GBPUSD Potentially bearishFX:GBPUSD broke out on the downside of the range market on H4. We are currently seeing a retest of the consolidation, a close below 1.25963 would be a good point to get into the market for a sell. A close above the 1.26606 would mean the bulls getting back into the market at which point I will rather stay out to see what the market will tell us. For the now, I'm favoring the bearish move and will wait for market to cross the 125963 mark.
Gbpusdsignals
GBPUSD Trade Idea#GBPUSD downtrend pauses with a pullback. Potential short opportunity if price rejects at resistance during this pullback. Higher timeframes remain bearish with a recent 1D market structure break. We're eyeing a short entry around 61.8%-78.6% Fibonacci zone. Remember, trading is risky. This is just my opinion, not financial advice.
GBPUSD: Preparing For Rate Decision Next Week 🇬🇧🇺🇸
We are expecting a lot of important fundamental news next week.
Here is your trading plan for GBPUSD.
The market is currently trading within a wide horizontal range on a daily.
Depending on the reaction of the price to its boundaries, I see 2 potential scenarios.
If the price breaks and closes above the resistance of the range,
we can anticipate a bullish movement to 1.294 resistance.
A bearish violation of the support of the range and a daily candle close below that will most likely trigger a bearish movement to 1.254
Wait for a breakout, that will be your strong technical confirmation.
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GBPUSD Tight consolidation. Prepare to trade the break-out.The GBPUSD pair has been trading sideways within the very tight range formed by the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and the top (Lower Highs trend-line) of an emerging Channel Down pattern. In fact while the 1D MA50 has been holding since January 17, the Lower Highs have since December 28, already with 3 clear rejections on them.
This technical squeeze will naturally break in the coming days and technically the way it first breaks to, that will be the dominant trend for the next 4-6 weeks. If it closes a 1D candle below the 1D MA50, before the 1D MACD forms a Bullish Cross, we will sell and target the bottom of the 1 year Channel Up at 1.2250. If it closes above Resistance 1 (1.2825) while forming a 1D MACD Bullish Cross, we will buy and target the next Resistance at 1.3150.
The reason we use the 1D MACD as a parameter is that every full Bullish Cross it made below the 0.00 barrier, was the start of very aggressive rallies. The times that failed to complete it (e.g. August 22 2023), it extended an already strong downtrend.
Notice also the relevance of the 1D Golden and Death Crosses. The last 1D Death Cross (October 17 2023) formed a market bottom and started a rise, while the 1D Golden Cross before it (January 11 2023), led to a market top and declined, both of which are the opposite of their technical expectations. Currently we are after a 1D Golden Cross (January 05 2024), so if the previous inverse correlation applies again, it should favor a bearish trend.
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GbpUsd could reach 1.25 by Friday.Like EurUsd, also GbpUsd failed to break above resistance and reversed.
Yesterday's drop cleared the ascending trend-line and now the pair is exactly in support.
A break under looks imminent and continuation to 1.25 is the most probable scenario.
In extension, swing traders could look at 1.2350 support as the target.
Sell rallies, ideally around 1.2650-1.2670 should be a great entry (I don't think it will rise there though)
GBPUSD → Two Sell Signal Bars! Time to Short? Let's Answer.GBPUSD gave us more upward price action to finish last week and thus far has failed to break the neckline. The Weekly chart shows two wicks over the 200EMA, but not a clean break. Should we short here?
How do we trade this? 🤔
We do not yet have the justification to short for several reasons. Most important, we're lacking a confirmation bar below the 200EMA. We have the two sell bars, but notice the last Daily candle from last week, it's a strong buy bar near a resistance line. A buy bar at a resistance line is not a buy signal because the context doesn't support a buy here. Buy bars this late in the game are often indicative of a potential reversal. The bulls tried to buy after a quick dip in price but failed to close above the 200EMA. This is a sign of potential weakness, key word: *potential*. That weakness needs to be confirmed with a strong bear bar closing on or near its low.
Such a dip will likely bring us to the 30EMA where I would expect some support. My preference would be to wait for that price action to either close below the 30EMA, or come back up to the Resistance Zone (as depicted) and fail again to confirm the short entry.
Until then, it's best to wait on the sidelines for the required price action.
💡 Trade Idea 💡
Short Entry: $2,225
🟥 Stop Loss: $2,510
✅ Take Profit: $1,940
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:1
🔑 Key Takeaways 🔑
1. Two Sell Signals at Resistance Zone
2. Failed to break 200EMA
3. Watch for Bear Close Below 200EMA and a re-test of Resistance Zone.
4. Look for Strong Bear Signal at Resistance to Short.
5. RSI near 58.00 above Moving Average, Contradicts Short Bias.
💰 Trading Tip 💰
A buy bar in isolation (bull candle with a large wick on the bottom) is a bullish bar. But bars in isolation are irrelevant when it comes to addressing a chart. Context is everything and when a buy bar appears near a Resistance Zone at what is possibly the end of a trend, it should not be considered a buy signal, but potentially a sign of weakness before the bears take over.
⚠️ Risk Warning! ⚠️
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. You are solely responsible for your trades. Trade at your own risk!
Like 👍 and comment if you found this analysis useful!
GBPUSD SELL FOR RETRACE !!!!HELLO TRADERS
As i can see GBPUSD is showing us rejection from the sell zone level and DXY is holding on 15 min support zone so we are planing for these given tp
this just an trade idea share ur thoughts with us it will help alote trader community
Stay tuned for more updates
GbpUsd- Rise above 1.3? Nice 1:3.5 R:R trade spottedIn early October, FX:GBPUSD bottomed out in the 1.2 zone and entered a consolidation phase that persisted throughout the month. November marked a positive shift as the pair embarked on a robust uptrend, driving it approximately 800 pips higher.
Come December, the pair transitioned into another consolidation phase, establishing a clear support base at 1.26 and a resistance ceiling around the 1.28 zone. Recent price movements indicate the potential for a breakout, hinting at a prospective rise beyond the significant psychological figure of 1.3.
In the medium term, my target is set at the 1.3150 zone, aligning with the vicinity of the recent high resistance level.
GBP/USD: Forecasting the Week Ahead GBP/USD: Forecasting the Week Ahead
Following the latest US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data, keeping a close watch on upcoming public addresses from Federal Reserve officials is crucial for insights into the direction of the US dollar.
Given recent developments, traders shouldn't be surprised if central bank communication takes a more hawkish stance, signaling reluctance to cut interest rates despite Wall Street's anticipation of approximately 135 basis points of easing this year. Such a scenario could be favorable for yields and the US dollar.
Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin, addressing the inflation data shortly after its release, emphasized that December's inflation figures didn't provide clarity for Federal Reserve officials considering potential rate cuts this year.
Next on the agenda is Neel Kashkari, President of the Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis, scheduled to speak on Friday morning.
Looking ahead to next week, the GBP/USD pair may attract attention with UK inflation data on Wednesday. Despite weakening on Thursday, the GBP/USD held above channel support at around 1.2675. A failure to defend this technical support level might lead to a probe towards 1.2600, with further declines potentially exposing the 200-day simple moving average. If the cable strengthens and breaks above resistance at 1.2760, favorable conditions could set the stage for an ascent toward December's highs above the 1.2826 level. Achieving this target might pave the way for a rally toward 1.3000.
GBPUSD: Consolidation and Complete Indecision 🇬🇧🇺🇸
Even though GBPUSD is trading in a bullish trend since October,
the pair is in a deep consolidation, the last 3 weeks.
The pair is currently stuck within a horizontal range on a daily.
Depending on the reaction of the price to its boundaries,
I see 2 potential scenarios.
Bullish Scenario
If the price breaks and closes above 1.283,
we can anticipate a movement higher to 1.294 resistance.
Bearish Scenario
If the price violates 1.26 support and closes below that on a daily,
a bearish continuation may follow to 1.255 level.
Because the long-term trend is bullish, I remain bullish biased.
Chances will be high that the resistance of the range will be reached.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
GBPUSD | Perspective for the new week | Follow-upDespite the recent retracement, the Pound remains poised for an uptrend continuation. The GBPUSD closed last week's trading session at the 1.25000 handle, holding steady after a stronger-than-expected US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) gave the US Dollar (USD) a final boost to end the week.
Looking ahead to the coming week, there is a flurry of central bank activity, with the US Fed making its final rate call for 2023 and updating its inflation outlook dot plot, followed by the Bank of England (BoE) and its latest interest rate decision. Both central banks are expected to maintain interest rates at 5.5% and 5.25% respectively to close out 2023.
Before the central bank action kicks off, next Tuesday brings UK Average Earnings and Claimant Count Change figures. Projections indicate a potential decline in annualized quarterly average earnings from 7.7% to 7.4% in the third quarter, while November is expected to show a slight increase in the number of unemployment benefits seekers from 17.8K to 20.3K.
As we look to the new week, the question remains: What lies ahead for both the US Dollar and the Pound Sterling?
GBPUSD Technical Analysis:
Will the pound continue its trajectory and sustain its momentum above the $1.200 zone? The stakes are high, and we're on the edge of our seats!
The spotlight is on high-impact economic events from both the US docket for clues. Brace yourselves as the anticipation and the actual events may trigger sharp price movements that could present incredible trading opportunities.
In this video, we've analyzed the Daily and 4-hour timeframes, exploring bullish and bearish sentiments to uncover the most promising trades for the week ahead. We've delved into key levels, trendlines, and support/resistance points, unveiling essential insights into the current market structure.
We are keeping a close eye on the potential range between $1.25000 and $1.25700 where a consolidation could happen before the next BIG move. It's a decisive structure where both sellers and buyers will be vying for control, and how the market reacts here will set the course for GBPUSD in the upcoming days.
Stay connected and join the conversation in the comment section to stay updated on the latest developments. Thank you for tuning in, and get ready for more enlightening insights into GBPUSD in our upcoming content. Buckle up for a thrilling journey ahead! Happy trading!
Disclaimer Notice:
Please be aware that margin trading in the foreign exchange market, including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks, and other instruments, carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content of this speculative material, including all data, is provided by me for educational purposes only and to assist in making independent investment decisions. All information presented here is for reference purposes only, and I do not assume any responsibility for its accuracy.
It is important that you carefully evaluate your investment experience, financial situation, investment objectives, and risk tolerance level. Before making any investment, it is advisable to consult with your independent financial advisor to assess the suitability of your circumstances.
Please note that I cannot guarantee the accuracy of the information provided, and I am not liable for any loss or damage that may directly or indirectly result from the content or the receipt of any instructions or notifications associated with it.
Remember that past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Keep this in mind while considering any investment opportunities.
GBPUSD | Perspective for the new week | Follow-upThe GBPUSD continued its upward momentum, closing the week around 1.27100, a key level for the upcoming week. The Pound's strength is fueled by expectations that the Bank of England will delay rate cuts compared to the Fed and ECB. This sentiment was further supported by a decrease in Treasury yields following Powell's comments about the balanced risks of interest rate hikes. The 10-year notes fell to 4.213%, limiting the US Dollar's momentum. With no major economic releases from the UK in the coming week, the question arises: how will the Pound Sterling perform against the US Dollar?
GBPUSD Technical Analysis:
Will the pound continue its trajectory and sustain its momentum above the $1.27100 zone? The stakes are high, and we're on the edge of our seats!
The spotlight is on high-impact economic events from both the US docket for clues. Brace yourselves as the anticipation and the actual events may trigger sharp price movements that could present incredible trading opportunities.
In this video, we've analyzed the Daily and 4-hour timeframes, exploring bullish and bearish sentiments to uncover the most promising trades for the week ahead. We've delved into key levels, trendlines, and support/resistance points, unveiling essential insights into the current market structure.
We are keeping a close eye on the potential range between $1.27100 and $1.26200 where a consolidation could happen before the next BIG move. It's a decisive structure where both sellers and buyers will be vying for control, and how the market reacts here will set the course for GBPUSD in the upcoming days.
Stay connected and join the conversation in the comment section to stay updated on the latest developments. Thank you for tuning in, and get ready for more enlightening insights into GBPUSD in our upcoming content. Buckle up for a thrilling journey ahead! Happy trading!
Disclaimer Notice:
Please be aware that margin trading in the foreign exchange market, including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks, and other instruments, carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content of this speculative material, including all data, is provided by me for educational purposes only and to assist in making independent investment decisions. All information presented here is for reference purposes only, and I do not assume any responsibility for its accuracy.
It is important that you carefully evaluate your investment experience, financial situation, investment objectives, and risk tolerance level. Before making any investment, it is advisable to consult with your independent financial advisor to assess the suitability of your circumstances.
Please note that I cannot guarantee the accuracy of the information provided, and I am not liable for any loss or damage that may directly or indirectly result from the content or the receipt of any instructions or notifications associated with it.
Remember that past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Keep this in mind while considering any investment opportunities.
GBPUSD in long term trend, entry is in the article📈 Forex Signals – GBP/USD
📌 Last week's analysis: GBPUSD had advantages not available to buyers
👉 Main trend: Decline. This currency pair is in a strong bearish trend and could experience a strong bearish trend after several weeks of strong gains.
📊 H1 Chart: Prices are falling steadily, but not sharply. An acceleration is expected before the price decline.
🔑 Strategic trading:
Entry: approx. 1.25919 (resistance area)
SL: 1.26267
TP1: 1.24866
TP2: 1.23616
💡 Note: Always follow risk management procedures and never invest beyond your financial capabilities.
GbpUsd could drop 200 pipsI've been bullish on GBP/USD and expected it to reach 1.26. Indeed, the target was not only reached but also surpassed with a high of 1.2720. However, after reaching the 1.27 zone, GBP/USD started to show signs of fatigue and failed twice at this level.
With the rise since mid-November contained in a rising wedge pattern and a potential double top forming (confirmation required with a drop under 1.26), the pair could decline to the next level of support around 1.24.
That being said, I'm bearish on GBP/USD, and I'm looking to sell rallies, with a negation in the event of a new local high.
GBPUSD Pull-back buy opportunity.We looked at GBPUSD more than a month ago (see chart below) and the trade that prevailed was a bullish break-out above the 4H MA200:
Basically that countered the loss on the Channel Down short, as the pair has entered a new Channel Up trade, which is now supported both by the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line).
As the price is on the pattern's top (Higher Highs trend-line) and the 1D CCI posting a similar sequence as the March 2023 and November 2022 pull-back fractals, we expect a short-term correction towards the 1D MA200 and the 4H MA200 (red trend-line) at 1.2575 at least, followed by a rebound that we will buy, targeting 1.2900 (above Resistance 1 and +2.66% from the low).
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GBPUSD: Technical Outlook & Forecast For Next Week 🇬🇧🇺🇸
GBPUSD is trading in a minor bullish trend within a rising parallel channel on a daily.
The price set a new higher high on Friday, violating a solid horizontal resistance.
It is an important sign of strength of the buyers.
We may anticipate a further growth next week.
Next resistance - 1.272
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
GBPUSD | Perspective for the new week | Follow-upThe currency pair is currently consolidating just above the 1.2400 handle, grappling with recent consolidation highs. The Pound Sterling faces challenges in retaining gains made against the US Dollar (USD) last week.
Experiencing a mid-week peak with a 2.25% gain against the USD, the GBP has since moderated to a more sustainable 1.65%. Despite a broader market risk bid amid speculations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) has concluded interest rate hikes, the GBPUSD remains stuck in the midrange due to underwhelming UK data.
As we look ahead to next week, investor focus will shift to the release of the Fed's latest Meeting Minutes on Tuesday.
GBPUSD Technical Analysis:
Will the pound find a reversal set-up in the near future as the price breaks the $1.24000 zone ? The stakes are high, and we're on the edge of our seats!
The spotlight is on high-impact economic events from both the US dockets for clues. Brace yourselves as the anticipation and the actual events may trigger sharp price movements that could present incredible trading opportunities.
In this video, we've analyzed the Daily and 4-hour timeframes, exploring bullish and bearish sentiments to uncover the most promising trades for the week ahead. We've delved into key levels, trendlines, and support/resistance points, unveiling essential insights into the current market structure.
We are keeping a close eye on the potential range between $1.24000 and $1.25000 where a consolidation could happen before the next BIG move. It's a decisive structure where both sellers and buyers will be vying for control, and how the market reacts here will set the course for GBPUSD in the upcoming days.
Stay connected and join the conversation in the comment section to stay updated on the latest developments. Thank you for tuning in, and get ready for more enlightening insights into GBPUSD in our upcoming content. Buckle up for a thrilling journey ahead! Happy trading!
GBPUSDFX:GBPUSD has been making some interesting higher lows over the last few weeks. It has broken the 1.23962 resistance area and currently doing a retest of the same zone. Are we going to see a further push or price will drop and push further down? That remains to be seen, however my bias in this is Bullish.
On H4, a good rejection of the zone just might trigger the momentum need for the uptrend to continue with targets at the next resistance level 1.26325. If price on the other hand breaks down to the short side, we just might see it come back to the 1.22265 area
Disclaimer:
All trade ideas are given for educational purposes and should not be treated as an investment advice, hence do your due diligence. Past results does not guarantee future results
GBPUSD | Perspective for the new week | Follow-upThe GBPUSD continues its descent, reaching the 1.2200 zone. Despite the UK's Q3 GDP surpassing expectations with a 0.6% annual expansion, the pair remains unresponsive as investors hold off for next week's crucial data releases to determine a clearer direction.
On an annual basis, the UK's GDP growth of 0.6% exceeded forecasts of 0.5%. However, the nation treads cautiously on the edge of a stagflationary scenario in 2023. Despite efforts by the Bank of England, inflation persists at elevated levels, prompting over 500 basis points of tightening.
On the other side of the Atlantic, hawkish remarks from the Fed chair have propelled US Treasury bond yields, providing support to the Greenback.
Looking ahead, market participants are gearing up for next week's UK economic calendar, featuring key indicators such as jobs data, inflation, and retail sales, crucial for market cues. In the US, alongside additional Fed speakers, attention will be on consumer and producer inflation, unemployment claims, and retail sales.
GBPUSD Technical Analysis:
Will the pound find a reversal set-up in the near future as the price tests the $1.22000 zone? The stakes are high, and we're on the edge of our seats!
The spotlight is on high-impact economic events from both the US dockets for clues. Brace yourselves as the anticipation and the actual events may trigger sharp price movements that could present incredible trading opportunities.
In this video, we've analyzed the Daily and 4-hour timeframes, exploring bullish and bearish sentiments to uncover the most promising trades for the week ahead. We've delved into key levels, trendlines, and support/resistance points, unveiling essential insights into the current market structure.
We are keeping a close eye on the potential range between $1.22000 and $1.21450 where a consolidation could happen before the next BIG move. It's a decisive structure where both sellers and buyers will be vying t0 control, and how the market reacts here will set the course for GBPUSD in the upcoming days.
Stay connected and join the conversation in the comment section to stay updated on the latest developments. Thank you for tuning in, and get ready for more enlightening insights into GBPUSD in our upcoming content. Buckle up for a thrilling journey ahead! Happy trading!
Disclaimer:
Trading on margin in the foreign exchange market (including commodities, CFDs, stocks, etc.) carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is provided by me for educational and informational purposes only to assist in making independent investment decisions. All information presented here is for reference purposes only, and I do not accept any responsibility for its accuracy.
It is important that you carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objectives, and risk tolerance level, and seek advice from an independent financial advisor to assess the suitability of your situation before making any investment.
I do not guarantee the accuracy of the information provided and shall not be held liable for any loss or damage that may arise directly or indirectly from the content or the receipt of any instructions or notifications related to it.
Please note that past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results
GBPUSD | Perspective for the new week | Follow-upThe pound Sterling experienced a turbulent week as it traded within a narrow range. However, a recovery in broad-market sentiment occurred after the release of a disappointing US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report. This report sparked investor risk appetite, particularly heading into the weekend.
The US NFP figures fell short of expectations, revealing the worst headline figure in nearly three years. In October, the US added 150K new jobs, which was below the market forecast of 180K and significantly lower than September's figure of 297K. September's figure was also revised downwards from the initial print of 336K.
This underwhelming performance in US job growth has led to a decline in the US Dollar across the broader market. Surprisingly, investors are now favoring risk assets over safe havens despite the negative US labor data. The softening of US data is likely to give the Federal Reserve reason to pause on interest rate decisions. Investors are eagerly looking for signs that the Fed will accelerate the schedule for future rate cuts.
As a result of this data, investors are now pricing in a 95% chance that the US central bank will keep interest rates unchanged in December, compared to the previous estimate of 80%. This shift in expectations may lead to increased volatility for the pound Sterling, especially considering that the UK GDP data is scheduled for release next Friday.
GBPUSD Technical Analysis:
Will the pound find a reversal set-up in the near future as the price breaks the $1.23300 zone? The stakes are high, and we're on the edge of our seats!
The spotlight is on high-impact economic events from both the US dockets for clues. Brace yourselves as the anticipation and the actual events may trigger sharp price movements that could present incredible trading opportunities.
In this video, we've analyzed the Daily and 4-hour timeframes, exploring bullish and bearish sentiments to uncover the most promising trades for the week ahead. We've delved into key levels, trendlines, and support/resistance points, unveiling essential insights into the current market structure.
We are keeping a close eye on the potential range between $1.23900 and $1.23300 where a consolidation could happen before the next BIG move. It's a decisive structure where both sellers and buyers will be vying ti control, and how the market reacts here will set the course for GBPUSD in the upcoming days.
Stay connected and join the conversation in the comment section to stay updated on the latest developments. Thank you for tuning in, and get ready for more enlightening insights into GBPUSD in our upcoming content. Buckle up for a thrilling journey ahead! Happy trading!
Disclaimer:
Trading on margin in the foreign exchange market (including commodities, CFDs, stocks, etc.) carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is provided by me for educational and informational purposes only to assist in making independent investment decisions. All information presented here is for reference purposes only, and I do not accept any responsibility for its accuracy.
It is important that you carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objectives, and risk tolerance level, and seek advice from an independent financial advisor to assess the suitability of your situation before making any investment.
I do not guarantee the accuracy of the information provided and shall not be held liable for any loss or damage that may arise directly or indirectly from the content or the receipt of any instructions or notifications related to it.
Please note that past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results
GBPUSD Buy zone!From the analysis on the H4 chart, it's evident that the price has recently rebounded from 1.2326, marking it as a retracement support level. Our target is set at 1.2361, which is identified as a retracement resistance level. We've also established Support at 1.2267, a level characterized as a retracement support.