gold 1 hour :again buystop in yesterday high above green arrow ( and red arrow ) dont pick buy (sell) ..wait PINBAR come in 1hour or 4hour or daily chart appear ..then pick buy
or
in 15min chart last trend break then pick position ...hold it minimum near 1700
note : AC indicator, accelerator oscillator on daily chart turn green : up trend can start if low not break ...check it on your chart
ALERT: GOLD CAN GO TO 1800 ....BE CAREFUL FROM SELL .....100% put SL on last high and never remove it
www.tradingview.com
good luck
GC
According to my simple analysis of the gold market,According to my simple analysis of the gold market, we expect a continuous decline.
Since july 2019 the "the precious metal" respected the support zone .... this week unfortunately we went down with brutality on daily close . gold is supposed to make a pull-back move and go down on next weeks ... bullish move depends on good federal news + china / russia decisions .
gold 1 hour : 5 best order placeunder 1700 gold has sell signal ..for buy it need break 1700 area
i am waiting for buy above green arow for hold them 10-15 day
in 1607 we have fibo 161%
for inter posation wait pinbar comes on 60-240-1440min chart then pick posation with sl in pinbar low,high
ALERT : technical say on news each second gold and market can switch trend and start big + up trend to 1800 even 1900 so put SL for sells...sell on gold is very very dangerous
www.tradingview.com
good luck
Round 2 for Bitcoin? A Rally to $25k, then possibly $35k?I'm starting to think capital will aggressively move into speculative safe-haven assets (gold/silver/platinum/bitcoin) over the next 4+ months as the global markets address Fed, stock market, credit/debt risks.
If this is the case, then the $18,975 level becomes a critical line of support.
Not that the Fed has fired off its round (rate increase), will capital move away from certain sectors and start rallying into safe-haven assets?
Time will tell...
GS1 - GOLD COMEX Reversal ScenerioHey y’all, i charted a possible bullish play that could potentially lead to some upside regarding GS1! Here we potentially have a alternate XABCD that’s below the typical pattern completion zone of the 786 and 886 fib retrace ratios. We are showing Class A Bullish Divergence on both oscillators IEW the RSI and MACD showing seller exhaustion and negative momentum winding down. We may see price action start to make a push upwards and go green in the next coming weeks… just my opinion on a possible outcome..
Gold 1hour : buy pinbar on daily chart comelet see gold futures daily chart and AC indicator
IF PINBAR LOW NOT BREAK gold is buy and can go upper but if low break signal will switch to sell so put low size buystop sellstop is best idea for now and wait for price reach ARROW in up or down
ALERT GOLD CAN CRASH TO 1600-1550
good luck
Gold - The FED to weigh on gold priceWe have been growing increasingly anxious about gold for the past several months. Indeed, we repeatedly reiterated our worries about the prospect of people selling their gold to cover losses elsewhere (especially in the case of the selloff in the stock market).
Currently, as the odds of this action continue to increase, we also continue to maintain a bearish view of gold (in the short-term and medium-term). Our beliefs are influenced by a combination of fundamental and technical factors, which will continue to weigh on XAUUSD in the foreseeable future. Accordingly, we await gold to drift lower after the FED's decision; in particular, we are looking for 1600 USD.
However, we are very optimistic about gold in the long run and think the impending selloff will provide excellent opportunities for acquiring gold (for long-term investment). Therefore, we will closely monitor the market and look for potential buying opportunities.
Illustration 1.01
Illustration 1.01 shows the daily chart of XAUUSD and simple support/resistance levels for it.
Technical analysis - daily time frame
RSI, MACD, Stochastic, DM+, and DM- are all bearish. Overall, the daily time frame is bearish.
Technical analysis - weekly time frame
RSI, MACD, Stochastic, DM+, and DM- are all bearish. Overall, the weekly time frame is bearish.
Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
Gold - The market's weakness weighs on goldIn our last idea, we outlaid how we grew increasingly bearish on gold in the short term while maintaining a bullish stance in the long term. We stated that our short-term view was influenced mainly by fundamental factors, which will continue to weigh on the global economy and lead to further weakness in the stock market. Furthermore, we also said that gold would likely drop toward the 1600 USD price tag in such a scenario.
Since then, gold has dropped to the vicinity of 1650 USD and confirmed our bearish worries. Because of that, we still stick to the bearish short-term narrative. Accordingly, we will pay close attention to the FED meeting, which will likely impact the price of gold and the stock market. We will update our thoughts before the meeting.
Illustration 1.01
The daily chart of XAUUSD shows two simple moving averages, 20-day SMA and 50-SMA, which are in a bearish position.
Technical analysis - daily time frame
RSI, MACD, and Stochastic are all bearish. The same applies to DM+ and DM-. Overall, the daily time frame is bearish.
Illustration 1.02
Illustration 1.02 shows XAUUSD in the downward sloping channel. The upper bound acts as the resistance, and the lower bound acts as the support.
Technical analysis - weekly time frame
RSI, MACD, Stochastic, DM+, and DM- are all bearish. Overall, the weekly time frame is bearish.
Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
GOLD 1 hour : it break trendline and low gold break low and trendline and force me close all my buys .... now it has sell signal can go to fibo 161% 1600 area
under red arrow we must pick sell after pinbar comes on 1hour or 4hour or daily chart then
near 1604 after buy pinbar comes we must pick buy and hold it 20-25 day to new high
AC indicator daily is red mean downtrend can start
if you dont close your buys in up ,you must close or hedge them under red arrow and wait gold go down and back to up and break SMA200 1hour close sell frist then on high close buys
good luck stand on very low size ,here big patient mean big profit
www.tradingview.com
GOLD 1 hour : near arrow we can pick posation after pinbar comesas i predict yesterday gold start +up trend to reach fibo 61 : 1760 true?
if news not comes (news not in my hand for this we must put sl in low,high) we are in start of +up trend to 1800
buystop on today high is best idea too ....and keep looking for PINBAR on 1hour or 4hour or daily chart pick buy pinbars with sl in pinbar low
WISH YOU WIN... STAND ON VERY LOW LEVRAGE AND VERY LOW SIZE
Gold - Quiet before the storm?The price action of gold has been choppy for the past few weeks, and we are growing increasingly worried about its performance in the face of increasing interest rates later this month. Because of that, we remain bearish on XAUUSD in the short term. Further, we think if the stock market continues to manifest weakness, it will negatively affect gold. Indeed, we believe that market participants will sell their gold once again to cover losses elsewhere (just like on previous occasions). Due to that, we think gold might drift toward 1600 USD over time. Despite that, however, we are very bullish in the long term and believe that the selloff will present an excellent opportunity to add more gold to investors' portfolios.
Illustration 1.01
The daily chart of XAUUSD shows two moving averages: 20-day SMA and 50-day SMA. Two yellow arrows indicate bearish and bullish crossovers between these two SMAs. The third yellow arrow indicates the natural retracement of the price toward its SMAs. Therefore, we will pay close attention to the following price action; the breakout above SMAs will be bullish while the position below them is bearish.
Technical analysis - daily time frame
RSI and Stochastic are slightly bullish. MACD is relatively neutral; however, it will be bullish if it manages to break above 0 points. DM+ and DM- are bearish. Overall, the daily time frame is neutral.
Illustration 1.02
The weekly chart of XAUUSD shows two moving averages: 20-week SMA and 50-week SMA. They reflect the presence of the downtrend.
Technical analysis - weekly time frame
RSI, MACD, Stochastic, DM+, and DM- are all bearish. Overall, the weekly time frame is bearish.
Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
GOLD DAILY SAY :break friday high is powerful buy signal to 1760as you know gold love fibo61% and 161% so we have 2 scenario
1-break low 1688 and crash to 1600 area : posibility 30%
2-break friday high 1730 and flyup to target : 1760...if it can break big trendline in 1760 can flyup more to 1870 area (fibo 61% weekly chart,,,zoomout chart ,see big green fibo in left)... posibility 70%
let see gold futures daily chart too and big banks open orders
so put buystop in yesterday high and sellstop in low is best idea and wait 7-10 day
we can sell only under red arrow after pinbar apear in 1h-4h-daily chart
DONT USE ICHIMOKU ON GOLD ...ITS NOT IMPORTANT ON GOLD ...I USE ITS DAILY CLOUD FOR DAX ONLY ON GOLD ONLY DRAW IMPORTANT TRENDLINE ..GOLD LOVE TO BREAK THENDLINES AND FLYUP/DOWN
what is important on gold trade?
1- SMA200 (simple moving 200) remove other moving
2-AC indicator accelator occilator on daily chart
3- draw very important trendline on daily then 4h+1h.....
4- FIBO 61-161%
5-when you buy you must must must put SL in last low ...for sell on high ...in gold break last high mean up trend 90% will start if you dont exit with SL you will margincall soon or late
goodluck
GOLD 4 HOUR : dont pick sell until fibo 61% = 1760as predict last 3 days ago , gold going to start big up trend to 1870 (see blue fibo daily in left )
AC on daily chart turn green ...chexck it
if you cant pick buy with me ,,,wait buy pinbar comes on 1h -4h or daily chart
ONLY UNDER RED ARROW WE CAN PICK SELL AFTER PINBAR COMES
ALERT = technical say gold can fly up to 1870 in next days so be careful from sell,,,dont close buy sooner than 1760
SECRET of profit = new traders close profit posation soon but hold,wait for loss posations ,,,,pro traders reverse of this,they exit loss posation soon with SL and wait toooooooooooomuch for +profit posations (minimum 3 day , somthimes 3 month)
Gold 4 hour say : AC +stoch daily are green 1760 is up target 1let see gold futurtes exactly + double bottom pattern
if big news not come and low not break . gold going to start big + up trend to TARGET : 1877 !!!!!! butterfly pattern and daily chart fibo 50% is there
so strongly advice dont pick sell . only under red arrow after pinbar comes on 1h-4h-daily chart SL:pinbar high
wish you win
Gold 1 hour : my target is 1760 fibo 61%AC indicator in daily chart is green ....if low not break 99% big +up trend will start frist target is 1760 and 2nd target is 1860
let wait and see finaly price can break big red trendline ...then signal strongly is buy... if stupid Biden and Powel dont f<<k market !!!
Alert if low break gold can crash to 1600 so sellstop in low is good idea
if you have old buy put SL or hedge sellstop there.(never close it in low)..then wait gold crash and back to up + up trend appear
good luck ,market is in bad days ,it is range and zigzag
The primary trend remains bearish on GoldXAUUSD - Intraday - We look to Sell at 1707.29 (stop at 1720.89)
The primary trend remains bearish. A firmer opening is expected to challenge bearish resolve. Horizontal resistance is seen at 1708.00. Resistance could prove difficult to breakdown. Preferred trade is to sell into rallies.
Our profit targets will be 1678.18 and 1670.00
Resistance: 1708.00 / 1800.00 / 1881.00
Support: 1677.00 / 1600.00 / 1586.00
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
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SPY / SPX / ES - Shortened Week AheadAugust did not end well for Buyers. Rate Creep across the curve applied pronounced pressure.
RISK OFF is in trade across all Sectors within the X Complex.
TNX from a Rate perspective - Rate instability and lower rates?
At present, No. Bond VX is kicking up. It is however not damaging Banks as of yet, Financials are hanging
on... slightly.
Will the VIX Spike to 38 to 41? The ES would need to collapse to and through 3600, SPY clearly to new lows.
VVIX is seeing the out-of-control setup - Few Puts in SPY, Few participants in VIX Calls due to IV.
Prices sit at the most Pivotal area. Volimes are the main takeaway. Cumulative NYSE TICK took us
sideways into the Close. Is the selling slowing down... that will depend on whether we see compression
this week within a trading range.
Friday was a Trending Day. Can Buyers Create Balance here? It will require a SOH on the SELL SIDE.
Market Internals need to HOLD. Look below and fail is open as well.
11 of the past 19 September's ended up with 8 ending Down. The past 20 years have been highly volatile
and I find it a generational approach more relevant than the overall historical as HFT/ALGO Trading has
become dominant with increased Volatility - It's my approach this September.
Alladin will be extremely busy this Month - chalking up further gains for Blackrock. The Quarterly close
will provide important answers to a Trend in decline at present. It is somewhat overstretched on OSCs,
but Summation Indexes have more work to do. This can provide ever-increasing Volatility as we see the
VIX Curve pricing in expanding VX for several months.
VIX - % Contango
SEP M1 @ 3.90%
OCT M2 @ 1.80%
NOV M3 @ 0.37%
DEC M4 @ 3.30%
JAN M5 @ 0.25%
FEB M6 @ 0.82%
MAR @ Par with FEB
_________________________________________________________________________________________
Year to Date - August opened the Dunk Tank once Powell delivered his May FSR Objective affirmation
for Asset Prices and Interest Rate Forward Guidance.
Winners:
Energy + 30.10 %
Utilities + 5.64 %
Losers:
Consumer Non-Cyclical -6.55 %
Financial -10.81 %
Transportation -15.08 %
Basic Materials -15.26 %
Technology -31.79 %
Healthcare -26.92 %
Consumer Discretionary -26.06 %
Services -21.44 %
Capital Goods -20.45 %
Retail -18.52 %
A very brutal 2022 into the month of September - where Monthly, Weekly, and Daily timeframes are
within poor Structure.
August SPY Monthly provided a very nasty inverted Hammer. Sellers stepped up in spades at the Highs
and Sold to the opening Print, and through the Opening Print - to close on lows.
September's opening print did not hold the lower Body Bar on Friday - a poor close to the week with
options settlement into the Cash Session.
Buyers were non-responsive at best. Sellers sold through on increasing volume for the 3rd consecutive
day.
September's big events are ahead - the 13th CPI. Powell will provide color commentary on the 21st.
_________________________________________________________________________________________
Last Month's Price action served to expand the range for Major Indices.
Monthly timeframes continue to hold Lower Highs, not a good look from the June Lows at present.
The 379.92 Level is the .382 and Pivotal for the Month of September, it is presently the initial implied
Lower Range for the SPY on the confirmed break and closing below the Trend Line Support.
SPY 50% resides at 349.12 - the opening to a larger and lower low - into the Gap Fill @ 338.50.
Obviously larger targets below on increased panic and further Selling.
Price is currently sitting on top of what was prior support.
_________________________________________________________________________________________
I have cautioned for some time, Rates were a distraction too far larger issues within the Global Economy.
Repeatedly.
There are 3 legs to this stool.
Forward EPS, which remains incredibly high based upon earnings projections and their required adjustment
too far lower expectations. These have been partially priced in after Powell dropped the Hammer. There is
more work to do there.
QT remains a recycling operation - in through the out door with the appearance of an aggressive FED - while
advancing CBDC via FED NOW/FED DIRECT at an increasing pace for Rollout. This and 41067 won't bode well
for Crypto IMHO. Simply adding to the avalanche of impending exits which can be triggered by any panic in
trade.
_________________________________________________________________________________________
After large declines for all Major Indices... we've never seen a real Flush down panic, not one.
This is a once in 100 years Bear Market and it will be difficult to navigate as the Algorithms are growing
increasingly predatory.
Be careful out there, reduce Size and be on guard for increasing VX in September.
Bearish Sentiments @ AAII are rising to 50.6% again. Stop runs on trailers and catching traders offsides
should be anticipated.
We will see if the breakdown hammers this lower or price can manage to consolidate in a larger range
this week - expanding to the downside but providing outsized squeezes based on the Gamma / Delta.
_________________________________________________________________________________________
A Break of 388.96 has the potential and higher probability of creating a massive flush down and panic move to the downside.
Price is currently sitting on top of DOM Support or what many refer to as a Volume Node, I'm old, Depth of Market (DOM) is my preferred nomenclature.
3 Weeks of selling favors the Sellers - expected moves will produce lower Highs in Trend. Daily DT is another large Lower Low.
The Daily TF is the confluence with the Trendline @ 390.85 - BREAKING THIS will get nasty.
Buyers will absolutely need to defend early this Week, 399.50 may limit the upside in the Range.
379 to 399.50 is the Larger Range this week.
408.25 breaks a Potential Bear Flag.
Sector Support appears to be a Risk OFF in ALL Sectors.
HYG will provide leading indications as will XLF - breakdowns here would be very NEGATIVE.
Can Buyers consolidate here... we will see.
Take care and be cautious - trade Safe, Lower highs in the XLK will provide entry into the Trend.