picture, with March's retail sales stagnating while annual growth maintained a modest trajectory. Against this backdrop, the Bank of England and the Federal Reserve emerged as key players, wielding their influence to shape market sentiment. The journey across the pond unveiled a contrasting narrative, with robust US Retail Sales figures sparking a reassessment of interest rate projections and propelling the US 10-year note yield to unprecedented heights. While Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic cautioned against persistent inflation, New York Fed President John Williams struck a more measured chord, emphasizing the Fed's data-driven approach and its nuanced stance on monetary policy. In this video, we dissect the implications of these developments and chart our course for the new week in GBP/USD trading. GBPUSD Technical Analysis: Will the pound maintain its momentum below the critical $1.24200 zone? In this video, we've examined both the daily and 4-hour timeframes, dissecting bullish and bearish sentiments to unearth the most promising trades for the week ahead. Our analysis dives deep into key levels, trendlines, and support/resistance points, providing invaluable insights into the prevailing market structure. Our focus remains fixed on the pivotal level at $1.24200, where the direction of price action could herald the onset of significant market shifts. How the market responds here will chart the course for GBP/USD in the days to come. Stay engaged and join the discourse in the comment section to stay abreast of the latest developments. Thank you for tuning in, and brace yourselves for further illuminating insights into GBP/USD in our upcoming content. Get ready for an exhilarating journey ahead! Happy trading! Disclaimer Notice: Please be aware that margin trading in the foreign exchange market, including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks, and other instruments, carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content of this speculative material, including all data, is provided by me for educational purposes only and to assist in making independent investment decisions. All information presented here is for reference purposes only, and I do not assume any responsibility for its accuracy. It is important that you carefully evaluate your investment experience, financial situation, investment objectives, and risk tolerance level. Before making any investment, it is advisable to consult with your independent financial advisor to assess the suitability of your circumstances. Please note that I cannot guarantee the accuracy of the information provided, and I am not liable for any loss or damage that may directly or indirectly result from the content or the receipt of any instructions or notifications associated with it. Remember that past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Keep this in mind while considering any investment opportunities.
by darcsherry
GbpUsd- My target remains intact, so, where to sell?As you're aware, I've held a strong bearish stance on FX:GBPUSD , not only anticipating a drop below the 1.25 support level but also expecting a plunge to the 1.2 level. So far, this prediction has been on point. Last week, cable confirmed its weakness as all rallies were sold off, failing to even retest the broken 1.25 support level. Maintaining my bearish outlook, I anticipate further downside momentum, potentially reaching 1.2. Regarding entry points for short selling, if you're not already in a short position, the optimal level would be around 1.24. However, given yesterday's price action, rallies above 1.2350 should also be viewed as favorable opportunities for entry.
Short
by Mihai_Iacob
5
GBPUSD Rebound expected but bearish overallThe GBPUSD pair has been trading within a Channel Down (dotted) since the March 08 2024 High, which can be considered a Lower High on a potentially emerging (dashed) Channel Down. At the same time, the downside on the long-term is limited by a Higher Lows trend-line that was initiated on the March 08 2023 Low. We will formulate our strategy accordingly. On the short-term we expect a rebound towards the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level (such as the August 30 2023 High), targeting 1.2570. On the medium-term, we will stick to the (dotted) Channel Down, targeting the Higher Lows trend-line at 1.2300, which is also above the 0.786 Fib (the October 03 2023 Low hit it marginally). ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Long
by TradingShot