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GOLD expected to decrease this week.World gold price trades at 1997 USD/ounce. Compared to last week's closing session, world gold prices decreased slightly by 6 USD/ounce. Some analysts believe that the coming time will be challenging for gold. Currently, the gold market is under pressure because the November employment report in the US published last weekend was quite positive. Specifically, non-farm payrolls in the US in November created 199,000 new jobs, higher than the forecast 180,000 jobs and 150,000 jobs created in October. The unemployment rate in November was at 3.7%, lower than forecast and reached 3.9% in October. Average hourly income in November also increased from 0.2% in October to 0.4%, higher than the 0.3% forecast. The gold market is also under pressure because the US Federal Reserve (Fed) meeting will take place on December 12 and 13. Closing last week's trading session, gold prices fell sharply by more than 3% at the end of last week, causing the gold market to witness the strongest fluctuation since mid-August 2020. Many experts predict precious metal prices will decrease this week. After the jobs report and wage data released last week, the US Federal Reserve (Fed) may become more hawkish, which will push the USD and bond yields higher, putting pressure on for gold price.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Xayah_trading
🥇 GOLD - Price will continue to fall from resistance Gold will continue its decline. There are a number of reasons for this: Fundamentally, gold is weakening (Strong dollar from NFP) Break of 2009.6 support The correction wave continues its second part False break of 2067 Target support area 1933 The market closes Friday below the support level. But, a counter-trend spike is formed, which may trigger a small correction to the previously broken 2009 level. The outlook for the market is bearish. The market may show interesting dynamics for the first two days, after which the price is expected to stop in consolidation before Powell's speech on December 13. On the background of NFP the Governor will not change his stance on policy and most likely the information will be at the same level. Gold may test the 1984 - 1950 area by the end of the week.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Gold-Tech
3
GOLD ending the most volatile week in over 3 yearsLast week saw gold prices skyrocket, setting a new record of 2,149 USD. However, this price does not last long. Closing the weekly trading session, world gold price stood at 2,004 USD/ounce, down sharply to 68 USD/ounce compared to last week's closing session. Last week saw gold prices skyrocket, setting a new record of 2,149 USD. However, this price does not last long. Precious metal prices turned around and continuously plummeted, sometimes dropping to only 1,995 USD/ounce. With a fluctuation of 154 USD this week, the gold market witnessed the strongest weekly fluctuation since mid-August 2020. The employment data released this weekend is like "pouring cold water" on interest rate cut expectations. The number of jobs increased higher than expected combined with the falling unemployment rate, causing the market to postpone expectations of interest rate cuts to May, instead of March as before. It is forecasted that gold will see some downward price pressure next week. After Friday's jobs report, it's unlikely Fed Chairman Jerome Powell will change his hawkish stance, even if the central bank is expected to leave interest rates unchanged. Despite the positive long-term outlook, gold is susceptible to bad news. Gold may fall below 2,000 USD/ounce, to the support level of about 1,975 USD/ounce.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Xayah_trading
2
GOLD → Strong dollar influences further decline in gold OANDA:XAUUSD , following my expectation, on the background of Friday's NFP falls and reaches the target. The price is testing the level of 2000, but in my opinion, this target will not end this week. From December 11 to December 15 we are expecting a rather active week, fundamentally. On Friday we got a rather strong NPF for the dollar, which made gold fall from the zone I mentioned. The fundamental potential is not over, it will continue to influence the pricing in the medium term. It is also worth paying attention to the dollar. On the weekly timeframe we see the formation of a pinbar and a bullish candlestick, which overlaps the last two, which is a strong enough sign of further strengthening. Accordingly, gold and the forex market may react accordingly. Gold is currently testing the support area of the bearish channel. The important zone for us is 2007 - 2009. It is possible to form a retest, an impulse to 2010-2015 , or a false breakdown. Further consolidation of the price below this level will form a bearish potential, which will continue to pressure the price. The market is directed to the mentioned zones of interest and liquidity ( 1990, 1984, 1965, 1955 ) in the medium term. Fundamentally, the market has stopped paying attention to the nuances in the Middle East or Eastern Europe. Now everyone is waiting for some new information from Powell related to monetary policy, namely interest rates. But, more data on Initial Jobless Claims and NFP may make the Fed chief hesitant. Also, on the weekly timeframe, I found the " Cup with handle " pattern forming interesting. It is clear that within such a period it is impossible to determine the exact place of the breakout or the point of safe entry into the market, but the tendency to the fact that the extreme phase of the expected pattern is forming is already pleasing. Most likely, in the medium and long term, the price will continue to test the resistance 2070-2100 for a breakout and the formation of a new range, but not in the near future. OANDA:XAUUSD COMEX:GC1! COMEX_MINI:MGC1! CAPITALCOM:US500 TVC:DXY Regards R. Linda!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
19
GOLD → NFP ahead. Will the sell-off continue? OANDA:XAUUSD continues to form a local bearish channel after updating the high to 2150 and strong sell-offs to the current area. There is still a huge imbalance in the market and the price could go even lower to settle the situation. NFP could perfectly develop the expected scenario I have been telling you about since the sell-off. Expect the data at 13:30 GMT. The Initial Jobless Claims report was released yesterday with positive data for the dollar. This could be a hint that NFP will hit the planned 180K , maybe more , instead of the last 150K . More bullish data relative to expected data will shake up the market. The dollar may strengthen, which will have a positive impact on gold. Gold made a false breakout of 2038 resistance and bearish channel and continues to trade within the downside range. The target support levels are a potential target. But before the news, volatility will be very sluggish. The market is saving the potential for realization. Support levels: 2027, 2025, 2022, 2007 Resistance levels: 2033, 2035, 2038 News can be unpredictable, try to trade carefully before the news. We are expecting a more positive NFP , a rising dollar and gold falling to the previously mentioned targets, but anything can happen OANDA:XAUUSD COMEX:GC1! COMEX_MINI:MGC1! TVC:DXY Regards R. Linda!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
45
XAUUSD: Short term rebound likely.Gold hit the bottom of the 4H Channel Up and the 4H MA200 turning neutral on 1D and bearish on 4H (RSI = 37.407, MACD = -6.030, ADX = 14.273). The 4H MACD also indicates that we are on bottom territory so we expect a short term rebound and we're bullish targeting the 4H MA50 (TP = 2,035). As long as the designated dashed Channel Down holds, we will then turn bearish and target a new LL (TP = 1,965). Any crossing under the Channel Down will also be an immediate sell, targeting the 1D MA50 (TP = 1,965). See how our prior idea has worked: ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
FX_IDC:XAUUSDLong
by InvestingScope
XAUUSD The NFP is 'do-or-die' moment for this pattern.Gold (XAUUSD) is trading exactly at the bottom of the 2-month Channel Up, restrained below the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line), which ahead of today's Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report is getting increasing dangerous. Technically, as long as the Channel Up holds, the current level is the most optimal buy opportunity for another +11.00% bullish sequence (as the previous two Higher Highs) targeting above 2200. With the 1D RSI though showing no divergence at all with the price's Higher Lows (as opposed to the previous two bottoms of the Channel Up), it is the first time on this pattern that a bearish break-out is so likely to take place. We will look for a break below the 2010 Support as our sell signal. Due to the usual high volatility that is expected during NFP releases, if we do get a bearish break-out, it is quite probable to reach the 1D MA50 (red trend-line) even within the day. Sell target on this, 1965. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
FX_IDC:XAUUSD
by TradingShot
GOLD → Market in range awaiting newsOANDA:XAUUSD is strengthening due to a slight correction in the TVC:DXY . The price is testing the local trend resistance area before the publication of Initial Jobless Claims at 13:30 GMT. The market is in a range as analysts and investors await the Initial Jobless Claims information to roughly understand the situation for tomorrow (Friday) as we approach the NFPs to be released on December 8 at 13:30 GMT. With the correlation between DXY and XAU, the situation is unstable right now. Going forward, the inverse correlation may change even more as there are targets at lower levels for gold. From a technical point of view, since we have a local bearish channel built on the background of strong sell-offs, I expect a false break of resistance and further decline to the previously mentioned targets. Support levels: 2022, 2010, 2007 Resistance levels: 2032, 2035, 2040 Situation may change due to fundamental factor, Unexpected news may change the situation dramatically, but temporarily. Regards R. Linda!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
8
GOLD | Rangebound as Indecision Reigns Pre-NFPOANDA:XAUUSD PRICE FORECAST: - Gold Rangebound as Market Participants Pause Ahead of Jobs Data. - US 10Y Yields Hit a Three-Month Low as Gold Ticked Higher. Gold prices recovered late in the day yesterday before continuing to trickle higher today. Looking at the larger timeframes and the price is caught in a range ahead of US jobs data due tomorrow. US TREASURY YIELDS AND JOBS DATA Investors are pausing before the US jobs report, following a turbulent week for precious metals. Despite hitting a record high at the beginning of the week, there was a sharp selloff, bringing the price close to $2000/oz. Today, US 10Y Yields hit a three-month low, providing support for the precious metal. While the overall outlook for metals is clearer, there may be a retracement in the short-term due to tomorrow's jobs report and next week's Fed meeting, as rate cut expectations increase. The perfect conditions for metal prices to rise in 2024 are emerging due to increasing demand and the significance of metals in tech production. The uncertainty in global geopolitics and the outcome of the upcoming FOMC meeting do not affect the positive outlook for the metals sector. In terms of economic data, tomorrow's focus will be on initial jobless claims, while Friday's NFP and Jobs report gains attention due to a decrease in job openings and a softer ADP print. If there is a significant miss on Friday, it could result in further weakness for the dollar and a likely boost for gold prices. TECHNICAL OUTLOOK OANDA:XAUUSD Form a technical perspective, Gold is caught n a range following the explosive move higher to start the week. We appear to be caught between the 2020 and 2031 levels at present with any spikes above or below these levels failing to find acceptance. There is every chance that this continues heading into the NFP release on Friday. Either way the weekly timeframe now looks intriguing with a massive shooting star candlestick as things stand. However, with two days left there is a chance that this could change. Key Levels to Keep an Eye On: Resistance levels: 2032.00 - 2041.00 - 2050.00 Support levels: 2020.00 - 2010.00 - 2000.00
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
GOLD → The bears are moving towards imbalance OANDA:XAUUSD continues to update lows, testing new zones, but at the same time, as part of the correction, the price confirms the boundaries of the forming descending price channel. On D1 it is obvious that the decline in gold will continue, as there is still a huge imbalance at the expense of buyers. At the moment we are interested in the support area of 2022, which may be broken after another retest. In this case the decline will continue to 2009 and then to 1984. The Dollar Index is forming a correction, but even if the decline starts, gold may not react to the dollar and will continue to move towards its targets. On the chart we see a bearish channel, a bounce from resistance and another retest of support, the sellers are strong at the moment. At the same time the market is waiting for the news at 13:15 ADP Nonfarm EC, don't miss it, but before the news reduce the risks. Support levels: 2022, 2010, 2007 Resistance levels: 2035 I expect the continuation of the descending channel formation, in this case, the support may be broken soon and the price will head towards the mentioned target TVC:DXY OANDA:XAUUSD COMEX:GC1! Regards R. Linda!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
15
GOLD | Continued deep declineFORECAST OANDA:XAUUSD : - Despite the falling exchange rate, gold prices tend to decrease slightly during the trading session - Attention will focus on US non-farm payrolls at the end of the week Although falling yields benefited the technology index, gold struggled to get a boost, sending prices down for the second day in a row. While the precious metal maintains a constructive outlook, bulls are not yet ready to re-enter long positions after being caught out on Monday's trading blip during a breakout during the Asian session quickly turned into a massive sell-off. Looking ahead, we could see measured moves in gold over the next few days as investors avoid large directional bets ahead of the release of November US jobs figures on Friday. The upcoming jobs report will provide valuable insight into the health of the economy and, in turn, could help guide the Fed's next steps. TECHNICAL ANALYSIS OANDA:XAUUSD Gold surpassed its previous record and briefly hit a new all-time high on Monday, but quickly fell lower, signaling that the long-awaited bullish breakout was nothing more than a blip. fake. While the bulls may have failed for now, bullion retains a constructive technical outlook. This means that the path of least resistance is still upward. That said, if the precious metal continues to rally, the first hurdle to watch will appear at $2,050 and $2,070/$2,075 thereafter. Outside this area, attention turns to $2,150. On the other hand, if losses increase in the near term, initial support is placed at around $2,010. This area could act as a floor in the event of further losses, but a drop below this level could signal that a deeper retracement is forming, with the next downside target lying at nearly 1,990 USD.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TVS-Trader
GOLD → The sell-off may continue. News ahead OANDA:XAUUSD sold off 6% from its high. The price has lost more than $130. This is the biggest drop since August 2020. At the moment a correction is forming, after which the fall will continue On d1, the dollar is strengthening in anticipation of positive news, while the Fed is silent and treading water. Gold is forming a huge false breakout and a candle with a huge shadow, the potential of this setup is that without the influence of the fundamental component, from a technical point of view, the price can fall to 1900-1800 (do not take this as a target, it is just a nuance) For the gold market, the liquidity and imbalance zones are below: 2022, 2012, 2007, 1900, 1987, 1984. The probability is quite high that the price will test most of these targets, it is dangerous to buy now, the market is still in a sell-off, which I warned you about earlier. Reason: fundamental, dollar strength, lack of volumes, global range, engulfment, moving averages cross, huge imbalance. Support levels: 2030, 2022, 2012 Resistance levels: 2035, 2040 I am waiting for the continuation of the fall after the retest of the resistance area. But! Strong news is published today and the market may be stormy, on the background of panic, the price may test the resistance areas before falling COMEX:GC1! COMEX_MINI:MGC1! TVC:DXY Regards R. Linda!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
20
GOLD | Clobbered after FakeoutFORECAST – OANDA:XAUUSD - Gold prices retreat after failing to sustain Monday’s brief bullish breakout Gold prices surged to a new record near $2,150 during Asian trading. However, the bullish momentum quickly turned into a significant sell-off when European and U.S. markets opened, possibly due to the rebound in bond rates. U.S. Treasury yields have been declining since late November due to expectations of a Federal Reserve interest rate cut in 2024. However, they increased at the beginning of the week as traders started to reduce bets on excessive monetary easing, which didn't align with the current economic situation. This rise in rates strengthened the U.S. dollar and had a negative impact on precious metals and risk assets. TECHNICAL ANALYSIS OANDA:XAUUSD Gold took out its all-time high and hit a fresh record on Monday, but was quickly slammed lower, signaling that the breakout was possibly a fakeout. Despite the market reversal, gold remains biased towards upside movement. If prices continue to rise, the first resistance is at $2,050, followed by $2,070/$2,075. Further strength could lead to a focus on $2,150. However, if losses increase in the coming days, initial support is seen at $2,010. This level may act as a floor, but a drop below it could suggest a deeper pullback with the next target at $1,990.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TVS-Trader
GOLD down more than 2% after hitting an all-time high Gold prices fell more than 2% after hitting an all-time high as currency futures traders increased bets the US Federal Reserve (FED) would cut interest rates next year. Gold remains supported by hopes that not only is the tightening cycle by the Fed and other central banks over but also by expectations of interest rate cuts. However, today's drop may reflect that the odds have gone too far on an interest rate cut. The gold market at the moment seems to reflect a change in sentiment rather than specific fundamentals. There was no specific catalyst that led to the rally to $2,150, and no specific event pushed the price sharply back to $2,000. US bond yields rose but only modestly, and the strong dollar does not explain the volatility.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Xayah_trading
GOLD → Global Highs Update. What's next?OANDA:XAUUSD , on the back of the residual potential from last week, is forming a rally from the opening session and testing a new global high of 2150, after which we saw the strongest sell-off. Yesterday we looked at what could happen in gold. But no one expected an update of the highs to 2150. In any case a conglomeration of factors is important for us: Retest of global range resistance (W1, M1) Area 2069-2070. Huge sell-off after the retest of 2150. The market sold off all the upside. Distribution since early November. No potential, no energy and no volume. Update high was on no volume, on the back of hyped up price (pure market manipulation) Most likely, after the market calms down after this burst of activity, price will start testing the 2070-2069 area. I still stick to my scenario - false breakdown and further correction. Key level: 2069.8 - 2070. Support levels: 2059.65, 2049,6, 2035.3 It is important to wait for the market to calm down. A calm market may show a clearer picture for further prospects. We are waiting for a correction. Regards R. Linda!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
34
XAUUSD Channel Up holding. Buy until it breaks.Gold had a very volatile trade, the kind that isn't fit for tight SL placements, be sure a lot of them got triggered today. The pattern is a Channel Up and the price has so far found support on the MA50 (4h) near its bottom. Trading Plan: 1. Buy as long as the MA200 (4h) holds. 2. Sell if the MA200 (4h) breaks. Targets: 1. 2090 (Resistance 1, same symmetric target as the rebound of November 12th where the MA200 (4h) held). 2. 1930 (Support 1). Tips: 1. The RSI (4h) gave a clear sign of this top turned into sell as it built a Bearish Divergence on a Falling Resistance, same as October 27th. The RSI hit only 42.00, a level that hasn't formed any recent bottom. This is why you have to consider the possibility of a deeper correction. Please like, follow and comment!! Notes: Past trading plan:
FX_IDC:XAUUSD
by TradingBrokersView
XAUUSD Made new High. Is a rejection inevitable or 2250 is next?Gold (XAUUSD) has made a new All Time High (ATH) today early during the Asian session opening amidst the attacks in the Red Sea, peaking just below 2150 before being sold-off on each passing hour. Regardless of the pull-back, this managed to make a new ATH after almost 3.5 years. There is technical evidence however showing that if the current weekly (1W) candle closes in red (which is still very early to tell as we are only at the start of it), Gold may share the fate of the previous peaks at 2082: a rejection and immediate bearish reversal towards the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level (blue lines) from the October 02 Low on the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line). In that case, we will target 1980 (0.5 Fib), which would also test the Channel's 0.5 Fibonacci level as well as the 1W MA50 again (blue trend-line). Be aware though that the current 2-month rally is the most 'systematic' of all previous as first it rebounded on the 1W MA200 and then on the 1W MA50. As a result and while considering the Fibonacci Channel Up trend-lines, as they are applied perfectly to Gold's uptrend since 2020, if the current (or any that follow) 1W candle closes above the 0.786 Fibonacci Channel level, we will buy the break-out and target the 1.0 Fib level (top/ Higher Highs trend-line of the Channel) at 2250. The risk (and as a result the SL) is low in each case. As a side note, check how well the majority of the price action since January 2020 fits within the 0.786 - 0.236 Fibonacci levels. This range is Gold's 'High Volatility Zone'. Also as an additional observation, check how rejection candles look on the monthly (1M) scale, which is again of course too early to tell for the current one: ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
FX_IDC:XAUUSD
by TradingShot
1
GOLD → Huge imbalance. Updating the highs. What to expect?OANDA:XAUUSD is making another rally and updating the global high to 2075.4, but at the same time there is a huge imbalance in the market. Distributive retest of the resistance zone and several preconditions allow me to think about a possible correction. In the coming week we will encounter several important news that will determine the market mood and possible medium-term prospects for trading. It is worth paying attention to the following news: SP PMI, ISM PMI (Bullish expectations) ADP NonFarm (Bullish expectations) Initial Jobless Claims (Bearish expectations) NonFarm Payrolls, Unemployment Rate (Bullish Expectations) The bigger reaction is the unexpected nuances regarding the expected data. Since it is news, it is impossible to know in advance what will happen in the market. In the Middle East we notice the aggravation of the situation, but globally the situation does not change, and in addition, the TVC:DXY and OANDA:XAUUSD have not paid much attention to it lately. Increased interest in the gold market is connected with the general world crisis + decrease of dollar indices. Gold in the distribution phase is testing the strong level of 2069.8, the price closing above the resistance level, it may be another trap before further decline. After this maneuver, another pool of liquidity was formed to continue the growth, which only increases the imbalance of forces in the direction of buyers since the strong rally of gold (the rally began in early November due to the conflict in the Middle East). The chart more clearly shows the liquidity and disalignment zones. Market managers cannot allow further rallies in such a critical situation as they may lose money in the moment. Reasons why I expect a false breakdown and further decline: Strong distribution continues for a month. this maneuver has wasted all the potential, which, from a technical point of view, will not be enough to break through the 2070 area. Huge imbalance on the buyers' side Relative decline in volume on a false breakout Death Cross Positive DXY Fundamental Expectation from the open: The market may test 2069-2070 resistance on Monday and try to form a local bullish momentum and make a new high, but a false breakout may follow in the mid term. Consolidation or retest of 2069-2070 level from below may confirm the market's intention, which will start the final decline of the asset towards the mentioned zones. Regards R. Linda!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
36
GOLD | Record Zone as Dow Breaks OutVolatility spiked across many assets last week, producing notable breakouts and breakdowns in the process. First off, U.S. Treasury yields plummeted across the board, with the 2-year yield sinking below its 200-day simple moving average and reaching its lowest level since early June at 4.54%. The market dynamics also benefited precious metals, triggering a strong rally among many of them. Gold spot prices, for example, rose by 3.5% and came within striking distance from overtaking its record near $2,075. Looking ahead, if U.S. interest rate expectations continue to shift lower, U.S. yields are likely to come under further downward pressure, setting the stage for a weaker dollar. Against this backdrop, risk assets and precious metals could remain supported moving into 2024. Upcoming U.S. data, including ISM services PMI and non-farm payrolls (NFP), will give us the opportunity to better assess the Fed's monetary policy outlook. Soft economic figures could reinforce dovish expectations, while strong numbers could result in the unwinding of rate-cut bets. The latter scenario might induce a reversal in recent trends across key assets. For a deeper dive into the catalysts that could guide financial markets and drive volatility in the coming trading sessions, explore the DailyFX’s carefully curated week-ahead forecasts.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TVS-Trader