GBPUSD | Perspective for the new week | Follow-upGBPUSD price moved 0.45% higher hereby closing the previous week at the 1.26550 zone, hitting a new one-year high amidst the Bank of England battle with inflation. Consumer price inflation in the UK came in at 10.1% - five times the BOE’s mandate. The incoming week is laced with a handful of high-impact economic events from both the UK and US economic docket to trigger market influx either way. The BOE is generally expected to increase rates a quarter point to 4.5% this week and how the market is anticipating these was closely looked at in this video from a technical standpoint.
Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
Gbpusdsignals
GBPUSD | Perspective for the new week | Follow-upGBPUSD turns positive for the fourth straight week but this time around did a significant breakout of the 1.25000 level - climbing to a two-week high on Friday to set the tone for a bullish momentum ahead of the new month. However, bets for another 25 bps rate hike by the US Fed Reserve in the coming week could tilt an imbalance in the market influx. It is also important to note that the coming week is laced with a handful of high-impact macroeconomic event that could incite a choppy situation in this market.
Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
GBPUSD | Perspective for the new week | Follow-upBritish consumers remain affected by an elevated inflation rate, which stayed in double digits in March. Comments from a couple of Fed policymakers pointed to the US central bank raising interest rates by 25 basis points in early May, judging that inflation is still at problematic levels and monetary policy needs to be tightened. The market's immediate reaction to these sentiments has been positive as the US Dollar edged higher Friday and looks set to a bearish tone for the GBPUSD in the coming weeks. However, technical levels on the chart around the 1.23600 zone suggest bears need a whole lot of momentum and fundamental stimulus to break through this zone first as it does have a strong memory for buying power. With no high-impact fundamental stimulus from the UK docket in the coming week; the video illustrates what to look for in the current market structure to signal a buy or sell move this week.
Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
The pound may have downward demandAfter a sharp decline in the US market last Friday, GBP/USD has managed to stabilize above 1.2400 on Monday.The short-term technical side fails to provide directional clues, and may only have to wait for the currency pair to break through the consolidation channel,only then will there be a better continuity of behavior.
According to the current market structure, it may be more difficult for GBP/USD to continue to rise, and the daily line is expected to form a head-and-shoulder technical pattern, which will exert pressure on the future market structure and limit the technical upward space of GBP/USD; Moreover, the technical repair of the daily line is far from being in place, so GBP/USD is still in demand for a decline.
In the short term, pay attention to the resistance near 1.246 above.
GBPUSD | Perspective for the new week | Follow-upEconomists see a roughly two in three chance that the BoE will raise its interest rate next month to 4.5% from 4.25%, which would be its 12th consecutive rate rise since December 2021. With a week laced week series of high-impact macroeconomic events, the consumer price index will be the centre of focus as expect data on Wednesday to show a fall in consumer price inflation to 10% from 10.4%, but this will still leave it well above the target. From a technical standpoint, this video illustrates the dissection of the current market strucure to weigh in on the opportunities both the buyers and sellers have in the coming week in other to be able to be in a decent position to catch the impulse.
Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
Will the pound usher in a bull market?The current interest rate hike is nearing the end. The market has digested it, and the dollar has fallen in a volatile manner. Now that European banks are accompanied by the bankruptcy of Credit Suisse, there should be other bank risks. At the same time, Europe is also following the Fed to raise interest rates. Now the Ukraine crisis continues, the European energy crisis, the food crisis and the refugee debt crisis continue, and the recession is inevitable, so the euro and the British pound are likely not to go into a bull market.
In addition, judging from the current structural trend, GBPUSD has rebounded sharply after a sharp decline, so the lower support is not very strong, and there is a need for a second fall to verify the lower support, so GBPUSD still has a need for backtesting in the short term.
In the short term: pay attention to the resistance of 1.245 above, and observe the defense of 1.238 below.
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GBPUSD : Current Situation & Technical , Fundamental View#GBPUSD
- Currently the MARKET SENTIMENT for GBPUSD is slightly UP SIDE. All MARKETS including STOCKS and STOCKS may be UP due to MARKET RISK ON in the past days. It affects the POUND greatly. GBPUSD may be slightly UP this week. Anyway, XXXUSD PAIRS are being BUYed slightly higher because the FED is a bit dovish.
- The price can definitely move up to the resistance level above the GBPUSD. The reason for that is because there is a slightly UP BIAS in the MARKET for USD. But GBPUSD can be BUY until 1.2536 LEVEL. After that, you can SELL at 1.2099 LEVEL. So go to GBPUSD SELL ENTRIES.
GBPUSD | Perspective for the new week | Follow-upDespite US job growth slowing down, the economy still added 236,000 jobs in March though below expectation and has averaged gains of 345,000 per month during the first quarter, well above the level the central bank sees as consistent with its 2% inflation goal. An immediate reaction resulted in the dollar strengthening on Friday hereby suggesting that the Federal Reserve may have to raise interest rates next month. With nonfarm payrolls out of the way, all attention is now focused on next week's US consumer price index (CPI) for the month of March. From a technical standpoint, this video shed light on the critical nature of the current market structure as we anticipate the series of high-impact macroeconomic events in the coming week.
Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
GBPUSD | Perspective for the new week | Follow-upU.S. consumer spending rose moderately in February, while inflation showed signs of cooling hereby boosting hopes the Federal Reserve would be less aggressive in hiking interest rates. On the other hand, a dim economic outlook overshadows data revealing Britain avoided a recession in the final months of 2022 could be a turning point for the Sterling as it hit resistance again at the close of last week's trading session at the $1.24500 zone. In this video, we did a technical analysis of the current market structure to decipher what to look out for in the coming week as all eyes will be on the NFP data amongst other high-impact macroeconomic events this week.
Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
GBPUSD Making a bullish break-outThe GBPUSD pair eventually rebounded and hit the Double Top Resistance, which was our Target as presented on our February 28 analysis:
At the moment the price is above that level (1.2450) and as long as it closes above it, we will be targeting 1.2650 on the May 27 2022 High Resistance. A closing below 1.2450 could set this rise back to the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) until the 1D RSI turns neutral around 50.00 again and attracts buyers.
Note that there is an important long-term Resistance Cluster ahead as besides the 1.2665 Resistance (May 27 High), we have the June 01 2021 Lower Highs trend-line. A break above the 1W MA200 (red trend-line) places GBPUSD back into long-term bullish territory on the 1W time-frame.
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Will GbpUsd break above resistance? (Medium term outlook)Since September's low in 2022, GbpUsd has reversed to the upside and changed the trend once broke back above 1.15.
Corrected twice from the 1.24 zone and each time 1.2 zone (and slightly under) offered strong support with bulls quickly gaining control and leaving long tails on the weekly chart.
At this moment GbpUsd is trading back to the resistance zone and looks determined to break to the upside.
1.22-1.2250 should offer strong support and dips in this zone should be bought in anticipation of a new leg up.
My target for gbpusd is 1.27 in the medium term
GBPUSD | Perspective for the new week | Follow-upPrice action traded within a range last week as it makes quite a bit of sense that we would see this market become very choppy ahead of the Federal Reserve interest rate decision coming up next week. The Shockwaves from the health of the banking sector following the rescue of Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank by the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp last week have increased tension as fears that the U.S. economy could end up in a deep recession still lingers in the air. In this video, we did a technical dissection of the GBPUSD chart with the hopes of identifying the potential direction in the new week. We observed the break of the bearish trendline at the $1.20000 zone suggesting a bullish signal, but there’s so much noise just above this structure that the possibility of a range-bound market before answers from the Federal Reserve is a condition to consider in our plans.
Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
GBPUSD | Perspective for the new week | Follow-upThe U.K. economy reflected signs of positivity with preliminary estimates showing gross domestic product rose by 0.3%. However, the potential to raise interest rates at the BoE's next meeting in two weeks’ time remains on the table as inflation has been running at around 10% for the last six months. From a technical perspective, it is obvious that price action is still going through an indecisive phase as we anticipate next week's fundamental data for clues. In this video, we looked at our chances to either buy or sell the Pound in the coming week.
00:38 Reference to last week's daily commentaries and results
03:50 GBPUSD Technical analysis on Daily chart
07:55 Macroeconomic events to look out for the week
11:45 GBPUSD Technical analysis on 4H Timeframe
09:53 Conclusion on next week's expectation for GBPUSD
Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
GBPUSD | Perspective for the new week | Follow-upIn the absence of high-impact events from the UK this week, the anticipation of the testimony by Fed Chair Jerome Powell on Tuesday and Wednesday as he delivers the semi-annual monetary policy report to lawmakers is on everyone's radar. Obviously, his comments will shed light on whether stakeholders are in tune with the central bank’s view on how high it will have to raise rates to knock down inflation. From a technical standpoint, this video shed light on what to look out for in the charts as bullish activities from last week's trading session may linger into the new week.
00:48 Reference to last week's daily commentaries and results
04:27 GBPUSD Technical analysis on Daily chart
04:35 Macroeconomic events to look out for the week
10:12 GBPUSD Technical analysis on 4H Timeframe
12:40 Conclusion on next week's expectation on GBPUSD
Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
GBPUSD 3 March 2023* NON TRENDING Market
* According to Trend Line Seems Bearish
* Formation of New Lower Low
* Price falling from Fib level 0.5
* Possible area of Lower High
* Shooting Star followed by Evening Star
On these above findings its a SHORT call
Trade Plan:
Short Call
Entry Price : 1.19161
Stoploss : 1.20792
Target 1 : 1.17527
Target 2 : 1.15958
GBPUSD | Perspective for the new week | Follow-upDespite the rebound in UK consumer confidence in February and the GfK’s consumer confidence indicator jumping seven points to -38 (a 10-month high), the Pound Sterling relinquished its previous gain to close the week above a strong demand zone at the $1.19000 zone. Supported by strong economic data, the demand for the Greenback has virtually increased in the last couple of weeks to send a bullish statement going into the new week. Will the Pound find support this week or will the continued selling pressure breach the $1.19 level to incite a sell-off? We shall rely on key economic data this week for liquidity and insights on potential trading opportunities. This video illustrates from a technical perspective what we are looking out for in the coming week(s).
00:48 Reference to last week's daily commentaries and results
03:20 GBPUSD Technical analysis on Daily chart
08:35 Macroeconomic events to look out for the week
10:25 GBPUSD Technical analysis on 4H Timeframe
11:25 Conclusion on next week's expectation on GBPUSD
Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
GBPUSD Aiming at the Rectangle's top. Buy signal.The GBPUSD pair eventually broke below the Channel Up, since our previous idea at the start of the month, hit the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) and rebounded:
This has created a ranged trading action inside a +2 month Rectangle. The price is now trapped within the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line0 and 1D MA200 and if it closes above the 1D MA50, it will target the 1.2455 Resistance (and Double Top so far).
The 1D RSI is trading inside a Channel Down whose Lows and Highs match the ideal entries on the Rectangle, so currently this is an ideal buy spot.
If the 1.2455 Resistance breaks, we will target the 1.2675 Resistance (May 27 2022 High).
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GBPUSD | Perspective for the new week | Follow-upThe US Dollar negated the bullish attempt at the beginning of the week and moved over 300pips its favor after positive consumer price index data on Tuesday. Though it edged lower during the latter part of last week's trading session hereby handing back some of the previous session’s gains after better-than-expected U.S. retail sales pointed to more interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve to close the week at 1.20500. From a technical standpoint, the inability of the bears to break down the strong demand zone at the 1.19500 level questions the strength of the existing bearish momentum.
00:30 Reference to last week's daily commentaries and results
03:15 GBPUSD Technical analysis on Daily chart
08:20 Highlight of Macroeconomic event for the week
09:55 GBPUSD Technical analysis on 4H Timeframe
12:25 Conclusion on next week's expectation for GBPUSD
Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
GBPUSD | Perspective for the new week | Follow-upThe GBPUSD traded in a relatively tight range during the course of last week's trading session as participants digest economic data and try to parse speeches from a series of Fed policymakers for clues of the likely future pace of the Federal Reserve's rate hikes. In this video, we looked at the current market structure from a technical standpoint and identified potential trading set-up ahead of the new week.
00:38 Reference to last week's daily commentaries and results
04:00 GBPUSD Technical analysis on Daily chart
06:55 Highlight of Macroeconomic event for the week
07:51 GBPUSD Technical analysis on 4H Timeframe
09:50 Conclusion on next week's expectation for GBPUSD
Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
GBPUSD top-down analysisHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.