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🖥 GOLD MARKET ANALYSIS AND COMMENTARY - [March 25 - March 29]This week, international gold prices increased quite sharply from 2,145 USD/oz to 2,211 USD/oz, then decreased to 2,157 USD/oz and closed the week at 2,165 USD/oz. The reason why international gold prices increased sharply in the first sessions of the week was because in the recent meeting, the FED said there would be 3 interest rate cuts this year, regardless of inflation remaining above the target level of 2%. Although from now until the next June meeting, the US will have a lot of economic data, especially inflation and employment data... published, but many experts still affirm that the FED will find it difficult to delay monetary easing. bad. Because if the FED delays cutting interest rates further, it will cause the US economy to lose growth momentum and even fall into recession. Although the economic recession depends on a number of other factors, that statistical probability also partly shows that there is a potential risk to the US economy, and the FED may have also anticipated the risk. Therefore, we will be determined to cut interest rates in the near future. And this will also be the reason for the gold price to increase even higher, although it is difficult for the gold price to avoid the pressure of adjustment and consolidation in the short term due to profit taking by investors, ETFs, especially SPDR. big profitable states. Next week, the US will release a lot of economic data, notably the personal consumption expenditure index (PCE) - the FED's favorite inflation index. Even if PCE increases more than expected, it is not a cause for concern, because the FED has confirmed that it will still cut interest rates even if the target inflation is above 2%. Therefore, PCE may not have much impact on gold prices next week, unless this index increases dramatically. Technically, the next support level for gold prices next week is at 2,145 USD/oz. If it stays above this level, gold prices will likely increase again next week. However, if next week's gold price is pushed below this level, it may adjust to below 2,100 USD/oz, followed by the important support area of ​​2,041-2,067 USD/oz. The trading plan (reference) for next week will consider buying around 2077 and selling around the 2200 round resistance mark.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Xayah_trading
1
GOLD → Buyer imbalance within the range. Liquidation?FX:XAUUSD is testing resistance once again very slowly and gradually, protecting local support zones, below which a huge pool of liquidity is formed. What to expect from the market maker? On the background of growth and retest of the range resistance we see low volumes. The range is narrowing and technically this could indicate a willingness to break resistance. But I stick to the format that the market maker is gathering all buyers to further liquidate. The chart shows localized areas of liquidity and none of them have been tested in the last 2 weeks. The market will never let the crowd make money. A retest of the far resistance is possible before further liquidation of all buyers inside the range. Resistance levels: 2195, 2212, 2222 Support levels: 2186, 2180, 2166, 2150, 2144 Technically, there is a huge imbalance of buyers inside the range, clearly, the market maker has a "liquidate buyers" item set on the checklist. Price is still in the range, and I am still waiting for a retest of the lower liquidity areas, which for many on the current chart may seem unacceptable. Let's see TVC:DXY COMEX:GC1! Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
34
XAUUSD Bullish unless this trend-line breaks.Gold (XAUUSD) is on a short-term uptrend on the 1H time-frame as it is supported by a Higher Lows trend-line since Friday's bottom. As long as this trend-line holds, we are bullish, targeting 2220 (marginally below Resistance 1). If the price breaks and closes a 1H candle below the Higher Lows trend-line, we will see and target 2150 (marginally above Support 1). We follow this break-out approach as it was exactly what Gold did on March 20, after it broke above the Lower Highs trend-line and turned aggressively bullish. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
FX_IDC:XAUUSD
by TradingShot
A comprehensive look at gold's volatile history during crisesIt is often said that gold tends to perform well during economic uncertainty and crisis. But is this really so? Let’s examine gold's volatile history before and during recessions in the past 50 years. The 1960s and 1970s were marked by many economic and geopolitical changes, including multiple crises of the British pound, the collapse of the London Gold Pool, the suspension of a gold standard, and the end of the Bretton Woods System. These events helped to reshape the global monetary system and the role of gold within it. Before U.S. President Richard Nixon's “temporary” suspension of gold’s convertibility to the U.S. dollar, gold was pegged at $35 per troy ounce and allowed to move within a certain band around this level. However, following the breakage of the peg between gold and the U.S. dollar, gold’s price soared past levels previously thought to be unattainable. Thanks to high inflation rates, the oil crisis, and the weak U.S. dollar, gold rose more than 2,300% during the 1970s, recording a 147% increase in 1979 alone. Illustration 1.01 Illustration 1.01 shows the daily chart of XAUUSD. The green background highlights gold’s performance one year before the recession began in January 1980. The yellow background indicates recession periods, as reported by the U.S. Federal Reserve. In the first 19 days of January 1980, gold rose another 54%, hitting an all-time high of $873 per troy ounce. In the next 66 days, gold plummeted 48% to $473. From lows on 27th March 1980, gold gained over 65%, stopping at $748.50 on 22nd September 1980. After that, gold declined until 21st June 1982, erasing nearly 60% of its value before staging a temporary rally. Nevertheless, it was only two years after the recession, on 25th February 1985, that gold finally bottomed out at $282.60. Illustration 1.02 Illustration 1.02 portrays the daily graph of XAUUSD. The red background indicates gold’s performance one year before the recession began in July 1990. The yellow background shows the recession period. After bottoming out in 1985, gold rallied nearly 80% by mid-December 1987. But the next few years saw gold underperform and plunge 31%. The decline halted on 14th June 1990, at $348.20. Following that, gold’s price started to appreciate, rising 22% in the next two months, hitting a high of $425 on 21st August 1990. Yet, it was only a brief rally again, and gold soon reversed the trend. Gold lost more than 23% in the next three years, dropping to a low of $325.8 per troy ounce on 10th March 1993. Another three years were carried in a similar volatile manner, with gold rising nearly by one-third and then reversing and declining to merely $252.10 on 22nd August 1999. Illustration 1.03 The image above shows the daily chart of XAUUSD. The red background illustrates gold’s performance one year before the start of the recession in March 2001, and the yellow background indicates a recession period. After soaring 35% from 1999 lows in less than two months, gold shocked precious metal investors when it reversed and began a slow decline that lasted until the start of the 2001 recession; in fact, gold nearly took out 1999 lows in early 2001. During the recession, gold had a run-up of 12% and continued to soar to new heights after its end. By the next recession hit in late 2007, gold doubled in price. Illustration 1.04 Illustration 1.04 displays the daily graph of XAUUSD. The green background shows gold’s performance one year before the start of the recession. The yellow background highlights the recession period. From its peak in March 2008, gold lost approximately 34% until its low of $681.50 on 24th October 2008. Yet, despite this massive decline, gold bottomed out before stocks and soared more than 180% until hitting a peak in September 2011. Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section. DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not serve as a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor or any other entity. Your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Tradersweekly
4
GOLD record increase after FED's decisionFORECAST - OANDA:XAUUSD - The Fed held borrowing costs unchanged and continued to indicate it would deliver three rate cuts this year - The dovish policy outlook weighed on the U.S. dollar and yields, boosting gold prices For context, the FOMC kept borrowing costs at their current levels at its March gathering, reaffirming its intention to implement 75 basis points of easing in 2024. Wall Street, fearing a hawkish outcome in the face of growing inflation risks, breathed a sigh of relief at the institution’s restrained response. While there were some hawkish elements in the Fed’s guidance, such as the upward revision to the long-run equilibrium rate, traders chose to focus on the near-term future and the fact that the easing cycle is inching closer and looming on the horizon. With all that said, the main takeaway from the FOMC meeting was this: nothing has really changed for the central bank; plans to cut rates this year remain on track and the process to slow the pace of quantitative tightening is rapidly approaching, with Powell saying tapering could start “fairly soon”. Taking into account today’s developments, bond yields will struggle to move much higher in the near term, especially if incoming economic data starts cooperating with policymakers. This could prevent the U.S. dollar from extending its rebound in the coming days and weeks. Meanwhile, risk assets and precious metals such as gold and silver could be better positioned to maintain upward momentum heading into the second quarter. OANDA:XAUUSD FORECAST - TECHNICAL ANALYSIS Gold surged on Wednesday, breaking past its previous record and notching a new all-time high above $2,220. With bulls seemingly in control of the market, a potential move towards trendline resistance at $2,225 is conceivable. On further strength, a rally above $2,250 cannot be ruled out. Conversely, if sellers stage a comeback and pullback, support looms at $2,195, the swing high from early March. Below this level, attention will turn to $2,150, followed by $2,090. Bulls must vigorously defend this technical floor; failure to do so will expose the 50-day simple moving average at $2,065. Resistance price ranges to note: 2225 - 2201 - 2189 - 2180 - 2175
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Xayah_trading
2
GOLD goes down when the USD reverses to increase in priceGold price today, March 22, suddenly went down in the context of the USD reversing its price and US stocks rising sharply. After setting a record level of 2,211 USD/ounce in last night's trading session, today's world gold price plummeted 30 USD to 2,181 USD/ounce at 6:00 a.m. on March 22. Gold prices weakened today in the context of the Swiss National Bank suddenly reducing interest rates. Meanwhile. The Bank of England kept interest rates unchanged. As a result, investors focus on holding USD, helping this currency increase in price, which is detrimental to the gold market. Another development is that after the US announced it was ready to reduce interest rates three times in 2024, the US stock market continued to increase sharply. Many people have moved their equity capital, causing very little money to flow into precious metals. Today's world gold price drops by dozens of USD/ounce, which is inevitable. After the Fed meeting, gold prices are expected to reach the resistance level at $2,222/ounce. If this level is surpassed, it is likely that prices will reach between $2,228 - $2,234/ounce. In the long term, the Fed plans to cut interest rates three times this year starting in June, which will lead to a decline in USD compared to other currencies. Resistance: 2188 - 2195 Support: 2172 - 2168 - 2152 - 2145
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Xayah_trading
GOLD continued to decline compared to the previous sessionWorld gold spot price is around 2,165 USD/ounce, down more than 16 USD/ounce compared to the same time yesterday morning. Gold prices on the international market continue to decline because the USD has not stopped its rise. Specifically, the Dollar-Index - measuring the strength of the greenback compared to 6 major currencies, increased sharply by 0.42% to 104,075 points at 6:05 a.m. this morning. The USD benefited from positive economic and employment information in the US in February, despite the US Federal Reserve (Fed) announcing that it would reduce operating interest rates this year. The positive recovery of the US economy has helped investors escape capital from precious metals such as gold - an asset that ensures capital safety - to invest in profitable assets such as stocks and bonds. On March 21, the Dow Jones industrial index set a new peak, increasing nearly 0.7% to 39,781.37 points, the S&P 500 index increased 0.3% to 5,241.53 points, and the Nasdaq technology index Composite increased 0.2% to 16,401.84 points. Investors turned to investing in risky assets such as stocks, which shows that the market is somewhat reassured when the US economy remains strong despite interest rates remaining at a 20-year high and the Fed expected to cut reduce interest rates this year.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Xayah_trading
GOLD → Trading inside the range. Target is support FX:XAUUSD is trading inside the range. The markmet-maker is liquidating sellers relative to the 2180-2200 area, after which it forms a false breakdown of 2195 and returns to the range again. On D1 everything is the same. The market continues to form a sideways range. There are no reasons for the price to leave 2195-2144. After testing the upper part of the range, the market still has targets below 2166, especially the area of the lower boundary of the flat, as there is a huge amount of liquidity hidden there, which is clearly of interest to traders. Consolidation below 2180 may favorably influence the price down to 2166. A break of 2166 will send the price to 2150 and 2144. Resistance levels: 2180, 2186 Support levels: 2166, 2150, 2144 Technically, the local trend is neutral. It is acceptable to trade both buying and selling. But the market has an unclosed gestalt within the range trading: liquidity area 2150-2144 TVC:DXY COMEX:GC1! Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
12
GOLD → Range trading. What is the importance of the 2144 area?FX:XAUUSD is trading inside the global range, forming a small flat inside. Consolidation continues and at the moment there is no reason for the price to leave the 2195-2144 channel. On D1 and H4 we see a sideways channel, a range. The market is clearly bullish, but at the moment the price is standing still. On the left side of the chart we see local liquidity zones, which the market maker will gradually reach. But, the most interesting thing is that the main gestalt is not closed yet: the strong support at 2144 has not been tested yet, and neither has the liquidity in this zone. On H1 we see an upward movement. The target of such a move could be the 2180-2185 area, or range resistance with a subsequent decline to targets below. A standard trading situation inside the range is being formed. Resistance levels: 2186, 2180, 2195 Support levels: 2166, 2150, 2144 Within the mentioned flat, the price is trading between the zones, levels, forming consolidation. There is an important area inside the range, which has not been tested yet, hence, the market may head from the resistance to the indicated liquidity zone below COMEX:GC1! TVC:DXY COMEX_MINI:MGC1! Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
45
XAUUSD: Break-out trades only for lower risks.Gold is consolidating on the 4H timeframe, which is accurately depicted on the neutral technicals (RSI = 52.765, MACD = 2.520, ADX = 28.648). Such sideways price action is best traded on a breakout approach. If the LH is crossesd, we will buy and target the recent High (TP = 2,220). If the HL 1 or 4H MA100 is crossed under (whatever takes place first), we will sell and target the HL 2 trendline (TP = 2,120). ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
FX_IDC:XAUUSD
by InvestingScope
GOLD → Trading within the range between levels FX:XAUUSD is forming a correction after a false breakdown of the resistance of the range. Against the backdrop of a strengthening dollar index, pressure from resistance appears in gold. The market is starting to bet that the Fed will not cut rates this year. At the same time Bostic (Fed) said he now expects only one Fed rate cut this year following Powell's comments about a pledged 0.75% cut in 2024. Gold on D1 in the 2195, 2148 range. The candlestick setup is bearish and most likely inclined to see the decline continue. The target in this case is the area of 2150-2145. On H1, the market is forming pressure from sellers on the background of strengthening dollar index. Resistance levels: 2172, 2177 Support levels: 2166, 2156, 2150, 2144 Technically, within the range gold may test the liquidity area 2150-2145 as it is a tidbit for both market maker and traders at the moment TVC:DXY COMEX:GC1! Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
12
GOLD remained motionless ahead of the Fed meetingThe Federal Reserve will announce its March monetary policy on Wednesday. Experts expect the benchmark rate to remain unchanged, along with the quantitative tightening program. The focus will be on forward guidance, with the Fed likely stating that they won't lower borrowing costs until there is more confidence in inflation reaching 2 percent. The Fed may raise its GDP and core PCE deflator forecasts due to economic resilience and persistent price pressures. This could lead to a reduction in expected rate cuts for 2024 from three to two. The following table shows projections from the December FOMC meeting. If the Federal Reserve signals a greater inclination to exercise patience before removing policy restraint and shows less willingness to deliver multiple rate cuts, we could see U.S. Treasury yields and the U.S. dollar charge upwards in the near term, extending their recent rebound. Meanwhile, stocks and gold, which have rallied strongly recently on the assumption that the central bank was on the cusp of pivoting to a looser stance, could be in for a rude awakening (bearish correction). Resistance: 2166 - 2175 - 2182 Support: 2146 - 2140 - 2137 - 2125
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Xayah_trading
1
GOLD → Retest of liquidity area before further growth FX:XAUUSD corrects after testing $2222. News on Thursday shook the market after Powell's dovish statement on Wednesday, which spurred a false breakdown and a 2.5% fall Yesterday the market met a bullish wave of news for the US market: Initial Jobless Claims down, PMI up, overall this is a locally positive scenario, but today at 13:30 Powell speaks, who can probably remind some of the things he said on Wednesday. Technically, gold is forming a retest of the 2166 support, which prepares us for a continuation of the decline that could happen before the news to test the strong liquidity area. But, Powell's speech may refresh traders' memory again. In this case, the market may resume the growth phase again, as the general fundamental background for gold is favorable for further growth. Resistance levels: 2172, 2183 Support levels: 2166, 2152, 2144 Now on H1-H4 a range is forming and price is heading towards support - a classic trading strategy inside a range is to trade from its boundaries. Pay attention to today's speech of the Fed Head. His words can both cheer you up and shock you ;) CAPITALCOM:DXY CAPITALCOM:GOLD COMEX:GC1! Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
12
GOLD Fed in spotlight – Bullish explosion or crash ahead?OANDA:XAUUSD OUTLOOK - Gold prices retreated this week but are still up more than 5% in March - The Fed’s monetary policy announcement will take center stage in the coming week Gold prices (XAU/USD) fell 1.05% this week to $2,155 due to higher U.S. Treasury yields and the U.S. dollar. However, gold has maintained strong bullish momentum in March, with a gain of around 5.5% and recent all-time highs. Earlier this month, gold prices surged as investors anticipated interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve. The rally further intensified after Fed Chair Jerome Powell indicated that policymakers were close to gaining confidence in the inflation outlook. However, recent consumer price data suggests that progress on disinflation may be stalling or reversing, causing a shift in the market sentiment for gold. With inflation risks emerging and reflected in recent CPI and PPI reports, the central bank may adopt a more cautious stance, indicating the need for patience in removing policy measures. This could result in fewer rate cuts than initially expected. The Federal Reserve's plans will be clarified next week when they announce their March decision. While policy settings are anticipated to remain unchanged, there could be revised guidance and forecasts based on new macroeconomic information, as data-dependency is a key principle. In the latest Summary of Economic Projections, the Fed hinted that it would deliver 75 basis points of easing this year and market pricing has converged to this estimate of late. If policymakers were to indicate an intention to deliver fewer cuts than what’s currently discounted, we could see bond yields and the U.S. dollar push higher. This should be bearish for gold prices. OANDA:XAUUSD FORECAST - TECHNICAL ANALYSIS Gold prices fell this week, but managed to hold above support at $2,150. Bulls must actively protect this technical zone to prevent an escalation of selling pressure; failure to do so may trigger a pullback towards $2,085. In case of further weakness, the spotlight will be on $2,065. On the flip side, if buyers regain decisive control of the market and spark a bullish reversal from the metal’s current position, the first obstacle lies at the record peak established earlier this month at $2,195. Further upward movement will draw attention to trendline resistance near $2,205. Resistance: 2160 - 2165 - 2173 Support: 2146 - 2135 - 2125 - 2100
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Xayah_trading
1
XAUUSD: Top is in. Targeting 2,055.Gold has had a strong rally after holding the 1W MA50 on the week of February 12 2024 and remains almost overbought on its 1W technical outlook in the past three weeks (RSI = 68.498, MACD = 43.750, ADX = 37.013). The grand pattern on 1W has been a Channel Up dating back to late 2019. As shown on the chart, the last two HL were on the 1W MA50 and 1W MA200 respectively, indicating a healthy long term uptrend. Since March 2022 however, every time the 1W RSI reached the overbought 70.000 level, it was a Sell Signal. This time the price has even breached the 0.786 Fibonacci level, as it did on March 7th 2022. The minimum retrace on such a signal has been -7.59%. This is what we are aiming for (TP = 2,055) and potentially we may see a close contact with the 1W MA50 near that level. Basically all corrections inside the Channel Up have hit the 1W MA50. ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
FX_IDC:XAUUSDShort
by InvestingScope
GOLD → New Horizons. Price opens a new rangeFX:XAUUSD is getting a good medium-term signal on Powell's words yesterday. Metal is trampling its way into new horizons and probing new highs. Today the market is waiting for Initial Jobless Claims and PMI. M1 timeframe is pointing us to the approximate medium term potential which is capped at $2380-2400, price has entered a new bullish range. Yesterday's news from Powell gives the market the realization that the overall situation is improving and the time when the dollar will start to slacken on the back of rate cuts is getting closer. On the background of the news, investors continue to buy gold even more, as well as central banks of many leading countries of the world, which only favorably influences the price. Resistance levels: 2212, 2222 Support levels: 2200, 2195, 2175 Technically, the gold may test the support before rising further. The trend is strongly bullish. The liquidity area at 2195 plays an important role at the moment on the background of today's news, which is published at 12:30 GMT TVC:DXY COMEX:GC1! CAPITALCOM:GOLD Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
31
🖥 GOLD MARKET ANALYSIS AND COMMENTARY - [March 18 - March 22]After increasing to 2,195 USD/oz last week, this week's gold price continuously adjusted from 2,188 USD/oz at one point to 2,150 USD/oz and closed at 2,156 USD/oz. Gold prices have increased sharply in recent times mainly due to purchases by central banks and investors buying gold in anticipation of the FED reducing interest rates next June. Therefore, the rising inflation data has reduced this expectation, causing them to sell gold to take profits to hedge against risks. Next week will be a big challenge for gold prices when the FED will meet to discuss monetary policy and make economic forecasts. Any rhetoric to push back interest rate cuts could create some selling pressure on gold prices next week. Although at next week's meeting, the FED may not continue to postpone the interest rate cut date beyond June, it may be difficult for gold prices to avoid continued adjustment pressure due to the possibility of ETFs. will continue to sell gold, while investors also make similar moves to hedge against risks before the FED meeting. 📌Technically, on the D1 technical analysis chart, the price is starting to show signs of a correction, and this correction may find its way back to the support area of 2090-2100, around the 50 Fib mark of the Fib Retracement, also around moving average EMA34 D1. The trading plan for next week will consider selling around 2200, buying around 2090.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Xayah_trading
XAUUSD Starting a new Mega Cycle. One last pull-back in order?Two weeks ago (March 07 2024, see chart below) we explored the possibility of Gold (XAUUSD) starting a new cyclical Mega Rally on the 1W time-frame after the recent bounce on the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line): This has turned out to be the reality as Gold closed a 1W candle above the Resistance Zone. That is the first signal of the start of the new Mega Cycle and it will get confirmed if the price closes a 1M candle above the Resistance Zone in 10 days time, which is at 2150. If not, one final test of the 1W MA50 before a new All Time High (ATH), may be in order. Until then, we need to consider the implications shown on the 1D time-frame, where the dominant pattern is a Channel Up. As you can see, the current Bullish Leg has so far repeating the previous one very closely and we are at the (blue) Channel Up stage that may price the new Higher High near the 1.382 Fibonacci extension from the previous High. The 1D MACD invalidating a Bullish Cross, confirms that we may be in a similar situation as on April 04 2023. As long the 2145 Support holds, we expect 2260 as a Higher High, which should of course close the 1M candle above the Resistance Zone, indicating that the new cyclical Mega Rally may start earlier, without a 1W MA50 (red trend-line) pull-back. If however the 2145 Support breaks, the above gets invalidated and we will have a sell confirmation. In that case, we will turn bearish, targeting the 1W MA50 and 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) on the Internal Higher Lows trend-line (as on June 29 2023) with 2035 as our Target. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
FX_IDC:XAUUSD
by TradingShot
GOLD had its first weekly decline in 4 weeksGold prices stabilized on Friday (March 15) but recorded their first weekly decline in four weeks, as investors lowered expectations for US interest rate cuts after data this week showed pressure. price increases. At the end of the trading session on March 15, the spot gold contract was almost flat at 2,159.99 USD/oz. This week, the gold contract lost 0.8%, recording the first weekly decline since mid-February 2024, after reaching a record high of 2,194.99 USD/oz last week. Gold futures contracts retreated 0.3% to 2,161.5 USD/oz. This week's data shows that CPI consumer prices in the US increased stronger than forecast in February and PPI producer prices also show that inflation is somewhat stable. Gold is already pricing in any positive boost it can get from expectations that interest rates will fall… if inflation starts to rise again, that means policymakers will have to maintain Tighter monetary policy for longer periods of time. Higher-than-expected inflation maintains pressure on the Fed to keep interest rates high, thereby putting pressure on gold. Non-yielding precious metals are also used as an inflation hedge. The USD index saw its strongest weekly increase since mid-January 2024, making gold more expensive for foreign buyers.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Xayah_trading
2
GOLD → Waiting for the news. What are the odds of a fall ↓ ?FX:XAUUSD is trading under resistance pressure. The market is still forming a downward correction channel after a strong rally. Ahead of important news that will determine the medium-term outlook. The price is testing the correction resistance, but at the same time sellers are still holding the market back. Buyers do not let the price go beyond 2145-2150, thus a bearish pattern like a descending triangle is formed on the chart. The market still has a chance to break the support and this set-up has a high probability. The news is coming and everyone is waiting for what Powell has to say about the rate and inflation. His words may determine the medium-term outlook for the market. Resistance levels: 2160, 2163 Support levels: 2152, 2144, 2125 I am still inclined to believe that we have a fall ahead of us (globally - false breakdown of 2145-2150). Before that, on the background of news, the price may retest the resistance. The main prospective target is the price decline on the background of strengthening of the dollar index. Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
22
GOLD → Correction + bearish set-up. What to expect from XAU?FX:XAUUSD is being held very tightly within the downward correction channel. The fundamental background on the market is weak, at this time the dollar is growing, which in general negatively affects the price of metal. Set-up on H4 shows us a strong resistance on the market. In general, this is due to the negative fundamental factor because of the economic news, which generally supports the dollar index. There is a pattern forming on the chart that could break the support formed in December 2023 (2145-2150) In this case a false breakout could occur. Statistically, the strongest moves occur after a false breakout. A breakout and consolidation below 2145-2150 may initiate a strong decline to the liquidity areas indicated on the chart. Resistance levels: 2156, SMA Support levels: 2144, 2125, 2100, 2075 I expect a retest of 2145-2150 with a bounce. If the price quickly returns to this support, the chances of a breakout will then increase. Fundamentally and technically, the gold market is showing weakness, so we should expect a negative scenario at the moment TVC:GOLD COMEX:GC1! MCX:GOLD1! TVC:DXY Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
14
GOLD → The correction continues. Test of strong support FX:XAUUSD continues to form correction. Price has been breaking through support since the open and is testing the key liquidity area formed on Dec. 4 $2,145 - $2,150 Overall, the price is not ready to go above the made high. Yes, there was an earlier breakout of the resistance level from December 2023, but there seems to be pressure from the resistance side of the market, this could be due to a strong seller or still no buyer. The candlestick setup indicates that the market is getting ready to go back beyond 2145-2150 and head towards lower zones like 2125, 2100, 2075. On H1, a bounce is forming within the descending channel, the price may test the moving average zone or even the resistance zone of the channel before resuming the decline. Resistance levels: 2156, 2162, 2172 Support levels: 2144, 2125 I expect a retest of resistance or moving averages after which the correction will resume. But the breakthrough of 2145-2150 may turn into a change of the local trend TVC:DXY TVC:GOLD COMEX:GC1! COMEX_MINI:MGC1! Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
4