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GBPUSD | Perspective for the new week | Follow-upThe British Pound gains significant traction as the UK Office for National Statistics reports a rebound in Retail Sales for July, with monthly and annual figures rising by 0.5% and 1.4% respectively. This momentum comes ahead of the Bank of England’s (BoE) crucial September monetary policy meeting, where decisions could hinge on the sharp decline in service sector inflation and a surprising drop in the Unemployment Rate, signalling an expanding economy. On the US front, jobless claims continue to fall for the second consecutive week, challenging the earlier Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data that suggested a weaker labor market. Market speculation for large rate cuts has eased, yet expectations for a dovish Federal Reserve decision in September remain strong, with policymakers signalling comfort with upcoming interest-rate cuts. With these recent developments, the GBPUSD remains in a volatile state. The rebound in UK retail sales and the positive signals from the US labor market suggests that there is potential for further gains for the British pound. However, the BoE's policy decision and the Fed's stance on interest rates will be key factors to watch in the coming weeks. How will buyers and sellers position themselves in the coming week? GBPUSD Technical Analysis: Will buyers break above $1.29500 next week? Watch this video for key trades this week. Join the discussion for updates on GBP/USD trading. Stay tuned for more content. Happy trading! Disclaimer Notice: Trading in the foreign exchange market and other instruments carries high risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content provided here is for educational purposes only. Evaluate your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
by darcsherry
GBPUSD | Perspective for the new week | Follow-upThe British Pound (GBP) has been on a rough ride lately, closing out its fifth consecutive week in the red. But a late-week rally brought some hope, pulling the GBP/USD back from its lowest point in five months. Now, all eyes are on the upcoming week, which is packed with key economic data and a crucial Fed decision. In this video, we'll analyze the GBP/USD currency pair, examining the potential for a bullish rebound in light of the upcoming economic releases and the Fed's likely rate cut. With the Federal Reserve's September meeting on the horizon, investors are keenly focused on the potential for a rate cut. Current rate markets have priced in the beginning of a rate cut cycle, with the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) expected to meet on September 18. Although the probability of a 50 basis point cut was previously high, expectations have adjusted slightly. According to the CME’s FedWatch Tool, there is now a 53.5% chance of a 50 bps cut in September, with further cuts anticipated later in 2024. Next week’s economic calendar is packed with key data. On Tuesday and Wednesday, we’ll receive the US Producer Price Index (PPI) and Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation reports, which could provide crucial insights into market direction. Additionally, US Retail Sales and updates from the University of Michigan’s Consumer Sentiment Survey will offer more context for economic trends. Given these developments, the big question is: will the British Pound be able to maintain its bullish momentum as we head into the new week? Join us as we dive into the charts, analyze the current market conditions, and discuss potential trading opportunities. GBPUSD Technical Analysis: Will the pound maintain buying pressure above $1.27500 and the ascending trendline next week? Watch this video for key trades this week. Join the discussion for updates on GBP/USD trading. Stay tuned for more content. Happy trading! Disclaimer Notice: Trading in the foreign exchange market and other instruments carries high risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content provided here is for educational purposes only. Evaluate your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
by darcsherry
GBPUSD | Perspective for the new week | Follow-upThe Pound Sterling (GBP) extends its correction against the US Dollar following the release of weaker-than-expected UK Retail Sales data for June, showing a monthly contraction of 1.2% against the expected 0.4% decline and the previous month's growth of 2.9%. 🔍 Key Highlights: 📉 Retail Sales Data: A significant indicator of consumer spending, the sharp decline suggests households are struggling with higher interest rates from the Bank of England (BoE). 💼 Economic Conditions: The rise in claimant count claims may indicate worsening economic conditions, favoring inflation doves on the BoE's Monetary Policy Committee. 💸 Inflation and Interest Rates: Annual inflation in the UK remained stable in June compared to May. However, the BoE points to persistently high service inflation at 5.7% and strong wage growth as barriers to cutting interest rates. 📉 BoE Rate Cuts: The probability of a rate cut by the BoE next month has declined, despite positive sentiment towards the new British government. 📊 Technical Analysis: In this video, I illustrate the technical aspects to watch out for to navigate the current market dynamics effectively. I also discuss key levels and potential scenarios for the GBPUSD in the coming days. GBPUSD Technical Analysis: Will the pound maintain buying pressure above $1.29000? Watch this video for key trades this week. Join the discussion for updates on GBP/USD trading. Stay tuned for more content. Happy trading! #GBPUSD #Forex #Trading #TechnicalAnalysis #UKEconomy #BankofEngland #Inflation #MarketAnalysis #TradingStrategies Disclaimer Notice: Trading in the foreign exchange market and other instruments carries high risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content provided here is for educational purposes only. Evaluate your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
by darcsherry
1
GBPUSD | Perspective for the new week | Follow-upThe U.S. dollar made a strong comeback on Friday as the latest economic data revealed a much higher job creation rate than anticipated. The U.S. economy added 272,000 jobs last month, significantly surpassing expectations. This robust job growth suggests that the Federal Reserve might delay starting its easing cycle this year. Additionally, the average hourly earnings increased by 0.4%, up from a 0.2% rate in April, further strengthening the case for a strong dollar. Following this positive jobs report, the likelihood of a rate cut in September dropped to around 50.8%, compared to nearly 70% the previous Thursday. On the other side of the pond, the focus shifts to the United Kingdom, where the Pound Sterling will be influenced by upcoming Employment data, set to be released on Tuesday. The UK has seen a decline in the number of employed people for three consecutive periods. Any further indication of layoffs could weaken the Pound Sterling, increasing speculation that the Bank of England (BoE) might implement early rate cuts. Investors are also keenly watching the UK Average Earnings data, a critical measure of wage growth. The UK's persistent wage growth has been a key driver of high service inflation, posing a challenge to bringing price pressures back towards the 2% target. In this video, we analyze the dynamics between buyers and sellers as they interpret recent economic data and prepare for the upcoming reports this week. GBPUSD Technical Analysis: Will the pound maintain selling pressure below $1.27500? Watch this video for key trades this week. Join the discussion for updates on GBP/USD trading. Stay tuned for more content. Happy trading! Disclaimer Notice: Trading in the foreign exchange market and other instruments carries high risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content provided here is for educational purposes only. Evaluate your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
by darcsherry
1
GBPUSD | Perspective for the new week | Follow-upDive into the GBP/USD market dynamics with us as we dissect its recent movements and chart a course for the week ahead. After a brief dip to a weekly low sparked by disappointing UK Retail Sales data, GBP/USD bounced back and steadied above the 1.2700 mark. The USD's struggle to attract demand amid positive risk sentiment has provided support, allowing the pair to maintain its position. The UK's Office for National Statistics (ONS) reported a 2.3% monthly decline in Retail Sales for April, worse than the anticipated 0.4% contraction, hindering Pound Sterling's upward momentum. Conversely, across the Atlantic, US Durable Goods Orders surpassed expectations, though a downward revision to the previous month's figures tempered the impact, bolstering demand for the British Pound. With limited high-impact economic releases expected from the UK in the near term, this video delves into our strategies for navigating the evolving market landscape in the week ahead. Join us as we analyze potential trading opportunities and chart our course forward GBPUSD Technical Analysis: Will the pound hold above $1.27000? Watch this video for key trades this week. We analyze trends and levels for market insights. Join the discussion for updates on GBP/USD trading. Stay tuned for more content. Happy trading! Disclaimer Notice: Trading in the foreign exchange market and other instruments carries high risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content provided here is for educational purposes only. Evaluate your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
by darcsherry
GBPUSD | Perspective for the new week | Follow-upIn this video, we delve into the recent movements of the Pound Sterling against the US Dollar as the GBP/USD pair hits a temporary pause near the key resistance level of 1.2700. Investors are closely watching the upcoming release of the United Kingdom's Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for April, which is expected to provide crucial insights into the interest rate outlook. With the Bank of England (BoE) potentially considering rate adjustments in the near future, the market sentiment has turned slightly cautious. BoE Governor Andrew Bailey's remarks following the March CPI data release hint at a potential decline in inflation figures, impacting the Pound Sterling's trajectory. On the other side of the Atlantic, Federal Reserve (Fed) policymakers have been pushing back on market expectations for rate cuts, despite the decline in US inflation data. The Fed's stance on maintaining higher interest rates for a longer period has led to a rebound in the US Dollar. Moreover, concerns over the strength of the US labor market have deepened following higher-than-expected Initial Jobless Claims data, adding another layer of complexity to the market dynamics. GBPUSD Technical Analysis: Will the pound hold below $1.27000? Watch this video for key trades this week. We analyze trends and levels for market insights. Join the discussion for updates on GBP/USD trading. Stay tuned for more content. Happy trading! Disclaimer Notice: Trading in the foreign exchange market and other instruments carries high risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content provided here is for educational purposes only. Evaluate your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
by darcsherry
1
GBPUSD | Perspective for the new week | Follow-upJoin us as we delve into the latest developments shaping the GBPUSD landscape. The Pound Sterling rebounded in the second half of the week driven by robust Q1 GDP figures from the UK's Office for National Statistics, indicating a resilient economy. With a growth rate of 0.6%, surpassing expectations, the UK appears to be steering clear of recessionary woes. This buoyant economic growth paves the way for a 'soft landing,' according to Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey, instilling confidence in inflation returning to target levels. However, amidst this optimism, there's a divergence of opinions within the BoE's Monetary Policy Committee, with talks of a potential rate cut looming. Meanwhile, across the pond, the US Dollar faces headwinds as jobless claims soar, reigniting concerns about the strength of the labor market. Against this backdrop, all eyes are now on upcoming data releases, including UK labor market statistics and US Consumer Price Index data, as investors brace for potential market shifts. GBPUSD Technical Analysis: Will the pound maintain its momentum below the critical $1.25400 zone? In this video, we've examined the 4-hour timeframes, dissecting bullish and bearish sentiments to unearth the most promising trades for the week ahead. Our analysis dives deep into key levels, trendlines, and support/resistance points, providing invaluable insights into the prevailing market structure. Our focus remains fixed on the pivotal level at $1.25400 and descending trendline, where the direction of price action could herald the onset of significant market shifts. How the market responds here will chart the course for GBP/USD in the days to come. Stay engaged and join the discourse in the comment section to stay abreast of the latest developments. Thank you for tuning in, and brace yourselves for further insights into GBP/USD in our upcoming content. Get ready for an exhilarating journey ahead! Happy trading! Disclaimer Notice: Please be aware that margin trading in the foreign exchange market, including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks, and other instruments, carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content of this speculative material, including all data, is provided by me for educational purposes only and to assist in making independent investment decisions. All information presented here is for reference purposes only, and I do not assume any responsibility for its accuracy. It is important that you carefully evaluate your investment experience, financial situation, investment objectives, and risk tolerance level. Before making any investment, it is advisable to consult with your independent financial advisor to assess the suitability of your circumstances. Please note that I cannot guarantee the accuracy of the information provided, and I am not liable for any loss or damage that may directly or indirectly result from the content or the receipt of any instructions or notifications associated with it. Remember that past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Keep this in mind while considering any investment opportunities.
by darcsherry
GBPJPY Strong Reversal & GBPUSD UpdateThe Japanese Yen(D) is going through the B to C leg of its correction, which we saw in the yen pairs in the last 24 hours. The GBP/JPY is our pick for a long trade because it has a more technical-bullish outlook than most other yen pairs. More info in the video. GBP/USD The cable broke higher yesterday above 1.2634 , the limit for any downtrend continuation. The violation of this point invalidated the expected downtrend continuation trade. We must wait for the price to conclude the current rally before we can act on a new position in the cable.
Long
by Charts247TradingAcademy
3
GBPUSD | Perspective for the new week | Follow-upThe Pound Sterling (GBP) gains strength as market sentiment improves, driven by a growing appetite for risk-sensitive assets. This sentiment is reinforced by soft wage growth and a sharp rise in the Unemployment Rate reported by the United States Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) for February. The outlook for the GBP/USD pair remains positive, with widespread expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will cut interest rates before the Bank of England (BoE), potentially narrowing the policy gap between them for the foreseeable future. While investors anticipate a Fed rate cut in June, the BoE is seen likely to follow suit from August onward. Despite inflation in the UK remaining higher than other developed countries in the Group of Seven (G-7) nations, driven by robust wage growth, market volatility is anticipated, particularly as expectations for a June rate cut decision by the Fed solidify, following Fed Chair Jerome Powell's less hawkish tone in his recent congressional testimony. GBPUSD Technical Analysis: Will the pound continue its trajectory and sustain its momentum above the $1.28000 zone? The spotlight is on high-impact economic events from the US docket for clues. Brace yourselves as the anticipation and the actual events may trigger sharp price movements that could present incredible trading opportunities. In this video, we've analyzed the daily and 4-hour timeframes, exploring bullish and bearish sentiments to uncover the most promising trades for the week ahead. We've delved into key levels, trendlines, and support/resistance points, unveiling essential insights into the current market structure. We are keeping a close eye on the potential range between $1.28000 and $1.28900 where a breakdown or breakdown could incite the next BIG move. It's a decisive structure where both sellers and buyers will be vying for control, and how the market reacts here will set the course for GBPUSD in the upcoming days. Stay connected and join the conversation in the comment section to stay updated on the latest developments. Thank you for tuning in, and get ready for more enlightening insights into GBPUSD in our upcoming content. Buckle up for a thrilling journey ahead! Happy trading! Disclaimer Notice: Please be aware that margin trading in the foreign exchange market, including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks, and other instruments, carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content of this speculative material, including all data, is provided by me for educational purposes only and to assist in making independent investment decisions. All information presented here is for reference purposes only, and I do not assume any responsibility for its accuracy. It is important that you carefully evaluate your investment experience, financial situation, investment objectives, and risk tolerance level. Before making any investment, it is advisable to consult with your independent financial advisor to assess the suitability of your circumstances. Please note that I cannot guarantee the accuracy of the information provided, and I am not liable for any loss or damage that may directly or indirectly result from the content or the receipt of any instructions or notifications associated with it. Remember that past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Keep this in mind while considering any investment opportunities.
by darcsherry
GBPUSD | Perspective for the new week | Follow-upMarket participants are eagerly awaiting fresh guidance on Bank of England (BoE) interest rates as uncertainty lingers over the timing of potential rate cuts. Speculation suggests the central bank might consider reducing interest rates in the early part of the second half of the year, with the likelihood of a rate cut in the June policy meeting currently below 50% and a dovish decision for August appearing increasingly probable. BoE Governor Andrew Bailey anticipates price pressures to ease towards the 2% target in spring before resuming an upward trajectory. This could pave the way for the BoE to contemplate a significant unwinding of its historically tight monetary policy stance. Recent UK data indicates an improving economic outlook, suggesting that the technical recession experienced in the latter half of last year may have come to an end. Despite these positive developments, the Pound's performance remains subdued relative to expectations given the better UK data and strong risk appetite. On the other hand, the US Dollar has stabilized following a recovery amidst tightening labor market conditions. Initial jobless claims for the week ending February 16 came in lower than anticipated at 201K, compared to expectations of 218,000 and the previous reading of 213,000. Additionally, Federal Reserve (Fed) policymakers emphasize the need for further evidence to support the expectation of inflation declining towards the 2% target. GBPUSD Technical Analysis: Will the pound continue its trajectory and sustain its momentum above the $1.27200 zone? The stakes are high, and we're on the edge of our seats! The spotlight is on high-impact economic events from the US docket for clues. Brace yourselves as the anticipation and the actual events may trigger sharp price movements that could present incredible trading opportunities. In this video, we've analyzed the Daily and 4-hour timeframes, exploring bullish and bearish sentiments to uncover the most promising trades for the week ahead. We've delved into key levels, trendlines, and support/resistance points, unveiling essential insights into the current market structure. We are keeping a close eye on the potential range between $1.26150 and $1.28200 where a breakdown or breakdown could incite the next BIG move. It's a decisive structure where both sellers and buyers will be vying for control, and how the market reacts here will set the course for GBPUSD in the upcoming days. Stay connected and join the conversation in the comment section to stay updated on the latest developments. Thank you for tuning in, and get ready for more enlightening insights into GBPUSD in our upcoming content. Buckle up for a thrilling journey ahead! Happy trading! Disclaimer Notice: Please be aware that margin trading in the foreign exchange market, including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks, and other instruments, carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content of this speculative material, including all data, is provided by me for educational purposes only and to assist in making independent investment decisions. All information presented here is for reference purposes only, and I do not assume any responsibility for its accuracy. It is important that you carefully evaluate your investment experience, financial situation, investment objectives, and risk tolerance level. Before making any investment, it is advisable to consult with your independent financial advisor to assess the suitability of your circumstances. Please note that I cannot guarantee the accuracy of the information provided, and I am not liable for any loss or damage that may directly or indirectly result from the content or the receipt of any instructions or notifications associated with it. Remember that past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Keep this in mind while considering any investment opportunities.
by darcsherry
1
GBPUSD | Perspective for the new week | Follow-upThe Pound Sterling (GBP) has surged against the US Dollar even in the face of all components of the United States Nonfarm Payrolls data for December surpassing expectations, indicating improved market risk appetite. However, the GBP's strong position may not last as investors anticipate tough decisions for Bank of England (BoE) policymakers, who are facing recession risks and high inflation. The UK economy is at risk of entering a technical recession, with a contraction in the third quarter and a projected stagnant performance in the final quarter. The manufacturing sector is also struggling due to high interest rates. As a result, the outlook for the GBP/USD pair has dimmed, as US employment indicators may influence the Federal Reserve's (Fed) interest rate guidance. In this video, we'll delve into the strategic positioning we're considering to navigate the uncertainties and potential shifts in the GBP/USD pair. Join the discussion as we analyze the factors shaping the currency pair's trajectory in the near term. GBPUSD Technical Analysis: Will the pound continue its trajectory and sustain its momentum above the $1.27200 zone? The stakes are high, and we're on the edge of our seats! The spotlight is on high-impact economic events from the US docket for clues. Brace yourselves as the anticipation and the actual events may trigger sharp price movements that could present incredible trading opportunities. In this video, we've analyzed the Daily and 4-hour timeframes, exploring bullish and bearish sentiments to uncover the most promising trades for the week ahead. We've delved into key levels, trendlines, and support/resistance points, unveiling essential insights into the current market structure. We are keeping a close eye on the potential range between $1.26150 and $1.28200 where a breakdown or breakdown could incite the next BIG move. It's a decisive structure where both sellers and buyers will be vying for control, and how the market reacts here will set the course for GBPUSD in the upcoming days. Stay connected and join the conversation in the comment section to stay updated on the latest developments. Thank you for tuning in, and get ready for more enlightening insights into GBPUSD in our upcoming content. Buckle up for a thrilling journey ahead! Happy trading! Disclaimer Notice: Please be aware that margin trading in the foreign exchange market, including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks, and other instruments, carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content of this speculative material, including all data, is provided by me for educational purposes only and to assist in making independent investment decisions. All information presented here is for reference purposes only, and I do not assume any responsibility for its accuracy. It is important that you carefully evaluate your investment experience, financial situation, investment objectives, and risk tolerance level. Before making any investment, it is advisable to consult with your independent financial advisor to assess the suitability of your circumstances. Please note that I cannot guarantee the accuracy of the information provided, and I am not liable for any loss or damage that may directly or indirectly result from the content or the receipt of any instructions or notifications associated with it. Remember that past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Keep this in mind while considering any investment opportunities.
by darcsherry
1
GBPUSD | Perspective for the new week | Follow-upThe previous week saw the Pound sterling reach 1.2600 zone against the US dollar, reflecting positive reactions to the S&P Global/CIPS data. Even amidst mixed economic signals from the US, including robust Services and Composite PMIs but a contracting Manufacturing PMI, the GBPUSD pair maintained its strength. In the UK, inflation has shown signs of cooling down but remains significantly above the Bank of England's target rate, registering at 4.6%. Looking ahead, traders are preparing for further guidance from BoE Governor Andrew Bailey's speech next week and key US economic reports such as Consumer Confidence and ISM Manufacturing PMI that could influence future movements of this asset. If you're interested in gaining technical insights into the potential trajectory of the GBPUSD pair and how to navigate these market developments, be sure to watch the full video. GBPUSD Technical Analysis: Will the pound continue its trajectory and sustain its momentum above the $1.26000 zone? The stakes are high, and we're on the edge of our seats! The spotlight is on high-impact economic events from both the UK and US dockets for clues. Brace yourselves as the anticipation and the actual events may trigger sharp price movements that could present incredible trading opportunities. In this video, we've analyzed the Daily and 4-hour timeframes, exploring bullish and bearish sentiments to uncover the most promising trades for the week ahead. We've delved into key levels, trendlines, and support/resistance points, unveiling essential insights into the current market structure. We are keeping a close eye on the potential range between $1.26000 and $1.25000 where a consolidation could happen before the next BIG move. It's a decisive structure where both sellers and buyers will be vying for control, and how the market reacts here will set the course for GBPUSD in the upcoming days. Stay connected and join the conversation in the comment section to stay updated on the latest developments. Thank you for tuning in, and get ready for more enlightening insights into GBPUSD in our upcoming content. Buckle up for a thrilling journey ahead! Happy trading!
by darcsherry
1
GBPUSD | Perspective for the new week | Follow-upThe currency pair is currently consolidating just above the 1.2400 handle, grappling with recent consolidation highs. The Pound Sterling faces challenges in retaining gains made against the US Dollar (USD) last week. Experiencing a mid-week peak with a 2.25% gain against the USD, the GBP has since moderated to a more sustainable 1.65%. Despite a broader market risk bid amid speculations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) has concluded interest rate hikes, the GBPUSD remains stuck in the midrange due to underwhelming UK data. As we look ahead to next week, investor focus will shift to the release of the Fed's latest Meeting Minutes on Tuesday. GBPUSD Technical Analysis: Will the pound find a reversal set-up in the near future as the price breaks the $1.24000 zone ? The stakes are high, and we're on the edge of our seats! The spotlight is on high-impact economic events from both the US dockets for clues. Brace yourselves as the anticipation and the actual events may trigger sharp price movements that could present incredible trading opportunities. In this video, we've analyzed the Daily and 4-hour timeframes, exploring bullish and bearish sentiments to uncover the most promising trades for the week ahead. We've delved into key levels, trendlines, and support/resistance points, unveiling essential insights into the current market structure. We are keeping a close eye on the potential range between $1.24000 and $1.25000 where a consolidation could happen before the next BIG move. It's a decisive structure where both sellers and buyers will be vying for control, and how the market reacts here will set the course for GBPUSD in the upcoming days. Stay connected and join the conversation in the comment section to stay updated on the latest developments. Thank you for tuning in, and get ready for more enlightening insights into GBPUSD in our upcoming content. Buckle up for a thrilling journey ahead! Happy trading!
by darcsherry
4