Gold BounceAs gold falls into these lower zones here, I am looking for confirmation to flip long within these zones of support
GC
Gold Update: Post-Election WeaknessThe price of gold typically drops after U.S. elections, and this time is no different.
This weakness coincides with the expected wave count on the chart, as Wave 4 correction was anticipated. (see related)
Wave 3 is extended, and so is sub-Wave 5 within it, which is a common pattern for commodities.
Wave 4 has now begun, and there are two ways to measure its potential target:
1. Wave 4 typically retraces Wave 3 by around 38.2%.
2. The trend channel formed through the peaks of Wave 1 and Wave 3, and the valley of Wave 2, suggests a potential bottom for Wave 4.
This chart shows an amazing alignment of these two factors: the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement is at $2,428, and the bottom of the channel is around $2,450. These levels provide a strong double support for gold prices.
The final upward impulse should at least retest the all-time high of $2,802 (the peak of Wave 3).
The Cup & Handle pattern (see related ideas) has a target of $3,000.
How to Manage Gold RisesGold is likely to continue its upward trend.
And how I have been managing it both as an investor and a trader for the Gold. I hope this tutorial will be helpful for two groups of people:
1. Those who already have some positions and would like to know how to accumulate more, and
2. Those who do not yet have a position but are considering getting in and trading it, though you may be worried about entering at a peak, as gold continues to reach new highs.
Micro Gold Futures & Options
Ticker: MGC
Minimum fluctuation:
0.10 per troy ounce = $1.00
Disclaimer:
• What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker.
• Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises.
CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
Metals Set Up For Sells Based on COT AnalysisGold, Silver & Palladium are nicely setup for shorts if we get a confirmed bearish trend change on the daily.
Worth noting, Palladium recently had a major bullish divergence trigger, which implies higher prices coming for this market.
Enjoy your week.
Gold looks to be drawing to the upside... My conviction for gold is that it is drawing towards the upside... I'm noticing daily failure swings that price seems to be very interesting in buy side liquidity. Plus price has reacted nicely off a +IFVG and has formed a daily CISD. I'll be looking for a OLHC daily candle formation for tomorrow trading toward the weekly draws.
GOLD --- When Breakout? $2700 Target remains in place. The war against sound money...
keeping a "lid" on the price of the worlds biggest asset
and truly the only real collateral in the world.
Is being slowly lost.
We have a continuation head and shoulders that many people are watching.
But something to note
Is that the previous times #Gold has traded above 2 thousand dollars
The smackdown has been quick and violent.
If you noice in the past few weeks,
the compression of price ,
and the consecutive number of weekly closes above 2k.
Is the most it has ever been.
Are the Bankers ready to let it run...
since they seem to be pumping up all assets prices for the 2024 election.
I think the ramp up to 2.7k could be quite violent... do we get there by summer?
GC - looking for a possible sell entryI am seeing some of the early breakdown started, but in very early stage and it might take couple of days to play out. I am very much interested interested in selling the GC at around 2665 to 2670 area. There is a chance it may spike up during European or early US session tomorrow. On the downside, 2632 area is a strong support and may hold up and bounce before price going down to 2610 area.
Natural Gas Price Forecast | Oil, Dollar, Silver, GoldNatural Gas stock Bulls PEPPERSTONE:NATGAS Support & Resistance Guide
AMEX:UNG Stock Forecast
AMEX:USO Oil Stock Forecast
TVC:DXY US dollar Stock Forecast
Gold OANDA:XAUUSD Stock Forecast
Silver OANDA:XAGUSD
Gold 2,538$, Sept 24'. Sharp Decline follows ContinuationHello Traders. This is my analysis of Gold for the medium term. We have CPI forecasted to decrease tomorrow and IR anticipated to be cut next week. We may observe heavy volatility and opportunity in the market.
CPI
Consumer Prices have been decreasing
/cooling all summer
24'
Labor Market began strong but has
progressively cooled though Summer 24'
Additionally, the Labor market began relatively
strong through Q1 and Q2 24' but has eased into
Q3
Interest Rates have remained the same through
the summer 24' and remain unchanged since Sept 23'
SELL XAUUSDAs you can notice on the chart, there's a BB the market gave us, you can sell and set your SL and TP as shown on the chart.
Smart Money Positioned to SHORT Gold - COT StrategyDISCLAIMER: This is not trade advice. This is for educational purposes only to demonstrate how I am looking to participate in this market. There is significant risk involved in trading, do your own homework and due diligence.
COT Strategy
SHORT
Gold (GC)
My COT strategy has me on alert for short trades in GC if we get a confirmed bearish change of trend on the Daily timeframe.
COT Commercial Index: Sell Signal
Valuation: Overvalued vs Treasuries
Extreme Positioning: Commercials around max short of last 2 years = bearish.
True Seasonal: Seasonal down to October.
Supplementary Indicators: %R & Momentum (not yet confirmed)
Remember, this is not a "Short Now" idea. These indicators are not timing tools. They simply tell us that this market could have a move of some significance to the downside, which we will participate in with a confirmed Daily trend change to the downside.
Good luck & good trading.
GC overnight means Guten Coin I like the structure. Set it and forget it. Will wake up with some gold coin. Or a Loss. Either way, if you have good risk management you can manage a good nights rest. Trade safe. Cheers!
NQ what’s your Iq - sleep increases IQSet the alerts. Set the brackets. Set the trade. Then get to sleep. Will we wake up with a win. I’ll dream on it.
1hr strong close up.
We have a structure shift. My entry is set at the area of value where the un filled orders were left behind that originally created this push up.
2:1?
2.5:1? We’ll see. My data says 2.5
SELL XAUUSDAs you can notice on the chart, we have a BB which is our entry and a LQ Pool below which is our target. You can sell now and set your TP and SL as shown on the chart.
The comment section is all yours for further questions!
SELL XAUUSDEarlier I shared to sell XAUUSD but since the market haven't reached our entry, and it came to our BB, that means the market is now heading towards the liquidity area to make the next move.
**The analysis is a little bit late since I can't share it at the same time I'm giving it to my customers.
Follow for more!
Downside Ahead for Gold - COT Strategy SellDISCLAIMER: This is not trade advice. This is for educational purposes only to demonstrate how I am looking to participate in this market. There is significant risk involved in trading, do your own homework and due diligence.
COT Strategy
SHORT
Gold (GC)
My COT strategy has me on alert for short trades in GC if we get a confirmed bearish change of trend on the Daily timeframe.
COT Commercial Index: Sell Signal
Extreme Positioning: Most short Commercials have been since January 2021. Large specs longest they have been since March 2020.
OI Analysis: Price upward consolidation since April has seen Commercials heavily selling = bearish. Large Specs at longest positioning since March 2020 = bearish.
Valuation: Overvalued VS Treasuries
True Seasonal: Strong seasonal tendency for gold to go down in September
Spread: Bearish spread divergence
COT Small Spec Index: Sell Signal
Supplementary Indicators: Acc/Dist, %R & Stochastic Sell Signals.
Remember, this is not a "Short Now" idea. These indicators are not timing tools. They simply tell us that this market could have a move of some significance to the downside, which we will participate in with a confirmed Daily trend change to the downside.
Good luck & good trading.
GC to be more preciseIf my move doesnt happen off of the newest demand zone I will be looking in this zone for entry. Trade smart yall! Remember risk managment is the most important aspect of your trading journey. Keep a cool head if you lose, and especially if you win!
GC GOLD Buy BOXBeen a while since posting my thoughts here, I have been working on something that is GOLD. Supply and Demand can often be overlooked. Trading can often be over complicated. Back up and study the basics. Supply and demand characteristics of the market are the most rudimentary but often the best way to creaete a system that brings forth consistent gains. How many traders are actually profitable. Find a system that works for you it could start with a simple supply and demand type strategy.
Here we have price reacted perfectly off of the supply zone, (Yes I took that short position from the top and have the screen shot to prove it just ask if you want to see it). Now will we enter a demand zone and reverse. My plan is to simply wait, I took my profits and now I just wait until my alerts are hit and my criteria is met to go the other direction.
What will you do? Leave it in the comments I am happy to be back posting and look forward to more!
Gold shows signs of exhaustion at its record highGold may have reached a record high on Tuesday, but it then handed back more than half of the day's gains to leave a long upper wick. The ATH met resistance at the weekly R2 pivot and the daily RSI (2) has formed a bearish divergence in the overbought zone.
A momentum shift can be seen at the ATH on the 1-hour chart. A bearish divergence has also formed on this timeframe. The bias is to fade into retracements within yesterday's range to target the 2540/45 range, near the 50-bar EMA and HVN (high-volume node).
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade 8-27 Update : Possible Long Squeeze EODToday's SPY Cycle Pattern should reflect a decidedly bearish overtone to price action. The fact that we opened with a GAP downward and have waffled around just above yesterday's closing price does not really excite me.
I see price failing and waffling around in "no man's land".
This video covers the SPY, Bitcoin, & Gold.
Stay agile. I see the markets rolling downward into the end of the day today - but I could be wrong.
Get some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 8-27: Close-1 GAP Trend PatternToday's pattern suggests the GAP Trend portion reflects whether today's open is above or below yesterday's close.
If today's open is above yesterday's close, then I would expect a higher opening GAP leading to a fairly strong rally phase today.
If today's open is below yesterday's close, then I would expect a lower opening GAP leading to a fairly strong selling phase today.
These types of patterns do not often reflect a reversal bar - although reversals can happen.
Overall, I believe the bias is still to the upside. But I also believe price is consolidating in early trading this week and needs to continue to consolidate before attempting to rally again later this week (Thursday/Friday maybe).
So, I would not be surprised to see price stall out a bit today.
Let's see what happens. We may see a bit of a rally or sell-off depending on where today's opening price is and if we see any substantial Opening GAP. The bigger the GAP, the more likely we are going to see price trend.
Get some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 8-26 : BLANK SPY Cycle PatternToday's blank SPY Cycle Pattern means there is no definition for today's pattern in the pattern library. I will dig into this a bit further.
At this point, when we get blank days, it is usually a fairly rare and uncommon pattern that may not develop very often. That makes it hard to identify if there are not many reference points to determine what type of price action to expect.
Still, I go into detail related to what I believe will happen over the next few days/weeks for the SPY, Gold, Bitcoin and provide a series of opportunities for traders in this video.
Remember, it is not about trying to force the markets to make a move. Often, we have to sit back and wait for the next big opportunity to setup.
I believe the next 5+ trading days will present a moderate melt-up in the SPY and Gold. I believe Bitcoin will stay rather flat after the rally over the past 3+ days.
This is why I believe the markets are transitioning into a bigger breakaway phase setting up for Sept 4~10. Thus, I believe traders need to prepare for that bigger move over the next 5~7+ trading days and stay cautious right now.
We are going to move into a consolidation/peak/top phase near Sept 20~25. So, this next rally phase only lasts from Sept 5th through Sept 21 - about 10+ trading days.
Heads up.
Get some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade 8-23 Update: Gold Rips - SPY StallsHere is a quick update related to the post-Powell expectations.
I still believe the SPY will consolidate through most of today and move into a broader rally phase next week and into early September.
Gold is RIPPING higher after Powell's comments. I expect Gold to try to break above $2600 next week.
Bitcoin is still struggling to break above the $63k level. It may make a move next week. Time will tell.
Follow my research.
Get some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
