Market Forecast UPDATES! Tuesday, Feb 11In this video, we will update the forecasts for the following markets:
ES \ S&P 500
NQ | NASDAQ 100
YM | Dow Jones 30
GC |Gold
SiI | Silver
PL | Platinum
HG | Copper
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
Gc1
Renewing daily new highs (ATH)...
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please click "Boost" as well.
Have a nice day today.
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(GCL1! 1M chart)
GCL1! is renewing daily new highs (ATH).
It is not easy to analyze or trade these stocks.
Since it is supported and rising near the right Fibonacci ratio point of 1 (2828.6), there is a possibility that it will rise to the Fibonacci ratio range of 1.618 (3395.3) ~ 1.618 (3457.6).
However, since it is a state where it is not strange to fall at any time, you should think about a countermeasure for the fall when starting a transaction.
-
(1D chart)
Most chart analysts explain the current chart analysis by substituting issues other than the chart.
If you get used to this method, you may find issues other than the chart first without looking at the chart and analyze the chart while being obsessed with your subjective thoughts.
If you do that, you may analyze the chart in the wrong direction because you will interpret the chart with your subjective thoughts instead of looking at the chart as it is, so you need to be careful.
When analyzing charts, you must first look at the chart and analyze it, and then look for issues other than the chart when you have time.
-
In order to trade a stock that is renewing its ATH, you should check for support when it shows a downward trend and start.
However, since it is renewing its ATH, there is no support or resistance point to check for support.
To compensate for this, we use the 5EMA+StErr indicator and the Price Channel indicator.
Therefore, when the price falls and touches the 5EMA+StErr indicator or the Price Channel indicator, you can find the trading point depending on whether there is support.
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(30m chart)
You can trade when it breaks out of the section made up of the Price Channel indicator or the box section made up of the HA-High and HA-Low indicators.
Of course, trading is also possible within the box section.
At this time, you should be careful that the trend can change when it passes the MS-Signal indicator.
When you touch the 5EMA+StErr indicator on the 1D chart, you can check whether there is support and trade.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
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GOLD MARKET ANALYSIS AND COMMENTARY - [Feb 10 - Feb 14]This week, rising Treasury yields and the threat of a global trade war are contributing to a stagflation environment, causing investors to rush into gold, and spot gold prices at one point climbed as high as $2,886/oz.
US President Donald Trump has launched trade war 2.0 with the imposition of strong tariffs on imports from Canada, Mexico and China. The 25% tariffs on Canada and Mexico were postponed for a month, but the 10% tariffs on China took effect. China responded with 10-15% tariffs on US energy and agricultural products, effective from February 10, 2025. Trade war 2.0 expands in scope compared to 2018, includes many major trading partners and takes place in parallel with the US-China technology war. Countries with large trade surpluses with the US face the risk of becoming new tariff targets.
If negotiations between the US and its partners fail to reach an agreement, retaliation could escalate, disrupting global trade, weakening economic growth and creating inflationary pressures, leading to stagflation, thereby boosting gold prices. On the contrary, if the Trump administration "cools down" the trade war by reaching an agreement after imposing tariffs, gold prices may decrease due to weakening shelter demand.
Some economic data affecting gold prices next week:
Tuesday: US Federal Reserve (FED) Chairman Jerome Powell testifies before the Senate Banking Committee.
Wednesday: US consumer price index (CPI), FED Chairman Jerome Powell testifies before the House Financial Services Committee.
Thursday: US producer price index (PPI), US weekly unemployment benefit applications.
Friday: US retail sales
📌Technically, gold prices still maintain an upward trend in the medium and long term. However, downward corrections can occur at any time considering shorter time frames such as H4, D1.
On the H4 chart, the price can adjust to around the hard resistance level which is also the dynamic resistance level around 2790 before entering an upward trend again.
Notable technical levels are listed below.
Support: 2,844 – 2,834USD
Resistance: 2,869 – 2,886 – 2,891USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2911 - 2909⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2915
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2789 - 2791⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2785
Is this the Pull Back Zone On Gold XAU GC1! In this video I highlight the potential area for a pull back on Gold Using the TR Pocket and Trend based Extension tool . Using these tools combined we were able to establish a zone of perfect confluence for a downside reaction on Gold. Also I use the new Demonstration Cursor released by Tradingview to highlight the levels on the chart of where my fib pulls were made.
In addition to the above I noticed after completing the video that we have yearly pivots that are untapped around $2580.
CPI on Wednesday may give us the narrative for the reaction up at those highlighted highs and to begin cooling off . I welcome your engagement Boosts comments + follows . Enjoy Ty
GOLD recovered strongly, Trump stimulated risk aversionDuring the Asian trading session on Monday (February 10), OANDA:XAUUSD Spot has recovered strongly after a short decline. Gold price has now recovered to about 2,874 USD/ounce, a sharp increase of about 15 USD during the day.
US President Donald Trump said on Sunday local time that he would announce a 25% tariff on all imported steel and aluminum on Monday.
Trump told reporters aboard Air Force One that the tariffs would apply to metal imports from every country. He did not specify when the tariffs would be applied. Trump also said he would announce corresponding tariffs later this week for countries that impose tariffs on U.S. imports.
These comments stimulated the market's risk aversion, the Asia-Pacific stock market and the US stock futures market fell, and the two safe-haven assets, the US dollar and gold, recovered together.
On the daily chart, OANDA:XAUUSD recovered after receiving support from the upper channel edge, and in terms of technical structure nothing changed from previous releases with a bullish bias dominating the technical chart.
Maintaining price activity above the 0.236% Fibonacci extension provides the conditions for continued upside with the next target being at $2,891 the 0.382% Fibonacci extension, more so than the original price point of $2,900.
With the price channel making a short-term uptrend, along with the Relative Strength Index providing no signs of a strong downside correction, gold is expected to continue searching for new all-time highs. The positions will be noted as follows.
Support: 2,869 – 2,844 – 2,834USD
Resistance: 2,891 – 2,900USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2906 - 2904⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2910
→Take Profit 1 2899
↨
→Take Profit 2 2894
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2829 - 2831⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2825
→Take Profit 1 2836
↨
→Take Profit 2 2841
XAUUSD correction to the 1H MA50 technically needed.Gold (XAUUSD) stayed unaffected by the Tariff War, as we mentioned on last week's analysis (Feb 03, see chart below) and easily hit our 2845 Channel Up Higher High Target:
This time a new, more aggressive Channel Up, on the 1H time-frame has emerged and is already on its 2nd Bullish Leg. Technically, the 1H RSI being overbought at 80.00, calls for a short-term correction.
We expect a technical pull-back to the 1H MA50 (blue trend-line), which will be the next buy entry fir the final +3.90% run and a Channel Up Higher High at 2945.
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Gold Unstoppable to get to 3000, but we might see a pullbackOn Gold futures I clearly see this going for new historical highs, but since everyone is joining the ride a pullback is around the corner.
Liquidity has just been swept on the 4Hr, so this would be a perfect scenario to squeeze the longs all the way down to a bullish order block/demand zone at 2853,2
Weekly Forex Forecast: GOLD & SILVER Are Bullish! BUY Them!This forecast is for the week of Feb 10-14th.
Gold and Silver are both bullish, with Gold being the stronger of the two. I am not interested in selling either until I see a bearish BOS, as the swing structure is bullish, and the trend is up. Wait until the fractal structure is aligned with the overall market structure, which would make for higher probability buys to follow the trend.
Check the comments section below for updates regarding this analysis throughout the week.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
The 3rd Major Pivot in Gold’s Uptrend - Since Trade War in 2018We just witnessed the start of another pivot in gold when Trump won the U.S. presidential election in November 2024. My gold trading strategy has always focused on buying dips while keeping any short-selling opportunities short-term.
The chart above clearly illustrates three major V-shaped formations in gold. After each tariff or trade war, a V-shaped pattern formed in the same month the policy was initiated, followed by a subsequent uptrend.
Recently, I published a video analyzing other significant tariffs since the U.S.-China trade war began in 2018. We observed a consistent pattern: after each tariff or trade war, the same month of policy initiation saw the formation of a V-shaped trough, followed by an uptrend.
This time, the V-shaped trough occurred during the U.S. presidential election month. The right side of this V-shape was completed with the announcement of 25% tariffs on Canada and Mexico, signaling the expansion of the trade war beyond China.
The consequence of trade wars is inflation, and gold has historically served as a leading indicator of this trend.
If the trade war persists and intensifies, a continued uptrend in gold seems inevitable. Analyzing the long-term monthly chart using my parallel channel approach, we observed gold prices encountering resistance around $2,600 in September 2024 and beyond. However, by the close of January, the price action provided a clear confirmation of the ongoing gold uptrend. Gold firmly closed above $2,600, reaching $2,835 for COMEX Micro Gold Futures.
On the 3-hour chart, I have provided another set of parallel channels as a guide to track support and resistance levels as gold trends further.
As gold prices continue to climb, their notional value can become quite large for retail traders. COMEX Micro Gold Futures, being 1/10th the size of the regular gold contract, is a better option for me when the next buying opportunity arises. Recently, CME launched a new contract—a pocket-sized one-ounce gold contract. One key to successful trading is selecting the right contract size for oneself, which is crucial for effective risk management.
Once again, my strategy for gold remains the same: focus on buying dips while keeping any short-selling opportunities short-term.
Please see the following disclaimer and information that you may find useful:
Gold Contracts:
Gold Futures & Options
Ticker: GC
Minimum fluctuation:
0.10 per troy ounce = $10.00
Micro Gold Futures & Options
Ticker: MGC
Minimum fluctuation:
0.10 er troy ounce = $1.00
1Ounce Gold Futures
Ticker: 1OZ
Minimum fluctuation:
0.25 per troy ounce = $0.25
Disclaimer:
• What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker.
• My mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises.
CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
Strong correction, quick recovery, pay attention to NFP dataOANDA:XAUUSD Strong correction then quickly recovered and returned to close to $2,878, an important technical level for a new up cycle to open.
In economic data released Thursday, the U.S. Labor Department reported that initial jobless claims rose 11,000 to 219,000 last week, compared with an expected 213,000.
The data has weighed on the US Dollar Index (Dxy) for some time, which hit a two-year high of 110.17 on January 13 but has fallen 2% since then.
In the absence of tariff-related news, the market is focused on today's US nonfarm payrolls report, which will be the next big influence on the US monetary policy outlook.
In the latest news, the Federal Reserve announced on Thursday local time that Federal Reserve Chairman Powell will testify in the US Congress next week. This will be the first time he has answered questions from members of Congress since last July.
Powell will testify before the Senate Banking Committee next Tuesday and testified before the House Financial Services Committee the following day.
Before the end of last year, the Fed cut interest rates by 100 basis points in three meetings. In January, the Fed voted to leave interest rates unchanged between 4.25% and 4.5%. At the press conference following last month's interest rate decision, Powell said the Fed was in no hurry to cut interest rates further.
US President Trump has toned down his criticism of Powell and his colleagues, which may help Powell's appearance go more smoothly. On Sunday, Trump said the Fed "did the right thing" by pausing interest rates.
According to LSEG data, the market now expects the Fed to cut interest rates by 25 basis points in July and a total of 46 basis points in December.
Markets today belong to the US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data, US nonfarm payrolls are expected to fall to 170,000 from 256,000 in January. The unemployment rate is expected to remain unchanged at 4.1%.
The strong labor market is boosting economic growth and prompting the Fed to pause interest rate cuts as it assesses the inflationary impact of Trump's fiscal, trade and immigration policies.
Analysis of technical prospects for OANDA:XAUUSD
Gold decreased and corrected then recovered when it gained support from the upper edge of the price channel, the Fibonacci extension 0.618% and Fibonacci 0.50%. Now that the rapid recovery has brought it back close to the target level of $2,878, the Fibonacci extension position is 0.786% and if the gold price is trading above this key technical level it will have conditions for a new bullish cycle with a target of around $2,900 in the short term, more than $2,918.
The relative strength index (RSI) is operating in the overbought area, but does not show any signs of a possible correction; a correction signal will be identified when the RSI folds below the 80 level.
During the day, the uptrend still dominates the technical chart, so the current pullbacks should only be considered a short-term correction without changing the trend. Along with that, notable locations will be listed as follows.
Support: 2,846 – 2,834 – 2,824USD
Resistance: 2,878 – 2,900 – 2,918USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2878 - 2876⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2882
→Take Profit 1 2871
↨
→Take Profit 2 2866
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2839 - 2841⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2835
→Take Profit 1 2846
↨
→Take Profit 2 2851
Gold Update: $3,000 Is Not the Final DestinationGold futures broke above minor consolidation, so the map should be updated.
Wave 3 becomes extended (blue small waves) and it is looking to test the trendline resistance near magic $3,000 level.
But that's not all as we didn't see wave 4 yet.
It should be complex to alternate wave 2, which was simple.
Wave 4 could hit the $2,500-2,550 area to complete correction.
We can measure it after wave 3 will be completed.
And finally, wave 5 is usually extended in commodities.
It could be huge, wave 3 already travelled over $1,000,
imagine where wave 5 could rocket then.
It will depend on how deep wave 4 would retrace first.
Stay tuned, share your thoughts below, lucky trades to all of you!
Trump's policy promotes safe asset purchasesOANDA:XAUUSD increased sharply and reached a record high as uncertainty about Trump's policies prompted buying of safe assets, along with a decline in the US Dollar and US Treasury bond yields.
OANDA:XAUUSD renews record highs as traders seek safe haven. The escalation of the Sino-US trade war has caused investors to flock to gold as a safe haven.
Earlier this week, China responded to the new round of US tariffs by imposing tariffs on US goods, further escalating the trade war.
US President Trump's rhetoric and policies continue to push investors toward gold. Amid the uncertainty caused by Trump's policies, gold prices will likely continue to reach new all-time highs in the near term.
As Trump postponed 25% tariffs on Mexico and Canada for 30 days but imposed 10% tariffs on China, the uncertainty has investors concerned about the potential for disruption to global trade. As a result, they continue to seek safety in precious metals and abandon the US Dollar.
Investors are looking to Friday's US nonfarm payrolls report for more clues on the outlook for interest rates.
Analysis of technical prospects for OANDA:XAUUSD
On the daily chart, gold corrected slightly after reaching the target level at the 0.786% Fibonacci extension noted by readers in yesterday's publication.
However, gold can still continue to renew with new all-time highs, once the 0.786% Fibonacci extension is broken it will tend to continue rising with the target then around 2,900 USD in the short term, more than 2,918 USD.
Although the Relative Strength Index is entering the overbought area, there is no sign of a correction yet; if the RSI slopes below 80, it will be considered a signal for a correction.
During the day, as long as gold remains in/above the price channel, above EMA21, it still has a bullish outlook. Notable levels will be listed again as follows.
Support: 2,846USD
Resistance: 2,878 – 2,900USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2889 - 2887⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2893
→Take Profit 1 2882
↨
→Take Profit 2 2877
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2844 - 2846⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2840
→Take Profit 1 2851
↨
→Take Profit 2 2856
GOLD constantly renews ATH, global trade conflict risksOANDA:XAUUSD spiked to a new record high, with continued upward momentum pushing the relative strength index (RSI) into overbought territory.
Upcoming changes in US trade policy could support precious metals prices as they will increase uncertainty about the outlook for global economic growth.
Against this backdrop, monetary authorities may still face pressure to take measures to protect their economies, even though US President Donald Trump has postponed tariffs on Mexico and Canada. Additionally, the risk of policy mistakes by major central banks could push gold prices higher as gold becomes more attractive as an alternative to fiat currencies.
After Mexico and the United States reached an agreement to postpone tariffs, Canada did the same and the world's attention immediately turned to China. However, a sudden easing appears unlikely after China retaliated against the US's comprehensive tariffs on Tuesday and warned some US companies, including Google, that they could face sanctions.
While global markets welcomed the US postponement of tariffs on Mexico and Canada, the partial easing does not eliminate long-running trade tensions in Asia. A planned phone call between US President Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping on Tuesday did not take place, a sign that relations between the two sides remain frosty.
However, China's tariff measures will not officially take effect until February 10, giving Trump and Xi Jinping time to reach a "deal."
While currency markets still expect the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates twice this year (each time by 25 basis points), inflationary pressures from US tariffs are increasing, which makes the path of monetary policy through 2025 still very uncertain.
On the daily chart, OANDA:XAUUSD renewed its all-time high after reaching the target increase at 2,846 USD, which readers noted in the previous issue. With that said, a break above this key technical level would qualify gold for a new bull run, and the target would then be around $2,878 in the short term rather than the original price point of $2,900.
Although the RSI has entered the overbought zone, there are no signs of a decline indicating that the gold price may correct with the uptrend depicted by the line.
As long as gold remains in/above the price channel, it still has a short-term trend to the upside, with the current position suitable for a new bull cycle to be opened. Notable locations will also be listed as follows.
Support: 2,846 – 2,824USD
Resistance: 2,878 – 2,900USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2863 - 2861⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2867
→Take Profit 1 2856
↨
→Take Profit 2 2851
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2823 - 2825⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2819
→Take Profit 1 2830
↨
→Take Profit 2 2835
GOLD MARKET ANALYSIS AND COMMENTARY - [Feb 03 - Feb 07]Gold prices have just completed an accumulation period and this week broke out to a record high. Specifically, gold price increased quite strongly from 2,732 USD/oz to 2,817 USD/oz, then decreased and closed the week at 2,799 USD/oz.
The White House announced that from February 1, 2025, the US will impose a tax of 25% on imports from Canada and Mexico, and 10% on goods from China. This information caused global financial markets to fluctuate strongly. US stocks plunged, Treasury bond yields increased, while gold and USD became safe havens for cash flow.
Gloomy US economic data and the risk of tariff escalation have pushed gold prices to a record high. After a week focusing on interest rates and inflation, the market next week will focus on the labor market with the December non-farm payrolls report. Gold traders will also monitor many other important data such as ISM manufacturing PMI, ADP employment report, and Bank of England policy decision, along with a preliminary consumer confidence index from the University of Michigan.
Next week's gold price may still maintain an upward trend when supported by many factors, along with the positive views of investors who expect gold prices to reach higher levels in the near future.
📌Technically, after reaching a record price above the threshold of 2,817 USD/oz, on the weekly chart, the average price of gold has also exceeded the threshold of 2,335 USD/oz. This shows that the average price of gold is higher, creating room for further increases in gold prices.
A shorter-term perspective with the H4 chart, if next week's gold price benefits from worse economic data, the price will break out of the old peak of 2817 and rise above the 2850 threshold.
If the resistance level is not broken, the gold price will temporarily decrease and adjust to around the EMA89 moving average line of the H4 chart, around the 2738 mark.
Notable technical levels are listed below.
Support: 2,785 – 2,774 – 2,762USD
Resistance: 2,802 – 2,817 – 2,824USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2851 - 2849⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2855
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2737 - 2739⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2733
XAUUSD: Top of January Channel Up. Short term pull back ahead.Gold has turned overbought on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 74.055, MACD = 39.900, ADX = 58.383) and even though the long term trend remains bullish and that shouldn't affect it to a great extent, a short term Bearish Divergence on the 1H RSI (LH) and the fact that the price hit today the top of the 1 month Channel Up, calls for a quick sell. The two +4% bullish waves pulled back by at least -1% and we've always seen a 1H MA100 test on this pattern. Consequently, our short term target is near it (TP = 2,815).
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Market Forecast UPDATES! Tuesday, Feb 4thIn this video, we will update the forecasts for the following markets:
ES \ S&P 500
NQ | NASDAQ 100
YM | Dow Jones 30
GC |Gold
SiI | Silver
PL | Platinum
HG | Copper
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
GOLD → The trend is not broken, gold could go even higherFX:XAUUSD continues to strengthen after a small correction. There is a zone of interest ahead and the price may form a correction to the support before it starts to storm ATH
Gold is rising due to the growing risks on the background of the tariff war started by Trump. Despite the risks posed by the US residents as well, he is willing to continue to do so. In addition, his comment about the Fed, “The Fed made the right decision last week to hold off on cutting rates” gave aggressive support to the dollar, but that didn't break gold, which is heading for the highs. The trend is not broken and interest in the metal due to growing risks is also growing. The focus is on US and Chinese economic data as well as Fed statements.
Technically, the support in the form of the previous ATH - 2790 plays a key role and gold may test this area once again before continuing its growth. But, in the short term, it is worth keeping an eye on 2800.
Support levels: 2795, 2790
Resistance levels: 2802, 2808
There may be a small correction from 2802 or from 0.7-0.79 fibo before the price decides to storm this area again to consolidate above the support before rising further.
Regards R. Linda!
XAUUSD → Since the trend is still intact, gold may rise evekeeps getting stronger following a minor adjustment. A zone of interest is ahead, and before the price begins to storm the ATH, it can correct to the support.
The escalating risks associated with Trump's tariff battle are driving up the price of gold. He is prepared to keep doing so in spite of the dangers that the US citizens also present. The dollar also received strong support from his statement regarding the Fed, "The Fed made the right decision last week to hold off on cutting rates," while gold, which is on its way to the highs, was unaffected. The tendency is continuing, and as the risks associated with the metal increase, so does interest in it. The Fed announcement and US and Chinese economic data are the main topics.
Technically, the preceding ATH-2790 serves as a crucial support, and gold may test this region once more before extending its upward trajectory. However, it is worthwhile to monitor 2800 in the near future.
Support levels - 2795, 2790
Resistance levels - 2802, 2808
Before the price decides to attack this level once more to consolidate above the support before rising further, there can be a slight correction from 2802 or from the 0.7-0.79 fibo.
XAUUSD Channel Up unfazed by Tariff War.Gold (XAUUSD) is rising today following the Tariff announcements between the U.S. and their strongest trade partners. This rise is taking place just before the price touched the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) which has been the absolute Support (hence buy entry) of January's Channel Up for the past month.
With the 4H RSI also making (so far) a V-shaped reversal, similar to all 4 previous Higher Lows of the Channel Up, we believe that this is once more a buy opportunity. All previous bottoms (Higher Lows) rebounded to the 1.618 Fibonacci extension (from High to Low). This gives us a 2845 Target for the next technical Higher High.
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** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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GOLD corrected and recovered, as the US Dollar soaredOANDA:XAUUSD Spot prices fell below 2,780 USD/ounce and recovered slightly. As of the time this article was completed, gold prices were trading at around 2,783 USD/ounce, as the strong US Dollar overshadowed safe haven demand. after the United States announced tariffs on imports from Canada, Mexico and China.
On February 1, US President Trump signed an executive order imposing a 10% tariff on goods imported from China. The United States will also impose a 25% tariff on goods imported from Mexico and Canada. On the evening of February 2 local time, Trump announced that he would "definitely" impose new tariffs on the European Union.
While these developments typically boost safe-haven demand for precious metals, the stronger dollar and interest rate outlook have offset those pressures. The inflationary impact of tariffs could cause borrowing costs to remain high, which could put pressure on gold as it does not pay interest, while a stronger dollar makes dollar-denominated gold expensive. red and less attractive.
However, the current price decline is not something to worry about for the uptrend of gold prices, and in terms of general fundamental assessment, it still has a positive outlook in the near future when there are too many risks. with the potential for a long-lasting trade war.
On the daily chart, OANDA:XAUUSD recovered after approaching the 0.236% trendline Fibonacci extension and is currently trading around 2,783USD.
With its current position, gold still has conditions to increase in price with the price channel as the main trend and main support from the EMA21. On the other hand, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is still in the green uptrend. Although the room for growth is not much, it does not mean it is over.
If gold breaks above the $2,785 technical level it will have upside conditions with a target then around $2,800 in the short term, more than the 0.50% Fibonacci extension.
As long as gold remains within the price channel, above EMA21, it still has a bullish outlook and notable levels are listed below.
Support: 2,774 – 2,762USD
Resistance: 2,785 – 2,800USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2827 - 2825⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2831
→Take Profit 1 2820
↨
→Take Profit 2 2815
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2767 - 2769⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2763
→Take Profit 1 2774
↨
→Take Profit 2 2779