Get started

Gc1

GOLD recovers, capped by $3,350, trend viewOANDA:XAUUSD recovered then weakened as it failed to break above $3,350, supported by a weaker dollar and market uncertainty sparked by reports that U.S. President Donald Trump could replace Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell in September or October. The reports raised concerns about the future independence of the Federal Reserve, boosting demand for safe-haven gold. On Wednesday, Trump called Powell “terrible” and said he was considering three or four candidates to replace him. Meanwhile, the Wall Street Journal reported that Trump was even considering announcing a potential successor as early as September or October. The current market narrative is that once Trump nominates a new Fed chair, market expectations will tend to favor a more “dovish” Fed. This could lead to a weaker US dollar, higher long-term US Treasury yields and higher stock prices. Forexlive points out that this story may be more an emotional reaction than a result of objective and rational thinking. The policy of the FOMC (Federal Open Market Committee) is decided not only by the Fed Chairman but also by a majority vote of the 12 voting members (including 7 directors and 5 regional Fed presidents). The Fed Chairman does have a lot of influence, but he does not have absolute control over monetary policy. The Fed was originally designed to be independent of political pressure. Moreover, even if Trump nominates the next chairman, there is no guarantee that this will automatically lead to a rate cut. In fact, Powell was also nominated by Trump, but his monetary policy decisions are still based on professional judgment rather than serving Trump's wishes. So, in the worst case, the market could face policy uncertainty as differences between FOMC members increase and more disagreements emerge. Currently, there are fewer moderate members on the committee, while neutral or hawkish members dominate. Markets are now focused on personal consumption expenditure (PCE) data due later today (Friday) for further clues on whether the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates. On the geopolitical front, a ceasefire between Israel and Iran appeared to be in place on Wednesday after Trump hailed a swift end to the 12-day conflict at the NATO summit and said he would seek a commitment from Iran to abandon its nuclear ambitions in talks next week. Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD On the daily chart, after gold recovered and reached the initial target at 3,350 USD, the nearest resistance is also the price point of the EMA21 noted for readers in the previous publication. However, the recovery momentum is currently weakening, specifically at the time of writing, the gold price is falling below 3,320 USD. Gold falling below 3,320 USD provides conditions for a possible decline with the next target around 3,302 - 3,300 USD, which is the area of ​​​​the 0.382% Fibonacci retracement confluence with the lower edge of the price channel. In terms of momentum, the RSI is heading down and breaking below 50, which should be considered an initial bearish signal. Overall, gold does not have a clear long-term trend as the uptrend is still the main trend, while the momentum is showing signs of decline. But personally, I am still leaning towards the uptrend, and continue to look for positions to buy. Finally, the notable positions will be listed as follows. Support: 3,302 – 3,300 USD Resistance: 3,320 – 3,350 – 3,371 USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3367 - 3365⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3371 →Take Profit 1 3359 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3353 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3272 - 3274⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3268 →Take Profit 1 3280 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3286
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Xayah_trading
2
GOLD Can Turn Bearish Now, After Completing a 50% Retracement!GOLD futures analysis for Wed Jun 26th. Price reached the -FVGand is reacting to it now. This, after pulling back tothe 50% fib. Should the FVG fail, Gold is bullish. This is not supported by fundamentals, though. As the market environment is more risk on than off, I expect the -FVG to hold, and the retracement of the last impulsive move down to end, and a new bearish leg to begin. Enjoy! May profits be upon you. Leave any questions or comments in the comment section. I appreciate any feedback from my viewers! Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis. Thank you so much! Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
COMEX:GC1!
by RT_Money
3
GOLD recovers from around $3,300 area, short-term targetsOANDA:XAUUSD has recovered slightly and is currently trading around $3,332/oz, supported by a decline in the US dollar and US bond yields. The market is closely watching the fragile ceasefire between Israel and Iran. The US Dollar Index TVC:DXY is near a one-week low, making dollar-priced gold more attractive to holders of other currencies. The benchmark 10-year US Treasury yield is holding near its lowest in more than a month. As the conflict between Israel and Iran ends, geopolitical risk levels have disappeared, safe-haven funds have flowed back and thus gold is under pressure. From a more macro perspective, gold remains in an uptrend and real yields are expected to fall further amid continued Fed easing. In the short term, if the market reprices rate cut expectations to become hawkish, this could trigger a technical correction in gold. Economic data in the coming months will be particularly important for the gold market. If inflation data remains weak or the labor market deteriorates further, Fed officials could cut rates sooner or more significantly than expected. A ceasefire between Iran and Israel brokered by U.S. President Donald Trump appeared to have taken effect on Wednesday, a day after both countries signaled a temporary end to their conflicting air strikes. WASHINGTON (Reuters) - U.S. consumer confidence unexpectedly fell in June, reflecting growing concerns among households about job prospects and another sign of a weakening labor market amid uncertainty over Trump’s tariffs. Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell told Congress on Tuesday that higher tariffs could start to push up inflation this summer, a key period when the Fed considers whether to cut interest rates. Traders of federal funds futures are currently pricing in a cumulative 60 basis points of rate cuts through 2025, with the first cut likely to come in September. Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD Gold has recovered slightly after testing the important support area noted by readers in yesterday's edition, around the raw price point of $3,300. However, the temporary recovery is being limited by the EMA21 moving average, followed by the 0.236% Fibonacci retracement level, which can also be considered as upside targets for the time being. In terms of overall structure, gold is still in an uptrend with the price channel as the main trend. On the other hand, RSI is also hovering around 50, indicating that the market sentiment is still hesitant and does not have enough momentum for a complete trend. Intraday, gold still has a bullish technical outlook, but a sell-off that takes gold below the 0.382% Fibonacci retracement level would be a bearish signal in the near term. Therefore, long positions should be opened near the $3,300 area, with protective levels behind the 0.382% Fibonacci retracement. Notable positions will also be listed as follows. Support: $3,320 – $3,300 – $3,292 Resistance: $3,350 – $3,371 SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3367 - 3365⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3371 →Take Profit 1 3359 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3353 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3301 - 3303⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3297 →Take Profit 1 3309 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3315
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Xayah_trading
XAUUSD: Trend changed to bearish. Significant downside potentialGold turned neutral again on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 49.253, MACD = 18.142, ADX = 16.679) as it crossed below both the 4H MA200 and 1D MA50. The two form a Bearish Cross. Technically a Channel Down has emerged, no different than those that emerged after rejections on the R1 Zone (like now). As long as the 4H MA50 acts as a Resistance and holds, we will be bearish, aiming at the S1 level (TP = 3,245). ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
FX_IDC:XAUUSDShort
by InvestingScope
GOLD recovers from 2-week low, short-term neutral biasOANDA:XAUUSD hit a two-week low in yesterday's trading session before recovering, currently trading around $3,330/oz, up slightly by about 0.14% on the day. The main reason was the ceasefire between Iran and Israel, which curbed demand for safe-haven gold. In addition, Federal Reserve Chairman Powell made hawkish comments, which also affected the gold price trend. Israel and Iran reach ceasefire agreement A ceasefire came into effect on Tuesday under pressure from US President Donald Trump, raising optimism that the biggest military conflict between the two arch-rivals in the Middle East may be coming to an end. The easing of tensions in the Middle East has been a major factor in the pressure on gold. Risk sentiment has weakened and the market has entered risk-on mode. US President Trump announced on Monday evening that Israel and Iran had reached an agreement on a “complete and total ceasefire”. Iran’s state TV officially announced on Tuesday that Iran had ceased fire with Israel. Israeli Defense Minister Israel Katz announced earlier Tuesday that the Israeli military would launch a new wave of strikes on targets in Tehran in retaliation for Iran's missile launch and "blatant violation" of the ceasefire. The Israeli government said that Israel would hold off on further strikes on Iran after Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu spoke with US President Trump. Powell sends important signal Federal Reserve Chairman Powell will testify before the House Financial Services Committee on Tuesday and deliver a report on the Fed’s monetary policy. Powell will also testify before the Senate Banking Committee today (Wednesday). In congressional testimony on Tuesday, Powell said the Fed needs more time to see whether tariffs are causing inflation to rise further before considering cutting interest rates. In congressional testimony, Powell said he and most Fed officials expect inflation to rise soon and that the Fed is in no rush to cut rates before then. “We are now in a very good position to wait and see what the likely path of the economy is before considering whether to adjust the policy stance,” Powell said. Markets generally believe that the July 29-30 meeting is unlikely to result in a rate cut, with the first rate cut expected in September. Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD With the current technical position, gold has not yet had a complete short-term trend as the price action is still around the EMA21 moving average, and the RSI is operating around the 50 level. With the current price action showing that the market is still hesitant, gold may enter a sideways accumulation phase. However, in terms of the long-term trend, gold is still in a long-term uptrend channel with the case for a complete downtrend to occur is the condition that the price action is taken below the raw price point of 3,300 USD. Then the downside target is the 0.50% Fibonacci retracement level in the short term. During the day, the trend of gold is neutral with the expected operating range between 3,350 – 3,300 USD. Notable positions will also be listed as follows. Support: 3,320 – 3,300 USD Resistance: 3,350 – 3,371 USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3349 - 3347⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3353 →Take Profit 1 3341 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3335 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3301 - 3303⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3297 →Take Profit 1 3309 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3315
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Xayah_trading
GOLD MARKET ANALYSIS AND COMMENTARY - [Jun 23 - Jun 27]This week, after opening at $3,369/oz, OANDA:XAUUSD prices fluctuated within a fairly narrow range, from only $3,340-$3,374/oz, and closed at $3,368/oz. The fact that gold prices closed this week close to the opening price shows that investors are hesitant in the current context. The reason why gold prices are still fluctuating within a narrow range this week is because US President Donald Trump gave Iran a 2-week deadline to consider negotiating an end to the conflict with Israel, even though the Israel-Iran conflict is still raging. In addition, on June 12, the Fed kept interest rates unchanged at 4.25% - 4.5%, while adjusting its forecast for US GDP growth lower and raising its estimate for near-term inflation. Fed Chairman Jerome Powell acknowledged that tariffs would push up prices and weigh on economic activity. Although two rate cuts are expected before the end of the year, Powell said the Fed may wait for more clarity before cutting rates. Next week, the Fed Chairman will hold two semiannual monetary policy hearings before the US House and Senate committees on Tuesday and Wednesday. If Fed Chairman Powell hints at a rate cut in September 2025, the USD could fall against other major currencies, causing gold prices to rise next week. Conversely, if the Fed Chairman emphasizes that they will continue to prioritize controlling inflation and is in no hurry to cut interest rates, the USD will rise, thereby pushing gold prices down next week. 📌Technically, the gold price on the H4 and D1 charts is stuck between the range of 3295-3450, which is an important support level around 3295, and the resistance level at 3450. The current price is moving sideways and accumulating in smaller time frames, and the trend has not been clearly defined when it has not broken through the above two resistance levels. There are two scenarios for gold. In the long-term framework, if it breaks through the 3450 zone and breaks the trend at the same time, it is expected that the gold price will set a new high. In the case that the gold price trades below the 3300 round resistance, and at the same time the 3295 support zone is broken, it is easy to form a head and shoulders pattern on the H4 chart. Notable technical levels are listed below. Support: 3,350 – 3,320 – 3,300USD Resistance: 3,371 – 3,400 – 3,435 – 3,500USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3412 - 3410⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3416 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3294 - 3296⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3290
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Xayah_trading
2
GOLD falls after Trump's statement, but skepticism remainsOn Tuesday (June 24) in the Asian market, spot OANDA:XAUUSD continued to decline. The current price of gold is around 3,340 USD/ounce, down sharply by about 30 USD. Gold traders are awaiting congressional testimony from Fed Chairman Jerome Powell as the ceasefire between Iran and Israel takes place. On Monday evening local time, US President Trump announced that Israel and Iran have reached a complete agreement to achieve a comprehensive ceasefire. After Trump announced the news, spot gold prices fell sharply by more than 30 USD in the early morning trading session in Asia on Tuesday, which lasted until the time of writing. Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell will deliver his semiannual monetary policy report before the House Financial Services Committee on Tuesday. Looking ahead, all eyes will be on Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell’s two-day congressional testimony starting on Tuesday for fresh clues on the timing of the next rate cut. The market is now pricing in a 21% chance of a Fed rate cut next month, up from a 14.5% chance on Friday, according to CME Group’s FedWatch tool. Additionally, markets will continue to closely monitor the Iran-Israel conflict to see if the ceasefire can hold. The Israeli military continues to report that Iran has launched ballistic missiles into Israel. Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD Gold is down and operating around the EMA21 moving average and technically, gold is currently in the best support area. Specifically, gold is operating at the EMA21, the technical indicator is noted as an important support for the short-term uptrend, followed by the horizontal support of 3,320 USD. Combined with the price action position, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is above 50, and 50 is now acting as a support in terms of momentum for the possibility of price increase. However, if gold sells below the 0.382% Fibonacci retracement level, it could be bearish, with the next target being the 0.50% Fibonacci retracement level at $3,228. Therefore, the area of ​​the $3,300 base point is a very important support area for the long-term uptrend. Intraday, with the current position, gold can still increase in price with the short-term target at $3,371 followed by the $3,400 base point. Notable positions will also be listed as follows. Support: $3,300 – $3,292 Resistance: $3,350 – $3,371 SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3407 - 3405⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3411 →Take Profit 1 3399 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3393 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3304 - 3306⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3300 →Take Profit 1 3312 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3318
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Xayah_trading
1
Gold GC1! heading to $3,476 next with a 4.15R long trade TVC:GOLD Gold/ COMEX:GC1! hit the 0.705 fib level right between the 0.618 and 0.786 what I like to call the sweet spot for fibonacci tools. If it misses the 0.618 then the 0.705 is just as good, signals are showing a bottom forming and slowly but sure the rsi is about to cross up over 50, it should pump hard this time -4.15R trade -1.5% capital risk -as soon as gold starts to move, we'll drag our stop loss to or even past break even if it really pops up hard...
COMEX:GC1!Long
by SakisBack
XAUUSD Channel Up bottomed, giving a strong buy signal.Gold (XAUUSD) has been trading within a 1-month Channel Up since the May 20 low and right now it is consolidating within and just outside the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) and 4H MA100 (green trend-line) zone. At the same time, it has touched the bottom of the Channel Up. This is exactly the kind of price action the pattern had during its previous bottom formation following a Higher Low (June 9-11). With the 4H RSI having also formed a Higher Low pattern consistent with all previous 3 Lows, we expect the price to start its new Bullish Leg now. Our Target is 3495 (+4.75% from the bottom). ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TRADENATION:XAUUSDLong
by TradingShot
GOLD recovers market overview, key outlookOANDA:XAUUSD is under downward pressure, and ended last week's trading session with a decline. With tensions in the Middle East easing slightly and the Federal Reserve giving a hawkish signal, the safe-haven demand in the gold market tends to weaken, and investors' profit-taking intentions increase, these are the main reasons why gold recorded a significant correction this week. Gold prices fell last week as safe-haven demand weakened as tensions in the Middle East temporarily eased. President Trump said he would decide on military action against Iran in the next two weeks, a concession that helped ease fears of an escalation. Although Iran continued to launch missiles at Israel, the situation has not spread. However, the Middle East conflict remains risky and is unlikely to end completely. Gold prices are under pressure due to the Fed's hawkish tone. Although the Fed kept interest rates unchanged, Chairman Powell warned of inflation risks, especially from Trump's new tax policies. At the same time, Mr. Chris Waller's statement showed that the possibility of a July interest rate cut also depends on the inflation situation, causing market expectations to decrease and negatively affecting gold - a non-interest-bearing asset. Central banks and institutions maintain bullish medium- and long-term expectations Despite short-term pressures, most institutions maintain positive medium-term expectations for gold. Goldman Sachs reiterated its target of $4,000/oz by 2025, while Citigroup believes gold could fall below $3,000/oz by 2026. Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD Gold has once again bounced from the EMA21 and reached its initial upside target at the 0.236% Fibonacci retracement of $3,371, as noted in previous editions. For now, for gold to qualify for its next upside target at the raw price of $3,400, it needs to sustain price action above the 0.236% Fibonacci level, which means the 0.236% Fibonacci level is also the closest resistance at present. Once gold breaks above the raw price point of $3,400, it will be in a position to continue its short-term rally with a target of around $3,435, rather than the all-time high of $3,500. In terms of overall structure, gold still has a bullish outlook with the price channel as the main trend and RSI remaining above 50 and well away from the overbought zone, suggesting that there is still plenty of upside ahead. In the case of a sell-off, if gold is sold below the EMA21, it could test the $3,320 support in the short term, more so the 0.382% Fibonacci retracement level converging with the lower edge of the price channel. Therefore, early long positions may be considered in terms of volume as well as protection of open positions. Finally, technically, gold is still trending with an overall bullish outlook, with notable positions listed as follows. Support: $3,350 – $3,320 – $3,300 Resistance: $3,371 – $3,400 – $3,435 – $3,500 SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3406 - 3404⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3410 →Take Profit 1 3398 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3392 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3312 - 3314⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3308 →Take Profit 1 3320 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3326
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Xayah_trading
Weekly Market Forecast: Wait To Buy S&P, NAS, & OIL!In this Weekly Market Forecast, we will analyze the S&P 500, NASDAQ, DOW JONES, Gold and Silver futures, for the week of June 22-28th. The tensions in the Middle East take center stage, as Iran has signaled they are willing to discuss limitations on there Uranium enrichment program. This could allow outflows from safe havens and inflows to risk assets. Keep and eye on Silver for shorts, in the near term, though. Let's see if the market tilts its hand early next week. Monday should bring clarity. Wait for confirmations before entering trades. A break of structure would be ideal! Enter on the pullback to that structure point. Enjoy! May profits be upon you. Leave any questions or comments in the comment section. I appreciate any feedback from my viewers! Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis. Thank you so much! Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
CME_MINI:MNQ1!
by RT_Money
Gold Outlook: 3 Critical Zones That Could Shape the Next Move▋Observation & Meanings: ▪Price has broken out of the Broadening Wedge to the upside — a strong move led by bulls. ▪It then pulled back after reaching the 100% projection of the previous upswing, which also marked the likely extent of the retracement. ▪A break below the minor low (a) suggests short-term downward pressure. ▪However, the overall uptrend structure remains intact as long as the main low (A) holds. ▋What’s next? Trading a retracement is always tricky — by nature, it means going against the prevailing trend. ▪ Question 1 : Is there anything to do when price falls below the minor low (a)? Often, the best move is to stay patient and let the market reveal its intentions, some setups may offer opportunities: ▫The main prior low could act as a key short-term support, as it aligns with the 100% retracement of the previous upswing. ▫For aggressive traders, a quick short toward that level may be an option. ▪ Question 2 : When will a new trend begin? ▫Bearish scenario: A confirmed break below the main prior low could signal the start of a more sustainable downtrend. ▫Bullish scenario: Aside from Aside from (1) a direct breakout above the previous high (B), signs of strength may also come from: (2) A clear lower high or (3) A consolidation range, followed by a strong upside break. In this case : - The prior high (by definition) marks resistance. - However, there’s also a tight congestion area before that high, which may act as the real barrier — potentially even more significant due to its cluster of price action. ▫Once early trend signals appear, the next step is to assess if the structure supports a lasting trend. ▋The 3 big zones: ▪ Uptrend Zone The market is likely regaining upward momentum when one of the following occurs: 1. Price spikes above the previous swing high at point B. 2. Price breaks the tight congestion area to the upside. 3. A new consolidation range forms and breaks to the upside. ▪ Downtrend Zone A clean break below the main prior low (A) would likely confirm bearish control and may open room for further downside. ▪ Ambiguous Zone If price fails to meet the conditions for either an uptrend or a downtrend, it’s likely to remain in a drifting, indecisive state. ▋Mental Notes: ▪Don’t predict the price, trade the price. Have a plan, but not blindly follow. ▪The market will always find ways to surprise. Stay open and follow the flow. ▋Not Financial Advice The information contained in this article is not intended as, and should not be understood as financial advice. You should take independent financial advice from a professional who is aware of the facts and circumstances of your individual situation.
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD
by stock_adelie
Missiles Flying! Buy OIL, GOLD! Sell the Stock Indices!In this Weekly Market Forecast, we will analyze the S&P 500, NASDAQ, DOW JONES, Gold and Silver futures, for the week of June 22-28th. This is a revision of the Weekly Forecast I posted yesterday! With the latest US strikes into Iran nuke sites, the fundamentals go from zero to a hundred! Risk on turns immediately to risk off, and gap opens are likely to present themselves. Look to long the safe havens and short the equities until tensions ease. Enjoy! May profits be upon you. Leave any questions or comments in the comment section. I appreciate any feedback from my viewers! Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis. Thank you so much! Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
NYMEX:CL1!
by RT_Money
GOLD fluctuates, but remains generally stable sidewaysOANDA:XAUUSD has been volatile and volatile but has remained broadly stable as investors assess the conflict between Israel and Iran while keeping an eye on this week's Federal Reserve policy meeting. Spot gold was steady at $3.38/oz at press time, down from a high of $3,403/oz yesterday (Tuesday). Israel and Iran traded fire for a fifth day on Tuesday as US President Donald Trump called for the evacuation of the Iranian capital Tehran and cut short his trip to the G7 summit in Canada, amid reports he had asked his administration's National Security Council to prepare in the Situation Room. According to Reuters, Tehran has asked Oman, Qatar and Saudi Arabia to urge Trump to push Israel for a regional ceasefire in exchange for Iran's willingness to be flexible in nuclear talks. Trump's latest Truth Social post stated: "I have not communicated with Iran in any way, shape or form about (peace talks). This is all fake news! If they want to negotiate, they know how to communicate with me. They should make a deal at the negotiating table, it will save lives!!!" Forexlive commented that those who know Trump know that he will definitely wait for Iran to come to him. According to reports, Iran is trying to negotiate a ceasefire, but has not received any substantive news so far. Non-yielding gold is seen as a hedge against geopolitical and economic uncertainty and has generally performed well in low interest rate environments. So, fundamentally speaking, gold should be positive in the current market environment, although the sharp declines often make new traders lose their confidence in the trend. I myself have been the same way, there have been many times this year when I did not believe in myself, did not believe in the uptrend and ended up with bad results… The Fed's interest rate decision and Chairman Jerome Powell's speech will be released today (Wednesday). Traders are now expecting the Fed to cut interest rates twice by the end of the year. According to CME's "Federal Reserve Watch" on June 18: • The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in June is 97.3% and the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 2.7%; • The probability of a rate stay unchanged in July is 85.3%, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut is 14.4% and the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point rate cut is 0.3%. Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD On the daily chart, gold has been trading back and forth between the 0.236% Fibonacci retracement level and the 3,400USD whole price point, which was noted as the nearest support and resistance sent to readers in the previous issue. However, the overall technical structure remains unchanged with the uptrend still dominating the chart, with the EMA21 support as the important support and the trend as the main trend. Meanwhile, the 0.236% Fibonacci retracement level is the nearest support and the price channel is the short-term trend. In terms of momentum, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) remains above 50 and 50 is considered support in this case for the RSI, with the distance far from the overbought zone suggesting that there is still room for upside ahead. During the day, if gold breaks above the raw price point of $3,400, it will give a positive signal for the bullish outlook and the target is then around $3,435 in the short term. Finally, the notable positions will be listed as follows. Support: $3,371 – $3,350 Resistance: $3,400 – $3,435 SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3423 - 3421⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3427 →Take Profit 1 3415 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3409 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3351 - 3353⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3347 →Take Profit 1 3359 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3365
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Xayah_trading
XAUUSD: That is the most effective buy entry.Gold is practically neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 55.335, MACD = 29.660, ADX = 20.560), consolidating above its 4H MA50 since yesterday. The HL on the Channel Up has been priced under the 4H MA50, the latest one just under the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level. That is the most efficient level to buy again and target the top of the Channel Up (TP = 3,500) not more than +4.78%, which was the previous bullish wave. See how our prior idea has worked out: ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
FX_IDC:XAUUSDLong
by InvestingScope
Gold Miners Stocks Go 'The Rife Game' in Town. Here's WhyGold mining stocks have emerged as one of the top-performing asset classes in 2025, driven by a combination of surging gold prices, improved profitability, and shifting investor sentiment. Here’s fundamental and technical analysis of the key factors behind this outperformance, by our @PandorraResearch Super-Duper Beloved Team : Record-High Gold Prices Fuel Margins Gold prices surpassed $3,000 per ounce in March 2025 for the first time in history, marking a 14% year-to-date increase. This rally stems from: Safe-haven demand amid geopolitical tensions, economic and political uncertainty including U.S. trade policy volatility. Central bank buying , particularly by China, India, Turkey, and Poland, to diversify away from the U.S. dollar. Anticipated interest rate cuts , which reduce the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets like gold. Higher gold prices directly boost miners’ revenues. For example, the NYSE Arca Gold Miners Index NYSE:GDM returned nearly 30% YTD by early March, outpacing both physical gold OANDA:XAUUSD (+14.5%) and the S&P 500 SP:SPX (-3.8%). Companies like Agnico Eagle Mines NYSE:AEM and Wheaton Precious Metals NYSE:WPM reached all-time highs, while ASX-listed miners such as Evolution Mining ASX:EVN (+39.5% YTD) and West African Resources ASX:WAF (+56.6% YTD) outperformed Australia’s broader market. Margin Expansion and Shareholder Returns Gold miners are leveraging rising prices to improve profitability: Stabilized costs for labor, energy, and equipment have widened profit margins. Free cash flow growth enabled dividend hikes and share buybacks. U.S. Global Investors, for instance, offers a 3.91% annualized dividend yield. Undervalued stocks: Many miners traded at historically low valuations relative to gold prices, creating buying opportunities. Barrick Gold NYSE:GOLD (P/E 15.6) and Newmont Corp NYSE:NEM (P/E 15.5) remained attractively priced despite gains. Royal Gold NASDAQ:RGLD , a streaming company with a 60.3% operating margin, exemplifies how non-traditional miners capitalize on gold’s rally without direct operational risks. Sector-Specific Catalysts Mergers and acquisitions. Consolidation activity has increased, with larger firms acquiring high-potential projects. Copper exposure. Miners like Evolution Mining benefit from rising copper demand, diversifying revenue streams. Institutional upgrades. Analysts at Macquarie and Morgan Stanley endorsed Newmont and Evolution Mining, citing currency tailwinds and free cash flow potential. Macroeconomic and Market Dynamics Dollar weakness. A declining U.S. dollar enhances gold’s appeal as a hedge. Equity market volatility. With the S&P 500 struggling, investors rotated into gold equities for diversification (0.3 correlation to broader markets). Fiscal deficits. U.S. budget imbalances and inflationary pressures reinforced gold’s role as a store of value. Outlook for 2025 Analysts project further gains, with gold potentially reaching $3,300 per ounce. Miners are expected to sustain momentum through: Operational efficiency improvements to align with higher gold prices. Continued capital discipline , avoiding overinvestment in new projects. Dividend growth , as seen with U.S. Global Investors’ monthly payouts. Technical Outlook The main technical graph for Gold Miners ETF AMEX:GDX indicates on further Long-Term Bullish opportunity, to double the price over next several years, in a case of the epic $45 mark breakthrough. Conclusion In summary, gold miners’ 2025 rally reflects a confluence of macroeconomic uncertainty, disciplined capital management, and gold’s structural demand drivers. While risks like cost inflation persist, the sector’s fundamentals and valuation upside position it as a compelling component of diversified portfolios. -- Best 'Golden Rife' wishes, @PandorraResearch Team 😎
AMEX:GDX
by PandorraResearch
1
GOLD MARKET ANALYSIS AND COMMENTARY - [Jun 16 - Jun 20]The unrest in the Middle East this week has boosted safe-haven demand for gold, pushing it above $3,400 an ounce. While gold has broken several recent technical resistance levels, it is unlikely that it will hit a new record high next week. The ongoing conflict between Israel and Iran provides safe-haven support, but historically, gold rallies driven by geopolitical events tend to be short-lived. Gold is currently outperforming the US dollar, which has struggled to attract safe-haven funds. Iran launched a retaliatory airstrike on Israel on Friday night (June 13), Reuters reported. Air raid sirens sounded across Israel and authorities urged residents to take shelter in shelters. The Israeli military said Iran fired nearly 100 missiles, most of which were intercepted or missed their targets. Israel's Channel 12 reported two people were seriously injured, eight were moderately injured and 34 suffered shrapnel injuries. Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps said it had carried out military operations against dozens of targets in Israel. The Iranian Revolutionary Guards' news website released a message that evening saying the "powerful and precise" counterattack was in retaliation for Israel's "invasion" of many parts of Iran and the killing of many senior military commanders, nuclear experts and Iranian civilians, including children. Wider Middle East Conflict Could Erupt Israel destroyed Tehran's military command system early Friday and struck key Iranian nuclear facilities. The Fars news agency, which is affiliated with Iran's Revolutionary Guards, cited data saying the Israeli attack killed dozens of people in Iran and wounded more than 300. Israel has carried out large-scale airstrikes on multiple locations in Iran since early Friday, bombing Iranian nuclear facilities and military targets. Reuters said Israel's attacks on Iran during the day and Iran's retaliation have raised concerns about a broader conflict in the region. All Eyes on the Fed While gold will continue to be affected by geopolitical developments, market attention will also be on the Federal Reserve, particularly Chairman Powell, who will speak after next week’s monetary policy meeting. Economists generally expect the Fed to keep rates unchanged. However, expectations are growing that Powell could begin paving the way for a rate cut later this year. The latest inflation data and signs of a slowing US economy have given the Federal Reserve room to cut rates. However, growing geopolitical uncertainty may prompt some market participants to adjust their expectations. Overall assessment of the basic environment The gold market in particular will still receive absolute support when there are too many risks appearing, from geopolitical developments to interest rate prospects, and tariffs. Major conflicts in the Middle East, Russia - Ukraine, trade war between the US and the rest of the world, ... are all sudden risk support that makes gold likely to surge in the short term. Therefore, in general vision, gold is considered the top safe-haven asset in the global unstable environment and it tends to increase in price in the current context. Economic Data to Watch Next Week Monday: State Manufacturing Survey, Bank of Japan Monetary Policy Meeting Tuesday: US Retail Sales Wednesday: US Weekly Jobless Claims, US Housing Starts, Federal Reserve Monetary Policy Meeting Thursday: US Markets Closed for Black Lives Matter Day, Swiss National Bank Monetary Policy Meeting, Bank of England Monetary Policy Meeting Friday: Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Survey Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD On the daily chart, gold has almost achieved all the bullish targets noted by readers in last week's weekly issue, initially at $3,371, then at the full price point and finally at $3,435. Gold can still continue to increase in price as technical conditions still absolutely support the short-term trend channel, while the long-term trend channel and the nearest support is the EMA21. In terms of momentum, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is sloping up after receiving support from 50 and is still far from overbought territory, indicating that there is still a lot of room for upside ahead. To sum up, as long as gold remains within/above the price channel, it remains bullish in the short term. Any dips that do not break below the price channel should only be considered as short-term corrections or a new buying opportunity. Finally, the notable positions will be listed as follows. Support: 3,400 – 3,371 USD Resistance: 3,435 – 3,500 USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3497 - 3495⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3501 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3374 - 3376⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3370
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Xayah_trading
2
GOLD recovers from $3,371, risks remain highOn Tuesday (June 17) in the Asian market, the spot price of OANDA:XAUUSD suddenly fell sharply in the short term, and the price of gold once fell below 3,380 USD/ounce. As investors watched the hostile situation between Israel and Iran, US President Trump called for an immediate withdrawal of troops from Iran and ordered officials to be ready in the situation room, boosting demand for safe-haven assets. Trump posted on his social media platform "Real Social": "Iran should sign the 'deal' I asked them to sign. What a shame and waste of lives. Simply put, Iran cannot have nuclear weapons. I have said this over and over again! Everyone should evacuate Tehran immediately!" Axios News reported that shortly after Trump's tweet, Iranian media reported explosions and heavy anti-aircraft fire in Tehran. It is unclear whether there is any connection between Trump's tweet and the attack. According to the latest report from Fox News, US President Trump asked the National Security Council to be on standby in the White House Situation Room after he cut short his trip to the G7 summit and returned to Washington earlier than expected. The White House Situation Room is a conference room and intelligence management center located in the basement of the West Wing of the White House, with a total area of ​​about 460 square meters. The main purpose of the White House Situation Room is to provide a working space for the National Security Council, including the President of the United States, the Vice President, the White House Chief of Staff, the Secretary of State, the Secretary of Defense, the Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, the Director of the Central Intelligence Agency, the National Security Advisor, etc., to quickly discuss and respond to sudden domestic and international events affecting the national security of the United States. It has advanced and complete security communication facilities, allowing the President of the United States to control the United States military around the world at any time. WTI crude oil prices rose about 3.00% on the day after Trump told officials to be ready in the situation room. These market risks clearly leave plenty of room for gold to rise, and the current decline, which is being driven by profit-taking, is unlikely to last. Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD After a sharp decline, gold has recovered from the support level noted to readers in the previous issue at the price point of 3,371 USD, which is the location of the 0.236% Fibonacci retracement, and currently the original price point of 3,400 USD is the nearest resistance at present. If gold breaks above 3,400 USD, it will have the conditions to aim for the target of 3,435 USD in the short term. Currently, gold still has enough technical conditions for an uptrend with the price channel as the short-term trend, while the price channel as the long-term trend and the EMA21 as the nearest support at present. In terms of momentum, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) remains above 50 and is far from overbought territory, suggesting that there is still plenty of room for upside ahead. The current declines should still be viewed as a short-term correction rather than a full-fledged trend, or as a buying opportunity. During the day, the technical bullish outlook for gold will be highlighted by the following positions. Support: $3,371 – $3,350 Resistance: $3,400 – $3,435 SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3420 - 3418⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3424 →Take Profit 1 3412 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3406 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3350 - 3352⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3346 →Take Profit 1 3358 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3364
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Xayah_trading
XAUUSD Strong break-out ahead to $3700.Gold (XAUUSD) is trading within a Channel Up, while being supported by the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line). This is similar to the December 19 2024 - January 30 2025 Channel Up, which when it broke above the previous Higher High Resistance, it rose straight to the 1.618 Fibonacci extension. As a result, as long as the 1D MA50 supports, we are looking for a medium-term bullish break-out, possible by the end of July, targeting at least 3700. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TRADENATION:XAUUSDLong
by TradingShot
GOLD's room for growth is still wide, new all-time peakThe Israel-Iran conflict has increased the safe-haven role of gold, while pushing up oil prices, putting further pressure on inflation alongside the tariff pressure from the Trump administration. Although the Israel-Iran conflict may continue to push gold prices higher this week, investors should be cautious and avoid chasing the development of this conflict. Because, gold price increases due to geopolitical events are usually short-lived. In addition to the Israel-Iran conflict, markets will witness a speech by Fed Chairman Powell this week. With the Trump administration’s tariff policy still complicated and the Israel-Iran conflict escalating, the Fed Chairman may continue to signal that interest rates will remain unchanged at the July FOMC meeting. However, there is growing speculation that the Fed may begin laying the groundwork for a rate cut later this year. In the short term, gold prices may be less affected by the Fed's monetary policy. Investors will pay more attention to the Trump administration's tariff policy, especially when the 90-day tariff suspension is about to end. Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD Technical analysis still shows an upward trend in gold prices in the medium and long term, although gold prices will inevitably have periods of adjustment and accumulation, especially when the Israel-Iran conflict subsides. Accordingly, if the gold price surpasses 3,446 USD/oz, it may continue to increase to the 3,500 USD/oz area. Conversely, if the gold price trades below 3,446 USD/oz, it may adjust to around 3,344 - 3,373 USD/oz, or even lower. Notable technical levels are listed below. Support: 3,400 – 3,371 USD Resistance: 3,435 – 3,500 USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3485 - 3483⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3489 →Take Profit 1 3477 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3471 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3417 - 3419⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3413 →Take Profit 1 3425 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3431
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Xayah_trading
1