Bitcoin - beauty in the eye of this beholderI am not a purist. I think averages are made to be broken. More important to me is a recovery above key supports, with volume.
We have 50% fib correction now, completing an abc Elliott wave formation. And we are testing and bouncing off the 200dma, with volume.
This is a pretty textbook correction. Now, assuming we are not on the wrong side of some co-ordinated central bank policy that makes all crypto illegal, which is probably a safe assumption, I will be using this as an opportunity to add.
Might I suggest, to anyone bothered to listen, that laser-eyes are more appropriate to a comicon convention than proponents of a new asset class, searching for legitimacy. Bitcoin/crypto/blockchain is new. New things are scary. The only thing more scary, to grown up investors, is a cult.
If you are on a mission to communicate the benefits of this new asset class then, for all our sakes, grow the fuck up.
This is not investment advice.
GBTC
BTC about to pop higher after 3 months of sleepingBTC about to pop higher after 3 months of sleeping
PI Cycle Top in BTC to the day!The PI Cycle Top has nailed the top in $BTC TO THE VERY DAY!
Even the creator of this indicator doesn't believe 100% that the top is really in which is a great contrarian sign.
Coupled with a now very strong downturn in the weekly MACD which has historically preceded major downturns / bear markets.
Let's also consider the following:
- Massively bullish sentiment across news media, large banks, trading/investment firms all calling for $100-500k prices
- Ethereum making fresh ATH while $BTC has stopped making new ATH. Same occurred in late-2017/early-2018
- Speculative mania across many shitcoins; 13-year old kids riverboating DOGECOIN, etc.
- Launch of several new ETF products intended to suck in dumb money right before a major spill
- $BTC price peaks on same day of $COIN direct listing; $MSTR as a $BTC proxy seems to have peaked out already
So unless $BTC can swing past $65k, it looks like the bears could be awakening from hibernation here.
Should a major bear market commence, expect $BTC prices to decline all the way to trendline support of $6000-$8000 range...
Bitcoin, breakout or look out $BTCThe price of KRAKEN:XBTUSD its being forming the volatility contraction pattern (VCP) while above the 50 day moving average, good sign. The price has been trying to breakout above 62k, if that happens I think I´ll add to my position in OTC:GBTC , which is also forming the same pattern. The bad thing is that the last 3 trading days the price closed below the high level. Its not a great deal but still, not the kind of thing you want to see before a rally.
If KRAKEN:XBTUSD doesn´t breaks out the 62k zone soon it could drop, the support areas are 50k and 42k. For me if the price drops below the 50 day moving average I´ll just take profits and wait for better conditions.
GBTC to become an ETFGBTC announced that it will change its current trust structure into an ETF (as soon as gvmt approval is granted) that will carry far lower mgmt fees than currently. GBTC has been trading at an 8-12% discount to NAV and this gap will close significantly to prevent an arbitrage between the price of the Grayscale BTC ETF and the spot price of BTC.
GBTC Premium Will ReturnThe GBTC premium is now a discount.
Which is creating a lot of uncertainty to its future. What I'd like to remind readers is each time a wave of large unlockings hit, not only does bitcoin's spot price rise, but the share price of the Trust gains in value with respect to its underlying holdings (NAV). If we ignore the fact it's at a discount then the likelihood of this measure to rise based on history is batting one-thousand - perfect.
If we take into consideration the massive wave of unlockings coming ahead, there's reason to believe the premium will return (unless it converts to an ETF before).
For more information on what this Grayscale Effect is and why it happens, here's a quick read to explain: jarvislabs.substack.com
-B
Grayscale Bullish For NowGBTC seems to be holding up. Assuming we can hold here and maintain RSI we should ride the parabola to the upper target. BTC will lead the way and you should keep this in mind. A less likely lower target has been drafted in case of rejection. This is not trading advice.
On 2nd Thought, $GS HFT's Might Not Be a Good Thing 4 BTC.. Retail investors will now be competing against the big wigs.
Sure it will bring tons of liquidity, but, that's probably going to come at a hefty price tag...
The Too-Big-To-Fail mega-banks, representing more than 1/2 of bank deposits in America (roughly -- too lazy to reconfirm, but something like that) have access to trillions in leverage .
Do you have access to trillions in leverage? If you do, then good for you, but I'm pretty sure most people that trade bitcoin do not..
What do you think? Are Goldman HFT's good for traders, or bad traders?
Cheers and hope to hear your thoughts!
BTC consumes as much energy as the entire country of Pakistan?According to MarketWatch, bitcoin consumes as much energy as the entire country of Pakistan, and almost as much as the Netherlands..
Hard to believe, but that's what it says.
Is that really sustainable? Or even necessary, for that matter..
ridethepig | Variation of Flow & Profit Taking📌 ridethepig | Variation of Flow & Profit Taking
When in the much disputed variation of covering partial longs, we can look for some shorts to play the pullback towards +/- 48,000 of an incomplete (iv) in a 5-wave sequence.
This point of view is based on a complete and understood notion in the concept of an underlying impulsive nature to the move. For this, we need to simply stick to the fib itself: the 261.8% has been our impulse target, so we need to track for signs of a turn which is the current situation at the top of our map. This is important and should be used as an area to do some profit taking/covering under any circumstances for those holding from way below.
The significance of resistance here in a situation where we are at approximately 60% bull market in the macro chart is a (3) wave temp high inside a (5) wave sequence. As well as creating energy for another slingshot later in the year, it is intimately linked to the manoeuvre handled by sharp sellers outguessing a temp high.
Thanks as usual for keeping the feedback coming 👍 or 👎
$57,000 in the Crosshairs📌 ridethepig | $57,000 in the Crosshairs
Satoshi's vision is coming true... Trump impeachment noise going on in the background providing the ebb and flow while the reality beneath the political waves is that the more you clamp down on freedoms, the more the masses realise. There is a significant coming to consciousness occurring, the rate at which shoes are dropping for everywhere for people is remarkable.
Tokyo are opening soon, and buyers are flirting to take the $50,000 crown with the leaps and bounds in mathematics. Tech is like.... meh... what underpins the tech is the math and that's what interests me... what we go with has to be decentralised, we need the innovations of Satoshi to take down barriers in a game of adverse incentives. Stay long, if we breach below the recent pivot level we can reassess.
Thanks as usual for keeping the feedback coming 👍 or 👎
The trend is your friend, that's the case for BitcoinLooks like BITMEX:XBT will hold the uptrend. Is forming a classic symmetrical triangle, while holding above the 20 day MA and the selling volume is been decreasing. This are all good signs for a healthy uptrend. So, now I think the best thing to do is to wait an upward breakout to buy.
As I trade for stocks in Folionet, I'll be buying OTC:GBTC . According to various investigations I've read, Bitcoin behaves like a fractal bubble and it looks like still has a way to still go up. Ark Invest is suggesting that Bitcoin could go for $75,000. That's a pretty good buying signal for me.
For The GBTC Premium TradersThe Time is Now
The Premium went to zero does that mean it's over... Is now the time... And will the premium go up again?
I've received quite literally over 100 of the exact questions above. This chart is for the folks looking to play the premium game.
Now, our team at Jarvis Labs doesn't play the premium game. We look at the effect Grayscale has on the spot market. We feel the best way to play this trade is not necessarily in the stock market, but using derivatives on cryptocurrency exchanges. However, I understand for many of you that's intimidating. For those that shy away or aren't experience enough for derivatives, the premium is a low risk way to play it.
As you can see with the arrows on the bottom indicator, as the unlockings unfold (purple vertical line), the premium begins to expand again. As long as the new market entrants are larger than the last market entrants, this shall continue.
Based upon an SEC filing not too long ago, Grayscale filed for $5.5 billion of interest ... This is up from $800 million last year. As long as a flurry of ETFs don't pop up, I have reason to believe this figure will continue to expand.
Enjoy.