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Cup and Handle Formation Spotted On GBTCWe want to share an interesting pattern on the monthly GBTC – Grayscale Bitcoin Trust chart. It’s a nice bullish cup and handle pattern, where the handle is supported by a 20-month moving average. Cup and Handle is a bullish pattern that can push GBTC, Bitcoin and the whole Crypto market higher at the end of 2024 or the beginning of 2025. The cup and handle pattern is a bullish continuation pattern in technical analysis. It looks like a cup with a handle on a price chart. The cup is U-shaped, indicating a period of consolidation followed by recovery. The handle is a short period of consolidation after the cup, leading to a breakout above the handle's resistance level, signaling a potential continuation of the uptrend. Not only cup and candle, but even Elliott wave path suggests price can resume up, not to mention risk-on flows and bearish Dollar.
AMEX:GBTCLong
by ew-forecast
Quick Analysis on Early signs of $BTC CapitulationJust a hunch on $BTC. We bought ETF's on this last dip. IBKR only allows 10% crypto. May begin buying spot again as we sold close to top. First an explanation on a 4Hr #BTC chart broken down into 3 phases (Letters A - C) A The descending arrow shows $ Flow weakening. There were huge buys but sells were eating it up. That was a RED FLAG. We spoke about divergence and lessening buy volume for DAYS! Few warnings. It was eventually followed by #bitcoin selling pressure. ------- B $ Flow indicator is a laggard, we keep eyes on an investment's volume on our own, visual. In this case we're looking at the #Bitcoin volume. CRYPTOCAP:BTC had some buying but sells kept coming in. These were likely sellouts from leverage & shorts. Wont comment on Germany as spot #BTC is still irrelevant. ($ Flow was fine for spot and nowhere near as bad as futures, but CRYPTOCAP:BTC kept going down. Not sure what needs to be shown for people to realize that spot is IRRELEVANT until some time in the future.) ------- C 2nd CRYPTOCAP:BTC phase is almost done. Buys coming in and the sells are not as strong anymore. It needs a lil more time but #BTC MAY/COULD be capitulating. It holds 52kish weekly & monthly and we could see something nice. See the chart on #GOLD for the Cup and Handle breakout. Have a great weekend!!! (pls see profile for more info)
CME:BTC1!Long
by ROYAL_OAK_INC
BTC looks okay, 1st phase pretty much complete, phase 2 nextTurned bullish on CRYPTOCAP:BTC during the beginning of May. Futures #BTC looks good but the volume is lacking a bit. RSI looks okay but not great. $ Flow is not that great either. Spot #Bitcoin = ditto. However, technically they look good, they are trading above their respective moving averages. What would seal the deal? HUGE volume breaking highs! -------------------------------- Not shown here, pls see profile for more info. Noticed an interesting weekly CRYPTOCAP:BTC pattern. Will speak on that later as the pattern will likely resolve months from now. Want to see what happens within the next couple months first. Spot #BTC hasn't proven it's better to chart vs futures #Bitcoin, doubt it will until it counts (meaning it'll change when things hit the fan). Current box is the best looking. We'll see what happens very soon. #crypto
CME:BTC1!Long
by ROYAL_OAK_INC
1
$BTC Futures STILL better to chart vs SpotTweaked the CRYPTOCAP:BTC chart. It really needed updating. Fixed the colors too! #BTC is 2 weeks away from the end of what we called, phase 1. In my opinion, it's going to move SOON. #Bitcoin breakdown: The moving avg crossover, yellow circle, is bullish. Cyan circles show bullish signs; RSI above 50 Money Flow is above 0 ------------------------- Bonus post CRYPTOCAP:BTC derivatives vs spot - FINAL proof! (They are trading a lil closer than ever) Both #BTC RSI look identical but Futures turned bullish 1st. However, #Bitcoin $ Flow is a VERY different. Futures have been mostly NEGATIVE until yesterday! Spot has been mostly above 0 until recently!
INDEX:BTCUSD
by ROYAL_OAK_INC
Spot & Futures are forming an Inverse Head & Shoulder patternSpot CRYPTOCAP:BTC shows a beautiful, forming an almost perfect, inverse head & shoulder pattern. This pattern is best for determining bottoms but it can also work at other time periods, but not with the same validity. However, IMO don't think #BTC will form it completely. Why? IMO unless something crazy happens don't see #bitcoin going sub $40k or even $50k. ----------------------------------- Futures CRYPTOCAP:BTC is also forming the Inverse Head & Shoulder pattern. Spot & Futures are holding the GREEN moving avg line. #Bitcoin is still within the 3-6 month consolidation phase but it is getting close to resolving it. Small dotted lines are SMALL trends inside the #BTC LARGE trend.
INDEX:BTCUSD
by ROYAL_OAK_INC
Are we reaching the End of the BITCOIN Sell off ?#Bitcoin "Sell off" - Why ? Firstly, it is all a very well measure correction, what is sold, is bought up. SO, This CORRECTION of Bitcoin is NOT panic selling, as supported and shown by by the most excellent @_Checkmatey_ and @_checkonchain via X OnChain data tells us what is Really happening. We are seeing more the continued movement of GBTC stock. The following quotes are from Google. "Grayscale started shifting its BTC to Coinbase for selling because onit converted its fund into a BTC exchange-traded fund (ETF) on January 10." "Market commentators argue that the bankruptcy of crypto giant FTX has played a significant role in the selloff of GBTC. FTX was a major holder of GBTC before it filed for insolvency in November 2022, holding about 22 million shares as of Oct. 25" (Mar 19, 2024) "GBTC had outflows yes, but it is largely Genesis (we know this for fact), who is simply exchanging GBTC shares for spot BTC, so net neutral event (plus GBTC is all pre-ETF money).Mar 22, 2024 " HOWEVER -> "The sale of GBTC shares was completed on April 2, the documents show. On Feb. 15, Genesis received permission from a New York bankruptcy court to sell the nearly 36 million shares in GBTC, as well as additional shares in two Grayscale Ethereum trusts" .(Apr 5, 2024) Which means GREYSCALE are selling too. A nd as we can see, All this BTC has been bought up but maybe the buying is slowing...saturation point...and so we look to the New Hong Kong ETF Laws to maybe Buy it all up, if they were not before, which is highly unlikely. The Green Box in the chart is March 2024 - See how price reacted in the period. The other thing to notice here is that the Price Candles in the chart, the Fatter they are, the more Volume involved. Volune is DECREASING The Green box in the Image is the same period as the chart above, March 2024 The GREEN / RED bars in that image show the Buying / Selling pressure. That is also DECREASING So, I can only conclude that while Genisis was Selling off, Greyscale was also and has continued to do so...and they are slowing down It is NOT ETF Panic HOLD YOUR BITCON
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by Orriginal
Spot Bitcoin ETFs Surge – A Bullish Signal for Market Adoption?Welcome to a pivotal moment in the Bitcoin market! As we witness the launch of several spot Bitcoin ETFs, including giants like Fidelity's FBTC, Bitwise's BITB, and Franklin Templeton's EZBC, the landscape of cryptocurrency investing is evolving before our eyes. First-day volumes paint a promising picture, with funds that 'Buy Bitcoin' directly, such as FBTC (Fidelity), BITB (Bitwise), and EZBC (Franklin Templeton), accounting for a significant 14.06% of the total volume. This direct investment approach is injecting fresh capital into the spot Bitcoin market, hinting at a bullish outlook for Bitcoin adoption and price movement. Let's not overlook the powerhouses that follow Bitcoin's price through derivatives, such as the ProShares Bitcoin Strategy ETF (BITO) and Grayscale's GBTC, which command an impressive 85.94% of the total volume. While they may not directly purchase Bitcoin, their market presence can't be ignored, as they reflect growing investor interest and add to the overall Bitcoin market depth. With the potential move to a T+1 settlement cycle, the market could see increased efficiency and a more immediate impact from ETF inflows. This could be particularly beneficial for ETFs purchasing Bitcoin, as it allows for quicker capital deployment, enhancing the responsiveness of the market to new investments. But let's temper our optimism with a dose of reality. It's crucial to remember that not all ETFs are created equal – some provide direct exposure to Bitcoin's price movements, while others offer a more nuanced approach through futures and other financial instruments. The true impact of these funds will unfold with time, as we closely monitor their influence on market demand and price dynamics. In essence, the influx of new Bitcoin ETFs could be a harbinger of increased adoption and integration of Bitcoin into the mainstream financial world. This is a bullish sign for those of us optimistic about the future of digital assets. Stay tuned for more updates as we navigate this exciting phase of market growth. And remember, despite the complexities, the introduction of these ETFs is a step toward broader acceptance and a testament to Bitcoin's enduring allure. So..still very Bullish news... still very Good news! One Love, The FXPROFESSOR 💙
Editors' picks
by FX_Professor
45
GBTC Is Looking For A Bullish Resumption After Bitcoin HalvingWe talked about bullish GrayScale Bitcoin Investment Trust (GBTC) already back on February 28th with a weekly free chart, where we mentioned and highlighted an ongoing five-wave impulsive bullish cycle. Well, as we actually expected, after GBTC reached all-time highs, we can see a projected slow down that looks like a wave (4) correction. A correction actually occurred a month before the Bitcoin halving and finished right before the Bitcoin halving. And, as you can see now in a closer, 4-hour chart after the halving, GBTC is bouncing from projected support after a completed A-B-C correction in wave (4), so wave (5) is now in progress, which can easily lift Bitcoin price back to highs as well.
AMEX:GBTCLong
by ew-forecast
$BTC Derivatives still dictating price, NOT Spot BitcoinCRYPTOCAP:BTC & CRYPTOCAP:ETH look almost identical the last few days, that is pretty interesting. However... Stretch the chart out a bit and it is a very different story. #BTC outperformed #ETH by a decent amount. ------------------------------------ Both CRYPTOCAP:BTC showed upcoming weakness. However, Futures #BTC Money Flow went below 0 & stayed there. Spot recovered fast but #bitcoin went lower in April! Now, we see Futures Money Flow gaining momentum again. Spot has been hanging around here for a bit. Looks like derivatives are STILL dictating #bitcoin price action.
INDEX:BTCUSD
by ROYAL_OAK_INC