Gc!1
Gold vs BanksThis chart shows the ratio of XAUUSD vs BKX bank index
Gold is typically considered a secure investment in times of economic uncertainty
The KBW Bank Index (ticker BKX) tracks the stocks of 24 major banking companies since the early 90s.
This index serves as a benchmark of the banking sector.
During the Great Financial Crisis of 2007–08 questions regarding bank solvency, declines in credit availability and damaged investor confidence had an impact on global stock markets. Gold surged in price relative to the bank index.
Another surge in this ratio can be seen during the 2011 Credit Crisis, Standard & Poor's downgraded America's credit rating from AAA to AA+ on 6 August 2011 for the first time. Fears of contagion of the European sovereign debt crisis also increased at this time.
Since 2013 the narrative has been rather consistent confidence in the banks. Gold has lost strength while real yields on Treasuries have risen. During the earnings recession of 2015-2016 fear returned of economic slowdown and rising defaults in junk credit.
Recently with the flattening yield curve fears of slowing economic activity took over markets towards the end of 2018.
Projections of another recession are expected for the years ahead possibly by 2020.
GC strong buildup ahead of breakout with FOF setupSee chart for notes.
When a breakout failure DOESN'T immediately create a strong move, ask yourself who's really in control.
BOF's can create powerful moves, but early entrants can also be proved wrong really quickly. If they are, what does that do for your narrative?
This is where you need to dump USDI expect DXY to keep pushing till it reaches the 110 level which could be around the second half of 2019. in connection to the SPX, this is also where i expect the crash to take place and therefore i would move from USD and far away from the stock markets and shift to Gold and other currencies.
Critical trend line already broken...This is a continued short from where I published the alert of the right shoulder of this massive Head and Shoulders pattern playing out. The H&S is actually sitting on top of a long rising trend line (orange) in the chart. As you can see, that trend line has been breached. Look for a slow grind to $102. Gold is being challenged as a store of value, by that other computer generated code thing. Good luck gold bulls, you're going to need it.
Target: $102
Is gold conscious of the red trend line?Gold came to see the shape of downtrend.
Gold has not reached YPP (P) 1269.009 and is trying to fall again.
Please look at the weekly,You can also see the red trend line being conscious.
weekly
But I decided not to use this line because of my discipline.
So I will not do anything now.
There is no reliable horizontal line near here.
Therefore, as usual, I wait for the entry since I attracted somewhere to PP.
<< tactics >>
1-1) It got up and reached near YPP (P) 1269.009. It functions as a resistance line.
short.
The first limit is decided with reference to WePP of the next week.
The second limit is on MPP (S1) 1229.533.
1-2) It got up and reached near YPP (P) 1269.009. It penetrated above.
Because it assumes down trend, I do not do long entry.
2-1)It got down and reached near MPP (S1) 1229.533, which functions as a support line.
Because it assumes down trend, I do not do long entry.
2-2)It got down and reached near MPP (S1) 1229.533, penetrated downward.
Short entry will be done once it functions as a resistance line.
The first limit is decided with reference to WePP of the next week.
The second limit is on MPP (S2) 1206.045.
I would be grateful if you like it idea,give me follow or agrees!
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Brown thick line: Yearly Pivot Points (YPP in the text)
Light blue thick line: Monthly Pivot Points (MPP in the text)
Green thin line: Weekly Pivot Points (WePP in the text)
Indigo thick line: Horizontal line or Trend line seen by weekly or monthly
Indigo thin line: Horizontal line or Trend line seen by 4hourly or daily
Indigo dotted line: outstanding round number.
Red thick line: Untrustworthy line for me
Red curve: EMA 20 close
Indigo curve: EMA 200 close
Green curve: EMA 800 close
Black curve: EMA 1600 close
x mark: Line which may not function
------------------------- --------------------------
Is gold conscious of the red trend line?Gold came to see the shape of downtrend.
Gold has not reached YPP (P) 1269.009 and is trying to fall again.
Please look at the weekly,You can also see the red trend line being conscious.
weekly
But I decided not to use this line because of my discipline.
So I will not do anything now.
There is no reliable horizontal line near here.
Therefore, as usual, I wait for the entry since I attracted somewhere to PP.
<< tactics >>
1-1) It got up and reached near YPP (P) 1269.009. It functions as a resistance line.
short.
The first limit is decided with reference to WePP of the next week.
The second limit is on MPP (S1) 1229.533.
1-2) It got up and reached near YPP (P) 1269.009. It penetrated above.
Because it assumes down trend, I do not do long entry.
2-1)It got down and reached near MPP (S1) 1229.533, which functions as a support line.
Because it assumes down trend, I do not do long entry.
2-2)It got down and reached near MPP (S1) 1229.533, penetrated downward.
Short entry will be done once it functions as a resistance line.
The first limit is decided with reference to WePP of the next week.
The second limit is on MPP (S2) 1206.045.
I would be grateful if you like it idea,give me follow or agrees!
------------------------- --------------------------
Brown thick line: Yearly Pivot Points (YPP in the text)
Light blue thick line: Monthly Pivot Points (MPP in the text)
Green thin line: Weekly Pivot Points (WePP in the text)
Indigo thick line: Horizontal line or Trend line seen by weekly or monthly
Indigo thin line: Horizontal line or Trend line seen by 4hourly or daily
Indigo dotted line: outstanding round number.
Red thick line: Untrustworthy line for me
Red curve: EMA 20 close
Indigo curve: EMA 200 close
Green curve: EMA 800 close
Black curve: EMA 1600 close
x mark: Line which may not function
------------------------- --------------------------
Gold / GC / XAUUSD - Bearish flag forming on the intra-day chartFor those of you already short or looking for a short entry, there is a new, bearish flag pattern forming. I think we could still see price pop from here considering the strong bullish move from the bottom of the flag, but as long as price stays contained within the flag we could see selling pressure re-enter and a break down of the flag setting up a price target of about 1205-1210. Price target is calculated using the length of the flagpole, and then measuring down from the last swing high before a break of the flag channel.