Gold Future (CME)Turtle Soup. Trade setup with Buy Stop position (EP) at 1336, Stop Loss (SL) at 1329 and Take Profit (TP) at 1350.
Money Management
I have 22,800 USD in my portfolio. I can lose 5% of the port which is 1,140 USD.
Position Sizing
1 Tick = $100
1 Contract size need IM = $3,850 (I can open not more than $22,800 / $3,850 = 5.92 Cons)
It is 7 Tick from EP to SL, with 1 Con, I will lose 7 * $100 = $700
To lose 1,140 USD I need to open 1,140 / 700 = 1.62 Con
Then I will put 1 Contract
If I win, I will gain (1350 - 1336) * $100 * 1 Con = $1,400
GC
EPA approval & Partnership news within 2017--> very BULLISHAMEX:NAK TSX:NDM FWB:ND3
NAK (Northern dynasty minerals) 100% ownership of the pebble project (pebble mine)
the following is just my opinion, you never know what happens :)
this month is probably the last chance to jump in.
- official EPA approval incoming, with pruitt its a done deal already! just formalities!| latest 14th Nov --> institutions jump in? spike to USD3+
- partnership news incoming, as per mgmt within 2017--> hopefully JV for 50% with an option for the other 50%! Maybe a consortium, and if we are very lucky BO | 50% for USD7 - USD9/ shares | BO USD15+
- permitting process incoming, starting end of 2017
the reason why we will get partnership news within 2017? The company has too little money left for the permitting process, and they already hired these guys:
"
Senior Vice President of Engineering and Project Director Stephen Hodgson (P. Eng.) will lead Pebble’s engineering and project development team, with responsibility for all aspects of project design, engineering and financial studies and regulatory compliance. He will be supported by Vice President of Permitting James Fueg (PMP, CPG), who assumes responsibility for all aspects of the project’s regulatory permitting team and process , including management of environmental and socioeconomic studies, liaison with federal and state agencies and active management of Pebble’s forthcoming Environmental Impact Statement (“EIS”) process under the National Environmental Policy Act (“NEPA”).
"
source www.northerndynastyminerals.com
- 33m short interest = ~10% --> short squeeze when we hit >USD3-4?
- biggest copper, gold, moly, silver mine found on this planet yet!
- safe mine design! no cyanide used. source www.northerndynastyminerals.com
- metal prices are rising, specially copper.
must read: very detailed report about this mine www.docdroid.net
GOLD Short Term OutlookShort term outlook of gold on the 4 hour time frame. A break of 1264 will create a new wave down and a break up from current price can see a very nice move up. The Euro is looking strong for today which is positive for eurusd and will also see gold up so I say a upper wave is more likely. But keep a close eye on it just in case 1264 breaks.
TP: 1288
SL: 1262, (if 1264 breaks start selling) 1262 instead of 1264 because I dont like stops exactly on the right spot in case of just a short spike.
GFI: Bought at market open - Huge potential, great fundamentals$GFI is an optimal pick when it comes to gold miners. The valuation is very good, and growth exhibited by the company this year exciting. The situation in South Africa has scared investors away, but I believe it will be a very interesting trend going forward. At the same time, this play serves as a risk off bet, which is welcome in the current enviroment. We are long with a 10% position from 14.09 as of today's open.
Best of luck if joining me on this trade. The monthly trend is potentially up, and there is a chance to confirm a rally to considerable heights by the end of the month.
Cheers,
Ivan Labrie.
GOLD GC XAUUSDWe have begun the rotation into the commodity cycle and ending the equity cycle. The unwind in equities will be apparent into this coming year. I will post a crude oil chart today also that is clearly demonstrating a similar set up. It's not the best time to get in as the current high in gold will see some short term consolidation as the chart shows. In the meantime I do expect equities to make a new high... for example I see AAPL reaching the 185 to 190 range in the short term.
This is only an opinion. Thanks.