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Data Week, attention to jobs gets special attention from the FedOANDA:XAUUSD fell about 1% as the USD and US Treasury bond yields increased sharply after US inflation data matched expectations over the weekend. However, as the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut policy in September and geopolitical tensions still pose many risks, gold still has a lot of potential fundamental support. Gold prices closed slightly lower last week but still maintained the 2,500 USD/ounce mark. This week, investors will receive US ISM data and non-farm payrolls reports, which are expected to cause major fluctuations in the gold market. The latest data released by the US Department of Commerce showed that the personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index rose 0.2% last month, in line with economists' forecasts. Meanwhile, tensions in the Middle East have boosted safe-haven demand for gold. Signs of steady buying from central banks in emerging markets also supported prices. Also notable is data from the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) showing that as of the week of August 27, speculative net long positions in COMEX gold futures contracts increased 69 lots to 236,818 lots. Next Tuesday, the US ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for August will be a highlight in US economic data in the early days of the week. The market expects the overall PMI to rise to 47.8 from 46.8 in July. If the index is above 50, that could directly boost the US dollar and put pressure on gold in the short term. ADP employment changes and ISM services PMI data will also be released on Wednesday and Thursday, but the market reaction to these data is likely to be immediate and short-lived. A positive surprise data will support the USD and negative data pressure the USD ahead of the widely anticipated August jobs report next Friday. US nonfarm payrolls (NFP), due out next Friday, are expected to increase by 163,000 in August after a disappointing increase of 114,000 in July. The unemployment rate is expected to fall to 4.2 % from 4.3% and wage inflation, measured by changes in average hourly earnings, is expected to increase 0.3% from the previous month. NFP data next week will be the main focus, because during the Jackson Hole conference, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell and other members also focused a lot on employment data in the near future. It is expected that next week the market will have significant turbulence when NFP data will be the center of the big storm. Economic data to watch this week Tuesday: US ISM Manufacturing PMI Wednesday: Bank of Canada monetary policy meeting, US JOLTS vacancies Thursday: ADP employment data; US ISM services PMI, US weekly initial jobless claims Friday: US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) Data Analysis of technical prospects for OANDA:XAUUSD Although gold had a correction late last week, overall the daily chart of gold prices still shows a solid uptrend. With the price channel making an upward trend in the short term, as long as gold remains in the price channel and above the EMA21 moving average, it still has the potential to increase in price in the near future, with targets still being fixed at 2,531USD in the short term and more to the point of 2,544USD. Although the Relative Strength Index is pointing down, it has not yet reached the overbought level before turning down, and the slope is negligible, so this is not considered a signal of pressure and support. for this Indicator is noted at 50%. The fact that gold closed above 2,484 USD and the original price level of 2,500 USD shows a positive technical outlook, and the uptrend in the near future will be noticed again by the following price points. Support: 2,500 – 2,484USD Resistance: 2,531 – 2,544USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2551 - 2549⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2555 →Take Profit 1 2544 ↨ →Take Profit 2 2539 SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2512 - 2514⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2517 →Take Profit 1 2505 ↨ →Take Profit 2 2495 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2484 - 2486⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2479 →Take Profit 1 2489 ↨ →Take Profit 2 2494 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2470 - 2472⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2467 →Take Profit 1 2475 ↨ →Take Profit 2 2494
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Xayah_trading
Downside Ahead for Gold - COT Strategy SellDISCLAIMER: This is not trade advice. This is for educational purposes only to demonstrate how I am looking to participate in this market. There is significant risk involved in trading, do your own homework and due diligence. COT Strategy SHORT Gold (GC) My COT strategy has me on alert for short trades in GC if we get a confirmed bearish change of trend on the Daily timeframe. COT Commercial Index: Sell Signal Extreme Positioning: Most short Commercials have been since January 2021. Large specs longest they have been since March 2020. OI Analysis: Price upward consolidation since April has seen Commercials heavily selling = bearish. Large Specs at longest positioning since March 2020 = bearish. Valuation: Overvalued VS Treasuries True Seasonal: Strong seasonal tendency for gold to go down in September Spread: Bearish spread divergence COT Small Spec Index: Sell Signal Supplementary Indicators: Acc/Dist, %R & Stochastic Sell Signals. Remember, this is not a "Short Now" idea. These indicators are not timing tools. They simply tell us that this market could have a move of some significance to the downside, which we will participate in with a confirmed Daily trend change to the downside. Good luck & good trading.
COMEX:GCZ2024Short
by Tradius_Trades
2
GOLD accumulates with an overall upward trendOANDA:XAUUSD decreased again, after yesterday's recovery and the market in general is still accumulating with an upward trend both fundamentally and technically. At the Asian session on August 30, as of the time this article was completed, gold was trading at about 2,513USD/oz, a decrease equivalent to more than 7 dollars on the day and about 0.31%. Investors are awaiting data on US PCE inflation, the Fed's preferred inflation measure. At 19:30 Hanoi time today (Friday), US personal consumption expenditure (PCE) price data for July will be published, which may provide further assessment of the pace of rate cuts in September, including the pace of the upcoming rate cut cycle. Surveys show the US PCE price index is expected to rise 0.2% monthly in July, after rising 0.1% in June. The US PCE price index is expected to increase at an annual rate of 2.6% in July, following a 2.5% increase in June. In terms of core data, the survey shows that the US core PCE price index in July is expected to increase 0.2% month-on-month, after increasing 0.2% in June; increased at an annual rate of 2.7%, compared with a 2.6% increase the previous month. As the Fed's preferred measure of inflation, year-over-year changes in the core PCE price index have a larger impact on policymakers. From a technical perspective, the technical structure has not changed throughout the past week and readers can review this week's most recent publications below. The target for the week remains unchanged for gold to surpass its all-time high of $2,531 and refresh its new all-time target of $2,544. During the day, the technical prospect of gold price increase will be noticed again by the following price levels. Support: 2,503 – 2,500 – 2,484USD Resistance: 2,531 – 2,544USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2551 - 2549⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2555 →Take Profit 1 2544 ↨ →Take Profit 2 2539 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2482 - 2484⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2478 →Take Profit 1 2489 ↨ →Take Profit 2 2494
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Xayah_trading
GOLD → Inside the key range. Emphasis on MA-200 ↑FX:XAUUSD is once again testing the resistance of the 2531 range, but is not able to overcome it yet. At the same time the dollar is forming a flat in anticipation of important news.... “Dovish” expectations of the Fed and persistent geopolitical tensions in the Middle East will continue to support the price of gold. The Israeli army mobilized thousands of soldiers from special units in preparation for a major operation in the northern West Bank. Despite the bullish sentiment around the gold price, the upcoming Fedspeak could have an impact on the markets. Technically, the market is in a strong bullish trend, another range is forming and price is confirming its boundaries. Focus on trend support and SMA-200 on H1. If trend support fails to hold the price, gold may reach the lower end of the range, after which it will continue to rise. Resistance levels: 2517, 2531 Support levels: MA-200, trend, 2501, 2493 As long as the gold is within the ascending channel, we should consider long positions against the support. But if MM decides to lower the price, we should wait for correction to liquidity zones and count on growth from 2486, 2477. Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:XAUUSD ;) Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
24
Positive technical position, GOLD will pay attention to US PCEFinancial markets in general are closely watching key inflation data from the world's largest economy for clues about the scale of the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts in September. PCE data by The US release on Friday will also be the main data focus this week. With an interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve in September almost certain, attention also turns to the pace of future adjustments, and how intense they will be. According to the CME FedWatch tool, the market is pricing in a 65.5% chance of the US cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in September and a 34.5% chance of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points. Investors are now awaiting US personal consumption expenditures (PCE) data released on Friday. If Friday's PCE data is lower than expected, it could fuel expectations of a more dovish Fed, creating bullish potential for gold. And even if the PCE is higher than expected, it won't change the outlook for a Fed rate cut in September, so a higher-than-expected increase in PCE would only be temporary. limit the upward momentum of gold prices, or create short-term corrections that do not fundamentally affect the main uptrend. Analysis of technical prospects for OANDA:XAUUSD On the daily chart, gold remains stable with near-term bullish conditions despite a sudden short-term correction yesterday that did not affect the technical uptrend. The structure has not changed with an uptrend in both the short, medium and long term with the short-term trend being noticed by the price channel and the 21-day moving average (EMA21). The fact that gold remains above the 0.786% Fibonacci extension is a positive factor for the bullish price target noticed by readers in the weekly publication at 2,531 USD in the short term, more than the level of 2,544 USD. The relative strength index (RSI) is pointing up but has not yet reached the overbought level, showing that there is still a bit more room for price increases. As long as gold remains within the price channel, declines should only be considered a short-term correction and a short-term buying opportunity. During the day, the technical prospect of gold price increase will be noticed again by the following price levels. Support: 2,503 – 2,500 – 2,484USD Resistance: 2,531 – 2,544USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2521 - 2519⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2525 →Take Profit 1 2514 ↨ →Take Profit 2 2509 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2482 - 2484⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2478 →Take Profit 1 2489 ↨ →Take Profit 2 2494
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Xayah_trading
Gold shows signs of exhaustion at its record highGold may have reached a record high on Tuesday, but it then handed back more than half of the day's gains to leave a long upper wick. The ATH met resistance at the weekly R2 pivot and the daily RSI (2) has formed a bearish divergence in the overbought zone. A momentum shift can be seen at the ATH on the 1-hour chart. A bearish divergence has also formed on this timeframe. The bias is to fade into retracements within yesterday's range to target the 2540/45 range, near the 50-bar EMA and HVN (high-volume node).
COMEX:GC1!Short
by CityIndex
GOLD is supported, Powell is dovish, geopolitics is complicatedWith the impact of Federal Reserve Chairman Powell's dovish comments, the USD continued to be less attractive and gold returned to closing weekly above the original price of 2,500 USD, opening up a positive outlook for the following week. Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell said Friday that it is time to adjust policy, signaling that an interest rate cut is imminent. This can be considered the strongest signal of Fed Chairman Jerome Powell's interest rate cut. And of course that is enough for gold to continue to increase in price. Quoting Powell: "The time to adjust policy has come. Confidence that inflation is heading towards 2% has increased. We do not seek or welcome further cooling in the labor market. We will do so." everything possible to support the labor market and get there." New geopolitical point According to Israeli media reports, an Israeli air force control tower on Mount Melon in northern Israel was attacked by Hezbollah missiles, with one missile fired directly at the facility. Israel has carried out a series of attacks in southern Lebanon in recent times. However, hopes for an agreement faded when Israel and the Palestinian group Hamas blamed each other and failed to reach an agreement after more than 10 months of war in the Gaza Strip. Ongoing geopolitical tensions have reinforced gold's status as a safe-haven asset, and ongoing global instability has prompted investors to turn to gold to seek protection from market risks and fluctuations. As these tensions continue to increase, gold prices will receive even more support. Main basic focus Overall, the gold market is currently fully supported fundamentally, with the USD having a weaker future as the Fed's interest rate cut time approaches, and the cutting cycle will last longer. not ending soon or just a short-term adjustment. On the other hand, geopolitical developments are more complicated with prolonged wars in Ukraine - Russia and the Gaza Strip,... is also a very important factor promoting safe haven psychology, gold is known as a valuable asset. The most effective communication shelter. Overall, in a simpler way, in the long run, gold will continue to have a basic upward trend, even when the geopolitical conflict cools down, which will only create short-term profit taking. In the coming time, the Chinese Central Bank will likely reduce the amount of physical gold purchases in the second half of the year and will focus more on gold ETF purchases, and this should be considered a solid support move when China China is the world's leading gold user and hoarder along with India. Data focus this week The U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis will release July personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index data next Friday, which is the Fed's preferred measure of inflation. Higher than expected data could be seen as a supportive move for the USD in the short term, while lower or equal data is expected to continue to support gold prices higher into the end of next week. Additionally, US GDP data on Thursday could also bring some volatility to the market. The economic calendar needs attention this week Monday: US durable goods orders Tuesday: US consumer confidence Thursday: Weekly unemployment claims, US second-quarter preliminary GDP Friday: US PCE index Analysis of technical prospects for OANDA:XAUUSD On the daily chart, gold continued to close above the $2,500 raw price after receiving support and a post-corrective recovery from the 0.618% Fibonacci extension and the $2,484 technical level acting as the closest support for short-term uptrend. The overall chart still shows that gold has all the technical conditions for an uptrend in the long, medium and short term with the long-term trend being noticed by the price channel and medium-term support from the EMA21 along with the trend. short-term from the price channel. As long as gold remains within the price channel, it still has a bullish outlook in the short term, with the weekly close above the 0.786% Fibonacci level, next week's uptrend will be directed towards $2,531 in the short term and more than 2,544USD. The level of 2,544USD will still be the target for price increases in the near future. On the other hand, the Relative Strength Index is pointing up without reaching the overbought level, showing that there is still technical room for price increases to be achieved. the above mentioned goals. In the coming time, the uptrend of gold will be noticed by the following price levels. Support: 2,503 – 2,500 – 2,484USD Resistance: 2,531 – 2,544USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2548 - 2546⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2552 →Take Profit 1 2541 ↨ →Take Profit 2 2536 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2493 - 2495⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2489 →Take Profit 1 2500 ↨ →Take Profit 2 2505
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Xayah_trading
GOLD has corrections near record highs, main trendAfter Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell gave a dovish signal, the market has finished pricing in an interest rate cut in September. At the same time, gold continues to be supported by safe-haven demand Due to geopolitical risks in the Middle East and Ukraine, gold prices are making certain adjustments near record highs. Last Friday, Mr. Powell supported the impending interest rate cut, saying that the continued cooling of the job market would not be positive and this is notable support that is easy to see. for gold in the current situation. Gold is a notable example where geopolitical risk aversion increases investor demand for safe-haven assets. • Israel and Lebanon's Hezbollah fired rockets at each other over the weekend in one of the biggest border clashes in more than 10 months. Hezbollah fired hundreds of missiles and drones into Israel early Sunday morning, and the Israeli military said to prevent a larger attack, it used about 100 warplanes to attack. Lebanon. Top US generals said on Monday that the short-term risk of a wider war in the Middle East had diminished following a firefight between Israel and Lebanon's Hezbollah, according to the latest news at Reuters. • On Monday morning, explosions occurred in many places across Ukraine. Ukraine's military has warned of a large-scale Russian missile and drone attack, following a wave of early morning drone attacks. The Ukrainian military said 11 Russian TU-95 strategic bombers were flying in the air and confirmed they had launched multiple missiles. The Kyiv Post said Russia launched the largest missile attack since the Russia-Ukraine war, and thousands of people in Kiev poured into the metro station. Although gold has adjusted downward, the basic factors still show that the upward trend in prices will continue to dominate the gold market and the basic trend in the near future. With support from policy, interest rate directions as well as geopolitical risks continue to appear new. Analysis of technical prospects for OANDA:XAUUSD Gold is experiencing bearish corrections during the Asian session today, Tuesday August 27 but the technical trend remains unchanged with conditions tilted strongly towards a bullish outlook. In the short term, as long as gold remains above the original price of $2,500 and the 0.786% Fibonacci extension, it still has bullish prospects with a short-term target of $2,531 and more to the $2,544 level. However, in case the 0.786% Fibonacci level is broken below, the impact of the technical correction could go a little deeper with a target drop to $2,484 in the short term. During the day, the upward trend of gold prices remains unchanged and notable levels are listed as follows. Support: 2,503 – 2,500 – 2,484USD Resistance: 2,531 – 2,544USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2548 - 2546⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2552 →Take Profit 1 2541 ↨ →Take Profit 2 2536 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2493 - 2495⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2489 →Take Profit 1 2500 ↨ →Take Profit 2 2505
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Xayah_trading
1
GOLD could still rally, even if PCE is higher than expectedThe weakening US Dollar, dovish comments from Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell and geopolitical developments will still be the main driving forces driving gold prices to increase in the near future fundamentally. Last Friday, Mr. Powell said “it is time to adjust policy,” sending a strong signal about cutting interest rates. Rising tensions in the Middle East are also creating momentum for gold prices to recover. The conflict between Israel and Hezbollah escalated over the weekend and concerns that the conflict could widen will be a factor in boosting gold prices. On Tuesday, White House National Security Council spokesman John Kirby said that the United States believes Iran is “ready” to take retaliatory actions against Israel, so the United States has increased its military deployment. in the area. The US message to Iran is not to retaliate against Israel and there is no reason to escalate the situation or provoke a regional war, but if Iran attacks Israel, the US is ready to defend Israel. According to CME's FedWatch tool, traders see a 65.5% chance of a 25 basis point rate cut in September and about a 34.5% chance of a 50 basis point rate cut. The market is now awaiting the release of personal consumption expenditures (PCE) data, the key inflation report and the Fed's preferred inflation measure, on Friday. A surprise higher-than-expected inflation data could impact Fed policy expectations, but the Fed will certainly cut interest rates in September and could cut rates again this year. . Therefore, even if data shows a return of inflation, it will not be considered a pressure on gold, and may be an opportunity for a short-term correction in gold prices, opening up opportunities for those who wait buy. Analysis of technical prospects for OANDA:XAUUSD On the daily chart, gold is correcting gently in early Asia today (Wednesday, August 28) to 2,517USD/oz, equivalent to a decrease of about 0.29% as of the time of writing. However, the technical structure does not have any changes with the tendency to increase both the value in the short term and on average over a number of periods. In the short term, the gold zone remains above the 0.786% Fibobacci extension level, it still develops a bullish outlook towards the target of interest when you read the weekly output at 2,531USD in the short term, more Another 2,544 USD. There aren't any negative signs for gold prices and the intraday bullish trend will be noticed by the following notable devices. Support: 2,503 – 2,500USD Resistance: 2,531 – 2,544USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2561 - 2559⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2565 →Take Profit 1 2554 ↨ →Take Profit 2 2549 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2482 - 2484⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2478 →Take Profit 1 2489 ↨ →Take Profit 2 2494
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Xayah_trading
GOLD → The bull market is testing ATH. What to prepare for?FX:XAUUSD consolidates above 2508 and flies to the key resistance - the border of the range. High probability of a false breakdown and correction before the subsequent growth. . The lively price growth is based on the sustained weakness of the U.S. dollar after the “dovish” remarks of U.S. Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell at a symposium in Jackson Hole on Friday: “the Fed's easing cycle will begin in September”. The hedge asset, meanwhile, is also benefiting from escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East Focus on US durable goods orders data, which will be released later on Monday. Technically, strong resistance will be difficult to pass the first time around. MM may test the imbalance zone of 2520 - 2510 before returning for another retest of 2531, the target of which could be a breakout and rise to 2550. Resistance levels: 2531, 2550 Support levels: 2515, 2508 The global and local trends are bullish and the overall sentiment is clear. This tone is supported by the fundamental background from last Friday. Technically, the continuation of growth should be considered, as there are no prerequisites for a reversal or change of trend at the moment Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:XAUUSD ;) Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
8
XAUUSD Time to turn bearish short-term.Just 2 weeks ago (August 13, see chart below), we turned bullish on Gold (XAUUSD) as the new Bullish Leg of its 12-week Channel Up started: Now that our 2545 Target is very close to getting hit, the price should price its new Higher High and then start a technical pull-back in the form of its new Bearish Leg. Once the 1D RSI hits the 3-month Resistance Zone, we will have our sell signal. Given that the previous Bearish Leg bottomed on the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level, we set a rather modest Target at 2450 for our sell (quite higher than the projected 0.618 Fib). ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
FX_IDC:XAUUSDShort
by TradingShot
GOLD → Consolidation within a bullish trend. News ahead...FX:XAUUSD is forming a consolidation in the triangle format. Traders are in a stupor and are not ready to act prematurely before the news, but buyers are still quite aggressive Fundamentally, today's focus is on initial jobless claims, we have seen a decline in unemployment lately, which generally indicates an improvement in the environment, analysts expect the same “warm” figures. But, the main focus for Friday is Powell's speech, where further policy, inflation and regulator's actions will be discussed. Most likely, the current course of the markets may be strengthened. Technically, the emerging above sma traygolnik on H1 is a “continuation pattern”, higher probability of resistance breakout. But, the news may affect the market more drastically, before further recovery (manipulation). Resistance levels: 2510, 2519, 2531 Support levels: 2498, 2488 Emphasis on resistance breakout, bulls are serious enough. But on the background of news MM can form liquidation (longsqueeze) before further growth. Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:XAUUSD ;) Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
29
WTI is less affected by conflictAs tensions in the Middle East continue to emerge, oil prices may continue to be supported by short-term geopolitical risks. However, this sudden impact is gradually easing. Next, crude oil traders should still pay attention to the Federal Reserve's upcoming policy decision and further developments in the Middle East. Ceasefire talks in Cairo between Israel and Palestinian militia Hamas went ahead as scheduled on Sunday, showing relative calm after the exchange of fire. Israel eased security restrictions in the country on Sunday evening, hours after previously declaring a state of emergency and closing the main airport. Although the Middle East supplies about a third of the world's crude oil, oil market fundamentals have not been significantly affected by this conflict. Mainly for crude oil traders, they will still need to pay attention to the principle of supply and demand in the market "usually regulated by OPEC", and monetary policies related to USD when WTI crude oil is traded. priced in USD. Geopolitical risks and expectations that the Federal Reserve may cut interest rates next month combined to push WTI crude oil prices to a recovery late last week. In a speech at Jackson Hole on Friday, Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell gave the clearest signal yet that the job of containing inflation is complete, saying “the time has come for change.” policy", reinforcing market expectations of a possible interest rate cut next month. On the daily chart, TVC:USOIL is still limited by pressure from the 21-day moving average (EMA21) and is still in a falling price channel. Although WTI crude oil has recovered significantly, current technical conditions are still more bearish than bullish, with a new bearish cycle possibly being ushered in as it falls. below the 0.236% Fibonacci retracement level, and the latter target is 72.32 in the short term and above that is 71.68SUSD. Meanwhile, for WTI crude oil to have enough bullish conditions, it would at least need to break above the technical level that acts as horizontal resistance at 77.58USD confluence with the upper edge of the price channel, then the short-term target is around 78.11USD and more than 79.62USD. The relative strength index (RSI) is showing signs of bending after recovering to the 50% level and this should be seen as a signal that there is still further downside ahead. During the day, the technical outlook for WTI crude oil is more bearish and notable levels are listed below. Support: 74.71 – 72.32SUSD Resistance: 75.66 – 76.59 – 77.58USD
TVC:USOIL
by Xayah_trading
GOLD MARKET ANALYSIS AND COMMENTARY - [26 August - 30 August]This week, international OANDA:XAUUSD continued to increase quite strongly from 2,485 USD/oz to 2,531 USD/oz. After that, the gold price dropped to 2,470 USD/oz, then increased to 2,518 USD/oz and closed at 2,512 USD/oz. Gold prices continued to rise sharply this week because FED Chairman Powell signaled his readiness to cut interest rates in the upcoming meetings at the Jackson Hole Conference. Mr. Powell said that it is time for interest rates to be adjusted downward to support economic recovery. Although Mr. Powell did not specify a specific timeline or scale of interest rate cuts in upcoming meetings, he emphasized that FED officials are laying the foundation for looser monetary policy. In the context that the FED will certainly cut interest rates in the upcoming meeting, many experts believe that short-term gold prices may continue to increase even higher. However, it may be difficult for gold prices to avoid times when investors take profits, causing gold prices to have downward corrections. Next week, the gold market will focus on the Personal Consumption Expenditure Index (PCE) for July; GDP in the second quarter; Consumer confidence... In particular, PCE is expected to increase only 0.2%; GDP remains at 2.8% as initially forecast. If as predicted, these data will not have much impact on gold prices next week. 📌Technically, technical indicators are still showing an upward trend in gold prices in the short term. Accordingly, the important support level for gold prices next week is at 2,470 USD/oz. Meanwhile, if it exceeds 2,530 USD/oz, next week's gold price will widen its path towards the 2,590-2,600 USD/oz range. The trading plan for next week will be to sell around the 2590 mark and buy if the price drops to 2442. Notable technical levels are listed below. Support: 2.470USD Resistance: 2.600 – 2.530USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2591 - 2589⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2595 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2441 - 2443⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2437
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Xayah_trading
Fundamentally Setup Markets For This WeekI have identified the following markets are "set-up" for moves of some significance. This video goes into the fundamental reasons for these trade ideas. NOTE: I am not looking to go long/short these markets immediately. I will wait for a change in trend on the Daily to get involved with these markets. The tools used to identify these trade setups are not timing tools. The tools do give us an idea of how market participants with significant size and intelligence (commercials) are positioning themselves. The tools also give us an idea of sentiment, valuation, seasonality, and also an idea of what the (usually wrong) public/small traders are doing. LONGS: HEATING OIL (HO) GASOLINE (RBOB) MEXICAN PESO (6M) SOYBEANS (ZS) COTTON (CT) SUGAR (SB) SHORTS: EURO CURRENY (6E) JAPANESE YEN (6J) SWISS FRANC (6S) GOLD (GC) 30 YEAR TREASURIES (ZB) Good Luck & Good Trading.
ICEUS:SBV2024
by Tradius_Trades
GOLD recovered after adjustmentOANDA:XAUUSD spot has adjusted down below the original price mark of 2,500SUSD and is trying to recover. This trading day, investors will have new information from Federal Reserve Chairman Powell's speech, which is expected to cause a major fluctuation in the gold market. Data released by the US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) on Thursday showed that the number of initial unemployment claims in the United States for the week of August 17 was higher than expected and previous figures. . Data from S&P Global showed business activity remained steady even as US manufacturing activity fell for a second straight month. US manufacturing PMI fell to 48.0 again in August; Services PMI increased to 55.2, exceeding expectations. U.S. Treasury yields rose on Thursday, with the benchmark 10-year Treasury yield in particular rising 6.5 basis points to 3.865%. The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the value of the USD against six other currencies, rose and profit-taking could be the main reason gold prices fell below $2,500/ounce ahead of Trump's speech. Powell. Previously, the minutes of the final meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) on Wednesday unexpectedly showed that the "vast majority" of FOMC participants supported easing policy at the September meeting. if the data matches expectations. The minutes show that policymakers are increasingly convinced that inflation risks are tilted to the downside, while risks to achieving maximum employment have increased. The "Jackson Hole Symposium", the annual meeting of global central banks, will be held starting Friday and the market focus will shift to the Federal Reserve Chairman's speech Jerome Powell at today's meeting (Surday). Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell's speech in Jackson Hole is expected to lay the foundation for monetary policy direction for the remainder of 2024. Today (Friday), Federal Reserve Chairman Powell will deliver a speech on the economic outlook at the annual meeting in Jackson Hole. Traders need to pay close attention to this event, because it will bring much stronger volatility. In a context where the market is unpredictable and increases and decreases of 2-3% are no longer strange or rare, traders need to be prepared for scenarios of price movements of 2-3% in the short term. short time. Analysis of technical prospects for OANDA:XAUUSD On the daily chart, although gold has corrected below its original price of $2,500, the downside momentum has been limited and recovered from the 0.618% trend-following Fibonacci extension above $2,484, continuing support from the support level of 2,484USD towards a short-term increase at 2,500USD. As long as gold remains within the price channel, it still tends to increase in the short term, while the long-term trend is fixed by the price channel and medium-term support from EMA21. In the immediate future, the target will be 2,500 – 2,503 USD, the area of ​​​​the 0.786% Fibonacci extension. Once gold breaks the 0.786% Fibonacci level it will continue to qualify for a bullish outlook with the next target after that at around $2,531, more so than $2,544. During the day, the technical outlook for gold prices remains unchanged with the main trend being bullish and notable points are listed as follows. Support: 2,484 – 2,471USD Resistance: 2,500 – 2,503 – 2,510USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2502 - 2500⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2506 →Take Profit 1 2495 ↨ →Take Profit 2 2490 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2461 - 2463⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2457 →Take Profit 1 2468 ↨ →Take Profit 2 2473
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Xayah_trading
4
GOLD corrects, accumulates around 2,500 USD, still positiveOANDA:XAUUSD adjusted slightly downward during the early Asian trading session on August 22, maintaining price activity around the original price of 2,500USD. But overall, the overall picture still shows that gold is fully supported and the price drops are only corrective after a long period of price increases. Minutes of the Federal Reserve's meeting released Wednesday showed policymakers were inclined to cut interest rates in September, and some participants believed the conditions for a rate cut had been set. Available in July. “Some believe that recent developments in inflation and rising unemployment support a 25 basis point reduction in the policy rate target range at the meeting,” the meeting minutes said. or they may support such a decision. If data continue to be in line with expectations, further policy easing at the next meeting may be appropriate.” The current U.S. unemployment rate is higher than the 4% unemployment rate that Federal Reserve officials predicted this year in their updated economic forecast in June. It is also higher than the unemployment rate. 4.2% that Fed policymakers expect by the end of next year. Additionally, revised nonfarm payrolls data released by the U.S. Department of Labor on Wednesday showed that the number of people employed in the United States over the past year through March was initially revised down to 818,000, here This is the largest downward adjustment since 2009. This trading day, traders will need to focus on US economic data, with initial jobless claims, PMI data from S&P Global and US housing data. The number of people applying for unemployment benefits in the US is expected to increase to 230,000 in the week of August 17, up from 227,000 the previous week. Business activity data published by S&P Global shows that the preliminary value of the US services PMI in August will decrease slightly from 55 to 54. The preliminary value of manufacturing PMI in August is expected to remain unchanged. changed at 49.6. In addition, US existing home sales in July are expected to increase from 3.89 million units to 3.93 million units. However, all macro focus will be on tomorrow's event, when Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell will speak at the start of the Jackson Hole Symposium. Analysis of technical prospects for OANDA:XAUUSD On the daily chart, although gold continues to adjust cumulatively around the original price of 2,500 USD, in general the short, medium and long-term trends remain unchanged with an overall uptrend. On the other hand, gold is also maintaining above the 0.786% Fibonacci extension level and this is considered a positive signal for gold to continue towards its next short-term targets of around 2,531USD in the short term and beyond. target level 2,544USD. Even in the event that gold is sold below the 0.786% Fibonacci extension, it will still receive support from the previously broken era high of $2,484. During the day, the trend of gold prices did not change with an uptrend and the Relative Strength Index has not yet reached the overbought level, showing that there is still room for growth. Notable technical levels for the intraday uptrend are listed below. Support: 2,500 – 2,484USD Resistance: 2,531 – 2,544USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2553 - 2551⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2557 →Take Profit 1 2546 ↨ →Take Profit 2 2541 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2468 - 2470⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2464 →Take Profit 1 2475 ↨ →Take Profit 2 2480
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Xayah_trading
1
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 8-20 : BozuTrending Counter-TrendToday's Bozu Trending bar in counter-trend mode could be very exciting. Bozu trending bars are typically relatively large and represent a strong price trend. As we move closer to the upper GAP window, we may see the SPY rally through that window today—or we may see the SPY pull downward, away from that GAP, and attempt to retest support near 552. Please watch today's video because the Counter-Trend mode of the Bozu pattern suggests we may see a downward price bar today. I've highlighted two key price areas we need to watch regarding which direction the SPY will attempt to trend today. If we stay within those two price levels - price will stay muted today. Otherwise, I expect the markets to BIAS to the upside but counter-trend to the downside. It should be an interesting day for trading. Gold is RIPPING and Bitcoin appears ready for a ripper rally. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by BradMatheny
GOLD slows down but the trend remains unchangedUS dollar falls to 7-month low and yen hits one-week high, Federal Reserve's Kashkari (hawkish) says he is optimistic about interest rate cuts, a a change from the official's stance in June. OANDA:XAUUSD Spots hit another record high on Monday, and although they later fell, a weaker US dollar and tensions in the Middle East limited the extent of the correction. TVC:DXY , which tracks the US dollar against six major currencies, fell to 101.97 and touched 101.85, its lowest since January 2, on Monday's trading day. The market's focus will be on whether Powell's speech in Jackson Hole on Friday indicates that the Fed could cut interest rates by 25 or 50 basis points. Another key focus will be whether Powell signals that a rate cut is possible at each meeting. Powell also may not be in a hurry to release details this week, as August employment and inflation data have yet to be released before the Fed's September meeting. Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari of the Federal Reserve, recently stated that he is open to cutting interest rates at the next meeting due to the growing possibility of excessive labor market weakness. This is a change from his stance in June. Kashkari said the discussion about cutting interest rates has changed because “inflation is progressing and the labor market is showing some worrying signs.” He believes there is no reason to cut interest rates by more than 25 basis points because the layoff rate remains low and the number of people applying for unemployment benefits is not showing a clear worsening trend. Geopolitically Russia's Investigative Committee announced on Monday that a bridge on the Sem river, which flows through the Kursk region, was destroyed in a Ukrainian attack. The Ukrainian military said the attack was aimed at disrupting Russian supply lines and making it more difficult to mobilize Russian troops and weapons. Later, Ukrainian President Zelensky elaborated on his goals, saying in his speech: "Now, the top priority in our overall defense operations is to destroy the as much of Russia's war potential as possible and carry out maximum counter-offensive operations. This includes establishing a buffer zone within Russia's territory." Hamas rejects the ceasefire agreement in the Middle East Hamas accused the US of "continuing the fight for Israel" after US Secretary of State Antony Blinken announced that Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu had accepted transitional proposals for a ceasefire in Gaza and called on Palestinian groups to do the same on one's own. However, Hamas spokesman Osama Hamdan said the Palestinian group would only “agree to implement” Biden's UN Security Council-backed proposal, which was accepted last month. Medical sources said Israeli forces had killed at least 35 Palestinians in Gaza in the past 24 hours and Kamal Adwan Hospital warned that 11 children were at risk of death due to fuel shortages, which could lead to close the door. Analysis of technical prospects for OANDA:XAUUSD After renewing its all-time peak, gold had certain but insignificant adjustments and maintained its price activity around the original price of 2,500 USD. In terms of structure on the daily chart, gold is still being supported for an uptrend with the main trend being noticed by the price channel and main support by EMA21. Meanwhile, the nearest support level is noticed in the area of ​​2,484 – 2,471 USD, sent to readers in the weekly publication. As long as gold remains above the 0.618% Fibonacci extension level, it still has short-term bullish prospects. On the other hand, once gold maintains stability above the 0.786% Fibonacci extension level, it will tend to continue to increase for a period of time. new period and the target after that is about 2,544USD. During the day, the technical outlook for gold prices remains bullish. But traders also always need to be ready for strong and widespread fluctuations in the current market context. Notable price points are listed below. Support: 2,484 – 2,471USD Resistance: 2,503 – 2,509 – 2,544USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2536 - 2534⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2540 →Take Profit 1 2529 ↨ →Take Profit 2 2524 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2474 - 2476⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2470 →Take Profit 1 2481 ↨ →Take Profit 2 2486
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Xayah_trading
XAUUSD made HISTORY above $2500 for 1st time ever! What's next?Gold (XAUUSD) broke last Friday above the $2500 threshold for the first time in its history. Amidst growing economic slowdown and geopolitical concerns, the yellow metal seems again to be winning the 'safe haven race' against its peers. But can it continue this aggressive rise? To answer this we revisit today the April 15 (see chart below) analysis that helped us project the medium-term correction following the early 2024 rally: The essence of this analysis was the high degree of symmetry in Gold's price action since the December 2015 Low. What helped us anticipate the April - June 2024 correction was the similarities of the Bull Phase that started after the October 2023 Low with the August 2018 - July 2020 Bull Phase. The 2019 mid-Bull Phase correction took place after a +34.80% rise within the 0.5 and 0.382 Fibonacci levels. The December 2023 - Jan 2024 correction took place after a +32.70% rise and if we place it within the 0.5 - 0.382 Fibonacci level, we can assume that Gold is now on the final stage of this Bull Phase. It technically tops at 2900 but we will be satisfied with a 2800 Target as proportionally it will be closer to the post 0.382 Fib rise of the previous Bull Phase (41.80% against 43.80%). Note that in all cases, the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) held as Support and as long as it does, the trend will be bullish long-term. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
FX_IDC:XAUUSDLong
by TradingShot
GOLD → Retest triangle resistance. Next, 2500 or 2400?FX:XAUUSD is strengthening after retesting support at 2440 and false breakdown, heading towards ATH. Buyers are keeping the market from falling, forcing the price to bounce off the local range support. It is worth emphasizing the strong bullish trend and continued retests of triangle resistance, which only increases the chance of a breakout and upside. The gold price has been strengthening since the evening session, despite strong US data (for Thursday) being the latest boost to dollar buying, especially after an inflation report earlier this week that cast doubt on the possibility of an aggressive Fed interest rate cut in September. Special emphasis on looming geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, which continues to support sentiment around the hedge asset Resistance levels: 2464, 2477 Support levels: 2458, 2450, 2440 Emphasis on both the boundaries of the above range and internal levels. If the bulls hold 2458, their further target will be the resistance 2464, the breakdown of which will lead gold to ATH. And in this case the market will start testing 2477 for a breakthrough and growth. If the bulls show weakness, the market may make another attempt to retest the support before further growth. Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:XAUUSD ;) Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
17