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GOLD reversing to the downside, support factors still remainLast week, the international financial market received a lot of negative employment information and retail sales in the US and UK, causing the USD to continue to decline. Specifically, this morning the Dollar-Index - measuring the strength of the USD in a basket of 6 major currencies - decreased by 0.07% to 103,850 points. The USD fell so last weekend investors stepped up their gold purchases. In particular, the world's largest gold trust fund SPDR last week's session bought a net 12.98 tons of gold in the session on November 17 alone. Increased demand pushed world gold prices last week up to 36 USD/ounce, equivalent to about 2% compared to the previous week's closing session. At the beginning of this week, the gold market was lacking economic information, so investors immediately took profits to recover capital and waited for more economic information. The market is lacking economic information, but Russia continues to be subject to new sanctions packages, which could increase geopolitical tensions in Ukraine. This may be a factor supporting the gold market during this period.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Xayah_trading
GOLD reduced during the weekend trading sessionGold prices opened the session higher thanks to the decrease in the USD index and US Treasury bond interest rates. This is motivating investors to actively buy gold during the uptrend to make profits. According to statistics, the number of Americans applying for unemployment benefits increased more than expected, which helps the US Federal Reserve's (Fed) fight against inflation. Newly released data shows that US producer prices have fallen the most in the past 3 years, while US consumer prices have remained unchanged over the past 10 months. According to the CME FedWatch tool, the gold market is pricing in a nearly 100% chance that the US Central Bank will keep interest rates unchanged in December. Gold is considered an inflation hedge. Interest rates remain high, reducing the appeal of gold bars.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Xayah_trading
Gold Possible 150+ Pip Short Setuphello traders this is a scenario that i expect for next week for gold keep an eye on fundamentals like fomc coming up. the yellow zones are my areas of interest they are also actually fibbonacci levels the market seems to be respecting them so i am using them i also identified a minor up trend and a downtrend from when the price reached the 2000s. if the price breaks the the yellow zone which serves as a Support + Fib level + Neckline of head and shoulder and also breaks the trendline i believe we will see gold back to the 1960s
EIGHTCAP:XAUUSDShort
by xAB777
GOLD | Breaks Out as Yields Sink, Fed Pivot Hopes BuildOANDA:XAUUSD PRICES OUTLOOK - Gold prices rally and break above technical resistance in the $1,975/$1,980 area - Bullion’s gains are driven by a steep pullback in Treasury yields following disappointing economic data - This article examines key XAUUSD’s levels worth watching in the coming trading sessions Gold prices rose over 1.0% on Thursday due to a decrease in U.S. Treasury yields following disappointing labor market data. Unemployment benefit applications for the week ending November 11 exceeded expectations, while continuing jobless claims reached their highest level in almost two years, indicating challenges in finding employment for Americans. The recent economic indicators, along with the CPI and PPI figures, suggest that the Federal Reserve's tightening cycle is ending and rate cuts may be on the horizon. This has led to lower yields and a potential increase in gold prices if the US dollar continues to weaken. Further economic weakness could prompt a shift in Fed policy. OANDA:XAUUSD PRICE TECHNICAL ANALYSIS Gold prices, measured through futures contracts, took off on Thursday, breaching a key technical ceiling stretching from $1,975 to $1,980. If this breakout is sustained, prices could start consolidating to the upside in the coming days, paving the way for a move toward $2,010/$2,015. Additional gains from here on out might embolden the bullish camp to launch an attack on $2,060. In the event of a bearish reversal, the first line of defense against a downturn is located in the $1,980-$1,975 zone. Although bullion may establish a base in this region on a pullback, a breakdown could trigger a deeper retracement, opening the door for a drop towards cluster support in the $1,950/$1,940 range (several key moving averages converge in this area). Below this floor, the focus shifts to $1,920.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
'Cheeky' long from gold's double bottom?We've found an interest setup on gold's 1-hour chart. A double bottom has formed just above the weekly pivot point, with a slightly higher low forming a bullish engulfing candle. Moreover, the cycle low was seen on high volume and strong negative delta (far more sellers than buyers on that 1-hour candle). And this suggests bears could be trapped around that cycle low, and could be forced to close and send prices higher, if prices fail to breakdown or move higher from here. The bias is bullish above the 1945.5 and looking for a run to 1965 or 1970. Take note of the daily shooting star candle, but for now the path of least resistance appears higher over the near-term.
FX_IDC:XAUUSDLong
by CityIndex
GOLD soaring high as unemployment increasesPrecious metal prices rebounded as US Treasury bond yields fell and inflationary pressures in the US were easing. US CPI remains unchanged in October 2023. US PPI also fell the strongest in three years. Previously, the Fed decided to keep the basic interest rate unchanged. However, US policymakers left open the possibility of raising interest rates later this year and implementing monetary policy throughout 2024 will be tighter than expected. Investors are still concerned about a series of short-term risks, making an economic "soft landing" impossible. The US House of Representatives has passed a temporary spending bill to avert a government shutdown, with broad support from lawmakers.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Xayah_trading
GOLD | Gain On More Signs Global Inflation Rolling OverOANDA:XAUUSD PRICE, ANALYSIS, AND CHARTS - UK CPI came in at a two-year low for October - The Core measure also ticked lower - Gold prices are closing back in on $2000 Gold prices rose in Wednesday's European session as the UK joined developed economies experiencing a decrease in inflation. Official data showed a two-year low of 4.6% in annual headline consumer price rise for October, down from 6.7% the previous month. The core inflation measure, which excludes fuel prices, also decreased to 5.7% from 6.1%. Similar numbers from the US indicated reduced price pressures, further boosting gold. US factory gate prices declined on Wednesday, but their effect on financial markets is less significant. Investors are increasingly optimistic that the fight against inflation has been successful, as central banks around the world have raised interest rates. Market participants are anticipating potential interest rate cuts in the first half of next year. Despite being considered an inflation hedge, gold has struggled due to rising borrowing costs. Investors have been turning to bond markets for better returns, leading to a decline in gold and other non-yielding assets. However, weaker inflation figures can still boost the value of gold and riskier investments like equities. The markets may be getting ahead of themselves, but inflation remains high in many countries. Interest rates will likely stay the same until inflation decreases. It's important to remember that inflation can be hard to control and may not fade away as quickly as expected. Gold prices are currently favorable due to geopolitical tensions in Ukraine and the Middle East. The Eurozone's final core CPI rate, expected to decrease from 4.5% to 4.2%, will be closely watched by the gold market. OANDA:XAUUSD PRICES TECHNICAL ANALYSIS Gold has now seen a strong, three-day bounce from the $1935/ounce level. It’s as well for the bulls that that level held, as the chart above shows that a move below it would have put the previously dominant downtrend channel uncomfortably close to the market. However, it remains comfortably far off, at $1883.70, a level that now provides support. For now, the $1935 region remains as a likely near-term prop, with the psychologically important $2000 resistance mark in the bulls’ immediate sights. But there’s clearly no sign of overbuying at this point, suggesting that the rally could have enough strength to get back to $2000 and, possibly up to late October’s peak of $2009. November 3’s daily close just above $1993 is probably the next key resistance level for the metal.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
3
GOLD easing pressure from the USDDespite a slight decrease, experts still predict the future of gold prices optimistically. World gold price stood at 1,958 USD/ounce, down slightly by 5 USD/ounce compared to the same hour yesterday morning. This morning, the US Dollar Index increased 0.4% and the 10-year US Treasury bond yield recovered, putting downward pressure on gold prices. However, precious metal prices still remain at their highest level within the past week. Gold is anchored at a high price because countries are still promoting gold imports and increasing their reserves of this precious metal. China currently holds at least 33,000 tons of gold, many times the figure of 2,215 tons given by the World Gold Council and double the US level of 16,500 tons. CPI data from the US was lower than forecast, supporting gold prices. Expectations that in the fourth quarter, inflation will cool down even more. This will weaken the USD and push up gold prices. In the next 6 months, we forecast prices towards 2,100 USD/ounce. With yields rising again, gold will fall after the initial rally. The outlook will remain positive for the asset (gold) but more caution is needed. However, this upside could be limited as concerns about an escalation of the war in Gaza have faded that had fueled a rise in safe-haven appeal over the past month.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Xayah_trading
XAUUSD Retracement almost completed. Sell opportunity.Gold (XAUUSD) took advantage of the lower than expected U.S. CPI and rose aggressively back above both the Channel Down and the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) but not before hitting our Lower Low target within the Channel Down (see chart below): Even though this rise is more based on fundamentals than technicals, the price is approaching the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level where the previous Channel Down break-out formed a top and reversed (September 01 2023). If fundamentals continue to influence the market more, then we might see Gold rise a little more, until the 4H RSI gets close to 80.00, but the upside is limited. You can start selling with a first short-term target the 0.236 Fib ay 1947.50. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
FX_IDC:XAUUSDShort
by TradingShot
2
GOLD | US Dollar Freefalls After CPI IndexUS DOLLAR, PRICE FORECAST OANDA:XAUUSD - The US dollar fell as yields fell following lower-than-expected US inflation data - Gold prices hit key technical levels in both cases US Treasury yields fell sharply on Tuesday after weaker-than-expected US consumer price index data reduced the likelihood of further tightening by the central bank and weakened its ability to keep interest rates at high levels for long periods of time. The move in the fixed income space has left the broader US dollar reeling, with the DXY index falling more than 1.5%, its worst daily performance since November 2022. Against this backdrop, The euro and the British pound broke out to the top, hitting multi-week highs against the greenback. Gold prices also posted solid gains and attempted solid consolidation, a bullish technical signal. With traders declaring victory in the fight against inflation and predicting sharp interest rate cuts in 2024, recent market moves could gain traction and consolidate in the near term . This could mean further falls in yields and the US dollar, along with additional gains in precious metals and stocks. TECHNICAL ANALYSIS OANDA:XAUUSD After a few days of weakness, gold performed a bullish reversal on Tuesday, bouncing off cluster support at $1,940/$$1,950. If the price successfully builds on this upward momentum, initial resistance lies at $1,975/$1,980. A break above this ceiling could open the door for a rally to $2,010/$2,015. Conversely, in case sellers regain control of the market, the main support level will extend from $1,950 to $1,940. While gold could establish a base within this range during a pullback, a break could set the stage for a drop to $1,920, followed by $1,900.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TVS-Trader
GOLD keep going upToday's world gold price listed on Kitco is at 1,962 USD/ounce, up 12 USD/ounce compared to early yesterday morning. Precious metal prices continued to increase in the context of the USD falling quite quickly from 105.7 points to 104.8 points at the beginning of the trading session on the US market. Besides, the US consumer price index remained unchanged in October and core inflation showed signs of slowing down. CPI increased by 3.2% compared to the same period last year. This level in September was 3.7%. According to the CME FedWatch tool, after the inflation report was released, the market predicted a 100% chance that the US Central Bank would keep interest rates unchanged in December compared to 86% before the inflation report.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Xayah_trading
GOLD | Very sensitive to the upcoming CPI reportOANDA:XAUUSD , NASDAQ 100 FORECAST - Gold prices and Nasdaq 100 will be very sensitive to the upcoming US inflation report - The US Bureau of Labor Statistics will release October consumer price index data on Tuesday - Headline CPI is forecast to increase 0.1% month-on-month and 3.3% year-on-year. Meanwhile, the core index is expected to come in at 0.3% monthly and 4.1% annually The US Bureau of Labor Statistics will release consumer price index figures on Tuesday morning. With the Federal Reserve so sensitive to incoming information and aware of the risk of rising inflation, the latest CPI report will carry more weight in the eyes of financial markets. This could mean more volatility in gold and Nasdaq 100 prices in the coming trading sessions. In terms of estimates, headline CPI is forecast to rise 0.1% on a seasonally adjusted basis in October. This would push the annual rate to 3.3% from 3.7% previously. Meanwhile, the core gauge, which excludes food and energy, is forecast to rise 0.3% on the month, with the related 12-month index unchanged at 4.1%. UPCOMING DATA The Fed took a data-focused stance and noted it would “proceed carefully.” Despite this cautious approach, the organization has not completely closed the door on additional policy consolidation, with Chairman Powell indicating that officials are not confident that they have reached a sufficiently restrictive stance To bring inflation back to 2.0% and further progress in reducing price pressures is needed. Not guaranteed. Taken together, Powell's comments suggest that the FOMC is not following a predetermined path and is prepared to respond appropriately to adverse developments that could hinder the implementation of its mandate. Against this backdrop, any deviation of the October CPI figure from consensus expectations could prompt policymakers to advocate another rate hike at one of the upcoming meetings of the Federal Reserve. Surname. FOMC MEETING PROBABILITY If interest rate expectations change to be more hawkish due to the hot CPI report, US interest rates will rise, boosting the US dollar. This, in turn, could put downward pressure on gold, Nasdaq 100. The opposite is also true; An unexpected surprise in last month's inflation data would support precious metals, tech stocks by capping yields and weakening the argument for higher prices for longer. TECHNICAL ANALYSIS OANDA:XAUUSD Gold has reversed losses this month after failing to reach a key ceiling in the $2,010/$2,015 area. If the price turns bullish and consolidates decisively above this technical indicator, initial resistance will emerge at $1,980, followed by $2,010/$2,015. On the other hand, if sellers reappear and reignite bearish pressure, the initial floor to watch would lie at $1,935. While gold could gain a foothold in this zone on the downside, a violation of the downside could send gold down to $1,920. Below this threshold, attention turns to $1,900.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
GOLD waiting for a chance to reverseToday's world gold price listed on Kitco is at 1,946 USD/ounce, up 7 USD compared to early yesterday morning. Precious metals inched up slightly as investors waited for US inflation data this week to evaluate the interest rate roadmap of the US Federal Reserve (Fed). If data shows higher-than-expected inflation, gold is likely to fall again as that increases the likelihood of another interest rate hike, experts said. However, if the data is right, gold could trade at $1,950. Gold fell 3% last week and lost more than $60 as safe-haven demand cooled and as Fed Chairman Jerome Powell's hawkish comments pushed back any expectations of interest rate cuts.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Xayah_trading
XAUUSD: Bullish Divergence on 4H.Gold turned bearish on the 1D timeframe (RSI = 43.890, MACD = -0.091, ADX = 34.371) after the November Channel Down almost hit the 4H MA200. It hit our 1,935.50 TP nonetheless (see previous signal at the bottom), and now the short term is giving us a buy signal in the event of a break over the Channel Down. The 4H RSI holds a HL trendline which is a Bullish Divergence against the LL of the Channel Down. Consequently we will open a long if the price crosses over the top of the Channel Down, which is highly likely ahead of the U.S. CPI report tomorrow, and target a Triple Resistance level, the 4H MA50, the R1 and the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement (TP = 1,965). See how our prior idea has worked: ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
FX_IDC:XAUUSDShort
by InvestingScope
Gold is giving up some of its October 2023 gainsIn tandem with our expectations, we saw gold give up some of its gains after an impressive rally last month. Currently, it trades near $1,938 per troy ounce. Although we remain bullish in the long term, we are still unconvinced about a straight path higher in the short term/medium term. In fact, we believe gold has a chance of continuing lower, especially if the stock market starts weakening again. This view is also supported by technical indicators like RSI, Stochastic, and MACD on the daily chart, which are growing increasingly bearish. Consequently, we would not be surprised if gold dived below $1,920 and potentially tested an important psychological support at $1,900. Illustration 1.01 Illustration 1.01 displays the daily chart of XAUUSD and simple support/resistance levels derived from particular peaks and troughs. Technical analysis Daily = Slightly bearish Weekly = Neutral Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section. DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Tradersweekly
5
GOLD | After a week of falling pricesOANDA:XAUUSD had a tough week and ended at a new three-week low as investors moved away from safe-haven assets and into more risk-on markets. Higher bond yields also pressured the precious metal which is currently testing a series of technical levels. The US dollar had a confusing week as US Treasury yields fell, then spiked and ended the week near their highest level of the week. Chairman Powell's hawkish comments that he was unsure whether the Fed had enough capacity to contain inflation sent bond yields higher, while the US 30-year bond auction was extremely weak. The US has pushed yields even higher. The US dollar followed moves in the US bond market and ended the week high. OANDA:XAUUSD could adjust back below 1,900 USD/ounce. Conversely, the precious metal could also break new levels above $2,000 an ounce which could give traders the confidence to push prices even higher, at $2,050 an ounce.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TVS-Trader
GOLD turn on the increase right at the beginning of the sessionThe world gold spot price on the Asian market is around 1,941 USD/ounce, up nearly 3 USD/ounce compared to last week's closing session. The price of gold delivered according to the contract this morning reversed and increased by nearly 2 USD/ounce to 1,944 USD/ounce compared to the previous session's close. World gold prices reversed to increase at the beginning of the morning session because the market was concerned that the world's second largest economy, China, was entering a state of deflation. Specifically, last weekend, Trong Quoc announced that the consumer price index (CPI), China's main measure of inflation in October 2023, decreased by 0.2% over the same period last year. The CPI only increased again in August and September, while July still decreased by 0.3%. After this information, HSBC Bank released analysis that China's deflation has caused difficulties for exporters to this country in Southeast Asian countries, Korea, Taiwan and Germany. Experts say that deflation in China comes from excess capacity in manufacturing factories, which is pushing down global prices of manufactured goods. China's economic deflation puts strong pressure on regional and global economies. Investors are concerned that deflation in the world's second largest economy will make global economic growth difficult in the near future, increasing risks, so they have stepped up gold purchases.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Xayah_trading
GOLD a miserable weekClosing the weekly trading session, world gold price stood at 1,938 USD/ounce, down sharply to 54 USD/ounce compared to last week's closing session. For the whole week, gold decreased by up to 3% in value, marking the worst week of price decline in the past 6 weeks. There are no new developments in tensions in the Middle East, the USD continues to strengthen, the US Federal Reserve (Fed) maintains a "hawkish" stance,... are factors that have a negative impact on gold prices. world last week. Gold's safe-haven demand is weakening as conflict tensions in the Middle East are not changing much. Fed Chairman Jerome Powell's statements that the central bank is still willing to raise interest rates have a big impact on gold. Unless new developments change this view, gold will witness another slight price decline next week.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Xayah_trading
$GLD Cup & Handle Monthly Chart### Technical Analysis Update: AMEX:GLD Cup and Handle Formation on Monthly Chart The SPDR Gold Trust ETF ( AMEX:GLD ), which tracks the price of gold, is exhibiting a notable pattern on its monthly chart known as a 'Cup and Handle' formation. This pattern is of keen interest to technical analysts and investors, as it often signals a bullish continuation trend. #### Understanding the Cup and Handle Formation The Cup and Handle is a bullish chart pattern that resembles the shape of a tea cup. This formation typically occurs in an uptrend and is indicative of a consolidation period followed by a breakout. 1. **The Cup**: This is formed when the price first experiences a gradual decline, followed by a stabilization and a rise back to the original starting point. The price movement during this phase should be rounded and shallow rather than a sharp V shape, and it usually spans several months to a year. For AMEX:GLD , the cup formation suggests a period of consolidation after an initial sell-off, followed by a gradual and steady recovery to the previous highs. 2. **The Handle**: Following the cup, a small downward drift in the price forms the handle. This is typically a retracement that does not go below the half-way point of the cup. The handle represents a final consolidation or a shakeout of less committed traders before a potential breakout. It's often seen as a bullish flag or pennant. #### Implications for AMEX:GLD For AMEX:GLD , the appearance of a Cup and Handle pattern on the monthly chart is significant. It indicates that after enduring a period of correction and consolidation, the ETF is potentially gearing up for a continuation of its prior uptrend. #### Key Points to Watch - **Breakout Point**: The critical level to watch is the resistance line formed at the top of the cup. A convincing breakout above this level on increased volume could signal the continuation of the bullish trend. - **Handle Formation**: The depth and duration of the handle are crucial. It should not drop significantly into the cup and should show signs of stabilizing or minor retracement. - **Volume**: A genuine breakout is often accompanied by higher-than-average trading volume, adding confirmation to the pattern. #### Trading Considerations Investors and traders considering positions in AMEX:GLD should closely monitor the completion of the handle and the subsequent price action. A breakout above the cup’s rim could offer a potential entry point, while a failure to break above or a drop below the handle might necessitate a reassessment of the bullish hypothesis. As with any technical pattern, it's advisable to consider the Cup and Handle formation in conjunction with other fundamental and market factors. This comprehensive approach helps in making more informed investment decisions.
AMEX:GLDLong
by AlgoTradeAlert
1
XAUUSD Is the pull-back completed?Almost 10 days ago we made a bold (at the time) bearish call (see chart below) for a short-term pull-back on Gold (XAUUSD) towards the 1W MA50: The yellow metal has so far responded positively to this call as it dropped below the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) to 1945. The Channel Down pattern that emerged is using the 4H MA50 as its Resistance/ Lower Highs trend-line and until it breaks, we should be expecting a continuation. Oversold 4H RSI readings will always give technical bounces like yesterday's but as long as the 4H MA50 holds, it is more likely to see Gold test the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line) on the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level at 1933. If the 4H MA50 does break and closes a candle above it, we will buy and target 1995. Notice how the Channel Down pull-back is similar to the declines of July - August, May and April. The 4H MA50 served as the Resistance and in the case of April, it did test the 4H MA200. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
FX_IDC:XAUUSDShort
by TradingShot
1