Gc!!
GOLD: some info (D)Hi Guys,
Here a link to Investopedia definition of Cup & Handle:
www.investopedia.com
There are many more on the web.
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Disclaimer:
Please note that I am not a professional trader and these are my personal ideas only. The information contained in this presentation is solely for educational purposes and does not constitute investment advice. The risk of trading in securities markets can be substantial. You should carefully consider if engaging in such activity is suitable to your own financial situation. Cozzamara is not responsible for any liabilities arising from the result of your market involvement or individual trade activities.
Gold (XAU/USD) is about to retest the trendline before Shorting
Gold about to retest the about trendline before going more downwards. there is also a probability of price may not retest the trendline and continue the same direction of selling. I will update you guys time to time about this pair have a close eye on that pair.
Gold vs BanksThis chart shows the ratio of XAUUSD vs BKX bank index
Gold is typically considered a secure investment in times of economic uncertainty
The KBW Bank Index (ticker BKX) tracks the stocks of 24 major banking companies since the early 90s.
This index serves as a benchmark of the banking sector.
During the Great Financial Crisis of 2007–08 questions regarding bank solvency, declines in credit availability and damaged investor confidence had an impact on global stock markets. Gold surged in price relative to the bank index.
Another surge in this ratio can be seen during the 2011 Credit Crisis, Standard & Poor's downgraded America's credit rating from AAA to AA+ on 6 August 2011 for the first time. Fears of contagion of the European sovereign debt crisis also increased at this time.
Since 2013 the narrative has been rather consistent confidence in the banks. Gold has lost strength while real yields on Treasuries have risen. During the earnings recession of 2015-2016 fear returned of economic slowdown and rising defaults in junk credit.
Recently with the flattening yield curve fears of slowing economic activity took over markets towards the end of 2018.
Projections of another recession are expected for the years ahead possibly by 2020.
GC strong buildup ahead of breakout with FOF setupSee chart for notes.
When a breakout failure DOESN'T immediately create a strong move, ask yourself who's really in control.
BOF's can create powerful moves, but early entrants can also be proved wrong really quickly. If they are, what does that do for your narrative?
This is where you need to dump USDI expect DXY to keep pushing till it reaches the 110 level which could be around the second half of 2019. in connection to the SPX, this is also where i expect the crash to take place and therefore i would move from USD and far away from the stock markets and shift to Gold and other currencies.
Critical trend line already broken...This is a continued short from where I published the alert of the right shoulder of this massive Head and Shoulders pattern playing out. The H&S is actually sitting on top of a long rising trend line (orange) in the chart. As you can see, that trend line has been breached. Look for a slow grind to $102. Gold is being challenged as a store of value, by that other computer generated code thing. Good luck gold bulls, you're going to need it.
Target: $102